Crypto World
CFTC Chief Launches Innovation Task Force Targeting Crypto Derivatives Framework
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) authorized a specialized Innovation Task Force on Tuesday to overhaul CFTC crypto regulatory frameworks for crypto, artificial intelligence, and prediction markets.
This initiative marks the first concrete step by Chair Michael Selig to transition U.S. derivatives oversight from an enforcement-based regime to a structured compliance pathway for decentralized protocols.
The move explicitly targets the regulatory gray zones that have pushed the majority of derivatives volume offshore.
- Task Force Scope: The new unit will develop specific regulatory approaches for three distinct verticals: crypto assets, AI integration, and prediction markets.
- Leadership: Michael Passalacqua, a former Simpson Thacher attorney, leads the effort as senior adviser to the Chair.
- Market Goal: The initiative aims to create a direct channel for “builders” to negotiate compliance frameworks rather than waiting for subpoenas.
The Mandate: From Litigation to Rulemaking
The strategy is a pivot away from the regulation-by-enforcement tactics that defined the previous administration. Michael Passalacqua, appointed in January, will direct the task force to work alongside the Innovation Advisory Committee. The objective is to define how code-based intermediaries can function within the Commodity Exchange Act.
“The idea behind our innovation advisory task force is really to create a space where innovators and builders can come in and talk to the staff,” Selig told attendees at the Digital Asset Summit in New York.
He was specific about the targets: “It’s not just crypto,” it’s going to be prediction markets, crypto, and AI. We think these three verticals are really important.”
This follows the precedent set by the joint CFTC-SEC interpretation regarding asset classification. The task force is expected to operationalize those high-level definitions into clearing and settlement rules. This creates the necessary legal ground for platforms like EDX Markets to launch perpetual futures without the looming threat of reclassification.
The inclusion of prediction markets is particularly notable. While venues like Kalshi have fought expensive court battles to list event contracts, the new task force suggests a move toward a generalized framework for event derivatives. This would standardize the rules for hedging political or economic outcomes, removing the case-by-case approval bottleneck.
The Liquidity Bifurcation: Onshore vs. Offshore
The market is already split.
US institutional capital is trapped in inefficient spot structures while price discovery happens on high-velocity offshore perpetuals. Hyperliquid’s record-breaking open interest proves traders prefer the capital efficiency of decentralized derivatives over rigid legacy infrastructure.
That volume exists with or without US approval.
The CFTC’s challenge is simple. Capture it or lose it permanently.
The task force adapts the definition of a Futures Commission Merchant to include smart contract code. Protocols register directly. Massive DeFi volume comes under US surveillance and the liquidity stays onshore.
Or the CFTC enforces bank-like capital requirements on software developers. Innovation gets banned. US builders geofence their own products. Asia captures the upside.
The global pressure is real. Circle is already pushing the EU to ease thresholds for its own market frameworks. The US is not competing against a slow-moving bureaucracy anymore. It is competing against jurisdictions actively writing code-compatible laws right now.
The technology is ready. The regulator is finally catching up.
Discover: The 14 Best Cryptos to Buy Now
The post CFTC Chief Launches Innovation Task Force Targeting Crypto Derivatives Framework appeared first on Cryptonews.
An independent government review warned that crypto assets could channel foreign money into British politics.
The United Kingdom has imposed an immediate moratorium on all cryptocurrency donations to political parties, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced on Wednesday.
The move follows the publication of the Rycroft Review, a 50-page independent assessment of foreign financial interference in UK politics led by former senior civil servant Philip Rycroft.
The government will legislate the moratorium through amendments to the Representation of the People Bill currently before Parliament, and the new rules will apply retrospectively to any crypto donations received from Wednesday onward, Communities Secretary Steve Reed confirmed in the House of Commons.
Why Crypto
The Rycroft Review cited a combination of concerns specific to crypto assets as the basis for its recommendation, including the incomplete regulatory framework for crypto — particularly at the international level — the difficulty of tracing ultimate ownership, the proliferation of different cryptoasset vehicles with varying degrees of traceability, and the emergence of AI-assisted technologies that can fragment crypto holdings into amounts small enough to fall below the £500 threshold at which political donations must be declared.
No crypto donations have reached the reporting threshold to date, according to the review, meaning the Electoral Commission has had no visibility into the scale of crypto flowing into party coffers.
The review framed the moratorium as a pause rather than a permanent prohibition. Rycroft wrote that the measure should be understood as an interval for the regulatory environment to catch up with the reality of cryptoassets, not a prelude to an outright ban. The legislation would include a mechanism to lift the moratorium once Parliament and the Electoral Commission are satisfied that adequate regulation is in place.
Rycroft also acknowledged that the ban is not a complete seal. Donors would still be able to convert crypto holdings to fiat and donate the proceeds, at which point traditional anti-money laundering checks would apply.
The UK Parliament’s Joint Committee on the National Security Strategy last month described crypto’s presence in UK politics as an unacceptably high risk to the integrity of the political finance system, and endorsed the review’s findings today.
