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Casinos, Tribes, and Unions Urge Senate to Ban Sports Betting From the Clarity Act

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A coalition of more than 50 gaming associations, tribal governments, and labor unions submitted a letter to the Senate on June 16, demanding that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act include explicit language banning prediction markets from offering sports and casino-style event contracts. This is a direct shot at platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi that have built substantial real-money event contract businesses under CFTC oversight.

Signatories include the American Gaming Association (AGA), the Indian Gaming Association (IGA), and UNITE HERE, which represents 300,000 hotel, gaming, and food-service workers across the U.S. and Canada.

The letter argues that prediction market platforms have engineered the largest expansion of gambling in U.S. history over the past 18 months without state authorization, legislative approval, or meaningful consumer protections.

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Coalition’s Core Argument: CFTC Was Never Built to Police Gambling

The coalition’s legal framing is specific and worth unpacking. The groups are not simply arguing that sports betting is a bad policy. According to the coalition, the CFTC structurally lacks the authority and institutional infrastructure to regulate it. “Sports betting falls outside the CFTC’s remit and cannot be offered through prediction market platforms,” the letter states.

The CFTC was established to oversee commodities and derivatives markets, not to police wagering integrity, underage access, or problem-gambling safeguards – none of which it has enforcement history on.

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AGA President Bill Miller has previously stated that gaming integrity frameworks are “being undermined by so-called ‘prediction markets’ who are invading state, local, and tribal authorities.”

UNITE HERE’s president, Gwen Mills, framed it as an employment threat: workers’ livelihoods are “now threatened by prediction markets conducting illegal sports betting in violation of Tribal sovereignty and state laws.”

The IGA’s concern runs deeper still, that the Clarity Act, without explicit carve-outs, could functionally back-door legalize nationwide sports betting by routing it through CFTC-registered platforms, bypassing the tribal-state compact system that currently governs where and how wagering is offered.

The American Gaming Association has also claimed states have lost approximately $1 billion in tax revenue to prediction markets since the start of 2025, though prediction market operators dispute that figure.

Senator John Hickenlooper of Colorado put the jurisdictional argument plainly: “The CFTC has literally no experience in regulating sports betting. Even worse, CFTC has failed to use the authority it does have to protect sports bettors from insider trading, market manipulation, predatory advertising, and financial instability.”

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Clarity Act Legislative Battlefield: Three Obstacles, Nine Days, One Threshold

The gaming coalition’s letter lands on a bill already under structural strain. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15–9 on May 18, a meaningful vote count but one that does not resolve the three distinct obstacles still blocking floor passage.

An unresolved ethics fight embedded in the bill’s language, two competing committee texts that must be merged, and a 60-vote cloture threshold that demands bipartisan buy-in well beyond what the committee vote demonstrated.

A coalition of more than 50 gaming associations is demanding that the Clarity Act ban prediction markets from sports and casino-style bets.

With just nine working days before the July 4 recess, Senate drafters face a compressed timeline to decide whether to fold the gaming coalition’s anti-sports-betting language directly into the Clarity Act text or leave it to the separate Schiff-Curtis bill. S

Senators Adam Schiff and John Curtis introduced the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act (S.4160) in March 2026, which would amend the Commodity Exchange Act to explicitly bar CFTC-registered entities from listing contracts tied to any sporting event or athletic competition, or offering casino-style products like poker or blackjack. That bill preserves state and tribal gaming jurisdiction as the governing framework, exactly what the IGA and AGA want codified.

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The immediate regulatory trigger for this lobbying push was the CFTC’s early June 2026 rulemaking, which advanced a framework formally permitting certain sports event contracts on prediction markets. Banning markets on injuries, officiating calls, high-school athletics, and pure-chance games, but leaving skill-influenced event contracts potentially open.

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WhiteBIT EU Secures MiCA License in Austria, Expanding Regulated Crypto Services Across Europe

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[PRESS RELEASE – Vienna, Austria, June 19th, 2026]

WB-Shield Innovations GmbH, operating as WhiteBIT EU, announced today that it has obtained authorization under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) in Austria.

The authorization was granted by the Austrian Financial Market Authority (FMA).

The Austrian authorization marks a key step in WhiteBIT’s European growth strategy and underscores WhiteBIT EU’s commitment to operating within a transparent, secure and harmonized regulatory framework. Under MiCAR, WhiteBIT EU will be able to provide regulated crypto-asset services to eligible users across the EEA.

