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Cardano price holds 4-year macro support, oversold conditions intensify

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Cardano price holds 4-year macro support as oversold conditions intensify - 1

The current Cardano price is revisiting a critical multi-year support zone amid extreme oversold conditions, placing it at a key inflection point for a potential macro reversal.

Summary

  • Four-year historical support is being tested, a level that has held since 2022
  • Value area low adds strong confluence, reinforcing demand at current prices
  • Weekly RSI is deeply oversold, signaling potential momentum exhaustion

Cardano (ADA) price action has returned to one of the most important technical levels on its chart, revisiting a historical support zone that has remained intact for more than four years.

As broader market weakness persists, ADA has rotated back toward a long-term range low that has consistently acted as a floor during previous market cycles.

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This retest comes at a time when momentum indicators are flashing extreme oversold conditions, increasing the probability that a meaningful reaction could develop from this region.

While short-term sentiment remains cautious, the larger technical picture suggests Cardano may be approaching a make-or-break level that could define its next major directional move.

Cardano key technical points

  • Four-year macro support is being retested, dating back to 2022
  • Value area low aligns with current price, reinforcing structural support
  • Weekly RSI is deeply oversold, signaling potential momentum reversal
Cardano price holds 4-year macro support as oversold conditions intensify - 1
ADAUSDT (1W) Chart, Source: TradingView

Cardano’s current position on the chart holds significant historical significance. In 2022, price rejected sharply from the range high and rotated lower toward the $0.25 region, establishing a major range low. Since that initial retest, ADA has consistently held above this support on every subsequent pullback, confirming its relevance as a long-term demand zone.

The fact that price has once again returned to this level suggests the market is testing whether buyers remain willing to defend value at historically attractive prices. As long as this support holds on a closing basis, the broader range structure remains intact.

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Value area low adds technical confluence

Adding to the importance of the current zone is the value area low, which is located in the same region as the multi-year support. The value area low often represents the lower boundary of fair value within a trading range, and frequently acts as a magnet during corrective moves.

When price revisits this area after extended downside pressure, it often signals that the market is searching for equilibrium. The convergence of long-term support and value-area lows significantly increases the likelihood of a reaction, especially if selling momentum begins to slow.

Extreme oversold RSI signals momentum exhaustion

One of the strongest technical signals currently supporting a potential reversal thesis is the relative strength index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe. The RSI has dropped into extreme oversold territory, a condition that has historically preceded strong counter-trend moves in Cardano.

Oversold readings on higher timeframes do not guarantee immediate reversals, but they often indicate that downside momentum is becoming exhausted. When combined with major structural support, these conditions increase the likelihood of a sharp, impulsive reaction when buyers step back in.

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If a reversal does occur from this zone, the RSI is likely to shift aggressively higher, reflecting a change in momentum rather than a slow grind upward.

Upside rotation toward range highs

From a market-structure perspective, maintaining this four-year support keeps Cardano within its broader trading range. A successful defense at this level would increase the likelihood of a rotational move back toward higher targets, including a revisit to the range high over time.

Such rotations often begin with powerful relief rallies, especially when initiated from deeply oversold conditions. However, confirmation will be required through sustained bullish closes and expanding volume before a broader trend shift can be validated.

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What to expect in the coming price action

From a technical, price-action, and market-structure perspective, Cardano is positioned at a critical historical inflection point. Continued acceptance above the four-year support zone would favor a bullish rotation scenario, supported by oversold momentum conditions.

Conversely, a decisive breakdown below this level would invalidate the long-term range thesis and expose ADA to deeper downside risk. For now, the technical evidence suggests that Cardano is at a level where meaningful buyers may begin to re-enter the market.

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Crypto World

Top altcoins to buy as Iran

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hyperliquid

Looking for the best altcoins to buy amid the ongoing Iran-US war volatility? This article highlights some of the top coins to buy for big gains as the war goes on and as many tokens become bargains.

Summary

  • Hyperliquid is a top altcoin to buy because of its strong fundamentals.
  • Pi Network will be listed on Kraken this Friday.
  • Chainlink is the biggest oracle network in the crypto industry.

