Welcome to our institutional newsletter, Crypto Long & Short. This week:

• Haider Rafique of OKX shares a firm study on the generational perspectives of crypto investing
• Top headlines institutions should pay attention to by Francisco Rodrigues
• Sky defies 2026 downturn in Chart of the Week

-Alexandra Levis

Expert Insights

Gen Z Trusts Code Over Bank Promises

By Haider Rafique, global managing partner, OKX

It’s no secret that the banking industry is worried about crypto disruption.

After months of intense lobbying, the Senate Banking Committee postponed its markup of market structure legislation, due in part to banks’ stance on stablecoin yield.

But it might not matter, because banks have a much bigger crisis on their hands: they’re completely missing out on younger consumers based on the basic principle of trust.

Given the behaviors we’ve observed on the OKX app around the world, we decided to conduct a study to understand generational perspectives in our evolving industry.

The key insights paint a clear picture: Gen Z and millennial consumers are nearly 5x more trusting of crypto compared to their boomer counterparts. Additionally, one in five Gen Z and millennial consumers say they have low trust in traditional financial institutions, while nearly three quarters (74%) of baby boomers maintain high levels of trust in the old system.

The “why” behind all of this is much deeper than viral trends and memecoins. This is a generation raised on open‑source code and real‑time dashboards who now expect the same transparency from TradFi.

And now, as the world moves on-chain and everything gets tokenized, it’s clear that young people see the digital economy as their stock market.

TradFi isn’t theirs. It belongs to their parents and grandparents.

A generation shaped by institutional failure

A recent FINRA and CFA Institute report suggests a sizable share of Gen Z investors now lean heavily into crypto relative to other assets — a behavioral signal that younger Americans are willing to look outside traditional channels when they don’t believe they’re getting transparency or competitive returns. According to the study, nearly 20% of Gen Z investors only hold crypto.

For banks, this should be a wake‑up call that trust is no longer something institutions can declare but something they must demonstrate.

Boomers built their financial lives in an era when institutions were the safest option available. Regulation meant protection, and trust was something you extended first and questioned later.

Gen Z has lived through the opposite. They came of age during the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, entered adulthood with high student debt and now face a housing market millions of units short alongside ongoing inflation.

They’ve also lived through years of policy whiplash on student loans, shifting repayment rules and weakened borrower protections. These reversals reinforced a simple lesson that institutional promises can change overnight. When trust is repeatedly tested, skepticism becomes rational.

Banks aren’t losing Gen Z to crypto; they’re losing them to trust.

Control over promises

That skepticism is reshaping what influences trust for younger generations. For boomers, security means regulatory oversight and the perceived stability of legacy institutions.

Contrarily, Gen Z consistently ranks platform security above regulation as the top driver of trust. For Gen Z, security is more personal and technical with direct ownership of assets, the ability to verify how systems work and the freedom to move value without intermediaries.

It’s why both Gen Z and millennials are 4x more bullish on crypto in 2026 compared to boomers. They can see transactions on-chain, self‑custody, audit protocols and understand the rules without waiting for a quarterly statement or a regulator’s update.

Transparency is central to this shift. Boomers tend to equate trust with regulatory approval, but Gen Z equates trust with visibility. They want to understand how decisions are made, how risks are managed and how incentives are aligned. They want clarity on fees, yields and conflicts of interest, and systems that are open by default.

Traditional banks have historically struggled here. Their value proposition was built in an era when limited transparency was often treated as a feature. And now, when a generation is accustomed to real‑time dashboards and proof of reserves, the idea of waiting for a monthly statement feels absurd. Transparency has become a baseline requirement for credibility.

The future of finance

Banks should be asking themselves: why do younger customers trust transparency more than tradition? Younger Americans want the stability of regulated finance paired with the transparency and control of digital assets, and they want products that reflect how they already interact with technology and money. The institutions that understand this shift and build for it will define the future of finance. The ones that don’t will continue to watch as younger Americans look elsewhere.

