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Crypto market at risk as analysts say Fed rate cuts may delay

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Crypto market at risk as analysts say Fed rate cuts may delay

Goldman Sachs has delayed its prediction for the first Federal Reserve rate cut to September 2026, potentially putting pressure on the crypto market.

Summary

  • Goldman Sachs now expects the first Fed rate cut in September 2026, later than its earlier June forecast.
  • Inflation forecasts were raised, with headline PCE seen reaching 2.9% by the end of 2026.
  • Higher-for-longer rates could pressure the crypto market, as tighter liquidity often weighs on risk assets like Bitcoin.

Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for when the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates, warning that rising inflation risks tied to oil prices and geopolitical tensions may delay monetary easing.

In a note released on March 12, the investment bank said it now expects the first 25-basis-point rate cut in September 2026, followed by another reduction in December. Earlier projections had placed the first cut in June.

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The revised outlook comes as financial markets remain uneasy about the economic impact of the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, which has raised fears of supply disruptions in global oil markets.

Inflation forecasts move higher

Goldman also raised its inflation expectations for 2026. The bank now sees headline PCE inflation reaching 2.9% by the end of the year, an upward revision of 0.8 percentage points. Core PCE inflation is projected to rise to 2.4%, while the forecast for U.S. GDP growth was trimmed to 2.2%.

Higher energy prices are the main driver of the shift. The bank now expects Brent crude to average around $98 per barrel in March and April, roughly 40% above the 2025 average. In a scenario where disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz last for a month, prices could climb above $110 per barrel.

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Goldman estimates that a 10% increase in oil prices could push headline inflation up by about 0.2 percentage points.

At the same time, the firm pointed to signs of a gradually softening labor market. If employment conditions weaken more quickly than expected, earlier rate cuts could still happen, analysts said.

Traders currently assign roughly a 41% probability to a September rate cut.

What delayed rate cuts could mean for crypto

Shifts in interest-rate expectations often ripple through the digital asset sector. Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum tend to perform best when financial conditions are loosening and liquidity is expanding.

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A later start to the easing cycle suggests that borrowing costs could stay higher for longer. That environment typically weighs on risk-sensitive assets, including the broader crypto market.

Stronger inflation expectations can also reduce investor appetite for speculative investments. In past cycles, digital assets have often reacted to macroeconomic news in ways similar to technology stocks.

Goldman has also pointed to geopolitical risks as a growing macro factor. Oil supply shocks, the bank said, could feed inflation and keep monetary policy tighter than markets previously expected.

Macro risks remain in focus

Short-term volatility could remain elevated if inflation readings or energy prices continue to surprise on the upside. Rising oil costs tend to filter through to consumer prices over time, which could complicate the Fed’s policy path.

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However, the longer-term outlook is less certain. Goldman’s base case still expects oil prices to ease toward about $71 per barrel by late 2026, which could reduce inflation pressure and re-open the door to faster monetary easing.

For the crypto market, the key variables to watch in the coming months will likely include inflation data, energy prices, and signals from the Federal Reserve about the timing of rate cuts.

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BTC rises to one-week high following Bessent remarks

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'Murban crude oil' surges past $100, posing risk to bitcoin and risk assets

With fears growing over the economic impact of surging oil costs, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Thursday evening that the Trump administration is taking steps to promote stability and lower energy prices.

“To increase the global reach of existing supply, the U.S. Treasury is providing a temporary authorization to permit countries to purchase Russian oil currently stranded at sea,” said Bessent in an X post.

“The temporary increase in oil prices is a short-term and temporary disruption that will result in a massive benefit to our nation and economy in the long-term,” added Bessent, suggesting market fears about the rise in oil prices were overblown.

Indeed, oil rose nearly 10% to nearly $100 per barrel on Thursday, helping to send the already slumping U.S. stock market to sharp losses.

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Bitcoin , which was able to hold the $70,000 level throughout most of the day, has jumped to just below $72,000 in the minutes following the Bessent post, now higher by 2.2% over the past 24 hours.

WTI crude oil has pulled back about $2 per barrel, currently trading at $95.22.

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Ethena Proposes Replacing 7-Day sUSDe Unstaking Period With Dynamic Cooldown

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ENA Chart

As perpetual futures positions shrink to just 11% of USDe’s backing, the protocol argues its unstaking delay no longer reflects the liquidity available to meet redemptions.

Ethena Labs has put forward a governance proposal to replace the synthetic dollar protocol’s static 7-day sUSDe unstaking cooldown with a dynamic model that adjusts based on the composition of USDe’s backing assets.

