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‘Bitcoin to zero’ searches just hit a record. Could it happen?

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46% of Bitcoin supply now in loss, near 2022 bear levels

Something revealing is happening on Google.

Summary

  • U.S. searches for “Bitcoin to zero” reached a record as fear intensified during the market decline.
  • Bitcoin reaching zero would require a fatal technical failure, total abandonment, or an effective worldwide ban.
  • Its distributed ownership, mining infrastructure, ETFs, corporate holdings, and liquidity make complete abandonment highly improbable.
  • Record fear searches are a sentiment signal and have historically appeared closer to bottoms than market tops.

Searches for the phrase “Bitcoin to zero” have surged to the highest level ever recorded in the United States, hitting a peak score of 100 on Google Trends, stronger than the panic spikes of the 2022 collapse and the 2025 drawdowns.

The query is a window into the crypto market’s collective psychology in mid-2026: with Bitcoin down sharply from its highs, the Fear and Greed Index buried in extreme fear, and the longest Bitcoin ETF outflow streak on record, a growing number of people are typing the most existential question a holder can ask into a search bar.

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Could Bitcoin actually go to zero?

It is a fair question, and it deserves a serious answer instead of either reflexive dismissal or doom-mongering.

The honest response requires separating what would truly have to happen for Bitcoin to reach zero from the panic that drives people to search for it, and understanding why the record-breaking fear in the search data is, historically, more likely a contrarian signal than a prophecy.

This piece takes the question seriously, walks through the actual scenarios that could send Bitcoin to zero and why each is improbable, and explains what the search surge really tells us.

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What the search data is actually showing

Start with the signal itself, because the “Bitcoin to zero” search spike is remarkable and worth understanding before judging what it means.

According to Google Trends data, U.S. searches for “Bitcoin to zero” climbed to a peak score of 100, the maximum on Google’s relative scale, marking the highest level on record.

This is not a modest uptick.

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The phrase has spiked during previous market drawdowns, including the 2022 bear market and briefly in 2025, but the current surge is stronger than those previous peaks.

That means more people are searching for Bitcoin’s potential demise now than at any point in its history, including during the FTX collapse.

For most of 2023 and early 2024, interest in the phrase remained muted, reflecting calmer markets.

The sudden record-breaking rise reflects acute retail anxiety as Bitcoin consolidates after a sharp decline.

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The context explains the fear.

Bitcoin has fallen substantially from its cycle high, the Fear and Greed Index has registered readings deep in extreme fear, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs bled through a record 13-day outflow streak draining billions, and the broader market shed hundreds of billions in a matter of days.

For a retail investor watching their portfolio collapse amid a relentlessly negative news cycle, “Is this going to zero?” is the natural question, and the search data captures millions of people asking it simultaneously.

The spike is a direct readout of peak retail fear, the moment when the emotional bottom feels closest.

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Here is the first and most important thing to understand about that signal: peak-fear searches have historically clustered near market bottoms, not before further collapses.

The same behavioral pattern that drives the Fear and Greed Index applies to search behavior.

People search “Bitcoin to zero” when they are most afraid, and they are most afraid after prices have already fallen hard, which is precisely when much of the selling has already occurred.

The record-breaking nature of the current search spike, stronger than 2022 or 2025, is therefore as easily read as a sign of capitulation-level fear as a warning of imminent doom.

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The intensity of the “Bitcoin to zero” searches is, paradoxically, one of the better contrarian arguments that Bitcoin is not going to zero.

But to make that case properly, the scenarios must be examined.

What would have to happen for Bitcoin to reach zero

To answer the question seriously, it is necessary to ask what “Bitcoin to zero” would actually require, because zero is a specific and extreme outcome, not just a big further decline.

For Bitcoin to reach zero, it would need to become genuinely worthless, held by no one, used by no one, and valued by no one.

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Walking through the scenarios that could produce that outcome reveals how high the bar is.

The first scenario is a fatal technical failure.

Bitcoin could, in theory, go to zero if its underlying technology catastrophically and irreparably broke: a flaw that allowed the supply to be counterfeited at will, a break in its cryptography, or a failure of its consensus mechanism so severe that the ledger could no longer be trusted.

This is the scenario that the Zcash Orchard bug recently made vivid for a privacy coin.

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But for Bitcoin specifically, it is extraordinarily unlikely.

Bitcoin’s core cryptography and consensus have operated without a successful protocol-level breach for more than 15 years, securing trillions of dollars in value through relentless adversarial testing.

The cryptography securing it—SHA-256 hashing and elliptic-curve signatures—is the same battle-tested cryptography underpinning much of the global financial and security infrastructure.

Even the quantum-computing threat, the most discussed long-term technical risk, is years away and is being actively addressed through proposals like BIP-360.

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A sudden fatal technical break is the clearest path to zero and also among the least probable.

The second scenario is total network abandonment.

Bitcoin could go to zero if everyone simply stopped using it—if miners stopped securing it, developers stopped maintaining it, exchanges stopped listing it, and holders stopped holding it—all at once.

But this contradicts everything observable about Bitcoin’s current state.

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The network is secured by an enormous, globally distributed mining industry with billions of dollars invested in hardware and energy infrastructure.

It is held by tens of millions of individuals, public companies with Bitcoin on their balance sheets, spot ETFs holding tens of billions in assets, institutions, and governments exploring strategic reserves.

For Bitcoin to reach zero through abandonment, all these committed, heavily invested participants would have to abandon it simultaneously.

That is not how a deeply entrenched, widely held asset behaves.

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The infrastructure and ownership are far too distributed and committed for coordinated total abandonment.

The third scenario is a global regulatory ban so complete that it extinguishes all use.

A coordinated worldwide prohibition, with every major government banning ownership, trading, and mining simultaneously and enforcing it effectively, could theoretically strangle Bitcoin.

But this scenario has only grown less plausible over time, not more.

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The trend in 2026 is the opposite of a global ban: the United States is exploring a strategic Bitcoin reserve, spot ETFs have been approved across major markets, regulatory frameworks such as the CLARITY Act are advancing to legitimize rather than prohibit crypto, and Bitcoin is being woven into mainstream finance through mortgage recognition and institutional products.

A coordinated global ban would require the world’s governments, many of which now hold Bitcoin through seizures or are developing favorable regulatory systems, to reverse course in perfect unison.

That is geopolitically implausible.

Even authoritarian bans have historically pushed Bitcoin activity underground rather than extinguishing it.

