Crypto World
CFTC probes mention markets as Kalshi pulls sports bets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is reviewing prediction market “mention markets” over concerns that contracts tied to specific spoken words may be unusually easy to manipulate, NPR reported late Aug. 13, citing two people with direct knowledge of the inquiry.
Summary
- CFTC is reviewing mention markets over manipulation risks, according to two people familiar with probe.
- Kalshi removed sports mention markets until further notice while keeping political and earnings markets live.
- CFTC rules require designated contract markets to list only contracts not readily susceptible to manipulation.
- Kalshi previously flagged Trump teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez after suspicious mention-market trades produced over $90,000.
- The CFTC has not announced the inquiry, and both the agency and Kalshi declined comment.
Kalshi has responded by removing sports mention markets “until further notice,” according to the report. The inquiry has not been publicly confirmed by the CFTC. Both the regulator and Kalshi declined to comment to NPR, and the CFTC had not published an enforcement action or announcement describing the review as of publication.
Kalshi removes sports mentions while other word bets remain
Mention markets let traders buy contracts based on whether a person says a particular word or phrase. Sports versions have included wagers on whether broadcasters utter terms such as “MVP,” “ankle” or “redshirt.” NPR reported that Kalshi removed all such sports contracts as the regulator examines the category.
The suspension does not cover every mention market. Kalshi’s current page still shows active contracts tied to President Donald Trump, political appearances and corporate earnings calls. One Klarna earnings market, for example, has contracts tied to whether executives mention specific companies or business topics.
Polymarket also offers mention markets on its offshore platform, NPR reported, but its smaller CFTC-regulated U.S. exchange does not currently list them.
CFTC rules put manipulation at the center of the review
The regulatory question goes directly to one of the Commodity Exchange Act’s core requirements. Designated contract markets may list only contracts that are not “readily susceptible to manipulation.” They must also maintain surveillance and enforcement systems capable of preventing manipulation and distorted settlement outcomes, according to the CFTC’s current proposal.
That framework helps explain the concern around word bets. The CFTC has said in its broader prediction-market rulemaking that sports contracts based on aggregate performance can present lower manipulation risk when no single participant can determine the outcome through one action. A mention contract can work differently because one broadcaster, executive or politician may effectively determine settlement simply by saying a particular word. This comparison is an inference from the regulator’s published manipulation framework.
As previously reported, the CFTC has also warned prediction markets against broad template self-certifications, telling exchanges that each product needs enough detail for regulators to assess settlement methods, data sources and compliance controls.
Trump teleprompter case exposed the insider risk
The latest review follows a case involving Gabriel Perez, Trump’s longtime teleprompter operator. Kalshi identified suspicious trades tied to words in presidential appearances and referred the activity to the CFTC. Sources told Reuters that more than $90,000 in potential profits were frozen before they could be withdrawn.
As previously reported, Kalshi flagged the Trump teleprompter trades and referred them to federal regulators. Perez allegedly had advance access to prepared remarks for more than a dozen presidential appearances. The White House later removed him from his role.
The case was not the CFTC’s first encounter with event-contract manipulation. Former Rep. George Santos recently agreed to penalties over manipulative Kalshi trades tied to whether he would attend Trump’s State of the Union address.
What happens next for Kalshi mention markets
The immediate question is whether the CFTC seeks changes only to sports mention markets or concludes that some word-based contracts cannot satisfy its anti-manipulation standards regardless of subject matter. An anonymous person familiar with the inquiry told NPR the products are “potentially very easy to manipulate,” but that remains the source’s assessment rather than a formal Commission finding.
Kalshi could also modify contract structures, eligibility requirements or surveillance controls instead of abandoning the category. The company has already introduced employer disclosures for higher-risk markets and said it blocked more than 100 potential insider trades during the first quarter.
For now, sports mention markets remain suspended with no announced return date, while other mention contracts continue trading. A formal CFTC statement, additional Kalshi restrictions or changes to future self-certifications would provide the next clear indication of how broad the review becomes.
Crypto World
Report Shows $4.3B Loan Marketplace Volume as Profit Nears Triple in Q3
Figure Technology Solutions is pointing to a strong second quarter in its consumer lending marketplace business, reporting $4.3 billion in consumer loan marketplace volume—up 132% year over year. The company also said profitability improved sharply, with quarterly net income nearly tripling as results continued to scale alongside its marketplace platform.
In a statement released Thursday, Figure said net income rose 192% year over year to $87 million, up from roughly $30 million. Net revenue more than doubled to $226 million, and net income margin increased by 10.5 percentage points to 38.8%.
