Crypto World
Capital Gathering III: Prediction Markets Come to Dubai
Capital Gathering, the private community connecting the region’s active founders, investors, and C-level executives across Web3, AI, and emerging tech, is hosting its third edition in Dubai. The theme: Prediction Markets, one of the fastest-growing verticals in finance right now.
With Token2049 Dubai postponed, the community didn’t disperse. Capital Gathering continues the momentum. The evening takes place at Birds, a fine dining venue 63 floors above the city with Burj Khalifa views with no panels and no pitch decks.
The topic isn’t accidental. Prediction markets hit nearly $26B in monthly volume in January 2026, up 13 times year-over-year. Driven by macro volatility, geopolitics, and a new wave of users, they’re moving from niche to real financial infrastructure. The key questions now: regulation, liquidity, and who’s building the foundations.
Tools like Pulse, the event’s co-sponsor, are already answering that last question, giving retail users institutional-grade access to prediction markets in one place.
Capital Gathering was founded by Kristina Berezina and Daria Pakina, two Web3 founders who have spent years inside the ecosystem. The F1 Abu Dhabi edition last December welcomed over 300 guests to a private rooftop near Yas Marina Circuit. The Christmas edition at Armani/Privé inside the Burj Khalifa followed weeks later. With this third Edition, the Capital Gathering community is growing, and the conversation becomes even sharper.
“Dubai doesn’t wait for the next conference. The people shaping this space are here, so it makes sense to build the evening around that,” said Kristina, co-founder of Capital Gathering.
“This space is moving fast, legislation, liquidity, who’s building the infrastructure underneath it all. Dubai is definitely part of this conversation,” added Daria, co-founder of Capital Gathering.
Registration is by approved RSVP only: Apply here
The post Capital Gathering III: Prediction Markets Come to Dubai appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Chiliz expands to Solana and Base to supercharge fan token trading
Sports-focused blockchain Chiliz is expanding its roster of over 70 fan tokens to Solana and Base, the Ethereum layer-2 network developed by Coinbase (COIN).
Chiliz rolled out its own layer-1 network in 2023 to host the trading of its tokens, but is transitioning to what it calls “omnichain distribution,” according to an announcement on X on Tuesday.
“By using an Omnichain Fungible Token (OFT) standard, fan tokens will exist on each supported chain with a unified supply, eliminating the need for wrapped tokens or fragmented liquidity pools,” Chiliz said.
Fan tokens are digital assets that represent membership of a community such as a sports team’s fan base. Chiliz has developed over 70 such tokens, including tokens for some of Europe’s soccer giants like Paris Saint-Germain, Barcelona, Manchester City and Juventus. These teams use tokens to farm engagement from fans who are not in the stadium, by giving holders the chance to win exclusive rewards and voting rights on minor issues such as the colour of the players’ warm-up kit.
Chiliz said it hopes that expansion to Solana and Base will give these tokens a major trading volume boost ahead of this summer’s FIFA World Cup. Chiliz already offers tokens representing the Argentina and Portugal teams with more expected to be unveiled in June.
Read More: SportFi’s next act: onchain markets built around match-day results
Crypto World
Perle pumps 63% in 24 hours, while the next big crypto BlockchainFX crosses $14.4 m presale milestone
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Perle jumps 63.9% as BlockchainFX nears $15 million softcap with strong presale momentum building.
AI data tokens are having a moment, and Perle (PRL) just pumped 63.9% in 24 hours to prove it. But while traders chase green candles on Coinbase, a quieter story is unfolding in the presale arena, where the next big crypto BlockchainFX (BFX) has crossed a serious $14.4M milestone with a $15M softcap firmly in sight and the launch bell almost ringing.

BlockchainFX is the only web3 super app letting users trade crypto, stocks, forex, ETFs, and commodities from a single dashboard. With over 24,000 participants already onboard, an AOFA license in hand, and the “Best New Crypto Trading App of 2025” award on the shelf, the next big crypto contender is approaching launch with momentum few presales have ever build.
BFX edges toward sellout with $14.4m already in the bag
BlockchainFX has pulled in over $14.4M from 24,000+ participants, with the current presale price sitting at $0.035 and the launch price set at $0.05. That alone hands early buyers a baked-in gain before the next big crypto candidate even hits exchanges. The platform is licensed by the Anjouan Offshore Finance Authority, fully audited, KYC-verified, and already live in beta with thousands of daily users actively trading.
