Crypto World
Crypto Griefing: Profiting by Losing
Crypto is built on a powerful idea: align incentives correctly, and rational actors will secure the system.
Most protocol design rests on this belief.
But there’s a blind spot few teams model seriously:
What if harming the network is rational — just not within the network itself?
This is the foundation of what we can call crypto griefing markets: situations where actors willingly lose money on-chain because they profit elsewhere.
Not hacks.
Not exploits.
Not rug pulls.
But economically rational sabotage.
Defining Crypto Griefing
In game theory, griefing refers to behavior where an actor accepts a cost in order to impose a cost on others. Traditionally, it’s seen as irrational or malicious.
In crypto, however, griefing can be rational when:
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The attacker has off-chain exposure (derivatives, venture positions, competitive businesses).
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The damage creates external financial gain.
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The cost of sabotage is lower than the external payoff.
The protocol may observe a net loss from the attacker’s wallet.
The attacker sees a net gain across their portfolio.
This distinction is crucial.
Most tokenomic models assume participants optimize within the system. Crypto griefing breaks that assumption by introducing cross-market incentives.
Why Incentive Alignment Breaks Down
Protocols often rely on the principle that:
If attacking costs money, rational actors won’t attack.
This only holds if:
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Actors are exposed primarily to the protocol’s token.
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There are no correlated positions elsewhere.
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There are no strategic non-financial motives.
In modern crypto markets, these assumptions rarely hold.
Large participants often maintain:
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On-chain token exposure
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Off-chain derivative positions
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Venture stakes in competitors
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Business models dependent on specific governance outcomes
When incentives extend beyond the protocol boundary, alignment becomes fragile.
Common Forms of Economically Rational Sabotage
1. Short-and-Destabilize Strategies
An actor builds a significant short position on a token via centralized derivatives or OTC markets.
They then:
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Thin liquidity depth through aggressive trading
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Increase volatility during sensitive periods
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Trigger liquidation cascades in leveraged markets
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Amplify panic during narrative inflection points
They may incur direct losses from destabilizing trades.
But if the short position profits significantly from price collapse, the strategy becomes rational at the portfolio level.
From the protocol’s perspective, it appears irrational.
From a cross-market view, it is calculated.
2. Governance Griefing
DAO governance assumes token-weighted voting aligns long-term incentives.
However, voters may:
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Operate competing protocols
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Run businesses dependent on alternative outcomes
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Hold asymmetric exposure elsewhere
A voter might rationally support a proposal that harms token value if it protects off-chain revenue.
The DAO sees a participant voting against their own economic interest.
In reality, they are protecting a broader one.
3. Oracle and Liquidation Engineering
In tightly coupled DeFi systems, small price distortions can cascade.
Actors may:
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Push thin markets during low-liquidity windows
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Exploit Oracle update timing
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Trigger liquidations to create reflexive price drops
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Profit from correlated positions outside the affected protocol
Even temporary distortions can cause lasting reputational damage.
The attacker does not need perfect control — only sufficient pressure to tip a fragile system.
4. Network Congestion and Launch Sabotage
During high-profile launches, congestion becomes an attack surface.
A competitor or short-exposed fund could:
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Spam transactions degrade user experience
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Drive gas prices higher
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Cause failed transactions during critical moments
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Create a public perception of instability
The attacker may lose transaction fees.
But if the reputational damage reduces adoption or weakens funding prospects, the indirect payoff may justify the cost.
In narrative-driven markets, perception has measurable economic value.
Why Fully On-Chain Systems Are Especially Vulnerable
Transparency is a core strength of crypto systems.
But transparency also enables precise attack modeling.
On-chain data reveals:
When attack costs are visible, they become quantifiable.
When costs are quantifiable, they become tradable.
Protocols optimize for capital efficiency.
Attackers optimize for cross-market asymmetry.
The protocol sees only the visible ledger.
The attacker sees the entire financial landscape.
Destructive Equilibria in Reflexive Markets
Crypto markets are reflexive: price influences confidence, and confidence influences price.
This creates conditions where:
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Small shocks cascade into large moves.
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Liquidity dries up rapidly under stress.
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Panic spreads faster than fundamentals can correct.
If multiple actors benefit from a downturn — such as through short positions — destructive equilibria can form.
In these scenarios, sabotage doesn’t need to be large. It only needs to initiate reflexivity.
Defensive Design Strategies
While eliminating griefing may be impossible, protocols can reduce vulnerability.
