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Crypto rally in H2 2026? JPMorgan points to Clarity Act, analyst says ‘buy the rumor’ starts now

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Key macro data puts crypto markets on watch as CPI, PCE and Fed speak

JPMorgan analysts say a long-anticipated U.S. crypto market structure bill could be approved by mid-2026 and act as a major positive catalyst for digital asset markets in the second half of the year.

Summary

  • JPMorgan says the Clarity Act could trigger a significant crypto recovery in H2 2026.
  • The bank cites regulatory clarity, institutional scaling, and tokenization growth as key drivers.
  • Analyst argues markets may rally well before passage, following classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” patterns.

The report highlights that despite subdued sentiment and weak trading volumes across the sector, regulatory clarity from the proposed legislation, commonly referred to as the CLARITY Act, could help unlock growth and investment later in 2026.

JPMorgan says Clarity Act may spark second-half crypto upswing

According to the note, the Clarity Act represents not a marginal tweak but a “structural transformation” of the regulatory environment. JPMorgan outlined three key impacts.

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First, the elimination of “regulation by enforcement” as the default approach to oversight. The bill would clearly divide jurisdiction between the SEC and CFTC, reducing the legal ambiguity that has deterred institutional investors worried about retroactive token reclassification and undefined liability.

Second, clearer rules could convert institutional crypto interest from exploratory allocations into high-conviction positions. The note argues pension funds and asset managers currently testing exposure may scale significantly once regulatory risks are reduced.

Third, JPMorgan expects an acceleration of real-world asset tokenization, with Wall Street firms moving projects from pilot stages to production scale under a defined legal framework.

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However, another analyst strongly disputed JPMorgan’s timeline, arguing that the market reaction would not wait until the second half of 2026. The critic contended that if the Clarity Act is expected to become law by July, the rally would likely begin well in advance, following a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern.

In that view, crypto prices could start climbing months before the bill is signed, potentially as much as 150 days ahead of the event, followed by a pullback around the official signing, and then a renewed upward move afterwards.

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Bitcoin holds up after Iran strike, outpacing equities in risk-off session: Crypto Markets Today

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Bitcoin holds up after Iran strike, outpacing equities in risk-off session: Crypto Markets Today

Bitcoin is trading near $66,500 after adding 1.1% since midnight UTC and more than 5% from the weekend low of $63,000.

The crypto market is back in the middle of a trading range that has persisted since the start of February, with a volatile past week testing $70,000 to the upside and $62,500 to the downside.

Weekend price action was driven by the military strikes that killed Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, triggering retaliatory attacks and raising concerns about potential disruption to traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.

According to trading firm QCP, the strike sparked roughly $300 million in long liquidations — but the scale of forced selling was relatively contained, suggesting markets were already positioned for a volatile weekend.

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The escalation pushed investors toward traditional havens, sending gold and silver to their highest levels in more than a month. Oil surged 13% to $82 a barrel, the highest price since July 2024.

U.S. equity index futures fell, with the S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 down 1.1% and 1.5%, respectively, since midnight UTC.

The crypto market showed resilience, with most of the losses occurring on Saturday when U.S. markets were closed.

Derivatives positioning

  • The fallout from the Iran war has been more contained than might have been expected. While cumulative crypto futures open interest has dropped 2% to $93.78 billion, it remains above the recent low of $92.40 billion.
  • Over $300 million in leveraged bets have been liquidated by centralized exchanges in 24 hours, with bullish bets accounting for most of the tally.
  • Annualized perpetual funding rates for major cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin and ether, are little changed to negative, indicating a slightly bearish bias.
  • Still, the market isn’t showing signs of panic, as evidenced from the bitcoin 30-day annualized implied volatility index, BVIV. It remains steady at around 58.8%, well within the price range seen last week. The same is true for the ether volatility index.
  • On Deribit, short-term bitcoin puts traded at an 8%-10% volatility premium to calls, a sign of heightened downside worries. The $60,000 put, or bearish bet, remains the most popular on the exchange.
  • Block flows featured demand for bitcoin put spreads.

Token talk

  • The altcoin market largely tracked bitcoin over the weekend, but one of the fastest to recover was lending token MORPHO, which continued its impressive two-week streak with a 5% jump over the past 24 hours having risen by 2.6% since midnight UTC.
  • Decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens JUP, AAVE and LDO are all in the black as speculative appetite remains relatively strong despite a global shift to haven investments.
  • Hyperliquid’s HYPE token surged by more than 29% on Saturday to snap February’s downtrend. While it lost 3.8% on Monday, losing 3.8% it remains above the crucial $30 level of support.
  • , the DeFi token linked to U.S. President Donald Trump’s family, exentended declines, falling 2.5% of its value since midnight. It is now down by more than 44% since mid-January following a series of lower highs and lower lows.
  • CoinDesk’s DeFi Select (DFX) Index is the only benchmark that is positive over the past 24 hours. The worst performing was the CoinDesk Computing Select Index (CPUS) and the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Select Capped Index (SCPXC), down by 1.87% and 1.71%, respectively.

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XRP and BNB Battle for 4th Spot, BTC Price Calms at $66K: Market Watch

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BTCUSD Mar 2. Source: TradingView


Binance Coin took the lead today by surpassing its XRP rival.

Although the traditional financial markets in Asia and Europe opened earlier this morning and the US futures markets joined, BTC’s price has actually remained relatively calm at around $66,000 following the weekend developments.

Most altcoins are also unexpectedly quiet today, but minor losses continue to dominate. Ethereum continues to struggle below $2,000.

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BTC Calms at $66K

After last Wednesday’s rejection at $70,000, the primary cryptocurrency dropped below $67,000 a day later but found support and entered the weekend at $68,000. However, Saturday began with intense volatility as the US and Israel launched numerous airstrikes against Iran.

The Middle East country retaliated against several nations in the region, including the UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain, and BTC’s price tumbled to a new multi-day low of $63,000. However, reports emerged later that day that Iran’s Supreme Leader was killed during the attacks, and bitcoin erased all losses and touched $68,000 once again.

