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Cardano tests $0.25 again as analysts eye 200% ADA rally

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Cardano taps LayerZero, ending “island” era with 80+ chain bridge

Cardano (ADA) has stayed under pressure over the past year, even as some market signals point to a possible recovery. 

Summary

  • ADA holds near $0.25 support after a 40% drop, keeping rebound expectations in focus again.
  • Santiment data shows active Cardano wallets averaged negative 43% returns, placing ADA in opportunity zone.
  • The SEC classified ADA as a digital commodity on March 17, adding new regulatory context.

The token traded at $0.2628 at the time of reporting, with a 24-hour trading volume of $594.4 million and a market cap of about $9.69 billion. Although ADA gained 0.47% in the past day, it still fell 8.23% over the last seven days.

ADA is now trading close to the $0.25 level, which has become a key support zone in recent weeks. The token has tested this area several times over the past month and has managed to stay above it in most cases.

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The only clear break came during the February 6 flash crash, when ADA briefly dropped to $0.22 before moving back above $0.25. That quick recovery kept market focus on whether the current range could again act as a base for a rebound.

Market analyst Ali Martinez said Cardano posted large gains the last two times it bounced from this support area on a higher timeframe. According to his data, ADA rose 85% in early 2023 after holding this zone.

The token also climbed about 200% between October 2023 and March 2024 after another successful defense of the same level. Those earlier moves have drawn fresh attention to the current setup as ADA trades near that support once again.

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Another signal came from the weekly chart, where the TD Sequential printed a buy signal after ADA dropped from its mid-January peak of $0.44 to about $0.26. That decline left the token down roughly 40% in two months.

On-chain data has also shown weak positioning among active holders. Santiment reported that wallets active on the Cardano network over the past year are sitting on an average return of negative 43%, based on Market Value to Realized Value data. The firm said this could place ADA in an “opportunity” or “buy” zone.

SEC classification adds a new backdrop

The weak price action has come even after Cardano received positive regulatory news in the United States. On March 17, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission classified ADA as a digital commodity.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Yardstick Prints Record ‘Deep Value’ in Sub-$60,000 BTC Price Dip

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Bitcoin Yardstick Prints Record 'Deep Value' in Sub-$60,000 BTC Price Dip

Bitcoin Yardstick data confirmed a new record for BTC price “deep value” in February as miners battled the lowest price levels in 15 months.

Bitcoin (BTC) is “off the chart” in terms of value-for-money as price diverges from hash rate, a market analyst says.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin price action is diverging from hash rate to an extent never seen before.

  • The Bitcoin Yardstick metric shows that price is in its “deep value” range.

  • Hash rate continues to circle its historical highs despite a 40% BTC price drawdown.

Bitcoin Yardstick shows record “deep value”

Updating X followers on his Bitcoin Yardstick metric, Charles Edwards, founder of Bitcoin and digital asset hedge fund Capriole Investments, confirmed that it was in new territory.

The Bitcoin Yardstick divides market cap by hash rate, normalized over a two-year period. The result is an expression of Bitcoin’s “value” at a given price point and hash rate level.

“Similar in concept to a ‘PE Ratio,’ except instead of stock earnings, the Bitcoin Yardstick is taking the ratio of energy work done to secure the Bitcoin network in relation to price,” Edwards explained while introducing the metric in 2022. 

“Lower readings = cheaper Bitcoin = better value.”

Bitcoin Yardstick overview. Source: Capriole Investment

In February this year, Bitcoin generated its lowest Yardstick numbers on record, going far beyond the lows of the 2022 bear market.

After hitting 15-month lows near $59,000 earlier that month, the Yardstick fell to 0.35 — below the one standard deviation of its mean, the level Edwards describes as a prerequisite for Bitcoin being “cheap.”

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The Yardstick currently measures 0.40, still well within “cheap” territory relative to hash rate.

“Bitcoin yardstick is literally off the chart in deep value,” Edwards told X followers this week.

Bitcoin Yardstick chart. Source: Capriole Investment

Hash rate weathers 40% price decline

Bitcoin miners have struggled this year as price has fallen, but hash rate remains around the one zettahash per second (ZH/s) level, per data from BitInfoCharts.

Related: Gold slides as traders eye sub-$50K BTC: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin average hash rate (raw values). Source: BitInfoCharts

The result is a lower hash rate decline compared to price, which is currently more than 40% below its all-time highs from October 2025.

Earlier in March, Edwards noted a “measured collapse” in miners’ BTC selling as price recovered from the lows, something that historically has always been “bullish.”

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Previously, Cointelegraph reported on declining miner influence over price in the era of institutional investment.