1. Nonlinear Cost Structures
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Dynamic fee adjustments during congestion
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Escalating governance deposits
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Anti-spam economic filters
The goal is to make sabotage costs rise faster than external payoffs.
2. Anti-Reflexive Mechanisms
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Time-weighted average price (TWAP) oracles
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Smooth liquidation curves
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Circuit breakers during extreme volatility
Reducing cascade effects lowers the leverage of small attacks.
3. Governance Hardening
Increasing commitment reduces opportunistic interference.
4. Cross-Market Risk Modeling
This is the most difficult defense.
Protocols must consider:
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Correlated derivatives markets
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Concentrated token ownership
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Competitive industry dynamics
However, off-chain incentives are inherently opaque.
Complete visibility is impossible.
The Emergence of Griefing Risk Markets
If griefing risk becomes measurable, it may also become insurable.
Potential future developments include:
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Insurance products covering congestion or governance attacks
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Derivatives tied to network performance degradation
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DAO treasury hedging strategies against sabotage risk
If hacks created smart contract insurance markets, economic sabotage may create new meta-markets around strategic risk.
Once risk can be priced, it becomes financialized.
Conclusion
Crypto is often described as a system that aligns incentives through code.
But code cannot contain incentives that exist outside its boundaries.
As protocols grow in importance, they become strategic assets.
Strategic assets attract strategic behavior.
Griefing markets do not require criminals.
They require rational actors operating across interconnected markets.
The lesson is not that crypto is broken.
It is that incentive alignment only works within the scope you model.
And in a globally interconnected financial system, that scope may be far smaller than we assume.
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Crypto World
Onchain image inscription challenges data-limit proposal
Bitcoin’s latest governance clash escalated this week as the first block signaling support for a temporary soft fork designed to restrict arbitrary, non-monetary data in the blockchain’s transactions was produced by mining pool Ocean.
The proposal, formally assigned BIP-110 after evolving from earlier drafts, aims to reinstate strict limits on transaction output sizes and arbitrary data fields for about a year. The idea is to curb what proponents see as “spam” uses of block space for non-financial data. They argue that unchecked data, including large inscriptions and so-called OP_RETURN payloads, threaten the original blockchain’s role as sound monetary infrastructure and burden node operators.
The community remains deeply divided. Prominent critics, including Blockstream CEO Adam Back, have warned that consensus-level intervention could harm Bitcoin’s credibility and lead to preferential treatment of some transactions in violation of the principle of neutral transaction capacity. He also questioned the level of support for the proposal, which, he said, increased the risk of the blockchain being split.
Adding fuel to the debate, a developer recently inscribed a 66 KB image in a single transaction on Bitcoin, an apparent pushback against BIP-110’s core claims and a demonstration of how large amounts of data can be encoded even without relying on OP_RETURN.
OP_RETURN and similar approaches are script instructions used to mark a transaction output as invalid for spending, effectively allowing users to repurpose that space to permanently embed arbitrary data — like text or images — directly into the blockchain
As the controversy unfolds, it underscores enduring philosophical tensions within Bitcoin. Should network aggressively defend a narrowly defined monetary purpose or maintain maximal neutrality toward arbitrary uses of its base layer?
Crypto World
BTC, ETH Spot ETFs Reverse Weekly Outflow Streak
Spot crypto ETFs turned positive last week, but they’re still net negative for the month of February.
Both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) spot exchange-traded funds (ETF) closed out last week in the green, a reversal from a period of multi-week outflows.
After five straight weeks of net negative flows, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $787.31 million for the week ending on Feb. 27, bringing total net assets to $83.4 billion, per data from SoSoValue. The previous three weeks of February all saw over $300 million in net outflows for BTC funds, while the last two weeks of January recorded over $1 billion in net outflows from the products.
Ethereum ETFs also saw a renewed interest last week, with net inflows totaling $80.46 million during the same timeframe, also reversing a five-week net outflow streak.
Despite the final weeks of last month shifting to the green, BTC and ETH ETFs were net negative for the month of February. However, the monthly losses for Bitcoin products were milder compared to the previous three months.
The flow reversal indicates renewed institutional investor interest in crypto exposure, while spot prices remain in a tight range since early February, after losing previous support levels.

While crypto markets are experiencing a broad recovery today, March 2, February was a rough month for both BTC and ETH. Bitcoin closed the month about 15% down, per data from CoinGlass, while ETH lost 17% last month.