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The authorization marks an important step in WhiteBIT’s broader strategy to build a regulated European presence and contribute to the continued development of the digital asset ecosystem in the EEA*.

“WhiteBIT was originally founded as a European exchange, and Europe remains at the core of our long-term vision,” said Volodymyr Nosov, Founder and President of W Group, which WhiteBIT is part of. “With MiCA setting a global benchmark for digital asset regulation, this authorization reinforces our commitment to building a transparent, secure, and compliant crypto ecosystem for users across the region.”

Strengthening WhiteBIT EU’s Regulatory Position in Europe

MiCAR establishes a harmonized EU framework for crypto-asset service providers, including requirements relating to governance, transparency, client protection and market integrity.

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By obtaining authorization in Austria, WhiteBIT EU has completed a substantive regulatory assessment in a jurisdiction recognized for its well-established financial supervisory standards. This strengthens WhiteBIT EU’s regulated European presence and supports the planned provision of crypto-asset services across the EEA within the scope of its MiCAR authorization and in accordance with applicable passporting, onboarding and regulatory requirements.

With the MiCA license in Austria, these efforts are now consolidated under a single regulatory framework, enabling WhiteBIT to serve millions of European retail and institutional clients with compliant, secure, and accessible crypto services.

Launch of WhiteBIT.EU for European Users

As part of its transition to the MiCA framework, WhiteBIT is preparing to launch whitebit.eu — a dedicated platform designed specifically for users across the European Economic Area (EEA).

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This new platform will serve as WhiteBIT’s regulated hub for the European market, operating under the MiCA framework and offering compliant access to the company’s products and services across the EEA.

New users interested in joining whitebit.eu can already register their interest through a dedicated form on the website and will be among the first to receive updates when the platform becomes available.

This press release constitutes a marketing communication for the purposes of applicable regulations.

* Excluding Malta

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About WhiteBIT

WB-Shield Innovations GmbH (WhiteBIT EU) is an entity of WhiteBIT, authorised to provide crypto assets services in the EEA. WhiteBIT was founded in 2018 and is now a part of W Group, which serves more than 35 million customers globally. WhiteBIT collaborates with Visa, FACEIT, Barcelona FC, Juventus and the Ukrainian national football team. The company is dedicated to driving the widespread adoption of blockchain technology worldwide.

The post WhiteBIT EU Secures MiCA License in Austria, Expanding Regulated Crypto Services Across Europe appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Claude AI World Cup Predictions: USA VS Australia, Morocco VS Scotland

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Claude AI World Cup Predictions: USA VS Australia, Morocco VS Scotland

Claude AI predicts two World Cup matches today, and the scorecard predictions is mixed in a way that says a lot about how prediction models actually perform under real conditions.

In the marquee Group D clash, Claude nailed it almost perfectly. In the Group C derby, the direction was right but the story underneath played out differently than expected.

USA vs Australia was the loaded match of the day, and Claude leaned on home advantage, raw attacking talent, and tempo, predicting the U.S. would grind past a stubborn Australian low block 2-1.

Source: Claude AI Predicts

That is exactly what happened. Jordan Bos opened the scoring for Australia in the first half before Haji Wright’s brace turned the game, with the Americans eventually winning 2-1 in what their own head coach Mauricio Pochettino called one of the hardest fought results of his tenure.

The scoreline landed dead on, USA take the group with a game still to spare, just as the prediction called.

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Scotland vs Morocco is where the model’s logic held up directionally but the final number did not. Claude leaned on Morocco’s attacking talent and superior individual quality, the same group that reached the 2022 semifinals, to break Scotland down 2-1 in the second half.

Instead, Scotland’s defensive discipline did more than just hold, it shut Morocco out completely. John McGinn scored the only goal of the match in the 28th minute, and Scotland walked away with a 1-0 win, sitting top of Group C with 3 points while Morocco’s draw with Brazil and now this loss leave them on just 1.

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Claude AI World Cup Predictions: What The Split Result Says About The Model

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Two games, one clean hit and one swing and miss, but the nature of the miss matters more than the scoreline gap suggests.

Claude correctly identified Morocco as the technically superior side with more individual quality, and that read was not wrong, Morocco still controlled large stretches and pushed Brazil to a draw in their opener.

What the model underweighted was Scotland’s capacity to nullify that quality rather than just survive it.