It failed there and dipped to $65,200 on Sunday, and even more volatility was expected on Monday morning when the futures and some legacy markets opened. However, BTC has remained relatively stable and now sits around $66,000.

Its market capitalization remained inches above $1.320 trillion, while its dominance over the alts is north of 56%.

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BTCUSD Mar 2. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Mar 2. Source: TradingView

BNB Back to 4th

XRP was among the poorest performers after the attacks began, which allowed BNB to surpass it in terms of market cap. The two changed positions yesterday once again, but BNB has the upper hand today with a price tag of $617 and a market cap of $84.2 billion compared to XRP’s $82.5 billion.

Most other larger-cap alts are slightly in the red, with ETH losing the $2,000 support once again. SOL, DOGE, ADA, BCH, HYPE, and LINK are down by around 2-3%, while CC and DOT have lost more than 4% daily. In contrast, HTX is up by over 3%.

The total crypto market cap has declined by about $30 billion in a day and is down to $2.350 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview Mar 2. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview Mar 2. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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AI Infrastructure Solutions for Enterprises by Antier Trusted AI Partner

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Enterprise Blockchain Development Cost, blockchain app cost, blockchain software pricing

✨ AI Summary

  • Discover how Artificial Intelligence has evolved from a niche experiment to a crucial asset for enterprise growth
  • Learn why successful AI deployment requires advanced infrastructure solutions and how AI-first enterprises integrate intelligence into every aspect of operations
  • Uncover the challenges traditional IT systems face with modern AI workloads and explore key pillars of enterprise-grade AI infrastructure
  • Dive into real-world use cases and understand the business impact of AI-ready infrastructure
  • Find out how strategic AI transformation roadmaps guide organizations towards full-scale AI integration, delivering measurable value and competitive advantage.

Artificial Intelligence has transitioned from a niche experiment to a strategic foundation for enterprise growth. Modern organizations rely on AI not just for automation or analytics, but to drive data-driven decision-making, predictive operations, and real-time insights. Yet, deploying AI successfully requires more than advanced algorithms; it demands enterprise-grade AI infrastructure solutions that support high-volume data processing, scalable compute workloads, and secure governance.

Many enterprises fail to achieve ROI because their IT systems cannot handle AI’s complexity. Structured AI infrastructure consulting services guide organizations in assessing readiness, designing scalable pipelines, and integrating AI into core workflows. Partnering with an experienced AI infrastructure development Company ensures transformation is sustainable, optimized, and aligned with business objectives.

What Does It Mean to Be an AI-First Enterprise?

An AI-first enterprise integrates intelligence into every layer of operations. Unlike organizations that adopt isolated AI tools, AI-first enterprises design infrastructure and workflows to maximize model performance, automation, and insight generation. Key characteristics include:

  • Enterprise-wide AI integration: From supply chains to finance, AI drives core decisions.
  • Real-time data orchestration: Automated pipelines ensure data is always accessible and accurate.
  • Scalable compute architecture: Dynamic resource allocation supports high-demand AI workloads.
  • Governance and compliance alignment: Secure and auditable AI deployment prevents regulatory and ethical risks.

Transitioning to AI-first requires investment in AI infrastructure solutions for enterprises and strategic guidance from AI infrastructure consulting services.

Why Traditional IT Struggles with Modern AI Workloads

Most legacy IT systems were built for routine business applications, not for the demands of AI. As organizations scale AI, these outdated systems reveal critical weaknesses that can hinder performance and ROI:

  • Compute Limitations: AI training and real-time inference require high-performance GPUs, TPU clusters, or distributed computing. Traditional CPU-only servers cannot handle these workloads efficiently, leading to slow processing and delayed insights.
  • Data Silos: Disconnected databases and unstructured data prevent AI models from learning effectively, resulting in inaccurate predictions and incomplete insights.
  • Scalability Challenges: AI workloads are unpredictable, with spikes in processing demand. Static infrastructure either fails to meet these peaks or results in wasted resources and higher costs.
  • Security & Compliance Risks: AI systems process sensitive information, requiring robust encryption, audit trails, and regulatory compliance. Legacy infrastructure often lacks these protections.
  • MLOps Gaps: Without proper model lifecycle management—including deployment, monitoring, and retraining—AI models degrade over time, producing unreliable results.

Addressing these challenges is why forward-thinking enterprises rely on AI infrastructure implementation partners to design scalable, secure, and high-performance AI environments.

Key Pillars of Enterprise-Grade AI Infrastructure

A robust AI infrastructure must integrate multiple layers, ensuring reliability, scalability, and governance:

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1. High-Performance Compute Architecture

  • Supports distributed AI training and inference workloads.
  • Utilizes hybrid cloud, on-prem GPU clusters, and edge computing for flexibility.
  • Enables cost-efficient scaling during peak demand.

2. Data Engineering & Governance

  • Automates real-time ingestion, cleansing, and transformation.
  • Establishes data lineage and auditability for regulatory compliance.
  • Supports diverse data sources, including structured, semi-structured, and unstructured datasets.

3. MLOps & Deployment Pipelines

  • CI/CD frameworks ensure continuous integration, testing, and deployment.
  • Versioning of models, pipelines, and datasets minimizes errors.
  • Monitoring tools detect drift, bias, and performance anomalies.

4. Security, Compliance & Responsible AI

  • Implements role-based access controls, encryption, and monitoring.
  • Aligns with GDPR, ISO, SOC, and industry-specific standards.
  • Introduces ethical AI frameworks to prevent bias or misuse.

5. Performance Optimization & Monitoring

  • Real-time dashboards track AI system efficiency.
  • Automated resource allocation optimizes costs and ensures uptime.
  • Continuous feedback loops enhance model accuracy and infrastructure efficiency.