Hyperliquid 

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has become one of the top beneficiaries of the ongoing war in Iran because of its perpetual oil futures product. This product has made it possible for people to trade crude oil during the weekend when most of the developments are happening. 

Data shows that the volume in Hyperliquid has jumped this month. According to DeFi Llama, the network has processed perpetual futures contracts worth over $178 billion in the last 30 days. That amount is higher than that of Aster, Lighter, and TradeXYZ, combined. 

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The benefit of all this is that Hyperliquid’s fees have continued rising, which, in turn, has led to more token burns and buybacks.

Technicals suggest that the HYPE price has more upside to go. It has already moved above the upper side of the falling wedge pattern. It also jumped above the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, pointing to more gains.

hyperliquid
HYPE price chart | Source: crypto.news

Pi Network

Pi Network (PI) is another top crypto to buy today. It has already jumped by over 80% from its lowest point this year and has numerous catalysts that may drive it higher in the coming weeks.

Kraken has already confirmed that it will list it on Friday. This listing is important as it will make it available in the United States for the first time. More exchanges may also decide to list it as it has become a top 50 coin. 

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The coin may continue rising because of the upcoming Pi Day event on Saturday and the ongoing network upgrades. Also, the developers are working on launching a KYC-as-a-Service solution. It is also becoming a top player in the artificial intelligence industry through its partnership with OpenMind.

Chainlink 

Chainlink (LINK) is a top altcoin to buy for long-term gains because of it substantial market share in the oracle industry. It has a total value secured of over $50 billion, much higher than other oracles like RedStone and Pyth.

Chainlink is also a major player in the fast-growing real-world asset tokenization industry. It has large partnerships with companies like JPMorgan, Swift, ANZ Bank, and DTCC.

The Grayscale and Bitwise Chainlink ETFs have also accumulated $93 milion in inflows despite the ongoing crypto bear market. 

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There are other quality altcoins worth buying that will do well once a bull market starts. Some of the other notable ones are Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Internet Computer.

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PUMP price hints at breakout amid multi-chain expansion sign

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PUMP price hints at volatility breakout as multi-chain expansion chatter grows - 1

PUMP price edged higher on Thursday as traders speculated about the project’s potential expansion beyond its current ecosystem. 

Summary

  • PUMP price rose as speculation around Pump.fun’s potential multi-chain expansion grew.
  • Trading activity increased while the token held support near $0.002.
  • Technical indicators show a volatility squeeze, suggesting a breakout could be approaching.

At press time, Pump.fun (PUMP) was trading at $0.00206, up about 4% in the past 24 hours. Over the past week, the token has traded between $0.001848 and $0.002108, keeping it near the top of its recent range.

The token has gained around 9% over the past month as buyers attempt a recovery. Even so, PUMP remains roughly 78% below its September 2025 all-time high.

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Market activity has picked up alongside the price move. 24-hour trading volume reached about $111.1 million, a 32.4% increase from the previous day.

According to CoinGlass data, derivatives activity has also climbed, with futures volume rising 29% to $242 million while open interest increased 3.52% to $177 million. When both metrics rise together, it usually shows that traders are opening new positions rather than closing existing ones.

Multi-chain expansion rumors drive interest

Signs that Pump.fun may be getting ready to expand outside of Solana are largely responsible for the project’s recent surge in interest.

The platform recently registered a number of new subdomains linked to other networks, such as Ethereum, BNB Chain, Base, and Monad, according to observers. The move is often seen as early infrastructure work before launching services on additional chains.

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At the same time, the project’s official social media profile removed its “Solana” location tag, adding to speculation that a broader rollout could be coming.

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A new development has also emerged through a recent partnership with MoonPay, which allows users to fund Pump.fun accounts with assets held on different blockchains. Deposits from networks like Bitcoin, Polygon, and Arbitrum are possible with this integration.

The process is handled in the background by MoonPay, which automatically converts the assets and routes them to the platform. 

Pump.fun itself continues to operate on the Solana network, and the team has not officially announced a full multi-chain expansion. Even so, the integration has sparked speculation that meme coin creation and trading on the platform could eventually extend beyond the Solana ecosystem.