Source: Claude

Steve Clarke’s side did not just keep Haiti quiet in their opener, they replicated that same defensive discipline against a far better attacking unit and still found the only goal of the game through McGinn.

The bigger picture Claude sketched out is still very much alive. USA winning Group D outright with Australia well-positioned for second is now locked in, exactly as predicted.

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But Group C has flipped on its head. Instead of a winner-take-all Scotland-Brazil finale with Morocco already through, Scotland now sits in firm control with 3 points, while Morocco faces a must-win scenario against Brazil on June 24th just to guarantee their own passage.

The AI got the headline result wrong in Boston, but the tournament’s bigger threads, USA cruising and Morocco’s fate hinging on the final matchday, are unfolding almost exactly as the broader thesis suggested.

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Palantir (PLTR) Stock Dips as Oligo Security Enters FedStart Compliance Network

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • Palantir Technologies shares declined following Oligo Security’s FedStart enrollment.

  • Oligo pursues FedRAMP High and DoD Impact Level 5 certifications via the program.

  • FedStart accelerates federal compliance processes for software providers.

  • Oligo delivers runtime security solutions for government application environments.

  • Partnership reinforces Palantir’s infrastructure for regulated technology markets.

Shares of Palantir Technologies declined on Friday following news that Oligo Security has partnered with the company through its FedStart compliance initiative. PLTR stock decreased 1.65%, finishing the session at $128.47. This partnership provides Oligo with an accelerated pathway to obtain critical federal security certifications.

Palantir Technologies Inc., PLTR

Oligo Security Enters Palantir’s FedStart Ecosystem

Oligo Security has officially joined Palantir Technologies’ FedStart initiative as part of its strategy to penetrate the federal government market. The runtime security provider is pursuing both FedRAMP High authorization and Department of Defense Impact Level 5 certification. This enrollment integrates Oligo into Palantir’s established network of government-oriented software vendors.

Palantir created FedStart specifically to streamline the complex process of achieving federal security compliance standards. Participating organizations receive access to hardened infrastructure and expert compliance guidance. The program significantly shortens the timeline for obtaining Authority to Operate certifications from government agencies.

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Through FedStart, Oligo intends to deliver its runtime security capabilities directly to federal agencies. The company’s platform safeguards applications, cloud infrastructure, and artificial intelligence systems during active operation. Oligo specializes in defending against threats that emerge while software is executing in production.

Runtime Protection Addresses Evolving Federal Threat Landscape

According to Oligo, contemporary cyberattacks increasingly exploit vulnerabilities during the runtime phase rather than at rest. The company’s technology identifies and neutralizes active threats in real-time. This methodology contrasts with conventional security solutions that primarily identify potential weaknesses without runtime context.

Legacy security frameworks typically create silos between application security, cloud protection, and workload defense. Sophisticated threat actors exploit these disconnected layers during coordinated attack campaigns. Oligo’s platform consolidates monitoring across these environments to eliminate coverage gaps.

The security firm analyzes actual production behavior to pinpoint vulnerabilities that adversaries can realistically weaponize. This approach enables security operations teams to reduce false positive alerts and prioritize genuine risks. Oligo maintains that its solution can prevent exploitation attempts while maintaining system availability and performance.

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FedStart Program Reinforces Palantir’s Federal Infrastructure Position

Palantir’s FedStart initiative assists technology vendors pursuing federal and defense sector authorizations. The program delivers secure development environments, pre-built compliance architectures, and expert guidance on government authorization processes. This offering demonstrates Palantir’s expanding influence in federal software infrastructure.

For Oligo Security, FedStart participation establishes a structured approach to reaching federal customers. Both FedRAMP High and DoD IL5 certifications enable deployment within highly sensitive government operations. These authorizations mandate rigorous controls covering data protection, identity management, and operational security.

Palantir strengthens its FedStart portfolio by incorporating additional specialized security vendors. Simultaneously, Oligo obtains access to compliance infrastructure specifically designed for federal requirements. This arrangement consolidates Palantir’s standing as the preferred platform for companies entering regulated government technology markets.

 

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Bittensor price risks deeper correction as Root Reborn debate rattles TAO bulls

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Bittensor (TAO) daily chart showing a breakdown below the $237 support zone as bearish momentum builds toward the $220 level.

Bittensor’s TAO token has fallen nearly 20% from its June 15 peak after governance concerns, derivatives liquidations, and a risk-off macro backdrop combined to erase much of last week’s rally.

