Bitcoin is on the cusp of falling below $70,000 for the first time since Wednesday, after climbing as high as $74,000 earlier this week.

The decline reflects a broader risk-off shift in markets as investors position ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic data and the developing war in Iran.

For now, attention is focused on the U.S. jobs report due at 13:30 UTC. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.3% while nonfarm payrolls are forecast to drop to 59,000.

Labor market data is closely watched because it can influence expectations around Federal Reserve interest-rate policy, often leading investors to reduce risk exposure ahead of the release.

The war with Iran, nearing the end of its first week, is also contributing to market caution, pushing oil prices higher. WTI crude has climbed to around $83 per barrel, up more than 5% over the past 24 hours.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has strengthened above 99 and the yield on the 10-year Treasury has risen to roughly 4.16%. Equity markets are slightly weaker, with the Invesco QQQ ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq 100 index, down about 0.5% in pre-market trading.

Crypto related stocks including Strategy (MSTR), Coinbase (COIN), and MARA Holdings (MARA) are also lower in pre-market trading.

TLDR:

• SEC moved to dismiss fraud claims against Justin Sun and TRON entities after nearly three years of litigation
• Rainberry Inc. will pay a $10M civil penalty while all claims against Justin Sun personally disappear
• The original SEC case accused TRON firms of 600,000 wash trades tied to $TRX market activity
• Celebrity promotions involving $TRX and $BTT tokens formed a central part of the regulator’s case

The U.S. SEC has moved to end its long-running lawsuit against TRON founder Justin Sun. Regulators asked a court to dismiss claims tied to a 2023 fraud case involving TRON entities. 

A TRON-affiliated company will pay a $10 million civil penalty as part of the agreement. The resolution closes a dispute that centered on token sales, trading activity, and celebrity promotions.

SEC Ends Justin Sun Lawsuit Over TRX and BTT Token Sales

The original complaint targeted Justin Sun, the TRON Foundation, and the BitTorrent Foundation. Regulators alleged the firms sold unregistered securities tied to the TRX and BTT tokens.

According to the filing, the SEC claimed TRON entities conducted large volumes of wash trading. The complaint referenced more than 600,000 trades designed to inflate market activity.

The regulator also accused Sun’s companies of paying celebrities to promote tokens without disclosure. Those promotions included social media campaigns tied to $TRX and BitTorrent’s $BTT token.

The SEC now seeks to dismiss the claims against Sun personally. Court filings show the dismissal would occur without admissions of wrongdoing from the defendants.

The civil penalty will come from Rainberry Inc., a company linked to TRON operations. The proposed settlement would close the enforcement case after nearly three years.

TRON Founder Responds as SEC Crypto Enforcement Approach Shifts

Justin Sun confirmed the development through a post on X. He stated the regulator had moved to dismiss claims against him and TRON-related entities.

Sun also noted that the resolution closes the legal dispute while allowing him to continue working in the sector. He said his focus remains on expanding crypto innovation globally.

A separate post from the Wise Advice account summarized the settlement terms. It noted the penalty payment and the dismissal of all charges against Sun personally.

The same post argued the outcome reflects a wider shift in the SEC’s crypto enforcement strategy. Recent settlements and paused cases have reduced several ongoing legal battles.

The earlier complaint formed part of a broader regulatory push targeting token sales and trading activity. The settlement now closes one of the more visible cases tied to TRON’s ecosystem.

TRON’s market capitalization currently sits near $25 billion, according to widely cited market data. Some commentators questioned the relatively small penalty in relation to the network’s size.

Sun and TRON DAO described the outcome as a positive step for the project. The resolution allows the organizations to move forward without further litigation tied to the case.

Vancouver’s financial staff have recommended against establishing a dedicated Bitcoin reserve, arguing the move would breach the Vancouver Charter and advising the council to drop the proposal. In a March 2 motions update, Colin Knight, who heads the Finance and Supply Chain Management department, stated that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) cannot be held as an allowable investment for the city. The recommendation comes after Mayor Ken Sim had floated the idea in 2024 as part of a broader effort to diversify reserves and embrace digital assets. Although the proposal previously cleared the council with bipartisan support, staff now say a pragmatic path forward is to merge the initiative with related workstreams and defer a formal decision until the March 10 council meeting. The context is further colored by ongoing debates about Bitcoin’s role as an inflation hedge and the asset’s recent price gyrations.

