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Crypto ETFs are here to stay, downturn be damned

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Crypto ETFs are here to stay, downturn be damned

Despite a bearish cryptocurrency market, ETF issuers continue to push forward with new filings, betting that demand for digital asset funds will remain strong.

Summary

  • ETF issuers like Bitwise, ProShares, and 21Shares are advancing with new filings, including plans for Uniswap-linked and leveraged Bitcoin/Ether ETFs.
  • The crypto ETF market is crowded, with over 140 existing funds, 10 new launches this year, and more expected.
  • Bitcoin’s sharp price drop has led to significant losses for ETF buyers, with $1.5 billion withdrawn from Ether ETFs and over $3.5 billion from Bitcoin ETFs in the past three months.

This month, Bitwise Asset Management filed for a Uniswap-linked ETF, while ProShares sought approval for leveraged Bitcoin and Ether ETFs. 21Shares also resubmitted plans for funds based on Ondo and Sei, signaling progress in its efforts.

Todd Sohn, chief ETF strategist at Strategas, told Bloomberg that while firms like 21Shares and Bitwise remain committed to the long-term potential of crypto, ongoing poor performance could affect future flows.

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This comes amid a crowded market, with over 140 crypto-focused US ETFs already trading, and 10 more launched this year. A BNB staking ETF is expected soon.

Cryptos have faced renewed pressure after October’s selloff, with Bitcoin falling sharply, dragging smaller tokens down. Investors are stepping back as liquidity tightens and risk appetite wanes.

Data from Glassnode shows that buyers of U.S. spot-Bitcoin ETFs are sitting on average paper losses, having bought Bitcoin at around $84,100 per coin, while the price now hovers near $66,000. This has led to significant outflows, with over $1.5 billion withdrawn from Ether-focused ETFs and more than $3.5 billion pulled from Bitcoin ETFs in recent months.

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Crypto World

Sky-backed Obex spreads $1 billion across credit, energy and AI assets to expand stablecoin yield

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tokenized RWA market (RWA.xyz)

Obex, the Framework Ventures-backed incubator, began deploying $1 billion on Wednesday to link the Sky ecosystem’s USDS stablecoin with income from tangible assets like AI data centers, housing and energy, boosting real-world strategies beyond crypto-native sources of yield.

The first group of assets includes products from Maple, USD.ai, Daylight, Centrifuge, Securitize, River, TVL Capital and Better. Each aims to bridge crypto markets with parts of the real economy, including lending, housing finance, energy and AI infrastructure, often by turning those assets into blockchain-based instruments via tokenization.

The firms will work with Obex to add new tokenized products designed to generate yield and increase USDS use across their platforms. They will also work to develop and roll out new yield-generating tokenized assets.

Sky, one of the oldest decentralized finance (DeFi) lending protocols and issuer of the $10 billion USDS, is trying to move past the closed loops that have long defined crypto lending. The protocol brought in $435 million in annualized revenue in 2025 and plans to push the dollar-pegged stablecoin’s supply above $20 billion next year.

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Obex is aiming to help Sky get there by plugging new sources of income into the system. Last year, it obtained a mandate to allocate up to $2.5 billion of Sky’s USDS reserves into real-world assets to generate yield.

“We’re moving beyond circular DeFi yield sources and toward high-quality yield from structured credit markets, fintech, energy infrastructure, AI CapEx, real estate, and other productive sectors,” said Parker Edwards, a partner at Framework Ventures.

The push reflects a broader shift toward tokenization, in which assets such as loans, funds, or infrastructure projects are represented on blockchain networks. Proponents say this can make it easier to move capital, track ownership and open access to a wider pool of investors.

The market for tokenized real-world assets is growing rapidly, and tripled in value to $26 billion in the past year, RWA.xyz data shows. That growth has been driven by demand for more stable and predictable returns than those typically found in crypto lending and other speculative strategies.

