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Crypto World

Bitcoin Options Traders Hedge as Uncertainty Persists, Anchorage Says

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin options markets are signaling caution rather than panic, according to new research from Anchorage Digital. In its latest Prime Signal report, the firm’s head of research, David Lawant, finds that traders across both crypto-native venues and traditional investment wrappers are paying up for downside protection—especially over the very near term.

The study looked at options activity across Deribit and two major exchange-traded fund products tied to Bitcoin exposure: BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and Strategy’s Bitcoin-linked instruments. Anchorage argues that this cross-market view helps capture differences between crypto-native positioning and more institutional or retail flows than a single venue alone.

Key takeaways

  • Deribit and IBIT options show elevated put skew, consistent with demand for downside hedges at a premium rather than outright bullish bets.
  • Defensive positioning is unusually high within both markets’ historical ranges—ranked in the 82nd percentile for IBIT and the 84th percentile for Deribit over their respective multi-year windows.
  • Anchorage reports Bitcoin options have spent nearly half of 2026 pricing higher one-week implied volatility than one-month implied volatility, an inversion that has typically been temporary.
  • In Strategy’s options market, put skew remains below levels Anchorage associates with past stress episodes like forced deleveraging.

Downside hedging stays in focus across venues

Anchorage’s central finding is that traders are not just buying options—they are choosing structures that emphasize downside risk. In both the Deribit and IBIT options markets, the firm observed elevated put skew, a pattern that generally indicates market participants are willing to pay more for protection against lower prices than for upside participation.

Anchorage quantifies this defensiveness by comparing current activity against historical behavior. It reports that defensive positioning sits at the 82nd percentile within IBIT’s history and at the 84th percentile across Deribit’s five-year record, suggesting that the current hedging intensity is high relative to what has been typical.

Why the “one-week vs one-month” volatility inversion matters

Beyond skew, Anchorage examined the term structure of implied volatility—specifically how volatility priced for the coming week compares with volatility priced for the following month. The report says Bitcoin options have spent nearly half of 2026 with one-week implied volatility higher than one-month implied volatility, an inversion it describes as unusual and historically episodic.

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Anchorage attributes the pattern to a chain of catalysts spanning macroeconomic conditions, geopolitical developments, and crypto-specific drivers that have kept traders focused on near-term risks. Instead of signaling a stable trend expectation, the data points toward “event window” caution: participants appear more concerned about what could happen soon than about setting a long-range directional view.

Lawant said he is watching for a change in that relationship—specifically, whether one-month implied volatility begins to exceed one-week implied volatility again. He frames such a shift as a sign that the market may be growing more comfortable looking further out rather than concentrating hedges around immediate uncertainty.

Strategy’s options market: hedging without “crisis” pricing

Anchorage’s analysis also addresses whether the options market is pricing Strategy (MSTR) as if it faces a severe downside scenario. While the company has experienced weakness in its equity-related products, Anchorage argues that options demand for protection has not escalated to stress levels typically associated with broad systemic fear.

Earlier coverage from the market has highlighted the decline in Strategy’s perpetual preferred stock, STRC. According to the details cited in Anchorage’s research discussion, STRC fell as low as $82.53 on June 22—around 17% below its $100 par value—before partially recovering after Strategy disclosed it had increased its fiat reserves to $1.3 billion. By Thursday, STRC was reported as trading around $77, roughly 23% below par, based on the figures referenced in the report write-up.

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The weakness has also extended to Strategy’s common shares. The article notes that MSTR has been down about 78% over the past year and traded around $87 on Thursday, according to Yahoo Finance data.

However, Anchorage’s options read-through is more measured than the equity performance. The firm reports that Strategy-related options remain well below stress levels seen during prior market corrections. While put skew indicates that hedging demand is present, the skew has not moved into ranges that Anchorage associates with fears of forced deleveraging or a broader crisis.

That distinction matters for market participants because it separates “risk management” from “contagion pricing.” Put skew can rise for many reasons—structural hedging, volatility supply/demand, or tactical protection—so Anchorage’s comparison to historical stress levels is intended to show that traders are cautious but not uniformly expecting a severe unwind scenario.