Reform UK in the Crosshairs
The moratorium lands squarely on Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, the only major British party to actively court crypto donations. Reform became the first mainstream UK party to accept Bitcoin donations last year, and its largest donor — Thailand-based Christopher Harborne, a major Tether investor — has donated £12 million to the party over the past year, including a single £9 million contribution.
The Electoral Commission has said that Reform has not shared any crypto wallet addresses with the regulator, limiting the watchdog’s ability to independently verify the party’s crypto funding sources.
Reform UK MPs walked out of the House of Commons during Starmer’s announcement. The Prime Minister took a direct shot at Farage, telling MPs that there was only one party leader willing to say anything if paid to do so.
Broader Crackdown
The crypto moratorium is one of 17 recommendations in the Rycroft Review, which found that foreign interference in UK politics from Russia, China, and Iran is persistent and growing more acute. The review was triggered by the November 2025 conviction of Nathan Gill, Reform UK’s former leader in Wales, who was sentenced to more than 10 years for accepting Russian bribes.
Alongside the crypto ban, the government immediately adopted a £100,000 annual cap on political donations from British citizens living overseas. Rycroft also recommended limiting corporate donations to a party’s reported taxable profits — a measure aimed at closing a loophole that could allow foreign individuals to funnel money through UK-registered shell companies.
The Rycroft Review also warned of threats beyond direct political financing, noting that foreign-linked social media bots and disinformation campaigns represent a relatively cheap way for hostile states to interfere in democratic processes. Rycroft separately flagged what he called a potential new threat from allies like the United States, citing a willingness of foreign actors and private citizens to interfere in politics abroad in pursuit of their own agenda.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
South Korea’s political deadlock over virtual asset taxation has broken under the weight of market reality. Lawmakers from both major parties have agreed to delay the planned 20% Crypto Tax on gains until 2027 following data revealing $110 billion in annual capital flight. This bipartisan reversal is a strategic pivot driven by a retail exodus that has drained liquidity from domestic exchanges in favor of offshore derivatives platforms.
The Financial Services Commission (FSC) confirmed that outflows accelerated in the second half of 2025, with $60 billion leaving the country in just six months. Traders are not just cashing out; they are moving capital to jurisdictions that offer the leverage and hedging tools currently banned on local soil.
- Capital Flight: Annual outflows hit an estimated $110 billion in 2025, with 57% of volume moving to Binance to access futures and leverage.
- Political Response: Both the ruling People Power Party and opposition Democratic Party agreed to delay the 20% tax implementation to 2027.
- Market Impact: Operating profits for domestic exchanges plunged 38% in H2 2025 as traders bypassed local spot-only restrictions.
The Mechanics of the Exodus
The data paints a picture of a market structure failure. While the FSC noted a 14% increase in outflows to 90 trillion won ($60 billion) in the second half of the year, the drivers are structural, not sentimental.
Domestic giants like Upbit and Bithumb are legally restricted to spot trading. In a volatile market, this restriction renders them obsolete for sophisticated traders looking to hedge downside risk or speculate with leverage.
This is not a sell-off. It is an arbitrage migration. A joint report by CoinGecko and Tiger Research estimates that 57% of the total outflows flowed directly to Binance.
South Korean traders now account for approximately 13% of Binance’s futures volume. The net result is a massive transfer of fees abroad; foreign exchanges earned an estimated 2.7 times more revenue from Korean users than domestic platforms did in 2025.
The disparity has crushed local profitability. Despite a 31% rise in deposits to 8.1 trillion won ($5.4 billion), operating profits for South Korea’s 18 exchanges collapsed by 38% to 380.7 billion won ($253.4 million). The volume is there, but the high-value transactional velocity has moved elsewhere. We are seeing similar liquidity demands globally; EDX Markets launching KRW perpetual futures suggests institutional players are already positioning to capture this volume offshore if domestic regulations don’t adapt.
The FSC report explicitly linked the outflows to “arbitrage and other similar activities,” a tacit admission that the current regulatory framework is bleeding value.
Regulatory News: The Policy Gap
The decision to delay the tax is an emergency brake, not a solution. The opposition Democratic Party, previously adamant about implementing the tax in 2025, capitulated after realizing the Capital Flight could permanently cripple the domestic fintech sector.
With 11.1 million crypto accounts in the country, representing over 20% of the population, the political cost of taxing a shrinking market became untenable.
The post Regulatory Backlash: $110B in Outflows Forces South Korea to Rethink Crypto Tax appeared first on Cryptonews.
Tom Lee’s firm is the largest public holder of ETH, and the second largest digital asset treasury company.
BitMine Immersion Technologies (NYSE: BMNR) has officially launched MAVAN — the Made in America Validator Network — its proprietary institutional-grade Ethereum staking platform, the company announced on Wednesday, March 25.
The move marks a major operational milestone in BitMine’s pivot from Bitcoin miner to what Chairman Tom Lee is calling “one of the leading staking and on-chain infrastructure platforms globally,” per the release.