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Why each path to zero is improbable

Having laid out the scenarios, it is worth being explicit about why, in combination, they make zero a genuine tail risk rather than a realistic forecast.

The reasoning matters more than the conclusion.

The deepest reason is that Bitcoin has crossed a threshold of entrenchment that makes total worthlessness extraordinarily difficult to achieve.

An asset goes to zero when it has no holders, users, infrastructure, or believers—the state of a failed startup token or collapsed scheme.

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Bitcoin is the opposite.

It has the deepest liquidity in crypto, distributed ownership, the largest and most committed mining base, regulated financial products built on top of it, corporate and potentially sovereign treasuries holding it, and a track record spanning more than 15 years.

Each of these is a structural anchor against zero, and they reinforce one another.

The ETFs need the asset to exist. Miners are financially committed to securing it. Corporate holders have staked their balance sheets on it. Governments holding seized coins have an interest in its value.

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Zero would require all these anchors to fail together.

They are held by different parties with different incentives in different jurisdictions, making coordinated total failure close to impossible.

The historical record reinforces the point.

Bitcoin has been declared dead hundreds of times throughout its history and has survived the 2018 bear market that took it down roughly 84%, the 2022 collapse that took it down 77% amid the Terra and FTX failures, and numerous smaller crashes.

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Each decline generated its own “Bitcoin to zero” fears.

In every case, the asset recovered and later reached new highs, not because recovery is guaranteed, but because the structural anchors held and capitulation eventually exhausted itself.

The current drawdown, severe as it feels, is so far shallower than the 2018 and 2022 declines that preceded recoveries.

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A holder searching “Bitcoin to zero” today is doing what holders did at every previous bottom, and at every previous bottom the asset did not go to zero.

None of this means zero is impossible, and intellectual honesty requires acknowledging that.

An authentically catastrophic, unprecedented technical break or an unforeseeable coordinated global collapse cannot be ruled out with absolute certainty.

Anyone claiming Bitcoin can never, under any circumstances, go to zero is overstating the case.

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But “cannot be ruled out with absolute certainty” is a very different claim from “is a realistic outcome to plan around.”

Zero is a genuine tail risk—the kind of low-probability, high-impact scenario that belongs in a serious risk assessment—not the base case the record-breaking search spike might suggest.

The honest framing is that Bitcoin going to zero is improbable to the point that it should inform position sizing and risk management more than panic selling.

That is the opposite of what the search surge suggests people are doing.

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What actually does go to zero

A useful way to calibrate the Bitcoin-to-zero question is to examine the kinds of crypto assets that have actually gone to zero.

Plenty have, and the contrast with Bitcoin is instructive.

Crypto is littered with assets that went to zero or close to it, and they share characteristics Bitcoin conspicuously lacks.

Failed algorithmic stablecoins such as TerraUSD collapsed to near-zero when their mechanism broke because their value depended entirely on a confidence loop that, once shattered, had nothing underneath it.

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Thousands of ICO tokens from the 2017 boom went effectively to zero when their projects failed to deliver because they were claims on promises that never materialized, with no users, revenue, or staying power.

Exchange tokens such as FTX’s FTT collapsed when the exchange behind them failed because their value was tied to a single company that turned out to be fraudulent.

Countless meme coins have gone to zero after their fleeting attention faded because attention was the only thing supporting them.

The common thread among assets that actually went to zero is that each depended on a single point of failure: a mechanism, company, promise, or wave of attention that, once removed, left nothing behind.

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TerraUSD depended on its algorithm. FTT depended on FTX. ICO tokens depended on teams delivering. Meme coins depended on hype.

When the single supporting pillar collapsed, the asset had no other foundation.

It went to zero because there was nothing else holding it up.

This is what going to zero actually looks like: the removal of the one thing an asset depended on.

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Bitcoin is structurally the opposite, which is why the contrast matters.

It does not depend on a single mechanism that can break, one company that can fail, one team that can fail to deliver, or one wave of attention that can fade.

It is supported by a distributed mining industry, ownership across tens of millions of holders, regulated financial products, corporate and potentially sovereign treasuries, a track record spanning more than 15 years, and the deepest liquidity in crypto.

Each is an independent pillar held by different parties with different incentives.

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For Bitcoin to go to zero, all these independent pillars would have to fail together, whereas the assets that actually went to zero each had only one pillar to lose.

The things that go to zero are single-point-of-failure assets.

Bitcoin is the most multiply redundant asset in crypto, which is precisely why the historical examples of crypto going to zero do not map onto it.

Understanding what does go to zero clarifies why Bitcoin almost certainly will not.

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What the search surge really tells us

Step back from the scenarios, and the more useful question is what the record “Bitcoin to zero” search spike actually signals about the market.

The answer points in a more constructive direction than the query implies.

The search surge is, first and foremost, a sentiment indicator, and an extreme one.

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It belongs in the same family as the Fear and Greed Index reading deep in extreme fear: a measure of how frightened the market is, not a measure of what is actually likely to happen.

The fact that “Bitcoin to zero” searches hit a record, stronger than in 2022 or 2025, shows that retail fear has reached an extreme rarely seen.

That is information about psychology, not Bitcoin’s fundamental prospects.

As with all extreme sentiment readings, the contrarian interpretation has historical weight.

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Peak fear has tended to cluster near bottoms because, by the time the maximum number of people are searching whether their investment is going to zero, the maximum amount of capitulation selling has typically already happened.

The behavioral pattern is consistent and worth internalizing.

Search interest in Bitcoin, including fearful queries, spikes during sharp price declines, not during calm uptrends.

That means these searches are a lagging reaction to price rather than a leading predictor of it.

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People do not search “Bitcoin to zero” when Bitcoin is at all-time highs.

They search it after it has already fallen hard, which is structurally close to the point of maximum pessimism.

This is why analysts read surging search interest during a sell-off as a potential sign that retail is re-engaging and capitulation may be peaking, in the same way they read extreme-fear measurements.

The record search spike is the crowd at its most afraid, and the crowd at its most afraid has historically been wrong about the direction more often than right.

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There is a second, subtler signal in the surge: it indicates retail attention is returning to Bitcoin after a period of disengagement.

For much of the period when institutions and ETFs dominated the market, retail search interest faded.

The resurgence of searches, even fearful ones, suggests everyday investors are paying attention again.

