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Bitcoin Spot Demand Surges as War Tensions Shake Global Markets

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Bitcoin Trading at 41% Discount, Power-Law Model Shows $122K Fair Value


Unleveraged buyers and ETF inflows pushed Bitcoin higher even as geopolitical uncertainty rattled global markets.

Bitcoin’s spot market demand strengthened over the weekend as rising war tensions unsettled global financial markets. The increase in spot buying helped stabilize prices after recent declines and kept BTC relatively firm during the broader market pullback.

Market data shows that this support is coming mainly from unleveraged buyers rather than derivatives activity. Analysts say the shift reduces downside risk in the near term, even as geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures persist.

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Spot Buyers Step In as Bitcoin Climbs the Wall of Worry

A recent report from Bitfinex noted that spot buyers have actively supported Bitcoin since March 1. These buyers accumulated about $3.5 billion through steady purchases, mainly during late Asian and U.S. trading hours.

This wave of demand pushed BTC back above $65,000 and marked what analysts describe as a “wall of worry” phase. In it, prices climb even as uncertainty and external risks dominate market sentiment.

Meanwhile, derivatives data shows open interest moving in line with spot volumes at a balanced 1:1 ratio. The pattern suggests the rally is driven by genuine accumulation rather than leveraged trades or short-term speculation.

Further support came from the Coinbase Premium Index, which turned positive after a prolonged negative streak. The index has maintained a modest premium, signaling continued demand from U.S. market participants.

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Additionally, the defense of the $60,000 support level has reinforced Bitcoin’s transition into an expansion phase. Market participation has increased, and perpetual funding rates remain moderate and well below overheated levels, indicating a balanced and sustainable environment.

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ETF Inflows Reinforce Bitcoin’s Market Recovery

Notably, U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds contributed significantly to the shift by reversing earlier outflows. 

According to Bitfinex, strong inflows last week helped absorb selling pressure from miners and long-term holders. For context, March 4 saw $461.9 million in net flows, and week-to-date figures through March 5 have already exceeded $1.14 billion.

These inflows have reinforced key technical levels. Bitfinex highlights $77,400 as a major resistance area and $54,100 as core support based on historical cycles. They also note Bitcoin’s correlation with Nasdaq and geopolitical risks tied to the Strait of Hormuz, which could influence near-term volatility.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Miners Start Unwinding BTC Treasuries as Industry Strains

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Bitcoin Miners Start Unwinding BTC Treasuries as Industry Strains

Bitcoin mining companies have offloaded a sizable portion of their Bitcoin reserves in recent months, signaling a shift away from the self-treasury strategy that dominated the industry during the 2024–2025 market upcycle.

According to TheEnergyMag’s Miner Weekly newsletter, publicly listed miners have sold more than 15,000 Bitcoin (BTC) since October. That month marked the market’s peak before a historic flash crash triggered widespread deleveraging across the industry.

Several large miners contributed to the sell-off. The newsletter highlighted Cango’s February sale of 4,451 BTC, equal to roughly 60% of its reserves, as well as Bitdeer, which reportedly liquidated its entire Bitcoin treasury last month. 

It also pointed to Riot Platforms’ multiple BTC sales in December and Core Scientific’s plan to sell roughly 2,500 BTC during the first quarter.

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Data compiled by TheEnergyMag suggests miners’ treasury sales have accelerated since October. Source: Miner Weekly

MARA Holdings, the largest publicly traded Bitcoin mining company, drew attention this week after updated regulatory filings indicated it may both buy and sell Bitcoin to maintain flexibility and optionality.

Markets initially focused on the potential for sales, prompting vice president Robert Samuels to clarify the company’s position that the filing allows flexible sales but does not signal a majority liquidation.

MARA currently holds more than 53,000 BTC, making it the second-largest public corporate holder of Bitcoin, behind Michael Saylor’s Strategy.

Related: Bitcoin mining’s 2026 reckoning: AI pivots, margin pressure and a fight to survive

Mining companies shift strategy as margins tighten

Bitcoin miners’ recent sales mark a sharp departure from earlier cycle trends, when many companies adopted a de facto “treasury strategy” by holding a larger share of their self-mined BTC on their balance sheets.

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At the time, research from Digital Mining Solutions and BitcoinMiningStock.io suggested the holding pattern reflected expectations of further price appreciation. It also coincided with efforts by several miners to strengthen their financial footing while expanding into adjacent businesses such as AI infrastructure, high-performance computing and data center services.

Industry conditions have deteriorated since October, however, with some observers describing the current environment as the harshest margin squeeze on record for mining companies.

The pressure has begun to show on balance sheets. CleanSpark, for example, repaid its Bitcoin-backed credit line in full, a move the company said was aimed at reducing financial risk amid tightening industry margins.

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Related: American Bitcoin boosts hashrate with 11,298 new mining machines