Headlines of the Week

Francisco Rodrigues

Markets stumbled this past week and miner capitulation intensified. That led to the steepest decline for Bitcoin’s mining difficulty since 2021, while corporate accumulation of cryptocurrencies and other assets continued and Russia moved closer to formalize crypto-backed lending.

Chart of the Week

Sky defies 2026 downturn

Sky has decoupled from the 2026 market downturn, outperforming BTC, CD5, and the CD20 index by 45%, 50% and 57% respectively YTD. This resilience is anchored by a consistent business model: January revenue surged 1.5x YoY to $19 million, fueling $10.4 million in YTD buybacks ($8.5 million in Jan; $1.9 million last week) and driving a flight to quality that pushed the USDS (Sky’s stablecoin) market cap from $5.8 billion to $6.5 billion.

Listen. Read. Watch. Engage.

Note: The views expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of CoinDesk, Inc., CoinDesk Indices or its owners and affiliates.

• MYX Finance price dropped more than 30% to under $4 amid mounting selling pressure.
• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests oversold conditions, potentially sparking a relief bounce.
• Downside is, however, the path of least resistance amid a technical breakdown.

MYX Finance (MYX) price has declined by more than 30% in the past 24 hours, hitting fresh lows under $4.

The Sequoia and Consensus-backed decentralized liquidity protocol ranked as the biggest loser among the top 100 coins on Wednesday, with its dramatic downturn extending the rot since prices sharply dropped from highs of $6.9.

As of writing on February 11, 2026, the token’s price hovered at levels last seen in early January.

MYX Finance price falls 30% as sell-off intensifies

There were sharp declines across the broader cryptocurrency market on Wednesday as Bitcoin fell to under $66k again.

But while Arbitrum, Bittensor, World Liberty Financial, and Jupiter all slipped, MYX Finance’s 30% drop over the period was the sharpest.

The bleeding pushed the token below the critical $4 threshold, with a return to $3.88 marking the biggest drop since the 48% mauling on October 10, 2025.

Why is MYX Finance price down?

MYX is crashing amid massive selling pressure. According to CoinMarketCap data, the altcoin saw a nearly 120% spike in daily trading volume as prices plummeted.

As noted, the sell-off comes as the broader crypto market jitters push sentiment into extreme fear territory.

Bitcoin’s struggle to hold above $70k, with sharp declines to $65k in the past 24 hours, has exacerbated the downside action.

Spooked holders are now dumping the MYX accumulated during the token’s rally to above $6.9 last month.

The price capitulation now has MYX Finance’s total value locked (TVL) down to $27 million. DeFiLlama also shows protocol fees, a key revenue driver, are also sharply down as institutional interest wanes.

Open interest in MYX perpetual futures contracts has slipped to $26 million, compared to over $182 million in October 2025 and $59 million in early January.

Technical analysis: What next for MYX?

From a technical perspective, MYX Finance’s trajectory is largely bearish.

The token has decisively broken below a multi-week ascending channel pattern on the daily chart, with the technical formation having supported its uptrend to year-to-date highs.

This breakdown, which could be confirmed by a close under the channel’s lower boundary, signals strong downside continuation.

Other indicators allude to the potential for further erosion of bullish momentum.

RSI on the daily chart is decisively sloping into oversold territory, but it’s not there yet to suggest room for bears to manoeuvre.

MYX price is also below a key ascending trendline from Nov. 2025, with psychological support at $3.60. If sellers drive MYX under $3.00, the next major demand reload zone will be $1.85.

On the upside, any short-term rebound faces formidable resistance at the $6.90 zone. Before that, bulls have to negotiate the mild overhead supply clusters around $4.80.

CryptoProcessing by CoinsPaid adds Polygon support to enable merchants to accept POL and USDC payments on the EVM network.

CryptoProcessing by CoinsPaid, Europe’s leading crypto payment gateway, has expanded its network coverage with support for Polygon, allowing merchants to process payments in POL and USDC on the EVM-compatible blockchain.

Commenting on the update, Alexey Tulia, Chief Technology Officer at CoinsPaid, said: “Polygon offers fast confirmations, low and predictable transaction costs, and well-established stablecoin liquidity for payment use cases. From a technical standpoint, it’s a mature option for merchants processing high transaction volumes and integrates cleanly with existing EVM-based payment flows.”

