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Bitwise wants to list prediction markets ETFs for U.S. elections in 2026 and 2028

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Bitwise argues crypto is near the end of a brutal winter

Bitwise Asset Management wants to offer a prediction markets for the next U.S. presidential election through exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Under “Prediction Shares” branding, the San Francisco-based crypto asset manager filed to list two ETFs tracking prediction markets betting on the outcome of the 2028 election — one for a Democratic winner, one for Republican — with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Tuesday.

Bitwise also listed four equivalent products for 2026 mid-terms, predicting Democratic and Republican wins in the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Each ETFs will invest their assets in prediction markets bets supporting the applicable outcome denoted by that fund.

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The same way that a bitcoin ETF allows investors to invest in BTC without purchasing the underlying cryptocurrency, these ETFs will allow users to bet on the outcome of U.S. elections without using a prediction platform like Polymarket.

Prediction markets came to prominence during the last U.S. election and now process trading volumes of around $10 billion monthly.

With ETFs also having opened the door to crypto investment for a wider array of prospective investors including institutions, Bitwise appears to trying to replicate this model for prediction markets, with the 2026 mid-terms as its testbed.

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Crypto World

Japanese Gen Z Fears Crypto Scams More Than Any Other Generation

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Japanese Gen Z stands out as the most scam-conscious generation when it comes to crypto. A new survey of 1,486 people across Japan found that younger users are far more alert to fraudulent pitches on social media than their older peers.

The gap between generations reveals that Japan’s crypto trust problem is not uniform — it varies by age and online habits.

Gen Z Watches for Scams, Boomers Struggle With Basics

The survey, conducted by Tokyo-based consulting firm Clabo in February 2026, asked respondents why they view crypto as suspicious. The top answer overall was “I don’t understand how it works,” chosen by 23.3% of respondents. Price swings came second at 21.1%, followed by fraud concerns at 19.2%.

But generational breakdowns tell a different story. Gen Z respondents flagged social media scams as their primary worry. They encounter fake giveaways and shady promotions on platforms they use daily. Older cohorts, including Japan’s bubble generation, pointed instead to the complexity of blockchain technology itself.

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How well do you understand crypto? Most Japanese respondents said they have only a vague understanding of how crypto works. Source: Clabo Inc.

Millennials showed the highest rate of actual crypto investment among all age groups. They also reported the most active information-seeking behavior.

Across all groups, half of the respondents said they had never invested in crypto. Only 33.7% said they currently hold digital assets. Another 15.7% said they once invested but have since stopped.

YouTube Leads for Investment Decisions

When it comes to where people get crypto news, traditional news sites ranked first at 38.4%. Social media followed at 36.7%, with YouTube at 31.6%. But for actual investment decisions, YouTube jumped to first place at 27%.

The survey suggests that Japan’s crypto industry still faces a basic education gap. Clabo, which offers wallet recovery and security consulting, recommended more accessible educational content tailored to each generation’s specific concerns.

The post Japanese Gen Z Fears Crypto Scams More Than Any Other Generation appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Circle to Launch cirBTC Wrapped Bitcoin for Institutions

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Circle to Launch cirBTC Wrapped Bitcoin for Institutions

Stablecoin issuer Circle said it plans to launch its own version of a wrapped Bitcoin, which would put it against incumbents Coinbase and BitGo as it targets institutional users. 

The asset, called cirBTC and announced on Thursday, is set to launch on Ethereum, backed 1:1 by bitcoin (BTC) and aimed at over-the-counter desks, market makers and lending protocols. 

Circle said the asset is designed to provide institutions with a “highly secure and neutral version of wrapped BTC.”

Financial institutions, which have become significant buyers of Bitcoin, have been actively exploring decentralized finance. Wrapped versions of Bitcoin would allow the asset to be used on other chains, such as Ethereum, giving them access to DeFi. 

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In addition to Ethereum, the new asset will also launch on Circle’s layer-1 blockchain Arc and its Circle Mint platform, said Circle. 

Cointelegraph contacted Circle for further details, but did not receive an immediate response. 

Circle joins race led by Coinbase and BitGo

Circle’s new wrapped Bitcoin joins a market currently led by BitGo’s Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) and Coinbase Wrapped Bitcoin (cbBTC).

Coinbase’s cbBTC was launched in September 2024 and has a current market capitalization of $5.9 billion and a current supply of 88,800 tokens. 

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BitGo’s wBTC is the dominant wrapped Bitcoin token, with a market capitalization of about $8 billion and 119,157 tokens in circulation. However, that figure is roughly half its November 2021 peak, when Bitcoin hit its cycle all-time high.

Related: WBTC expands to Hedera as Bitcoin liquidity flows into new DeFi rails

WBTC supply has declined over the past few years. Source: Dune

Crypto exchanges launched their own wrapped Bitcoin

Several crypto exchanges have launched variations of wrapped Bitcoin, including Kraken Wrapped BTC (KBTC), Gate Wrapped BTC (GTBTC), Binance Wrapped BTC (BBTC), Huobi BTC (HBTC) and OKX Wrapped BTC (XBTC), but their market caps are a fraction of the two leaders. 

The total combined supply of wBTC and cbBTC stands at roughly 208,000 BTC, according to CoinGecko.

Magazine: Your guide to surviving this mini-crypto winter

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