Crypto World
Bitcoin Surges to $69.5K on ETF Inflows, US Macroeconomic Boost
Bitcoin (BTC) rallied to a weekly high of $69,500 on Wednesday, surging from lows near $62,400 in less than 24 hours. The rebound aligned with a renewed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows and firmer macroeconomic sentiment after the recent US policy signals helped steady broader risk markets.
Derivatives data shows that BTC’s open interest is falling and funding rates are staying relatively contained, indicating the move was largely driven by spot demand rather than a buildup of leveraged positioning.

Bitcoin receives a macro boost and a positive ETF flip
US President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address on Tuesday evening framed the first 12-months of his leadership as an “economic turnaround for the ages,” highlighting falling mortgage rates and a 1.7% decline in core inflation over the final three months of 2025.
Markets interpreted the remarks as a sign of reduced near-term policy uncertainty following tariff and Supreme Court volatility, lifting the risk appetite across equities and crypto.
The US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $257.7 million in net inflows on Feb. 24, ending five consecutive weeks of redemptions totaling $3.8 billion. Fidelity drew roughly $83 million, and BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust added close to $79 million.
Related: Bitcoin daily gains near 5% as analysis eyes bullish ‘rotation’ from gold
Bitcoin futures data clears excess downside risk
As Bitcoin trades above $69,000, futures data shows that its aggregated open interest has stabilized around 235,167 BTC, after previously reaching levels above 240,000 BTC earlier in the week.
The drop in open interest suggests that the excess leveraged positioning has already been flushed out during the recent volatility.

At the same time, aggregated funding rates remain slightly negative at -0.0037%. Negative funding indicates that short positions are still paying longs, signaling that traders are not aggressively chasing upside exposure despite the price rally.
This combination of cooling open interest and negative-to-neutral funding points to a market that has reset leverage rather than overheated. The rally toward $69,000 appears to be occurring without an aggressive buildup of long positioning.
The cumulative volume delta (CVD) has edged higher, showing that spot buyers are stepping in and are one of the primary drivers of this rally.
Market analyst BackQuant noted that derivatives activity is still playing a large role, and options data shows that dealers, the firms that sell options and hedge their exposure, are holding what’s known as positive gamma.
When gamma is positive, dealers tend to buy as the price falls and sell as the price rises to stay hedged. That behavior can smooth out volatility and slow sharp breakouts in either direction.
Likewise, trader LP also pointed to BTC’s order book dynamics around the $60,000–$63,000 region, where strong bid pressure previously absorbed selling. Since tapping that zone, the price has expanded roughly 8% to the upside.

The trader added that if sell pressure builds again at these levels, it may signal a slowdown in buy-side aggression and trigger another lower reversal.
Related: Anchorage buys STRC as Wall Street shorts mount against Saylor’s Bitcoin proxy
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto World
rises 3% after earnings beat, lifting AI miners CIFR, IREN, WULF,
Nvidia(NVDA), the world’s largest public company by market value and bellwether for the AI sector, once again topped Wall Street expectations for the fourth quarter, reporting results after the close of U.S. markets on Wednesday.
The chipmaker beat estimates, reporting revenue of $68.1 billion, a 73% increase from a year earlier, as continued AI-related capital spending fueled strong demand for its chips. It also reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.62, beating estimates. Wall Street analysts expected Nvidia to report approximately $66.1 billion in revenue and $1.54 in adjusted EPS, according to FactSet data.
Shares rose nearly 3% in post-market trading on Wednesday following the earnings release.
Investors are now focused on guidance. Nvidia expects first-quarter revenue of around $78 billion, up from analyst expectations of $72.9 billion, setting the tone for the next phase of AI-driven growth.
The chip-making giant also said that its Data Center revenue for the fourth quarter was a record $62.3 billion, up 75% from a year ago and up 22% from the prior quarter, driven by the “major platform shifts – accelerated computing and AI.”
“Today’s report is a strong pushback against the narrative that hyperscaler AI growth could start fading into 2027,” said Thomas Monteiro, senior analyst at Investing.com. “The roughly 75% surge in data center revenue further reinforces that hyperscaler AI infrastructure deployment remains firmly in expansion mode.”