What keeps early BFX holders grinning? Daily staking rewards in BFX and USDT, paid out automatically while the platform handles trading on stocks, crypto, forex, and ETFs from one app. Compare that to Binance or Coinbase, which lock users into crypto-only trading, and the appeal becomes pretty obvious. Buy $100+ of BFX and qualify for the $500,000 Gleam giveaway.
CEX60 unlocks 60% more BFX before the June 1 cutoff
To mark the first centralized exchange listing reveal, BlockchainFX rolled out the bonus code CEX60, handing buyers 60% extra BFX tokens during this final presale stretch. The offer expires on June 1 at 6 PM Dubai time, and once the $15M softcap fills, the presale closes for good, and the launch follows. So what does that 60% bonus actually translate to in dollar terms?
A $10,000 buy at $0.035 secures roughly 285,714 BFX, and CEX60 boosts that haul to around 457,142 tokens. At the $0.05 launch price, that stack is already worth $22,857. If analyst predictions of $1 post-launch land, the same position climbs to $457,142. The next big crypto rarely waits for hesitation, and the clock is ticking faster than the market wants to admit.
Perle rockets 63.9% as AI data token hype spreads
Perle is trading around $0.3555 after a 63.9% jump in 24 hours and a 56.6% climb over the week. The Solana-based token sits roughly 17% below its $0.4312 all-time high from 11 days ago, while its $0.1137 low feels like ancient history at this point. Momentum traders on Coinbase clearly spotted something worth chasing this week.
Founded by Scale AI veterans, Perle Labs (formerly Kiva AI) is building a sovereign AI data layer where human-verified training data gets recorded on-chain. The pitch tackles “model collapse,” that awkward problem where AI models degrade after feasting on synthetic junk. PRL/USD is doing $6.84M in daily volume on Coinbase, with Gate and Bitget rounding out the major trading venues right now.

Last call before BFX rings the exchange bell
Based on the latest research, the best crypto presale right now is BlockchainFX, full stop. Perle’s pump is fun for traders, but BFX offers something different: ground-floor entry into a regulated super app with a real product, real users, and a $1 post-launch target backed by analyst chatter. The next big crypto opportunity rarely arrives this neatly packaged for early buyers.
With $14.4M already raised and the $15M finish line within reach, the presale window is closing quickly. Code CEX60 vanishes June 1, the launch follows immediately after, and the next big crypto train pulls out of the station whether buyers are on it or not. Smart money is already loading up before the doors shut.
For more information, visit the official website, X, and Telegram.
Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.
Crypto World
Ripple Travelex Bank Partnership Expands
Travelex Bank, the first foreign exchange bank approved by Brazil’s Central Bank, is expanding its use of Ripple Payments for instant cross-border settlement, as the US Faster Payments Council separately names Ripple among the key innovators driving G20 domestic payments modernization.
Summary
- Travelex Bank is using Ripple Payments to cut transaction costs and enable near-instant settlement for cross-border transfers, building on the On-Demand Liquidity integration first launched in August 2022.
- The US Faster Payments Council report identifies Ripple alongside Stellar as leading innovators within the G20’s framework for faster, cheaper, and more transparent global payments by 2030.
- The G20 roadmap targets 75% of cross-border transfers credited within one hour and costs as low as one cent per transaction by 2027, benchmarks that Ripple’s ISO 20022-compliant infrastructure is designed to meet.
Ripple Travelex Bank partnership is drawing renewed attention after analyst ChartNerd highlighted both developments on April 27, with Travelex Bank confirming it is actively using Ripple Payments to enable round-the-clock, near-instant settlement for cross-border transfers, and the US Faster Payments Council naming Ripple alongside Stellar as leading innovators in G20 domestic payment modernization. Travelex Bank holds the distinction of being the first domestic exchange bank approved by Brazil’s Central Bank, and its use of Ripple’s XRP Ledger-based infrastructure allows it to settle transactions in seconds rather than the days required by traditional correspondent banking.
