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Bitcoin whale activity hits 2023 low as smart money remains quiet

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46% of Bitcoin supply now in loss, near 2022 bear levels

Bitcoin (BTC) whale activity has slowed to its weakest level since September 2023, adding to signs that large holders have turned cautious. 

Summary

  • Santiment said whale activity dropped as investors watched uncertainty and conflict in the Middle East.
  • Transfers above $100,000 and $1 million fell as Bitcoin struggled to recover after price swings.
  • Analysts said short-term holder losses and weaker speculation may mark a new Bitcoin accumulation phase.

Data from Santiment shows that transfers above $100,000 have dropped as Bitcoin trades below recent highs and investors watch policy updates and geopolitical risks.

Santiment said daily Bitcoin transactions above $100,000 fell to 6,417, the lowest reading since September 2023. Transfers above $1 million also dropped to 1,485, their lowest level since October 2024.

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The firm said activity rose sharply during Bitcoin’s early February sell-off, when large holders moved funds during heavy volatility. Since then, that pace has faded as the market entered a consolidation period and failed to regain steady momentum.

Santiment said the decline does not confirm a bullish or bearish trend on its own. The firm said whale activity has become “historically quiet” while market participants wait for more clarity around the CLARITY Act and the conflict in the Middle East.

The firm added that “smart money is in the same boat as smaller retail holders at the moment, and have been reluctant to make moves with so much policy and global uncertainty at play.” That view places the current market in a wait-and-see phase rather than a clear trend.

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Moreover, Bitcoin recently reached $76,000, its highest level in about six weeks, before sellers pushed it lower. The rejection sent the asset below $68,000, though it later rebounded toward $72,000 before slipping under $70,000 again.

The latest moves show that Bitcoin remains sensitive to external events as traders track war-related headlines and broader market signals. At the same time, the weak recovery in whale activity suggests that large holders have not yet returned with strong conviction.

Analysts point to washout among short-term holders

Ali Martinez said Bitcoin’s Realized Cap for new holders has hit a low level that often appears after speculative interest leaves the market. According to his view, the recent reset has removed many weak hands and left more committed holders in place.

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe also said short-term holders are sitting on heavy losses in what he described as capitulation. He said many traders bought during Bitcoin’s initial drop toward $80,000, only to see positions fall deeper into loss as the price moved below $70,000. 

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Crypto World

UK Sanctions Xinbi to Isolate It From the Legitimate Crypto Ecosystem

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UK Sanctions Xinbi to Isolate It From the Legitimate Crypto Ecosystem

The UK government is cracking down on a $20 billion Chinese-language crypto guarantee marketplace, with sweeping sanctions aimed at cutting the platform off from crypto access.

The UK’s Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office said in a statement Thursday that Xinbi provides crypto-based services, scam-enabling tools and other illicit services to bad actors and plays a central role in scam centers operating across Southeast Asia.

“The UK’s sanctions will isolate the platform from the legitimate crypto ecosystem, significantly disrupting its operations by affecting its ability to send and receive cryptocurrency transactions,” the agency said.

While the sanctions mainly target the crypto ecosystem, the latest wording from the UK government highlights a separation between legitimate and illicit crypto ecosystems rather than lumping them together — a positive direction for the industry’s reputation.

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Under the sanctions, any UK assets connected to Xinbi will be frozen, and the platform will be barred from the country’s financial, trade and travel networks. UK-based businesses, including banks, crypto firms and individual citizens, are prohibited from providing goods, services, loans or investments to Xinbi.

Source: Foreign Commonwealth & Development Office

Key infrastructure targeted in crackdown

Chainalysis estimates Xinbi processed more than $19.9 billion between 2021 and 2025 and is deeply interconnected with a range of other illicit services.

The department’s recent sanctions include Thet Li, who allegedly managed the international financial network of Prince Group, a Cambodia-based company accused of orchestrating large-scale crypto fraud schemes.

Hu Xiaowei, who is allegedly involved in the Prince Group’s financial network and #8 Park, a scam compound linked to the group, was also sanctioned.

Blockchain analytics company Chainalysis said in a report Thursday that the sanctions target the scam ecosystem’s on- and off-ramps that enable large-scale fraud and are “exploiting the efficient, borderless nature of crypto rails.”

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“By blacklisting a well-known Chinese-language guarantee marketplace, the FCDO is addressing the commercial marketplaces that sustain scam operators with payment facilitation and marketing services,” it said.

Related: There’s more to crypto crime than meets the eye: What you need to know

Traditional financial systems, such as wire transfers, have long been exploited for money laundering and fraud, largely because of their scale and global reach.

The Financial Action Task Force estimates that 2% to 5% of global GDP is laundered through traditional financial systems, whereas Chainalysis estimates that less than 1% of crypto transactions are linked to illicit activity.

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The US has also intensified sanctions targeting illicit crypto operations. Earlier this month, the Treasury Department sanctioned six individuals and two entities for their alleged roles in an IT worker fraud scheme orchestrated by North Korea, a state actor that frequently targets the crypto industry.

Magazine: Big Questions: Can Bitcoin save you from the dreaded Cantillon Effect?