Following the results and outlook, bitcoin remained at session highs around $69,500 after a 10% rally from Tuesday’s lows. AI-focused crypto tokens such as Bittensor (TAO) and Internet Computer (ICP) added to their gains.
Crypto miners, increasingly linked to AI and high-performance computing infrastructure, also saw modest gains following Nvidia’s report. IREN (IREN), Cipher Digital (CIFR), and TeraWulf (WULF were 1%-2% higher in after-hours trading.
The company will host a conference call at 5 p.m. ET, where investors will be listening closely for further signals on the next phase of the AI infrastructure buildout.
UPDATE (Feb. 25, 22:10 UTC): Adds analyst comment.
Crypto World
Chicago Crypto Lender Loses $75 Million, CEO Steps Down
Crypto liquidity firm BlockFills suspended withdrawals after $75 million losses and CEO Nicholas Hammer stepped down.
Blockfills is a Chicago-based crypto liquidity provider and lender that primarily serves institutional clients such as hedge funds, asset managers, and high-net-worth trading firms.
Why It Matters
- Institutional crypto lender losses can restrict liquidity for hedge funds, traders, and asset managers.
- Withdrawal freezes raise solvency concerns and counterparty risk across crypto markets.
- Leadership exits and sale efforts signal financial distress at a major institutional trading firm.
The Details
- BlockFills co-founder and CEO Nicholas Hammer stepped down in February 2026.
- The company appointed Joseph Perry as interim CEO.
- BlockFills suspended client deposits and withdrawals on Feb. 11, 2026.
- The firm reported approximately $75 million in losses tied to its crypto lending operations.
- Losses occurred after crypto collateral backing loans fell in value during market declines.
- Some clients received warnings to withdraw assets before the freeze.
- Customer deposits and withdrawals remain halted as of late February 2026.
- BlockFills is actively seeking a buyer or strategic investor.
- The firm operates from Chicago and serves institutional crypto trading clients globally.
The Big Picture
- BlockFills provides liquidity, lending, and trading infrastructure to institutional crypto clients.
- Crypto lenders face losses when falling asset prices reduce collateral coverage on loans.
- Similar lending failures previously triggered collapses at Celsius, Voyager, and Genesis.
- Institutional crypto markets remain exposed to liquidity stress during volatile price cycles.
- Firms increasingly pursue acquisitions or restructuring after lending losses reduce available capital.
Crypto World
XRP Price Prediction: Whales Are Dumping Millions, Is XRP About to Crash Below $1?
Whales just moved size onto Binance, maybe to sell? Under these conditions, even small moves affect XRP price prediction.
More than 31M XRP, worth about $45M, were transferred to the exchange in a single day, with large holder wallets driving most of the flow. That is not retail noise. It is a meaningful supply potentially preparing to sell.

Big exchange inflows often signal distribution. When coins leave cold storage and hit order books, sell-side pressure increases immediately.
This comes while XRP is hovering in the mid $1.30 range, trying to stabilize after recent volatility. At the same time, longer-term headlines remain constructive, creating a clear divergence between narrative and on-chain behavior.
If buyers absorb this supply, the structure holds. If similar inflows continue, downside risk grows fast.
XRP Price Prediction: Is XRP About to Crash Below $1?
XRP just bounced again from the $1.30 support, and it is still trading above the old descending channel. That matters.
The channel capped price for weeks, so staying above it keeps the breakout valid instead of turning it into a fake move.

As long as XRP prints higher lows above $1.30 and holds outside the channel, the short-term bias stays constructive.
The first upside test sits near $1.61. Clear that with strength and $1.90 comes back into play, with $2.10 and $2.50 as broader swing targets if momentum expands.
But $1.30 is carrying the structure right now. Another weak bounce would show fatigue, and a clean breakdown could open the path toward $1.10.
For now, holding $1.30 and the reclaimed channel keep the bullish setup alive. Lose both, and the breakout story starts to fade.