Assessing AI Infrastructure Maturity

Organizations evolve along a structured maturity curve. Understanding your stage informs strategy:

  • Experimental: Pilot AI models with limited integration.
  • Operational: AI deployed, but with limited scalability and monitoring.
  • Scalable: Enterprise-wide pipelines, standardized MLOps, and reliable data infrastructure.
  • AI-First Autonomous: Fully orchestrated AI-driven operations with real-time insights, intelligent agents, and automated decision-making.

Mapping your maturity level is critical for building a successful AI transformation roadmap.

Building a Strategic AI Transformation Roadmap

Successfully becoming an AI-first enterprise requires more than technology adoption; it demands a structured roadmap that guides your organization from assessment to full-scale AI integration. A strategic AI transformation roadmap ensures every step is deliberate, measurable, and aligned with business objectives:

  • Infrastructure Audit & Gap Analysis: Assess your current systems, data pipelines, compute capacity, and governance processes to identify limitations and opportunities for AI readiness.
  • Architecture Blueprinting: Design AI-ready infrastructure, including scalable compute, secure storage, and robust networking layers, to support future growth and AI workloads.
  • Deployment & Integration: Implement high-performance AI pipelines, secure environments, and MLOps frameworks for seamless model development, testing, and production rollout.
  • Business Unit Integration: Embed AI into key operations—marketing, finance, supply chain, and customer engagement—so intelligence drives decisions across the enterprise.
  • Optimization & Governance: Continuously monitor performance, retrain models, and enforce ethical and regulatory compliance to ensure AI remains reliable, secure, and effective.

Partnering with experienced AI infrastructure consulting services and a trusted AI infrastructure development Company ensures each phase is executed efficiently, accelerating AI adoption while minimizing risk.

Real-World Enterprise Use Cases

Robust AI infrastructure unlocks tangible business outcomes:

  • Predictive Fraud Detection: Real-time anomaly detection across financial transactions.
  • Intelligent Supply Chains: Automated routing, demand forecasting, and inventory optimization.
  • Predictive Maintenance: AI-driven monitoring reduces downtime and operational costs.
  • Generative AI for Productivity: Copilots automate document generation, analysis, and reporting.
  • Customer Insights & Personalization: AI models provide real-time segmentation and recommendations.

These outcomes are only achievable with a scalable, secure, and compliant AI foundation.

The Business Impact of AI‑Ready Infrastructure

Investing in AI‑ready infrastructure delivers measurable value across operations, strategy, and competitive advantage much more than just speed or cost savings. Leading research from global analysts and industry reports highlights how modernizing technology foundations is critical to realizing the true potential of AI.

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1. Accelerated Enterprise AI Value

According to Gartner, AI has become a core part of business operations, and by 2030, AI is expected to touch all IT work, with AI‑augmented tasks and automation reshaping workflows across every department. Modern infrastructure enables enterprises to realize AI value faster and at scale rather than stalling after initial pilots.

2. Improved Decision Making and Operational Efficiency

IBM research notes that most enterprises are increasing IT investment to support AI – yet only a small percentage feel their current infrastructure fully meets business needs. Modern AI infrastructure empowers organizations with real‑time insights, faster model deployment, and automated workflows, improving efficiency and reducing manual errors.

3. Productivity & Competitive Impact

Deloitte’s State of AI in the Enterprise report shows that many organizations report tangible productivity and efficiency gains directly from their AI investments. The ability to deploy AI insights across operations, sales, and service functions drives measurable business benefits and supports future growth ambitions.

4. Strategic AI Infrastructure Drives Innovation

Microsoft’s massive ongoing investments in AI cloud and data center infrastructure highlight how foundational compute and platform readiness enable enterprises to innovate reliably from intelligent applications to automated analytics without overburdening internal IT teams.

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5. Platform Strength Enables Business Outcomes

Modern AI infrastructure not only accelerates deployment but also reduces risks related to governance, security, scaling, and performance. By enabling better data access, governance frameworks, hybrid architectures, and automation, enterprises can use AI as a strategic growth engine rather than a cost center.

6. AI Investment is Now Strategic

Industry reporting confirms that enterprises are rapidly increasing cloud, data center, and hybrid infrastructure spending to support intensive AI workloads from training to inference reflecting the essential role modern infrastructure plays in business transformation.

The AI-Readiness Imperative

The AI revolution is redefining enterprise competitiveness. Organizations that ignore infrastructure modernization risk wasted AI investments, operational instability, and compliance pitfalls. Becoming AI-first is not about adopting isolated tools; it requires an end-to-end transformation guided by AI infrastructure consulting services. Strategic design, secure deployment, and scalable pipelines form the backbone of success, enabled by a trusted AI infrastructure implementation partner.

By partnering with Antier – AI infrastructure solutions for enterprises, organizations can ensure AI initiatives are sustainable, high-performing, and ROI-driven, securing their position as market leaders in the AI-first era.

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Khamenei’s death raises questions about Trump’s China trip

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What's next after the joint military operation in Iran

A monitor plays footage of US President Donald Trump announcing US and Israeli strikes against Iran in the James Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House in Washington, DC, U.S., on Saturday, Feb. 28, 2026.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

BEIJING — Uncertainty is growing over U.S. President Donald Trump‘s high-stakes trip to China after Washington targeted a second foreign leader in two months.

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Trump announced over the weekend that joint U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran killed its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. In early January, the U.S. also captured Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro and his wife from their residence.

Analysts say those actions could complicate Trump’s high-stakes trip to Beijing.

“President Xi Jinping won’t feel easy about the death of the top leader of Iran,” said George Chen, partner at The Asia Group, noting Beijing’s relatively good relations with Tehran and Caracas.

“How can Xi feel everything is normal and alright and be prepared to welcome Trump to visit in [a] happy mood?” he said. Chen added that “investors should manage their expectations on what Trump can achieve for his China trip — if he still goes.”

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Trump is scheduled to visit Beijing from March 31 to April 2, following a fragile trade truce with China reached in late October. It would mark the first trip by a sitting U.S. president since 2017.