Summary

  • TAO has fallen nearly 20% from its June 15 high as governance concerns and liquidations hit sentiment.
  • Criticism of the Root Reborn proposal has raised questions about validator power, liquidity, and regulation.
  • Technical indicators show sellers remain in control, with $220 acting as a key near-term support level.

According to data from crypto.news, Bittensor (TAO) price dropped 4.3% in the last 24 hours to trade near $225 on June 19, bringing its losses to nearly 20% since June 15, when the AI-focused token peaked around $283 before governance concerns and derivatives liquidations triggered a reversal.

Bittensor’s decline accelerated after criticism emerged around the proposed Root Reborn governance overhaul, a plan designed to reduce persistent subnet token selling by changing how validators allocate capital across the network.

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While supporters view the proposal as a long-term fix for Bittensor’s tokenomics, opponents argue it could introduce governance concentration, liquidity stress, and regulatory complications.

Among the most vocal critics, validator group Yuma warned that Root Reborn would transform validators from neutral network operators into active capital allocators. According to Yuma, the framework could create incentives for collusion, preferential treatment, and frontrunning while encouraging subnet teams to prioritize validator relationships over AI product development.

“Such a change could fundamentally alter the role of validators,” Yuma wrote in its assessment of the proposal.

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At the same time, derivatives traders rapidly reduced exposure. CoinGlass data showed TAO futures open interest falling more than 8% over a 24-hour period to roughly $252 million-$260 million. More than $1.66 million in bullish leveraged positions were liquidated during the same stretch, adding forced market selling as prices moved lower.

Trading activity also weakened. Daily volume dropped roughly 14% to about $624 million as traders reassessed protocol risk ahead of further discussions surrounding the governance proposal

Concerns extended beyond governance mechanics. Yuma argued that rewards tied to baskets of subnet tokens could become difficult to liquidate during periods of market stress, while a wave of unstaking could create execution disadvantages for later redeemers.

Macroeconomic conditions added another headwind. Crypto markets remained under pressure after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh reinforced expectations that U.S. interest rates may remain elevated for longer than previously expected.

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The stronger U.S. dollar and declining appetite for speculative assets pushed capital away from high-beta sectors, including artificial intelligence-linked cryptocurrencies.

TAO technical structure favors sellers below key resistance

The daily chart shows TAO breaking below a major horizontal support zone near $237, a level that acted as a floor during April and May. What previously served as support now risks becoming resistance after the breakdown.

Bittensor (TAO) daily chart showing a breakdown below the $237 support zone as bearish momentum builds toward the $220 level.
TAO price has lost a key support level on the daily chart — June 19 | Source: crypto.news

Murrey Math levels place the token below the 3/8 trading range support at $218.8, while the next major resistance stands near the 4/8 pivot at $250. A recovery above that region would be required to restore bullish momentum and reopen a path toward $281, where the June rally stalled.

On the four-hour chart, TAO has also fallen beneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $228.2 after rejecting the 0.786 retracement near $273.8 earlier this week. Price continues to trade below a descending trendline that has capped every recovery attempt since June 15.

TAO 4-hour chart showing a rejection from June highs, declining MACD momentum, and price trading below key Fibonacci resistance.
TAO 4-hour price chart — June 19 | Source: crypto.news

Momentum indicators remain weak. The MACD has crossed into negative territory with expanding bearish histogram bars, while Chaikin Money Flow sits at -0.27, showing capital leaving the market. Although the Stochastic RSI remains above oversold levels on the daily timeframe, both signal lines have turned lower.

According to the 4-hour chart, TAO’s failure to reclaim the broken $237 support leaves the market vulnerable to another leg lower toward the $208 Fibonacci support zone.

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TAO loses key support as sellers target lower liquidity zones

CoinGlass liquidation heatmap data shows dense liquidity clusters concentrated between $239 and $241, creating a potential magnet should buyers regain control. Several additional liquidation pockets sit near $244 and $245, where short positions could come under pressure if TAO stages a relief rally.

TAO liquidation heatmap highlighting dense leverage clusters near $239-$245 and support-side liquidity around $225-$220.
TAO liquidation heatmap | Source: CoinGlass

The downside picture remains equally important. A concentration of leveraged positions has formed around the $225-$226 area, while thinner support appears below current prices until the $220 region. A decisive break beneath $220 could expose the June swing low near $190 before attention turns toward the longer-term support band between $180 and $200.