MAVAN is designed to serve institutions and custodians requiring U.S.-based validation, with a globally distributed architecture for international clients. Per the release, via MAVAN, BitMine will eventually expand staking services for other proof-of-stake blockchains beyond Ethereum, as well as provide crypto infrastructure services.
BitMine currently has 3.14 million ETH staked, making it one of the largest entities staking the second largest cryptocurrency. As of the past week, the firm has staked about 101.7K ETH via MAVAN, and said it plans to eventually scale to staking “nearly all of Bitmine’s remaining unstaked ETH.”
Per BitMine’s latest report on Monday, the firm holds a total of over 4.6 million ETH. Once its remaining holdings are fully onboarded to MAVAN in the coming weeks, BitMine projects annual staking rewards approaching $300 million at a 2.83% yield, according to today’s press release.
As The Defiant previously reported, the company’s aggressive ETH accumulation has been backed by institutional heavyweights including ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood, Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, Pantera, Galaxy Digital, and DCG, all aligned behind the firm’s goal of owning 5% of all ETH in circulation. BitMine’s current holdings represent 3.86% of the ETH supply.
The launch arrives as the broader Ethereum staking ecosystem continues to see record participation, with over 30% of ETH’s circulating supply now locked in staking contracts. ETH is trading around $2,160 today, well below its August 2025 peak of nearly $5,000.
As The Defiant has reported, Lido remains by far the dominant Ethereum staking entity, with approximately 8.9 million ETH staked across its liquid staking protocol, per data from Dune Analytics.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
Crypto World
Micron (MU) vs Western Digital (WDC): Which AI Infrastructure Stock Offers Better Value?
Key Highlights
- Micron achieved unprecedented quarterly revenue of $23.86 billion in its fiscal Q2 2026, delivering 74.4% gross margin and $13.79 billion in net income
- The memory chipmaker projected fiscal Q3 2026 revenue at $33.5 billion and increased its 2026 capital expenditure forecast above $25 billion
- Western Digital generated $2.82 billion in fiscal Q1 2026 revenue, marking a 27% year-over-year increase, with cloud segment revenue climbing 31%
- Wall Street assigns Micron a Buy rating with $453.55 average target; Western Digital receives Moderate Buy with $265.58 target
- The companies address AI infrastructure needs through complementary technologies: Micron via memory solutions, Western Digital through storage systems
The artificial intelligence revolution has created powerful tailwinds for technology hardware companies, with Micron and Western Digital emerging as notable beneficiaries. However, these firms occupy distinctly different positions within the AI infrastructure ecosystem—one dominates the memory chip segment while the other focuses on cloud storage solutions.
Micron has delivered extraordinary financial performance recently. During its fiscal second quarter of 2026, the semiconductor manufacturer generated unprecedented revenue of $23.86 billion. The company achieved remarkable profitability metrics, including a 74.4% gross margin, 67.6% operating margin, and net income of $13.79 billion. The quarter also produced $11.9 billion in operating cash flow.
Management’s outlook proved equally impressive, with fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue guidance reaching $33.5 billion and projected gross margin of approximately 81%. These figures represent performance levels that would have seemed unattainable for memory chip manufacturers in the recent past.
The catalyst behind this exceptional growth is high-bandwidth memory technology, which has become indispensable in artificial intelligence computing systems. Micron belongs to a limited group of global suppliers capable of producing these specialized chips, creating significant pricing advantages and margin expansion during the current AI infrastructure expansion.
To maintain production capacity aligned with market requirements, Micron elevated its fiscal 2026 capital investment plan beyond $25 billion. This substantial commitment demonstrates management’s confidence in sustained demand, though it also represents considerable spending during a period when memory markets have historically experienced boom-and-bust cycles driven by supply-demand imbalances.
Western Digital’s Enterprise Storage Focus
Western Digital presents a contrasting narrative. Following the divestiture of its flash memory division, the company now concentrates exclusively on hard-disk drive technology and enterprise storage infrastructure.
Western Digital Corporation, WDC
During fiscal first-quarter 2026, the company posted $2.82 billion in revenue, representing 27% year-over-year growth. Cloud segment performance particularly impressed, with revenue increasing 31% to reach $2.51 billion. Management attributed this strength to elevated shipments of high-capacity enterprise drives and customer migration toward higher-density products.
For the full fiscal year 2025, Western Digital delivered $9.52 billion in revenue alongside a 38.8% gross margin. Leadership also unveiled a dividend program, authorized a $2 billion share repurchase plan, and emphasized debt reduction as a strategic priority.
These developments illustrate a company leveraging improved cash generation to reward shareholders while capitalizing on robust cloud demand for revenue expansion.
Wall Street Perspectives
According to MarketBeat data, Micron holds a Buy consensus rating from 38 Wall Street analysts. The distribution includes 34 buy recommendations and 4 hold ratings, with zero sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target stands at $453.55.
