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David Sacks ends Czar term and joins White House tech council

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David Sacks ends Czar term and joins White House tech council

David Sacks has ended his 130-day term as the White House’s crypto and AI czar, but he is staying involved in technology policy through a new advisory post. 

Summary

  • David Sacks ended his czar term and moved into a broader White House technology advisory role.
  • Sacks will co-chair PCAST and continue shaping AI and digital asset policy recommendations there.
  • PCAST brings together top tech leaders as Trump pushes one national rulebook for AI policy.

The change keeps him close to the administration’s work on AI and digital assets while expanding his role to cover a wider set of technology issues.

Sacks said his time limit as a special government employee had been reached. Under US rules, special government employees can serve only 130 days during a 12-month period, which ended his formal term in the crypto and AI czar role.

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He said he will now serve as co-chair of the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, known as PCAST. The council is a federal advisory group that gives policy recommendations on science and technology matters to the White House.

Sacks said the new position will overlap with his previous work because council members will “study issues together” before sending recommendations to regulators. Fox Business also reported that a senior White House adviser said, “David will always be his crypto and AI czar,” while the broader role lets him advise on other major technology issues.

Sacks plans to keep supporting the administration’s AI policy framework released on March 20, 2026. That framework called for a more unified national approach to AI rules and backed a lighter federal structure instead of a state-by-state system.

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During his time in office, Sacks helped lead the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets. The group’s report, released in July 2025, laid out recommendations for digital asset regulation and was prepared under the White House order that created the working group.

He was also tied to the administration’s broader AI policy work. He took part in changes to Biden-era AI chip export rules and remained involved in the White House push for a national AI strategy.

PCAST lineup points to a wider tech focus

The White House said PCAST includes major technology leaders such as Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Oracle’s Larry Ellison, AMD CEO Lisa Su, and others. The council is expected to advise on artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies.

That makeup suggests the council may focus more broadly on AI, computing, and national technology strategy, even as crypto remains part of Sacks’ portfolio. Sacks said one concern is the “patchwork of regulation” created when states take different approaches, adding that the president wants “one rulebook.”

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STRC controversy goes mainstream

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STRC controversy goes mainstream

Across two record-breaking days this week, Strategy’s 11.5% dividend-paying preferred stock, STRC, likely raised more than $1.2 billion and could even have raised as much as $2.7 billion.

Whatever the figure, it was enough to trigger popular crypto YouTuber Coffeezilla to take the STRC controversy mainstream.

The volatile, quasi-pegged STRC is the subject of intense debate among bitcoin (BTC) investors on social media.

It usually pays monthly dividends and trades near $100, yet has fluctuated more than 9% across its brief lifespan and can suspend dividend payments at the discretion of its board of directors.

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Depending on the estimation methodology ahead of Monday’s formal SEC filing, Strategy’s STRC sales on Monday and Tuesday this week could have funded the purchase of anywhere between 17,204 and 29,914 BTC.

Although that pace is certainly unprecedented — and likely unsustainable — if it were to actually persist, Strategy’s rate of purchases would remove over 10% of the circulating supply of BTC from the market within 12 months.

Skeptical as ever, Coffeezilla published an 18-minute video on his second YouTube channel, which boasts 1.5 million subscribers and is reserved for higher production content.

The sleuth questioned almost every claim about STRC made by its issuer, Michael Saylor’s BTC acquisition company Strategy. He cautioned against CEO Phong Le’s advice to consider STRC for someone’s primary savings, including people living paycheck-to-paycheck.

He highlighted why STRC is not a bank account, money market, nor any type of insured savings product. 

Not a bank account, money market, or fixed income

Coffeezilla also highlighted the lack of redemption rights of STRC holders who must re-sell their stock to other traders, not the company, in order to get their money back. 

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He contested any characterization of voluntary dividend payments as “fixed income” and lamented promoters misrepresenting its features to Main Street workers.