Key takeaways
- Figure posted $4.3 billion in consumer loan marketplace volume for Q2 2026, up 132% from the prior year.
- Net income grew 192% year over year to $87 million, while net revenue increased to $226 million.
- The company’s marketplace volume includes loans originated via its system plus third-party loans traded on Figure Connect; Figure Connect represented $2.8 billion (65%) of the quarter’s total.
- Marketplace volume rose 262% year over year after the platform launched in June 2024, and Figure added 102 loan-origination partners in the quarter.
- Figure expects third-quarter marketplace volume of between $4.8 billion and $5.2 billion.
Marketplace growth and profitability accelerate
Figure’s quarterly update highlights both top-line expansion and a wider path to profit. The $4.3 billion in consumer loan marketplace volume reflects activity across the company’s lending marketplace, which aggregates loan products and routes them through its origination and trading infrastructure.
According to the company’s figures, the scale of the quarter also translated into improved margins. Net income margin rose to 38.8%, helped by revenue growth that outpaced costs as the marketplace expanded.
The company’s disclosed performance matters for investors because it signals that growth in marketplace volume is not merely adding transactions—it is improving efficiency, at least within the time window covered by the quarter’s financial results.
What’s included in “marketplace volume”
Figure’s reported marketplace volume is not a single product line; it combines multiple loan categories processed through its loan origination system and loans traded through its marketplace infrastructure.
The company said marketplace volume includes:
- Home equity lines of credit
- Debt-service coverage ratio loans
- Personal loans processed through Figure’s loan origination system
- Third-party loans traded on Figure Connect
For the quarter, Figure Connect activity totaled $2.8 billion, making up 65% of the overall marketplace volume. That mix is notable because it indicates that the marketplace is increasingly dependent on—and benefited by—third-party lending flows rather than only Figure’s own origination pipeline.
Figure Connect launched as part of the broader marketplace approach, and the company’s disclosures suggest third-party participation is becoming a consistent driver of volume.
Momentum since June 2024 and partner expansion
Figure launched its consumer loan marketplace in June 2024. Since then, the company’s year-over-year comparison has shown steep growth. For Q2, Figure reported marketplace volume up 262% from the same period last year.
Operationally, Figure also emphasized partner growth. It added 102 loan-origination partners during the quarter, taking its total to 489. Partner expansion is a key lever for marketplace businesses because it can broaden supply and increase match rates between lenders and borrowers, which in turn can support continued volume growth.
In addition, Figure’s management said weekly loan applications surpassed $1 billion in July. While that metric is not directly equivalent to marketplace volume, it offers a signal about pipeline strength leading into the period.
Guidance and what investors should watch next
Looking ahead, Figure expects consumer loan marketplace volume of between $4.8 billion and $5.2 billion in the third quarter. That guidance implies further growth from the $4.3 billion level reported for Q2.
For market participants, the main question is whether the company can sustain the relationship between volume growth and margin expansion. With Q2 results showing a substantial jump in net income and a widening net income margin, investors will likely watch for whether future quarters maintain similar efficiency as volumes scale—particularly given the marketplace mix that relies heavily on third-party loans via Figure Connect.
Analyst commentary highlighted by the company’s announcement also points to the marketplace’s data visibility. Bernstein analysts, in coverage dated May, predicted record second-quarter volume for Figure and tied that expectation to what they described as live blockchain data that could allow investors to monitor lending activity more closely in real time.
Figure’s next reporting cycle will therefore be closely watched for confirmation that application strength continues to convert into marketplace volume, and for evidence that partner growth and Figure Connect participation remain steady enough to support the mid-point of its Q3 range.
As Figure moves through the third quarter, traders and long-term investors alike should watch for whether reported volume continues to rise in line with guidance—especially the contribution from Figure Connect—and whether improved profitability persists as the company scales its marketplace network.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Circles $64K As Fed Official Hints At Need For Rate Hike Despite Cool PPI
Bitcoin (BTC) edged away from weekly lows on Thursday after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) narrowly cooled in July.
Key points:
- Bitcoin avoids further downside as US PPI data provides a boost to US equities.
- Cleveland Fed president stays hawkish on the outlook for interest-rate policy.
- Bitcoin long liquidations make $61,000 a key level to watch.
