Crypto World
Crypto Users Wary as Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Goes Live
AI company Anthropic on Tuesday released the first public version of its powerful Claude Mythos model, called Fable 5, with some crypto users worried it could be used for malicious purposes, despite embedded guardrails.
Anthropic said last month that its Mythos model uncovered more than 10,000 high or critical-severity vulnerabilities in “systemically important software,” leading many to question if it should be publicly released.
This was despite the company saying on Tuesday that Fable 5 was “made safe for general use,” and has safeguards that reroute some topics, such as cybersecurity, to a different model, Claude Opus 4.8
“Releasing a model this capable comes with risks. Without safeguards, Fable 5’s capabilities in areas like cybersecurity could be misused to cause serious damage,” it said.

Source: Claude
The guardrails have done little to reassure crypto users, with AI increasingly being used to attack crypto platforms. In April, the value of crypto stolen in hacks hit $629.7 million, the highest since February 2025, which analysts linked to the use of the technology.
Mythos release sparks warnings from crypto users
Simon Dedic, founder of the venture firm Moonrock Capital, posted to X on Tuesday that with Fable 5, the “cost and skill required to find exploitable flaws in smart contracts is about to drop to basically zero.”
“For DeFi, this should be a massive wake-up call. Unaudited protocols will become sitting ducks. Known exploits will get replayed on forks around the clock. Even small projects will get targeted simply because trying costs next to nothing now,” he added.
Related: AI agents with crypto could escape and become ‘unstoppable,’ experts warn
Dedic repeated calls online, suggesting that crypto users should protect themselves from the model, including revoking wallet approvals, removing as much value from protocols as possible and moving crypto to fresh hardware wallets.
Curve Finance co-founder Michael Egorov, however, said that the threat Claude Mythos posed to crypto was likely overblown as its success in finding bugs in other software might not translate to funding smart contract vulnerabilities in DeFi.
In May, Anthropic said Claude Mythos found thousands of critical vulnerabilities in important software through Project Glasswing. For open-source projects, which are central to how crypto protocols are managed, Mythos found around 6,200 high or critical-severity vulnerabilities in more than 1,000 projects it investigated.
Egorov argued that the software Mythos found vulnerabilities in had millions of lines of code, while smart contracts have a few thousand, “and both humans and ‘usual’ AI perfectly fit that code in context and can reason well about it.”
“I suspect we might not be having a wave of DeFi code hacks, but we may see a lot of things in OpSec [operational security] getting hacked (looking like multisig keys compromises) and supply chain attacks on frontend dependencies, and those are way less dangerous in true DeFi,” he said.
Meanwhile, Anthropic said a “small group” of cybersecurity and infrastructure providers would get access to Claude Mythos 5, the same model as Fable 5 but with safeguards lifted in some areas.
Magazine: AI-driven hacks could kill DeFi — unless projects act now
Crypto World
LG Electronics Pilots On-Chain Ad Network Built on Arbitrum Layer 2

LG Electronics is building a blockchain-based advertising network on its own Arbitrum-derived Layer 2, according to an exclusive report by Fortune published Thursday. The company describes the project as a pilot with no commercial launch date set. The South Korean electronics giant, known for TVs… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Can the AI Token Rally Further?
BEAT, the native token of AI music platform Audiera, has exploded higher over the past month, surging more than 1,500% to a record high of $9.20 even as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) fell roughly 25% and 30%, respectively, in the same period.

BEAT/USD vs. BTC/USD and ETH/USD 1-month price performance. Source: TradingView
Key takeaways:
- Strong platform revenues mixed with excessive short liquidations send BEAT’s price higher.
- The AI token is now at its most overbought stage, which may prompt a 35% dip in the coming days.
Why is Audiera’s BEAT price up so much?
BEAT’s sharp outperformance has turned it into one of crypto’s hottest AI-linked trades, driven by a mix of platform revenue claims, token burns, and short liquidations.
Audiera revenue and token burns strengthen BEAT bull case
BEAT’s rally has gained momentum from Audiera’s revenue-and-burn model, which has given traders a stronger value-capture story to chase.
The project reported 772,045 BEAT in weekly revenue between June 1 and June 8, worth about $2.87 million at its stated price of $3.712. During the same period, Audiera said it burned 770,545 BEAT, taking the total burned supply to 12.35 million BEAT.