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tokenized RWA market (RWA.xyz)
Tokenized RWA market size (RWA.xyz)

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These 4 Bitcoin Onchain Metrics Point to ‘Weaker Demand’ for BTC

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These 4 Bitcoin Onchain Metrics Point to ‘Weaker Demand’ for BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) price struggled to break above $72,000, as several key onchain metrics highlighted weakening demand for BTC, casting doubts on its upside potential.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin investors shift to distribution as whales and smaller cohorts aggressively sell under weak market conditions.

  • Bitcoin whale transaction count hits multi-year lows, as smart money waits for policy and geopolitical clarity.

  • Bitcoin’s hash rate fell sharply amid rising energy costs, increasing chances of miner capitulation.

Bitcoin investors “shift to distribution”

Bitcoin investors have are increasingly risk-off, distributing their BTC holdings amid the recent price weakness fueled by the US and Israel-Iran war and other macroeconomic headwinds.

Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score (ATS) is near zero (light yellow), indicating that the whales are distributing their BTC holdings or not accumulating. 

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Related: Bitcoin retakes $71K as US sends Iran 15-point ceasefire plan

The drop in the trend score indicates a transition from accumulation to distribution across almost all cohorts. This shift mirrors a similar pattern observed in early 2025, which aligned with Bitcoin’s drop to $74,500 in April 2025. 

Bitcoin accumulation trend score. Source: Glassnode

Additional data from Glassnode shows a “shift toward distribution or inactivity” among small to mid-sized entities holding less than 1,000 BTC.

This is in contrast to “Q4 2024, where broad cohort accumulation preceded a sustained rally,” the onchain data provider said in a Tuesday post on X, adding:

“Heavy participation across wallet sizes remains a precondition for any durable recovery.”

Bitcoin accumulation trend score by cohort. Source: X/Glassnode

Bitcoin whale activity “historically quiet”

Reflecting this distribution or inactive accumulation trend is Bitcoin’s whale activity, which has become “historically quiet,” according to Santiment.

Last week, daily BTC transactions above $100,000 fell to just 6,417, the lowest since September 2023. Meanwhile, transfers exceeding $1 million dropped to 1,485, levels last seen in October 2024. 

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The declining whale activity is largely due to market participants waiting for “clarity from the CLARITY Act,” as well as a long-term solution to the war, according to the data analytics company.

This indicates that “smart money is reluctant to make moves with so much policy and global uncertainty at play,” Santiment added.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Hashrate
Bitcoin whale activity. Source: X/Santiment

Declining Bitcoin network activity

Bitcoin’s inability to sustain the recovery is further evidenced by low network activity and less onchain demand. 

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin network activity index, which tracks key indicators such as daily active addresses, total transactions count, and UTXO count, has been declining since August 2025.

This points to “weaker demand across the network,” CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn said in a recent post on X.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Hashrate
Bitcoin network activity index. Source: CryptoQuant

This aligns with weak onchain fundamentals such as liquidity and network growth as tracked by Bitcoin Vector’s fundamental index.

This metric “keeps trending lower and remains well below the strengthening zone,” Bitcoin Vector said in a Tuesday X post. 

The onchain data provider described the current market conditions as “stability without support,” rather than a healthy consolidation, adding:

“As long as onchain conditions stay weak, upside looks increasingly dependent on flow, short covering, or external catalysts, not organic strength. If fundamentals don’t recover, this kind of divergence usually doesn’t support a sustained mid-term recovery.”

Bitcoin fundamental index. Source: X/Bitcoin Vector

Bitcoin mining hash rate drops 22%

Bitcoin’s hash rate, a metric that shows the level of mining activity, has dropped sharply over the last couple of weeks, meaning miners are shutting down machines.

The hash rate has fallen to 813 EH/s on Wednesday, from 1.2 ZH/s on March 5, representing a 22% decrease.

Bitcoin hash rate. Source: CryptoQuant

Rising energy costs, exacerbated by the US and Israel-Iran war, compressed the hash price below $34 per PH/s/day, which is below many miners’ breakeven levels. 

“Bitcoin miners are losing $19,000 on every coin they produce, and difficulty just dropped 7.8% as the miner exodus accelerates,” analysts at Token Metrics said in a recent post on X, adding:

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“If difficulty drops another 5%+ within the next 7 days, miner capitulation is accelerating and spot sell pressure will intensify.”