Polygon is among the most used EVM networks and ranks in the top tier globally by overall adoption. Its addition gives businesses more flexibility when selecting a network for crypto payments, particularly in cases where speed, cost predictability, and liquidity are important.

An additional EVM network for payments

Polygon operates as an account-based EVM blockchain, which makes it compatible with existing Ethereum-based infrastructure. For merchants already accepting payments across EVM networks, Polygon can be added without significant changes to underlying business logic or operational processes.

This allows businesses to route transactions through a network that fits their transaction profile while keeping the same processing setup.

Stablecoin payments on Polygon

With USDC on Polygon, CryptoProcessing supports a widely used stablecoin on a network optimised for high transaction throughput. This is relevant for merchants processing frequent payments, recurring billing, or cross-border transactions, where predictable costs and settlement times are important.

Support for POL provides additional flexibility for businesses that operate within the Polygon ecosystem or receive payments from counterparties using the network’s native asset.

Expanding network coverage

By adding Polygon, CryptoProcessing continues to expand its EVM network coverage and provide merchants with more choice in how they accept and process crypto payments. The integration supports higher transaction volumes while maintaining a consistent processing setup for businesses using the platform.

About CryptoProcessing by CoinsPaid

CryptoProcessing by CoinsPaid is Europe’s leading crypto payment gateway, enabling businesses worldwide to accept and process cryptocurrency payments seamlessly. The service provides a secure, compliant, and high-speed payment infrastructure that helps merchants expand globally, minimise transaction costs, and access new customer segments.

With more than 30 million transactions processed annually, robust security standards, and a reputation as one of the most reliable crypto payment solutions on the market, CryptoProcessing by CoinsPaid empowers companies to integrate crypto payments into everyday operations with confidence and ease.

The top Democrat on the U.S. House Financial Services Committee demanded the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission explain during a Wednesday hearing what happened with the agency’s enforcement interest in Tron Foundation founder Justin Sun and whether his ties to President Donald Trump have had an influence.

Representative Maxine Waters highlighted the U.S. securities regulators’ abandonment of almost all of its previous crypto enforcement cases when Trump took over the White House and replaced the agency’s leadership last year. She underlined the case against Sun in which the agency investigated Sun and his company on wide-ranging allegations, including that they’d improperly jacked up the price of their token (TRX).

SEC Chairman Paul Atkins told the committee that he couldn’t discuss individual cases, but he expressed his willingness to have further conversations in a confidential briefing “to the extent the rules allow me to do that.”

Sun was formally accused by the SEC in 2023 of trying to artificially inflate TRX’s trading volume through a so-called “wash trading” scheme, allegedly having his own employees “engage in more than 600,000 wash trades of TRX between two crypto asset trading platform accounts he controlled.” But the agency moved to pause that case in court a year ago “while they consider a potential resolution.” No resolution has yet been announced.

“Well, while you were exploring a potential resolution, Mr. Sun has been busy ingratiating himself within Trump’s orbit,” Waters said to Atkins, referencing Sun’s ties to the Trump family’s World Liberty Financial Inc.

Waters also flagged a more recent development in which an alleged former girlfriend of Sun suggested publicly that she had evidence of TRX manipulation.

Spokespeople for Tron and Sun didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment on the exchange during Wednesday’s hearing.

“Chairman Atkins, you have said that under your leadership, the SEC will focus on real fraud,” she said. “Does your statement extend to fraud in the crypto market?”

“Whatever involves securities,” Atkins responded.

His agency last year dropped high-profile enforcement matters against Binance, Ripple, Coinbase, Kraken, Robinhood and several other companies, with its new management criticizing the “regulation-by-enforcement” approach to crypto under the agency’s previous leadership.

Asked by another Democratic lawmaker whether his agency ever protects investors at a cost to Trump’s businesses, Atkins responded, “As far as what the Trump family does or not, I can’t speak to that.”