July PPI extends cooler US inflation trend
BTC/USD was up around 0.5% on the day near $63,900 with volatility broadly absent, data from TradingView showed.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
The July US Producer Price Index (PPI) print was unchanged month-on-month at 0.2%, while year-on-year increased 4.7% versus an anticipated 4.9%, per data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
“In July, a 0.2-percent increase in the index for final demand services and a 2.2-percent advance in prices for final demand construction offset a 0.7-percent decrease in the index for final demand goods,” the BLS release said.
“Falling gasoline and energy prices provided the biggest relief,” Econoday analysts highlighted.

US PPI one-month % change. Source: BLS
US stocks gained at the Wall Street open as PPI further cooled market bets on interest-rate hikes from Federal Reserve policymakers. The S&P 500 index and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index were up 0.87% and 0.94%, respectively, at the time of writing.
CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed 65.6% odds of those policymaker holding rates at the current 3.50-3.75% level at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September meeting. Wednesday’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers matched expectations, already resulting in a boost to the rate-pause outlook.

Fed target-rate probability comparison for September FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group
After their biggest split over the interest-rate path since 1970 in July, Fed officials continued to strike a cautious tone over policy. Speaking at an event with the Dayton Area Chamber of Commerce in Kettering, Ohio, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank president Beth Hammack questioned whether even recent cooler data prints would be enough to bring inflation down to the Fed’s 2% target.
“Maybe we’d get there, but if it takes another three to four years to get there, is that OK? Is that enough?” she said, quoted by Bloomberg.
Hammock was one of three officials to vote in favor of a 0.25% rate hike in July.
Related: Bitcoin speculators keep BTC price ‘pinned’ below $68.7K: Glassnode
Bitcoin faces long position liquidations at $61,000
With BTC price action still acting within a tight range, market participants’ attention focused on the extremes.
Rafael Schultze-Kraft, cofounder of onchain analytics platform Glassnode, suggested that $61,000 could become a flashpoint thanks to the large potential long position liquidations that would occur if price were to reach it.
“Long liquidation risk has built up around $61K in the past weeks. If we get there, I’d expect forced selling to add momentum to the downside,” he wrote in a Tuesday X post.
Previously, Cointelegraph reported on $63,000 now forming another key BTC price level as repeated retests increased the odds of support failure.

Bitcoin futures liquidation heatmap. Source: Rafael Schultze-Kraft on X.com
Crypto World
Trezor Reports Data from 14K Users Exposed Through Shipping Provider
Cryptocurrency wallet company Trezor reported a breach of personal data affecting about 14,000 users through its shipping provider, ShipMonk.
Trezor’s Wednesday blog post said users who received its products from the US, UK, Sweden, Colombia, Brazil, Italy, and Portugal between May 10 and Aug. 8 were at risk from potential phishing attacks using their personal information. The company reported that 11,742 customers could have had their name, physical address, phone number, and email address compromised, while 1,947 users potentially had their name, city, and email address breached.
“To be clear, our systems were not compromised, and your Trezor device is secure, but the affected customers might be targeted by more sophisticated phishing attempts,” said the company. “Scammers can use the leaked information to send fake emails, make fake phone calls, send fraudulent letters, or potentially impersonate banks, crypto exchanges, or even Trezor.”
The breach was the latest incident involving scammers potentially targeting crypto holders using personal data. Trezor reported in January 2024 that about 66,000 users were at risk of phishing attacks if they had contacted the company’s support team since December 2021.
Crypto wallet users have revealed that scammers use a variety of techniques in attempts to gain access to their funds, including through physical letters in the mail. Other methods include text messaging, emails and phone calls claiming to be family members in need of help or impersonating authorities asking for repayment of a fake debt.
Related: Do the Coldcard attacks mean all hardware wallets are now insecure?
Crypto World
NUSD Redemptions Paused as Neutrl Reviews Reserves
Decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Neutrl has suspended minting and redemptions for its NUSD synthetic dollar after unspecified circumstances affected protocol reserves, leaving the cause and scale of any potential impairment unclear.
On Thursday, Neutrl said it had also paused other protocol functions on legal advice while it assesses the impact. The protocol did not identify the affected asset or counterparty, say whether reserves suffered a realized loss or provide a timeline for resuming operations.
Structured-yield protocol Strata later said it paused minting, redemptions and related functions for contracts in its Neutrl market, which supports several NUSD-linked products. Strata said its other markets remained operational.
With about $53.6 million in NUSD in circulation, the suspension prevents approved counterparties from exchanging the token for its backing assets while Neutrl determines whether its reserves have been impaired. Neutrl said it would provide timing and next steps when available.