Broader implications for how traders are framing risk

Taken together, Anchorage’s findings suggest a market where near-term downside hedging remains the dominant theme, even as different trading ecosystems show broadly consistent behavior. Elevated put skew in both Deribit and IBIT indicates that the appetite for protection is not limited to a single buyer type or venue; it spans the crypto-native options market and a key regulated product channel.

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At the same time, the volatility term structure points to timing rather than direction. The one-week/one-month implied volatility inversion described in the report implies that traders are treating the next few days to weeks as more uncertain than the later month horizon—consistent with a market responding to catalysts as they approach, rather than immediately repricing longer-term outlooks.

For Strategy-related risk, the message is similar: equity weakness does not automatically translate into options-market “panic pricing.” Anchorage says the hedging activity in Strategy’s options is still below the kind of levels it has previously linked to forced deleveraging dynamics.

Going forward, traders may want to track whether the one-month implied volatility premium returns over the one-week measure—an indicator Lawant flagged as a potential shift from immediate risk management to a longer-term posture. Until then, Anchorage’s data suggests the market will likely keep prioritizing near-term protection across both crypto and ETF-linked Bitcoin options.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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SecondFi Exploit Drains 374 Cardano Wallets, Over 16 Million ADA Stolen in Coordinated Attack

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • The SecondFi exploit drained 374 Cardano wallets across four attack events between June 21–23, 2026.
  • Approximately 16 million ADA worth $2.4M was stolen by two identified attackers across three automated waves.
  • Emergency rescue efforts secured around 129 million ADA, with a dedicated restoration fund already established.
  • Affected wallets are permanently compromised; users must avoid independent seed phrase restoration or asset migration.

Cardano’s largest wallet provider, SecondFi, suffered a major security breach between June 21 and 23, 2026. The SecondFi exploit drained funds from 374 wallet addresses across four separate attack events.

Approximately 16 million ADA, valued at around $2.4 million, was compromised. EMURGO, a co-founding entity of Cardano, has since stepped forward with a formal incident update, outlining recovery measures and committing to full reimbursement for all affected users.

Attack Scope and Attacker Identification

The SecondFi exploit unfolded in three automated waves, each targeting multiple wallets in rapid succession. Forensic analysis identified two distinct threat actors responsible for the breach. Attacker A operated across Waves 1 and 2, draining 171 wallets through coordinated automated batches.

SecondFi publicly disclosed the attacker addresses for full community transparency. Attacker A used three collection wallets and a central fee address, all linked to a single stake key. Attacker B operated independently in Wave 3, sweeping 203 additional wallets in a separate automated run.

According to SecondFi’s post on X, over 4 million ADA linked to Attacker B remains in one flagged collection address.

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That address is currently under active monitoring and investigation by the team. Law enforcement and relevant authorities have been notified as part of the formal incident response.

The speed and coordination of the attack pointed to a premeditated, multi-actor operation. Security analysts described it as a highly sophisticated enterprise rather than an opportunistic breach.

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Emergency Response and Asset Recovery

Following the initial discovery on June 22nd, SecondFi activated emergency response protocols immediately. Engineering teams isolated the exploit vector and deployed remediation measures to prevent further exposure. The platform was moved into maintenance mode as a containment step.

A leading external security firm, along with additional independent partners, was brought in to conduct a full code-level audit.

SecondFi confirmed it will not resume normal operations until those reviews are complete. That position reflects a deliberate effort to prioritize user safety over operational speed.

Through emergency rescue measures, SecondFi successfully secured approximately 129 million ADA as part of broader containment efforts.

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All recovered assets are currently held securely while the recovery process continues. A dedicated restoration fund has already been established to support reimbursement.

EMURGO confirmed in its statement that wallet address mapping has been completed, allowing recovery to move into the next phase. Affected users will receive direct guidance through official channels on the steps required to safely restore access.

Critical Warnings for Affected Users

SecondFi issued a firm security warning to all affected wallet holders following the breach. Compromised wallets must be treated as permanently compromised at the address and private key level. Simply restoring a seed phrase in another wallet application will not eliminate the security risk.

Users are strongly advised not to independently move assets or attempt to migrate compromised wallets on their own.

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Taking unilateral action could expose them to further loss or secondary exploits. The official recovery process is the only safe path forward for affected accounts.

SecondFi and EMURGO confirmed that a structured, verification-based claim process is being developed. While that process may take additional time, it is designed to ensure accuracy and security throughout. Affected users are directed to follow @secondfiapp on X for all official updates.