Regulatory concerns surrounding Root Reborn present another risk. Yuma argued that validators directing capital allocations could attract scrutiny typically associated with investment management activities, potentially complicating participation for exchanges, custodians, and institutional operators.

If uncertainty surrounding the proposal persists while macro conditions remain restrictive, TAO may struggle to reclaim the $237-$250 zone that bulls need to regain control.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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BlockShoals Explains Binance’s Philippine Regulatory Status

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BlockShoals Explains Binance’s Philippine Regulatory Status

Binance is allowed to provide crypto trading access to users in the Philippines through its arrangement with BlockShoals Technologies, but neither company is authorized to handle peso transfers or perform other activities regulated by the country’s central bank, according to legal adviser Marie Antonette Quiogue.

Quiogue, head of legal at BlockShoals, told Cointelegraph in an interview on Friday at Philippine Blockchain Week 2026 that Binance’s local operations fall under the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) crypto asset service provider (CASP) framework. She said BlockShoals serves as a crypto asset intermediary, introducing Philippine users to Binance’s global trading platform.

The arrangement forms part of Binance’s effort to reestablish a presence in the Philippines after regulators moved to restrict access to the exchange over licensing concerns in 2024. Under the structure presented by BlockShoals, the company participates in the SEC’s Strategic Sandbox, or StratBox.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), the nation’s central bank, told Cointelegraph that neither Binance nor BlockShoals is authorized to operate as a virtual asset service provider (VASP).

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“Participation in the regulatory sandbox does not exempt an entity from complying with applicable laws, rules, and regulations, including any licensing requirements imposed by relevant regulators,” the BSP said, adding that it was coordinating with the SEC on the matter.

Cointelegraph’s Ezra Reguerra (left) with BlockShoals head of legal Marie Antonette Quiogue (right). Photo: Cointelegraph

BlockShoals argues SEC framework permits trading access

Quiogue did not dispute the BSP’s statement and acknowledged that neither Binance nor BlockShoals had applied for a local VASP license. The legal advisor argued that the absence of a VASP license does not prevent the companies from providing services under SEC jurisdiction. 

“Trading, the activity of trading, is clearly under the jurisdiction of the SEC,” Quiogue said. “Binance and BlockShoals, we are not moving pesos, which is clearly under the jurisdiction of the BSP.”

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Related: Meta rolls out stablecoin payouts for creators in Philippines, Colombia

She said the regulatory structure requires BlockShoals and Binance to obtain authorization from the relevant regulator whenever they introduce services outside the SEC’s remit.

“If BlockShoals and Binance will be offering any product that is regulated by any other government agency, you have to get an authority from them,” she said. 

Binance returns after Philippine access restrictions

Binance first drew regulatory scrutiny in the Philippines in November 2023, when the SEC warned the public that the platform was not authorized to sell or offer securities in the country because it had not obtained the necessary license and registration. 

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In March 2024, the commission said it had asked the National Telecommunications Commission to block access to the Binance website and related webpages. Local internet providers subsequently began restricting access to the platform following the order. 

At the time of publication, Binance’s platform was accessible to users in the Philippines. 

Magazine: China’s 107 Bitcoin memory thief, Bithumb CEO booked: Asia Express

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XRP’s 2-Month RSI Hits Make-or-Break 50 Level: Here’s What’s Next for Ripple’s Price

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A widely followed crypto analyst says XRP’s two-month Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to the 50 mark, a level he’s calling the dividing line between a continued macro reset and the start of a fresh expansion phase.

The call comes with the asset trading near $1.12, down nearly 5% over the past day and roughly 18% in the last month.

RSI at the 50 Line

EGRAG CRYPTO, posting on X on June 19, laid out what he sees as a recurring pattern on XRP’s longer-term chart, namely a major spike, then a cooldown, then a reset, finished off by an expansion. According to him, the token’s two-month RSI is now sitting right at that 50 threshold, which he frames as a battlefield level rather than a clean signal in either direction.

His reasoning is that staying above 50 means momentum is trying to stabilize, while losing it “with conviction” will open up the door to a deeper pullback toward the 43.66 RSI zone.

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A reclaim of the 52.85 to 55.45 range would, in his view, mark the point where macro momentum starts repairing itself. From there, he pointed to 80 RSI as the level where the more aggressive upside scenario comes into play.