Cointelegraph contacted Neutrl for comment but had not received a response by publication.
NUSD supply falls 18% over 30 days
According to RWA.xyz, NUSD had a market capitalization of about $53.6 million on Friday, down 18.4% over 30 days, while monthly transfer volume fell 72.4% to $71.4 million. However, the data does not establish that the earlier contraction was related to the reserve issue.
The synthetic dollar is designed to track the US dollar using yield-bearing crypto assets and market-neutral strategies rather than deposits held in a bank. RWA.xyz showed NUSD trading at about $0.9984, with 615 holders and 347 active addresses over the preceding 30 days.
On May 25, verification platform Accountable said its Neutrl dashboard provided continuous cryptographic proof that NUSD reserves matched the protocol’s liabilities.
Related: ‘DeFi doesn’t exist anymore,’ just onchain finance: Andre Cronje
A February assessment by risk-advisory team BA Labs nevertheless classified a proposed Neutrl integration as higher risk because of counterparty, operational and liquidity exposure. It said direct redemptions were limited to KYC or KYB-approved counterparties and that requests exceeding the liquid buffer could enter a queue targeted for completion within 48 hours, without a guarantee.
BA Labs estimated NUSD supply at $226 million and reserves at $233.7 million at the time, implying a 103.6% collateralization ratio. It said more than 87% of reserves were held through Fireblocks, while smaller amounts sat on centralized exchanges.
Magazine: Inside the fake crypto startup that fooled North Korean IT workers
Crypto World
Eurovision Bars Warring Countries From Hosting
The change comes after several European countries boycotted this year’s competition over the inclusion of Israel. Israel came second in both the 2025 and 2026 contests, raising questions about whether it would be allowed to host if it won.
The contest’s governing body approved the amendment after receiving feedback from participating broadcasters.
“These changes are about giving everyone involved greater clarity, protecting artists and ensuring the contest continues to provide a safe and welcoming environment, while preserving the spirit and integrity that make the Eurovision Song Contest so special,” Martin Green, director of the Eurovision Song Contest, said in a statement.
Eurovision organizers made several more changes to the competition’s rules, including raising the minimum age for performers as of the first day of rehearsal from 16 to 18.
Controversy
Five countries—Spain, Iceland, Ireland, the Netherlands, and Slovenia—boycotted this year’s competition in Vienna, Austria, in May after the European Broadcasting Union refused calls to suspend Israel from the contest. Ireland’s public broadcaster RTÉ said in a September statement that its “participation would be unconscionable given the ongoing and appalling loss of lives in Gaza.” José Pablo López, president of Spain’s public broadcaster RTVE, said that same month that “it was about time to break the silence within the EBU regarding the genocide in Gaza.”
Crypto World
MyEtherWallet (MEW) Integrates Ondo Perps, Unlocking 24/7 Leveraged Trading for Onchain Equities, & ETFs.
[PRESS RELEASE – Los Angeles, United States, August 13th, 2026]
MyEtherWallet (MEW), the world’s most intuitive digital wallet, today announced its integration with Ondo Perps, expanding its suite of decentralized financial products to include perpetual futures, derivative contracts with no expiration date. Through this integration, users can now trade continuous perpetual contracts with up to 20x leverage on leading U.S. stocks, ETFs, and commodities, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week on MyEtherWallet.com.
The integration bridges traditional financial markets and self-custodial Web3 technology. MEW customers can now access Ondo Perps to take long or short positions on major traditional market assets while maintaining full self-custody of their funds. Unlike traditional brokerages that restrict trading to rigid exchange hours and limited geographic access, eligible users can manage exposure to global markets around the clock using any supported wallet connected to the MEW web interface.
“Our mission has always been to make decentralized finance accessible, flexible, and fully self-custodial,” said MEW Founder and CEO Kosala Hemachandra. “Integrating Ondo Perps is the natural next step in our vision for the wallet as an all-in-one financial hub. Whether investors want to buy and hold tokenized equities or manage risk with up to 20x leverage on stocks and commodities, they can now execute advanced trading strategies 24/7 without surrendering control of their assets.”
Key Features of MEW’s Ondo Perps Integration:
- 24/7 Perpetual Trading: Users can access uninterrupted liquidity and trade leading U.S. equities, ETFs, and commodities outside of traditional stock exchange market hours.
- Up to 20x Leverage: Execute long and short position strategies with flexible leverage options tailored to different risk profiles.