Whether that attention converts into buying or selling is uncertain, but renewed retail engagement is itself a precondition for the broad participation that has historically accompanied recoveries.

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The honest synthesis is that the record “Bitcoin to zero” search spike is best understood not as evidence that Bitcoin is going to zero, which the scenarios show is improbable, but as evidence that fear has reached an extreme and retail attention has returned.

That combination has historically appeared near bottoms instead of before further collapses.

The people searching the question are, in aggregate and historically, asking it close to the worst possible moment to act on the fear behind it.

How to actually think about the question

For anyone worried enough to search “Bitcoin to zero,” the constructive path is to translate fear into disciplined thinking rather than letting it drive action.

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A few principles help.

The first is to right-size the risk.

Bitcoin going to zero is a real tail risk, which means it should inform how much of a portfolio is placed into Bitcoin in the first place, not whether someone panic-sells after a decline.

A risk that cannot be ruled out with certainty is a reason for prudent position sizing and holding an amount that could be lost entirely.

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It is not automatically a reason to capitulate at the bottom of a drawdown.

If the possibility of zero is frightening, the lesson is about allocation discipline before the fact, not panic after it.

Selling into extreme fear because of a sudden awareness of a tail risk that existed all along is reacting to emotion, not new information.

The second principle is to recognize that the question itself is a contrarian signal.

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Anyone searching “Bitcoin to zero” is, by definition, experiencing the emotional state that has historically marked bottoms rather than tops.

That does not guarantee a bottom is in.

But it should prompt reflection that the urge to sell is strongest at exactly the moments that have historically rewarded buying or holding.

The discipline is to notice that the fear is shared by a record number of people, that record-shared fear has preceded recoveries before, and that acting on it places the investor alongside the crowd that has historically been wrong at the extremes.

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The clearest answer to the bottom-feared question is that Bitcoin going to zero is improbable to the point of being a tail risk rather than a forecast.

The asset has crossed a threshold of entrenchment, distributed ownership, institutional integration, and proven resilience that makes total worthlessness extraordinarily difficult to achieve.

The scenarios that could cause it—fatal technical failure, total abandonment, or a coordinated global ban—are each individually unlikely and collectively close to implausible.

The record-breaking search spike is not a prophecy of that outcome but a thermometer of extreme fear, and extreme fear has historically clustered near bottoms.

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None of this is a promise that Bitcoin will recover, cannot fall further, or that zero is literally impossible.

Each of those claims would overstate the case.

The more measured truth is that the question millions are now searching reflects a moment of maximum fear, that the answer to the literal question is “almost certainly not,” and that the people asking it are, historically, asking close to the wrong time to act on that fear.

The search data is real. The fear is real.

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The most likely meaning of both is not that Bitcoin is dying, but that the market is frightened, which is a very different and far more survivable condition.

This article is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. The figures and analysis described reflect data available as of June 2026. Always do your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.

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Crypto World

MoonPay Unveils PayBox AI Vault for ChatGPT and Claude Users

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MoonPay Unveils PayBox AI Vault for ChatGPT and Claude Users

MoonPay has launched PayBox, a payment vault that lets ChatGPT and Claude users authorize AI to buy crypto, swap tokens and bridge assets from within a conversation while keeping control of their funds.

Users connect a crypto wallet and payment methods to ChatGPT or Claude, which prepare transactions such as token swaps, crosschain transfers and DeFi interactions using natural-language prompts. Users can approve each transaction with a passkey or set spending limits that allow the AI to execute certain actions automatically, according to MoonPay.

MoonPay said PayBox uses multi-party computation and trusted execution environments to protect wallet keys, preventing either the AI assistant or MoonPay from independently accessing user funds. The platform also lets users require approval for every transaction or allow AI to act autonomously within predefined spending and permission limits.

PayBox supports multiple blockchains and payment methods, including debit cards, bank accounts, Apple Pay and PayPal, according to MoonPay. The company said developers can also integrate the payment vault into their own AI applications through its software development kit.

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Related: OKX launches AI marketplace for autonomous agent economy

Coinbase’s x402 gains AI payments traction

PayBox also supports x402, an open payment protocol originally developed by Coinbase that enables AI agents to make internet-native payments. Contributed to the Linux Foundation in April 2026, the protocol is now governed as an open, vendor-neutral industry standard.

Coinbase has continued expanding the x402 ecosystem this year. In June, the crypto exchange launched tools that let AI agents accept USDC payments, trade crypto, discover paid services through an AI marketplace and process high-frequency micropayments more efficiently.

Earlier this year, Amazon Web Services integrated x402 into its Bedrock AgentCore Payments service, while Fireblocks launched an x402-compatible payments framework for AI agents and joined the x402 Foundation.

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Network activity appears to be growing alongside adoption. In a June 3 report, blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis said agentic payments on Coinbase’s Base network surpassed 100 million transactions within roughly nine months, highlighting growing activity around the protocol even as early usage was driven in part by speculative applications.

At the time of writing, the protocol’s public dashboard shows more than 12.7 million transactions over the past 30 days across participating services.

x402scan (past 30-day ecosystem statistics). Source: x402scan.com

Magazine: The 100x obsession: Fundamentals grow in importance as crypto matures

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XRP retail trading launches on licensed Hong Kong venue

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Who actually trades XRP? Korea and Japan order books

OSL Digital Securities has opened XRP trading to retail investors in Hong Kong, creating a regulated fiat on-ramp as US lawmakers continue debating federal crypto market rules.

Summary

  • OSL became Hong Kong’s first SFC-licensed platform to offer direct retail spot access to XRP.
  • Retail users can access XRP/USD through Flash Trade and XRP/USD and XRP/HKD through OTC trading.
  • XRP joins Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana among assets available to OSL’s retail clients.
  • The launch follows XRP’s December 2025 listing for professional investors on the same platform.

OSL opens XRP trading to Hong Kong retail investors

OSL Digital Securities launched retail XRP trading on July 29, according to an announcement from the company. The platform operates as a subsidiary of OSL Group, which is publicly listed in Hong Kong under stock code 863.

The rollout makes OSL the first platform licensed by Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission to give retail investors direct spot access to XRP.

OSL introduced an XRP/USD pair through its Flash Trade service. Its over-the-counter service also supports XRP/USD and XRP/HKD, with transactions settled through the XRP Ledger.

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The Hong Kong dollar pair gives local investors a direct fiat route into XRP through a regulated venue. Retail users previously had fewer options and often depended on offshore exchanges that do not operate under the city’s licensing framework.