Source: X
Burns reduce BEAT’s available or future supply against its fixed 1 billion-token cap, strengthening the scarcity narrative when demand is rising.
This resembles Hyperliquid’s HYPE token economics, which have seen 120% price gains so far in 2026.
Related: Hyperliquid bear turns bullish after losing over $46M shorting HYPE
However, Hyperliquid has already shown strong product-market fit in perpetual trading, while Audiera’s model remains newer and less tested. That leaves BEAT vulnerable to sharp profit-taking if revenue slows, burn activity weakens, or speculative demand cools.
Short squeeze helps fuel BEAT rally
BEAT’s rally has received a strong boost from derivatives liquidations, particularly from traders betting against higher prices.
Since May, BEAT has seen $28.72 million in short liquidations, compared with $13.74 million in long liquidations. That means bearish traders lost more than twice as much as bullish traders during the rally.

BEAT’s daily aggregated liquidation bar chart. Source: TradingView
This imbalance points to a classic short squeeze. As the BEAT price kept rising, traders holding short positions were forced to close their bets. Since closing a short position requires buying back the token, those liquidations added more upward pressure to the price.
That helped turn BEAT’s rally from a strong uptrend into a vertical move.
However, it also means part of the surge came from forced buying rather than steady spot demand. Once short-liquidation pressure fades, BEAT may need fresh buyers to keep the rally going.
BEAT price may decline 35% in June
BEAT’s price explosion over the past month has made its relative strength index (RSI), which gauges momentum, the most overbought on record.
As of Thursday, BEAT’s daily RSI reading was 96.87, way above its overbought threshold of 70. In other words, the Audiera token’s rally remains vulnerable to a sharp pullback if buyers lose momentum or early investors start booking profits.

BEAT/USDT daily price chart. Source: TradingView
A decisive pullback from the $9.47 resistance level, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement line, increases the odds of BEAT falling toward the 1.0 Fib line at around $3.71, down roughly 35% from the current price, in June.
Conversely, a clear breakout above the $9.47 resistance level raises BEAT’s potential to rise toward its 4.236 Fib line above the $15 mark in the coming weeks.
Crypto World
World Cup Could Fuel Coinbase Prediction Markets: Bernstein
The 2026 FIFA World Cup could mark a breakout moment for prediction markets, with Coinbase emerging as one of the biggest winners, according to a new research report from Bernstein.
Published Thursday, the Bernstein analysts estimate the expanded tournament will generate more than $3 billion in incremental sports betting handle and $5 billion to $10 billion in additional consumer prediction market volume, as 104 matches transform what is typically the slowest period for online sports betting.
FIFA expects the month-long tournament to attract roughly 6 billion viewers worldwide, up from an estimated 5 billion during the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. Matches are scheduled to start today.
Bernstein said Coinbase has established itself as a major player in the sector, surpassing $100 million in annualized prediction market revenue in March, just months after launching the product.
As Cointelegraph reported, the crypto exchange rolled out prediction markets nationwide through a partnership with Kalshi, allowing users in all 50 US states to trade event contracts tied to sports, politics, culture and other real-world outcomes.
Robinhood is also expected to benefit from the tournament. Bernstein noted that the brokerage is using the event to launch Rothera, its own US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-licensed exchange and clearinghouse for prediction markets.
“[W]e expect prediction markets to be the biggest driver of incremental revenue for Robinhood,” the analysts wrote, forecasting roughly $586 million in prediction market revenue for 2026.