The incident drew a coordinated response from across the Cardano ecosystem. Founding entities, partners, and community members mobilized quickly to support containment efforts. That collective response helped limit broader network risk during a critical period.

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BTC could fall as low as $48,000 in final capitulation

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BTC could fall as low as $48,000 in final capitulation

Bitcoin could be approaching a major turning point after a rare combination of onchain indicators flashed signals that have historically coincided with market bottoms, according to Chris Sullivan, co-founder and portfolio manager at digital asset hedge fund Hyperion Decimus.

In a recent report, the hedge fund explained that four proprietary onchain signals have aligned only five times during bitcoin’s 15-year history. Each previous occurrence marked a cycle bottom, although Sullivan cautioned that this time still lacks final technical confirmation.

“We have literally like every box checked, except for a final pattern,” Sullivan said in an interview with CoinDesk. “Either we have to break above the $82,000 pivot to confirm, or we have one final low, call it between $54,000 and $57,000. Perhaps a wick to $48,000 to capitulate. One of those two conditions we expect to happen in the next 90 days.”

If either scenario unfolds, Sullivan believes bitcoin could quickly diverge from broader financial markets. The crypto asset is trading at $59,386 after losing 23% over the past month, extending its divergence from U.S. equities, which had climbed to record highs before also coming under pressure this month.

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Bitcoin Options Traders Brace for Volatility

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Bitcoin Options Traders Brace for Volatility

Bitcoin options traders remain heavily positioned for downside protection, with both crypto-native and exchange-traded fund investors showing elevated demand for downside hedges, according to new research by Anchorage Digital’s head of research, David Lawant.

The report analyzed options activity across Deribit, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and Strategy (MSTR), saying the three markets together provide a broader view of crypto-native, institutional and retail investor sentiment than any single options market alone.

Both Deribit and IBIT options markets showed elevated put skew, indicating traders are paying a premium for downside protection rather than positioning for further gains. The report found defensive positioning ranked in the 82nd percentile of IBIT’s history and the 84th percentile of Deribit’s five-year history.

Anchorage also found that Bitcoin (BTC) options markets have spent nearly half of 2026 pricing higher implied volatility over the next week than over the next month, an unusual inversion that has historically been episodic and short-lived. The report attributed the pattern to a succession of macroeconomic, geopolitical and crypto-specific catalysts that have kept traders focused on near-term risks.

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Bitcoin options 30-day/7-day implied volatility ratio. Source: Anchorage Digital report

Taken together, the findings suggest options traders remain focused on managing near-term risks rather than positioning for a clear directional move. Lawant said he is watching for one-month implied volatility to once again exceed one-week implied volatility, a shift he said would indicate markets are becoming more comfortable looking beyond immediate risks.

Related: Bitcoin price is down over 40% since STRC launched: Is Strategy ‘fine’?

Options market not signaling Strategy crisis

The analysis from Anchorage Digital also suggests investors remain cautious but are not pricing a severe downside scenario for Strategy despite recent weakness in the company’s preferred and common shares.

Strategy’s perpetual preferred stock, STRC, fell as low as $82.53 on June 22, or about 17% below its $100 par value, before partially recovering after the company disclosed it had increased its fiat reserves to $1.3 billion. As of Thursday, it was trading around $77, roughly 23% below par.

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The weakness has extended beyond STRC. Strategy’s common shares (MSTR) were down about 78% over the past year and traded around $87 on Thursday, according to Yahoo Finance data.

Strategy stock. Source: Yahoo Finance

Despite the sell-off, Anchorage found that Strategy’s options market remains well below stress levels seen during previous market corrections. While traders continue to hedge against downside risk, put skew has not reached levels typically associated with fears of forced deleveraging or a broader crisis, according to the report.

Strategy, led by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, pioneered the corporate Bitcoin treasury model in 2020 and remains the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with 847,363 BTC on its balance sheet.

30-day risk reversals in Strategy (MSTR) options markets. Source: Anchorage Digital report

Magazine: Bitcoin decouples from tech stocks, Ether eyes ‘selling wave’: Market Moves

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Bitcoin Rebounds Off Yearly Lows But US Stocks Flash Warning Sign

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Bitcoin Rebounds Off Yearly Lows But US Stocks Flash Warning Sign

Key takeaways:

  • Surging spot Bitcoin ETF outflows and a put-heavy options expiry point to fading institutional demand.
  • Risk-reward shifts toward tech stocks, leaving crypto traders to seek catalysts beyond macroeconomic tailwinds.