Key takeaways

• Vancouver staff concluded Bitcoin cannot be considered an allowable municipal investment under the Vancouver Charter, effectively blocking a dedicated Bitcoin reserve.
• The original proposal, spearheaded by Mayor Ken Sim in late 2024, aimed to diversify the city’s reserves and position Vancouver as a Bitcoin-friendly city; it had received council support in earlier votes.
• The strategy’s momentum faced a heads-up from macro-market dynamics, with Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative challenged as the asset’s price retreated from its peak in 2025.
• Staff recommended folding the Bitcoin reserve idea into other priorities, with a final decision expected at the March 10 council meeting.
• Analysts remain divided on Bitcoin’s near- to mid-term role as a treasury hedge, with some staying bullish while others caution against relying on the narrative amid volatility.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC

Market context: The Vancouver staff decision reflects the tension between public-treasury policy constraints and the evolving crypto market narrative. While some policymakers and economists have highlighted Bitcoin as a potential inflation hedge, municipal treasuries must operate within charter provisions and risk frameworks. The discussion in Vancouver mirrors broader debates about whether public funds should allocate to volatile digital assets, especially as BTC has experienced pronounced drawdowns after a multi-year rally.

Why it matters

The case unfolding in Vancouver highlights how municipal governance intersects with crypto asset policy. If a major metropolis cannot classify Bitcoin as an allowable investable asset, it signals the seriousness of charter constraints that curb public exposure to asset classes with inherently high volatility and regulatory uncertainty. For investors and builders in the crypto space, the outcome may affect the tempo of public-sector pilots or pilot-like programs in other jurisdictions, nudging cities to pursue more conservative treasury strategies or to explore non-custodial partnerships and educational initiatives rather than direct holdings.

From a market perspective, the incident underscores that Bitcoin’s appeal as a potential hedge is not static. While proponents have described BTC as “digital gold” due to its capped supply, the asset has weathered tough macro conditions, with price action testing the resilience of the inflation-hedge thesis. In recent cycles, price volatility has intensified discussions about whether institutions and public bodies should treat BTC as a long-duration store of value or a speculative instrument. The Vancouver update underscores a broader caution that policy decisions can lag or diverge from rapid shifts in market sentiment, potentially shaping how future public-sector experiments with digital assets are framed.

For city staff and policymakers, the decision sets a precedent on how to reconcile long-term financial resilience with legal and governance constraints. Proponents argued that diversifying reserves could help counter inflationary pressures and preserve purchasing power, but skeptics pointed to charter limits, risk tolerance, and the need for clear governance frameworks. This tension—between ambition for innovative treasury tools and the discipline of municipal finance rules—will likely inform future discussions in Vancouver and similar jurisdictions as crypto assets remain part of the broader policy conversation.

What to watch next

• March 10 council vote: whether to drop the Bitcoin reserve motion entirely or to flesh out a merged initiative that remains within charter constraints.
• Any formal amendments to Vancouver’s investment policy or treasury framework that could reflect a more nuanced approach to digital assets without direct holdings.
• Subsequent clarifications from city staff on the precise language of “allowable investments” under the Vancouver Charter and how it applies to digital assets.
• Public and expert commentary on Bitcoin’s ongoing role as an inflation hedge in the context of municipal-level risk management.
• Broader municipal-stewardship experiments with crypto assets in other Canadian cities, which could foreshadow a wider policy trajectory if Vancouver’s stance evolves.