SUBBD (SUBBD) Gives Creators the Chance to Monetize AI-Generated Content
SUBBD ($SUBBD) is reshaping how creators make, share, and monetize their work by merging AI tools with blockchain technology in one seamless platform.
Instead of jumping between a bunch of apps to create, edit, and post content, SUBBD keeps everything in one place. One ecosystem, fewer headaches.
At the center of it all is the $SUBBD token. It powers the whole experience for both creators and users. It makes paying for subscriptions and exclusive content simple, and it gives holders perks like governance rights, staking rewards, and access to premium tools.
With over 2,000 influencers already on board and a combined audience of 250 million, the upside potential for $SUBBD is starting to look hard to ignore.
You can buy $SUBBD at its discounted presale price of $0.057520 by visiting the official SUBBD website.
Link up your wallet (e.g., Best Wallet) and either swap USDT or ETH for this token or use a bank card to invest.
Visit the Official SUBBD Website Here
The post XRP Price Prediction: Whales Are Dumping Millions, Is XRP About to Crash Below $1? appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Shiba Inu price outlook: analysts project a potential 400% surge
- Shiba Inu (SHIB) faces short-term pressure from large exchange inflows.
- The key support lies at $0.0000060, while the immediate resistance lies near $0.0000066.
- Long-term forecasts project potential gains up to 400%.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) price has seen an uptick, trading at around $0.0000064 after gaining over 7% in 24 hours.
Despite this movement, short-term dynamics suggest caution.
A significant portion of SHIB tokens, totalling hundreds of billions, has recently flowed into centralised exchanges.
Such large inflows often indicate potential selling pressure.
This means the market could see a downward push if buyers do not absorb the increased supply.
Adding to the caution, technical indicators point to weakening momentum.
SHIB recently formed a death cross on shorter timeframes, where a faster-moving average crossed below a slower one.
This pattern historically signals bearish pressure in the short term.

The support near $0.0000060 has become a key pivot point.
If this level holds, SHIB may stabilise, but a breach could trigger further declines toward $0.0000057 or lower.
Resistance remains at around $0.0000066, a level that must be cleared for buyers to regain control.
On-chain trends and market sentiment
Beyond price action, on-chain data shows a growing number of tokens being held on exchanges.
This indicates that many holders are prepared to sell, adding to market uncertainty.
At the same time, the market has shown resilience.
Small rallies have occurred even as selling pressure builds, suggesting that some investors remain confident.
Liquidity is limited, however, which can exaggerate price swings in either direction.
The short-term picture remains fragile, and momentum is likely to be influenced by market sentiment and broader cryptocurrency trends.
Long-term Shiba Inu price projections
Looking beyond the immediate fluctuations, analysts remain optimistic about SHIB’s potential.
JAVO MARKS projects that the meme coin could rise as high as $0.00005 by late 2026, which represents an increase of more than 400% from current levels.
With $SHIB‘s RSI making Higher Lows and its prices making Lower Lows, this is considered a regular bullish divergence in technical analysis and suggests a strong possibility for a bullish reversal!
A reversal can result in Shiba Inu recovering over 400% into the $0.000035 areas! pic.twitter.com/mzD0SFX2m2
— JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) February 16, 2026
Several factors could contribute to this bullish outlook.
One of those factors could be a broader crypto market upswing, which could lift altcoins and memecoins like SHIB.
Regulatory clarity and adoption of cryptocurrencies by institutions may also provide a boost.
These catalysts, combined with continued community support, create a framework for long-term growth.
Despite this, experts caution that short-term technical weaknesses could limit immediate gains.
Price stability and strong support at key levels will be crucial for sustaining any rally.
The token’s speculative nature and its dependence on market cycles mean that volatility is likely to continue.
If the bullish catalysts materialise, SHIB could deliver substantial gains, but the path may be uneven.
For now, the market will likely navigate a mix of uncertainty and opportunity, reflecting the unique position Shiba Inu holds in the crypto space.