If that direction is taken, the platform could gain access to larger liquidity pools from other networks. A rise in user activity and trading volume would likely increase the platform’s revenue.

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In the past, those funds have been used for PUMP buybacks, token burns, and investments aimed at developing the ecosystem. However, some critics warn that multi-chain expansion could fragment liquidity. Memecoins listed on the platform may experience more volatility as a result. 

PUMP price technical analysis

PUMP appears to be entering a volatility squeeze, which often precedes a large price movement. Following the recent period of consolidation, the Bollinger Bands have begun to contract, indicating a decrease in volatility. 

PUMP price hints at volatility breakout as multi-chain expansion chatter grows - 1
PUMP daily chart. Credit: crypto.news

When the bands narrow in this way, markets often react with a sharp move once price breaks out of the range. Several recent candles have formed near the $0.002 support area, where the token is currently trading. Buyers have stepped in around that level during the latest pullbacks.

Momentum also shows some improvement. The relative strength index has climbed back toward the 50 midpoint, indicating that selling pressure has started to ease after the earlier decline.

On shorter timeframes, the price structure is beginning to form higher lows. This pattern sometimes appears when a market starts to stabilize after a period of weakness.

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For now, the next level traders are watching sits around $0.0022–$0.0023, which aligns with the upper Bollinger Band. A move above that area could confirm a volatility breakout.

If the breakout holds, the market may enter a new expansion phase. However, if resistance holds, the token could continue to move sideways around the $0.002 level while traders wait for clearer direction.

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DeFi User Loses $50M in Crypto Swap Gone Wrong

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DeFi User Loses $50M in Crypto Swap Gone Wrong

A crypto user has lost millions during a crypto swap on the decentralized finance protocol Aave, with a Maximal Extractable Value, or MEV, bot also front-running the transaction to make almost $10 million.

A recently funded wallet from Binance containing $50.4 million USDt (USDT) executed a swap via decentralized exchange aggregator CoW Protocol and the SushiSwap DEX on Thursday, aiming to convert the full amount into the Aave (AAVE) token.

However, the wallet only received 327 AAVE tokens valued at approximately $36,000, according to Etherscan.

The result was an almost total loss as the user paid around $154,000 per AAVE, compared to its market price of around $114.

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Adding to the loss was a MEV bot that did a “sandwich attack” on the user. MEV bots scan pending blockchain transactions, and in this case, targeted the large incoming AAVE order to inflate the price of the token ahead of the order to profit.

The bot front-ran the transaction by flash-borrowing $29 million wrapped Ether (ETH) tokens from Morpho to drive up the price of AAVE ahead of the user’s transaction with a purchase on Bancor. It then sold the inflated tokens on SushiSwap for a $9.9 million profit.

A blockchain transaction showing aEthUSDT swapped to aEthAAVE on March 12. Source: Etherscan

User ignored slippage warnings: Aave

Automated market makers, such as SushiSwap, use an automated pricing formula that adjusts slippage, the intended and actual price of a trade, depending on the size of the trading pool and impending trades.

Aave founder Stani Kulechov posted to X that the protocol interface warned the user about the “extraordinary slippage” due to the “unusually large size of the single order.”

“The user confirmed the warning on their mobile device and proceeded with the swap, accepting the high slippage, which ultimately resulted in receiving only 324 AAVE in return,” he said.

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Related: Vitalik Buterin proposes solutions for Ethereum’s MEV problem

CoW DAO said on X that “despite clear warnings that showed the user they would lose nearly all of the value of their transaction, and despite needing to explicitly opt into the trade after seeing the warning, the user chose to proceed with their swap.”

“No DEX, DEX aggregator, public liquidity pool, or private liquidity pool (or combination thereof) would have been able to fill this trade at anywhere near a reasonable price.”

CoW DAO said that trades like this “show that DeFi UX still isn’t where it needs to be to protect all users,” adding that it would refund any protocol fees associated with the transaction. 

Aave’s Kulechov said it sympathized with the user and would attempt to contact them to return $600,000 in fees it collected from the transaction.

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“The key takeaway is that while DeFi should remain open and permissionless, allowing users to perform transactions freely, there are additional guardrails the industry can build to better protect users.”

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