Bitcoin (BTC) traded down 9% in three days, hitting its lowest level since September 2024. The $58,000 retest triggered over $1 billion in liquidations across bullish BTC leveraged positions. Despite a modest recovery to $59,500, Bitcoin traders remain uneasy as the S&P 500 index and gold prices fully erased their intraday losses.

Bitcoin/USD (orange) vs. gold/USD & Nasdaq 100 futures (green). Source: TradingView

The market downturn on Thursday lined up with the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures index, which showed a 4.1% increase in May from the prior year. Yet as Crude Brent oil prices pulled back to $75 from $95 just one month earlier, investors grew more confident that inflation had peaked. As a result, the cash freed up by lower energy costs is boosting the stock market.

Shares of Micron, Sandisk, Applied Materials. Source: TradingView

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The tech sector kept delivering strong surprises, with Micron Technology (MU) jumping 16% after solid quarterly earnings and Sandisk (SNDK) riding along with an 18% gain. Applied Materials (AMAT) rose 10% thanks to its new chipmaking tools. Investors’ renewed faith in the sector also mirrors the US government administration’s recent emphasis.

Fixed income offers a more compelling hedge alternative

Even if Bitcoin does not directly compete with the artificial intelligence sector, traders’ risk-reward views have likely tilted toward stocks. This shift followed the US government taking a 9.9% stake in Intel, proposing $2 billion for quantum computing firms, opening federal lands for data center projects, and setting a framework for “frontier models” releases.

Investors worried about inflated AI valuations after Elon Musk’s SpaceX (SPCX) shares fell 32% from their peak can find comfort in 5-year US Treasuries yielding 4.15%. Demand for non-yielding assets like Bitcoin faded as traders now see an 80% chance of US interest rate hikes by December, up from 68% a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs daily net flows, USD. Source: SoSoValue

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Bitcoin’s appeal also took a hit from the massive $469 million net outflows in spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on Wednesday. The metric serves as a key proxy for institutional demand. Sentiment worsened further as Strategy (MSTR) now sits on a huge unrealized loss after buying $64.1 billion worth of Bitcoin since 2020.

Related: 21shares trims 2026 crypto forecasts despite institutional adoption gains

Strategy (MSTR) Bitcoin reserves and cash position, USD. Source: Strategy

The upcoming $13 billion Bitcoin options expiry on Friday heavily favors put (sell) instruments. Most neutral-to-bullish strategies will likely expire worthless, since 78% of call (buy) options are priced at $72,000 or above. Put options open interest on Deribit will exceed call options by $3.4 billion.

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Bitcoin’s price momentum shows little tie to stocks due to heavy ETF outflows, a bearish options expiry skew and Strategy’s mounting unrealized losses. Bitcoin traders must now hunt for unique catalysts beyond equity market tailwinds to spark a turnaround.

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DEXE Defies Market Slump With Record Whale Transactions and User Growth

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DeXe (DEXE) has recorded a major increase in on-chain activity as the protocol continues to rank among the strongest-performing large-cap crypto assets in recent months.

According to data shared by Santiment, DEXE recorded 18 whale transactions worth over $100,000 and 298 active addresses, both all-time highs. The network also added 86 new wallets, which is its strongest wallet growth in seven months.

DEXE in the Spotlight

The surge in activity has come alongside a strong market performance for DEXE, whose market capitalization has risen more than 600% over the past four months. Santiment attributed the move to growing interest in DeXe’s DAO governance infrastructure, increasing speculation about broader protocol adoption, as well as rising spot accumulation as more tokens have reportedly moved off exchanges.

The analytics firm said that the latest on-chain data appears to be supporting the price rally rather than reacting to it. New wallets are entering the network at the fastest pace seen in months, while active participation and whale transactions have both reached record levels.

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This combination of rising user activity, network growth, and large transactions may indicate genuine engagement within the ecosystem instead of purely speculative trading, as investors continue to assess whether DeXe’s expanding governance ecosystem can maintain its current momentum, Santiment added.