“The 2-month RSI does not speak often. But when it does, it speaks MACRO,” he wrote.

The analyst paired that with a separate read on XRP’s 2-month chart, which he said is forming an ascending triangle with an A-B-C-D-E structure. Per his assessment, the first four legs are complete, and the token may now be working through the final “E” wave before it attempts a breakout.

However, he was careful to note that none of his price targets are active yet, with XRP needing to first hold rising support, reclaim its 7-week moving average, and clear resistance around $2.00 to $2.10 before the broader Fibonacci-based targets, which range from $9.50 up to an “extreme cycle extension” near $100, become relevant.

That framework echoed another thread EGRAG posted earlier in the week, where he mapped out three historical pump scenarios for XRP based on a larger triangle pattern. Here, he said the conservative case was near $6.50 to $9.27, with a “balanced” cycle case at around $13, and an extreme case near $60, all modeled on the Ripple token’s first major cycle move.

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Price Action and On-Chain Backdrop

Looking at the market, XRP has been on a tough stretch, sliding below the $1.20 support level following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and presser, which led some analysts to warn that a rejection at $1.20 to $1.21 could send the #6 token toward $1.00.

On-chain activity has also cooled off, as active addresses dropped by nearly 50% in the last two weeks, according to analyst Ali Martinez. In addition, during the past 5 days, big holders have released more than 30 million XRP, although they still hold almost 70% of the asset’s whole supply.

But there’s still a bright spot at least, that being the performance of spot XRP ETFs, which have kept attracting inflows even during the times when both Bitcoin and Ethereum funds were seeing outflows. According to data from SoSoValue, this past week, net inflows up to June 18 have hit $10.66 million, with BTC ETFs bleeding $226 million in that time and those tracking ETH losing $10.05 million.

The post XRP’s 2-Month RSI Hits Make-or-Break 50 Level: Here’s What’s Next for Ripple’s Price appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Goldman Sachs Reduced Its Gold Price Target for the End of 2026

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Goldman Sachs Reduced Its Gold Price Target for the End of 2026

Goldman Sachs has lowered its year-end gold forecast by $500 to $4,900 an ounce. This revised forecast comes as hopes for a 2026 rate cut fade.

The revised target still implies gains in the second half, though smaller than the bank previously projected. Analysts Lina Thomas and Daan Struyven outlined the change in a research note.

Gold Price Target Year-to-Date. Source: TradingView

Why Goldman Lowered Its Gold Forecast

The downgrade stems mainly from a weaker outlook for inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds. World Gold Council data showed that global gold-backed ETFs experienced outflows of roughly $2 billion in May. 

Europe alone attracted fresh inflows that month. Asian funds, meanwhile, logged their first monthly outflow since August 2025, with $1.2 billion leaving. At the same time, investor sentiment has also turned bearish.

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The weaker ETF demand comes as markets scale back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Earlier this week, Goldman economists pushed back their US rate-cut forecast to June and December of next year. They had earlier expected reductions in December 2026 and March 2027.

“Our gold price views remain structurally constructive but tactically cautious, with near-term downside risk and medium-term upside risk,” the analysts said.

The Hawkish Fed Backdrop

Meanwhile, the Fed held its benchmark rate at 3.50% to 3.75% this week, but there was growing support for hikes. Nine officials now project at least one hike in 2026. 

Should the Fed actually raise rates, Goldman sees gold sliding to $4,400 by year-end as its appeal as a policy hedge fades. Rob Kaplan, a Goldman vice chairman and former Dallas Fed president, told Bloomberg that a hike may come as soon as September.

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Still, central bank demand provides a floor. Official buyers turned net gold purchasers again in April, adding 19 tons. Moreover, according to WGC’s survey, roughly 45% plan to grow their reserves in the coming year.

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Monero extends losses as Fed hawkishness weighs on the crypto market

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Monero extends losses as Fed hawkishness weighs on the crypto market

Key takeaways

  • XMR is down 2% and could record further losses in the near term
  • The Fed’s hawkishness weighs on the broader crypto market.

Privacy coins remain under pressure amid weak risk appetite

Monero (XMR) continued its downward trajectory on Friday as bearish sentiment persisted across the cryptocurrency market. 

XMR slipped for a third consecutive session, remaining below the $330 level. 

The broader crypto market came under renewed pressure following remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh during his first post-meeting press conference on Wednesday.

While the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations, investors reacted negatively to the central bank’s hawkish tone. 

