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Dealer Hedging Puts Bitcoin $80,000 Zone in Focus

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Bitcoin’s $6.44 billion Deribit options expiry could pin BTC near $80,000 or amplify a breakout as dealer hedging intensifies into Friday.

Bitcoin traders face a $6.44 billion options expiry on Deribit at 08:00 UTC this Friday, covering 81,700 BTC contracts as spot hovers near $79,000 after a rapid climb from $62,000. The size and positioning of that expiry, concentrated at the $75,000 and $80,000 strikes, puts dealer hedging flows squarely in control of short-term price action heading into settlement.

Bitcoin’s $6.44 billion Deribit options expiry could pin BTC near $80,000 or amplify a breakout as dealer hedging intensifies into Friday.

The expiry consists of 44,639 call contracts against 37,061 puts, producing a put-to-call ratio of 0.83, according to Deribit data. That skew shows calls outnumber puts by a wide margin, though the ratio alone doesn’t confirm directional conviction as some of those calls sit inside spreads or covered positions rather than outright bullish bets.

The $75,000 strike carries the largest call concentration at $236 million in notional value, with $80,000 close behind at about $157 million. Bitcoin’s rally pushed both strikes in the money, meaning holders can exercise profitably before accounting for premiums and fees.

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Gamma Hedging and the Pinning Risk at $80,000

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Market makers hedge options exposure by trading spot or futures against their book, and that hedge ratio shifts fastest when the price sits near a heavily populated strike, or a dynamic known as gamma hedging. Deribit Chief Risk Officer Shaun Fernando said more than $500 million in notional value is positioned within 5% of Bitcoin’s current market price.

Fernando said that, adding that the concentration “may result in unusual pinning around key strikes or accelerate moves through them.” Which outcome dominates depends on dealers’ net positioning as information that the aggregate open-interest tape doesn’t fully reveal, so neither a pin near $80,000 nor a clean breakout above it can be treated as confirmed ahead of time.

A pinned market would see BTC hover close to $80,000 as dealers offset nearby moves; a decisive break in either direction could instead force dealers to trade with the move. That tension echoes the broader question of whether Bitcoin can clear resistance and extend toward levels discussed in recent technical coverage targeting $89,000.

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Bitcoin Max Pain Near $68,000 Isn’t a Target

The expiry’s max-pain level, or the settlement price at which the largest volume of options expires worthless, sits near $68,000. It’s a $11,000 below spot. Max pain doesn’t account for hedging flows, entry prices, positions held off-exchange, or spot demand, and it has a poor track record of predicting actual settlement prices on expiries this size.

Reaching $68,000 by Friday would require a far larger reversal than a simple retreat to the $75,000 strike cluster, and nothing in current positioning suggests that move is underway. The figure is worth tracking as a reference point, not treating it as a forecast.

Bitcoin (BTC)
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If Bitcoin holds within a tight band around $80,000 into the 08:00 UTC deadline, expect dealer hedging to reinforce that range rather than break it, consistent with a pinning scenario. If BTC instead pushes decisively through $80,000 or slips back under $75,000, gamma hedging could accelerate the move in whichever direction it breaks, given how much exposure is stacked at both strikes.

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BTC volatility is also likely to compress once Friday’s contracts settle and near-term hedging demand rolls off, a pattern typical after large Deribit expiries.

The size of this settlement raises the odds of sharper intraday swings into Friday, but it doesn’t by itself dictate which way Bitcoin ultimately goes.

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Revolut Starts EURR Rollout With Bridge as Regulated Issuer

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Revolut Starts EURR Rollout With Bridge as Regulated Issuer


Revolut has begun rolling out EURR, its first euro-backed stablecoin, to selected customers in Denmark, Poland and Portugal, putting a branded onchain euro inside its app while Bridge Building S.A. serves as issuer and redemption counterparty. Bridge Building is the legal issuer; Revolut describes… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Euro stablecoins get a mainstream push as Revolut begins rolling out EURR in Europe

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Revolut hits $115 billion valuation in employee share sale: WSJ


Revolut said the stablecoin’s rollout will start with a select group of customers within Denmark, Poland, and Portugal.