Coffeezilla’s criticism racked up 800,000 views in less than 24 hours. He compared STRC’s 11.5% yield to Terra Luna’s unsustainable returns on its Anchor stablecoin offering that once reached 20%, and flagged Strategy’s junk B- credit rating from S&P. 

He was particularly concerned that 80% of STRC buyers are retail investors, indicating a lack of financial sophistication for a highly sophisticated, leveraged, and financially engineered offering. 

Coffeezilla then zeroed-in on Saylor’s repeated comparisons of STRC to money market funds, even though STRC isn’t any type of money market fund, noting that Strategy itself admits that it’s “not required to hold any assets to back the STRC Stock.”

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Strategy now holds more than 780,897 BTC at an average cost basis of $75,577. BTC actually trades near $74,000, meaning its entire treasury is underwater.

Coffeezilla controversy with STRC suitcoiners

Adam Livingston, a staunch supporter of Strategy, posted a 32-minute rebuttal within hours. He opened with his characteristically sensational style, falsely claiming, “STRC is the greatest fixed income investment ever.”

Coffeezilla disagreed wholeheartedly, saying, “STRC is not fixed income, it’s variable. It doesn’t guarantee return of principle which is famously what fixed income does.”

ZachXBT, the on-chain investigator, rebuked Livingston’s combative tone.

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Read more: We calculated the present value of STRC — it’s bad for MSTR

The math behind STRC marketing

The substantive disagreement hides under the theatrics. Even though BTC has only rallied 23% in five years, Saylor believes it’s going to appreciate 30% per year on average going forward.

As a result of this belief, paying lavish dividends like 11.5% makes sense.

Coffeezilla didn’t center on that belief, however. He focused on Strategy’s retail-focused and simplistic marketing.

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On CNBC, Saylor called STRC “a bank that pays you 10% interest” and on an earnings call recommended it “for your family treasury.” To induce demand and keep STRC trading near its intended $100 par, Strategy has hiked the dividend seven times since it launched the product at 9%.

Unlike an insured savings account, STRC fell to $90.52 in November 2025 and again to $93.10 in February 2026.

The STRC debate generated 6,536 posts on X in 17 hours and trended nationally.

After its dividend date on Tuesday, which encourages people to buy for the monthly dividend, trackers reported $0 estimated STRC sales by Strategy after its ex-dividend. The stock is trading 0.8% below its par today.

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As Protos has previously reported, STRC carries no FDIC insurance, no SIPC protection, no redemption rights, and no obligation to maintain the stock’s $100 par value on Nasdaq.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Israel-Lebanon 10-Day Ceasefire Starts Today

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‘Tariffs’ chatter surges after Trump’s announcement on global exports

President Trump announced Thursday that Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a 10-day ceasefire beginning at 5 PM ET today, April 16, following direct conversations with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Summary

  • Trump posted on Truth Social that both leaders agreed to formally begin a 10-day ceasefire and has invited them to the White House for what he called the first meaningful Israel-Lebanon talks since 1983.
  • Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam welcomed the ceasefire, while Lebanese President Aoun had initially declined to speak directly with Netanyahu before Trump personally called him to broker the announcement.
  • More than 2,100 people have been killed in Lebanon and over 1 million displaced since Israeli strikes began targeting Hezbollah positions approximately six weeks ago.

President Trump announced Thursday that Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a 10-day ceasefire, beginning at 5 PM ET today, following what he described as “excellent conversations” with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. “These two Leaders have agreed that in order to achieve PEACE between their Countries, they will formally begin a 10 Day CEASEFIRE at 5 P.M. EST,” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

Trump said he has directed Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Caine to work toward a lasting peace agreement. He also invited Aoun and Netanyahu to the White House for what he called “the first meaningful talks between Israel and Lebanon since 1983.”

