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Bitcoin price jumps 5% to $74,400 on Iran hopes

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Bitcoin leverage jumps as open interest spikes near $70k

The bitcoin price surged more than 5 percent Tuesday morning to touch $74,901 before settling around $74,400, its highest level since March 17, after Trump signaled Iran may be interested in resuming peace talks and CENTCOM clarified the naval blockade would not impede non-Iranian shipping through the Strait.

Summary

  • Bloomberg reported bitcoin climbed to $74,901 at 8:30 AM Singapore time before paring to around $74,400, while Ether rose 5 percent to $2,370 and XRP gained alongside the broader crypto market rally.
  • The rally was triggered by Trump’s comments suggesting Iran had expressed interest in returning to negotiations, combined with CENTCOM’s clarification that the blockade targets only Iranian-port traffic rather than all Strait of Hormuz shipping.
  • The move liquidated short positions across the crypto derivatives market, echoing the pattern from April 7 when the original ceasefire announcement cleared $427 million in leveraged short bets and sent bitcoin from $68,500 to $72,700 in hours.

The same diplomatic signal dynamic that drove the April 7 ceasefire rally is at work again: every credible hint of de-escalation produces a fast and sharp crypto repricing because the market has been systematically short through the conflict. A full peace deal or ceasefire extension before April 22 would likely produce a larger move. Market analyst Sam Daodu outlined a $75,000 to $80,000 range as the target if new talks produce even a temporary agreement, and a path toward $100,000 by year-end if a full deal materializes and oil returns toward pre-war levels near $65 to $70 per barrel.

Monday opened with bitcoin at $70,741 as the naval blockade went live and oil touched $104. Tuesday opened at $74,400 as the same geopolitical situation produced a different signal. The difference was a single item: Trump’s suggestion that Iran wants to talk. That is the level of hair-trigger sensitivity the bitcoin market has developed to Iran war headlines. The directional trade is simple: war progress down, peace progress up, with each swing amplified by the short-heavy positioning that has built up over 46 consecutive days of extreme fear.

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Why Ethereum’s 5% Gain Matters

Ether rising 5 percent to $2,370 alongside bitcoin is a signal that this rally has broader risk-on characteristics rather than being a bitcoin-specific move. When only bitcoin rallies during geopolitical relief, it reflects safe-haven rotation within crypto. When Ether, XRP, and altcoins rally together, it reflects genuine risk appetite returning across the asset class. The CLARITY Act markup window opening this week adds a crypto-specific regulatory tailwind on top of the geopolitical relief signal.

What the Market Is Watching to Hold $74,400

The critical question is whether the rally holds or fades if Iran makes no formal statement about resuming talks. The $75,000 to $76,100 level is the next meaningful resistance, corresponding to the February swing high before the war broke out. A daily close above that level would signal a full technical reversal of the war-driven selloff. Without a confirmed diplomatic development, the market is vulnerable to a return to the $70,000 to $71,000 range on any negative Iran headline.

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Crypto World

HYPE Hits $45 But Spot Demand Lags Price

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Cryptocurrencies, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch

Hyperliquid’s native token HYPE (HYPE) re-tested $45 on Tuesday, marking its highest value since October 31, 2025. The rally extends a 108% rally from its yearly low at $21 on Jan. 21.

With HYPE price pushing toward all-time highs, market demand signals remain mixed, as weak spot buying activity threatens to slow the rally’s momentum.

Cryptocurrencies, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch
HYPE/USDT on the one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

HYPE price trend and onchain data diverge

HYPE currently trades 26% below its all-time high of $59, with relatively thin resistance between the current levels and its peak. The next liquidity zone lies between $52 and $48 and could be reached if momentum sustains. However, the HYPE spot and futures trading data suggest the rally is not entirely conviction-driven.

The spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) has gradually declined to -$41.48 million, even as prices have risen. This divergence suggests the rally is being supported more by passive demand without aggressive spot buying.

Meanwhile, the futures CVD has stayed mostly flat near -$748 million over the past month, after recovering from lows near -$900 million.

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Cryptocurrencies, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch
HYPE price, aggregated spot volume, futures volume, and funding rate. Source: velo.chart

The open interest (OI) has risen steadily to $1.38 billion, near local highs and signaling an increased market participation.

However, rising OI alongside weak futures CVD suggests traders may be in positions without strong conviction in the bullish price trend.

As a result, the market may become more vulnerable to sharp, liquidation-driven moves once the bullish trend fades.

Related: Tether launches self-custodial wallet with cloud backup option

BitMEX founder say HYPE may gain 200% by August

In March, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said HYPE could reach $150 if Hyperliquid expands its dominance in the futures market and its product suite.

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Hayes’ thesis centers on the continued market-share gains from centralized exchanges and the rising protocol revenue.

Hyperliquid’s 30-day annualized revenue run rate stood at $843 million in March, and it would need to reach $1.4 billion by August. That implies a 66% increase within five months.

Hyperliquid allocates up to 97% of its revenue to buying HYPE from the open market, creating a direct link between trading activity and token demand.

HIP-3, a protocol upgrade enabling trading of non-crypto assets like commodities, contributes close to 10% of revenue and could drive further expansion, especially as assets like gold and oil gain traction on the platform.

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The real-world asset (RWA) trading activity on Hyperliquid has also accelerated sharply, with open interest rising to $2.3 billion on April 6. This marks an increase of over 190% from March levels and nearly 800% from early-year lows.

This growth pace for the protocol and its market-share gains could play a key role in any extended price move for the altcoin. 

Related: XRP consolidation may transform into explosive rally if $1.40 is topped: Data

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