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Crypto Long & Short: Tokenized equities: the model underneath the trade

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Crypto Long & Short: Tokenized equities: the model underneath the trade


In this week’s Crypto Long & Short, CoinDesk’s Joshua DeVos writes that demand for tokenized equities is accelerating fast, from $16 billion to more than $590 billion in perpetual futures in a single year, but that the headline growth hides the question that matters most. Two tokens can trade under the same ticker while granting entirely different rights, and the structure underneath, whether it conveys real ownership or a synthetic claim, determines the risks and protections a holder actually has.

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Will Bitcoin (BTC) Reach $100K This Quarter? Here’s What 3 AIs Predict

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The primary digital asset has added almost $20,000 to its valuation over the past month, driven by a broader crypto market resurgence sparked by US monetary policy changes and other factors.

Somewhat expected, X is now flooded with users who believe the bulls have no intention of pushing the brake pedal, anticipating an explosion to $100,000 and even beyond in the short term. We asked three of the most popular AI-powered chatbots whether such a rally is possible before the end of the third quarter, and here are their answers.

There is a Chance

ChatGPT suggested that closing Q3 above $100K has a 25%-30% probability and would require a combination of bullish factors, including massive inflows into spot BTC ETFs. OpenAI’s platform also stated that the asset’s performance would depend on the next FOMC meeting scheduled for mid-September, when the central bank will reveal its interest rate decision.

“A dovish outcome – particularly easing inflation, no rate increase, and reassuring projections – could weaken the dollar and support Bitcoin. A hawkish surprise would present a serious problem. The July Fed minutes showed that a September rate increase remains under consideration, although market estimates have recently placed its probability at around 30%. Higher rates or a more hawkish outlook would likely pressure BTC and other risk assets,” it explained.

In addition, ChatGPT stated that a push to $100,000 would happen only after clearing the $82,000 resistance level and an eventual decisive pump beyond $90,000. Subsequently, it estimated that the chance of BTC touching the six-digit milestone but not closing the quarter above is much higher.

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Perplexity also claimed that the asset has a realistic shot at reaching such a level within that timeframe. It paid special attention to the CLARITY Act, which (if approved) could add further fuel to the crypto market. The US regulatory framework has proven quite controversial, and the next major development has been pushed to September after the latest delay.

At the same time, Perplexity warned that the third quarter has historically brought mixed results for BTC. In fact, the cryptocurrency has never closed three consecutive Q3s in the green. The ones in 2024 and 2025 were both positive, and with a 34% rise so far this quarter, it remains to be seen whether a precedent is about to form.

BTC Quarterly Returns
BTC Quarterly Returns, Source: CoinGlass

Google’s Gemini seems to be a bit more pessimistic. It said reaching $100,000 sometime this quarter is highly unlikely, anticipating a maximum surge to $88,000 within the next five weeks.

How About an Incoming Collapse?

While the majority of analysts expect further gains, some think the latest resurgence could have been a major bull trap. X user AlejandroBTC believes the asset’s price could drop as low as $40,000 after a period of significant volatility.

“This is what I think happens next: Bitcoin tests $68K–$70K. We get a small bounce. Then we come back to that zone again, and this time it doesn’t hold. That’s when the panic starts. Liquidations accelerate, sentiment collapses, and I think we go straight toward $40K,” the analyst predicted.

For their part, Nonzee opined that the recent pump was caused by a liquidity squeeze and expects an eventual decline to $45,000.

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Coinbase CLARITY Act: Armstrong Expects 60+ Votes Despite Kalshi 22% Odds

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🔥

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said he expects the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act to clear a Senate cloture vote with more than 60 votes in mid-September. Kalshi, however, puts the chance of the bill getting more than 60 votes at 22%, highlighting the gap between Armstrong’s optimism and prediction-market pricing.

Most experts had viewed the CLARITY Act as facing an uphill path after the Senate did not vote on the crypto legislation before its August recess. After pressure from President Donald Trump, a cloture vote is set for September 15, the day after senators return from the recess.