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The announcement came after a turbulent morning of diplomacy. Lebanese President Aoun initially declined to speak directly with Netanyahu during a call with Secretary Rubio, with Washington signaling it “understands Lebanon’s position.” Trump then personally called Aoun, and the ceasefire announcement followed within hours.

The deal grew out of direct negotiations that began Tuesday between the Lebanese and Israeli ambassadors to the United States, the first such talks between the two countries in decades. Lebanon had insisted on a ceasefire as a precondition for any broader engagement, while committing to disarm Hezbollah over time.

Iran’s chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Thursday morning that “a ceasefire in Lebanon is as important as a ceasefire in Iran,” framing the Lebanon front as part of the broader regional conflict that has defined 2026.

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The Human Cost and Ground Situation

More than 2,100 people have been killed in Lebanon since Israeli forces began strikes approximately six weeks ago, targeting Hezbollah positions following the outbreak of the US-Iran war in late February. More than one million Lebanese have been displaced. Israel has suffered 21 casualties from strikes tied to both Iran and Hezbollah since the conflict began.

Israeli Defense Forces confirmed they will not withdraw from southern Lebanon during the 10-day pause, maintaining their ground position while the ceasefire holds. Hezbollah is not formally a party to the Lebanon-Israel talks, and Israel had previously denied that any Iran ceasefire framework extended to Lebanon.

Why It Matters Beyond Lebanon

The Lebanon ceasefire adds a second diplomatic track to an already fragile regional situation. Iran had argued that continued Israeli strikes on Lebanon constituted a violation of the existing US-Iran truce, while Washington and Jerusalem denied that connection. The Lebanon announcement removes that point of friction at a moment when the US-Iran ceasefire window is approaching its April 22 expiration.

Prediction markets had priced a Lebanon ceasefire by April 30 at only around 55% as recently as last week, reflecting how uncertain the diplomatic picture had looked. For financial markets, a stable Lebanon ceasefire alongside the Iran truce removes one of several risk premiums that have kept oil elevated and risk assets suppressed since February.

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Bitcoin has consistently moved 4 to 5% within hours of credible ceasefire signals across this conflict, with the pattern repeating on April 7, April 8, and April 14. The Lebanon announcement, arriving while BTC already hovers near $75,000, adds to the stack of diplomatic catalysts that analysts say could push BTC past $76,000 if the ceasefire holds through the weekend.

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Drift Protocol Lands $150 Million Lifeline in Aftermath of Exploit Shock

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Drift Protocol TVL

Drift Protocol has announced a collaboration with Tether (USDT) and other partners totaling nearly $150 million to fund user recovery and a protocol relaunch following its April 1 exploit on Solana (SOL).

The package includes a $100 million revenue-linked credit facility, an ecosystem grant, and loans to designated market makers. USDT will serve as the settlement asset when the protocol relaunches.

Recovery Pool and Token for Impacted Users

The funds, out of which $127.5 million is reportedly from Tether, will support a dedicated user recovery pool fed by exchange revenue and committed support capital.

Drift stated that any assets recovered through ongoing law enforcement and blockchain forensics efforts will also flow into the pool.

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To distribute recovery assets, Drift will issue a new transferable token to users affected by the April 1 exploit. The team said additional details on token mechanics will follow in the near term.

The April 1 attack drained between $270 million and $285 million from Drift’s vaults.

Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic attributed the operation to North Korean state-linked actors who spent six months infiltrating the protocol’s inner circle.

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Attackers posed as a quantitative trading firm, built trust at conferences, and compromised devices through a malicious TestFlight app and a VSCode vulnerability.

They then manipulated Drift’s multisig approvals using Solana’s durable nonces feature to drain core vaults holding USDC, SOL, and JLP tokens.

The incident slashed Drift’s total value locked from $550 million to roughly $230 million. The Drift (DRIFT) token dropped over 30% in the immediate aftermath. The protocol’s TVL was $243 million as of this writing.