Crypto World
Billionaire Alan Howard’s crypto incubator WebN closes down
WebN Group, the blockchain and Web3 incubator backed by billionaire Alan Howard, is closing its doors after seeding a clutch of digital infrastructure startups over the past several years, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Most recently, the venture studio backed tokenization specialist Libre (now called KAIO), crypto staking shop Twinstake, blockchain infrastructure firm TruFin and zero-knowledge proofs startup Geometry.
In addition to Howard, WebN also received an undisclosed investment from Japanese bank Nomura’s crypto partnership, Laser Digital, back in 2023.
The incubator was described as having “successfully completed its mission” the person said. Some of the staff who worked at WebN moved across to work at Brevan Howard, the hedge fund founded by Howard, they said.
The decision to close down the WebN incubator has no bearing on Howard’s digital asset aspirations, said the person, who is close to the situation at WebN.
“Those who know Alan, know that he has long been convinced that blockchain technology would be used in traditional markets,” the person said.
The last 12 months have been a challenging time for crypto-exposed firms. Brevan Howard’s digital asset fund lost almost 30% last year, according to a report in the Financial Times. This follows gains of 52% in 2024 and 43% the year before.
Like many other hedge funds, Brevan Howard has trimmed its bitcoin ETF positions, cutting holdings of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust by some 85%, according to data from Bloomberg and CF Benchmarks.
2025 also saw the departure of BH Digital CEO Gautam Sharma, who had been overseeing crypto investing at the firm for a few years. Brevan Howard also decided to spin out Nova, a hedge fund run by former Dragonfly investor Kevin Hu, who joined the firm with his own money pool in 2023 as part of an acquisition.
“Brevan Howard isn’t scared off by temporary volatility, remains bullish on digital assets and has a huge VC business focused on the broad opportunity set,” said the source.
WebN Group did not respond to requests for comment. Brevan Howard declined to comment.
Crypto World
Ethereum Foundation’s Justin Drake Unveils “Strawmap” Roadmap With Seven Forks Planned Through 2029
TLDR:
- Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake proposed roughly seven protocol forks through 2029 on a six-month cadence.
- The EF protocol team targets 1 gigagas/sec L1 throughput via zkEVMs, equating to approximately 10,000 transactions per second.
- High-throughput L2 via data availability sampling aims to support up to 10 million transactions per second across Layer 2 networks.
- The strawmap introduces post-quantum cryptography and native privacy-preserving ETH transfers as long-term first-class protocol goals.
Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake has released a protocol document called the “strawmap,” proposed by the EF protocol team.
The plan outlines roughly seven forks through 2029, operating on a cadence of one upgrade every six months. Five long-term goals anchor the roadmap: faster L1 finality, 1 gigagas/sec throughput, high-throughput L2, post-quantum cryptography, and native privacy-preserving ETH transfers.
Drake Proposes a Six-Month Fork Cadence Through the End of the Decade
Justin Drake, a researcher at the Ethereum Foundation, put forward the strawmap as a technical coordination tool for the EF protocol team.
The document covers seven planned forks stretching from the present through 2029. It was originally drafted during an internal EF workshop held in January 2026 before being shared publicly.
Drake introduced the document on social media, writing that the strawmap is “an invitation to view L1 protocol upgrades through a holistic lens.”
By placing all proposals on a single visual, the EF protocol team aimed to present a unified perspective on Ethereum’s long-term ambitions. The time horizon extends well beyond what All Core Devs typically covers in its near-term planning cycles.
The six-month fork cadence is central to how the EF protocol team structured the strawmap. Each fork is limited to one consensus headliner and one execution headliner to keep the pace manageable.
For example, the upcoming Glamsterdam fork features ePBS and BALs as its two headliners across the respective layers.
Fork names follow a star-based naming convention on the consensus layer, with letters incrementing from Altair onward.
Upcoming forks like Glamsterdam and Hegotá carry confirmed names, while others such as I* and J* remain placeholders.
The roadmap is publicly accessible at strawmap.org and will receive at least quarterly updates as the protocol evolves.
Five Long-Term Goals Shape the EF Protocol Team’s Technical Vision
The five north stars proposed by the EF protocol team define the technical direction through the end of the decade.