XRP now joins Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana as the four digital assets available to retail clients on OSL. The company holds Type 1 and Type 7 licenses from the SFC and is registered under Hong Kong’s Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing Ordinance.

OSL also says its custody setup carries $1 billion in insurance coverage for client assets.

XRP access expands beyond professional investors

The retail launch follows OSL’s initial XRP listing in December 2025, when access was limited to professional investors, including institutions and qualifying high-net-worth clients.

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That earlier rollout supported XRP/HKD, XRP/USD, and XRP/USDT through Flash Trade. Extending access to everyday investors marks the next stage of OSL’s XRP offering and reflects Hong Kong’s gradual expansion of regulated crypto products.

The launch also adds another regulated entry point for XRP in Asia as institutional firms build blockchain-based financial infrastructure across the region.

Japan’s SBI Holdings, a long-time Ripple partner, expanded that strategy on July 28 by restructuring a wholly owned subsidiary around the Canton Network. SBI Security Solutions became SBI Digital Practice, creating a dedicated business for institutional on-chain finance.

The subsidiary will develop financial applications and infrastructure on Canton, covering regulatory compliance, implementation support, and cross-border transaction systems. The move adds Canton to SBI’s existing work involving Ripple and the XRP Ledger.

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XRP institutional demand and XRPL activity grow

OSL’s retail expansion comes as investment products tied to XRP continue attracting capital. XRP spot exchange-traded funds have recorded eight consecutive weeks of inflows, lifting cumulative inflows to about $1.49 billion.

Activity on the XRP Ledger has also expanded beyond XRP transfers. RWA.xyz placed the XRP Ledger’s combined distributed and represented real-world asset value at about $4.37 billion on July 29, including $313.3 million in distributed assets and $4.06 billion in represented assets.

Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin recorded another source of network growth. Messari reported that RLUSD’s market capitalization on the XRP Ledger rose 44.9% quarter over quarter to $340.3 million at the end of Q1 2026, making it the network’s largest stablecoin.

Hong Kong moves as US crypto legislation stalls

Hong Kong’s licensed rollout contrasts with the slower development of federal crypto market rules in the United States.

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Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently urged Congress to pass the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act despite unresolved disagreements. Garlinghouse backed Ripple Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty’s argument that lawmakers should not abandon the legislation while seeking a perfect compromise.

“Perfect can’t be the enemy of good. Let’s get this done!” Garlinghouse wrote.

The CLARITY Act remains caught in a Senate dispute over consumer protection, ethics restrictions, enforcement powers, and illicit-finance safeguards. Seven Senate Democrats have opposed the current text while leaving negotiations open.

For US investors, OSL’s launch does not create access unless they meet the platform’s jurisdictional and eligibility rules. Its broader importance lies in showing how Hong Kong is adding assets to licensed retail venues while the United States continues working toward a national framework for classifying and supervising digital assets.

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One Pattern That Predicted the 21% Solana Price Drop Has Returned

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One Pattern That Predicted the 21% Solana Price Drop Has Returned

Solana (SOL) price is rebuilding the same chart pattern that pulled it down about 21% earlier this year, and it has resurfaced right at $74.

This time, the structure looks weaker and less symmetrical, yet on-chain data carries a warning that the spring version never did. The next few sessions will decide whether buyers can break the sequence.

Solana’s Double Top Returns on Fading Volume

Solana price is tracing a double top. It is a bearish pattern where price hits a similar high twice and stalls, with the dip between the two peaks acting as the neckline. The two peaks formed around July 15 and July 22, with the neckline dip near July 17.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

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The setup is building around falling buy volume, which typically supports a bearish read. This is because fewer buyers are defending each push higher. That echoes the spring double top, which formed between mid-March and May 11 on similarly fading volume and led to a drop of about 21%.

Solana Double Top Structure: TradingView

From an exploratory view, the neckline sits near $73, and a clean break would project a slide of roughly 7% toward the $67 area. The risk stays alive while Solana’s price action holds below the $79 zone. Below $79, the risk of additional tops remains intact.

The exchange net position change, a metric that tracks tokens moving in and out of exchanges, helps test how closely this repeats the spring move. During that earlier top, the reading ran deeply negative, near 8 million SOL in mid-March before easing to about 5.4 million by May 11.

Solana Exchange Net Position Change: Glassnode

The current top has formed on far lighter flows, from roughly 0.2 million SOL in mid-July to about 0.9 million by July 22. The much smaller readings suggest weaker distribution pressure this time, which may explain why the pattern looks less symmetrical.

Solana Exchange Net Position Change Current: Glassnode

That lighter selling or rather more aggressive buying, however, is only half the story.

Long-Term Holders Break From the Spring Playbook

The HODL Waves metric, which groups SOL supply by how long each coin has stayed unmoved, flips the tone. The one-to-two-year band matters most here because it tracks conviction holders who tend to sit still through volatility.

During the spring double top, that band held roughly flat near 15.9%, a sign long-term holders were not selling into the weakness. This time the reading has slipped from about 15.7% in mid-July to 15.17% by July 28.

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Solana HODL Waves 1-2 Year
Solana HODL Waves 1-2 Year: Glassnode

The steady decline suggests these holders are trimming exposure as the pattern forms, support the spring version never lost. It appears they are reacting to the setup rather than anticipating it, which leaves the price chart to settle the argument.

Solana Price Levels That Decide the Double Top

The Solana price now sits near $73, just above the pattern base at $72. A daily close below that base would confirm the double top. Moreover, that would project the measured move of about 7% (mentioned earlier) toward $67. That could open the $60 floor if selling extends.

For the bulls, the double-top risk stays intact while SOL trades under $78.92 (the $79 zone from earlier). A daily close above $81 and ideally $84 would invalidate the near-term pattern and reopen the higher range.

Solana Price Analysis
Solana Price Analysis: TradingView

Because this pattern is less symmetrical and forms on lighter exchange flows, any breakdown may prove shallower than the spring 21% slide. Still, the slipping long-term-holder support keeps the downside risk live, so the Solana price prediction hinges on one line.

The $72-$73 neckline zone separates a failed double top from a confirmed breakdown toward $67.