Ripple Travelex Integration Targets Brazil’s $780 Billion Cross-Border Payment Market
Brazil processes more than $780 billion in annual cross-border payment flows, making it one of the largest and most important emerging market corridors in the world. As crypto.news reported, Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity solution was first adopted by Travelex Bank in August 2022, making it the first institution in Latin America to use ODL with XRP as a bridge currency, and the bank gained ten new clients within one year of joining the network. The expanded use of Ripple Payments now deepens that integration, with Travelex leveraging the full end-to-end infrastructure to reduce operational costs, eliminate multiple intermediaries, and offer 24-hour access to settlement across corridors where pre-funded capital requirements have historically added cost and friction. Travelex Bank’s unique regulatory standing as Brazil’s first Central Bank-approved foreign exchange bank gives it a compliance foundation that makes blockchain infrastructure adoption structurally less complicated than at conventional commercial banks operating under different licensing frameworks.
What the US Faster Payments Council Recognition Means
The US Faster Payments Council report identifies Ripple alongside Stellar as leading innovators for G20 domestic and cross-border payment modernization, a recognition that reflects how far the perception of blockchain payment infrastructure has shifted since Ripple’s legal conflict with the SEC began in 2020. The G20’s payments roadmap requires that by 2027, 75% of global cross-border transfers must be credited within one hour, with transaction costs falling to as low as one cent. By 2030, at least 90% of the global population should have access to at least one cross-border remittance provider. As crypto.news documented, Ripple has been systematically expanding its payment network across multiple continents simultaneously in April 2026, signing a blockchain remittance proof-of-concept with South Korea’s KBank on April 27 and closing its second Korean institutional deal of the month following the Kyobo Life Insurance partnership on April 15. ISO 20022 compliance, built-in liquidity management, and sub-second settlement positions Ripple’s infrastructure as a direct technical match for the G20 target specifications.
Ripple’s Institutional Footprint in April 2026
April 2026 has been Ripple’s most active institutional expansion month on record. As crypto.news tracked, Ripple acquired BC Payments Australia to secure an Australian Financial Services License ahead of new crypto regulations taking effect June 30, 2026, continuing a regulatory licensing push that has already secured approvals in Singapore, the UAE, the UK, and Ireland. Ripple has also been granted conditional approval for a US national trust banking charter by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. As crypto.news noted, SWIFT has been testing Ripple’s ODL and XRP as integration candidates for its own cross-border payment modernization program, with XRP’s 3 to 5 second settlement time and $0.0002 per transaction cost representing a performance profile that directly competes with every major legacy cross-border rail in operation today.
The US Faster Payments Council report does not represent a formal endorsement or certification of Ripple’s technology, but rather an identification of innovative solutions within the G20 payment framework context.
Crypto World
Aterian (ATER) Stock Rockets 122% Following $18M Asset Divestiture Deal
Key Highlights
- Aterian has entered into a binding agreement to divest its e-commerce brand assets to Trademark Global LLC for $18 million cash
- The transaction value represents almost triple Aterian’s pre-announcement market capitalization of $6.23 million
- Portfolio assets being transferred: Mueller Living, PurSteam, hOmeLabs, Squatty Potty, Healing Solutions, and Photo Paper Direct
- David Lazar will inject $7 million through convertible preferred shares and assume the CEO position
- Shareholders should expect to receive net distribution proceeds during Q3 2026
Aterian (ATER) experienced a remarkable trading session Tuesday, with shares skyrocketing more than 122% following the company’s disclosure of a binding agreement to transfer its e-commerce brand assets to Trademark Global LLC for $18 million cash.
The transaction encompasses six distinct brands: Mueller Living, PurSteam, hOmeLabs, Squatty Potty, Healing Solutions, and Photo Paper Direct. Under the terms, Trademark Global will acquire global sourcing, marketing, and sales operations connected to these properties, including existing inventory and select obligations.
The $18 million acquisition price stands out when placed in perspective. Prior to the announcement, Aterian’s total market capitalization stood at merely $6.23 million, making the transaction value approximately three times the company’s entire valuation.
The headline price is subject to modifications based on net working capital calculations and transaction-related expenses. Aterian’s board unanimously endorsed the arrangement, though shareholder consent remains necessary.
Aterian intends to submit a proxy filing in early May 2026. The parties anticipate completing the transaction during Q2 2026.
Following completion, Aterian will distribute the remaining proceeds to shareholders in Q3 2026. The final distribution amount will account for transaction costs, debt obligations, and working capital requirements.
The company will also distribute one non-transferable contractual Contingent Value Right (CVR) for each outstanding common share. CVR holders would receive payments from possible tariff reimbursements and additional asset dispositions.