Drift Protocol TVL
Drift Protocol TVL. Source: DefiLlama

Hardened Security and USDT-Centered Relaunch

Before relaunching, every protocol component will pass independent audits from OtterSec and Asymmetric Research.

Drift will also introduce a community-governed multisig for core protocol assets, requiring all signers to use dedicated devices with transaction content verified outside the primary signing interface.

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Tether has proposed extending a USDT support facility to market makers to ensure deep liquidity from day one.

The shift to USDT settlement marks a notable pivot after Circle declined to freeze stolen USDC during the original attack.

Circle’s position on the matter is that it didn’t freeze stolen USDC because it can only act with legal orders, not on its own.

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“When Circle freezes USDC, it is not because we have decided, unilaterally or arbitrarily, that someone’s assets should be taken from them. It is because the law requires us to act,” wrote Circle’s CSO Dante Disparte in a blog.

Tether’s involvement signals a growing willingness among stablecoin issuers to act as ecosystem backstops during major crises.

“The willingness of Paolo Ardoino Tether and our partners to commit real capital to Drift’s recovery says something about the strength of what we’ve built and what we’re building next, as well as our shared vision to scale the Solana DeFi ecosystem together,” said Cindy Leow, co-founder at Drift Protocol.

However, the partial recovery also highlights persistent vulnerabilities in operational security, even among mature protocols.

Drift described the plan as its first step toward making users whole over time.

The post Drift Protocol Lands $150 Million Lifeline in Aftermath of Exploit Shock appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bhutan Moves 250 BTC as Bitcoin Climbs Above $74K

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • The Royal Government of Bhutan transferred 250 BTC worth about $18.47 million, within 24 hours.
  • Bhutan has moved 3,247 BTC in 2026, with total outflows valued near $240.4 million at current prices.
  • After the latest transfers, Bhutan holds about 3,524 BTC worth between $260 million and $264 million.
  • Bitcoin climbed to an intraday high of $76,038 before easing toward the $74,000 range.
  • Glassnode identified resistance between $74,000 and $76,000, while CryptoQuant placed key levels near $76,800.

The Royal Government of Bhutan transferred about 250 BTC worth $18.47 million within 24 hours. Arkham data showed 162 BTC and 69.7 BTC moved to new wallet addresses in quick succession. The transactions came as Bitcoin traded above $74,000 and tested resistance levels.

Bhutan Extends Bitcoin Sales as Treasury Activity Continues

Arkham data confirmed that Bhutan shifted 162 BTC and 69.7 BTC to fresh addresses within hours. The transfers formed part of a wider reduction in publicly tracked holdings. Bhutan has moved 3,247 BTC in 2026, with total outflows valued near $240.4 million at current prices.

Other pricing periods placed the yearly sales closer to $198 million. After the latest transfers, Bhutan wallets hold about 3,524 BTC worth between $260 million and $264 million. Analysts linked earlier movements to wallets that later routed funds to Galaxy Digital and OKX.

Arkham reported that no Bitcoin inflow above $100,000 reached Bhutan-linked wallets in over a year. That data drew attention to possible shifts in mining operations or liquidity priorities. Bhutan originally built much of its reserve through hydropower-backed mining using surplus national energy.

On-chain records showed reduced inflows and continued outflows across tracked addresses. The pattern matched earlier sequences where funds moved in structured batches. However, blockchain data has not confirmed the final destination of the newest transfers.

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Bitcoin Price Tests Resistance as Market Metrics Shift

Bitcoin price climbed to an intraday high of $76,038 earlier this week before easing toward $74,000. Glassnode said the market is moving through a resistance band between $74,000 and $76,000. CryptoQuant identified $76,800 as the “Traders’ Realized Price” level.

CryptoQuant stated that holders who bought between $65,000 and $76,000 now sit in profit. The firm reported that large deposits rose from under 10% to above 40% of exchange inflows. The shift pointed to heavier activity from larger holders within days.