This article was generated with the assistance of AI workflows.
Crypto World
BRR Stock Surges 5% Following 450 Bitcoin Acquisition and Enhanced Share Repurchase Initiative
Key Highlights
- BRR stock gains 5.43% following 450 BTC acquisition and enhanced buyback activity
- Total Bitcoin reserves reach 5,457 BTC after strategic purchase
- Share repurchase program gains traction as company addresses NAV gap
- 782K shares bought back at discounts ranging from 25% to 35% below NAV
- Combined strategy pushes BRR to $2.7944 closing price
ProCap Financial, Inc. (BRR) experienced notable gains in trading sessions following the announcement of expanded Bitcoin reserves and enhanced share buyback execution. Shares advanced 5.43% to reach $2.7944 as the firm disclosed a 450 BTC acquisition alongside active repurchase operations. This development underscores BRR’s twin-pillar approach to capital deployment during ongoing digital currency market fluctuations.
Corporate Bitcoin Reserves Reach New Heights
ProCap Financial bolstered its cryptocurrency treasury by securing 450 BTC during a period of market softness. This acquisition brought the company’s aggregate Bitcoin reserves to 5,457 BTC while lowering the per-coin average acquisition cost. The transaction, valued at approximately $35.4 million, was financed through operational capital and option exercise proceeds.
During the purchase window, Bitcoin was trading in the vicinity of $65,000, representing a substantial retreat from historical highs. Leadership interpreted this price correction as an opportune moment for strategic accumulation amid broader cryptocurrency market turbulence. Through this move, BRR enhanced its treasury exposure to the leading digital currency.
The enlarged Bitcoin position establishes BRR among the top 20 publicly listed corporate Bitcoin holders globally, specifically ranking 19th. The organization maintains its commitment to a treasury strategy centered on long-term digital asset value appreciation. Thus, BRR embeds cryptocurrency accumulation as a core component of its financial operations.
Share Repurchase Initiative Accelerates
Parallel to its cryptocurrency acquisitions, BRR amplified activity under its $100 million share buyback authorization. The board greenlit this program specifically to close the gap between trading price and underlying net asset value. Beginning in late December 2025, BRR has maintained consistent open-market share acquisitions.
Throughout the most recent ten-day period, the company repurchased 782,408 common shares at substantial discounts relative to NAV. Purchase transactions occurred at discounts spanning 25% to 35% beneath calculated intrinsic worth. These acquisitions decreased the share count while simultaneously boosting per-share asset metrics.
With roughly 82.6 million shares currently outstanding, the repurchase velocity carries material significance. Leadership maintains buyback operations as long as shares trade beneath intrinsic value thresholds. As such, BRR seeks to compress the NAV discount through measured capital redeployment.
Investor Response and Operational Framework
Equity markets reacted favorably to BRR’s coordinated Bitcoin acquisition and buyback intensification. The positive price movement signals investor endorsement of the company’s capital allocation methodology. ProCap Financial functions as a publicly listed agentic finance enterprise maintaining a digital asset-focused treasury strategy. The organization blends Bitcoin treasury management with equity optimization initiatives to enhance stockholder returns. This operational model sets BRR apart from conventional financial services entities.
Leadership remains committed to executing concurrent strategies encompassing asset accumulation and share count reduction. The firm preserves sufficient liquidity to enable additional Bitcoin purchases and share repurchases as market opportunities emerge. Consequently, BRR establishes positioning for sustained balance sheet expansion while simultaneously closing market valuation discrepancies.
Crypto World
Citadel’s various hedge funds rise in February, beating the S&P 500 in a choppy month
Ken Griffin, CEO of Citadel LLC speaks on Squawk on the Street at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 21, 2026.
Oscar Molina | CNBC
Billionaire investor Ken Griffin’s various hedge funds at Citadel generated positive returns in February, navigating a volatile month for markets as macro uncertainty and disruption from artificial intelligence whipsawed asset prices.
The firm’s flagship multistrategy Wellington fund rose 1.9% in February, bringing its year-to-date gain to 2.9%, according to a person familiar with the matter who asked not to be named because the information is private.
Performance was broad-based across the fund, with all five of Citadel’s core strategies — commodities, equities, fixed income, credit and quantitative — finishing the month in positive territory, the person said
The tactical trading fund advanced 1.5% in February, lifting its year-to-date return to 3.5%, the person said. The equities fund gained 1.0% for the month and is now up 2.2% in 2026. Meanwhile, the global fixed-income fund climbed 1.6% in February, bringing its year-to-date increase to 2.9%, according to the person.