But Beijing has yet to confirm the dates.

China’s Foreign Ministry on Sunday condemned Khamenei’s killing and called it “a grave violation of Iran’s sovereignty and security.” Beijing urged for an immediate ceasefire, although it was less direct about the U.S. role than it had been after Maduro’s capture.

“I worry the U.S. side might use Iran, if it’s going poorly, to delay the trip,” said a foreign business executive tracking meeting preparations very closely, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.

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“I think the risk [of the trip falling apart] is on the U.S. side more than the Chinese side,” the executive added.

What's next after the joint military operation in Iran

U.S.-based prediction markets signaled a greater likelihood of a delayed Trump trip.

As of late Monday morning, Polymarket showed a sharp drop in expectations that Trump would visit China by March 31, to 42%, from 83.9% on Feb. 21, while wagers on a visit by April 30 remained high at 81%.

Kalshi showed a slight drop in expectations that Trump would visit China by 2027, though it remained a high 91%.

While many analysts still expect the trip to proceed, it’s less clear how U.S. businesses will navigate plans for deals in the world’s second-largest economy.

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Several U.S. executives had been expected to accompany Trump on his Beijing trip, following a pattern of business delegations following leaders of different countries on their trips this year to China in a bid to strike deals.

“Prior to the attack on Iran, many American CEOs were already unwilling to go with Trump to China. Now the situation is even more tricky,” according to an active member of the American business community in China, who also requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.

The White House and China’s Foreign Ministry did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment.

The Chinese readout so far indicates an “unusually softer tone,” said Jack Lee, analyst at China Macro Group. He expects Trump to visit Beijing as planned, but is watching whether Washington signals restraint on arms sales to Taiwan.

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The democratically self-ruled island, claimed by Beijing, remains a central flashpoint in U.S-China relations.

Risks of prolonged conflict

Trump, meanwhile, told British newspaper the Daily Mail that U.S. strikes on Iran could last four weeks — a point that Chinese state media highlighted Monday morning. That timeframe would run into the planned March 31 start date for his trip to China.

“If the conflict escalates into a regional war beyond what the U.S. originally planned, it’s not impossible that Trump might delay the trip,” said Yue Su, principal economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

“Still, I expect Trump and [Xi] to have a phone conversation about this at some point,” she said. Her base case remains that Trump goes ahead with his China trip later this month.

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China this week kicks off an annual parliamentary meeting, where top diplomat Wang Yi typically speaks to the press. In mid-February, Wang told U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference that the U.S. and China should work to expand areas of cooperation.

In foreign policy, Beijing has prioritized its own interests by forging bilateral ties while encouraging multilateral engagement. Official statements around past U.S.-China meetings have noted the need to create “conditions” for developing bilateral relations.

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The U.S. actions in Iran have eroded trust between the two countries, said Dong Shaopeng, a senior researcher at Renmin University of China. While he still expects Trump and Xi to meet in a few weeks, he said he hopes the conflict does not spread to other countries in the Middle East.

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State-affiliated Chinese columnist “Niutanqing” on Monday described the Iran “war” as more intense than the conflict in Ukraine, drawing several lessons. Of the several lessons from the turn of events, the columnist said that Khamenei’s death revealed “traitors” can emerge from within, and that negotiations may conceal the true intentions of an adversary, according to a CNBC translation of the post in Chinese.

If the Trump-Xi meeting proceeds as planned, it could offer an opportunity for broader peace talks while addressing strained U.S.-China relations.

“The issues that they have to work out, China-U.S. trade, are pretty important, and the meeting has been scheduled to be in place for a long time, and so cancelling it would be pretty radical at this point,” said Gary Dvorchak, managing director at Blueshirt Group.

“I don’t think it would … help the situation to cancel the meeting for any reason.”

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Oil and gold pull backed from peaks while equity futures remain under pressure

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Bitcoin losing $70,000 is a warning sign for further downside

U.S. equities fell in pre-market trading after the U.S. and Israel entered into conflict with Iran over the weekend.

The Invesco QQQ exchange-traded fund (ETF), which tracks the Nasdaq 100 index, declined 1.5%, though early losses have started to moderate, suggesting that initial concerns may have been somewhat overstated.

A Saudi Arabia oil refinery was hit by Iran’s response, pushing WTI crude oil as high as $75 per barrel. It was recently trading below $72, though remains 8% higher over the past 24 hours.

Gold rallied more than 2% in the past day to $5,400 per ounce, putting it within reach of its all-time high near $5,600 as investors sought traditional haven assets. It also drew back following an initial surge.

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Bitcoin has held up, trading above $66,000 and gaining about 1% over the past 24 hours. This marks a modest divergence from its recent correlation with software stocks, as the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) is down around 1%.

Among crypto-related equities, Strategy (MSTR), the largest publicly traded corporate holder of bitcoin, is little changed. Crypto-exchange Bullish (BLSH), CoinDesk’s parent company, is down 4%, while AI-focused miners Cipher Digital (CIFR) and IREN (IREN) are both lower by about 3%. Crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) is down 2%.

The conflict pushed the U.S. dollar index (DXY) higher to 98.2. At the same time, both the S&P 500 volatility index (VIX), and the U.S. bond market volatility index (MOVE), are up by more than 10%, reflecting elevated market uncertainty.

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Shanghai Stocks Hit 10-Year High While Hong Kong Crypto ETFs Sink

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Shanghai Stocks Hit 10-Year High While Hong Kong Crypto ETFs Sink

Shanghai’s benchmark index surged to its highest close in a decade on Monday, as Chinese investors piled into energy, gold, and defense stocks in the wake of the Iran conflict — further underscoring why Chinese capital continues to flow away from crypto markets.

The rally, combined with Beijing’s tightening grip on domestic liquidity ahead of this week’s National People’s Congress, narrows the already slim chances that Chinese capital will find its way into crypto anytime soon.