Bernstein expects the FIFA World Cup to transform the slowest months for online sports betting into a major driver of betting and prediction market volumes. Source: Bernstein
Related: Coinbase fends off Nevada’s emergency bid to halt prediction markets
Sports emerge as prediction markets’ biggest growth driver
Prediction markets have become one of crypto’s fastest-growing use cases, expanding even as the broader digital asset market has cooled.
An April report by Bitget Wallet and Polymarket found that monthly prediction market trading volume reached nearly $26 billion, with retail traders accounting for more than 80% of users.

Prediction market volumes have grown considerably since late 2025. Source: Bitget Wallet
The report also pointed to a structural shift in user behavior. Rather than attracting activity around one-off events such as elections, prediction markets are increasingly retaining users across recurring categories, with sports emerging as the largest segment.
In March alone, sports betting accounted for more than 39% of prediction market volumes, according to Bitget Wallet and Polygon.
The CFTC on Wednesday issued draft rules for prediction markets signaling that sports event contracts are generally not contrary to the public interest even though federal law classifies them as “gaming.”
Related: Kalshi, Polymarket eye $20B valuations in potential fundraising: WSJ
Crypto World
Stock Market Volatility Rocks Bitcoin, Threatening $60K Support
Key takeaways:
- Surging oil prices and rising producer inflation have pushed traders to price in a stricter US Fed monetary policy.
- Massive spot Bitcoin ETF outflows in June show the cryptocurrency is currently failing to act as a stock market hedge.
The Nasdaq 100 Index dropped 7.5% in the seven days leading up to June 10, wiping out $2.7 trillion in market value. The fallout represents more than twice the entire Bitcoin (BTC) market capitalization and has put traders on alert, especially as inflation data feels the heat from high oil prices. Traders now fear that Bitcoin support near $60,000 stands at risk.

Nasdaq 100 futures (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView
The ongoing war in Iran has driven Brent crude oil prices above $90, prompting investors to fear an economic slowdown and to price in a tighter monetary policy for longer than previously anticipated. Regardless of job market conditions, money available for consumption tends to decline.
The US Labor Department reported Thursday that its producer price index jumped 6.5% from May 2025, the highest level since 2022. Traders now anticipate 40% odds of an interest rate increase by the US Fed by September, up from 5% one month prior, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Bitcoin 2-month futures annualized basis rate. Source: Laevitas
Bitcoin futures contracts traded below the 4% neutral premium relative to regular spot markets on Thursday, indicating low demand for bullish leverage. Meanwhile, the upcoming $75 billion SpaceX (SPCX US) IPO was oversubscribed by more than 2x, signaling investors are not yet ready to abandon hope of further tech sector growth.
AI infrastructure companies are in desperate need of cash to fuel their build-outs, which partially explains the negative market reaction. Google (GOOG US) announced plans to raise $80 billion, while Oracle (ORCL US) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI US) followed suit with $40 billion and $7 billion, respectively. The Friday debut of SpaceX shares will likely set the tone for upcoming IPOs.

Selected AI sector stock performances. Source: TradingView & Cointelegraph
It seems premature to deem the AI sector a bubble after SpaceX marked the largest IPO in history at a $1.77 trillion valuation. Moreover, the US stock market reacted positively after US President Donald Trump called off planned strikes on Iran, citing renewed negotiations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Strategy accumulation pause amid spot Bitcoin ETF outflows
Bitcoin’s decline coincided with Strategy’s (MSTR US) decision to temporarily halt its Bitcoin accumulation to reduce convertible debt. As a result, Strategy’s cash position declined to seven months of dividend coverage, while its preferred variable Stretch (STRC US) shares distanced themselves from the $100 level that would allow further equity issuance.