Daily realized profits reached about $500 million on Wednesday. However, that figure remained below the $1 billion level often seen near local tops. Market data showed Bitcoin trading in the mid-$74,000 range during the latest session.

Mining economics also shifted as prices recovered in recent days. The average all-in production cost stood near $79,500 per BTC as of mid-Wednesday. The gap between cost and spot price narrowed compared to previous months.

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The next network difficulty adjustment is scheduled for April 17. Forecasts projected a decline of nearly 3%, which would bring difficulty below 135 trillion hashes. Reports also showed the network hash rate fell 4% during the first quarter of 2026.

Some operators shut down older machines due to unprofitable conditions. Other miners redirected resources toward AI and high-performance computing services. The difficulty adjustment estimate remained the latest scheduled network update.

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Bitcoin is CIA Operation: Professor Jiang Believes

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A Chinese professor's incendiary claim that Bitcoin was engineered by the CIA as a surveillance tool just as BTC is fighting for a breakout.

A Chinese professor’s incendiary claim that Bitcoin was engineered by the CIA as a financial surveillance tool is resurfacing across crypto circles, just as BTC is fighting for a decisive breakout. Professor Jiang’s theory isn’t new, but its renewed traction in an era of spot ETF approvals and institutional accumulation carries a certain irony that even Bitcoin maximalists can’t fully dismiss.

Jiang’s core argument: Satoshi Nakamoto’s anonymity, the dollar-denominated pricing structure, and Bitcoin’s emergence post-2008 financial crisis were all engineered to serve U.S. geopolitical interests. According to Jiang, Bitcoin is giving Washington a mechanism to track global capital flows while maintaining plausible deniability.

For now, no credible evidence supports the claim, and the cypherpunk origins of Bitcoin are extensively documented. Still, the theory spreads precisely because Bitcoin’s creator remains unidentified. That’s a gap conspiracy narratives thrive in. Meanwhile, BTC has posted a 4% weekly gain above $72,000 following a U.S.-Iran ceasefire announcement, with spot ETF inflows rebounding and institutional appetite cautiously returning.

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Whether or not you believe the CIA theory (most analysts emphatically don’t), the more pressing question for traders right now is what happens to Bitcoin’s price in the next 72 hours — and whether the current consolidation resolves upward or fades.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Bitcoin and $80K Level to Break

Bitcoin is consolidating just below $75,000, holding above the $71,000–$72,000 support band that served as a floor during earlier geopolitical volatility. Yesterday’s high of $76,000 represents immediate resistance.

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A Chinese professor's incendiary claim that Bitcoin was engineered by the CIA as a surveillance tool just as BTC is fighting for a breakout.
BTC USD, TradingView

The technical picture is mixed, though. RSI sits at 62, a neutral territory, approaching overbought. But 20 of 32 technical indicators currently read bearish on daily and weekly timeframes, a signal that the rally lacks broad conviction. Alexander Kuptsikevich characterizes the current move as “slow but steady growth,” in not a ringing endorsement for aggressive longs.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Bitcoin Hyper Is Not a CIA Surveillance Instrument

CIA or not, Bitcoin’s asymmetric upside window is largely priced in. That’s not a knock on BTC’s long-term thesis. It’s just arithmetic.

This is why some traders are rotating early-stage exposure toward infrastructure plays positioned to benefit from Bitcoin’s growth rather than replicate it. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is one project drawing significant attention, and not without reason.

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It’s the first Bitcoin Layer 2 integrating the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), delivering transaction speeds that reportedly surpass Solana itself while inheriting Bitcoin’s security layer. That’s a technically aggressive claim, and the market is responding.

The presale has raised $32 million at a current token price of $0.0136, with huge staking rewards available for participants who commit early. The presale milestone has already drawn wider coverage as BTC Layer 2 infrastructure becomes a key narrative heading into 2026.