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Policymakers emphasized their commitment to restoring inflation to the long-term 2% target, prioritizing price stability over near-term monetary easing.

Warsh’s comments suggested the Fed remains comfortable maintaining its current policy stance and is not yet considering interest-rate cuts. Market participants have even begun pricing in the possibility of another rate increase, with current expectations implying a 30% probability of a hike at an upcoming policy meeting.

Risk appetite weakened further as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 15 on Thursday from 22 a day earlier, keeping the market firmly in the “Extreme Fear” zone. The decline highlights growing investor caution and reduced exposure to risk assets.

Monero price outlook: Correction continues below key resistance levels

Monero remains trapped below the Bollinger Bands middle line near $340 and all major Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). 

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The 50-day EMA sits around $359, while the 100-day and 200-day EMAs cluster near $366, creating a significant resistance zone overhead.

Despite the ongoing correction, technical indicators show signs of improving momentum. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram remains positive, while the Money Flow Index (MFI) near 65 suggests steady capital inflows. 

However, these signals currently point to corrective rebounds rather than a broader trend reversal as long as XMR remains beneath key resistance levels.

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Immediate resistance is located around the Bollinger Bands’ middle line at $340, followed by the 50-day EMA near $359. 

A stronger resistance zone emerges around $367, where the 100-day and 200-day EMAs converge. Beyond that, the upper Bollinger Band near $389 represents the next major hurdle for buyers.

On the downside, support is found near the lower Bollinger Band at approximately $291. A breakdown below this level could accelerate losses and trigger a deeper retracement despite the recent improvement in momentum indicators.

XMR/USD 4H Chart

Monero remains vulnerable to further downside as macroeconomic uncertainty and restrictive monetary policy continue to weigh on investor sentiment. 

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While technical indicators suggest some underlying buying interest, the privacy coins must reclaim key resistance levels before a more sustained recovery can take shape.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Illinois Crypto Transfer Tax Proposal Adds New Regulatory Pressure

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Bitcoin price is butchered as a wave of state-level regulatory pressure lands on a market prediction that is grinding through consolidation. Illinois just became the first U.S. state to impose a direct transaction-level tax on digital assets. What makes it even worse is the law’s structure. The full implications for exchange operations and user behavior won’t hit until 2027, but the precedent is already moving sentiment.

Under Illinois SB3019, a 0.2% “Digital Asset Tax” will apply to every crypto transfer, not just profitable trades, but any movement of funds, including wallet-to-wallet transfers, cold storage withdrawals, and even reorganizing holdings within the same exchange.

Governor Pritzker signed the measure as part of the state’s FY2027 budget, projecting $60 million annually in new revenue. MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor called it a “big mistake” that will drive Bitcoin capital and innovation out of Illinois.

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The rules will also require centralized exchanges to meet a low $100,000 annual receipts threshold from Illinois users to collect and remit the tax, so virtually every major platform is captured.

The concern isn’t Illinois alone. Traders are now watching whether other states treat this as a template, and analysts have flagged that a contagion of similar state-level measures could meaningfully compress on-chain activity across the U.S.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Break $70,000 Under Mounting Regulatory Headwinds?

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Bitcoin’s current consolidation range has well-defined boundaries that need to be watched closely. Support sits in the $60,000–$62,000 zone. This is the region where spot buyers absorbed the last significant correction and where options desks have clustered notable open interest on the put side.

Resistance remains firm at above $66,000, aligning with prior local highs and a concentration of call open interest that has capped rallies on multiple attempts.

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The Illinois tax news doesn’t threaten Bitcoin’s structural bull case on its own, but it adds to a macro-regulatory cocktail that has kept momentum subdued. Spot ETF inflows remain the primary demand lever, and any meaningful acceleration there would likely overwhelm state-level noise. Without it, the path of least resistance stays sideways.

The data points to a market that isn’t panicking, but isn’t buying dips aggressively either. Position sizing reflects that ambiguity.

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Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early-Mover Upside as Bitcoin Navigates Key Levels

If Bitcoin’s near-term upside is capped at $70,000 while regulatory friction compounds at the state level, the asymmetric opportunity shifts down the risk. It is curving toward infrastructure plays that benefit from Bitcoin’s long-term adoption story without carrying the same near-term overhang.

That’s the argument forming around Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER). It’s a Bitcoin Layer 2 project integrating the Solana Virtual Machine to deliver smart contract execution speeds that the base chain simply cannot offer.