$7M Capital Infusion and Leadership Transition
Concurrent with the asset divestiture, Aterian executed a securities purchase arrangement with David Lazar involving a $7 million private investment in convertible preferred shares. The investment is divided into two equal $3.5 million installments.
The initial installment has been completed. The subsequent portion is scheduled to close simultaneously with the brand portfolio transaction, contingent upon stockholder endorsement.
Lazar was appointed to Aterian’s board prior to finalizing the investment terms. Upon completion of the second installment, he will assume the CEO role, succeeding current leader Arturo Rodriguez.
Lazar and associated parties have relinquished their entitlement to any distributions from the asset transaction or CVR payments.
Challenging Operating Environment Drives Strategic Shift
The context surrounding this transaction is significant. Aterian experienced a 30% revenue decline over the trailing twelve months to $68.97 million. The organization maintains negative EBITDA of $12.53 million and has faced ongoing cash consumption challenges.
A substantial portion of personnel currently supporting the divested brands are anticipated to transfer to Trademark Global under the agreement terms.
The strategic alternatives evaluation that culminated in this agreement was initially disclosed in December 2025. CEO Arturo Rodriguez had previously indicated an update would arrive in mid-April.
Aterian also recently modified its Credit and Security Agreement with Midcap Funding IV Trust, lowering its minimum liquidity requirement to $3.5 million, effective March 13, 2026.
The proxy documentation is scheduled for submission in early May 2026, with the shareholder referendum to proceed thereafter before the targeted Q2 transaction closure.
Crypto World
XRP ETF April Inflows Hit 2026 Record
US-listed XRP ETF products pulled in $81.63 million in April 2026, their strongest monthly inflow figure of the year, fully reversing March’s $31.16 million loss and pushing cumulative net inflows to $1.29 billion.
Summary
- XRP ETF products logged $81.63 million in April inflows through April 24, surpassing February’s $58.09 million to become the single strongest month of 2026.
- The funds have not recorded a single outflow day since April 9, the longest positive streak in XRP ETF history, with the week ending April 17 delivering $55.39 million alone.
- XRP held near $1.43 on April 24 despite the record inflows, with nearly 35 million XRP leaving exchanges and raising analyst expectations of reduced near-term sell pressure.
XRP ETF products recorded $81.63 million in net inflows through April 24, BanklessTimes reported, making April the best inflow month for US-listed XRP ETFs in 2026 and the strongest since December 2025. The figure surpasses February’s $58.09 million, which had held as the year’s previous high, and fully erases March’s $31.16 million loss, the only monthly loss XRP ETFs had ever posted since launching in November 2024.
XRP ETF April Record Built on Steady Daily Inflows, Not a Single Spike
As crypto.news reported, SoSoValue data shows the $81.63 million arrived in smaller, steady daily amounts across the month rather than concentrated in one week, distinguishing this April from January’s $1.28 billion cumulative high, which was built largely on one concentrated buying week tied to XRP’s 25% price rally. The week ending April 17 was the single strongest of 2026 at $55.39 million. As crypto.news documented, the funds have not recorded a single outflow day since April 9, the longest unbroken positive streak in XRP ETF history. Cumulative net inflows across all US-listed XRP ETF products now stand at $1.29 billion, a three-month high. Total net assets across the seven US-listed spot XRP ETF products crossed $1.53 billion, with Goldman Sachs disclosed as the largest known institutional holder at $153.8 million across four funds.
Why XRP Price Has Not Responded to the Inflow Record
Despite the record monthly inflows, XRP held near $1.43 on April 24 and has shown little directional movement throughout April. As crypto.news tracked, XRP recorded a 7% gain during the $55.39 million inflow week ending April 17, but prices failed to sustain momentum in subsequent sessions even as inflows continued. Nearly 35 million XRP left exchanges during the most recent week, a development analysts describe as reducing near-term sell pressure and building a potential foundation for a price move once the current range resolves. The gap between strong ETF demand and flat price performance reflects a broader dynamic in which institutional accumulation through regulated products is absorbing available supply without generating the immediate price discovery that retail-driven buying typically produces.