Western Digital receives a Moderate Buy rating based on input from 24 analysts, comprising 21 buy recommendations and 3 hold ratings. The consensus price target of $265.58 notably trails recent trading levels.
This divergence between analyst targets and current market prices suggests Wall Street perceives limited near-term appreciation potential for Western Digital following its recent valuation expansion.
Micron’s investment thesis centers on constrained supply in the AI memory marketplace. The counterargument acknowledges that memory industry cycles can shift rapidly when production capacity aligns with or exceeds demand.
Western Digital’s bullish case emphasizes expanding cloud storage requirements and a streamlined business structure following its corporate separation. The bearish perspective notes that hard-disk drive technology lacks the pricing power inherent to high-bandwidth memory products.
Both enterprises benefit from identical AI infrastructure investments, though through different technological avenues.
Investment Considerations
Micron and Western Digital represent legitimate beneficiaries of artificial intelligence infrastructure expansion, operating at distinct layers of the hardware architecture. Micron demonstrates stronger financial metrics and more direct exposure to AI memory demand currently. Western Digital offers a more conservative, stable investment profile with enhanced capital return programs. Neither qualifies as speculative—both companies produce tangible earnings supporting current market attention.
Opinion by: Joshua Kim, CEO and founder of DonaFi.
Traditional crowdfunding has always been pitched as a lifeline for creators. For non-fungible token (NFT) artists, most centralized models feel out of sync with reality. Fees are high, visibility is inconsistent and platforms increasingly optimize for momentum rather than need. During a market downturn, when liquidity dries up dramatically, the deck is stacked even higher against artists.
Decentralized crowdfunding ensures a more direct, transparent capital flow onchain from collectors who care about art, as opposed to quick flips. The recent effort led by longtime collector Batsoupyum and curator Lanett Bennett Grant makes the case very well.
Rather than launch a flashy fund or token, they committed to spending 1 Ether (ETH) every week on Ethereum mainnet works from emerging artists, sharing the stories behind each piece and explicitly not flipping for profit. No middlemen or no platform deciding who “deserved” attention. Just consistent, visible support when artists need it most.
When markets crash, artists feel it first
NFT bear markets don’t just reduce floor prices; they erase income for aspiring artists. Many artists rely on primary sales to pay rent, fund new work or stay in the space at all. When speculation collapses, attention moves elsewhere, and artists are often left invisible.
What’s striking about this decentralized crowdfunding effort is how fast others stepped in, despite brutal conditions. Punk6529 matched the weekly ETH pledge. Sam Spratt added $20,000. Bob Loukas followed with another $100,000. Galleries offered exhibitions. Platforms like Foundation committed to features. None of it required permission, approvals or centralized coordination — it just spread.
That’s the strength of decentralized crowdfunding in downturns. It doesn’t depend on optimism; it depends on conviction.
Crowdfunding without platforms or promises
Everything happens onchain, in public, one purchase at a time. Artists receive direct payment and immediate visibility. Collectors know exactly where funds go. The social layer, stories, context and curation travel alongside the transaction instead of being abstracted away by a platform UI.
Monthly opens create a repeatable pipeline for discovery and support. That matters. One-off gestures help, but sustained visibility plus cash flow is what keeps artists producing through a downturn. This is crowdfunding stripped down to its essentials: capital, trust and consistency.
A network effect, not a charity
What makes this different from patronage is that it’s networked. Each participant amplifies the others. Collectors don’t replace markets; they stabilize them. Artists aren’t boxed into charity narratives; they’re valued for their work. Platforms and galleries don’t compete with the effort; they actually extend it.
Related: AI agents will have growing pains before innovation can start
Decentralized crowdfunding works here because it aligns incentives without forcing them. No one is locked in. No one is promised upside, yet the result is tangible support, fast.
The importance of this model in 2026
This isn’t about saving NFTs; it’s about proving that decentralized capital still functions when markets are cold. When speculation leaves, what remains is community, transparency and conviction. That’s exactly what artists need right now.
If the next phase of NFTs is going to mean anything, it won’t be built on hype cycles or centralized gatekeeping. It will be built on collectors showing up consistently, using onchain tools to move money directly to creators and telling their stories along the way.
Decentralized crowdfunding won’t fix every problem artists face. In a downturn, however, it’s already doing something far more important: keeping artists alive in the ecosystem when everything else goes quiet.
Opinion by: Joshua Kim, CEO and founder of DonaFi.
This opinion article presents the author’s expert view, and it may not reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. This content has undergone editorial review to ensure clarity and relevance. Cointelegraph remains committed to transparent reporting and upholding the highest standards of journalism. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before taking any actions related to the company.