Cloture would not formally pass the bill. It would end the debate and a filibuster, paving the way for a formal vote. Cloture requires 60 votes, the same number needed to ultimately pass the CLARITY Act, making the September 15 vote a strong indication of where the bill stands.

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Armstrong has pointed to the scheduled vote as a reason for his optimism. He said Senate Majority Leader John Thune would not have scheduled the vote if he did not think it would pass. He added that both sides had received roughly 90% of what they wanted in the bill.

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The Math Behind Coinbase Armstrong’s CLARITY Act Optimism

Republicans hold 53 Senate seats, meaning at least seven Democrats would need to support the bill to reach 60 votes. That is the arithmetic behind Armstrong’s forecast and the threshold that Kalshi traders are pricing more cautiously.

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Democrats have been reluctant to support the bill, calling for additional ethics provisions governing how much politicians can invest in crypto entities, particularly after Trump reported substantial crypto profits last year.

Brian Armstrong of Coinbase predicts 60-plus Senate votes for the CLARITY Act, but Kalshi traders give that outcome just a 22% chance.

Banking groups have also raised concerns that the stablecoin provisions do not go far enough to protect the banking industry. The bill would not allow idle stablecoins to earn yield, though stablecoins could offer rewards for certain activities, such as transactions.

The bill would establish a broader regulatory framework for crypto and address questions of regulatory jurisdiction. It would give the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over spot markets for digital commodities, while both the CFTC and SEC have at times claimed jurisdiction over certain crypto markets.

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What September 15 Does and Doesn’t Decide

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If cloture clears with 60 or more votes, it would end the debate and pave the way for a later formal vote. It would not itself constitute final passage of the CLARITY Act.

If cloture fails, the calendar leaves limited time before the Senate breaks again in early October for the midterm elections. That would leave the bill’s path less certain, and helps explain why the 60-vote threshold remains central to the debate over its prospects.

Brian Armstrong of Coinbase predicts 60-plus Senate votes for the CLARITY Act, but Kalshi traders give that outcome just a 22% chance.
Source: Kalshi

Kalshi traders remain far less confident than Armstrong, pricing just a 22% chance that the CLARITY Act will secure more than 60 Senate votes. This gap makes the September 15 cloture vote particularly important, as the Coinbase CEO’s forecast would require at least seven Democrats to break ranks and support the CLARITY Act bill.

If the vote reaches 60, it would give the crypto industry a significant signal that the legislation has enough momentum to move toward final passage.

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Dolly Parton’s Death Prompts Rare Bipartisan Outpouring From U.S. Political Leaders

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Dolly Parton’s Death Prompts Rare Bipartisan Outpouring From U.S. Political Leaders

Parton reiterated her apolitical stance during an interview with ABC’s David Wright in 2018, where she again repeated, “I’m not being political.”

“I don’t do politics. I’m not getting into any of that because I have a lot of fans out there, and I don’t want to offend anybody,” she said.

When pressed to answer questions about Trump, who at the time was just over a year into his first term as President, Parton said: “I have my opinion about everybody and everything, but I learned a long time ago: Keep your damn mouth shut if you want to stay in show business.”

“I’m not in politics. I’m an entertainer,” she said.

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That broad appeal was reflected in tributes from across the political spectrum.

How Democrats are remembering Parton’s advocacy

Major Democratic figures have cast Parton as a progressive figure who advocated for minority rights through her music, philanthropy, and public comments.

Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, an independent who caucuses with Democrats and is a leading voice of the progressive movement, said Parton “was one of the great entertainers of our era” whose “music and humanity touched millions.”

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Rent TRON Energy and Reduce USDT Fees: TronBid Expands Marketplace

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[PRESS RELEASE – Berlin, Germany, August 26th, 2026]

TronBid expands its two-sided TRON resource marketplace, giving users new ways to rent Energy, trade Energy and Bandwidth, and reduce USDT fees for TRC-20 transactions.

TronBid, a peer-to-peer marketplace for TRON network resources, has expanded its platform with new tools for users looking to rent TRON Energy, manage transaction costs and access network resources without maintaining large amounts of staked TRX.