The Regulatory Foundation Underneath the April Inflow Surge
The institutional demand flowing into XRP ETFs in April is underpinned by a regulatory shift that was not in place in January. As crypto.news noted, the SEC and CFTC jointly classified XRP as a digital commodity in March 2026, a designation that places XRP on the same legal footing as Bitcoin and Ethereum under the commodity framework governing ETF products. That classification removed the primary legal barrier that had complicated institutional allocation since the SEC’s 2020 lawsuit against Ripple, and the sustained April inflow pattern suggests that at least a portion of the institutional interest that had been waiting on regulatory clarity is now deploying through ETF vehicles. The CLARITY Act markup, expected in early May, remains the next catalytic event analysts are watching for a potential XRP price breakout above the $1.45 to $1.55 resistance band.
April’s $81.63 million figure is through April 24 and could rise further before month-end, with SoSoValue data confirming inflows continued into the final week of the month.
Crypto World
BitMart x EAT Trade-to-Feed Competition to Pay Out $4.4M USDT to Traders in May 2026
The 30-day Trade-to-Feed competition marks BitMart’s 8th anniversary and the exchange’s strategic listing of EAT, the first cause coin.
New York, United States, April 28, 2026, Chainwire – BitMart, the global digital asset exchange serving millions of users worldwide, today launched the Trade-to-Feed competition, a 30-day trading competition paying out up to $4.4 million USDT in trader rewards. The campaign marks BitMart’s eighth anniversary and the exchange’s listing of EAT (WYDE: End Hunger), the first cause coin to list on a major centralized exchange.
Cause coins are an emerging asset class engineered so that fees from trading activity flow to charitable grant-making infrastructure alongside trader rewards. By making EAT the inaugural cause coin listing and pairing it with the largest competition in BitMart’s history, the exchange is positioning itself ahead of a category where market activity produces measurable real-world outcomes.

Running April 28 through May 28, 2026, the Trade-to-Feed competition distributes up to $4.4 million USDT across three concurrent tracks:
Three concurrent competitions, 76,391 chances to win.
The campaign runs three reward tracks simultaneously, all funded from a single pool that grows with volume:
- Volume Leaderboard: Up to 73 traders share the leaderboard pool by rank, with the first-place trader winning up to $2.2 million USDT (50% of the total prize pool).
- Power Drop: 75,500 tickets distribute across the campaign, each worth a flat $10 USDT. Any trader completing $40 or more in EAT spot volume qualifies; tickets allocate proportionally to volume.
- Lucky Drops: Up to 15 random USDT jackpots from $5,000 to $100,000, drawn weekly and at close, with a cumulative pool of $435K at the $200M cap. Any trader completing $2,000 or more in EAT spot volume qualifies.
In addition, a Welcome Lucky Draw with a $5,000 USDT pool opens to any new participant who registers and completes a $5 USDT spot trade in EAT, with 803 winners selected across three tiers.
Learn more: Trade to Feed (Up to 4.4M in rewards).
Where the meals go
Charitable distributions from the campaign flow through WYDE Association’s two-pool allocation model. Fifty percent of cause fees fund WYDE’s exclusive national hunger-relief grant partner, Feed the Children, a global movement working to end childhood hunger since 1979 that distributes food, essentials, and disaster relief across the United States and ten countries. The remaining fifty percent is allocated by EAT token holders through community voting on the Hunger Network, a public directory of verified hunger-relief organizations available at www.eat.ong. Token holders direct funding to local food banks and partner organizations in their own communities each voting round, giving EAT its core utility — holder governance over real charitable allocation, recorded on-chain and publicly verifiable.
“BitMart’s eighth year is the right moment to put real weight behind a direction we believe in,” said Chad Liang, EVP of BitMart. “Cause coins connect market activity to outcomes the world can see and measure. Listing EAT and committing the largest competition in our history to it is how we mark this anniversary: by helping define what comes next, not just trading what already exists.”
“BitMart didn’t just list EAT. They named a category,” said Aaron Rafferty, Co-Founder of WYDE.” A global exchange recognizing cause coins as a strategic priority is a structural moment. Every dollar of organic volume in the Trade-to-Feed competition also funds meals. That is the proof point.”
About BitMart
Founded in 2018, BitMart is a global digital asset trading platform serving millions of users worldwide. Ranked among the top exchanges on CoinGecko, BitMart offers 1,700+ trading pairs with one of the lowest fee structures in the industry. Learn more at bitmart.com.
About WYDE
WYDE is a Wyoming 501(c)(4) nonprofit operating the first Impact Exchange, infrastructure where transaction-based fees fund verified hunger-relief organizations through charitable grants. All distributions are recorded on-chain and publicly verifiable. Learn more at wyde.org.