SOURCES & verification

• Vancouver City Council motions update report dated March 2, linked in the council documentation
• The late-2024 motion introduced by Mayor Ken Sim titled “Preserving the City’s Purchasing Power Through Diversification of Financial Reserves — Becoming a Bitcoin-Friendly City”
• Cointelegraph coverage on Vancouver’s Bitcoin-friendly city initiative and subsequent council vote
• Cointelegraph reporting on Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative and price movements referenced in the discussion

Bitcoin’s change of course in municipal finance

The Vancouver episode provides a focused lens on how public funds intersect with crypto policy. The staff’s conclusion—that Bitcoin cannot be classified as an allowable investment under the Vancouver Charter—does not erase the underlying questions about digital assets’ place in government balance sheets. It signals a move toward caution, prioritization, and policy alignment over rapid adoption of new asset classes in municipal reserves. While the market continues to debate Bitcoin’s long-term role as an inflation hedge, public finance remains anchored in governance, risk tolerance, and legal frameworks that govern how treasury assets are defined, managed, and reported.

What to watch next

As Vancouver prepares for its March 10 council session, observers will look for whether staff’s recommendations are accepted as-is or if the motion is redesigned to fit within the city charter while preserving the broader objective of financial resilience. The outcome could influence similar deliberations in other jurisdictions, where the balance between innovation and prudence remains a central theme in the governance of public funds and digital assets.

What to watch next

• March 10 council meeting: final decision on the merged approach or outright dismissal of the Bitcoin reserve proposal.
• Clarifications on allowed investments under the Vancouver Charter and potential policy updates to treasury guidelines.
• Public communication from the city explaining how any future exploration of digital assets would be conducted with safeguards and reporting standards.

Bitcoin (BTC) has “annihilated” short sellers with its latest trip to monthly highs as crypto liquidations pass $500 million.

Key points:

• Bitcoin bears suffer as BTC price action hits $74,000.

• Analysis sees more liquidations to come, including longs, with possible market dips below $70,000 to test support.

• Bitcoin inflows begin to copy a broad ETF rebound in place through 2026.

BTC price analysis: “Bulls just took back control”

New analysis from CryptoReviewing, the pseudonymous cofounder of trading community Wealth Capital, says that the “entire market scenario” for Bitcoin has changed.

The past few days have seen BTC price swings take out both long and short positions worth hundreds of millions of dollars, but the trip to $74,000 ultimately cost bears more.

“Bears just got annihilated,” CryptoReviewing summarized.

Accompanying exchange order-book data from monitoring resource CoinGlass shows price slicing through walls of liquidations.

Wednesday’s liquidation total for Bitcoin and altcoins neared $600 million, with more shorts erased than on any day since Feb. 25.

“And now the entire market scenario has changed… At $73,000 – $75,000 we have a large liquidity zone which could be swept, potentially leading to even higher levels,” CryptoReviewing continued. 

“However, $65,000 – $71,000 below has roughly 4x more liquidity built up, making it the ‘more likely’ zone from a liquidity perspective to be visited next. Bulls just took back control.”

Such a support test is also on the radar for Keith Alan, cofounder of trading platform Material Indicators.

As part of a new market analysis published on Wednesday, Alan argued that a consolidation phase should form part of a reliable trend change.

“A support test, sooner than later, would be healthy, but I’m not sure that the market is going to make it that easy on us. However this develops, IMO, the longer it takes to grind up, the more durable the rally will likely be,” he wrote.

Alan nonetheless warned that long-term bearish signals remained in place, expecting Bitcoin’s “next leg down” to result from the current setup.

Bitcoin ETFs in focus amid “historic acceleration”

As Cointelegraph reported, price upside has accompanied renewed interest in Bitcoin from institutional sources.

Related: ‘This is not World War III:’ Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

The US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw net inflows of nearly $500 million on Wednesday.

Data from UK-based investment company Farside Investors confirms that inflows have been net positive on all but one trading day since Feb. 24. Even then, outflows were modest at just $27.5 million.

So far in March, the ETFs have taken in over $1.1 billion in capital.

Commenting, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter noted that ETF interest has broadly spiked this year, making the US Bitcoin and Ethereum offerings relative laggards after months of outflows.

“Investors are pouring money into US funds at a record pace: US-listed ETFs have pulled in +$380 billion so far in 2026, on track for the best year on record. This marks a +80% increase compared to the first two months of 2025,” it revealed on X.

Kobeissi described the US ETF industry as “experiencing a historic acceleration in investor demand.”