DEXE Outperforms Bitcoin

DEXE was trading near $23.5 at the time of writing, up nearly 36% this month. One factor that may have helped drive the rally was support from MEXC. The crypto exchange recently added the token to its futures market and allowed traders access to leverage of up to 50x. Over the past 24 hours alone, it rose by 4%.

The latest gains came despite a broader market sell-off. Bitcoin briefly fell to $59,000, which happens to be its lowest level since early June, before recovering to around $61,700 by Thursday morning.

Meanwhile, pseudonymous CryptoQuant analyst CW said that DEXE continues to test its “final major sell wall.” A breakout above this resistance zone would likely coincide with DEXE setting a new all-time high. CW also added that once the token clears this final barrier, there would be little overhead resistance left, which would potentially allow the rally to continue without significant selling pressure.

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The post DEXE Defies Market Slump With Record Whale Transactions and User Growth appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Bitcoin Falls to $58K as Bear Pressure Builds; $50K Key Level

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin slid below the $60,000 mark on Thursday, a move that drew attention to fresh downside technical risk and underscored how sensitive crypto remains to swings in broader financial markets. The drop followed weakness in megacap technology stocks, which dampened overall risk appetite and added pressure to BTC as it approached another critical psychological level.

From a charting perspective, the selloff has also helped activate multiple bearish patterns. Analysts say the combination of a breakdown below $60,000 and the completion of two separate setups on lower timeframes increases the odds of a move toward—and potentially through—the $54,000 area in the coming days.

Key takeaways

  • BTC’s break below $60,000 has wiped out its June gains and triggered fresh technical downside scenarios.
  • A four-hour “rounded top” structure appears to have completed, with a projected target just under $54,000.
  • On the daily chart, a bear-flag breakdown points to the same $54,000 zone, strengthening the bearish case.
  • Glassnode’s MVRV pricing bands align with the $54,000 area as an important potential support level.

Why $60,000 losing momentum matters

On Thursday, BTC/USD fell as much as 4.8% and traded down to an intraday low near $58,000, according to the market moves referenced in coverage of Bitcoin’s weakness. Importantly for traders, that decline did not stop at a minor dip—by moving below $60,000, Bitcoin broke a widely watched psychological threshold.

With the broader market in a fragile posture, that kind of level loss often changes how participants position. Instead of treating the area as “support to defend,” many traders reframe it as a level that must now be reclaimed to prevent further downside follow-through.

Rounded top breakdown points to a repeat target

The most direct technical argument for additional selling comes from the four-hour chart. Coverage notes that the price action completed what appears to be a rounded top pattern on that timeframe. In technical analysis, a rounded top forms when upward momentum gradually weakens, eventually shifting the asset from an uptrend into a downtrend that resembles an inverse “U” shape.

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The pattern’s signal becomes actionable when the market breaks below the structure’s “neckline,” the support area that marks the base of the formation. After that breakdown, analysts typically estimate a downside objective by measuring the distance from the top of the formation to the neckline and projecting that same distance downward from the breakdown point.

Using that method, the measured downside target for Bitcoin is described as sitting just under $54,000, implying roughly an 8.9% drop from current prices at the time of reporting. The key point for readers is not the exact precision of the number, but the directional clustering: if multiple independent setups converge on the same zone, traders often treat that area as the next likely “decision point” on the chart.

Daily bear-flag adds weight to the $54,000 zone

To make the bearish case stronger, the article also points to confirmation from the daily chart via a bear-flag breakdown. Bear flags generally emerge after a sharp decline, followed by a period of consolidation that resembles a flagpole-and-flag structure. When price later breaks out downward from that consolidation, the pattern is often treated as implying that the prior down-move can extend.

In this case, the bear-flag breakdown is stated to project an identical move toward the $54,000 zone. That matters because it reduces the probability that $54,000 is merely a one-off technical estimate. Instead, two different pattern frameworks—rounded top on one timeframe and bear flag on another—are both pointing to the same region, which tends to attract concentrated positioning from market participants who follow chart-based signals.

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On-chain confirmation: MVRV bands highlight potential support

Beyond pure price patterns, the coverage also turns to on-chain analysis from Glassnode, focusing on MVRV pricing bands. MVRV compares Bitcoin’s current market price with its realized price—the average price at which coins last moved on-chain. Put simply, these bands are often used to gauge whether BTC is trading in unusual profit or loss territory relative to where holders last established their cost basis.

