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Can 1 Million New BNB Holders Undo Price Crash to 7-Month Low?

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BNB New Addresses

BNB has experienced a sharp correction, with the price falling from $900 to near $700 in recent sessions. The decline erased months of gains and pushed the asset to a seven-month low. 

While selling pressure has dominated, the downturn may not be finished unless holder behavior shifts. Emerging on-chain trends suggest conditions could still change.

BNB Is Observing A Flood Of New Holders

BNB’s network activity has shown notable strength despite the price crash. New address creation has risen consistently over recent days, peaking near 1.3 million additions. Even now, the network continues to add more than 1 million new addresses daily. This growth signals sustained interest during a volatile period.

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New addresses are significant because they often represent fresh capital entering the ecosystem. While existing holders are facing selling pressure, new participants can help absorb supply. Historically, strong network growth during corrections has supported stabilization. For BNB, this influx may counterbalance distribution if buying interest persists.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

BNB New Addresses
BNB New Addresses. Source: Glassnode

Despite improving on-chain participation, derivatives data remains bearish. Futures market positioning shows a clear skew toward downside risk. Liquidation maps highlight approximately $43 million in short liquidation leverage compared with just $6 million on the long side. This imbalance reflects strong bearish conviction among leveraged traders.

Such positioning often amplifies volatility. If price continues to decline, long liquidations could accelerate losses. The map shows the largest cluster of long contracts sitting at $682, BNB’s next support. Losing this support would also trigger $3.07 million in long liquidations. For now, the dominance of bearish exposure suggests caution.

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BNB Liquidation Map
BNB Liquidation Map. Source: Coinglass

BNB Price Correction Could Continue

BNB price has declined 22.5% over the past seven days and is trading near $698 at the time of writing. Technical indicators point to continued weakness. The Fibonacci Extension tool identifies $682 as the next major support level, making it a critical zone for near-term price stability.

If broader market conditions remain bearish, downside risks increase. Continued liquidations or heightened volatility could push BNB below $682. A breakdown there would likely send the price toward $650 or lower. Such a move would deepen losses and reinforce bearish sentiment among short-term investors.

BNB Price Analysis
BNB Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

A recovery scenario depends on capital inflows offsetting bearish pressure. If demand strengthens, BNB could reclaim $735 and advance toward $768. Flipping the latter into support would invalidate the bearish thesis. Under that outcome, BNB price may recover toward $821, signaling renewed confidence.

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Crypto World

Current BTC Price Action Shows Dramatic Underperformance: Analyst

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Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Halving, Bitcoin Halving

The current Bitcoin (BTC) market cycle is “dramatically” weaker than the three previous cycles, according to Alex Thorn, the head of firmwide research at investment firm Galaxy.

Thorn compared price action since the April 2024 Bitcoin halving to cycles triggered in 2012, 2016 and 2020; the current cycle shows significantly dampened volatility and lower upside. The all-time high above $125,000 on Oct. 5, 2025 was only 97% above the 2024 halving price around $63,000.

BTC’s price increased by about 9,294% during the 2012 halving cycle, reaching a high of about $1,163, and climbed by about 2,950% during the 2016 halving cycle, reaching a high of about $19,891. The 2020 halving saw a price increase of about 761%.

Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Halving, Bitcoin Halving
A comparison of Bitcoin’s price action in previous halving cycles. Source: Alex Thorn

“Cycle four is dramatically underperforming prior cycles,” Thorn said in an X post, asking, “Is this the new normal, or is it the new normal until it isn’t?”

The decreasing volatility in each successive BTC halving cycle suggests that traditional market dynamics are changing and that BTC’s price may start to be influenced more by other factors, rather than the halving or the four-year cycle market theory.

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The 30-day Bitcoin Volatility Index, which spiked to 9.64% on April 2, 2020, has not been above 3.11% in the current cycle, a reading last tipped on Aug. 24, 2024. At last look, the latest 30-day estimate for that volatility gauge is 1.75%, according to Bitbo data.

Related: Bitcoin bull run ‘still too early’ to call as demand lags exiting capital: Analyst

Critics say current cycle performance ignores the premature all-time high before 2024’s halving

BTC reached what was then the all-time high above the $70,000 level in March 2024 — one month before the April 2024 halving.

The approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States in January 2024 was the primary catalyst for the price pump.

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Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Halving, Bitcoin Halving
The price of BTC hit an all-time high before the April 2024 halving. Source: TradingView

This historic anomaly of BTC hitting a new all-time high before the halving skewed the current cycle’s price performance, critics of Thorn’s analysis said.

Bitcoin drawdowns have also become less severe, as volatility has declined, according to Fidelity Digital Assets.

Previous Bitcoin bear markets have seen declines between 80% and 90%, according to Zack Wainwright, a Fidelity Digital Assets research analyst.

However, Bitcoin’s crash to $60,000 from the all-time high above $125,000 represents a decline just north of 50%, Fidelity’s analysis noted.

In March, Jan van Eck, CEO of asset management company VanEck, said that BTC is close to bottoming out and that he expects the price to begin gradually rising again in 2026. 

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At last look, the biggest crypto was trading at about $74,703, up almost 5% in the last seven days, according to TradingView data.

Magazine: Bitcoin will not hit $1M by 2030, says veteran trader Peter Brandt