Drake described them clearly: faster L1 targeting finality in seconds, 1 gigagas/sec throughput via zkEVMs, high-throughput L2 via data availability sampling, post-quantum cryptography through hash-based schemes, and native privacy-preserving ETH transfers via shielded transactions.
Each goal connects directly to specific upgrade tracks mapped across the consensus, data, and execution layers. The gigagas target of 1 gigagas/sec translates to roughly 10,000 transactions per second on L1.
The teragas L2 goal targets 1 gigabyte per second, supporting approximately 10 million transactions per second across Layer 2 networks.
Post-quantum cryptography addresses the long-term durability of Ethereum’s security model. Hash-based cryptographic schemes are the proposed mechanism for protecting the network against future quantum computing threats. This upgrade track reflects the EF protocol team’s focus on securing Ethereum well beyond the current decade.
Native privacy through shielded ETH transfers rounds out the five goals. The strawmap treats privacy as a first-class protocol feature rather than an application-layer concern.
Drake described the document as a work-in-progress living document, not a formal prediction, but a structured path proposed by the EF protocol team for advancing Ethereum’s core infrastructure.
Crypto World
Polkadot Jumps Ahead of Halving Event
DOT rises as investors look toward a coming supply cut, though analysts say the move may be driven by market sentiment.
Polkadot’s native token DOT soared on Wednesday, Feb. 25, making it the top performer among large-cap cryptocurrencies just weeks before the network’s planned supply halving.
DOT is currently trading at $1.54, up about 23% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko. The token’s market cap is near $2.6 billion, while daily trading volume has climbed above $420 million.

The rally comes as Polkadot approaches a major tokenomics change scheduled for March 14. The network plans to cut annual token issuance in half and cap the total supply at about 2.1 billion DOT. The move aims to lower inflation and make the token more scarce over time.
This upcoming change, called a “halving,” may be one reason the market is paying more attention to DOT. However, other analysts say the timing of the rally suggests it may be driven more by market sentiment than by Polkadot itself.
“We’re seeing double-digit green candles across the altcoin space. DOT just happens to be one of today’s leaders,” said Danny Nelson, a research analyst at Bitwise. “Nothing’s changed about Polkadot, its users, or its usefulness. There’s no new ‘news’ to catalyze a DOT repricing. I chalk DOT’s 20%+ surge up to market-wide speculation.”
Nelson added that investors are speculating that Bitcoin has reached its bottom. “If that’s so, then you’d certainly expect altcoins to rally, too,” he said. “You can see some positive indicators in Bitcoin’s 24-hour chart.”
Meanwhile, Brian Huang, co-founder of Glider, pointed out that trading activity has also spiked, but the reason for the move remains unclear. “The odd part is there is no clear catalyst for DOT surging today,” He said. “Because of this surge, both spot and perp volume are at their highest levels in the last three months.”
Huang added that while the supply change is important, it doesn’t take effect until mid-March, “so today’s timing feels unrelated.”
Crypto World
The Bank of England’s plan to cap stablecoin holdings is sparking an industry revolt
The U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) picked Revolut, Monee Financial Technologies, ReStabilise, and VVTX to test stablecoin issuance in its Regulatory Sandbox as regulators move toward a full rulebook.
The FCA said the cohort will trial stablecoin products in real-world conditions, with safeguards in place. The regulator plans to focus on issuance and review use cases that include payments, wholesale settlement and crypto trading. Testing begins in the first quarter of 2026, and the FCA said the results will feed into final stablecoin rules later in 2026.
“We are supporting U.K. stablecoin issuers to ensure they can be trusted for payments, settlement and trading,” said Matthew Long, director of payments and digital assets at the FCA. “It will benefit consumers and financial transactions and help to deliver the FCA’s strategy and the Government’s National Payments Vision.”
Industry pushes back
However, industry leaders have pushed back against the Bank of England’s (BoE) stablecoin caps, saying they limit innovation and prevent the U.K. from becoming the global hub it aims to be.
