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Ethereum (ETH) Price Tests Critical $2,040 Support as Bearish Pattern Emerges

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Ethereum (ETH) Price

Key Takeaways

  • Ethereum declined from $2,220 to a session low of $2,025, currently consolidating between $2,020 and $2,100
  • Dual bearish trend lines present resistance levels at $2,120 and $2,165 on the hourly chart
  • Upside breakout above $2,165 may target $2,200–$2,300; downside breach of $2,025 could accelerate decline toward $2,000
  • Weekly net outflows from Ethereum spot ETFs totaled $59.94 million, with BlackRock’s ETHA recording $69.59 million in redemptions
  • Cumulative net assets in Ethereum spot ETFs now total $12.33 billion, representing 4.79% of ETH’s market capitalization

Ethereum experienced a significant pullback during the last 24 hours, tumbling from approximately $2,385 down to touch $2,025. Currently, ETH is changing hands below the $2,100 mark and remains beneath its 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.

Ethereum (ETH) Price
Ethereum (ETH) Price

The downward momentum initiated when ETH couldn’t maintain levels above $2,220. Subsequently, the cryptocurrency breached support at $2,150 and $2,120, momentarily dipping beneath $2,050.

Currently, ETH is attempting to stabilize below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, measured from the swing high of $2,385 down to the recent low of $2,025. Technical analysis reveals two descending trend lines on the hourly timeframe, establishing resistance zones at $2,120 and $2,165.

The immediate resistance barrier stands at $2,120, which coincides with the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Breaking through this level would bring $2,165 into focus as the subsequent obstacle.

Should Ethereum successfully clear $2,165, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level around $2,200 becomes the next target. Momentum beyond this area could potentially drive prices toward $2,250 or even $2,300.

Critical Support Zones Under Watch

Looking at downside scenarios, immediate support is established around $2,040. Beneath this level, $2,025 represents the primary support floor.

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A decisive breakdown below $2,025 would shift attention to the psychological $2,000 threshold. Additional selling pressure could expose $1,965, with $1,880 serving as a more substantial support zone.

Market technician Ted Pillows shared his perspective on X, identifying a potential head and shoulders formation in ETH. His analysis stated: “$ETH seems to be forming head and shoulder pattern. If Ethereum loses the $2,040 level, expect a massive dump.”

Institutional Outflows Compound Bearish Sentiment

Ethereum spot ETF products experienced aggregate net outflows of $59.94 million during the trading week spanning March 16 through March 20, based on SoSoValue data shared by PANews on March 23.

BlackRock’s ETHA product dominated outflows, recording $69.59 million in net redemptions during the period. Despite this weekly exodus, ETHA maintains a cumulative historical net inflow of $11.91 billion.

Fidelity’s FETH product experienced $61.62 million in withdrawals throughout the same timeframe. The fund’s lifetime total net inflow remains at $2.32 billion.

The Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (ETH) stood as the sole product registering positive flows last week, attracting $6.87 million in new investments. This brings its cumulative historical net inflow to $1.85 billion.

As of March 23, aggregate net assets across all Ethereum spot ETF products total $12.33 billion, accounting for 4.79% of Ethereum’s overall market capitalization. The combined historical net inflow across the entire ETF ecosystem stands at $11.73 billion.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Falls As US-Iran War Negotiations Fail In Pakistan

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Bitcoin Falls As US-Iran War Negotiations Fail In Pakistan

Bitcoin (BTC) fell 3% to trade below $71,000 into Sunday’s weekly close after negotiations to end the US-Iran war broke down.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin shed its gains as negotiations between the US and Iran broke down.

  • The Strait of Hormuz becomes a flashpoint again as US President Donald Trump demanded that it be reopened.

  • BTC price downside punishes late long positions.

BTC price drops on US-Iran war fears

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action dipping below $71,000 after news of a sudden breakdown in negotiations between the US and Iran in Islamabad, Pakistan.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A failure to reach an agreement on the issue of nuclear weapons resulted in both delegations leaving talks unfinished. Later, US President Donald Trump said that the US would blockade the Strait of Hormuz and “interdict” vessels paying Iran for safe passage.

“No one who pays an illegal toll will have safe passage on the high seas,” he wrote in a post on Truth Social.

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A follow-up post repeated demands that Iran make Hormuz, a major oil transit route, fully operational.

Source: Truth Social

Ahead of futures markets opening, reactions to the latest events spelled out the risks for the wider economy.

“If the path forward is continued war, escalation, and a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, then the Iran War has just entered a new era,” The Kobeissi Letter wrote in its latest analysis on X. 

“US CPI inflation just jumped from 2.4% to 3.3% and further escalation of the Iran War would lead to 4.0%+ inflation, according to our models.”

US CPI 12-month % change. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Kobeissi referred to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, a gauge particularly sensitive to oil prices. Earlier this week, the March CPI print came in slightly below expectations, despite the highest jump in its oil-price component in 60 years.

“There are currently no plans for additional talks, according to Iranian media,” Kobeissi added. 

“So, will Trump choose to push harder for diplomacy or double down on military action? Today, we find out.”

Bitcoin liquidations mount as longs suffer

As the only 24-hour-traded asset class, Bitcoin and crypto were the only ones reacting to the chaos in real time.

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Related: Bitcoin analysis sees $55K BTC price ‘iron bottom’ by December 2026

Data from CoinGlass showed BTC/USD slicing through long liquidations, with the liquidation total for the past 24 hours nearing $350 million.

BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass

“Volatility remains high and it’s clear that there won’t be a path forward where risk-on assets will do well if this continues to be the consensus,” trader Michaël Van de Poppe wrote in an X response.

Van de Poppe suggested that the economic weakness as a result of the returning war could force the Federal Reserve to inject liquidity despite rising inflation.

“On a larger scale, I think that we’re currently in a sufficiently weak economy and the FED has no other option than to start printing again to positively influence the economy,” he argued.

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Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on rising odds of the US entering a recession in 2026.

Next week will bring more inflation cues from the March Producer Price Index (PPI) print, while multiple senior Fed officials will speak on the economy.