Crypto World
General Motors (GM) Stock Gets Bullish Upgrade as Analyst Sees Value After Recent Decline
Key Highlights
- GM receives Outperform rating from Wolfe Research, upgraded from Peer Perform, with price objective set at $96
- Auto sector stocks have declined approximately 8% in the last three-week period amid broader economic uncertainty
- Analyst identifies 2027 catalysts including full-size truck refresh projected to add ~$1.7B, warranty expense reduction, and tariff relief
- Earnings projections from Wolfe show GM reaching $12.37 per share in 2026, climbing to $16.03 in 2027
- Ford faces potential challenges with Wolfe warning of possible $1.5B EBIT pressure in 2027 from inventory concerns
On Wednesday, Wolfe Research elevated its rating on General Motors to Outperform, establishing a $96 price objective for the automaker’s shares. This marks an upgrade from the firm’s previous Peer Perform designation.
The rating adjustment arrives during a challenging period for automotive equities, which have experienced widespread selling pressure throughout the past three weeks. Sector stocks have retreated roughly 8% on average as macroeconomic headwinds sparked investor caution.
In his research note, analyst Emmanuel Rosner observed that automotive stocks typically rank “among the main targets when macro concerns escalate.” However, he emphasized that historical patterns demonstrate these downturns “can also present interesting buying opportunities.”
Following revisions to production forecasts and commodity price projections, Wolfe concluded that the “risk/reward profile now appears more attractive for select names.” General Motors emerged as the firm’s top pick in this reassessment.
The investment firm contends that market participants are overlooking the magnitude of GM’s prospective gains approaching 2027. A significant factor involves the forthcoming full-size pickup truck redesign, which Wolfe projects could contribute approximately $1.7 billion in value.
Additional positive factors include anticipated declines in warranty-related expenses. Beyond that, Wolfe anticipates a lighter net tariff impact and ongoing enhancements in electric vehicle profitability as supplementary growth drivers.
Wolfe’s financial models project GM will deliver earnings of $12.37 per share during 2026, before advancing to $16.03 in 2027. The firm believes the 2027 earnings potential represents where the market is significantly undervaluing the shares.
BorgWarner and Aptiv Receive Positive Commentary
Wolfe simultaneously elevated BorgWarner to Outperform status in the same research publication. The firm highlighted the manufacturer’s “Power Gen opportunity,” estimating it could contribute approximately $2 billion in sales once fully developed.
Rosner noted that the stock’s recent decline suggests this growth potential remains unrecognized in current valuations. From Wolfe’s perspective, this creates an appealing investment opportunity.
Regarding Aptiv, Rosner maintained his optimistic outlook in advance of the company’s upcoming corporate separation. He characterized the current environment as “a compelling entry point,” emphasizing robust operational fundamentals in both entities that will emerge from the division.
Ford Faces Cautionary Assessment
Not all automotive manufacturers received favorable commentary. Wolfe identified execution challenges at Ford, noting uncertainty surrounding the company’s 2026 production plans.
The research firm cautioned that elevated year-end inventory levels might generate a $1.5 billion EBIT headwind extending into 2027. Rosner opted not to upgrade Ford’s rating.
The Wolfe analysis demonstrates a discriminating sector strategy rather than widespread optimism. General Motors’ updated truck portfolio and expense management improvements formed the foundation of the upgrade thesis.
Wolfe’s 2027 earnings estimate of $16.03 per share for GM substantially exceeds current analyst consensus, indicating the firm perceives considerable appreciation potential should these favorable developments unfold as anticipated.
Virtuals Protocol is integrating its Agent Commerce Protocol with Arbitrum, aiming to make AI agents native DeFi users on a high-liquidity L2 just as its VIRTUAL token battles an 86% drawdown.
Summary
- Virtuals Protocol (@virtuals_io) announced on March 24 that it is building “the commerce layer for agents to transact natively on Arbitrum.”
- The original Virtuals Protocol post drew 41,400 views.
- Virtuals Protocol’s native token VIRTUAL is currently trading at approximately $0.724 with a market capitalization of roughly $475 million — down 86% from its all-time high.
Virtuals Protocol and Arbitrum announced a significant integration on March 24 that positions the AI agent platform as the commerce layer for autonomous agents transacting natively on the Arbitrum network, marking one of the most concrete deployments yet in the emerging “agentic economy” narrative that has gripped the crypto-AI crossover space in 2026. The announcement, posted at 2:30 PM UTC, stated plainly: “Virtuals is building the commerce layer for agents to transact natively on @arbitrum — one of the most liquid ecosystems in DeFi.”
Arbitrum amplified the news in a post at 3:11 PM UTC, framing the integration in expansive terms. “With @virtuals_io, AI agents can coordinate, transact, and operate as autonomous businesses powered by Arbitrum’s low costs, deep liquidity and reliable execution,” the official @arbitrum account wrote, before adding: “Let’s scale the agentic economy together.” The integration centers on Virtuals Protocol’s Agent Commerce Protocol (ACP), which is already live — one project, @octodamusai, confirmed it is “live on Virtuals ACP — oracle reports, on-chain, paid per job. Not a demo. Not a roadmap. Running now.”
The reaction from developers was cautiously optimistic. @ashcotXBT, a verified commentator, wrote: “Agentic commerce on Arbitrum via Virtuals is the real test. If agents can actually coordinate and pay, it’s validated.” Others raised harder questions. @WakeFramework, a smart contract security project, pointed to the accountability gap in autonomous agent systems: “The interesting question is who audits the agent’s logic when it starts making decisions no human reviewed.”
