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Bitcoin price outlook as over $14 billion in BTC options expire today

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Bitcoin price is trading over an ascending trendline support on the daily chart.

Bitcoin price fell below the $70,000 mark as traders prepared for a massive Bitcoin options expiry set to occur later today.

Summary

  • Bitcoin price slipped to $69,990 ahead of a $18.6 billion crypto options expiry on Deribit, with BTC options accounting for over $14.1 billion in open interest.
  • The $75,000 max pain level remains a key magnet as market makers may attempt to steer prices higher to minimize payout obligations.
  • Technical indicators remain supportive, but $71,000 resistance and $69,000 support will likely dictate short-term price direction.

According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price fell roughly 2.5% to $69,990 last check on Friday, March 27, after bulls faced rejection at the $72,000 psychological resistance.

Bitcoin’s price drop can mainly be attributed to market sentiment turning cautious ahead of a massive $18.6 billion options expiry across the crypto market on the crypto exchange Deribit at 08:00 UTC. Out of the total market, Bitcoin options alone account for over $14.1 billion, which represents nearly 40% of the platform’s total open interest.

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For context, options are contracts that allow traders to buy or sell an asset at a set price by a specific date. A call option gives the holder the right to buy the asset, while a put option provides the right to sell it.

As such, a Bitcoin options contract gives investors the ability to hedge against volatility or speculate on future price movements. However, traders do not necessarily have to purchase the underlying asset if the price movement does not favor their position.

According to Deribit’s data, the maximum pain price, where the most options would expire and become worthless, lies at $75,000 at a key psychological resistance level.

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Analysts note that Bitcoin, currently trading just around $70,000, could gradually move toward the $75,000 level as large institutions or market makers with significant capital attempt to steer the spot price closer to this level in order to minimize payout obligations.

The massive options expiry falls on the same date when U.S. President Donald Trump has set a potential deal with Iran to end the ongoing conflict between them in the Middle East. This follows after Trump revealed that the U.S. would be postponing a military strike on Iran’s infrastructure after he communicated with diplomatic channels, despite Iran’s previous denials of such negotiations.

Today’s massive expiry also coincides with a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission deadline for 91 crypto ETF filings that could further reshape the institutional landscape.

During previous cycles when large amounts of options expired, the crypto market crashed. However, this time, it remains to be seen if the market will hold steady, especially if the U.S.-Iran deal successfully eases global tension.

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On the daily chart, Bitcoin price has respected an ascending trendline that has been acting as a dynamic support for price since its drop in February. As long as Bitcoin price remains above this diagonal floor, it could stay firmly on a bullish path toward new all-time highs.

Bitcoin price is trading over an ascending trendline support on the daily chart.
Bitcoin price is trading over an ascending trendline support on the daily chart — March 26 | Source: crypto.news

The SuperTrend indicator showed a green signal on the daily timeframe, which means the broader market trend is still considered positive for buyers. Furthermore, the Chaikin Money Flow index is close to turning positive, a sign that institutional buying pressure is beginning to outweigh selling volume.

For now, $71,000 is the key psychological hurdle that traders will be keeping an eye on during the London and New York sessions. A decisive break above this could trigger a short squeeze that sends BTC price rapidly toward the max pain zone.

On the contrary, $69,000, which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, could serve as the final line of defense for bulls before a deeper correction toward the $65,000 region.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Charles Schwab Announces Rollout of Spot BTC and ETH Trading for Retail Clients

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Charles Schwab Announces Rollout of Spot BTC and ETH Trading for Retail Clients

The $12 trillion brokerage will begin a phased rollout of Schwab Crypto, offering direct spot BTC and ETH trading to retail investors in the coming weeks.

Charles Schwab announced the planned launch of its spot crypto trading platform, Schwab Crypto, in a press release today, April 16. The platform offers Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading to Schwab’s retail clients from within the existing platform, alongside traditional investments.

The phased rollout of the platform begins in the coming weeks, and will let Schwab’s existing brokerage customers buy and hold BTC and ETH directly within their accounts, without leaving the platform. Trading will be priced at 75 basis points, per the release. The platform will also provide educational content and analysis.

Schwab first announced that it would offer retail crypto trading a year ago, stating at the time that the platform would by mid-April 2026.

