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Cardano price gets oversold, crashes to key suppport level

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Cardano price

The Cardano price continued its strong downward trend, reaching its lowest level since October 2023, making it one of the crypto industry’s top laggards.

Summary

  • Cardano price dropped to a crucial support level this week.
  • The developers are working on Pentad, which aims to grow the ecosystem.
  • The coin has become highly oversold, with the RSI moving to 28.

Cardano (ADA), a top layer-1 network, slipped to $0.2640, down over 80% from its December 2024 peak and 91% below its all-time high of $3 in 2021.

ADA extended its sharp decline despite several major catalysts, including this week’s CME futures launch and the upcoming Midnight mainnet debut. The futuress product made it available to American retail and institutional investors. 

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Midnight, its upcoming zero-knowledge sidechain, is expected to launch either later this month or in March. Data shows that its testnet continues to perform well, having handled over 185,000 blocks and 295 million slots. NIGHT, its native token, has achieved a market capitalization of over $800 million.

Cardano’s developers are working to fix the network and attract more creators. They are working on the Leios upgrade, which will make it a faster network than many popular chains. 

At the same time, they are implementing the Pentad program, which aims to attract more oracle network, tier-1 stablecoins like USDT and USDC, and analytics tools. It has already attracted Pyth Network, a top oracle network, and Dune, a popular analytics tool.

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Therefore, Cardano price is falling because of the ongoing crypto market crash, which has affected Bitcoin and most altcoins. 

Cardano price prediction: technical analysis

Cardano price
ADA price chart | Source: crypto.news

The weekly timeframe chart shows that ADA token has continued falling in the past few months. It has slumped from a high of $1.3230 in December 2024 to the current $0.2638.

The coin has dropped below the 50-week Exponential Moving Average, a sign that bears remain in control. Also, Cardano token has settled at the key support at $0.2212, the neckline of the head-and-shoulders pattern.

ADA has become oversold, with the Relative Strength Index at 28, the oversold level. The Stochastic Oscillator has also moved below the oversold line. 

Therefore, the coin may rebound in the coming days, potentially to the psychological level of $0.50. However, a drop below the current support level at $0.2212 will confirm more downside, potentially to $0.15.

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Crypto World

$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

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$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

Key takeaways:

  • A Hyperliquid whale placed an $80 million bet against Bitcoin and the S&P 500 while going long on Brent crude oil prices.

  • The whale’s history of massive losses and inconsistent signals suggests the trade could fall on the wrong side of the market.

Bitcoin (BTC) showed strength on Wednesday, bouncing back from Tuesday’s $66,000 low after President Donald Trump teased a potential ceasefire in the US and Israel-Iran war. Even with Bitcoin trading above $68,000, one whale used Hyperliquid DEX to place an $80 million bet on a market collapse. 

Traders are now watching closely to see if this whale’s massive position signals a looming Bitcoin price drop.

Hyperliquid whale 0x94d373…c933814 position. Source: CoinGlass

The Hyperliquid whale, linked to address 0x94d373…c933814, carefully built this nearly $80 million leveraged position between Tuesday and Wednesday. The trade includes a $40 million short (sell) on Bitcoin futures near $68,760, a $2 million short on synthetic S&P 500 Index contracts, and a $37 million long (buy) in synthetic Brent oil contracts.

Crude Brent oil (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

The whale’s aggregate position leverage stood at 7 times, indicating high conviction. The Bitcoin futures liquidation price was $80,083, while the Brent oil position would be forcefully terminated above $93. The timing of the trade is curious as S&P 500 Index futures gained 4% between Tuesday and Wednesday as traders anticipate the US and Israel-Iran war dissipating over the next few weeks.

On Wednesday, President Trump said “Iran’s New Regime President” is considering a “ceasefire,” although the conditions to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz remain unknown. Iran demands reparations and sovereignty. Thus, one could assume that the Hyperliquid whale is counter-trading the market’s optimistic take, betting that Brent crude oil prices will jump while Bitcoin loses its value.

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This Hyperliquid whale previously lost $40 million

This address belongs to a particularly unlucky whale, or at least one who has been extremely unsuccessful since late January. The Hyperliquid whale apparently uses bots for execution, given the sheer number of small trades that build into huge positions, but it still managed to lose $37 million in its first month of activity in December 2025.

The same user was flagged by X user ‘lookonchain’ on Feb. 5 after taking a massive loss on leveraged bullish bets on Ether (ETH), Bitcoin, Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). 

Source: X/lookonchain

According to the analysis, the whale had previously made $25 million in profits from shorts in multiple cryptocurrencies, but decided to flip the position on Feb. 4, resulting in a $40 million loss. There is no way to know exactly what triggered this entity to place those bets, but the event proves that even whales can misinterpret the market.

Related: Warren Buffett bought $17B in US T-bills: A bad omen for Bitcoin price?

The erratic signals from President Trump regarding a potential full-on invasion and the war in Iran leave room for opposing views. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi denied there were talks for a ceasefire but confirmed to Al Jazeera on Tuesday that there was an intention to end the war, according to CNBC.

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Given the history of this whale’s market positioning and its track record of losing trades, it’s possible that the current $80 million bet may fall on the wrong side of the market.