While Democrats have focused on the SEC’s reversal of its previous crypto enforcement work, Republicans on the committee concentrated on Atkins’ promises that he’ll provide the crypto industry regulations to clarify — alongside the Commodity Futures Trading Commission — how the companies can operate in the U.S.

Atkins said the agencies are working on rules “consistent with what’s in the Clarity Act that you all passed here in the House, and hopefully what will come out of the joint work that you’re doing with the Senate. So, you know, we will carry that forward, and basically it’ll help give certainty as to where the jurisdiction of the two agencies are.”

As the SEC and CFTC work on that joint effort under their Project Crypto label, the CFTC also recently moved to embrace the new U.S. stablecoin approach by revising an earlier so-called “no action” letter that now clarifies that national trust banks can issue payment stablecoins, expanding the list of eligible tokenized collateral to include the tokens issued by such banks.

Also on Wednesday, the U.S. regulator of credit unions, the National Credit Union Administration, proposed a rule governing how firms can apply to become stablecoin issuers. It’s an opening step toward implementing last year’s Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act — the crypto industry’s first major legislative win.

In the meantime, the crypto sector is now watching a policy race between Atkins’ SEC and Senate lawmakers working on the Clarity Act to regulate U.S. crypto markets. With recent setbacks dragging on the Senate’s progress, Atkins’ agency may take a lead in establishing digital assets rules.

Read More: House Democrats slam SEC for dropping crypto cases with Trump ties

Pepe has lost nearly three quarters of its value, but top wallets have steadily accumulated since the market-wide October sell-off.

Popular meme coins, including Pepe, have been trading in the red for almost a month after shedding 40% as the broader market remains under pressure. Despite multiple attempts, the token has not been able to stabilize since the October crash last year.

Since then, PEPE whales have accumulated 23 trillion tokens.

Heavy Whale Accumulation

In the latest update, Santiment revealed that the frog-themed token has lost approximately 73% of its market capitalization since reaching its peak nearly nine months ago. Despite the steep decline, the on-chain analytics platform noted a major change in behavior among large holders.

During the broader market crash in October, which began around four months ago, the top 100 Pepe wallets switched direction and accumulated a combined 23.02 trillion PEPE tokens. Santiment highlighted that “smart money” wallets often play a significant role when altcoins eventually reverse trend and post major rallies.

While retail sentiment toward Pepe and the broader meme coins is currently very bearish, it stated that assets seeing heavy accumulation have historically broken out again once Bitcoin regains steady bullish momentum.

However, a market commentator said Pepe’s price trend looks strongly bearish. According to the analysis, PEPE is trading below all major moving averages, while the Supertrend indicator remains on a sell signal. The ADX shows strong trend strength, and the negative directional indicator appears to be dominating, which points to continued downside pressure.

The analyst identified $0.0000031 as an important support level to watch. If that level breaks, the next downside targets are $0.00000197 and then $0.000000529. The commentator added that only a move back above $0.00000726 would shift focus back to a potential reversal.

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Meme Coins’ Struggle Continues

Pepe, which is trading at $0.0000035 after declining by 4% over the past day, is not the only meme coin to have suffered under the current market conditions. Dogecoin, the oldest and largest meme coin by market cap, has witnessed a similar downturn as it trades near $0.090. Shiba Inu was also down by almost 3% during the same period, hovering at $0.0000058.

Bonk and Floki shared a similar fate as well.

Hong Kong — Tokenization is gaining traction, but its success depends less on market hype and more on real-world utility, say executives from Ondo Finance and Securitize.

“There’s no shortage of firms, of issuers, of companies that are interested in tokenizing,” said Graham Ferguson, head of ecosystem at Securitize, during a panel discussion at Consensus Hong Kong. “But it’s on us to figure out how to distribute these assets on-chain via exchanges in a way that is compliant, regulatory-friendly globally.”

Ferguson emphasized that despite high interest on the institutional side, distribution and compliance remain the bottlenecks. “The biggest issue that we run into is communicating with exchanges and DeFi protocols about the requirements that are necessary to adhere to our obligations as a regulated entity,” he said.