The choice of Arbitrum as the settlement layer is deliberate. According to the Arbitrum Foundation’s 2025 Transparency Report, the network processed more than 2.1 billion cumulative transactions last year, with total value locked hovering around $20 billion. Stablecoin supply grew 80% year-on-year to nearly $10 billion, making the chain one of the deepest liquidity pools in all of DeFi — a crucial attribute if AI agents are to transact at scale without slippage or bridge friction. Virtuals Protocol’s stated rationale for the partnership tracks directly: agents need deep liquidity and cheap execution, not speculative blockspace.
The integration arrives as Virtuals Protocol works to rebuild credibility around its VIRTUAL token, which has suffered one of the sharper declines in the AI crypto sector. After reaching an all-time high of $5.07 in early January 2025, the token now trades near $0.724 — an 86% decline — with a market cap of approximately $475 million. Platform revenue has also come under pressure, falling sharply from its 2024 peak as speculative interest in AI agent tokens faded. The Arbitrum integration represents a pivot toward practical utility: rather than trading VIRTUAL as a speculative bet on AI hype, the protocol is attempting to make itself an indispensable piece of DeFi’s operational stack.
The market narrative around Bitcoin has continued to evolve as geopolitical shocks intersect with macro liquidity, underscoring a persistent question: is BTC truly a safe-haven asset or simply a high-beta play on global liquidity? In the weeks following initial strikes linked to the Iran conflict, Bitcoin staged a notable move off a brief dip, but analysts remain split on whether the rally signals a durable shift in behavior or a temporary drift within a broader risk-off regime.
Bitcoin briefly tumbled to about $63,176 on news of the strikes, only to rebound, gaining roughly 12% from that low to around $71,000 as of midweek. By contrast, gold’s inflation-driven rally faded, with prices slipping by more than 11% over the past week in a move that highlighted the complex dynamics between traditional safe havens and crypto during periods of elevated oil prices and policy uncertainty.
Even as Bitcoin has shown resilience relative to some traditional assets, its reaction to the Iran episode has reinforced the view that it behaves more like a risk asset than a definitive store of value during acute geopolitical stress. “Bitcoin continues to trade like a risk asset rather than a safe haven. It sells off alongside equities during geopolitical shocks. It’s range-bound and showing weakness within a broader downtrend. That’s not safe haven behavior,” said Jonatan Randin, a senior market analyst at PrimeXBT.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin rebounded about 12% from a dip near $63,000 after Iran-related strikes, moving toward the $71,000 mark, while gold retreated from a strong inflation-driven surge.
- Analysts increasingly frame Bitcoin as a liquidity-driven asset: macro conditions and money supply dynamics appear to steer BTC more than headline events.
- Long-term, Bitcoin’s narrative as a monetary debasement hedge remains contested, with experts noting it tends to move with liquidity cycles rather than CPI prints in the short run.
- On-chain indicators point to accumulating supply and shrinking exchange reserves, suggesting growing interest from large holders, even as price action remains constrained by macro factors.
Bitcoin’s price driver: liquidity over headlines
Across recent years, Bitcoin’s price action has repeatedly reflected broad liquidity waves rather than isolated news events. Matthew Pinnock, co-founder of the decentralized finance project Altura, noted that liquidity remains the dominant driver for BTC, framing the asset as a high-beta instrument sensitive to macro conditions such as real yields, dollar strength, and ETF inflows. “BTC is trading as a high-beta liquidity asset, which means tighter financial conditions, such as higher real yields, a strong dollar and weaker ETF inflows, reduce marginal capital and pressure price,” Pinnock said.
A separate, widely cited analysis by Sam Callahan of OranjeBTC reinforces the liquidity narrative. His work shows Bitcoin’s price had a 0.94 correlation with global liquidity from May 2013 to July 2024, suggesting BTC tracks broad monetary conditions more closely than most mainstream assets. In addition, the analysis found Bitcoin moved in the same direction as global M2 in 83% of 12-month periods, a stronger directional alignment than gold, which posted 68.1% in the same metric. The proximity of BTC to the trajectory of global liquidity has become a persistent feature for traders watching macro headlines and policy shifts.
Randin highlighted that more recent data continued to echo this pattern, pointing to periods of rising global liquidity even as BTC reached new milestones. He noted that in late 2025, when liquidity metrics surged, Bitcoin briefly touched all-time highs, illustrating how monetary conditions can eclipse geopolitical shocks in the short run. This alignment with liquidity, rather than geopolitical risk alone, helps explain why BTC can outperform or underperform other assets within the same period.
These dynamics complicate the long-standing “digital gold” thesis. If Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to liquidity, its safe-haven status may be conditional, contingent on central-bank policy responses and the pace of financial tightening or loosening. “Bitcoin could be better understood as a long-term monetary debasement hedge rather than a short-term inflation hedge, and that’s a critical distinction,” Randin said. “It responds to the expansion of money supply over multi-year cycles, not to CPI prints. On the timescale of a war-driven oil shock, it still behaves like the risk asset it is.”