Features include a Decentralized Canonical Bridge for BTC transfers, low-latency smart contract execution, and support for payments, meme coins, and dApps, essentially the programmability Bitcoin has never natively offered.

Research Bitcoin Hyper here.

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Foundation NFT Marketplace Shuts Down Permanently After Failed Sale

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Foundation NFT Marketplace Shuts Down Permanently After Failed Sale

The curated art platform says its infrastructure has already been spun down with no plans to come back online.

Foundation, the Ethereum-based NFT marketplace, is shutting down for good after a failed acquisition by digital art display company BlackDove.

Founder Kayvon Tehranian announced the closure in a post on X, explaining that a deal to sell the platform to a buyer “who intended to continue its operations” fell through, and the company does not believe another buyer is worth pursuing.

“Our goal in pursuing a sale was always to see Foundation live on,” Tehranian wrote. “That’s no longer possible. As part of our wind-down process, our infrastructure has already been spun down, and we’re not in a position to bring the platform back online.”

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The announcement marks the final chapter in a drawn-out unraveling that began in January, when Tehranian transferred ownership of Foundation to BlackDove. At the time, he framed the move as a transition to a leadership committed to the platform’s long-term future, noting that Foundation had facilitated roughly $230 million in primary sales since its launch and had hosted landmark auctions for artists like Jen Stark, James Jean, and Edward Snowden.

But BlackDove’s involvement was short-lived. The company later said full due diligence was only completed after the operational handover, and BlackDove ultimately concluded that building its own proprietary marketplace was a more viable path.

Foundation’s closure adds to a growing list of NFT platform shutdowns that have accelerated since 2024. MakersPlace, KnownOrigin, RTFKT, Nifty Gateway, and X2Y2 have all wound down operations as monthly NFT trading volumes collapsed from $2.9 billion at the 2021 peak to just $23.8 million by early 2025. Surviving platforms like OpenSea have pivoted aggressively toward fungible token trading to stay afloat.

The shutdown also raises familiar questions about the permanence of NFT media hosted on centralized infrastructure, an issue The Defiant raised as early as 2021. Tehranian said Foundation plans to continue pinning IPFS-hosted media and metadata for another year, but urged the community to take responsibility for personally pinning assets they care about. Users with NFTs listed on Foundation’s marketplace smart contract will need to unlist and retrieve them.

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This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Trump Announces Israel and Lebanon Ceasefire, But Oil Crisis Deepens

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War Powers Resolution Vote Outcome

The US House of Representatives rejected a War Powers Resolution on Iran by a 213-214 vote today, preserving President Donald Trump’s authority to continue military operations.

The narrow defeat came as Trump simultaneously announced a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, positioning himself as a peacemaker even as Congress debated constraints on his war powers.

War Powers Vote Falls One Short

Rep. Gregory Meeks (D-NY) introduced H.Con.Res. 40 to force the withdrawal of US Armed Forces from hostilities with Iran without explicit congressional authorization. The measure failed along largely partisan lines.

Rep. Jared Golden (D-ME) was the lone Democrat to vote against the resolution, siding with Republicans. Meanwhile, Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), a frequent critic of expansive executive war powers, crossed party lines to support it. Rep. Warren Davidson (R-OH) voted “present.”

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War Powers Resolution Vote Outcome
War Powers Resolution Vote Outcome. Source: BeInCrypto

The Senate rejected a similar resolution 47-52 a day earlier. Democrats have now forced at least four such votes in both chambers since the Iran conflict began in late February, all failing along partisan lines.

Trump Announces Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire

Hours before the vote, Trump announced that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun had agreed to a 10-day ceasefire starting at 5 p.m. EST.

The deal followed the first direct talks between the two countries in 34 years, held in Washington with Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

Trump said he would invite both leaders to the White House for what he called the first meaningful talks between Israel and Lebanon since 1983.

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European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen welcomed the truce, urging “a path to permanent peace” and full respect of Lebanon’s sovereignty.

