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Canary Capital Pushes Crypto ETF Frontier Further With PEPE Filing

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Canary Capital Group filed an S-1 registration statement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch an exchange-traded fund (ETF) tracking PEPE Coin (PEPE).

The proposed Canary PEPE ETF would hold the Ethereum (ETH)-based meme coin directly, mirroring the structure of existing spot ETFs. 

According to the filing, the Canary PEPE ETF would sell or redeem shares in baskets of 10,000 units. The prospectus leaves the listing exchange, pricing benchmark, and digital asset custodian unnamed.

“The Trust’s investment objective is to seek to provide exposure to the price of PEPE Coin (“PEPE”) held by the Trust, less the expenses of the Trust’s operations and other liabilities,” the filing reads.

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A small portion of the Trust’s assets, capped at 5%, would initially be held in ETH to cover transaction fees on Ethereum. However, the asset manager stressed that the ETF will not “hold ETH for investment purposes.”

In addition to PEPE, Canary submitted an S-1 for a Mog Coin (MOG) ETF in November 2025 and has filed for funds tracking Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), Axelar (AXL), and others.

For now, Dogecoin (DOGE) is the only meme coin with live ETFs in the US. Three spot funds from Grayscale, 21Shares, and Bitwise trade on the NYSE and the Nasdaq.

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However, demand remains thin. SoSoValue data shows that cumulative net inflows across all three totaled just $7.64 million as of April 8, with combined daily volume barely topping $209,000

Meanwhile, the news had little impact on PEPE’s price. The meme coin traded near $0.0000035 at press time.

PEPE Price Performance
PEPE Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

The token fell by more than 4.8% over 24 hours as broader geopolitical uncertainty continued to pressure risk assets.

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Grayscale Predicts This DeFi Token Will Become a ‘Household Name’ in Crypto

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Grayscale Research has labeled Aave (AAVE) a potential “household name,” describing the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) lending protocol as “a bank without bankers” in a new blog.

“Aave is not yet a household name, but we think it will be eventually. Aave is essentially a bank without bankers—a decentralized lending marketplace on Ethereum and other blockchains that takes deposits and makes loans without any human operators,” Grayscale’s Head of Research  Zach Pandl wrote.

Pandl pointed to the Bank of Canada’s report. Researchers found that Aave operates with a notably lower net interest margin (NIM) than leading US and Canadian banks, largely due to its lower intermediation costs.

“The Bank of Canada concluded that ‘lending without traditional intermediaries is viable in a technical and operational sense,’ and that Aave ‘operates continuously, transparently, and with minimal overhead, demonstrating the potential of protocol-based credit markets.’ The combination of lower operational costs, attractive rates, and ‘always on’ banking could be a powerful combination for adoption and long-term growth,” the blog added.

Pandl noted that Aave is still “young” and has yet to address complex challenges like credit scoring and undercollateralized lending. However, no lending system is flawless, as recent stress in private credit markets highlights.

“We believe that Aave, a leading onchain lending platform, and its native AAVE token, are poised for long-term growth,” he concluded.

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Analyst Nick highlighted the protocol’s strengths in a recent post. It generated approximately $142 million in net revenue in 2025, with cumulative lending volume surpassing $1 trillion. Fees reached over $885 million, putting it on track for a strong run rate into 2026.

Token Terminal data showed its TVL has declined since late 2025 to $42.6 billion in April. Despite this, Aave remains the top lending protocol, controlling around 50% of the market share.

“Aave is becoming the onchain credit layer that survives cycles and pulls in real-world capital imo,” he said.

However, on-chain data paints a more cautious picture. AAVE exchange reserves surged to 2.23 million tokens, reversing a year-long declining trend and signaling potential sell pressure.

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Whales have also been offloading the token this year, while recent contributor departures have impacted investor confidence. AAVE trades near $90, down roughly 5% over the past day amid a broader market downturn.

AAVE Price Performance
AAVE Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

Whether Grayscale’s long-term thesis plays out may depend less on protocol metrics and more on whether market sentiment can catch up to the fundamentals.

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Fed Officials Still See Room for a Rate Cut Before the End of 2026

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Federal Reserve, US Government, Inflation, Interest Rate

US Federal Reserve members were split on whether the war in the Middle East could spur further interest rate cuts before the end of 2026, according to minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) March meeting.

On Wednesday, the Fed released minutes from its last FOMC meeting on March 17 and 18. The meeting ended with an 11-1 vote to keep rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75%, with many officials cautious about the potential impacts of war and what it could mean for the economy.

Amid a risk of further conflicts, the official consensus pointed to a potential rate cut this year, but as Fed officials noted in the minutes, only if inflation does not get out of control.

“Many participants judged that, in time, it would likely become appropriate to lower the target range for the federal funds rate if inflation were to decline in line with their expectations,” according to the Fed minutes.

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Rate cuts are generally seen as a positive catalyst for crypto as they free up investment liquidity and can spur demand for speculative investments. The last interest rate cut was Dec. 10, 2025, with the Fed slashing rates by 25 basis points.

Federal Reserve, US Government, Inflation, Interest Rate
Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaking at the March 18 FOMC news conference. Source: Federal Reserve

While a cut may still be on the table for this year, the general feeling from the FOMC meeting was that it was “too early to know how developments in the Middle East would affect the U.S. economy.”

The FOMC’s next meeting is scheduled for April 28-29.

Cuts still possible, but so are hikes

While some officials were cautiously optimistic about a rate cut, others warned that the opposite might be necessary.

“Some participants judged that there was a strong case for a two-sided description of the Committee’s future interest rate decisions … reflecting the possibility that upward adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate could be appropriate if inflation were to remain at above-target levels.”

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Related: Iran weighing crypto tolls for ships using Strait of Hormuz: Report

Inflation was not the only concern, as many officials pointed to potential downside risks in the labor market, arguing that “in the current situation of low rates of net job creation, labor market conditions appeared vulnerable to adverse shocks.”

According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, there is currently a 75.6% chance that the Fed will keep rates at 3.5% to 3.75% during the Fed’s Dec. 8 meeting later this year. 

Meanwhile, the chance of a rate cut is 20.4%, while the chance of a rate hike is 2.4% at the time of writing.

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