US-listed Bitcoin spot ETFs daily net flows, USD. Source: SoSoValue
The $1.9 billion in outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in June reinforced bearish sentiment, as the indicator serves as a proxy for institutional demand. Presently, Bitcoin can hardly be considered a hedge against an eventual stock market sell-off; the odds of a further correction below $60,000 should not be ruled out.
Crypto World
Is the US Dollar Index (DXY) Headed Higher After a 15-Year Trendline Retest?
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades near 100.2 after retesting an ascending trendline that has supported it since May 2011. A resistance zone at 100.5 still caps the recovery.
BeInCrypto examined the monthly, weekly, and daily charts to map the next likely move. The Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on June 16-17 could decide the direction.
US Dollar Index Defends a Trendline That Has Held Since 2011
The monthly chart shows an ascending trendline that has defined the dollar’s long-term direction since May 2011. The line was almost retested in June 2014 and confirmed again in June 2021.
In February 2026, the index returned to this line once more. So far, the level has held.
The broader structure also remains constructive. DXY has printed a series of higher lows and higher highs over the past 15 years, including the 2022 peak near 115.
If the trendline holds, the current retest may become the next higher low. A repeat of previous cycles could then push the index above 115.
Dollar strength matters for crypto investors because of Bitcoin’s (BTC) long-running inverse correlation with DXY. However, the monthly relative strength index (RSI) remains neutral and signals no clear momentum.
Weekly Chart Still Treats the Recovery as a Correction
The weekly timeframe complicates the bullish picture. DXY climbed in a parabolic run from December 2020 until September 2022, peaking at 114.80. The breakdown from that parabola started a long distribution period and a downtrend.
Within that downtrend, the index printed a swing high near 110.18 in early 2025. The decline that followed bottomed at 95.55.
From this perspective, the ongoing recovery looks like a correction rather than a new uptrend. The key area sits near 99.5 to 100, where former support has turned into resistance.
A weekly close above this zone would validate the bullish breakout scenario. A rejection, in contrast, would likely resume the slide back to 95.55. Meanwhile, the weekly RSI reads 57, which indicates neutral momentum.
DXY Price Prediction Hinges on the 100.5 Resistance Zone
The daily chart provides the most detailed view of the battle. A support area near 97.5 has been retested twice, forming a double bottom or W pattern.
The measured target of this formation sits at 101.07, nearly 1% above the current price. However, the pattern remains unconfirmed. Resistance at 100.4 to 100.5 still caps the index, and DXY was rejected from this zone twice in March.
A second structure adds a bearish angle. Recent price action has formed an ascending wedge, a pattern that typically resolves downward. Its target lies near 98.5, roughly 1.7% below current levels. That target coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 98.547.
The daily RSI stands at 67 and approaches the overbought threshold of 70. Because the wedge’s upper band overlaps the resistance zone, a rejection on the first attempt looks likely.
Analysts have recently called DXY the most accurate macro indicator for Bitcoin’s direction, so crypto traders should watch these levels closely.
The Fed’s June 16-17 meeting is the nearest catalyst, with markets still pricing a possible rate hike in December. A daily close above 100.5 would open the path to 101.07 and revive the long-term rebound thesis, while a wedge breakdown would expose 98.5 first.
The post Is the US Dollar Index (DXY) Headed Higher After a 15-Year Trendline Retest? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Demand Collapses to Level Seen Only 3 Times Since 2019
Bitcoin (BTC) demand has contracted to a level last seen only three times since 2019, according to CryptoQuant data. The 30-day growth of combined spot and perpetual futures demand has fallen toward minus 650,000 BTC.
A separate metric from Capriole Investments paints a similar picture. Apparent Demand sits near the bottom of its four-year range while BTC trades near $62,800.
CryptoQuant Sees Rare Bitcoin Demand Contraction
Only two comparable readings exist on the chart. They appeared before the COVID crash in early 2020 and during the 2022 bear market.
The structure of the decline matters as much as its depth. Spot demand and perpetual futures demand are shrinking at the same time. The weakness, therefore, extends beyond leveraged speculation, a dynamic flagged in an earlier CryptoQuant warning on demand imbalances.