The proposed framework would introduce cooldown periods of 1, 3, 5, or 7 days, depending on how USDe’s reserves are allocated at any given time.

The timing is notable. Ethena’s deployed capital has fallen to just $791 million, a decline of over 85% from its all-time high. The contraction reflects broader risk-off market conditions, with bulls and bears now nearly evenly matched in the derivatives market, an unusual condition that has made the basis trade far less profitable.

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That collapse in demand for long leverage is what makes this cooldown proposal viable. The authors note that at the start of 2025, roughly 93% of USDe’s backing was in perpetual futures positions, making the 7-day window a reasonable safeguard. Today, perpetual futures account for just 11% of backing, with 89% now held in liquid stablecoins and lending positions that are currently outperforming funding rates.

USDe’s market cap fell sharply following the October 10 crash, losing over $5 billion as investors rushed to redeem. The episode served as a major stress test, and the protocol’s ability to meet redemptions during that period is cited in a Blockworks Advisory analysis on the forum as evidence that the system performs well under pressure.

The proposal also includes safeguards to prevent the shorter cooldown from creating problems during sudden stress events. If daily unstaking requests exceed twice the 14-day rolling average while 3-day coverage simultaneously falls below 1.5x, the cooldown automatically extends by one day.

In short, with the protocol now sitting on a much more liquid reserve base, the argument is that locking users into a week-long wait no longer matches reality.

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The protocol’s ENA token was mostly unchanged on the news, trading at around $0.10, or a $900 million market capitalization, according to Coingecko. However, it’s already down more than 50% this year.

ENA Chart
ENA Chart

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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DeepSnitch AI 300% Bonus Makes All Hurry up With Only Few Days Left in the Presale; Other AI Coins Like RENDER and ICP Are Worth Checking, Too

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DeepSnitch AI 300% Bonus Makes All Hurry up With Only Few Days Left in the Presale; Other AI Coins Like RENDER and ICP Are Worth Checking, Too

Moonshots in crypto don’t come every day. That’s why the DeepSnitch AI bonus program is making everyone hurry up, since there are only a few days left to take advantage of this incredible opportunity.

DeepSnitch AI is the most advanced AI implementation in the crypto industry nowadays; one that will very likely undergo a 100x price acceleration. And the fact that the crypto presale is ending soon, on March 31, is generating a lot of frenzy.

Oracle jumps 13% as AI demand remains strong

The fact that DeepSnitch AI’s bonus program is making so many people hurry up isn’t only about the fact that there few days left until launch. It also has to do with the times we are living in crypto and financial markets in general, a time where AI is clearly controlling the narrative.

This was reflected in Oracle’s impressive gains of +13.72% on March 11, after its quarterly report showed substantial revenues due to an AI demand that remains strong and growing. This AI demand isn’t only for new AI models, but probably even more for innovative AI applications and infrastructure solutions.

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The following section presents a few of those.

AI coins to thrive in 2026

1. DeepSnitch AI (DSNT)

DeepSnitch AI bonus program is making many people hurry up because there are only a few days left to take part in the presale. And given DeepSnitch AI’s unique combination of sophisticated product with massive market adoption, this is clearly the presale of the year, if not of the decade.

The project has developed a system of AI agents that work as a sort of “investment brain”. They execute specific tasks, but work together in total synergy. As a result, they radically improve DYOR (do-your-own-research) processes and crypto investing for any crypto holder around the world. That’s a market estimated at more than 600 million people.

In business terms, this product/market combination is a recipe for explosive growth. This is already reflected in the presale’s impressive numbers: more than $2 million raised in just 6 stages, despite a still low entry price of $0.04399 (which creates huge upside for price increase).

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And there is more. A limited-time crypto bonus program is in place, where bonuses of different sizes are given according to the amount of DSNTs purchased. The largest of them is a 300% bonus for a $30k investment. That means a 400x return for a 100x price increase that is now considered a baseline scenario.

No wonder that DeepSnitch AI’s 300% bonus is making many hurry up, given that there are only a few days left for this moonshot.

As the final days of this token presale are passing fast, it’s time to move faster, and invest before this unique opportunity is gone.

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2. Render (RENDER)

Render has had a remarkable performance in the last few days. From a $1.34 price on Mar. 6, it rose to $1.57 on Mar. 11, a 5-day 17% gain. The peaks of this soaring trend took place on March 10 and 11, precisely around the time that Oracle was releasing its latest quarterly earnings.