As of Wednesday, the article states that Bitcoin traded near $60,997, while the 1.0 MVRV band—shown in green—sat around $53,390. That level closely matches the technical downside target near $54,000. When on-chain bands and chart objectives overlap, it can suggest a confluence area where demand might emerge, particularly if sellers start to encounter holders sitting at less favorable positioning.

However, the same framework also warns that a deeper decline could bypass that support. The article notes that if selling intensifies, Bitcoin could test the 0.8 MVRV band (shown in blue) near $42,700. Historically, it says, major bear-market bottoms have tended to form around that lower band—where unrealized losses become more extreme and capitulation risk rises.

For investors and active traders, this creates a more structured “map” of scenarios: $54,000 is framed as a near-term target and potential support test, while the $42,700 area is presented as a lower-bound zone to watch if the market fails to stabilize before then.

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Readers should watch for whether Bitcoin can reclaim and hold above $60,000 after the breakdown, since that would challenge the bearish pattern narratives. If BTC instead keeps pressing lower, the next key question becomes whether $54,000 holds as a confluence support area—or whether conditions deteriorate enough to push price toward the deeper MVRV band levels.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Chicago Fed’s Goolsbee says inflation is too high; Williams sees price pressures easing

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Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been more disturbing on the services side
Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation has been more disturbing on the services side

Two Federal Reserve officials on Thursday indicated some optimism on inflation, though neither indicated a likelihood that interest rates will change anytime soon.

Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee said Thursday that inflation is still trending the wrong way though there have been a few bright spots. A little later in the afternoon, New York Fed President John Williams said he expects inflation readings to start trending lower.

In a live CNBC interview from his home district, Goolsbee declined to speculate on where he thinks interest rates are headed. However, he said he remains squarely focused on inflation, in remarks that reflected sentiment new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh expressed a week ago.

“You have seen now little bit of improvement on this services inflation, and I’ve been identifying that as something that we would want to see,” Goolsbee said from the trading floor of the Cboe. “But right now, as between the two sides of the Fed’s mandate, the inflation side and the job market side, clearly the problem’s on the inflation side.”

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The comments came hours after the Commerce Department reported that core inflation as gauged by the Fed’s preferred benchmark, the personal consumption expenditures price index, stood at 3.4% in May, its highest since October 2023.

Price increases were fairly evenly distributed, with goods rising 0.4% and services up 0.5%, the most since January. On the goods side, much of the gain was driven by energy, which jumped 6.5%, while services was pushed higher by transportation services, a sector sensitive to gas prices and which accelerated 0.8%.

Markets expect the Fed could raise its benchmark rate in September, but Goolsbee wouldn’t commit to where he would stand. He said he “applauded” Warsh’s move to discourage such “forward guidance” from the Fed’s communication. The Federal Open Market Committee’s post-meeting statement was dramatically shorter than the norm, and the forward guidance language was removed.

“Let’s streamline, let’s take some forward guidance out of there. Let’s not speculate about the rate path,” he said. “I think it’s healthy that we have those resets.”

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Goolsbee dispelled the notion of rancor within the Fed now that Warsh has taken over. He noted that the two were “foxhole bodies” during the global financial crisis, when Warsh was helping devise rescue programs and Goolsbee was a senior economic advisor in the Barack Obama White House.

“He comes in with new ideas. He’s a serious guy. You saw in the press conference that that he comes with a different style,” Goolsbee said. “Before I was ever at the Fed, and since I’ve been at the Fed, I’ve been uneasy with the use of forward guidance and speculating about the future of rates on a routine basis.”

Williams sees reason for hope

Williams, the New York Fed leader, said that he expects inflation readings to start trending lower though he is happy with interest rates at their current level.

The influential policymaker’s first remarks since last week’s meeting indicate less concern about inflation though still not enough to talk about cuts.

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“Given the elevated level of inflation, it is imperative that we restore it to our 2 percent longer-run goal on a sustained basis,” Williams said in remarks at the Crane Money Fund Symposium in Jersey City, New Jersey. “The current stance of monetary policy is well positioned to do that.”

Williams cited three reasons he thinks inflation will ease: the waning impact from tariffs; hopes that the Iran war is nearing an end so energy prices will ease; and the expectation that shelter inflation will slow as rent increases moderate.