The platform now operates as a two-sided marketplace where both buyers and sellers can create orders for TRON Energy and Bandwidth.

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Understanding TRON Energy Usage

TRON uses Energy and Bandwidth as its primary network resources. Energy is required for smart-contract computation, including USDT TRC-20 transfers.

When a wallet does not have sufficient Energy, TRX may be consumed to cover the resources required by the transaction. This has created demand for users and businesses to rent Energy instead.

By receiving temporary Energy delegated from another account, users can perform eligible TRON transactions without maintaining enough staked TRX for their maximum resource requirements.

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For businesses processing frequent TRC-20 transactions, choosing to rent TRON Energy can therefore provide another way to manage network costs and reduce USDT fees.

A Two-Sided Marketplace for Energy

Unlike platforms where rental conditions are determined entirely by the provider, TronBid allows both sides of the market to create orders.

Buyers can create BUY orders specifying the amount of Energy required, rental duration and price they are willing to pay.

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Sellers can create SELL offers with their own amount, price and rental period. Buyers can purchase all or part of these offers directly.

For example, if a seller offers 600,000 Energy, one buyer can rent 350,000 Energy, leaving the remaining amount available for other buyers.

Creating a SELL offer does not reserve the seller’s Energy. If resources become unavailable because they are being used elsewhere, recurring offers can automatically pause and become active again when sufficient Energy returns.

This allows sellers to participate in the TronBid marketplace while continuing to manage their resources elsewhere.

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Rent Energy Without Waiting for the Marketplace

For users who need resources immediately, TronBid also provides Quick Rent with predefined Energy packages and short rental periods.

Energy can be delivered directly to any specified TRON address, even when payment is made from another wallet.

TronBid has also introduced Flash Recharge, an alternative designed for wallets that already maintain their own Energy capacity but need to manage consumed resources.

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Energy and Bandwidth Trading

TronBid’s marketplace supports both Energy and Bandwidth, allowing holders of staked TRX to monetize the network resources their stake generates.

This creates two sides of the ecosystem: users who need to rent TRON Energy or Bandwidth and resource owners looking to make unused capacity available to the market.

By allowing both buyers and sellers to determine their own terms, TronBid aims to create more transparent price discovery based on actual supply and demand.

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B2B API to Reduce USDT Fees at Scale

TronBid also provides a B2B Quick Rent API for exchanges, payment processors, wallets, OTC services and other businesses processing frequent TRON transactions.

Businesses can maintain a prepaid balance and automatically request Energy for specified TRON addresses before executing transactions.

Instead of manually renting resources for every transfer, companies can integrate Energy rental directly into their transaction infrastructure.

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For businesses handling large numbers of USDT TRC-20 transfers, this can make it easier to rent Energy automatically and manage the network-resource component of transaction costs.

TronBid Becomes a TRON SR Partner

Alongside the expansion of its marketplace, TronBid has become a TRON Super Representative Partner, adding the project to TRON’s delegated proof-of-stake governance ecosystem.

The development strengthens TronBid’s connection with the underlying TRON ecosystem while the platform continues building infrastructure around Energy and Bandwidth.

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About TronBid

TronBid is a peer-to-peer marketplace for TRON Energy and Bandwidth. Buyers can rent TRON Energy, create BUY orders or purchase existing seller offers, while resource owners can create SELL offers with their own prices and rental periods.

The platform also provides Quick Rent, Flash Recharge, and a B2B API for businesses looking to automate Energy rental and reduce USDT fees for TRC-20 transactions.

More information: https://tronbid.com

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Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds: Senate Path Remains Uncertain After Cloture Step

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Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds: Senate Path Remains Uncertain After Cloture Step

The outlook for the Digital Asset Market Act remains unsettled as the bill moves through the Senate process. CryptoNews reported that Polymarket CLARITY Act odds priced in a 60-plus Senate vote at 25%.

That market signal sits alongside broader industry optimism, but neither replaces the legislative record or establishes how the Senate will act.

SOURCE: Polymarket

The official record for H.R. 3633 shows that the House passed the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act on July 17, 2025, by a vote of 294-134.