This latest AI push is also helping DeepSnitch AI, at a time when its bonus program is making everyone hurry up, given that there are only a few days left in the presale.

3. Internet Computer (ICP)

As previously mentioned, DeepSnitch AI 300% bonus is a reason to hurry up, with only a few days left until the launch. But another reason to rush is the fact that many AI coins are spiking in March. One of them is ICP.

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On Feb. 24, ICP was priced at $2.02. A couple of weeks later, on Mar. 11, it had soared to $2.84. That is a gain of more than 40% that is an example of the ongoing rotation towards AI coins. Since this momentum isn’t giving signs of fading, it is still a good time to bet on ICP.

Conclusion

The DeepSnitch AI bonus program is making a lot of investors hurry up, given that there are only a few days left until the presale ends. This is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for exponential returns that is closing very fast.

Only those who invest now and take advantage of the bonuses (30% code: DSNTVIP30, 50% code: DSNTVIP50, 150% code: DSNTVIP150, 300% code: DSNTVIP300) will enjoy outsized growth this year.

Visit the official website to buy into the DeepSnitch AI presale now, and visit X and Telegram for the latest community updates.

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FAQs

Why should I rush to buy DeepSnitch AI now?

DeepSnitch AI bonus of 300% is a strong reason to hurry up, since there are only a few days left to take advantage of this unique opportunity. But it isn’t just about the bonus, it’s about the extraordinary growth potential.

What drives DeepSnitch AI’s growth potential

The answer is DeepSnitch AI’s huge target market. With only capturing a tiny fraction of this market, DSNT’s price would sharply spike.

How much of the target market would cause a 100x spike?

The baseline forecast estimates that when DeepSnitch AI reaches 1.45 million users, DSNT will be priced at around $4.5. That is more than 100x its current price.


Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

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Cryptio Raises $45M As Tokenized Finance Drives Demand For Accounting

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Cryptio Raises $45M As Tokenized Finance Drives Demand For Accounting

Cryptio, an accounting and data platform focused on regulated digital assets, has raised $45 million in a Series B funding round, highlighting growing demand for tools that help financial institutions reconcile and report blockchain-based transactions within traditional accounting systems.

The round was co-led by venture firms BlackFin Capital Partners and Sentinel Global, with participation from 1kx, BlueYard Capital, Alven and Ledger Cathay Capital. 

Cryptio develops software that helps companies reconcile activity across wallets, custodians and exchanges, translating blockchain transaction data into accounting records used for financial reporting, audits and compliance.

The company says it serves more than 400 enterprise clients and has processed over $3 trillion in transaction volume. Its clients include crypto companies such as Circle, Gemini and Securitize, as well as traditional financial institutions, including Société Générale’s SG-Forge.

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Several other companies operate in the same niche as Cryptio, highlighting the emergence of a small but growing market for crypto accounting and financial reporting infrastructure. Companies such as Lukka, TaxBit, Bitwave and CoinLedger offer software that helps businesses reconcile blockchain transactions and convert them into records used for tax reporting, audits and regulatory compliance.

Related: Amid crypto VC shakeout, Dragonfly closes $650M fund with focus on real-world assets

Demand for tokenized finance infrastructure continues to grow

Cryptio’s growth is also being fueled by rising institutional interest in tokenized assets, which require accounting systems capable of recording and reconciling blockchain-based financial activity.

Sidra Pervez, senior vice president at tokenization firm Securitize, said maintaining accurate financial records across capital markets is becoming more important as traditional finance expands into tokenized securities.

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Loic Fonteneau, managing director at BlackFin Capital Partners, said “digital assets are becoming embedded within regulated financial markets,” which requires “institutional-grade infrastructure” to support accounting, tokenized asset reporting and lending.

Major financial institutions are increasingly participating in tokenization, with the likes of HSBC, BNP Paribas and Goldman Sachs backing the tokenization-focused Canton Foundation. The industry group supports the development and governance of the Canton Network, a blockchain designed for regulated financial markets.

In January, State Street announced the rollout of a new crypto tokenization tool to help clients create tokenized money market funds, exchange-traded funds and tokenized deposits.

The market for tokenized real-world assets, excluding stablecoins. Source: RWA.xyz

While estimates vary, industry data shows that the total value of tokenized real-world assets, excluding stablecoins, has surpassed $26 billion, with much of the demand coming from private credit and US Treasurys-backed funds. 

Other fast-growing segments include tokenized money market funds — blockchain-based versions of traditional funds that invest in short-term government debt and other low-risk securities.

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Related: Crypto Biz: Kraken plugs into the Fed