Securitize has partnered with firms such as BlackRock to tokenize real-world assets, including U.S. Treasury funds. BlackRock’s BUIDL fund, launched in 2024, now holds over $2.2 billion in assets, making it the largest tokenized Treasury fund on the market.

Ondo Finance, which also focuses on tokenized Treasuries and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), has about $2 billion in total value locked (TVL) according to data from rwa.xzy. Min Lin, Ondo’s managing director of global expansion, said tokenized Treasuries today are a fraction of the potential market.

Both speakers stressed that the next phase of tokenization will be driven by what users can actually do with tokenized assets. Ondo recently enabled tokenized stocks and ETFs to be used as margin collateral in DeFi perpetuals — a first, Lin said.

“That brings a lot more capital efficiency in terms of the utility of those tokenized assets,” he added.

Ferguson agreed, arguing that technological advantages like programmable compliance and fast settlement aren’t enough on their own. “Utility is absolutely far and away number one,” he said. “That’s what will drive the next phase.”

Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) spent years marketing itself as being governed by decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) that would have oversight over many parts of the product, including “the addition and removal of merchants and custodians.”

Its whitepaper claimed that “signatures are required from DAO members in order to add/remove members.”

Even as recently as a few months ago, WBTC has continued to emphasize that it “operates through a DAO.”

However, this supposed role of the WBTC DAO hasn’t always been respected.

HTX, formerly Huobi, was added as a merchant, the product’s term for an entity who can initiate mints and burns of WBTC, however, it was not approved by the DAO members listed on the Github, but a different set of signers from a different multisignature wallet.

A review of the smart contract reveals that 0xbE6d2444a717767544a8b0Ba77833AA6519D81cD is one of the merchants returned by the “getMerchants” function.

The Uniswap price spiked after securing a major deal with Securitize, BlackRock’s partner. 

Uniswap (UNI) token jumped to a high of $4.57, its highest point since January 29, and 62% above its lowest level this year. It then pulled back to $3.7 at press time. It remains 68% below its 2025 peak.

UNI price jumped after a major deal between Uniswap and Securitize, a company that offers real-world asset tokenization. The partnership will see the BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) available on UniswapX. 

As a result, on-chain trading for BUIDL will now be possible, unlocking liquidity options for BUIDL holders. It aims to bridge traditional finance and decentralized finance. In a statement, Hayden Adams, Uniswap Labs founder and CEO said:

“Enabling BUIDL on UniswapX with BlackRock and Securitize supercharges our mission by creating efficient markets, better liquidity, and faster settlement. I’m excited to see what we build together.”

The partnership came at a time when Uniswap is facing major headwinds, including the soaring competition from other DEX networks like PancakeSwap and Raydiu. Most of the competition is coming from perpetual DEX networks like Hyperliquid, edgeX, Lighter, and Aster.

For example, data compiled by DeFi Llama shows that Uniswap handled over $60 billion in volume in January, much lower than the October high of $123 billion. Its fees dropped to $58 million from the October high of $132 million.

On the other hand, Hyperliquid’s volume in January stood at over $208 billion, while its fees was $78 million. Aster and Lighter are handling more volume than Uniswap as demand for decentralized perpetual futures rise.

UNI price prediction: Technical analysis

The daily timeframe chart shows that the UNI crypto price has been in a strong downward trend in the past few months. It dropped from a high of $12.30 in August to a low of $2.80 this month.

The coin rebounded and retested the important resistance level at $4.55 after the BlackRock announcement. This price was important as it coincides with the neckline of the head-and-shoulders chart pattern that formed between April and January this year.

Therefore, there are signs that the coin has formed a break-and-retest pattern, a common continuation sign in technical analysis. This pattern often leads to a continuation, meaning the downward trend will resume as the crypto market crash continues.

Bitcoin, the trailblazer of the crypto markets, extended a three-day retreat after failing to sustain a breakthrough above $70,000, briefly slipping under $66,000 during the New York session. The move comes as liquidity in spot markets appears thinner, with on-chain signals pointing to the possibility that selling pressure on dominant venue Binance is guiding the short-term trajectory. While the setup has drawn comparisons to prior pullbacks, the current dynamics show subdued US participation and a reluctance among traders to redeploy capital at current levels. Investors are watching whether the price can establish a more durable bottom or if the weakness spills into the broader risk-on spectrum, given the sensitivity of Bitcoin to macro risk sentiment, ETF flows, and spot demand signals.