The S&P 500 fell 0.9% in February amid fresh selling pressure in AI-linked and software shares. Fears that automation could erode established business models and trigger mounting layoffs have dampened investor sentiment, raising concerns about potential spillover effects on the broader economy. The market fell under massive pressure again after the U.S. and Israel’s attack on Iran caused oil prices to surge.
The firm declined to comment. Citadel oversaw $66 billion in assets under management as of Feb. 1.
Crypto World
What Changed After 2023 Crypto Lending Crackdown
Three years after withdrawing from the US retail market and agreeing to a $45 million settlement, Nexo has quietly rebooted its US presence with a markedly different architecture. The relaunch is not a flashy rebrand of the old Earn product; it is a structural shift toward regulated infrastructure, designed to satisfy a regulatory framework that favors licensed intermediaries over direct yield issuance. The company’s comeback comes as the broader US crypto lending landscape continues to evolve—tethered to state-by-state licensing, disclosures, and ongoing scrutiny of how retail users are exposed to yield and risk. This piece examines what changed, why regulators pushed back in 2023, and how the 2026 model is positioned within a shifting enforcement environment, while outlining what US users should monitor before engaging with crypto-backed loans or yield-like offerings.
Key takeaways
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After paying a $45 million settlement in 2023 and exiting the market, Nexo has reentered the US with a redesigned product model focused on regulatory alignment rather than direct yield issuance.
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The 2023 crackdown centered on unregistered securities concerns. The SEC alleged that Nexo’s Earn Interest Product functioned as an unregistered security, raising questions about retail yield marketing, transparency, custody practices and counterparty risk.
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The new model relies on licensed US partners. Instead of directly offering yield products, Nexo now operates through regulated US intermediaries, including licensed entities and, where required, SEC-registered investment advisers.
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The Bakkt partnership anchors the compliance strategy. By collaborating with Bakkt, a publicly traded US crypto firm with regulatory licenses, Nexo shifts from a direct issuer model to a partner-delivered framework embedded within regulated infrastructure. (EXCHANGE: BKKT)
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The comeback is a structural overhaul rather than a mere timing shift. US users should watch for disclosures, custody arrangements, and the role of intermediaries as the model unfolds.
Three years after exiting the US retail market and settling with federal and state regulators, Nexo’s return signals a deliberate pivot. It is not simply a resumption of old products under a new banner; it is an attempt to align with a regulated ecosystem that emphasizes transparency, risk controls and clearly defined counterparty relationships. The 2026 framework appears designed to keep yield-generating services within a compliant infrastructure, reducing the likelihood of unregistered securities concerns that previously drew regulatory heat.
What changed is not only the timing or political backdrop; it is the way these products are designed, delivered and supervised. The company’s latest disclosures stress an architecture in which licensed intermediaries and, when required, investment advisers sit between the user and any yield-like opportunity. The shift is part of a broader rethinking of how centralized crypto lending should operate in the United States, especially after the industry experienced liquidity strains and opaque yield structures in the wake of 2022’s market stress.
As part of its updated model, Nexo states that it will offer crypto-backed loans and yield-generating products through a network of licensed US partners. Crypto-backed loans, which use digital assets as collateral, require careful structuring around loan-to-value thresholds and liquidation terms. By channeling these products through regulated entities, Nexo aims to provide a more robust framework for risk disclosures and custody arrangements, addressing some of the concerns that regulators highlighted in the 2023 action.
The Bakkt partnership: Compliance by design
A central plank of the relaunch is the collaboration with Bakkt, a publicly traded US crypto firm with regulatory licenses. This partnership is meant to anchor the compliance framework by moving away from a direct issuer model to a partner-delivered ecosystem housed within regulated infrastructure. In practical terms, trading, custody, and advisory services would sit with licensed entities, while product components could be distributed through registered intermediaries. The approach is designed to satisfy regulator expectations for disclosures, risk management and clear line-of-sight into who is providing which service.
From a practical standpoint, the shift to a partner-led model reduces the direct exposure of retail customers to an issuer’s internal yield generation mechanics. Instead, the revenue and risk flow through an ecosystem of regulated participants, which in theory should improve oversight and reduce the potential conflicts of interest that can arise when an unregistered product is marketed to everyday investors. This approach also aligns with a broader trend in the US crypto industry: leveraging established, licensed infrastructure to deliver crypto services in a compliant manner rather than pushing the envelope on securities law through standalone product issuance.