The BoE published a paper on Nov. 10, 2025, announcing stablecoin caps of between £5,000 and £20,000 for individuals and £1 million to £10 million for businesses. Armstrong asked U.K. users to sign a petition to Parliament for these caps to be reconsidered. The petition has 81,909 of the 100,000 required signatures.
“Stablecoin rules in the U.K. are being finalized, and are at risk of preventing the U.K. from being globally competitive in the digital economy,” Brian Armstrong, CEO and co-founder at Coinbase, wrote on X on Tuesday. He cited a Bank of England proposal to cap stablecoin holdings.
The government has repeatedly pledged to position London as a center for global digital asset activity. However, comprehensive legislation governing stablecoins and wider crypto activity is expected to be approved by parliament only later this year and won’t come into force until 2027.
The regulatory timeline contradicts U.K.’s goal of remaining globally competitive within the industry, Andrew MacKenzie, CEO of sterling stablecoin developer Agant, told CoinDesk in a recent interview at Consensus Hong Kong. He said the introduction of rules is not moving fast enough to support the aspirations of the global crypto hub.
“The U.K. has a long history of being a financial hub,” said Armstrong. “Embracing and encouraging innovation, especially when other countries are moving fast here, is important for maintaining that.”
Crypto World
Tokenized US Treasury Market Surges by $1B Since Beginning of Year
The tokenized US Treasury market has surged by over $1 billion since the beginning of 2026, despite macroeconomic uncertainty and concerns over the US government’s growing national debt.
Tokenized US Treasurys are government debt instruments that are a form of real-world assets (RWAs) represented onchain by a token.
The market capitalization of tokenized Treasurys climbed to more than $10.8 billion at the time of writing from $8.9 billion on Jan. 1, according to data from RWA.xyz.

The tokenized US Treasury market has surged 50x since 2024, according to data from Token Terminal, aided by the March 2024 debut of asset manager BlackRock’s USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL), which now has a market cap of more than $1.2 billion.
Tokenized US Treasurys continued to surge despite a broad crypto market downturn that began in October 2025, rising US government debt levels and investor uncertainty about the macroeconomic outlook in 2026.

Related: Tokenized RWAs climb 13.5% despite $1T crypto market drawdown
The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation to launch US Treasury tokenization service
The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC), which provides clearing and settlement services for global financial markets, announced plans in December 2025 to launch an asset tokenization service, beginning with US Treasurys.
DTCC will eventually expand the service to include a “broad spectrum” of assets, according CEO Frank La Salla.
“Following the tokenization of US Treasurys on the Canton network, DTCC anticipates that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and equities will come shortly thereafter,” La Salla said.
The DTCC is the largest clearinghouse in the world and settled $3.7 quadrillion in transaction volume in 2024, according to the company.
US Treasurys are considered the backbone of global and corporate finance due to the deep liquidity of the US Treasury market.
Corporations and institutional investors use short-term Treasurys, with a duration of one-year or less, as a proxy for physical cash.
The surge in tokenized US Treasurys and other US government debt could bring an influx of revenue to the blockchain networks where tokenized assets are minted, supporters of the technology say.
Magazine: TradFi is building Ethereum L2s to tokenize trillions in RWAs: Inside story
Crypto World
Bitcoin’s Dry Powder Myth Busted: Outflows – Not Buyers
Bitcoin’s Stablecoin Supply Ratio has fallen to 9.36, a level often viewed as sidelined buying power ready to deploy.
Bitcoin’s Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) has dropped to 9.36, a level historically associated with significant buying power waiting on the sidelines, but on-chain data shows this metric is flashing a false signal.
According to analyst Axel Adler Jr., the decline is being driven by capital leaving the ecosystem rather than stablecoin accumulation, which fundamentally alters how investors interpret this classic bullish indicator.
Liquidity Drain, Not Dry Powder
The SSR measures Bitcoin’s market capitalization against total stablecoin supply, with lower readings traditionally suggesting ample stablecoin liquidity available to purchase BTC. However, current conditions tell a different story.
