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Crypto market steady, Fed official makes case for rate cuts

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Total Crypto Market Cap

The crypto market held steady on Tuesday as investors bought the dip and as risky assets like stocks continued their recent rally.

Summary

  • The crypto market held steady on Tuesday as the recent crash faded.
  • Federal Reserve’s Stephen Miran supports more interest rate cuts this year.
  • Technical analysis suggests that cryptocurrencies have further downside in the near term.

Bitcoin (BTC) price rose to $78,330, up by 5% from its lowest level this month. Other top altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Hyperliquid (HYPE) were in the green. The market capitalization of all tokens rose by 0.62% in the last 24 hours.

The crypto market rose as Stephen Miran, a top Federal Reserve official, insisted that the bank should deliver more interest rate cuts this year, as inflation has remained lower than expected. He supports cutting interest rates by more than 1 full point this year, saying:

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“I don’t see a lot of strong supply-demand imbalances of the type that monetary policy should respond to. So I think we’re keeping rates too high, mostly because of quirks of how we measure inflation, rather than actual price pressures themselves.”

His statement came a few days after President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to become the next Federal Reserve Chairman, if confirmed by the Senate. 

Warsh is widely seen as an interest-rate hawk who has opposed quantitative easing. He has also criticized the bank for holding interest rates low for long.

The crypto market also steadied as talks between the United States and Iran began, reducing the risk of war in the region. 

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Data compiled by Polymarket shows that the possibility of the US striking Iran has dropped from over 80% last week to 60% today. This trend explains why crude oil prices have dropped in the past few days, with Brent moving from $70 last week to $66.50 today.

Technical analysis suggests the crypto market is still at risk of a dive

Total Crypto Market Cap
Total Crypto Market Cap | Source: TradingView 

A closer look at longer-term charts shows that the crypto crash has more room to go. The daily timeframe chart shows that the market capitalization of all coins remains below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages.

This chart also shows that it remains below the crucial support level at $2.7 trillion, its lowest level in November last year. 

It is all slowly forming a bearish pennant pattern, which consists of a vertical line and a symmetrical triangle. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that it resumes the downtrend in the coming days or weeks.

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Crypto World

What Will Restart The Rally?

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What Will Restart The Rally?

Bitcoin (BTC) struggles to reclaim price highs above $76,000, but analysts say that the uptrend may continue if key conditions are met.

Bitcoin’s 8% climb over the last three days saw it reclaim key levels, including the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $71,000.

“$76K is the level that decides everything,” analyst Crypto Patel said in a Wednesday post on X, adding:

“We need a proper HTF candle close above this zone to trust the move.”

Related: Bitcoin falls to lower support as analysts say markets are ignoring key Iran issue

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The analyst further explained that a high-time frame close above $76,000 would open the path toward the $84,000-$96,000 zone, where investors acquired more than 2 million BTC over the last six months, according to Glassnode’s cost basis distribution heatmap.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: X/Crypto Patel

Echoing this view, trading resource Material Indicators said that “there are multiple levels of technical resistance stacked” between the spot price and a “bonafide $BTC bull market breakout.”

These include the yearly open at $87,500 and the 50-week moving average at $97,000, which must be reclaimed to confirm that the “$BTC bull market has returned,” Material Indicators said in a follow-up post.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Material Indicators

The trading resource further pointed out that the relative strength index must close and hold above the 41 level in the weekly time frame. 

Previous occurrences in 2023, 2020 and 2019 have led to 660%, 1,600% and 316% BTC price rallies, respectively.

“Obviously, we are not there yet,” Materials indicators said in a video posted on X, adding:

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“Those are the macro things that need to happen to say a validated bull market is on.”

For analyst Rekt Capital, the BTC/USD pair needs to achieve a weekly close above $72,800 to “confirm a breakout.”

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: X/Rekt Capital

As Cointelegraph reported, the bulls must decisively break above the $76,000-$80,000 range to confirm a trend change.

Optimism needs to return to the BTC market

The bull score index, a measure of Bitcoin’s overall market health that combines fundamental and technical metrics, indicates a significant improvement in market conditions following BTC’s latest move to $76,000

The metric increased to 40 on April 15, the highest since late October 2025. This reading remains within neutral territory, reflecting a gradual recovery after a period of relatively weak momentum.

While the bull score index improvement to 40 “reflects relative stability in the market,” it must rise to an area of “strong optimism (above 60), which typically indicates strong bullish conditions,”  CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain said in a Quicktake post, adding:

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“If the indicator continues to improve gradually, it may signal a potential return of upward momentum, especially if higher levels are reclaimed in the coming period.”

Bitcoin bull score index. Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs remains intermittent, with these investment products recording alternating inflows and outflows after every few days. 

Although the $451 million in net inflows recorded on Tuesday pointed to a return in demand from US investors, persistent positive flows are required to propel BTC price higher.

Spot Bitcoin ETF flows chart. Source: SoSoValue

As Cointelegraph reported, onchain activity is showing “bull market behavior,” with Bitcoin’s daily transaction count reaching 17-month highs, further reinforcing BTC’s upside potential.