It’s also worth noting that the regulatory backdrop remains nuanced. While enforcement actions shifted in late 2020s policy discussions, federal and state authorities continue to scrutinize offerings that resemble investment contracts or that blur the line between traditional banking and crypto lending. The Bakkt-backed model represents an attempt to thread the needle—offering access to lending and yield opportunities while embedding the activities within structures that regulators can monitor and regulate more effectively.
Beyond Bakkt, Nexo’s plan dovetails with ongoing regulatory discussions around custody, disclosures, and the sources of yield. The broader debate about how to classify crypto-based investment products—whether as securities, commodities or a new category—continues to shape the design of compliant offerings. For readers following the policy arc, recent coverage of how regulatory proposals could redefine commodities and securities remains relevant as the industry tests compliant wrappers for yield-related products.
Market context
Market context: The US regulatory environment for crypto lending remains fragmented, with federal and state authorities evaluating risk, disclosures and investor protection. The 2023 crackdown highlighted concerns about retail access to high-yield products and theOpacity around how returns were generated. Since then, enforcement has shown signs of recalibration, with some actions winding down and others continuing, but the industry is increasingly experimenting with partner-led models that align with licensed infrastructure and enhanced disclosures.
Why it matters
The Nexo return matters because it could signal a broader shift in how offshore or non-US-centric crypto firms re-enter the United States. If more projects adopt partner-led models with licensed intermediaries, it may reduce the likelihood of abrupt withdrawals and punitive penalties that followed early-2020s enforcement actions. For users, the implication is clearer disclosures, potentially better custody arrangements, and a framework where the counterparty risk and revenue sources are more explicit.
From a builder’s perspective, the emphasis on regulated wrappers could spur innovation in compliant product design. Companies may be more willing to collaborate with licensed intermediaries and investment advisers to offer yield-oriented products within a transparent, auditable structure. Critics, however, will watch closely to ensure that “compliant by design” does not become a cover for reduced access to liquidity or less competitive yields. The distinction between compliant structure and risk-free products remains critical; even with licensing and custody safeguards, users should assess loan terms, LTV thresholds, and potential fees with a critical eye.
In the broader industry, Nexo’s comeback is part of a larger pattern of cross-border crypto firms seeking to re-engage with the US market through compliant, partner-led approaches. If the model proves viable, it could open the door for other international players to reenter through similar regulatory wrappers rather than direct issuance. In the near term, the emphasis on disclosure quality, risk management, and clarity around revenue sources will be pivotal in determining whether this structural shift sustains long-term legitimacy in the eyes of regulators and investors alike.
What to watch next
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Details of the licensing framework and the specific US partners involved in the model.
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Regulatory approvals or filings at the federal or state level that may affect rollout timelines.
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Progress of Bakkt’s integration and the distribution of product elements through licensed intermediaries.
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Any new risk disclosures or consumer-protection measures required by regulators and how they are communicated to users.
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Developments in US crypto lending regulation and how future policy could shape partner-led models.
Sources & verification
- Nexo’s 2023 settlement with the SEC and NASAA over the Earn product; verify via the referenced coverage describing a $45 million settlement and the scope of the unregistered securities allegations.
- Nexo’s 2026 return to the US through a press release announcing the relaunch and the partnership-driven structure.
- Nexo’s public blog post about the updated US strategy for clients, detailing the shift to licensed intermediaries and advisers.
- Cointelegraph reporting on related regulatory actions and market context, including coverage of Gemini Earn developments and broader enforcement trends.
Nexo’s US comeback: a structural overhaul anchored in regulated infrastructure
Nexo’s latest iteration presents a reimagined blueprint for delivering crypto-backed lending and yield opportunities within a regulated framework. The company emphasizes that the core idea—allowing users to borrow against digital assets and to earn yield through compliant means—remains intact. What has evolved is the wrapper around the product. The Earn-like offerings of the pre-2023 era were designed and marketed in ways regulators found problematic, particularly when returns were advertised to retail users without transparent disclosures or a clear line of counterparty risk. The 2023 settlement underscored these concerns and set the stage for a redesigned approach that prioritizes compliance from the outset.
