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Bitcoin Volatility Returns as Oil Prices Go Wild, Ethereum Fights for $2K: Market Watch

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BTCUSD Mar 9. Source: TradingView


ТАО is today’s top gainer, while Pi Network’s PI token continues its crazy ride.

Bitcoin’s price faced some enhanced volatility in the past 24 hours again, dropping toward $65,500 before it jumped to $68,500, only to be rejected after the latest developments on the Middle East war front and the fluctuating oil prices.

Ethereum is challenging its nemesis at $2,000 once more, while HASH and STABLE have plunged hard from the mid-cap alts.

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BTC’s Ride

After dumping from $67,000 to $63,000 on February 28 when the strikes in the Middle East began, bitcoin’s price rebounded hard and skyrocketed to $74,000 on Wednesday. This meant that the asset had added $11,000 in days, which, given the current uncertain landscape, was almost expected to be followed by a sharp decline.

The bears indeed took control of the market in the following days and pushed BTC south to $68,000 on Friday and Saturday. Although it was a significantly less volatile weekend compared to the previous one, BTC still felt some fluctuations on Sunday evening when most legacy futures markets opened.

As Israel struck a few Iranian oil bases, the price of the so-called liquid gold skyrocketed this morning to a fresh multi-year peak of $120 per barrel. Reports emerged that the G7 countries plan to release 400 million barrels, which drove USOIL south to under $96,000 before it rebounded to $102 as of press time.

Bitcoin dipped to $65,500, jumped to $68,500, and returned to $67,500 all within hours. Its market cap is back to $1.350 trillion, while its dominance over the alts stands at 56.5% on CG.

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BTCUSD Mar 9. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Mar 9. Source: TradingView

ETH Battles $2K

The largest altcoin jumped to $2,200 last Wednesday, but it was rejected hard and dumped to just over $1,900 days later. It rebounded and now fights for $2,000 once again, but its attempt is still looking weak.

BNB, SOL, HYPE, XMR, and LINK have charted insignificant gains daily, while XRP, TRX, DOGE, ADA, and BCH are in the red. CC has dropped the most from the larger cap alts, while TAO has soared by almost 10% to $195.

Pi Network’s PI token continues to be quite volatile, jumping 5% daily to over $0.21 after its crash to $0.20 yesterday.

The total crypto market cap has remained relatively the same, at just under $2.4 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview Mar 9. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview Mar 9. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Crypto World

S&P 500 Index and VOO stock drops as Wall Street bank predicts more downside

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S&P 500 Index and VOO stock drops as Wall Street bank predicts more downside

The S&P 500 Index and VOO, its biggest exchange-traded fund, plunged for three consecutive days, reaching its lowest level since November last year. 

Summary

  • The S&P 500 Index continued its strong downward trend.
  • JPMorgan analysts expect the index to continue falling this month.
  • The index may still rebound later this year if Donald Trump capitulates on his war.

The blue-chip index, which tracks the biggest companies in the United States, dropped to $6,637, down by over 5.2% from its highest point this year.

This retreat happened as the crisis in the Middle East escalated, pushing crude oil prices to the highest point in years. Brent and the West Texas Intermediate rose to over $115 before paring back the gains.

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The rising crude oil prices pushed US bond yields higher, with the 10-year rising to 4.17% and the 30-year hitting 4.766%. This surge is a sign that market participants expects the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish tone this year.

JPMorgan predicts a S&P 500 Index crash 

Wall Street analysts are getting antsy about the market. In a research note, analysts at JPMorgan predicted that the index will move into a correction if the war continues. 

Dropping into a correction, which is defined as a 10% drop from its peak, will push it to $6,300, its lowest level since August last year.

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However, the analyst noted that signs of an off-ramp on the war in Iran will invalidate the bearish outlook. He noted:

“A definitive off-ramp to the conflict will end this tactical call as the underlying macro fundamentals remain supportive of risk-assets.”

Similarly, Yardeni, a top research company, boosted its odds of a market meltdown to 35% from the previous 20%.

Still, as we wrote earlier, there is a possibility that the S&P 500 and VOO stock will bounce back as President Donald Trump often pays close attention to the stock market and inflation. As such, there is a possibility that he will start to capitulate soon.

Looking ahead, the S&P 500 Index will react to the upcoming US consumer inflation report, which will come out on Wednesday. 

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Economists expect the report to show that the headline Consumer Price Index rose to 2.5% in February. A higher inflation than that, coupled with the rising oil prices, may also push Trump to capitulate on his war.

The index will also react to the upcoming Oracle earnings, which will come out on Tuesday. Oracle has become a major player in the artificial intelligence industry thanks to its huge backlog.

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Aon Tests Stablecoin Payments for Insurance Premiums

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Aon Tests Stablecoin Payments for Insurance Premiums

Aon, one of the world’s largest insurance brokers, is testing the use of stablecoins to pay insurance premiums, highlighting the growing role of digital dollars in traditional financial infrastructure following the passage of the GENIUS bill last year. 

In a Monday announcement, UK-based Aon said it completed a pilot that settled insurance premiums for clients, including Coinbase and Paxos, using USDC (USDC) on Ethereum and PayPal USD (PYUSD) on Solana.

Tim Fletcher, CEO of Aon’s financial services division, said the pilot reflects the company’s effort to explore stablecoins as a payment rail, predicting that tokenized assets will become more widely used in financial transactions.

Aon said in August that its analysis showed 120 re-insurers wrote nearly $2 trillion of gross written premium in 2024.

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Source: Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck

Instead of sending funds through traditional bank wires, the premiums were paid using stablecoins on blockchain networks. The pilot demonstrates how financial institutions are experimenting with blockchain settlement systems rather than relying solely on conventional payment infrastructure.

The approach could have implications for the insurance industry, where premium payments typically move through banks, clearing systems and international wire transfers — processes that can take several days, particularly for cross-border transactions. Stablecoin transfers can settle within minutes.

The pilot did not involve a new insurance product or an onchain policy. The underlying insurance coverage remained unchanged, with the only difference being the use of stablecoins to settle the premium payments.

Related: SoFi taps BitGo to provide infrastructure for bank-issued stablecoin

Stablecoins gain traction among financial institutions

Aon’s pilot also comes amid a more supportive regulatory backdrop for stablecoins following the passage of the GENIUS Act, which established a federal framework for issuing and supervising dollar-backed stablecoins in the United States.

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The development reflects a broader shift as traditional financial institutions increasingly explore stablecoins for payments and settlement infrastructure. Several major banks, including Barclays, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Citigroup, are either confirmed or reported to be in various stages of developing stablecoin or tokenized payment systems.

Stablecoins have reached a cumulative market value of $313 billion, led by USDC and Tether’s USDt. Source: DeFiLlama

At the same time, crypto-native companies are expanding into the stablecoin payments stack. For example, Ripple has been building infrastructure aimed at supporting stablecoin custody, settlement and treasury management for institutions.

Related: US regulator mulls guidance for tokenized deposit insurance, stablecoins