The post One Pattern That Predicted the 21% Solana Price Drop Has Returned appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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As Crypto Matures, Market Fundamentals Matter More Than 100x Bets

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Crypto Breaking News

Crypto’s latest cycles repeatedly show a familiar pattern: attention and narrative momentum often arrive before fundamentals do. Behavioral finance researchers say this isn’t unique to digital assets—it’s simply intensified in a market where new themes can spread quickly and investors may treat the hunt for transformative wealth as the main goal.

In comments shared with Magazine, Samar Sen, head of international markets at Talos, argued that in younger markets “price discovery… tends to be driven by attention before it’s driven by analysis.” That dynamic helps explain why newer tokens built around a fresh story can capture headlines even when older, revenue-producing protocols continue to improve their underlying businesses.

Key takeaways

  • Behavioral research suggests many investors allocate capital to “life-changing” outcomes, not only to maximizing risk-adjusted returns.
  • Crypto narratives can propagate faster than protocol fundamentals, causing prices to move ahead of underlying fundamentals.
  • A research comparison by MarketWise framed alongside behavioral theory shows speculative winners and “lottery ticket” behavior can dominate outcomes across asset types.
  • Institutional investors typically evaluate liquidity, custody, and operational resilience earlier than upside potential, which can leave them positioned differently from retail in fast-moving cycles.

Why narratives can outrun fundamentals

In behavioral finance terms, the “attention first” problem emerges when investors respond to an easy-to-underwrite story rather than doing the deeper work required to assess an established project. Sen told Magazine that evaluating a mature protocol involves understanding real usage, revenue generation, token design, and competitive positioning—tasks that are harder than quickly absorbing a new narrative.

The broader implication is that crypto cycles can resemble a cycle of storytelling rather than a steady appraisal of economic fundamentals. Even as the industry matures—adding institutional participation, revenue-generating protocols, and more real-world use—the market still gravitates toward the next theme that promises outsized returns.

From poker hands to “transformation” portfolios

One reason investors may repeatedly chase the next cycle is that, according to Meir Statman—a behavioral finance pioneer and professor at Santa Clara University—people often invest for reasons that go beyond conventional assumptions of return maximization. Statman argues that investors mentally separate wealth into two layers: a “not-poor” layer designed to preserve living standards and avoid falling into poverty, and a “be-rich” layer intended for transformative goals such as buying a house or achieving financial independence.

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Within this framework, concentrated bets may not be irrational. Diversification can be statistically sensible, but investors with limited capital may feel it offers a poor chance of reaching transformative outcomes—especially if the available pool of candidates doesn’t look capable of delivering that “be-rich” outcome.

MarketWise senior writer James Royal echoed this view, telling Magazine that loyalty tends not to attach to asset classes themselves—whether crypto, stocks, or collectibles. Instead, investors rotate toward whatever promises lucrative returns next. Royal also suggested that while investors may not be seeking risk for its own sake, “FOMO” around potential life-changing returns can lead to underestimating downside risk.

The MarketWise comparison: attention versus outcomes

A recent MarketWise study, linked in the report, compared hypothetical $10,000 investments across multiple categories—including cryptocurrencies, stocks, exchange-traded funds, and collectibles—between January 2021 and April 2026. According to the study, a sealed Pokémon card box outperformed Bitcoin in the comparison, and limited-edition sneakers nearly matched Dogecoin’s returns.

In the same timeframe, the study found that some popular AI-focused funds lagged the broader stock market even as AI dominated headlines. The takeaway is not simply that some assets beat others, but that “better story” dynamics can outweigh fundamentals in how capital gets allocated, especially when investors are searching for transformative outcomes.

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Statman ties this together by arguing that investors are not always buying the “best” asset in a narrow sense. Instead, they may be buying a lottery ticket aimed at a life-changing result—an approach that can apply to a digital asset as easily as to collectible memorabilia or even certain stocks.

DeFi fundamentals versus token excitement

The tension between protocol fundamentals and token excitement shows up clearly in decentralized finance. Even when large platforms generate substantial revenue and attract significant capital, their tokens may not capture the same level of attention as newer narratives.

To illustrate, the article cited Aave trading around $98 at the time of writing—about 85% below its 2021 peak—while Aave’s total value locked (TVL) was described as over $14 billion, and as having reached more than $37 billion during the bull market peak in October 2025. The underlying point is that on-chain activity and value lock can look strong even as token price performance fails to match the same level of speculative enthusiasm.

Thomas Probst, a research analyst at Kaiko, emphasized that fundamentals still matter in the long run, particularly resilience, liquidity, and volatility, and the robustness of market structure. However, the article argued that a token tied to an established protocol can struggle to compete for investor attention against the possibility—however unlikely—of extreme upside.

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Royal summarized the mismatch by saying investors may confuse “a great technological breakthrough with a great investment opportunity.” In other words, innovation can remain valuable while the market’s willingness to pay for upside can shift as narratives evolve.

Institutions evaluate differently—and arrive at different times

Sen said institutions operate under constraints that make pure narrative chasing difficult. He argued that institutional mandates typically don’t allow investors to focus solely on speculative, outsized returns. Instead, institutions tend to underwrite risk-adjusted performance, liquidity, custody arrangements, and operational resilience before looking at upside.

This difference can shape when institutions enter a cycle. Sen described a recurring pattern: themes often begin with something real—technical breakthroughs or new use cases. But once speculative money starts flowing, prices can move faster than fundamentals. According to Sen, investors who arrive later may respond to the narrative itself as much as the original fundamentals that launched it. Meanwhile, institutional capital—often guided by process and discipline—may be a step behind the first narrative impulse but ahead of the subsequent correction.

Timing risk: buying the cycle versus buying at the peak

The MarketWise report highlighted how entry timing can dominate outcomes in narrative-driven markets. It reported that a hypothetical $10,000 Bitcoin investment made in January 2021 would have grown to more than $24,000 by April 2026, implying a +141% gain. Yet the same hypothetical investment made at Bitcoin’s cycle peak in October 2025 would have fallen to just over $6,000 by April, a -38% return, with an estimated value of about $5,000 “today” in the article’s context.

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The article further suggested that an investor who chased another popular name late in the same period would have faced large losses, using the example of an AAAVE-related purchase around the same timeframe being down roughly 85% at the time of writing. While individual outcomes vary widely, the larger lesson is consistent with the behavioral framing: narratives can temporarily overwhelm fundamentals, and buying after the story has already gained momentum can change the risk profile dramatically.