A Tale of Two Markets

The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.5% at 4,182.6 points on March 2, its highest since June 2015, even as most Asian markets buckled under geopolitical pressure. China’s blue-chip CSI300 gained 0.4%.

The rally was driven by a surge in energy and safe-haven plays. Shares of CNOOC, PetroChina, and Sinopec all climbed sharply after oil prices posted their biggest jump in four years. An index tracking Chinese gold stocks soared 7%, while defense names also advanced. Shipping stocks, including Nanjing Tanker and COSCO Shipping, hit their daily 10% limit up.

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Meanwhile, Hong Kong — the only regulated gateway for Chinese investors seeking crypto ETF exposure — told a different story. The Hang Seng Index dropped more than 2% to a two-month low, with tech, healthcare, and tourism among the hardest-hit sectors. Hong Kong-listed crypto ETFs fell across the board, with ChinaAMC Bitcoin ETF (3042.HK) down 2%, Bosera HashKey Bitcoin ETF (3008.HK) off 2.3%, and Harvest Bitcoin Spot ETF (3439.HK) losing 2.4%. Ether ETFs also declined.

Why This Matters for Crypto

The divergence between Shanghai and Hong Kong highlights a structural problem for crypto adoption among Chinese capital pools.

Mainland Chinese investors remain barred from directly accessing Hong Kong’s spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Potential pathways — including the QDII program and the Cross-boundary Wealth Management Connect scheme in the Greater Bay Area — have been discussed by industry figures and legal experts, but none have materialized into concrete policy action. A January 2025 expansion of the GBA wealth connect scheme raised hopes, but stopped short of explicitly including crypto products.

With Shanghai equities rallying — buoyed by expectations of policy support ahead of the National People’s Congress, which opens March 5 — there is even less incentive for Chinese capital to seek alternative assets like crypto.

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Beijing has a long track record of propping up onshore markets during external crises. Hong Kong, open to global capital flows, typically absorbs the blow. Monday was a textbook example. The same geopolitical shock that lifted Shanghai’s energy and defense names sent the Hang Seng into retreat. Crypto ETFs went down with it. If the conflict escalates further, gold is likely to remain the preferred safe haven for Chinese investors, while Bitcoin faces additional downside pressure.

The NPC Factor

Beijing’s annual parliamentary meeting this week adds another layer to the equation. The NPC is expected to set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5%–5% and outline the 15th Five-Year Plan, with emphasis on domestic demand, tech self-reliance, and consumption stimulus.

This policy backdrop reinforces the narrative that Beijing wants capital to circulate within its own financial ecosystem — in A-shares, government bonds, and state-directed investment vehicles — rather than flow offshore into volatile assets.

Historically, geopolitical shocks have had a limited shelf life on Chinese A-shares. Beijing’s policy toolkit — from state fund purchases to trading curbs — is designed to insulate onshore markets from external volatility, and the pre-NPC window only strengthens that impulse.

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For crypto, those fundamentals point in the wrong direction. The onshore equity market is performing, policy support is coming, and Beijing’s capital controls remain firmly in place.

Bitcoin Caught in the Crossfire

Bitcoin itself has struggled to act as a safe haven during the Iran conflict. After dropping to $63,000 on Saturday following the US-Israel strikes, BTC briefly recovered above $68,000 on reports of Supreme Leader Khamenei’s death before settling around $66,000 — roughly where it traded before the strikes began.

Global crypto fund outflows have now extended to five consecutive weeks, with cumulative withdrawals reaching $4 billion, according to CoinShares data. The most recent week alone saw $288 million in redemptions, while trading volumes fell to $17 billion, the lowest since July 2025. Bitcoin is down 23% year-to-date and has fallen roughly 48% from its all-time high of $126,000 set in October 2025.

With Chinese equities absorbing domestic liquidity, Hong Kong markets under pressure, and crypto acting more like a risk asset than digital gold, the prospect of meaningful Chinese capital inflows into crypto appears increasingly remote — at least for now.

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Geopolitical Shock: Gold Price Storms $5,400 After Attack on Iran

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Geopolitical Shock: Gold Price Storms $5,400 After Attack on Iran

The reason is clear: confirmed US and Israeli strikes on targets in Iran, including reports of the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have triggered renewed demand for safe-haven assets, pushing gold prices higher.

As of Monday morning, news of further escalation continues to emerge, while the price per ounce has climbed above the $5,400 level — for the first time since late January. Analysts (including J.P. Morgan and Bank of America) are already revising their targets. In their view, if the price consolidates above $5,400, this could point to a move towards $6,000 by the end of 2026.

Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart

On 23 February, when analysing gold price movements, we confirmed that the long-term ascending channel remained in force and suggested that:

→ bulls would attempt to reach the median of the channel;
→ if gold were to pull back, the $5,100 level would act as support.

Indeed, both assumptions materialised. As indicated by the arrows:

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→ on 24 February, the price rebounded from the stated support level;
→ this morning, the price reached the median. At the first test, bears showed aggression, but extraordinary geopolitical risks pushed the quotation into the upper half of the channel.

It is worth noting that the price has left behind:

→ the psychological $5,300 mark;
→ the $5,250 level, which acted as resistance in February (and may now be expected to provide support).

At the same time, nearby resistance is formed by a local ascending channel (shown in purple), constructed using February’s price extremes on the XAU/USD chart.

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It cannot be ruled out that, following the shocking news over the weekend, market emotions may subside, leading to a pullback in gold prices. In that case, support may emerge in the $5,250–5,300 area, where the lower boundary of the purple uptrend line is located.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Xiaomi Faces Memory Chip Crisis as Prices Jump 90% in 2026

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

Key Takeaways

  • At Mobile World Congress, Xiaomi unveiled the Xiaomi 17 and 17 Ultra with global pricing set at 999 euros and 1,499 euros
  • First-quarter 2026 has seen memory chip costs skyrocket 80–90%, fueled by AI data center demand siphoning supply from mobile devices
  • Market research firm IDC projects a 12.9% contraction in worldwide smartphone shipments for 2026 amid the component shortage
  • Unlike Apple and Samsung, Xiaomi lacks sufficient premium market share to cushion the impact of escalating component costs
  • Electric vehicle revenue jumped nearly 200% year-over-year in Xiaomi’s latest quarterly report, partially compensating for a 3% smartphone revenue decline

Xiaomi revealed its flagship Xiaomi 17 series to the international market this past Saturday during Mobile World Congress in Barcelona.