About EAT
EAT (WYDE: End Hunger) is the first cause coin listed on the WYDE Impact Exchange, launched on Base on December 10, 2025. To date, EAT has crossed 25,000 meals funded. Learn more at eat.ong.
Risk disclosure
Use of BitMart services carries substantial risk. Digital assets are not suitable for all participants. Sweepstakes mechanics do not guarantee winning. Charitable grants from WYDE Association to verified hunger-relief organizations are made by WYDE Association from fees received through the Impact Exchange.
Media contact:
Crypto World
Bitcoin Faces Fresh Oil Woes With a BTC Price Dip Under $76,000
Bitcoin (BTC) headed to weekly lows after Tuesday’s Wall Street open as oil-supply woes panicked global markets.
Key points:
- Bitcoin continues its come down from recent highs as new oil fears worsen already shaky market sentiment.
- US President Donald Trump avoids hints of lifting the Strait of Hormuz blockade.
- BTC price action falls below $76,000 as a week’s gains evaporate.
Bitcoin, stocks extend losses on Hormuz oil nerves
Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD dipping under $76,000 as US stocks also opened lower.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
The US-Iran war lay behind risk assets’ cold feet, with oil taking center stage amid the ongoing blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
WTI crude oil returned to $100 per barrel on the day, as US President Donald Trump continued to keep markets guessing on the outcome of the Hormuz impasse.
“Iran has just informed us that they are in a ‘State of Collapse,’” he wrote in a post on Truth Social.
“They want us to ‘Open the Hormuz Strait,’ as soon as possible, as they try to figure out their leadership situation (Which I believe they will be able to do!).”

Source: Truth Social
Commenting, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter noted the ongoing impact on Asian countries, with Iran rapidly running out of oil storage capacity.
“Asia’s energy crisis will soon intensify even further,” it predicted in a post on X.
Crypto sources also drew attention to the impact of oil on market mood, among them onchain analytics platform Glassnode.
“Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz persist due to stalled US-Iran talks, tightening supply and spooking markets across the board,” it told X followers on the back of the WTI jump.

CFDs on US WTI crude oil four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC price breakout hopes fade into monthly close
BTC price action thus continued to shy away from attacking $80,000 after sealing a weekly candle close above a key resistance trend line.
Related: Bitcoin price set for best gains since Q4 2024 with $77.5K monthly close
Instead, the two recent visits to $73,000 made market participants wary of calling a “double bottom” formation too early.
“So far, $BTC bulls aren’t showing much enthusiasm for a robust double bottom bounce. Expecting to see volatility increase as we move to and through the monthly close,” trading resource Material Indicators commented.
An accompanying chart showed exchange order-book liquidity and whale orders, with only the largest class of investors stepping in to buy.

BTC/USDT order-book liquidity data with whale orders. Source: Material Indicators/X
Others also demanded more proof that bulls could crush the multiple resistance levels immediately above spot price, including the bear market support band.
“We’ll need to see follow up to actually confirm a proper breakout though. But at least the bulls are putting in an effort for now,” trader Daan Crypto Trades wrote on X.

BTC/USD one-week chart with bull market support band, moving averages. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X
Crypto World
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Down 16% in 2026 Amid Robotaxi Setbacks and Revenue Shortfall
Key Takeaways
- Federal safety agency concluded probe into 2023 Model Y steering bolts without mandating a recall
- Shares have declined 16% since January, trading at $378.67 on Tuesday morning
- First quarter earnings per share exceeded forecasts ($0.41 actual vs $0.39 expected), though revenue fell short at $22.39B versus $22.96B anticipated
- Aggressive $25B capital expenditure strategy for 2026 may result in negative free cash flow
- Delayed timelines for autonomous taxi service and Optimus robot deployment continue dampening investor confidence
Tesla (TSLA) received favorable news from regulators on Tuesday, though the development failed to ignite any significant stock movement.
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration wrapped up its examination of potentially loose steering wheel fasteners affecting approximately 120,000 Model Y vehicles from 2023, determining no safety hazard existed and no product recall was necessary. Shares responded with a modest 0.4% uptick during morning hours before retreating into negative territory.
TSLA began Tuesday’s session at $378.67, marking a 16% decline year-to-date. By comparison, the S&P 500 index fell 0.5% during the same trading day.
Safety recalls typically don’t create substantial price swings for Tesla shares. While the NHTSA investigation represented a potential concern, its resolution without action provided limited catalyst for bullish investors.