For market participants, the immediate question isn’t whether the “next 100x” will keep being chased—it likely will—but how investors will distinguish between a genuinely new unlock and a narrative that has already been priced in. Watching liquidity conditions, protocol-level usage and revenue trends, and whether price action continues to outpace fundamentals may offer a practical way to separate the two as the next cycle narrative takes hold.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Cost to Insure AI Debt Hits Record as Korea Chip Stocks Crash

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Cost to Insure AI Debt Hits Record as Korea Chip Stocks Crash

Key points:

  • KOSPI’s back-to-back circuit breakers wiped $620 billion in two days, worsened by leveraged retail bets
  • Hyperscaler CDS jumped from 115 basis points to 162bps in recent months, implying ~12% five-year default odds, with Oracle’s OpenAI exposure the biggest red flag
  • Hynix posted a record 60.54 trillion Korean won profit but still missed the 64 trillion won estimate

Korea sees two-day, $620 billion wipeout

Korean equities saw the second day of a historic sell-off on Wednesday with market-wide circuit breakers again halting trading. Combined with Tuesday’s drop, the KOSPI has now shed nearly 17%, wiping out $620 billion in market capitalization. This has prompted the government to convene an emergency meeting of its financial authorities.

The initial trigger for the sell-off was SK Hynix’s Q2 earnings miss. The stock was down another 4% today, extending Tuesday’s 15% drop. Taken together with Samsung Electronics, the company makes up nearly half of the Korean index. 

Related: Trade.xyz to cover SK Hynix perp liquidation losses tied to price anomaly

Current KOSPI sell-off on a high timeframe. Source: Kobeissiletter, Tradingview 

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Among a generation of Koreans priced out of housing and squeezed by a tightening labor market, all-or-nothing bets on high-risk instruments are increasingly popular. This week’s sell-off is hitting risk-loving young Korean retail traders, who have historically had an affection for the crypto sector, but flocked to AI and semiconductor equities in recent months. Korean crypto volumes are down 28%, while the KOSPI remains up 31% year-to-date. 

With the approval and launch of single-stock leveraged exchange-traded funds for retail trading in May, those retail investors were drawn into the market and have added additional leverage. The assets under management of these products crossed $50 billion in July. After hefty losses in recent days, top policymakers have now apologized for the decision and called for a renewed ban on retail trading for these instruments. 

The sell-off is a further sign that semiconductor and AI stocks are priced for flawless execution, leaving substantial downside if the sector’s aggressive growth targets are not met. Although Hynix brought in a record 60.54 trillion won ($41.25 billion) operating profit, up 557% year-over-year, this figure fell short of the 64 trillion won analyst consensus. 

Bond vigilantes eye AI trade

The semiconductor sell-off is consistent with broader signs of fatigue in the AI trade. The uncertainty accruing in the sector has swept over from equity to credit markets. 5-year credit default swaps on a basket of the five largest US hyperscalers — Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Google and Oracle — have jumped from 115bps to 162bps in recent months and is now at a record high. These instruments let a bondholder pay a periodic fee to a counterparty in exchange for a payout if the underlying borrower defaults. When compared to equal-dated government bonds, the resulting credit spread paints an even more concerning picture. 

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The market currently implies default odds of 12% for these companies within five years. Sage Advisory said hyperscalers have more than doubled their collective dollar debt footprint since September to more than $360 billion as free cash flow turns negative.The biggest contributor to the credit risk is Oracle after its aggressive AI investments. While the company boasts a massive contract backlog, a significant percentage of it is tied to OpenAI as a single customer, which has struggled to generate cashflow and delayed its IPO.

Combined 2026 capex guidance from Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta is now tracking toward $725 billion-$730 billion. Even Alphabet posted its first cash burn on record in the second quarter, at $5.9 billion, despite its cloud unit posting 82% growth. Meta is slated to report Q2 results later today after US markets close.

Related: Bitcoin lows pierce $63K as Asia chip-stock crash spreads to Wall Street

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What this year’s $972M crypto hacks actually tell us about security

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What this year's $972M crypto hacks actually tell us about security

This same story repeated in June but from a different angle: the month’s largest loss, more than $30 million at Humanity Protocol, came from a private key compromised on a team member’s machine, with the contract untouched, per the project’s own account.

This is the shape of 2026’s worst losses, with crypto losing roughly $972 million so far this year. The number of incidents keeps climbing, and the money increasingly leaves through something other than a contract bug: a stolen signing key, a misconfigured verifier, a treasury anyone can vote their way into. If you look at the sheer number of incidents, you would think the industry is losing ground. But if you look into how much has actually been stolen in total, a narrower, more uncomfortable pattern shows up.

We can be precise about it. Across the 425 hacks we studied from 2021 to 2025, a small share of operational failures carries most of the value lost. In the 2024 to 2025 window, 54.6% of all value lost, across 191 hacks, can be traced to centralized exchange compromises: the keys, custody and signing that sit above the contract.

However, none of this means the code layer is solved. Criticals are everywhere in live code. 93.9% of programs that run five years or more surface a confirmed critical, and roughly one in five confirmed reports is rated critical. The code is never finished either. Every upgrade ships fresh attack surface. What has changed is that continuous, incentivized review now keeps pace with attackers on that code, which is exactly why the same model has to reach further.

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Brale bets new protocol can solve stablecoin liquidity bottleneck

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Brale bets new protocol can solve stablecoin liquidity bottleneck

Stablecoin infrastructure firm Brale is rolling out an interoperability protocol designed to end what it says is a bottleneck in the industry’s growth: moving a rapidly expanding number of custom stablecoins across blockchains.

Dubbed ION Protocol, it allows participating stablecoins to move between blockchains by burning tokens on one network and minting an equivalent amount on another. Unlike most blockchain bridges, the model does not require liquidity pools to be pre-funded on every supported chain.

While the $300 billion stablecoin market is dominated by Tether’s USDT and Circle Internet’s USDC, new participants are piling in. Banks, fintechs, crypto firms and asset managers are increasingly issuing their own branded tokens for payments, settlements and tokenized assets.

Data provider CoinGecko already tracks more than 350 of the coins, whose value is pegged to a real-world asset such as a fiat currency, underscoring the growing need for infrastructure to connect an increasingly fragmented ecosystem. Brale argues today’s interoperability model won’t scale as more issuers introduce their own versions.

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Stablecoin scaling problem

The company supports over a hundred stablecoin programs across more than 30 blockchains, founder and CEO Ben Milne said in an interview with CoinDesk. Many of its customers process billions of dollars in monthly payment volume while maintaining relatively small stablecoin balances because their tokens are designed for transactions rather than investment.