In a QuickTake post, CryptoQuant analyst MoneroDV_ argued that the reading marks the start of an unstable phase rather than a finished correction. He wrote on CryptoQuant:
“The most probable path is an initial expansion in volatility, followed by a period of price “anesthesia”: weak momentum, compressed activity and prolonged sideways action. That phase may be psychologically more damaging than the sell-off itself.”
History adds an important nuance. The deeper minus-650,000 BTC zone has marked the beginning of an unstable phase, not a final low. Recoveries toward the higher support zone aligned more closely with the March 2020 and late 2022 bottoms. A similar recovery would offer the first sign of the signal flipping.
Capriole Data Confirms the Weakness but Offers a Caveat
Charles Edwards, CEO of Capriole Investments, highlighted a second bearish signal this week. Apparent Demand measures whether new buying absorbs fresh coin issuance and long-dormant supply returning to circulation.
The metric currently shows a minus 8,761 BTC balance. That value sits in the bottom 2.6% of its four-year range. Meanwhile, the 30-day trend has remained persistently negative, suggesting weak conditions over the next 7 to 30 days. Edwards wrote on X:
“Yikes. Bitcoin rarely does much positive when Apparent Demand is down.”
Still, the indicator carries a caveat that complicates the bearish case. Capriole’s own analysis notes that the metric’s direct predictive statistics are weak, with negligible forward correlation.
The reading works as a secondary bearish input rather than a dominant price driver. That distinction separates it from the sharper CryptoQuant signal driving the current bear market debate.
BTC Price Prediction Hinges on the $59,000 Support
BTC traded near $62,833 at press time, up 2.7% over 24 hours, according to market data. The price remains nearly 50% below its cycle high above $120,000, set in late 2025.
Persistent spot Bitcoin ETF outflows have removed a key source of structural buying through May and June. With demand growth deeply negative, fewer marginal buyers stand ready if selling resumes.
The June low near $59,000 now acts as the key support, roughly 6% below current levels. A decisive break could expose the realized price near $53,600, about 15% below spot. Earlier research identified that area as a historical floor.
In contrast, a daily close above $66,000 would weaken the bearish thesis and suggest demand is returning. A reversal in ETF flows remains the most likely catalyst for such a recovery.
Until then, both datasets point in the same direction. BTC either defends $59,000 through the anesthesia phase or revisits levels last seen at the cycle’s start.
The post Bitcoin Demand Collapses to Level Seen Only 3 Times Since 2019 appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
ETH futures hold near $1.6k lows as market eyes recovery signal
Ether futures traders are piling into leveraged bets even as the ether price remains under pressure in 2026. Binance’s open interest in ETH futures has surged to about 3.7 million ETH, accounting for more than 44% of total Ether futures exposure and marking a new all-time high for the exchange.
Analysts note that the move comes amid mounting geopolitical uncertainty and softer macro indicators. CryptoQuant data highlighted the fresh peak on Binance, underscoring a shift in risk appetite within the derivatives space even as spot prices lag.
Key takeaways
- Binance ETH futures open interest hits about 3.7 million ETH, representing over 44% of global Ether futures exposure.
- Taker buy-sell activity on the weekly average climbs to around 1.0 on Binance, up from 0.95, indicating a more balanced market after a stretch of selling pressure.
- Across all exchanges, the taker buy-sell ratio rises to 1.0 from 0.94 in two weeks, signaling increasing buyer participation in market orders.
- Perpetual futures activity surges relative to spot, with Binance’s perp-spot volume imbalance near 0.90 and a 30-day Z-score of 2.53, suggesting rising leveraged bets outpacing spot demand.
- Inter-exchange positioning diverges: Binance’s 30-day open interest increases by about 616,400 ETH (the strongest since 2019), while Gate.io shows a decline of roughly 631,700 ETH.
- Liquidation risk remains pronounced, with heatmaps showing nearly $8 billion in short positions clustered between $2,200 and $2,400, and sizable long and short liquidation exposure near key levels around $1,500 and $1,800.
Open interest surge highlights rising leverage in ETH futures
Data compiled from CryptoQuant points to an elevated risk posture among ETH futures traders. Binance’s open interest stands near 3.7 million ETH, a fresh record for the exchange, and this figure constitutes a substantial portion of total ether futures activity globally. The size of the position book implies that even modest price swings could trigger outsized margin calls and rapid liquidations if market sentiment shifts abruptly.