Oil shocks, inflation, and the policy backdrop
Inflation narratives during the Iran episode have been shaped as much by energy dynamics as by consumer prices. The conflict contributed to oil prices staying elevated—above $110 per barrel at times—as supply routes faced disruption. Randin explained that inflation concerns tied to geopolitical shocks typically exert pressure on Bitcoin in the near term, because higher oil prices feed into inflation expectations and tend to keep real yields elevated. This, in turn, tightens financial conditions and dampens risk appetite, reducing demand for risk assets like BTC.
The macro backdrop also features a cautious stance from policymakers. The episode coincided with the Federal Reserve raising its 2026 PCE inflation forecast and signaling a more guarded easing path, a combination that can sustain tighter financial conditions in the near term. In this environment, Bitcoin’s price sensitivity to liquidity is amplified; even as oil markets move, the policy response to those moves can dominate BTC’s immediate direction.
From a longer-horizon perspective, Pinnock argues that Bitcoin’s risk-off behavior during oil-price-driven stress remains consistent with a crypto ecosystem that is still working through its own cycles of adoption, regulation, and liquidity. He emphasizes that the inflation-hedge narrative breaks down when monetary expansion is not present or is offset by policy restraint. “Bitcoin’s role as a hedge depends on the money-supply environment; in a regime where liquidity is tightening, it tends to align with other risk assets rather than diverge as an inflationary counterweight,” Pinnock said.
On-chain signals and the market’s undercurrents
While price action has followed risk-on/off cycles, on-chain metrics tell a different story. Persistent accumulation, declining exchange reserves, and larger wallet holdings point to a structural buildup of positions among investors who expect higher future demand. These signals imply that the market is quietly preparing for a more favorable liquidity backdrop or a longer-term shift in BTC’s risk profile, even if near-term price action remains constrained by macro headwinds.
Yet even with mounting on-chain participation, the broader macro set-up—oil-induced inflation pressures, central-bank hawkishness, and real-yield dynamics—keeps Bitcoin tethered to the fate of liquidity. As Randin summarized, the ongoing tension between the inflation narrative and monetary policy means BTC’s safe-haven claim remains unproven in the current climate. “Right now, inflation driven by oil-price shocks is pushing yields higher and keeping central banks hawkish, which tightens liquidity. That creates a ‘bad inflation’ regime where BTC falls alongside other risk assets,” he said. “The inflation hedge thesis breaks because Bitcoin responds more to monetary expansion than to inflation itself, and currently, conditions are restrictive, not stimulative.”
For readers watching the next phase of this story, the key questions revolve around whether liquidity conditions ease enough to enable Bitcoin to decouple from equities during stress events, and whether ongoing accumulation translates into a decisive price breakout or a renewed test of support levels. The market will also be keenly watching how oil and energy prices evolve, how central banks adjust policy in response to inflation pressures, and whether any shift in geopolitical risk translates into a sustained tilt in BTC’s behavior.
As the narrative unfolds, investors will want to distinguish between the immediate, footprint-heavy moves driven by headlines and the longer-term signals embedded in on-chain activity and liquidity metrics. The next several weeks could prove pivotal in determining whether Bitcoin can fulfill its debated role as digital gold or remain primarily a liquidity-tilted risk asset.
What to watch next: traders should monitor liquidity trends and central-bank guidance, assess whether BTC begins to decouple from equities during risk-off episodes, and track on-chain accumulation alongside exchange-reserve changes to gauge whether the market is laying groundwork for a more definitive directional move.
Crypto World
Corcept Therapeutics (CORT) Stock Rockets 40% as FDA Greenlights Lifyorli Cancer Treatment
Key Takeaways
- FDA has authorized Corcept’s Lifyorli (relacorilant) for treating platinum-resistant ovarian, fallopian tube, and primary peritoneal cancer
- Shares of CORT rocketed approximately 40% following Wednesday’s announcement
- The regulatory review concluded 2.5 months before the target date
- Trial results demonstrated median overall survival of 16 months compared to 11.9 months with standard treatment
- The company holds a market capitalization near $3.97 billion with analysts targeting $66.80 per share
Corcept Therapeutics received regulatory clearance Wednesday for its cancer treatment relacorilant, marketed as Lifyorli. The authorization covers use alongside nab-paclitaxel for adult patients diagnosed with platinum-resistant epithelial ovarian, fallopian tube, or primary peritoneal cancer.
Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated, CORT
Shares experienced a roughly 40% surge following the announcement — marking one of the most significant single-session gains in the biotech sector this year.
The approval applies specifically to individuals who have undergone one to three previous systemic treatment courses, with at least one involving bevacizumab. While targeted, this represents a substantial patient group within a challenging-to-treat cancer category.