Key takeaways

• The Coinbase premium index has dipped below zero, signaling muted US spot demand at current price levels.
• Cumulative volume delta (CVD) on Binance has remained negative, underscoring persistent net selling pressure rather than accumulation.
• The 30-day new money flow has flipped to negative territory, around –$2.8 billion, suggesting weaker fresh capital entering the market.
• Open interest has declined to about $17.6 billion, indicating a unwind of leverage rather than new long exposure.
• The “young supply” metric (coins moved in the last 0–1 month) has cooled to roughly 13%, pointing to thinner speculative participation compared with prior rallies.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC

Sentiment: Bearish

Price impact: Negative. The failure to sustain above $70,000 and the renewed downside move below $66,000 reflect renewed selling pressure and a cautious posture among traders.

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. The lack of robust spot demand and waning open interest suggest patience until on-chain signals and price action align for a nearer-term reversal.

Market context: The current pullback follows a period of net selling pressure on Binance with a subdued US participation backdrop, as the Coinbase premium remains negative and on-chain metrics trend softer than in prior upswings.

Why it matters

The latest data paints a picture of a market that is trading with caution rather than enthusiasm. Bitcoin’s price action near the $66,000 level coincides with several on-chain indicators that have historically presaged slower bullish inflows rather than renewed buying interest. The negative CVD on Binance, coupled with a muted Coinbase premium, suggests that spot-led demand—the fuel for a sustained upmove—has cooled at these price levels. In practical terms, the market is testing whether investors will step in at lower levels or if the liquidity tap remains largely off, complicating any attempt to stage a durable rally in the near term.

From a leverage perspective, the steady decline in open interest implies that traders are closing positions rather than initiating new long bets. This is important because it signals a risk-tolerant environment is not currently driving new exposures; instead, participants are digesting the recent price action and awaiting clearer catalysts. The combined effect of shrinking leverage and muted new money flow reduces the odds of a rapid, self-sustaining rebound in Bitcoin prices without a shift in the broader liquidity backdrop or a fresh wave of buying momentum from major players.

Looking at the supply-side signals, the “young supply” share has cooled toward the lower end of its range, suggesting a lull in speculative participation from newer entrants. When the youth supply shrinks, it often accompanies a lack of capitulation-driven liquidity rather than the exuberance seen in stronger uptrends. In the current context, the market atmosphere resembles a phase of consolidation with a cautious tilt, rather than a momentum-driven breakout. The data also underlines the interplay between spot demand and the efficiency of price discovery in a market where futures and ETFs can influence the pace and direction of moves, even as spot liquidity remains fragile.

For readers tracking cross-corridors of influence, the ongoing discussion around spot Bitcoin ETFs and their inflows remains relevant. Related reporting has highlighted that spot Bitcoin ETFs added significant inflows recently, underscoring how new vehicles can alter risk appetite and liquidity dynamics even as spot markets grapple with a cooler demand cycle. This backdrop reinforces the notion that any sustained upside will likely hinge on a combination of improved on-chain demand, favorable macro conditions, and constructive ETF or futures flows that re-energize liquidity in the ecosystem.

Additional on-chain context comes from CryptoQuant data, which continues to emphasize the absence of robust spot demand below the $70,000 threshold. The 30-day money flow is negative, hovering near –$2.8 billion, with daily readings around the mid-to-high single-digit hundreds of millions of dollars in the red. In this environment, weaker inflows reduce the likelihood of a fast-paced re-acceleration, even as the market eyes any sign of a structural shift or a change in the ratio of bids to asks that could spark renewed buying interest.

All told, the market appears to be navigating a transitional phase: price discovery is proceeding in a backdrop of thinning liquidity, a cautious stance among buyers, and on-chain signals that favor restraint over aggression. While some traders will remain hopeful for a fast revival, others may choose to observe the next few sessions for clearer confirmation that demand is returning with conviction, not merely oscillating around a key price threshold.

