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Crypto shouldn’t “die on the hill” of stablecoin yield, Rick Edelman says

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Crypto shouldn’t “die on the hill” of stablecoin yield, Rick Edelman says

Latest developments: Edelman told CoinDesk’s Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook that the dispute over whether stablecoins can offer yield is threatening progress on market structure legislation.

  • Banking groups argue allowing stablecoin issuers to offer yield would siphon deposits from traditional banks.
  • Edelman said banks are opposing the provision largely because stablecoins pose a competitive threat to their business models.
  • The issue has become a sticking point in negotiations around the Clarity Act, a proposed crypto market structure bill in Washington.
  • Despite siding with crypto on the economics, Edelman said the banking lobby is politically strong and “likely to win the argument.”

Why it matters: Edelman argues the industry should compromise rather than risk losing regulatory clarity altogether.

  • “I don’t think it’s the hill to die on,” Edelman said about the fight over stablecoin yield.
  • He said the broader legislation would provide long-awaited regulatory certainty for crypto companies and investors.
  • Prediction markets currently suggest the bill will pass, he said, though the timeline remains uncertain.
  • Edelman warned the bill could stall if it doesn’t pass before midterm elections.

The market outlook: Edelman believes regulatory clarity could quickly revive crypto markets.

  • If the bill fails, he expects a sharp but temporary drop in crypto prices as investors react.
  • Over the long term, crypto would still grow but at a slower pace without supportive legislation.
  • If clarity arrives, Edelman predicts crypto prices could surge and quickly reach new all-time highs.
  • He reiterated his long-term forecast that bitcoin could reach $500,000 by the end of the decade.

Reading between the lines: Edelman also pushed back on fears that quantum computing threatens Bitcoin.

  • Claims that quantum computers will break the Bitcoin blockchain are “one of the dumbest things I’ve ever heard anybody say,” Edelman said.
  • He argued the industry would develop defensive cryptography alongside any advances in quantum computing.
  • Even if such machines emerge, attackers would likely target larger financial systems or infrastructure before Bitcoin.
  • Edelman continues to recommend investors allocate up to 40% of portfolios to crypto broadly, focusing mainly on major assets such as bitcoin, ether and solana.

Looking ahead: Edelman expects consolidation among cryptocurrencies as the market matures.

  • He predicts roughly a dozen major cryptocurrencies will ultimately dominate the sector.
  • At the same time, tokenization could create hundreds of thousands of blockchain-based tokens representing assets like real estate, commodities and collectibles.
  • That shift could dramatically expand diversification opportunities for investors.

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Treasury Report Identifies Technology Tools to Counter Digital Asset Crime

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Treasury Report Identifies Technology Tools to Counter Digital Asset Crime

The report notes that AI, digital identity systems, blockchain analytics, and APIs can be harnessed to fight financial crime.

The U.S. Department of the Treasury has submitted a report to Congress examining how emerging technologies can be used to detect and prevent illicit financial activity involving digital assets. The report was required under the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act, signed into law in July 2025.

The report notes that victims reported over $9 billion in digital asset-related fraud losses to the FBI in 2024, with investment scams accounting for $5.8 billion, a 47 percent increase over the prior year. North Korean cybercriminals stole at least $2.8 billion in digital assets between January 2024 and September 2025, including $1.5 billion from Bybit in February 2025. Meanwhile, ransomware payments, predominantly made in digital assets, totaled approximately $734 million in 2024.

The report also examines the use of cryptocurrency mixers and similar obfuscation tools, finding that roughly $1.6 billion in deposits to major cross-chain bridges between 2020 and 2025 originated from mixing services.

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To address these risks, Treasury identified four key technologies for broader adoption by financial institutions: artificial intelligence for transaction monitoring and fraud detection; digital identity tools to reduce onboarding fraud; blockchain analytics to trace suspicious activity; and application programming interfaces (APIs) to improve interoperability across compliance systems.

On decentralized finance (DeFi), the report recommends that Congress clarify which DeFi participants should be subject to anti-money laundering obligations.

Treasury acknowledged barriers to adoption, including high costs for smaller institutions and regulatory uncertainty, and committed to issuing new guidance, partnering with NIST on technical standards, and pursuing legislative options, including potentially allowing institutions to temporarily freeze digital assets suspected of involvement in illegal activity.

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ETH Needs to Reclaim This Key Level to Reignite Sustainable Rally

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ETH Needs to Reclaim This Key Level to Reignite Sustainable Rally

Ethereum is still trading within a broader bearish structure, but the recent price action shows signs of short-term stabilization above a key support zone. After the sharp selloff seen in early February, ETH has managed to base around the $1,800 area, and buyers are hoping for another push higher, although the market still needs a stronger breakout to confirm a more meaningful recovery.

Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily chart, ETH remains below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which keeps the higher timeframe trend tilted to the downside. The asset is also still trading inside a descending channel, while the $2,400 and $2,800 zones continue to act as the main resistance barriers on any larger rebound.

At the same time, the market has been holding above the blue demand region around $1,800 to $1,700, which is currently the most important support range. As long as ETH stays above this area, the structure can remain constructive in the short term, but a daily reclaim of the $2,400 region is still needed to suggest that the broader bearish pressure is starting to weaken.

ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, ETH is gradually moving higher from the late February lows and is now pressing toward the $2,150 resistance level once again. The formation of a rising short-term trendline from the recent swing lows also points to improving momentum, while the RSI has pushed back above the midline and supports the case for a stronger recovery attempt.

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Still, the price has not broken out yet, and the $2,150 level remains the key trigger in the near term. A clean move above it could open the way toward the $2,400 supply zone, while another rejection would likely keep ETH stuck inside its current range and send it back toward the $1,800 support levels.

On-Chain Analysis

From an on-chain perspective, Ethereum’s exchange reserve continues to trend lower and has now dropped to around 16.1 million ETH, which is a notable long-term bullish signal. The persistent decline suggests that more coins are being moved away from exchanges, typically reflecting lower immediate sell pressure and a stronger preference for holding rather than distributing.

That said, the exchange reserve trend is a supportive background factor rather than a direct timing signal. In the short term, ETH still needs price confirmation through a breakout above nearby resistance, but the continued drawdown in exchange balances does strengthen the idea that downside pressure may be more limited than before if demand starts to improve.

 

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Societe Generale-FORGE Deploys MiCA-Compliant EURCV Stablecoin on Stellar

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Europe, United States, European Union, Stablecoin, MiCA, Genius Act

Societe Generale-FORGE, the crypto arm of French banking company Societe Generale, has deployed its euro-denominated stablecoin on the Stellar blockchain, completing a multichain expansion first announced in 2025.

The stablecoin, known as EUR CoinVertible (EURCV), is designed to comply with the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework and represents a tokenized euro issued by the company for use in digital asset markets.

According to the company, the Stellar deployment is intended to broaden the stablecoin’s use across blockchain-based financial applications and tokenized asset services.

SG-FORGE said Stellar offers high transaction throughput, low network fees and built-in support for tokenized assets. The network also includes a decentralized exchange that allows users to trade digital assets directly onchain.

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Societe Generale-FORGE first launched the EUR CoinVertible (EURCV) stablecoin on Ethereum in April 2023. The stablecoin is fully backed by reserves consisting of bank deposits and high-quality liquid assets on a one-to-one basis, and has a current market cap of around $452 million, according to DefiLlama data.

The development comes weeks after SG-FORGE deployed EUR CoinVertible on the XRP Ledger, then marking the token’s third blockchain network after Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL).

In January, the stablecoin was used by global banking network SWIFT in a pilot that demonstrated the exchange and settlement of tokenized bonds using both fiat and digital currencies.

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Related: Stablecoin payments startup Kast raises $80M at $600M valuation: Report

European stablecoin push

Despite growing interest in euro-denominated tokens, the stablecoin market remains dominated by US dollar-backed assets. Tether’s USDT (USDT) holds a market capitalization of about $185 billion, representing nearly 60% of the sector, while Circle’s USDC (USDC) accounts for roughly $78 billion.

Adoption of digital dollars accelerated in the US after the GENIUS Act passed in July 2025, providing regulatory clarity for stablecoin issuers. Total market capitalization has climbed from around $260 billion on July 20 to more than $314 billion today, per DefiLlama data.

Meanwhile, Europe has taken a more restrictive regulatory approach. The European Union’s MiCA framework introduced new rules for stablecoin issuers in June 2024, requiring companies operating in the European Economic Area to obtain an e-money license in at least one EU member state.

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Europe, United States, European Union, Stablecoin, MiCA, Genius Act
Stablecoin market cap. Source: DefiLlama

The regulation prompted several exchanges, including Coinbase, OKX, Bitstamp, Uphold and Binance, to remove or restrict support for stablecoins that had not secured authorization under the framework. Tether also decided it would discontinue its euro-pegged stablecoin EURT.

In November, European Central Bank officials warned that the growth of US dollar–backed stablecoins could weaken Europe’s monetary sovereignty by increasing reliance on dollar-denominated digital assets.

Magazine: The debate over Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is over: Benjamin Cowen