In the 2026 structure, Nexo positions its services within the ecosystem of licensed US participants, with custody and advisory functions distributed across regulated entities. Bakkt (EXCHANGE: BKKT), a partner in this strategy, is intended to provide the regulated backbone that supports the delivery of crypto-backed loans and other yield-generating services. By embedding activities within a regulated infrastructure, the company aims to address the transparency and risk-management questions that regulators raised in 2023, including how returns are generated, who truly bears the risk, and how assets are custodied and safeguarded.
From a regulatory vantage point, the shift toward partner-led models reflects a broader trend in the industry: policymakers are seeking to separate product design from issuance while ensuring that every layer of the stack—custody, trading, lending, and advisory—operates under licensed oversight. The recalibration aligns with the idea that compliant structure can coexist with innovative financial services in the crypto space, provided clear disclosures, robust risk controls, and rigorous oversight are in place. While this does not guarantee a risk-free experience, it offers a pathway for legitimate participation in crypto lending that respects the nuanced regulatory landscape and the practical realities of retail investors seeking access to new financial instruments.
As the US regulatory conversation evolves, Nexo’s rehabilitation of its business model may serve as a blueprint for other firms seeking to re-enter through compliant channels rather than direct issuance of high-yield products. The ultimate test will be whether the heightened governance, partner alignment, and custody standards prove resilient to evolving rules and enforcement priorities. For users, the key takeaway remains vigilance: even within a compliant wrapper, understanding who the counterparty is, how assets are held, and how yields are generated remains essential as the market navigates a new era of governance and transparency in crypto finance.
Crypto World
XOM Shares Reach Record Peak Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
TLDR
- Exxon Mobil’s share price reached a record $159.15, bringing its valuation to $635.43 billion.
- The stock has surged 41.69% in the past twelve months.
- Escalating Middle East conflicts — including a purported assault on Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura facility and warnings regarding the Strait of Hormuz — are boosting oil prices.
- XOM climbed 2% on Monday; ConocoPhillips (COP) posted the strongest performance with a 3.3% increase.
- Market watchers anticipate capital flowing into major energy corporations including XOM, CVX, COP, and EOG in the immediate future.
Shares of Exxon Mobil (XOM) reached an unprecedented peak of $159.15 during Monday’s trading session on March 2, driven by intensifying geopolitical instability in the Middle East that sent crude oil prices climbing and lifted the entire energy sector.
The energy giant’s shares advanced approximately 2% during morning trading hours. This latest gain extends an impressive 41.69% rally over the trailing twelve months, elevating XOM’s total market value to $635.43 billion.
Other major energy players posted similar advances. Chevron (CVX) appreciated 1.1%, ConocoPhillips (COP) jumped 3.3%, while Occidental Petroleum (OXY) climbed 1.9%. Each of these stocks exhibited even stronger momentum during pre-market hours before moderating slightly after the opening bell.
The primary driver was a sharp intensification of Middle Eastern hostilities throughout the weekend. News emerged regarding an alleged assault on Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura refinery, recognized as among the planet’s most significant oil export terminals. Additionally, three American service members lost their lives in Kuwait, while Israel maintained ongoing military exchanges with Hezbollah forces in Lebanon.
Iranian officials allegedly declared that vessels would be prohibited from transiting the Strait of Hormuz — a critical waterway responsible for transporting approximately 20% of global oil supplies. Although Tehran hasn’t officially blockaded the strait, mere speculation proved sufficient to influence commodity markets.
Why Large-Cap Energy Names Are in Focus
Mizuho analyst Nitin Kumar indicated his expectation that market participants will “favor large, bellwether stocks” such as Exxon, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, EOG Resources (EOG), and Occidental Petroleum during this period of uncertainty. While smaller or more highly leveraged companies might present greater upside potential, institutional capital is projected to concentrate on industry leaders in the near term.
Alpine Macro strategist Dan Alamariu put it plainly: “Out-of-region energy stocks should gain disproportionately; they track oil and gas prices and would be the only available source of supply if the Persian Gulf is shut off.”
It bears mentioning that XOM’s remarkable ascent hasn’t been entirely smooth. Data from InvestingPro indicates the shares might be trading above their Fair Value benchmark, despite hovering near their 52-week peak.
Recent XOM Developments
Fourth-quarter earnings figures fell short of year-over-year comparisons but managed to narrowly exceed Wall Street expectations, supported by output expansion in Guyana and the U.S. Permian Basin operations. BMO Capital subsequently elevated its price objective to $155 while retaining a Market Perform stance. Freedom Capital Markets maintained its Sell recommendation with a $123 valuation target.