Inflation, he said, will drop to 3.5% this year from its current 4.1%, and “continue on a glide path” back down to the Fed’s 2% target by 2028.

“Like the World Cup tournament, the economy can take surprising and unpredictable turns,” he said. “One thing that is certain is my unwavering commitment to supporting maximum employment and bringing inflation down to our 2 percent longer-run goal on a sustained basis.”

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The FOMC next meets July 28-29, with markets expecting about a 30% chance of a hike, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch. Goolsbee is a nonvoting participant at FOMC meetings this year but will get a vote in 2027. Williams is a permanent voter.

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Uniswap Launches No-Code Token Auction Tool to Take On Pump.fun

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Uniswap’s no-code tool lets teams launch onchain token auctions from a browser in four simple steps.
  • The Continuous Clearing Auction spreads bids across blocks, removing bot sniping and last-second advantages. 
  • Aztec’s CCA raised $59M from 17,000 bidders across 191 countries, clearing 60% above its floor price.
  • Cap Labs’ $CAP auction closed 5.5x oversubscribed at a $106M FDV, pulling in $16.4M in commitments. 

Uniswap has rolled out a no-code token auction tool within its Web App, enabling teams to configure and run onchain token sales directly from a browser.

The feature is built on Uniswap’s Continuous Clearing Auction mechanism, which processes bids across multiple blocks.

All winning bidders pay the same final clearing price. The move positions Uniswap as a direct competitor to platforms like Pump.fun in the token-launch market.

How the Continuous Clearing Auction Works

The Continuous Clearing Auction conducts price discovery entirely onchain without resolving in a single block. Bids accumulate over multiple blocks, each clearing at a price carried forward from the previous one. This structure removes the speed advantage that typically favors bots and last-second snipers.

Bidders set a total budget and a maximum price per token during the process. Tokens are distributed to participants whose bids remain competitive as each block clears. Every successful bidder pays the same final clearing price at the end of the auction.

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Uniswap previously described the CCA mechanics through a post on Aztec’s token sale. That auction raised $59 million from 17,000 bidders across 191 countries. It cleared at a price 60% above Aztec’s floor, demonstrating strong demand discovery through the mechanism.

Once a CCA closes, liquidity routes automatically into a Uniswap pool. Projects therefore get both price discovery and a bootstrapped trading pair from a single workflow. This end-to-end flow reduces the technical steps teams previously needed to manage separately.

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Track Record and What the Tool Offers Teams

The CCA mechanism already has a verified track record before the no-code interface launched. Cap Labs’ $CAP auction drew 1,002 unique bids and closed 5.5x oversubscribed. It cleared at a $106 million fully diluted valuation, pulling in $16.4 million in total commitments.

STRATO also ran a CCA that became the fourth largest in Uniswap’s history. Both auctions ran before Uniswap made the no-code setup available to teams. The results show the mechanism can attract meaningful participation even without simplified tooling.

The no-code flow now guides teams through four steps: adding token information, configuring the auction, customizing the liquidity pool, and launching.

Uniswap posted a walkthrough of the setup sequence on Wednesday. A dedicated @UniswapAuctions account also tracks live auctions and outcomes in real time.

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The tool lowers the barrier for projects that previously needed developer resources to run token launches. Teams can now manage the entire process from a browser with no code required.

As token launch competition grows, Uniswap’s onchain-native approach offers a structured alternative to existing platforms.

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Aave's Kulechov Disputes Report, Says Firm Won't Sell AAVE at '70%' Discount

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Aave's Kulechov Disputes Report, Says Firm Won't Sell AAVE at '70%' Discount


Aave founder Stani Kulechov on Thursday disputed a report that crypto exchange Kraken is in talks to take a stake in the largest decentralized lending protocol, saying the team would not sell its AAVE tokens cheaply. "First off, there is NO WAY we'd sell AAVE at a 70% discount lol," Kulechov wrote… Read the full story at The Defiant

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a16z-backed crypto firm rebrands, shifts focus to solving AI’s global copyright headache

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a16z-backed crypto firm rebrands, shifts focus to solving AI’s global copyright headache


The startup formerly known as Story Protocol raised $140 million to secure internet rights and is now building an audit layer for data consent, licensing, and provenance for tech firms.

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