In a February 25 brief, Adler pointed out that USDT capitalization peaked at $187.2 billion on December 30, 2025, and has since contracted to $183.6 billion, a $3.6 billion outflow over 60 days. Additionally, the 30-day change has remained negative for 34 consecutive days, now sitting at -$3.08 billion.
This matters because SSR’s mathematical decline stems from both components weakening simultaneously. Bitcoin’s market cap has dropped roughly 27% during this period, while stablecoin supply also contracted.
“Technically SSR falls mathematically because BTC market cap has collapsed, but the simultaneous contraction of USDT strips this signal of any bullish potential,” Adler explained.
The Estimated Leverage Ratio confirms the structural weakness, remaining flat around 0.219 across all exchanges for 90 days despite Bitcoin’s sharp correction. This plateau indicates speculative capital isn’t adding new risk, but crucially, isn’t shedding old risk either, thus creating potential for cascading liquidations on further downside.
Aged Supply, Absent Buyers
Bitcoin’s recent price action reflects the fragility described above, with the asset briefly falling below $63,000 on February 24 before recovering to current levels around $65,400. This price represents a dip of more than 25% across the last 30 days and nearly 27% over one year.
You may also like:
HODL Waves data published recently also revealed a defensive market structure beneath the price action. Coins last moved 3 to 6 months ago now comprise approximately 26% of the circulating supply, up from 19% earlier this month.
These correspond to purchases near the November 2025 peak above $120,000, now held at a loss. Meanwhile, the 6 to 12 month cohort has grown to about 20%, while coins moved within the past month account for less than 10% of supply.
Furthermore, the Realized Cap Net Position Change confirms capital exiting the network, standing at -2.26% over 30 days with $33 billion in value compression since late November.
The distinction between SSR decline through outflow versus accumulation carries real implications. According to Adler, for a genuine trend reversal, two things must happen at the same time: the 30-day USDT change returning to sustained positive territory (confirming fresh capital inflow) and ELR beginning to rise during price stabilization. Until then, the analyst says Bitcoin’s low SSR represents not opportunity, but the mathematical residue of capital departure.
Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).
LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!
-
Video6 days agoXRP News: XRP Just Entered a New Phase (Almost Nobody Noticed)
-
Politics4 days agoBaftas 2026: Awards Nominations, Presenters And Performers
-
Fashion5 days agoWeekend Open Thread: Boden – Corporette.com
-
Sports2 days agoWomen’s college basketball rankings: Iowa reenters top 10, Auriemma makes history
-
Politics2 days agoNick Reiner Enters Plea In Deaths Of Parents Rob And Michele
-
Sports7 days agoClearing the boundary, crossing into history: J&K end 67-year wait, enter maiden Ranji Trophy final | Cricket News
-
Crypto World2 days agoXRP price enters “dead zone” as Binance leverage hits lows
-
Business3 days agoMattel’s American Girl brand turns 40, dolls enter a new era
-
Business3 days agoLaw enforcement kills armed man seeking to enter Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort, officials say
-
Tech1 day agoUnsurprisingly, Apple's board gets what it wants in 2026 shareholder meeting
-
NewsBeat2 days ago‘Hourly’ method from gastroenterologist ‘helps reduce air travel bloating’
-
Tech3 days agoAnthropic-Backed Group Enters NY-12 AI PAC Fight
-
NewsBeat3 days agoArmed man killed after entering secure perimeter of Mar-a-Lago, Secret Service says
-
Politics3 days agoMaine has a long track record of electing moderates. Enter Graham Platner.
-
NewsBeat24 hours agoPolice latest as search for missing woman enters day nine
-
Crypto World24 hours agoEntering new markets without increasing payment costs
-
Sports2 days ago
2026 NFL mock draft: WRs fly off the board in first round entering combine week
-
Crypto World6 days ago83% of Altcoins Enter Bear Trend as Liquidity Crunch Tightens Grip on Crypto Market
-
Business1 day agoTrue Citrus debuts functional drink mix collection
-
Business1 day agoWBD says Paramount makes higher bid, board will weigh offer against Netflix deal