Pricing for the standard Xiaomi 17 begins at 999 euros ($1,179), while the premium 17 Ultra commands 1,499 euros. These price points match the previous generation exactly.

This decision to maintain pricing stability comes during turbulent market conditions. Data from Counterpoint Research indicates memory chip prices have climbed 80–90% during the first three months of 2026.

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The dramatic price acceleration stems from constrained memory availability, as manufacturing capacity shifts toward AI-focused data centers. Mobile phone manufacturers are losing the bidding war for limited chip supplies.

Memory components represent among the costliest parts in contemporary smartphones. Industry analysts at Gartner anticipate smartphone retail prices could climb 13% industry-wide throughout 2026 as manufacturers pass costs to consumers.

IDC projects an even grimmer outlook, estimating global smartphone unit sales will contract by 12.9% this year as the component shortage ripples through the supply chain.

Xiaomi maintained stable flagship pricing, yet industry experts caution the company faces heightened vulnerability compared to market leaders. Apple and Samsung possess established premium customer bases capable of absorbing price increases. Xiaomi lacks this same cushion.

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“This year will be even worse because Xiaomi does not have a very strong premium share which means that they cannot rely on the premium segment to offset low margins in other devices like Apple and Samsung can,” said Francisco Jeronimo, VP of data and analytics at IDC.

Xiaomi’s smartphone shipment volume predominantly consists of mid-tier products — precisely the segment analysts identify as most vulnerable if retail prices must increase.

Ben Wood, chief analyst at CCS Insight, indicated Xiaomi will probably need to implement price adjustments on budget and mid-range models eventually. The critical uncertainty is how long they can postpone such moves without eroding profit margins.

Electric Vehicle Division Provides Financial Cushion

Xiaomi’s automotive division has emerged as an increasingly vital revenue stabilizer. During the most recently reported quarter — the three months ending September 2025 — EV revenue exploded nearly 200% compared to the prior year.

During that identical period, smartphone sales declined 3% on a year-over-year basis. The electric vehicle segment now represents approximately one-quarter of consolidated company revenue.

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Elliptic Labs Secures Additional Xiaomi Device Wins

In related developments, Norwegian artificial intelligence firm Elliptic Labs disclosed that its AI Virtual Smart Sensor Platform was integrated into five new Xiaomi and Transsion models launched during February 2026.

The software solution eliminates the need for physical proximity sensors, reducing bill-of-materials costs and enhancing power consumption efficiency. Elliptic Labs’ technology currently operates across over 500 million devices globally.

Despite these product integration successes, Elliptic Labs shares (EIP) have declined 45.51% year-to-date, with current market capitalization standing at NOK 389.6 million.

Xiaomi executives cautioned in November 2025 that the smartphone sector would likely face pricing pressure throughout 2026, a forecast that is now materializing in real time.

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Why Do Big Entities’ Payroll Demands Account Abstraction Crypto Wallets?

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Is Your Enterprise Equipped to Harness AI at Scale

AI Summary

  • In 2024 and 2025, the adoption of crypto payroll and stablecoin payouts by enterprises increased significantly, driven by the need for faster settlements, lower costs, and enhanced transparency
  • Account abstraction wallets emerged as a solution, enabling companies to pay employees in stablecoins without requiring them to hold native chain gas
  • These wallets automate multi-party approvals, batch-settle payroll events, and provide traceable on-chain tax and payroll records
  • The blog post outlines the challenges faced by large entities in existing payroll systems and explains how account abstraction wallets streamline payroll processes by offering gas abstraction, smart policy-driven wallets, batch operations, native support for stablecoins, and improved auditability
  • The post also details an enterprise-grade implementation pattern for account abstraction wallets and highlights the importance of compliance, legal, and regulatory support when developing such wallets

Efficiency without control is chaos. Control without efficiency is waste.” 

In 2024 and 2025, enterprise adoption of crypto payroll and stablecoin payouts accelerated sharply as treasury teams and global HR leaders sought faster settlement, lower cross-border costs, and better financial transparency. According to recent industry research, the share of professionals receiving any portion of their salary in digital assets rose materially, with stablecoins increasingly dominating employer-led payouts. This shift is not a fringe curiosity. It is a structural market signal: entities that want global, low-friction payroll must rethink crypto wallet architecture, gas mechanics, and compliance. Account abstraction wallets solve multiple technical and operational pain points by bringing programmable logic, sponsored gas, multi-sig governance, and token-denominated fee models into payroll flows. For serious investors evaluating infrastructure plays and enterprise SaaS for payroll modernization, understanding account abstraction is now table stakes.

Executive Summary

Account abstraction (AA) takes smart contract wallet patterns into production-friendly form, enabling payroll systems to: pay employees in stablecoins or tokens without users holding native chain gas, automate multi-party approvals, batch-settle payroll events, and provide traceable on-chain tax and payroll records. These capabilities open new revenue and product pathways for payroll orchestration platforms, treasury management systems, and white label wallet development companies. The rest of this article explains the technical mechanics, maps AA to payroll use cases, lists enterprise pain points solved by AA, outlines a practical implementation pattern, and describes a full-service AA wallet offering you can confidently invest in.

Challenges Big Entities Face In Existing Payroll Systems

Here are the persistent operational and technical problems large employers face today that AA smart crypto wallets can meaningfully resolve:

1. Cross-border settlement friction, currency conversion delays, and high remittance fees.

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2. The need for multiple approvals and role-based controls across treasury, payroll and legal teams.