- Universal Wallet Compatibility: Users can trade directly on MyEtherWallet.com using any wallet connected through MEW Portfolio—including MEW wallet mobile, Browser Extensions such as Metamask, hardware wallets, and WalletConnect.
- Non-Custodial Risk Management: Users can maintain full control over private keys while accessing advanced derivative products in a streamlined interface.
How to Access Ondo Perps on MEW:
- New users can create a wallet at MyEtherWallet.com to begin trading perpetual futures instantly.
- Existing wallet holders can connect their preferred wallet to MEW Portfolio to access Ondo Perps features directly.
For more information on MEW’s Ondo Perps integration and latest portfolio features: www.myetherwallet.com.
This product is not available nor intended for US citizens. Restrictions apply. For more information: https://docs.ondoperps.xyz/
About MyEtherWallet (MEW)
Focused on simple, free, and secure access to the global financial system, MyEtherWallet (MEW) empowers users to build wealth with digital assets. From launching the first Ethereum user interface in 2015 to bringing self-custodial RWAs and advanced trading tools to the masses, MEW is continually innovating its products to turn blockchain technology into a user-friendly and easy-to-use part of daily life.
The post MyEtherWallet (MEW) Integrates Ondo Perps, Unlocking 24/7 Leveraged Trading for Onchain Equities, & ETFs. appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Haitian Leader in Ohio Fears Trump Is About to Deport Him
An ICE spokesperson said in a statement that TPS had been allowed to function as a de facto amnesty program and that the program was always intended to be temporary.
“What we would say now is it’s closing time which means you don’t have to go home, but you can’t stay here,” the spokesperson said in an unsigned statement. “The good news is it’s not too late to get a $2,600 check and a free flight home.”
Scores of Haitian immigrants have also reportedly lost their jobs. Piervil said large amusement parks, hotels, and nursing homes in Orlando have begun dismissing hundreds, if not thousands, of Haitian workers since the Supreme Court ruling.
The fraught situation in the U.S. is prompting some Haitians to contemplate fleeing to a third country, despite the obstacles. Aside from the costs and a possible language barrier, many Haitian immigrants are also concerned about their own safety if they move to a third country, according to Felipe Sousa-Lazaballet, a community organizer in central Florida. That fear was heightened after reports in February that four decapitated Haitian women were found in the Dominican Republic—Haiti’s neighbor—after they had been deported from Puerto Rico. The Dominican Republic has also been deporting hundreds of thousands back to Haiti each year.
Crypto World
Bitcoin slips back even as Fed rate hike expectations dwindle
Bitcoin (BTC), by any measure, still remains stuck in a tight trading range, but there has been some movement of note on Thursday.
Sadly for bulls, the coiled spring theory isn’t yet working. Instead, BTC is headed lower, sliding below $63,000 at one point earlier this afternoon. It’s currently trading at $63,100 down about 0.5% over the past 24 hours. Other crypto majors are seeing similar declines.
The small losses are happening even as the interest rate picture in the U.S. is improving. Decent inflation reports yesterday and today appear to have taken the idea of a September Federal Reserve rate hike off the table.
The two-year Treasury yield, which was above 4.30% just days ago, has slid back to 4.14%, reflecting the sharply lower odds of tighter monetary policy.
Other risk assets — particularly U.S. stocks — continue to be where the action is. Higher by another 0.55% on Thursday, the S&P 500 notched another record high.
Crypto World
Brazil’s largest BTC digital asset treasury firm plans ETF with 95% STRC allocation
Brazil’s largest bitcoin treasury firm, OranjeBTC, is preparing to list a monthly income exchange-traded fund (ETF) that would initially put 95% of its portfolio in Strategy’s (MSTR) preferred stock, STRC, and the rest in Strive’s (ASST) equivalent, SATA.
STRC and SATA pay recurring U.S. dollar distributions. The companies’ bitcoin remains on their balance sheets and is not pledged to the preferred shareholders. Yields are currently at 12.5% and 13.1%, respectively.
The Digital Yield ETF, or DIGY11, is planned to trade on Brazil’s B3 in the country’s fiat currency, the real, and distribute income monthly.
OranjeBTC, which holds 3,950 BTC ($250 million), expects annual distributions to be equivalent to Brazil’s risk-free rate, the Interbank Deposit Certificate (CDI), of 14.15%, plus roughly 3–5 percentage points, net of the fund’s estimated 1.30% total cost.
The estimate depends on the preferred-share distributions and the interest-rate difference between Brazil and the U.S., OranjeBTC Director of Strategy and Research Sam Callahan told CoinDesk. It excludes changes in DIGY11’s share price and does not guarantee returns.