Energy Crisis Deepens Alongside Conflict

The International Energy Agency warned that Europe holds just six weeks of jet fuel supply as the Iran conflict disrupts global energy flows.

IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol described the situation as the largest energy crisis the agency has ever tracked.

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Dutch airline KLM has already cancelled 80 flights over the next month due to rising fuel costs. Jet fuel prices across Europe have surged by over 100% since the war began.

Gulf and European officials now estimate the U.S. may need six months to reach a deal with Iran, suggesting the energy shock could extend well into summer.

Whether the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire eases broader regional tensions or simply shifts attention remains the open question for markets.

The post Trump Announces Israel and Lebanon Ceasefire, But Oil Crisis Deepens appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin Traders Target $78K But Rally May End There

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Bitcoin Traders Target $78K But Rally May End There

Market analysts said Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest rally to $76,000 was a “clear momentum shift,” confirming a short-term uptrend for BTC price. 

Bitcoin’s short-term holder (STH) supply in profit, a measure of the share of recently acquired coins currently held at an unrealized gain, suggests that BTC/USD has not exhausted its bear market rally, data from Glassnode shows.

Local tops in bear market rallies have historically formed when this metric approaches its statistical mean of 54.2%, a threshold where the concentration of profitable STHs becomes sufficient to trigger meaningful distribution.

Currently at 43.2%, the STH supply in profit remains “meaningfully below that threshold, suggesting the present rally has not yet reached the zone of typical exhaustion,” Glassnode said in its latest Week Onchain newsletter, adding:

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“This leaves slight room for further upside toward the True Market Mean, while also providing a quantitative level to monitor as price advances.”

Bitcoin: Short-term holder supply in profit. Source: Glassnode

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has remained in “deep under extension territory” relative to its 50-week simple moving average (SMA), currently at $96,800, analyst McKenna said in a recent post on X.

Related: Bitcoin traders cash out 63K BTC profit as price rallied above $76K: Will the market rebound?

When markets deviate either to the upside or downside, they usually revert back to their mean.

Combined with “clear momentum shifts and bullish trending signals firing then I would be inclined to be directionally bullish here, the analyst said, adding:

“BTC breaking above $74K and holding this level on a HTF is the final trigger I want to see to be confident in mid to high 80s over the coming weeks.”

BTC/USD price vs. 50-weekly SMA. Source: X/McKenna

Fellow analyst Bitcoin Archive focused on the falling US dollar index, saying that it provides a “massive tailwind for the next leg up” for Bitcoin. 

US dollar index. Source: X/Bitcoin Archive

As Cointelegraph reported, several metrics support Bitcoin’s potential to rise higher, including increasing network activity and a strengthening technical setup. 

Onchain data reveals key Bitcoin price levels to watch

Bitcoin’s 41% drawdown from its $126,000 all-time high has seen the BTC/USD pair drop below key pricing levels, including the active realized price at $85,100, the STH cost basis at $80,950 and the true market mean currently at $78,140.

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At $74,000, Bitcoin is 5.2% below the true market mean, a metric tracking the cost basis of active BTC supply. 

While the price is yet to “test and stabilize above this key threshold, the probability of a spike toward and potentially above it remains considerable in the mid-term,” Glassnode added.

Bitcoin risk indicator. Source: Glassnode

The importance of this resistance level is reinforced by cost basis distribution. The heatmap below shows that over 200,000 BTC were acquired for around $78,000.

Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

On the downside, the first major support is at $72,000, where the 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) appear to converge. It is also where investors bought approximately 220,000 BTC.

Lower than that, the $65,000-$70,000 demand zone is a key area to watch. This price band has historically served as a vital support level, as seen between October and November 2024, providing a launching pad for the October 2024-January 2025 rally.

As Cointelegraph reported, a drop below the $70,000 would suggest the bears are back in control, increasing the prospects of a drop toward $60,000.

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