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Elon Musk Grok AI Just Predicts This Shocking SpaceX Stock Prediction for 2027

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Elon Musk Grok AI Just Predicts This Shocking SpaceX Stock Prediction for 2027

Elon Musk Grok AI predicts a major re-rating for SpaceX, and this price prediction leans entirely on execution catching up to hype. Flight 14, targeted for August 2026, is expected to deliver the first stable orbital insertion plus a ship tower catch, the milestone that finally proves the vehicle works the way the whole valuation assumes it will.

Successful propellant transfer demos and early orbital refueling are named as the next dominoes. Unlocking those pieces means full reusability, payloads above 100 tonnes, and mass deployment of Starlink V3 satellites at more than 50 per flight.

That kind of cadence supercharges more than just launch volume. Direct to Cell and Starlink revenue, already running at an estimated $11 billion to $15 billion annualized and reportedly profitable, are projected to push past $20 billion.

Source: Grok AI SpaceX Price Prediction

A second growth engine sits alongside the rocket business entirely. AI and compute infrastructure, through Colossus, xAI integration, and GPU leases with Google and Anthropic, is expected to grow segment revenue from low single digit billions toward $15 billion to $35 billion by 2027, based on modeling from Goldman and Morgan Stanley.

First public earnings in August 2026, combined with clarity after lockup expirations, are framed as the events that confirm the bigger picture. Total revenue is projected to accelerate from $39 billion in 2026 to roughly $65 billion to $75 billion in 2027, alongside a positive EBITDA trajectory, Florida pad readiness, Golden Dome and Starshield defense contract wins, and continued Artemis HLS progress.

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Consensus targets cluster between $225 and $300, with Morgan Stanley at $300 and some models running above $400. Grok frames that gap as the setup for a straightforward 2x re-rating from the current $1.5 trillion valuation following the post IPO washout.

The bear case is narrower by comparison. Further Starship slips, heavy lockup supply hitting the market after earnings, or valuation compression on an already high price to sales ratio and heavy capital spending could keep shares range bound near $100 to $140.

SpaceX Price Prediction: SPCX Shares Are Down Nearly 45 Percent From Their June Peak

Price closed at $116.44, up 0.57%, in a session ranging between $114.95 and $118.12. That is a small green candle sitting near the bottom of a decline that has been almost uninterrupted since mid June.

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Shares spiked to a peak near $217 in mid June, then rolled over hard, falling in a long, steady staircase with barely any relief rallies along the way. A brief bounce attempt in late June and early July stalled just above $170 before the selling resumed and dragged price down to current levels near $110.

Source: SpaceX Price / Tradingview

That kind of persistent, low volatility grind lower is different from a sharp crash. It suggests steady distribution rather than panic selling, which lines up with the bear case concern about lockup supply working through the market.

Support sits right around $110, the recent low this stock just tested. Below that, there is little recent chart history before price would be moving into territory not seen in this window.

Resistance stacks at $130, then $150, then the heavier ceiling near $170 where the early July bounce failed. Momentum here is tentatively stabilizing after weeks of decline, but nothing on this chart yet suggests the selling pressure has fully broken.

For Grok’s bull case to gain any real footing, shares first need to reclaim $170, a level this stock has not closed above in a month. Until that happens, the current price sits far closer to the bear case range than to anything resembling the path toward $225.

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Don’t Miss Out on Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop on ByBit

LiquidChain Is Catching the Attention of SpaceX holders: Grok AI Predicts It’s the Next 100x

The rotation is already happening. Most people will only see it in hindsight.

Large-cap crypto is not failing. It is capped. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP have been pressing against the same resistance bands for weeks. The macro tailwinds keep getting delayed.

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The institutional inflows keep getting pushed to next quarter. Holding assets where the upside depends on catalysts you cannot control is not a strategy. It is waiting.

A capital that has navigated enough cycles does not wait at resistance. It moves before the destination becomes obvious.

Early-stage infrastructure plays operate on different math entirely. A small enough market cap means a modest rotation produces dramatic price movement. The asymmetry exists because the market has not priced in what is being built yet. That gap between current valuation and what the project is actually worth is where the returns come from.

Multi-chain fragmentation costs DeFi real money every single day. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana run completely isolated liquidity systems with no native way to connect them. Every user moving value between ecosystems absorbs that cost directly in fees, slippage, and failed transactions.

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LiquidChain collapses all 3 networks into a single execution layer. One deployment. Full ecosystem access. No cross-chain tax on every interaction.

The market has not found this yet. That is the entire point.

The presale is at $0.01454 with just over $820,000 raised. Ground floor is not a marketing phrase here. It is a description of where this actually sits in its lifecycle.

Execution is unproven. Adoption is unknown. Those risks are real and worth naming directly. Established assets offer a smoother ride toward a ceiling that is already visible. This offers an earlier seat at a table that has not been set yet.

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Explore the LiquidChain Presale

The post Elon Musk Grok AI Just Predicts This Shocking SpaceX Stock Prediction for 2027 appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Why Does XRP Fall Faster Than Every Other Major Coin?

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Multi-Asset Drawdown Tracker

XRP price has collapsed roughly 67% from its all-time high, the deepest wound among major cryptocurrencies (the top 5 excluding stablecoins). Additionally, its market setup is turning more dangerous by the week.

This is not ordinary market weakness. A rare pileup of leveraged longs and a quiet retreat by the largest whales are combining to make XRP the most fragile major coin in the market.

XRP Price Has Fallen Harder Than Any Major Coin

A cross-asset drawdown tracker, which measures how far each coin sits below its record high, puts XRP dead last. The token is down about 67% from its peak, against roughly 48% for Bitcoin, 60% for Ethereum, and 56% for BNB.

Multi-Asset Drawdown Tracker
Multi-Asset Drawdown Tracker: Charlie Quant Lab

The damage worsens over three months. XRP’s 90-day return sits near negative 21%, the worst of the four majors, and the token is 355 days from its peak with no recovery in sight.

Multi-Asset Drawdown Table
Multi-Asset Drawdown Table: Charlie Quant Lab

That is the signature of a high-beta-alt regime. When risk appetite drops, XRP does not hold the line like a safe-haven asset. It amplifies the fall, dropping more than the market. As of now, it is trailing its peer average by over 12 percentage points.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

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Repeated bounces have failed, with XRP’s recovery attempts rejected at resistance. The deeper question is what makes XRP fall faster than every coin besides it.

