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Crypto World

BTC slips below $68,000 as dollar posts steepest weekly gain

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Bitcoin fails to sustain breakout momentum as rate hikes beckon: Crypto Markets Today

Bitcoin fell to $67,960 by Saturday morning, down 3.4% over the past 24 hours and retreating sharply from the past week’s high. The move fits what has become a recurring script in recent months, with late-week selling dragging prices toward the lower end of the range heading into Saturday.

Majors took the harder hit again. Ether dropped 4.4% to $1,974, solana fell 4% to $84.31, dogecoin lost 2.9% to $0.09, and BNB slid 2.6% to $627. XRP fell 2.2% to $1.37.

The weekly picture tells a more nuanced story though. Bitcoin is still up 3.6% over seven days. Ether has gained 2.6%. BNB added 2.1%. The mid-week surge absorbed the war shock and then some, even if Friday’s pullback took the shine off.

Meanwhile, the dollar posted its steepest weekly gain in a year, strengthening as markets priced in higher energy costs, stickier inflation, and a Fed that has even less room to cut rates. That’s a direct headwind for bitcoin and every other asset denominated against the dollar.

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“As tensions escalated in the Middle East last week, investors moved quickly to the safety of the U.S. dollar, which strengthened as markets began pricing in higher energy prices and reignited inflation fears, potentially delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts,” said Björn Schmidtke, CEO of Aurelion, in an email to CoinDesk.

The on-chain data paints a fragile picture beneath the surface. Glassnode data shows 43% of bitcoin’s total market supply is now sitting at a loss. That’s a significant overhang.

As bitcoin recovers, those underwater holders have an incentive to sell into any rally to break even, creating persistent resistance on the way up. It’s one reason the push to $74,000 on Thursday couldn’t hold. Every bounce toward higher prices runs into supply from people who’ve been waiting months to get out.

One bright spot came from stablecoin flows. Messari recorded a 415% jump in net stablecoin inflows to $1.7 billion over the week, with daily transfers up nearly 10%. That’s potentially dry powder waiting to be deployed, and it suggests retail isn’t entirely absent despite the fear-heavy sentiment. Whether that capital rotates into bitcoin or waits for lower prices is the question.

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The war continues to set the tempo. The U.S.-Iran conflict showed no signs of resolution this week. Oil remains elevated. The Strait of Hormuz is still disrupted. And the macro backdrop of strong dollar, sticky inflation, and delayed rate cuts is the worst combination for risk assets.

Bitcoin’s week looked impressive in headlines, touching $74,000 mid-week, but the round trip from $68,000 to $74,000 and back to $68,000 is just another lap of the range.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Slumps on Oil Fears as March Monthly Close Risks Deeper Sell-Off

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Bitcoin Slumps on Oil Fears as March Monthly Close Risks Deeper Sell-Off

Bitcoin grabbed downside liquidity as oil-supply pressure sent BTC price action below $66,500 to its lowest levels since March 9.

Bitcoin (BTC) neared three-week lows into Friday’s Wall Street open amid reports of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz oil route.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin reacts badly to fresh oil-supply threats ahead of Friday’s Wall Street open.

  • BTC price action hunts bid liquidity, continuing a week of low-time frame liquidity grabs.

  • Another bear flag threatens to send the market below $50,000, analysis says.

Bitcoin eyes range lows into monthly close

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action slipping below $66,500 ahead of the Wall Street open.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

US stocks futures trended down and US WTI crude oil eyed $97 per barrel as geopolitical tensions refused to let up.

Data from CoinGlass showed BTC/USD eating into a ladder of bid liquidity extending down to $65,000, with a wall of asks keeping price pinned below the $70,000 mark.

BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

“$70-71k confirmed as resistance again,” trader Jelle wrote in analysis on X the day prior. 

“Still a bunch of liquidity built up below, generally not what you see at market bottoms. Expecting that liquidity to be taken out; sooner or later.”

BTC/USD chart. Source: Jelle/X

The latest market moves continued a theme of liquidity grabs seen throughout the week.

Continuing, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe said that he would not be “surprised” about further BTC price weakness into the March monthly candle close.

“Especially given that we’re currently anticipating a potential sweep of the lows,” he told X followers on the day. 

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“In that case, I remain to be interested to be buying in the lower $60K regions.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël Van de Poppe/X

BTC price gets $41,000 “measured target”

On longer time frames, market participants focused on a potential bearish support breakdown from Bitcoin’s second bear flag construction of 2026.

Related: US recession odds near 50%: Can Bitcoin copy 2020 comeback gains?

Previously occurring in January, the current bear flag has produced targets below $50,000.

“Bitcoin setting up for a rising wedge sell signal,” veteran trader Peter Brandt warned on Wednesday, joining those calls.

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Peter Brandt/X

In his own X update, trader and educator Aaron Dishner continued the bearish tone around the flag structure.

“BTC is doing exactly what the bear flag setup called for. Price broke below the cloud yesterday on the daily, and today opened below it – currently down just 0.32% but that’s not a recovery, that’s hesitation,” he commented. 

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“The measured target from the January 14th high to the February 6th low, applied to the current flag structure, puts the downside at $41K.”