Regulators wrapped up their evaluation 2.5 months before the scheduled target date. Such accelerated completions are uncommon and indicate the agency identified compelling evidence in the clinical data.
Clinical Trial Outcomes
The authorization stems from results of the ROSELLA clinical study — a multi-site investigation involving 381 participants. One group received the relacorilant-nab-paclitaxel combination, while the control group received nab-paclitaxel as a monotherapy.
Patients on the combination regimen achieved a median progression-free survival of 6.5 months compared to 5.5 months for those on the single agent. Overall survival reached 16 months with the combination therapy versus 11.9 months for nab-paclitaxel alone.
While the improvements may appear incremental, they represent meaningful progress in a clinical scenario with few effective alternatives. Platinum-resistant ovarian cancer presents substantial treatment challenges, making any survival benefit noteworthy.
Relacorilant functions as a glucocorticoid receptor antagonist. The recommended dosing schedule is 150 mg administered orally once daily for three consecutive days surrounding each nab-paclitaxel infusion.
Nab-paclitaxel is administered at 80 mg/m² intravenously on days 1, 8, and 15 within each 28-day treatment cycle.
Safety Profile and Adverse Events
The drug’s labeling carries contraindications for individuals requiring corticosteroids for critical medical conditions. Frequently reported adverse effects include reduced hemoglobin and neutrophil counts, fatigue, nausea, diarrhea, thrombocytopenia, rash, and appetite loss.
Examining the company’s financial performance reveals a nuanced picture. Revenue has expanded 22.3% across the previous three years. Net profit margin stands at 13.09% while gross margin reaches an impressive 98.3%.
Earnings growth, however, declined 33.3% year-over-year. The price-to-earnings multiple sits at 45.49, positioning it toward the elevated range.
The company’s balance sheet appears robust — featuring a current ratio of 2.92 and minimal debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01.
Institutional investors control 72.18% of outstanding shares. The consensus analyst price target of $66.80 implies additional upside potential beyond Wednesday’s substantial rally.
Corcept’s Altman Z-Score of 14.14 reflects strong financial health. The Beneish M-Score of -2.81 indicates low probability of financial statement manipulation.
Prior to Wednesday’s session, the 50-day moving average registered at $37.32, while the RSI reading of 41.26 showed the stock was not in overbought territory before the surge.
Barcelona, Spain — The question facing the digital asset industry is no longer one of legitimacy. After the approval of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the rollout of MiCA across the European Union, and growing allocations from asset managers and pension funds, institutions are in the market. The question now is one of execution — which platforms, counterparties and infrastructure will define the institutional layer of what comes next.
It is in that context that the European Blockchain Convention (EBC) will return to Barcelona on 16–17 September 2026 for its 12th edition — bringing together over 6,000 attendees from 70+ countries across two days of market intelligence, meetings and commercial momentum. Join the 12th edition with institutions like BlackRock, Cardano, Bitwise, Baillie Gifford, WisdomTree, Hilbert Capital, Zodia Custody, Midchains, and Caisse des Depots among others.
“EBC is built around a simple idea: when the right people are in the room, progress happens faster. In a market as fragmented as Europe’s digital asset landscape, that matters.”— Victoria Gago, Co-CEO, European Blockchain Convention
INSTITUTIONS AT THE CENTRE — SINCE THE BEGINNING
While the industry’s narrative around institutional adoption has accelerated sharply over the past 18 months, EBC’s focus on that audience predates the trend. From its first edition, EBC was designed not around retail participation or token launches, but around the decision-makers who control capital at scale: asset managers, banks, infrastructure providers, exchanges and the policymakers shaping the rules they operate under.
Europe compounds the challenge. It is not one market — it is a region of parallel conversations, different regulatory timelines and different capital pools across London, Paris, Frankfurt, Zurich and Barcelona. EBC’s positioning as Europe’s Digital Asset Marketplace reflects a structural reality: the market needs a place where those conversations converge. Over 12 editions, it has become that place.
EBC12: THE AGENDA
The programme spans the issues that define institutional participation in digital assets today: regulatory convergence and market structure across major jurisdictions; capital allocation strategy from sovereign funds to private banks; the infrastructure required for institutional-grade operations; the rise of real-world asset tokenisation; stablecoin and CBDC dynamics as settlement infrastructure; and the role of AI in reshaping market intelligence and execution.
“What makes EBC valuable is not scale for the sake of scale. It is the concentration of the right market participants in one place — decision-makers, operators, investors and infrastructure leaders — with enough relevance and intent to make the time count.”— Victoria Gago, Co-CEO, European Blockchain Convention
ABOUT EBC
The European Blockchain Convention (EBC) is the Europe’s Digital Asset Marketplace — the pan-European event where institutions, capital allocators, infrastructure providers and policymakers converge. Now in its 12th edition, EBC has established itself as the commercial centre of the European digital asset market.
Join EBC12 Barcelona and get 15% off your ticket with code BREAKING15: https://eblockchainconvention.com/european-blockchain-convention-12/
Press contact: media@eblockchainconvention.com
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