The bill is now listed as having passed the House, while the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee is listed among the committees associated with the measure.

Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds: The Senate Record

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Congress.gov identifies the Senate’s latest action as an August 8, 2026, cloture motion on the motion to proceed to the measure. The record documents that procedural step, but it does not show Senate passage. It also does not establish the timing or result of a future Senate vote.

That distinction is important when assessing commentary about the bill. A market price, an industry forecast, and a congressional action can each describe a different part of the legislative picture.

The official bill page remains the clearest source for the measure’s formal status: it has passed the House and has not yet reached the next completed status in the congressional tracker.

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What the Bill Would Do for the Markets

According to the Congressional Research Service summary published on Congress.gov, the bill would establish a regulatory framework for digital commodities. The legislation defines digital commodities as digital assets whose value derives from a blockchain.

The measure would generally assign the Commodity Futures Trading Commission responsibility for regulating digital commodity transactions, including digital commodity exchanges, brokers, and dealers.

It also sets conditions for trading a digital commodity on an exchange. In summary, a blockchain may need to be mature or have achieved decentralized control as defined by the bill, or an issuer may need to file specified reports.

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The bill would also establish requirements involving trade monitoring, recordkeeping, and the commingling of customer assets. Its provisions address securities registration exemptions for certain digital commodities on mature blockchains, subject to annual-sales limits and other requirements described in the legislation.

The summary further states that the Securities and Exchange Commission would retain jurisdiction over specified digital commodity activities and transactions conducted by certain brokers and dealers on alternative trading systems and by national securities exchanges. Digital commodity exchanges, brokers and dealers would be subject to the Bank Secrecy Act for anti-money-laundering and related purposes.

Competing Views of the Bill’s Prospects

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Coverage of the legislation has highlighted differing expectations about whether it can attract the Senate support needed to advance. A Yahoo Finance report described debate over the bill’s ethics provisions and noted that industry figures held different views on its prospects.

Those assessments are separate from the bill’s official status. The congressional record currently documents House passage, Senate committee involvement, and the cloture motion on the motion to proceed. It does not resolve whether the Senate will take a further vote or whether the bill will become law.

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Shinhan and Visa team up to test stablecoin issuance and B2B settlements in South Korea

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Shinhan and Visa team up to test stablecoin issuance and B2B settlements in South Korea


Shinhan Financial Group will use Visa’s platform to test stablecoin issuance, remittance, and redemption while building new AI-powered payment models.

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Polymarket Counter-Strike promos start at $20 per X post, report

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Polymarket Counter-Strike promos start at $20 per X post, report

Polymarket is reportedly paying professional Brazilian Counter-Strike players between $20 and $500 per post to promote the prediction market on X. 

Specifically, Counter-Strike news outlet Dust2, reports that Polymarket is paying players to comment on news events while mentioning Polymarket and sharing bets. 

Polymarket currently has 509 different Counter-Strike bets, some of which attract $1 million to $2 million in volume.

AI Polymarket post called ‘digital cancer’

Professional Counter-Strike player Robin Kool recently threatened to block Polymarket promoters after an official Polymarket Counter-Strike account falsely claimed he was in Paris with a Porsche. 

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He described the account’s post as “digital cancer,” and called people creating sponsored Polymarket posts with AI “a fucking joke.”

Read more: Researcher claims Rollbit co-founder tied to CSGO scams

Other users described the $20 price per tweet as a way for professional players “to completely debase yourself… for a morally bankrupt gambling company.”

Fake bets and Polymarket bans this year

Polymarket now lists 39 countries where it is restricted. 

It’s sponsored promotional posts were also revealed by the Wall Street Journal to be mostly fake. 

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It found that influencers were using a fake Polymarket website to create fake bets and display $900,000 in winnings. If the bets had actually been placed, the WSJ found it would’ve equated to ~$160,000 in losses.

It also found that so-called “clippers,” people who edit and share footage of these influencers online, were only paid if 60% of their audience is US-based.

Polymarket is not allowed to operate in the US.

Protos has reached out to Polymarket for comment and will update this piece should we hear anything back.

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