The more significant narrative centers on Tesla’s first quarter financial results, unveiled on April 22nd. The electric vehicle manufacturer posted earnings of $0.41 per share, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.39. However, revenue totaled $22.39 billion, falling below the anticipated $22.96 billion. Compared to the prior year, revenue climbed 15.8%.
Autonomous Technology Deployment Faces Challenges
The revenue shortfall alone didn’t trigger major selling pressure. Instead, investor sentiment has weakened due to the slower-than-anticipated progress in Tesla’s “physical AI” initiatives — specifically its autonomous taxi network and Optimus humanoid robot platform.
While Tesla initiated its robotaxi operations in Austin, Texas last June, geographic expansion to additional metropolitan areas has fallen behind investor projections. Similarly, deployment schedules for the Optimus robot have extended beyond original forecasts.
Deutsche Bank’s Edison Yu offered a candid assessment Monday: “Scaling physical AI ain’t easy.” Yu maintains a Buy recommendation with a $465 valuation target.
Yu noted that while increased capital allocation toward semiconductors and solar infrastructure was properly disclosed, generating upward momentum for shares would prove difficult “until some of these major physical AI efforts show meaningful progress on the commercial/operational front.”
Tesla has outlined a $25 billion capital expenditure framework for 2026. This substantial investment level is projected to drive free cash flow into negative territory for the year, a disclosure that unsettled market participants.
Wall Street Remains Divided on Stock Outlook
Analyst opinion on Tesla shows considerable divergence. Recent price objectives span from $220 to $428. The mean analyst projection reaches $398.42, with overall sentiment rated as Hold. Among 41 tracked analysts, 19 recommend Buy, 16 suggest Hold, and 6 advise Sell.
Cantor Fitzgerald maintained its Overweight stance with a $510 price objective. Canaccord elevated its target from $420 to $450 while keeping a Buy rating. BNP Paribas moved the stock from Underperform to Neutral. HSBC launched coverage with a Buy recommendation.
Wealthfront Advisers purchased 14,419 additional shares during the fourth quarter, expanding its position to 408,545 shares worth approximately $183.7 million. Institutional ownership accounts for 66.2% of outstanding shares.
Regarding insider transactions, Chief Financial Officer Vaibhav Taneja divested 2,264 shares in March at $397.03 per share. Board member Kathleen Wilson-Thompson sold 25,809 shares at $359.33 during late March. Company insiders collectively sold 53,804 shares valued at more than $20.8 million over the previous quarter.
Tesla’s 50-day moving average registers at $385.16. The 200-day moving average sits at $420.14. The stock’s 52-week trading range extends from $270.78 to $498.83.
Crypto World
Iran poised to table new peace proposal as markets weigh risk premium for bitcoin, ether
Iran expected to submit revised peace proposal, compressing war premium in oil markets and lifting BTC and ETH—but crypto remains hostage to headline volatility.
Summary
- CNN reports that Iran is expected to submit a revised peace proposal soon, extending a weeks‑long negotiation process over ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and control of the Strait of Hormuz.
- For bitcoin and ether, the development nudges the macro regime toward lower war and oil risk premia, but keeps both assets hostage to headline volatility until a concrete deal is signed and implemented.
- Traders face a binary path: a credible framework could support a risk‑on squeeze in BTC and ETH, while another breakdown in talks would likely revive “flight to safety” flows and energy‑shock fears.
According to CNN, sources say Iran is expected to submit a revised peace proposal soon, following earlier multi‑point frameworks exchanged with the United States and regional mediators. The draft is expected to tweak demands around sanctions relief, security guarantees, and rules for shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, after Western capitals pushed back on what they saw as over‑maximalist positions in Tehran’s prior 10‑point plan.
Iran peace talks enter critical revision phase
That earlier proposal reportedly sought far‑reaching relief from U.S. and UN sanctions, guarantees against future strikes, and broad recognition of Iran’s security role in the Gulf.
Washington, by contrast, has emphasized verifiable limits on Iran’s nuclear program, clear rules for freedom of navigation, and a phased approach to any sanctions ive been seeing videos that are literally translated and iu dont even tied to compliance milestones.
Today’s indication that Tehran will return with a revised document signals that both sides see value in keeping the negotiation channel open. But it does not yet resolve the core tensions, and any leak that the new proposal remains far from U.S. red lines could quickly flip optimism back into risk aversion.