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The pitch is direct: bring fast, scalable programmability to Bitcoin while preserving its security model, something no other Layer 2 has executed with SVM integration.

The presale has raised $32 million at a current price of $0.0136, with staking available and a decentralized canonical bridge for BTC transfers already in the feature set. As state-level taxes threaten to squeeze routine on-chain activity, infrastructure that makes Bitcoin more efficient and programmable looks structurally relevant, not just as a trade, but as a thesis.

Traders wanting to assess the project further can research Bitcoin Hyper here.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Illinois Crypto Transfer Tax Proposal Adds New Regulatory Pressure appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Should You Buy Micron (MU) Stock Before Wednesday’s Earnings Report?

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MU Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Micron’s fiscal Q3 earnings are scheduled for after-hours Wednesday, June 24
  • Wall Street expects EPS of $20.70 (versus $1.71 last year) and revenue of $35.56 billion (versus $9.30 billion)
  • Shares have skyrocketed 817% over the trailing twelve months and 298% in 2025
  • The company has exceeded earnings expectations for 12 consecutive quarters, yet shares declined following 7 of those announcements
  • AI infrastructure spending from major technology firms is projected to surpass $700 billion in 2025, sustaining robust chip demand

Micron Technology shares have delivered extraordinary gains over the past year, surging 817%. However, Wednesday’s earnings announcement may present a challenge — regardless of how impressive the results prove to be.


MU Stock Card
Micron Technology, Inc., MU

The memory chip manufacturer will unveil its fiscal third-quarter performance after market hours on June 24. Shares were trading approximately 8.70% higher in anticipation of the disclosure.

Analysts are projecting a substantial year-over-year improvement. The consensus calls for adjusted earnings per share of $20.70, a dramatic increase from $1.71 in the corresponding period last year. Revenue projections stand at $35.56 billion, compared to just $9.30 billion twelve months prior, based on FactSet estimates.

These figures represent exceptional growth. However, historical patterns suggest that surpassing expectations doesn’t guarantee share price appreciation.

Micron has exceeded earnings projections for twelve consecutive quarters. Despite this streak, the stock has finished lower in the trading session immediately after seven of those announcements, data from Dow Jones Market Data reveals.

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The latest instance occurred in March, when Micron delivered its largest earnings surprise relative to forecasts in two years. Nevertheless, shares declined 3.8% the following trading day.

That being said, MU has rallied 168% since that March announcement. A single-day decline obviously doesn’t capture the complete investment narrative.

AI Infrastructure Investment Context

The broader environment is critical to understanding Micron’s position. Investors are monitoring the company’s performance as an indicator of overall semiconductor demand and whether the artificial intelligence investment wave maintains its strength.

Major technology corporations are anticipated to allocate over $700 billion toward AI infrastructure in the current year, up from $400 billion in 2025. This extraordinary capital deployment has been instrumental in driving memory chip consumption.

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“The demand is just through the roof in relation to chip capacity,” noted Steve Kolano, chief investment officer at Integrated Partners, characterizing Micron’s situation as “a classic positive feedback loop.”

The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index reached a new record high this week, advancing 7% over the five-trading-day period. Major U.S. equity benchmarks are similarly positioned near all-time peaks, buoyed by robust corporate profits and diminished geopolitical tensions.

Critical Factors for Investors

Beyond the topline financial metrics, market participants will scrutinize Micron’s forward guidance and any remarks regarding data center demand patterns.

Valuation multiples throughout the semiconductor sector have expanded considerably, prompting some investors to question whether the AI-driven rally has become overextended. Micron’s quarterly report offers one of the most direct methods to assess whether underlying demand justifies current market enthusiasm.

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and the final first-quarter GDP revision are also scheduled for release next week, introducing additional macroeconomic variables into the equation.

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Barron’s has previously contended that Micron and several chip industry counterparts remain attractively valued relative to AI server hardware requirements.

Second-quarter earnings expansion for the S&P 500 is estimated at 22.9%, declining from 29.3% in the first quarter, according to LSEG research.

Presently, the Wall Street consensus maintains that AI-related momentum continues unabated. SpaceX’s recent public market debut and Nasdaq’s inclusion of AI infrastructure companies such as Astera Labs and CoreWeave have generated additional institutional buying activity from passive index strategies.

Micron is scheduled to announce results after Wednesday’s market close on June 24.

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