Related: Spot Bitcoin ETFs add $167M, nearly erase last week’s outflows

CryptoQuant data further reinforces the lack of spot demand below $70,000. The 30-day cumulative new money flow has turned negative, near -$2.8 billion, while recent daily readings remain subdued around -$239 million. Unlike prior uptrends where price pullbacks drew meaningful inflows, the current price slide has not sparked a corresponding surge of capital into the market.

The “young supply” share (0–1 month), which tracks coins moved recently, has also cooled toward the lower end of its recent range, hovering near 13%. This pattern points to reduced speculative participation from newer traders, a characteristic frequently observed before the formation of a new base rather than during a fresh leg higher. Strong rallies in the past have been accompanied by rising young supply, expanding capital inflows, and increasing open interest—none of which are evident in the current phase, adding to the cautioned tone around near-term price prospects.

Related: Rare Bitcoin signal flashes: Will a 220percent BTC price rally follow?

TLDR:

• Gold’s 427% rally since 2016 enters the same zone where previous decade-long super runs peaked in 1980 and 2011. 
• Historical pattern shows gold consolidates for years after peaks while capital rotates into stocks for extended rallies. 
• Cryptocurrency now provides institutional alternative for capital rotation that didn’t exist during previous gold cycles. 
• Combination of cooling inflation, rising real rates, and Fed tightening typically signals end of gold super runs.

Gold has reached a price level that historically marks the end of major bull runs. The precious metal recently hit a cycle high near $5,600, reflecting a 427% gain since 2016.

Market analysts now compare current conditions to previous decade-long rallies that ended in 1980 and 2011. The pattern suggests a potential rotation of capital into other asset classes.

However, this cycle introduces a new variable with crypto markets now positioned as institutional investments.

Historical Super Runs Follow Consistent Decade Pattern

Gold moves in extended bull markets that typically last nine to ten years. The 1970 to 1980 rally delivered returns of 2,403% before peaking.

Another super run from 2001 to 2011 generated 655% gains. The current 2016 to 2026 cycle has produced 427% returns so far.

These prolonged trends don’t continue indefinitely, according to market data. Instead, gold runs hard for approximately a decade before entering extended consolidation periods.

After reaching peaks, the metal often trades sideways or declines for years. The pattern has repeated across different economic environments and policy regimes.

Bull Theory noted on social media that gold just entered the same zone where every major bull run historically ended. The observation points to technical and fundamental factors aligning with previous market tops.

Yet a new high alone doesn’t confirm a peak has formed. The current position simply indicates the rally is no longer in early stages.

Several factors typically combine to end gold super runs. Inflation cooling and real rates moving higher create headwinds for the metal.

Federal Reserve tightening policies reduce speculative demand. Dollar stabilization removes currency-driven buying pressure. Risk appetite returning to markets pulls capital toward growth assets.

Crypto Emerges as New Rotation Destination

Previous gold peaks in 1980 and 2011 triggered capital flows into equities. After the 1980 top, stocks entered a two-decade bull market.

The 2011 peak preceded another extended equity rally through the 2010s. Gold cooled while stock markets absorbed investment capital seeking returns.

The current cycle presents a different landscape compared to earlier periods. Cryptocurrency markets have matured into institutional asset classes with regulated exchange-traded funds.

Public companies now hold Bitcoin on balance sheets. The investor base has expanded beyond retail traders to include pension funds and corporate treasuries.

This development changes the traditional rotation pattern that followed gold peaks. Capital flowing out of precious metals now has multiple destinations.

Instead of moving solely into stocks, funds can allocate to Bitcoin and digital assets. Crypto represents the risk-on component that didn’t exist in previous cycles.

The potential shift could reshape how bull markets unfold across asset classes. If gold enters a consolidation phase similar to past patterns, both stocks and crypto may benefit.

Bitcoin’s role as a high-beta growth asset positions it to capture speculative capital. The combination of established equities and emerging digital markets creates broader opportunities for portfolio allocation.