Regarding legal matters, ExxonMobil’s Australian subsidiary received an $11.3 million penalty from the Federal Court of Australia for disseminating misleading information about fuel products in Queensland during the period spanning August 2020 through July 2024.
The corporation continues pursuing financial restitution for petroleum assets confiscated in Cuba over six decades ago, with judicial proceedings still underway.
XOM achieved its intraday peak of $159.15 on March 2, 2026.
Crypto World
ProCap Buys 450 BTC, Repurchases Shares Below NAV
Bitcoin treasury company ProCap Financial has added to its digital asset reserves as it steps up efforts to reduce the gap between its share price and underlying net asset value (NAV), underscoring a focused capital allocation strategy amid volatility in the crypto and equity markets.
ProCap disclosed Monday that it acquired 450 Bitcoin (BTC) during the recent market pullback, bringing its total holdings to 5,457 BTC. The additional purchase also helped reduce the company’s average cost basis per coin.

At the same time, ProCap said it repurchased 782,408 of its shares over the past 10 days at prices trading significantly below its calculated NAV per share, narrowing the discount between market price and intrinsic value. The Nasdaq-traded shares were up 7.17% at last look in Monday morning trading, to $2.84 per share, according to Yahoo Finance.
ProCap emerged last year as a Bitcoin-native financial services company, raising more than $750 million in its initial funding, before going public through a SPAC merger.
The combined moves show ProCap increasing its Bitcoin exposure while attempting to address the discount between its share price and the value of its underlying assets. Buying back shares below NAV reduces the number of shares outstanding, which can increase NAV per share and potentially narrow the discount if market conditions stabilize.
Related: NAV Collapse Creates Rare Opportunity in Bitcoin Treasurys — 10x Research
NAV compression tests Bitcoin treasury model
Bitcoin treasury companies have come under pressure amid the months-long downturn in digital asset markets, leading to a broad compression in net asset value (NAV) premiums across the sector.
NAV represents the total value of a company’s assets — in this case, primarily Bitcoin holdings — minus liabilities, divided by the number of shares outstanding. For Bitcoin treasury companies, investors often focus on multiple-to-NAV (mNAV), which measures how a company’s market capitalization compares to the value of its underlying Bitcoin per share.
When mNAV is above 1.0, a company’s shares trade at a premium to its net asset value; below 1.0, they trade at a discount. ProCap’s mNAV is currently around 0.24, according to BitcoinTreasuries.NET data.
However, some industry observers question whether mNAV fully captures the value of Bitcoin treasury companies. NYDIG research head Greg Cipolaro has argued that the traditional mNAV framework may be incomplete because it does not account for operating businesses or strategic initiatives beyond simply holding digital assets.
Crypto World
Energym Ad’s Dystopian AI Future Collides with Real-World Layoffs
A viral spoof “Energym” advertisement set in a 2030s world where 80% of people have lost their jobs to artificial intelligence has struck a nerve as companies accelerate automation, job openings slump and investors grapple with darker AI scenarios.
The video clip, created by Belgian studio AiCandy, uses AI-aged versions of Elon Musk, Sam Altman and Jeff Bezos to hawk a fictional gym where unemployed workers pedal bikes and row machines to power the very AI systems that replaced them, trading lost income for a new sense of “purpose.”

Energym’s dystopia meets real AI layoffs
The satire lands amid a real wave of tech restructuring built around AI tools rather than human staff.
On Friday, Jack Dorsey’s fintech firm Block announced that it was cutting more than 4,000 roles (close to 40% of its workforce), in a bid to go lean using intelligence tools, paired with “smaller and flatter teams.”
Related: Bitcoin to see tailwinds if AI prompts ‘easier monetary policy’: NYDIG
Fresh labor market data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics show demand for some office jobs has cooled. Finance and insurance openings fell to 134 a month by December 2025, 50% lower than the year prior, marking a decade-long low.

Market jitters over where this trajectory leads intensified in February when a 7,000‑word scenario from Citrini Research, a US firm that provides insights on “transformative” trends, sketched out a future of AI agents, cascading layoffs, falling wages, and a deep market crash later this decade.
The report, framed as a scenario rather than a forecast, nevertheless helped drive a sell-off in software and payments stocks, with companies such as Uber, American Express, and Mastercard dropping between 4% and 6% in one session as investors reassessed how quickly AI could erode demand for human labor.
Crypto-native agents as an alternative to “Energym?”