What it means for bitcoin and ethereum prices
In the near term, the expectation of a new Iranian peace proposal tends to compress the “war premium” baked into oil and volatility markets, which is modestly supportive for risk assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
If traders interpret the move as genuine progress toward a durable ceasefire and a lower probability of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the result is typically a softer dollar, narrower credit spreads, and a friendlier backdrop for high‑beta assets.
Bitcoin, which has increasingly traded as a macro‑sensitive asset rather than a pure “digital gold” hedge, stands to benefit from any de‑escalation that cools tail‑risk hedging demand and encourages allocators to add risk back on. Ethereum, with higher beta to liquidity and speculative flows, could see an even stronger percentage move if equities and tech rally on signs of easing geopolitical stress.
However, the entire setup remains headline‑driven. If the revised proposal leaks as largely cosmetic, or if U.S. officials dismiss it as unacceptable and revive threats of military action or tighter sanctions, markets are likely to swing back into risk‑off mode, with ETH typically underperforming BTC in a broader de‑risking.
For traders, the practical implication is clear: treat this peace‑proposal headline as a volatility catalyst rather than a settled narrative. Until there is a signed, enforceable framework that meaningfully lowers the odds of an oil shock or renewed conflict, bitcoin and ether will continue to trade in a regime where every update from Tehran or Washington can rapidly reprice macro risk and, with it, crypto valuations.
Crypto World
Meta shares look ‘iffy’ into earnings. How to trade it

Meta heads into earnings Wednesday after the bell with the fundamentals case largely intact.
Ad-pricing improvements and sharper targeting continue to drive roughly 30% year over year top-line growth — a number that commands respect at this scale. The options market implies a substantial 7.5% move by the end of the week. That’s a lot for a company this big, but it’s justified given the big moves Meta has seen following earnings recently (the stock moved more than 10% following earnings in three of the last four quarters).
We’ve seen some big call buying lately. The June in-the-money 620 strike calls, for example, saw substantial opening buyers Monday. So did the May $675 calls, which cost substantially less and are more focused specifically on earnings.
The trade
Personally, I wouldn’t buy the stock or either of those two calls; instead, I would look to trade a spread — specifically, the 625/680/750 call spread risk reversal — selling the 625 puts and 750 calls to help finance the purchase of the 680-strike at-the-money calls.
Here’s why.
First, technically, despite the solid fundamental backdrop, the technicals are a bit more iffy. Meta is lingering around the 150-day moving average, and, having recently fallen below it, this reversion may be a head fake. Other technical signals, such as the commodity channel index and Bollinger bands, also indicate that the stock’s position is precarious.
Meta, 1 year
Second, a quick review of the stock’s performance around earnings shows that buying the stock into the print is a bit of a coin toss. Was the stock higher two weeks after earnings more often than not? Yes, but just barely. The histogram below shows that stock buyers would have had an average return of 0.92% by buying META into the earnings print and holding for two weeks thereafter. That works out to an annualized rate of return of almost 16.8%. That’s not terrible, but given the volatility of returns, not necessarily the risk/reward ratio we’re looking for. Here’s a histogram of what those returns would look like over the past 44 reported quarters.
Buying a call offers defined risk and would not take the punishment of some of those larger drawdowns, which is certainly appealing; that’s probably what the May 675 call buyers were thinking. Keep big upside, but minimize the downside, shown here.
It’s true that the downside moves were capped at just about 5%. Now the problem is that, because the stock has to move higher than the call strike price by the premium paid, it loses less on big downswings but loses more often. In fact, historically, spending 5% on an at-the-money call option expiring in two weeks would have resulted in a loss overall.
Here’s where the call spread risk reversal aims to reduce the upside breakeven, reduce downside exposure, and increase the odds of success.
Notice that the call spread risk reversal would have won far more often than either buying the stock or buying calls. It still takes the risk of owning the stock, but because the short put option is 8% below the current stock price, the worst-case loss will always be at least 8% better than the risk of buying the stock, and losses of less than 8% in the share price are avoided entirely.
The tradeoff is that the upside gains are capped at 8%, and Meta has made moves much greater than that a few times following earnings, but overall, the improved win rate of the trade means the average historical performance of a trade like this is better than either long stock or a long short-dated at-the-money call. In this case, a trade like this would have averaged about 1.6%, or almost 29% annualized.
Risk less. Make more.
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