3. Employees must hold native chain tokens to pay gas, creating onboarding friction and compliance gaps.

4. Poor auditability for on-chain payroll records and reconciliation against fiat ledgers.

5. Fragmented payroll rails across chains and token standards, increasing integration complexity.

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6. Vendor and contractor payouts that require atomic multi-payments and batch settlement.

7. Difficulty enforcing corporate policies like minimum fiat thresholds or mandated vesting.

8. Legal and tax reporting complexity when payroll touches dozens of jurisdictions.

How Does Account Abstraction Crypto Wallets Make Payroll Easier?

Account abstraction transforms the wallet from a passive keypair to an active, programmable account that enforces policy, pays fees flexibly, and supports advanced onboarding. Practically, this yields:

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  • Gas abstraction and paymaster sponsorship. Companies can sponsor transaction execution fees or accept fees in an ERC-20 stablecoin so employees do not need native chain tokens. This removes a major operational blocker for mass payroll adoption.
  • Smart, policy-driven wallets. Employer policies such as vesting schedules, spending limits, whitelists, multi-approvals, and emergency recovery can be enforced at the account level rather than relying on off-chain governance.
  • Batch operations and gas-efficient settlement. Payroll events can be bundled and executed via batching or meta-transactions to reduce per-transaction overhead and improve throughput.
  • Native support for stablecoins and tokenized payroll. Wallets can accept, custody, and disburse payroll in institutional stablecoins, simplifying treasury operations and reducing FX risk. Recent market data shows stablecoins, particularly USDC, are dominant in crypto payroll use cases.
  • Better audit logs and traceability. Every payroll transaction can include metadata, on-chain receipts, and signatures that feed reconciliations and tax reporting workflows.
Deploy Secure & Compliant AA Crypto Wallets at Enterprise Scale

How Does an Account Abstraction Wallet Work For Payroll Management?

An account abstraction payroll wallet is a smart contract-based account that replaces the traditional externally owned account. The employer provisions a wallet template for each employee or contractor and deploys or sponsors the wallet via a factory pattern. Payroll runs trigger a sequence: the payroll engine batches net-pay calculations, converts fiat to the chosen stablecoin using liquidity rails if necessary, and submits signed meta-transactions to a bundler or relayer. A paymaster contract verifies policy conditions and sponsors the gas or accepts payment in stablecoins. The wallet enforces company policies such as vesting, tax withholdings, and multi-sig approval before releasing funds to the employee’s wallet or custodial off-ramp. All events emit standardized on-chain records that integrate with accounting systems via event listeners and indexed logs. This flow removes the need for employees to hold native gas tokens, automates compliance controls, and enables atomic, auditable settlement across jurisdictions.

Enterprise-Grade Implementation Pattern

1. Wallet template and factory: Deploy a modular smart wallet factory supporting plug-in modules: multi-sig, recovery, timelock, vesting, and payroll hooks.

2. User onboarding and identity layers: Integrate enterprise KYC and identity proofs for employees. Tie corporate roles to on-chain permissions.

3. Paymaster and gas rules: Implement a paymaster strategy: sponsor gas for onboarding, accept payment-in-token for execution, and set sponsor policies for whitelisted payroll operations.

4. Bundler and relayer network: Use bundlers/relayers to aggregate UserOperations and submit to the EntryPoint layer, optimizing gas and batching payroll transactions.

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5. Treasury connectors: Integrate with custody providers, stablecoin rails, and FX providers for seamless fiat-to-crypto conversion and vice versa.

6. Reconciliation and reporting: Build event-driven listeners that mirror on-chain transactions into ERP and payroll ledgers with tax withholding and country-specific metadata.

7. Legal and compliance hooks: Add on-chain proof artifacts to satisfy audit requests and enable automated tax reporting pipelines.

Antier’s AA Crypto Wallet Development Offerings

Being one of the leading blockchain wallet development companies, our team develops end-to-end, compliance-first AA wallet solutions designed for large enterprises. Our offering includes:

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  • Requirements and architecture consulting for treasury and payroll teams.
  • White-label cryptocurrency wallet app development, including factory deployment and modular plugin architecture.
  • Paymaster design and implementation to enable gas sponsorship and token-denominated fee mechanics.
  • Multi-chain connectors and token bridges to support stablecoins across EVM-compatible and non-EVM rails.
  • Custody and custody-integration services, including hot wallet policies and secure key management.
  • On-chain payroll orchestration modules for batching, scheduling, automated vesting, and tax withholding.
  • Compliance automation: on-chain receipts, audit trails, and reporting connectors for ERP and payroll software.
  • Role-based access control, hardware HSM integration, and enterprise-grade multi-sig governance.
  • Performance engineering and gas optimization for enterprise-scale payout volumes.
  • Security audits, formal verification where needed, and third-party pen testing.
  • Managed relayer and bundler services or turnkey integration with vendor networks.
  • Post-launch managed services and SLAs for 24/7 support, monitoring, and upgradeability.

For an enterprise investor, this package reduces technical risk and shortens time to market while capturing recurring revenue from SaaS, managed services, and compliance tooling.

AA Crypto Wallet Development: Compliance, Legal, and Regulatory Support

Global payroll touches many regulatory domains. It is important for a visionary investor or enterprise that is planning for account abstraction-based cryptocurrency wallet development that they hire a certified and skilled team of experts who are adept at providing an integrated legal and compliance stack that supports launches across jurisdictions.

  • Jurisdictional analysis for wage law, payroll regulations, and allowable crypto compensation structures. We map per-country constraints such as mandatory fiat wage components and minimum wage rules.
  • KYC and AML integrations at the employer, payroll processor, and beneficiary levels to satisfy local financial regulations.
  • Tax reporting templates and workflows that capture on-chain metadata suitable for local tax authorities and auditors.
  • Licensing and counsel coordination. If a jurisdiction requires a payment license, crypto license, or trust entity, we coordinate with local counsel and white-label partners to secure compliant pathways.
  • Stablecoin and reserve risk advisory to ensure employers use institutional-grade, regulated stablecoins for payroll. Recent regulatory momentum and institutional issuance have strengthened USDC’s role in payroll rails.