For David Minarsch, CEO of Valory and founding member of Olas Network, a crypto protocol for co-owned AI agents, the Energym vision is one possible path if AI remains “built as black boxes” and owned by a handful of centralized platforms.
He told Cointelegraph that rapid AI deployment was already reshaping software engineering, with almost all his team’s code now generated by AI under human oversight compared to mostly human-written code just six months ago.
Related: AI ‘vibe coding’ could put Ethereum roadmap ahead of schedule: Vitalik Buterin
“If this trend accelerates,” he said, we are on a path to a future that’s caricatured in the Energym ad,” arguing that society was at a “pivotal inflection point.”
Minarsch warned that a world where AI agents are granted something like personhood and legal protections could permanently “disenfranchise humans” by turning capital, rather than labor, into the dominant input for production.
He pointed to AI labs that describe models as being “retired” as an early step toward treating systems as stakeholders in their own right.
Minarsch said that projects like Olas were betting that giving people direct ownership and control over AI agents, rather than renting them from platforms, could be one way to stop the Energym scenario from becoming a reality.
Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026
Crypto World
Nasdaq follows Cboe joining world of ‘binary bets’ as prediction market craze hits Wall Street
The Nasdaq stock exchange wants to list binary options tied to its flagship stock indexes, a move that would let traders place yes-or-no bets on the direction of major equity benchmarks like the Nasdaq-100.
In a Monday filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the exchange said it also plans to offer binary options on the Nasdaq-100 Micro Index.
A binary option is a bet with only two outcomes. Either the condition is met, and the bettor walks away with a profit, or the option expires worthless. Nasdaq’s proposed contracts would be priced between 1 cent and $1, reflecting the market’s view of the probability that a specific outcome will occur.
If approved, the products would function similarly to contracts on prediction market platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, giving traders a new way to express short-term views on the performance of one of the market’s most closely watched stock indexes.
The filing marks Nasdaq’s entry into a fast-growing corner of derivatives markets that blends traditional finance with the mechanics of prediction platforms. Rival exchange Cboe also announced plans to expand into the prediction markets business as interest in event-based trading has surged.
That push follows the rapid growth of platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, which allow users to trade on the outcomes of events ranging from elections to economic data releases. Those platforms are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) because they offer event contracts tied to real-world outcomes.
Binary options, however, fall under the SEC’s jurisdiction. Nasdaq’s proposal underscores how established exchanges are seeking to adapt the prediction-style format to regulated securities markets. Nasdaq had not responded to a request for comment by publication time.
Crypto exchanges have also moved quickly.
Coinbase recently rolled out prediction markets on its platform, giving digital asset traders access to contracts linked to political, economic and cultural events. Gemini received CFTC approval in December to operate as a Designated Contract Market (DCM), allowing the firm to offer regulated prediction markets to U.S. customers.
Crypto World
Qivalis in talks with crypto exchanges ahead of euro stablecoin launch
Qivalis, the group of European Union banks developing a MiCA-compliant euro stablecoin, is in advanced discussions with crypto exchanges, market makers and liquidity providers as it prepares to roll out in the second half of this year, Spanish business daily Cinco Días reported on Monday.
The group, which includes ING, UniCredit, BNP Paribas, CaixaBank and BBVA, wants to ensure the token is available on regulated trading platforms from day one to ensure liquidity, according to Qivalis CEO Jan Sell.
The initiative is designed to provide a European alternative to the U.S.-dominated stablecoin market, contributing to the EU’s strategic autonomy in payments, the banks said. A euro-pegged token would allow businesses and consumers in the bloc to make blockchain-based payments and settlements using euros, without relying on traditional financial rails or foreign third-party providers.
The Netherlands-based venture is considering European and international venues as it seeks to position the stablecoin as a regulated alternative to U.S. dollar-denominated tokens and a tool for real-time cross-border corporate payments.
Spanish crypto exchange Bit2Me confirmed it has held talks with one of the group’s banks, though most platforms declined to comment.
Qivalis did not immediately respond to a CoinDesk request for confirmation.
According to Cinco Dias, Qivalis also disclosed details about the token’s reserve structure. The stablecoin will be backed 1:1, with at least 40% of reserves held in bank deposits and the remainder allocated to high-quality, short-term euro-area sovereign bonds diversified across EU countries. The reserves will be held with multiple highly rated credit institutions, and the design includes 24/7 redemption for token holders.
The consortium is seeking authorization from the Dutch central bank under the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework.
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