The persistence of high leverage comes as Ether’s price retreat so far in 2026 contrasts with robust activity in the futures market. While spot demand remains uncertain, derivatives traders have continued to express a willingness to take on risk, suggesting that some market participants anticipate a more decisive price move in the near term rather than a slow grind higher.
Market breadth shifts: a more balanced but still fragile derivative landscape
The ratio of taker buys to sells—an indicator of immediate demand in the order book—has inched toward a balanced stance. Binance’s weekly average taker buy-sell ratio rose to 1.0 from 0.95, a signal that buyers are re-entering the market after a period dominated by sellers. Across all exchanges, the broader market shows a similar uptick, with the ratio moving from 0.94 to 1.0 over the past two weeks. While this suggests a pickup in market-order activity from buyers, the level of overall leverage remains high, meaning risk can materialize quickly if liquidity thins or price moves reverse.
In parallel, the tilt toward derivatives over spot activity intensified. Perpetual futures volume on Binance has surged relative to spot trading, with the perp-spot volume imbalance hovering near record levels around 0.90 and a 30-day Z-score of 2.53. This paints a picture of a market where leveraged bets are expanding faster than the underlying cash market—an environment prone to sharp reversals if headlines or macro data shift sentiment.
Inter-exchange positioning reveals shifting liquidity dynamics
A closer look at exchange-level metrics shows a bifurcated picture. Binance registered a 30-day jump in open interest of approximately 616,400 ETH—the strongest reading since 2019—indicating fresh capital inflows into the exchange’s ETH futures book. In contrast, Gate.io recorded a significant decline of about 631,700 ETH in the same window. The divergence hints at liquidity moving within the ecosystem, with traders reallocating risk across venues or adjusting strategies in response to evolving funding costs, liquidity conditions, and risk controls.
The shifting open interest landscape matters because it concentrates risk into a smaller set of venues and can amplify price impacts if lightning-fast liquidations occur on days of heightened volatility. For traders, it underscores the importance of monitoring where liquidity sits and how quickly it can move in response to price dynamics or regulatory developments that affect margin requirements and funding rates.
Liquidation risk map: a pressure point for near-term price moves
Risk analytics show a delicate balance in the current setup. Heatmaps indicate that roughly $8 billion in short positions are clustered in a liquidity corridor between $2,200 and $2,400. This area could become a magnet for liquidations if ETH tests higher levels, creating a squeeze dynamic for leveraged longs. Conversely, there is substantial exposure to liquidations on the long side: about $1.72 billion in long liquidations sits below the current price around $1,500, while roughly $1.90 billion in short liquidations sits near $1,800. The proximity of these pools suggests a tight tether between bullish and bearish bets, where a relatively small move could trigger a cascade of liquidations in either direction.
Such asymmetries in liquidation exposure highlight the risk of abrupt spikes in funding costs and price volatility as traders adjust to evolving risk controls and margin requirements across major exchanges. The current configuration implies that both sides of the book remain vulnerable to rapid price transitions if liquidity pockets are tested simultaneously by macro surprises or shifts in trader sentiment.
As ETH traders weigh the next moves, a few lines of development will bear watching. First, any sustained move in open interest away from its current high plateau could signal a shift in where leverage concentrates, potentially altering price pressure in the weeks ahead. Second, a broadening of risk appetite across more venues could spread liquidity more evenly, reducing the likelihood of single-exchange bottlenecks during stress. Finally, the trajectory of macro and geopolitical cues will continue to influence funding costs and margin dynamics, feeding into how quickly leveraged positions unwind or extend their gains.
In the near term, traders should remain mindful of the entrenched leverage in the Ether market and the concentrated risk around key strike zones. A break above or below the $2,000–$2,400 range could trigger a wave of liquidations that either accelerates upside momentum or deepens downside pain, depending on the narrative driving risk appetite at the moment.
Readers should stay tuned for updates as derivatives data evolve, and as macro developments unfold that could recalibrate the balance between leveraged bets and underlying demand. The next moves in ETH futures open interest, funding costs, and liquidation heatmaps will likely offer early signals about how the market judges the path for Ether in the months ahead.