Crypto World
Report Shows $4.3B Loan Marketplace Volume as Profit Nearly Triples
Figure Technology Solutions posted a sharp jump in its consumer loan marketplace activity for the second quarter, reporting $4.3 billion in marketplace volume—up 132% year over year. The company also highlighted improved profitability, with quarterly profit nearly tripling and net income rising 192% to $87 million.
In its latest quarterly update, Figure said net revenue more than doubled to $226 million. It also reported an expanded net income margin of 38.8%, an increase of 10.5 percentage points from the prior year period.
Key takeaways
- Figure reported $4.3 billion in consumer loan marketplace volume for Q2 2026, up 132% year over year.
- Net income surged 192% to $87 million, while net revenue rose to $226 million.
- Third-party loans on Figure Connect made up $2.8 billion (65%) of the quarterly volume.
- Figure expects Q3 consumer loan marketplace volume between $4.8 billion and $5.2 billion.
- The company says weekly loan applications exceeded $1 billion in July.
Marketplace volume accelerates, profit improves
Figure’s growth was driven by expansion across the products routed through its loan origination system and its trading activity on Figure Connect. The company defines marketplace volume as including home equity lines of credit, debt-service coverage ratio loans, and personal loans processed through its origination platform, as well as third-party loans traded on Figure Connect.
According to Figure, third-party loans accounted for $2.8 billion of the $4.3 billion total in Q2—representing 65% of marketplace volume. That mix matters because it suggests the marketplace’s scale is not only dependent on Figure originating loans itself, but also on external participants using Figure Connect to trade.
Figure also said marketplace volume increased 262% compared with the same period last year. The company launched its consumer loan marketplace in June 2024, and it is now scaling both its underlying origination network and its partner-driven trading ecosystem.
Partner growth and the “application” signal
Beyond the topline numbers, Figure tied its momentum to supply-side expansion. During the quarter, it added 102 loan-origination partners, bringing the total to 489.
The company’s CEO, Michael Tannenbaum, also pointed to demand and throughput indicators. He said weekly loan applications surpassed $1 billion in July. While applications are not the same as funded volume, the figure is often used by consumer finance marketplaces as a forward-looking signal for how much loan demand is entering the system—particularly in an industry where conversion from application to funded loan can fluctuate based on underwriting and capital availability.
For investors and market participants, these details provide a more complete picture than quarterly volume alone: volume is the outcome, while applications and partner counts can help explain what might drive the next quarters’ results.
What to watch in Figure’s outlook
Looking ahead, Figure expects consumer loan marketplace volume of between $4.8 billion and $5.2 billion for the third quarter. The midpoint implies continued growth from the reported $4.3 billion in Q2, suggesting Figure believes current momentum can carry into the next reporting period rather than being a one-quarter acceleration.
The company’s guidance also gives traders and lenders a measurable benchmark to monitor. If actual volume tracks toward the top end of the range, it could reinforce the idea that the marketplace’s scale effects—more partners, steady application flow, and a larger trading share from Figure Connect—are compounding. If results fall toward the low end, it may indicate that growth is increasingly constrained by underwriting capacity, pricing dynamics, or the availability of capital through its ecosystem.
Why blockchain-linked transparency is part of the narrative
Figure’s quarterly report arrives amid continued investor interest in how blockchain-based marketplace activity could be monitored. Bernstein analysts, in a prediction made in May and cited in the company’s reporting, said Figure’s Q1 results demonstrated the “uniqueness” of blockchain marketplaces. They also argued that live blockchain data could increasingly allow investors to track Figure’s lending activity in real time.
That framing is relevant because it suggests Figure is not only competing as a consumer finance platform, but also as a system designed to make certain marketplace activity more observable. If that transparency thesis holds up, it may help investors evaluate momentum with less delay than traditional financial reporting—though the extent of what can be reliably inferred from on-chain activity is still something markets will test over time.
Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph had highlighted the Bernstein view about the potential for real-time monitoring via blockchain data. As Figure scales, the industry will likely watch whether that observability translates into better risk assessment, stronger participation, or improved market confidence in marketplace performance.
For now, the most immediate checkpoints are Figure’s next quarterly volume print versus its $4.8 billion–$5.2 billion Q3 outlook, whether third-party participation on Figure Connect continues to hold a majority share, and how application momentum reported in July translates into funded loans over subsequent weeks.
Figure Technology Solutions reports strong second quarter 2026 (investor relations)
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