Make sure that you partner with an experienced company that engages regional legal partners to deliver country-specific playbooks and operational checklists, reducing regulatory friction for enterprise deployments.

Current Market Trends

Enterprise payroll providers and fintech payroll players are actively building crypto rails or integrating stablecoin payouts. Various providers demonstrate mature product-market fit, processing large volumes and integrating with payroll systems. Meanwhile, market research shows the number of professionals receiving crypto pay rose materially, and stablecoins lead employer-denominated payouts. These trends indicate a growing TAM for AA-enabled payroll tooling, especially for global workforces and distributed organizations. 

Hire The Industry Leading Crypto Wallet Experts!

Account abstraction wallets are the natural evolution of wallet architecture for enterprise payroll. They remove the classical barriers that limited large-scale payroll innovation: native gas requirements, limited policy enforcement, and poor auditability. For serious investors seeking exposure to enterprise-grade Web3 infrastructure, AA crypto wallet solutions present a practical, near-term commercialization vector.
Connect with the vast blockchain team of Antier to share your thoughts and project planning. We build these solutions end to end: from wallet templates and paymasters to custody and country-level legal playbooks. Our Web3 crypto wallet development, security, and legal teams guide you through architecture choices, compliance checkpoints, and managed deployment, ensuring you capture the market opportunity while minimizing operational and regulatory risk. If you are evaluating infrastructure investments that help enterprises modernize treasury and payroll, account abstraction is no longer experimental; it is a core strategic capability.

For a technical deep-dive, deployment timeline, or a tailored investor pack with market sizing and revenue models, we can help you with our demo.

Connect today!

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Frequently Asked Questions

01. What is account abstraction (AA) in the context of payroll systems?

Account abstraction (AA) is a technology that transforms smart contract wallet patterns into a production-friendly format, enabling payroll systems to automate processes like paying employees in stablecoins, managing multi-party approvals, and providing traceable on-chain records without requiring users to hold native chain gas.

02. Why are enterprises increasingly adopting crypto payroll and stablecoin payouts?

Enterprises are adopting crypto payroll and stablecoin payouts to achieve faster settlement times, lower cross-border costs, and enhanced financial transparency, addressing the need for efficient global payroll solutions.

03. What challenges do large employers face with existing payroll systems that account abstraction can resolve?

Large employers face challenges such as cross-border settlement friction, the need for multiple approvals, onboarding friction due to gas fees, poor auditability of payroll records, and fragmented payroll rails across different chains, all of which can be effectively addressed by account abstraction.

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Bitcoin price drops below $66k as Iran conflict escalates: Here’s what to expect

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  • Bitcoin drops below $66K as Middle East tensions spark volatility.
  • $6.39 billion ETF outflows show weakening institutional crypto demand.
  • BTC swings between $63K–$65K; traders watch support and rate policy.

Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped below the $66,000 mark as global markets react to escalating tensions in the Middle East.

The rising conflict between Iran, the US, and Israel has prompted a wave of uncertainty that is affecting risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin, in particular, is showing sharp intraday swings in response to news developments.

Early trading saw BTC fall as low as $63,000 before it recovered to above $65,000.

This volatility reflects a mix of geopolitical fear and active liquidations in the derivatives market, with more than $130 million in long positions being forced to close and amplifying the downward pressure on the cryptocurrency.

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The US, Israel, Iran war has sent shockwaves across markets

The current situation in the Middle East has made investors jittery.

Traditionally, Bitcoin has sometimes been viewed as a hedge during global crises, but recent behaviour shows it acting more like a risk asset.

Notably, Bitcoin’s price has been moving in close correlation with equities, particularly major stock indices, rather than holding steady in turbulent times.

Gold and oil, however, have seen upward movements, with oil prices surging amid anticipation of supply disruptions.

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The price of Gold has also climbed modestly, reflecting its traditional safe-haven status.

These shifts indicate that money is flowing away from riskier assets like Bitcoin and toward instruments perceived as more stable during geopolitical stress.

Long-term BTC holders, however, are showing resilience.

After the initial sell-off, many investors took the opportunity to buy at lower levels, which contributed to a partial recovery.

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This has prevented Bitcoin from falling as sharply as some other risk assets, demonstrating that there is still significant support at levels around $65,000.

Institutional demand weakens

US-listed spot bitcoin and ether exchange-traded funds have recorded sustained outflows over the past four months, pointing to a sharp cooling in institutional participation in digital assets.

Investors withdrew $6.39 billion from bitcoin ETFs during the period, the longest continuous monthly decline since the products launched in January 2024, according to SoSoValue data.

Ether ETFs also saw $2.76 billion in outflows.

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The retreat coincided with a steep fall in token prices, with bitcoin dropping from above $126,000 in early October, while ether has fallen more than 60% from its August highs near $4,950.

Spot ETFs had previously served as a visible channel for institutional inflows after their debut and following pro-crypto political developments in 2024.

However, demand weakened after the October market downturn, reportedly linked to pricing inefficiencies on offshore exchange Binance.

Although recent sessions have seen intermittent inflows, analysts say a consistent return of capital is required for a durable recovery.

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What this means for Bitcoin going forward

Traders should expect more volatility in the short term since Bitcoin is sensitive to headlines, and any further escalation in the Middle East could trigger additional sharp movements.

Traders should keep a close eye on the technical support level near $63,000, while resistance around $68,000 to $70,000 remains a key target for recovery.

Also, besides the Middle East war, monetary policy may also play a role in the next BTC price movements.

If central banks respond to the conflict with interest rate adjustments or liquidity measures, Bitcoin could benefit indirectly.

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Historical trends suggest that geopolitical crises followed by rate cuts or monetary easing often support risk assets, and cryptocurrencies could be no exception.

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