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The move marks a strategic shift from Schwab’s previous indirect crypto exposure through ETFs, funds, and derivatives.

In today’s release, Schwab said that it plans to add more cryptocurrencies to the platform in the future. The brokerage also noted that it plans to enable deposits and withdrawals in the future, implying that the current product only allows for crypto buying and selling within Schwab platform.

Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB, (CSPB) will provide crypto custody for clients, while the bank has tapped Paxos for trade execution services and sub-custody, per the release.

“With Schwab Crypto, investors can access familiar cryptocurrencies within an all‑in‑one investing and banking experience, backed by an ecosystem of education, tools, resources, and support so they can make informed decisions about how crypto might fit into their broader investing goals,” Schwab’s head of digital assets, Joe Vietri, was quoted as saying in the release.

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Last November, U.S. neobank SoFi re-launched its spot crypto trading product, making it the first U.S. FDIC-insured and nationally chartered bank offering retail clients crypto trading alongside its traditional banking and investing services.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Bitcoin Set To Sync With Stocks, Possibly Chasing New Range Highs

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Bitcoin Set To Sync With Stocks, Possibly Chasing New Range Highs

Bitcoin (BTC) treaded water at Thursday’s Wall Street open as the S&P 500 reached new all-time highs.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin stays locked on $74,000 after its local highs preceded a new record for the S&P 500.

  • Analysis warns that the US midterm elections may impact the stock rally.

  • Bitcoin could follow the Nasdaq 100 higher, a trader suggests.

BTC price tripped after fresh highs from the S&P 500

Data from TradingView showed $74,000 continuing to form an intraday BTC price focus.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

US jobless claims came in marginally below expectations at 207,000 versus 213,000, pointing to the labor market withstanding current geopolitical and inflation pressures.

These followed a new record for the S&P 500, which crossed 7,000 points for the first time in history after Bitcoin hit two-month highs.

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Commenting, trading resource Mosaic Asset Company noted that the S&P had advanced by nearly 11% in the past 11 trading sessions.

“It ranks as the fifth quickest recovery to record highs following a deep pullback,” it wrote in its latest “Mosaic Chart Alerts” update. 

“The S&P closed firmly above the 7,000 level for the first time in history despite the ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East that sparked a 9% drawdown in the index into late March.”

S&P 500 one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Gold dipped to intraday lows and WTI crude oil eyed $94 per barrel as markets awaited further cues over the US-Iran war.

QCP, meanwhile, warned that seasonal trends could still end the stock rally as the US entered midterm elections. The S&P 500, it noted, “tends to find its peak about now ahead of mid-term elections, and then recovering during the final quarter of the year.”

“I would not base any investment decision or outlook based on seasonals alone, which is why I’m also watching confirmation from breadth,” it cautioned.

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S&P 500 seasonality data. Source: Mosaic Asset Company

Trader sees “opportunity” in Bitcoin versus Nasdaq

With BTC price action finding resistance near its range highs, market participants eyed exchange order-book liquidity for clues as to where the next showdown could come.

Related: Bitcoin can grow ‘probably a lot bigger’ than $30T+ gold market — Analysis

“The price bucket at $72.2K – 72.4K has a large amount of open interest that has slowly accumulated,” Shubh Varma, CEO of crypto data platform Hyblock, told Cointelegraph on the day.

“We’ve seen this level where traders are often active, entering and exiting. Most recently, about $100 million longs and shorts opened here, bringing the total close to $400 million at that price bucket, over the last seven days (on Binance stablecoin perps).”

Varma added that this could form “an area to watch as potential support if price revisits it, as many of these longs and shorts may exit at breakeven ‘psychological’ level.”

BTC/USDT perpetual contract open interest data. Source: Hyblock

Continuing the stocks theme, crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe flagged Bitcoin’s relationship with the Nasdaq-100 index as a cause for optimism going forward.

“Bitcoin is about to follow Nasdaq,” he told X followers. 

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“The reason for this is quite simple: the correlation has been significantly strong most of the time. This period? The weakest correlation in the past 10 years.”

BTC/USD vs. Nasdaq 100 futures one-week chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Van de Poppe eyed a “tremendous opportunity” for Bitcoin buyers, having recently seen a similar bullish setup in Bitcoin versus gold.