Crowded Longs Have Trapped XRP With No Buyers Left

The first driver is a one-sided derivatives book. A divergence read that compares the net-long bias of top traders (smart money) against the retail crowd shows both groups leaning long on XRP at once.

Top traders sit at a net-long bias of +29 and the retail crowd at +27, a divergence of just +2, which the tool flags as an aligned, or crowded, long. Nearly every participant is already positioned the same way.

XRP Smart Versus Dumb Positioning
XRP Smart Versus Dumb Positioning: Charlie Quant Lab

Here is why that is dangerous. When almost everyone is already long, there is no fresh buyer left to lift the price. So the XRP price struggles to rise. And the moment it slips, leveraged longs are forced to sell into the drop, which drags it down faster. XRP traders have already lost $700 million in one such cascade this cycle.

Bitcoin Positioning Divergence Read
Bitcoin Positioning Divergence Read: Charlie Quant Lab

Bitcoin carries none of this risk for now. Its read is neutral, with top traders at +2 against a retail crowd at +15, a negative divergence of 13. Big money is not crowding Bitcoin longs, so it has room to run that XRP does not.

The Biggest Whales Are Bailing at the Worst Moment

The final driver sits beneath the price. Santiment data on wallets holding 1 billion XRP or more shows their share of supply sliding from 39.4% on April 30 to about 38.65% now, a steady three-month decline.

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The percentage looks small, but it covers billions of tokens and cuts against the earlier accumulation narratives. The strongest hands are selling, not adding.

This is the part that turns a bad setup into a trap. Whales are normally the buyers who absorb heavy selling and put a floor under the price. With the largest holders stepping back instead, that floor is thinning at the exact moment over-leveraged longs need someone to sell into. When the crowd is forced out, nothing is left to catch the token.

XRP Top Whale Supply Share
XRP Top Whale Supply Share: Santiment

That is the full mechanism. Trapped longs on top and vanishing whale support underneath explain why XRP free-falls while its peers merely drift. XRP holders are already sitting on billions in unrealized losses, and only a flush of those longs or a return of whale buying would signal the end of pain.

The post Why Does XRP Fall Faster Than Every Other Major Coin? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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XRP Ledger activates fix, blocks nodes below 3.2.0

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XRPL lending protocol enters key validator voting phase

XRP Ledger has activated its fixCleanup3_2_0 amendment, making version 3.2.0 the minimum software release required for nodes to remain compatible with the mainnet.

Summary

  • The amendment received 85.71% validator support, with 30 votes in favor and five against.
  • Nodes running version 3.1.0 or earlier are now amendment-blocked until operators upgrade.
  • The update fixes issues affecting vaults, lending, permissioned trading and Multi-Purpose Tokens.
  • Version 3.2.0 also renames the core server software from rippled to xrpld.

XRP Ledger activates fix with 85.71% support

XRPScan data shows that fixCleanup3_2_0 is now active after securing support from 30 of the 35 trusted validators that participated in the vote. Five validators opposed the amendment.

XRPL amendments that change transaction processing must maintain at least 80% support among trusted validators for two consecutive weeks before activation. The latest proposal cleared that requirement with 85.71% consensus.

Activation immediately affects infrastructure operators running older software. Nodes on version 3.1.0 or below are now “amendment blocked,” meaning they cannot follow the updated rules governing validated ledgers.

“The fixCleanup3_2_0 amendment is now active. With this, all nodes running version 3.1.0 and below are amendment blocked until they upgrade to 3.2.0. Please take action to ensure service continuity,” XRPScan said.

The warning applies to exchanges, wallet providers, payment services, developers and other businesses that operate their own XRPL infrastructure. Users holding XRP in self-custody wallets do not need to change their tokens or move funds because of the amendment.

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What fixCleanup3_2_0 changes

The amendment introduces a package of protocol corrections included in the XRP Ledger 3.2.0 release. It does not add a new user-facing product or alter XRP’s supply.

Among the changes are precision and rounding fixes for Single Asset Vaults and the Lending Protocol. The package also corrects an invariant affecting valid offer deletions on the Permissioned DEX.

Other changes validate non-canonical Multi-Purpose Token amounts, add a zero DomainID check for permissioned domains, and introduce an invariant that checks whether deleted accounts leave directly accessible ledger objects behind.

XRPL data cited after activation showed that 105 validators, or 70% of the network total, were running version 3.2.0. Another 35 validators, representing 23.33%, remained on version 3.1.3.

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Among other nodes, 582, or 68.88%, had adopted version 3.2.0, while 228 nodes, or 26.98%, were still using version 3.1.3. Operators on 3.1.3 are above the version range identified in XRPScan’s amendment-block warning, although XRPL developers have urged all operators to complete the 3.2.0 migration.

Version 3.2.0 renames rippled to xrpld

Released in mid-June, version 3.2.0 also changed the name of XRPL’s reference server implementation from “rippled” to “xrpld.” The rename follows XLS-0095, a proposal designed to link the software’s identity more directly to the XRP Ledger.

The change extends beyond the server executable. Operators upgrading from version 3.1.3 must rename the configuration file from rippled.cfg to xrpld.cfg and revise related database paths, packages, scripts, deployment settings, service definitions, and metadata.

XRPL’s migration documentation provides steps intended to preserve existing node data while replacing the former naming conventions.

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Developers describe version 3.2.0 primarily as a cleanup and maintenance release. It retires amendments that had remained active for more than two years and continues dividing the libxrpl codebase into smaller modules to support future maintenance.

XRPL upgrade follows $2.6B RWA increase

The activation comes as the ledger handles a growing amount of tokenized real-world assets. As crypto.news reported on July 26, XRPL added about $2.6 billion in RWA value over six months, excluding stablecoins.

That ranked the network second for net RWA inflows during the period, behind BNB Chain’s roughly $3 billion. Stellar followed with about $2.1 billion.

XRPL’s combined distributed and represented RWA value reached approximately $4.38 billion, while stablecoins added another $995.12 million. The wider total exceeded $5.37 billion.

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For US businesses using XRPL for tokenized assets, payments, or exchange infrastructure, the amendment creates an operational requirement rather than a new regulatory rule. Operators must keep their server software compatible to avoid service interruptions as activity on the network expands.

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