Crypto World
SpaceX raises $75 billion in record-setting IPO ahead of Nasdaq debut
SpaceX is officially set for the largest IPO on record.
Elon Musk’s reusable rocket company is raising $75 billion, selling 555.6 million shares for $135 a piece, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The deal values SpaceX at $1.77 trillion, making it the seventh most-valuable U.S. company, ahead of Tesla, Musk’s electric vehicle maker.
SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut will come Friday, when the masses will have their first opportunity to buy into the 24-year-old company. Betting on SpaceX at this price is largely a wager on Musk, as the company is burning cash and is far smaller by revenue than any of its trillion-dollar peers.
SpaceX said in its prospectus that revenue increased 15% to $4.69 billion in the first quarter from $4.07 billion a year earlier. For all of last year, revenue jumped 33% to $18.67 billion. The company recorded a net loss in the latest quarter of $4.28 billion after losing $4.94 billion in 2025.
In addition to its space business, Musk’s company owns the Starlink satellite internet service, which accounts for the bulk of its revenue and is the only profitable unit, and artificial intelligence division xAI, which merged with SpaceX in February.
SpaceX said in its IPO filing that capital expenditures in the first quarter reached $10.1 billion, more than doubling from a year earlier. The vast majority of those costs — $7.7 billion — were for AI, with the rest spent on space and connectivity.
The company has racked up a cumulative deficit of around $41.3 billion since it was founded in 2002. It warned investors in its prospectus that it may not achieve profitability in the future.
Some of the IPO drama was removed last week, when SpaceX set a fixed price of $135 a share. New issuers would typically offer a price range that allows a company and its advisers to gauge demand sensitivity at different levels, but SpaceX took a take-it-or-leave-it approach after a slew of testing-the-waters meetings leading up to the roadshow launch.
Goldman Sachs is the lead banker for the offering, followed by Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase.
With the IPO, Musk is poised to be the world’s first trillionaire. His stake in SpaceX is worth $866.5 billion, adding to his Tesla holdings that are valued at about $320 billion, not including some options. For the 54-year-old Musk, the SpaceX offering comes 16 years after he took Tesla public.
Musk controls over 82% of voting power at SpaceX, giving him virtually complete control over the board.
Two Wall Street firms initiated coverage of SpaceX on Thursday. Oppenheimer opened with an outperform rating and a 12- to 18-month price target of $190, implying a gain of 40% from the IPO price. Analyst Timothy Horan wrote that the company’s diversified portfolio makes it attractive for investors.
“We see potential for SPCX to leverage terrestrial compute expertise as a bridge (and possible back-up plan) to enable key scale and cost advantages,” he wrote. Horan called it the “only vertically-integrated AI company with the required capital, data, LLMs, hardware, manufacturing and engineering talent,” and said “its space infrastructure appears structurally advantaged.”
Meanwhile, New Street Research initiated coverage with a $165 price target, and said it views xAI as a $575 billion business, “relative to expectations for OpenAI and Anthropic.”
While SpaceX’s IPO is roughly three times the size of the largest U.S. IPO in history, it could be challenged by what’s to come. Anthropic and OpenAI, which are each valued at close to $1 trillion by private investors, have confidentially filed to go public less than four years into the generative AI boom. Those deals could happen this year.
Crypto World
DBS Bank to Offer Tokenized Physical Gold to Retail Customers in Singapore

DBS Bank, Singapore's largest lender by assets, plans to offer tokenized physical gold to retail customers through its digibank app in the second half of 2026. Each DBS Physical Gold Token will be backed by one gram of gold held in a dedicated bank vault in Singapore. DBS announced the product… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
SpaceX Opens for Public Trading Friday With a Live Crypto Tokenized-Equity Stack Behind It

SpaceX begins trading on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX tomorrow. The same day, a stack of crypto-native tokenized-equity products designed to mirror or redeem against SPCX goes live in parallel. SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share on Thursday, offering roughly 555.6 million shares for a $75… Read the full story at The Defiant
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