Crypto World
Fidelity Calls on SEC to Establish Comprehensive Crypto Asset Regulations
TLDR
- Fidelity Investments submitted formal correspondence to the SEC requesting comprehensive regulatory framework for digital asset operations by broker-dealers
- The correspondence emphasized alternative trading system (ATS) requirements for handling blockchain-based securities
- Fidelity advocates for regulatory standards enabling ATS platforms to facilitate trading of externally issued tokenized securities
- The asset manager proposed modernized reporting frameworks accommodating decentralized platform architecture
- Federal banking authorities clarified that tokenized securities maintain identical capital treatment as their traditional counterparts
Fidelity Investments has submitted a formal appeal to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission requesting enhanced regulatory clarity surrounding digital assets and blockchain-based securities. The correspondence reached the SEC’s Crypto Task Force on Friday.
The communication arrived as a direct response to SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce’s December inquiry. Peirce had solicited industry feedback regarding appropriate frameworks for national securities exchanges and alternative trading platforms managing cryptocurrency operations.
Fidelity expressed general approval of the SEC’s initiative to modernize regulatory frameworks for emerging technologies. However, the firm emphasized that significant gaps in guidance persist across multiple critical areas.
The asset management giant presented four primary policy recommendations. First among these was the continued development of regulatory standards governing broker-dealer engagement with digital assets.
Fidelity acknowledged recent SEC guidance affirming that broker-dealers possess authority to maintain custody of both crypto securities and non-security digital instruments. While recognizing this progress, the firm stressed that substantial ambiguity remains regarding trading operations and custodial protocols.
Regulatory Framework Needed for Tokenized Securities
A substantial section of Fidelity’s letter addressed tokenized securities specifically. These instruments represent traditional financial products—including equities, fixed income, real estate holdings, and private credit—that are either issued on or tracked through blockchain infrastructure.
Fidelity advocated for definitive regulatory parameters allowing ATS platforms to facilitate transactions in tokenized securities originated by third-party entities. The firm emphasized that broker-dealers require certainty in asset classification processes without assuming disproportionate legal exposure.
Additionally, the investment firm requested SEC confirmation that tokenized representations of conventional securities should maintain regulatory parity with their underlying assets. Such clarification could substantially minimize market friction between blockchain-based and traditional trading environments.
Roberto Braceras, serving as Fidelity’s general counsel, emphasized that the SEC should evaluate operational frameworks allowing centralized and decentralized trading infrastructure to coexist effectively.
Decentralized finance platforms inherently lack the centralized governance structures necessary to satisfy traditional exchange reporting obligations. Fidelity contended that existing regulatory requirements impose disproportionate compliance burdens on these alternative systems.
Blockchain Integration and Federal Banking Guidance
Fidelity additionally petitioned the SEC to authorize broker-dealers to implement blockchain infrastructure for regulatory recordkeeping purposes. The firm requested confirmation that utilizing on-chain settlement mechanisms would not subject broker-dealers to clearing agency regulatory obligations.
SEC Chairman Paul Atkins has demonstrated openness toward continuous capital market operations and has permitted financial institutions to pilot tokenized trading initiatives.
In a separate but related development, three federal banking regulators issued a coordinated statement in March. The Federal Reserve Board, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency jointly declared that tokenized securities remain subject to capital requirements identical to the assets they represent.
The regulatory agencies clarified that the technological infrastructure employed for security issuance or trading does not modify capital treatment classifications.
Commissioner Peirce has actively encouraged organizations pursuing tokenization strategies to maintain direct dialogue with regulatory bodies, representing a notable departure from previous enforcement-focused regulatory approaches.
Crypto World
Sei Network Enters Quiet Reset Phase as On-Chain Metrics Signal a Slowdown in 2026
TLDR:
- Sei Network daily active users dropped from over 2M to between 1M and 1.2M in April 2026.
- Sei Network TVL fell sharply to $41.6M from a peak of $626M recorded in July 2025.
- Sei Network DEX and perpetuals volumes hit $6.55M and $12.25M respectively in 24 hours.
- Sei Network FDV of $549M exceeds its $369M market cap, signaling more token supply ahead.
Sei Network is currently navigating a consolidation phase marked by steady user retention but softening capital inflows.
On-chain data from April 2026 shows the network maintaining a functional base of activity while key growth metrics trend downward.
Trading volumes remain active across decentralized exchanges and perpetuals markets. However, liquidity and new user acquisition have slowed, painting a picture of a network in pause rather than decline.
User Engagement Holds Steady as New Growth Loses Steam
Daily active users on Sei Network have pulled back from over 2 million earlier in April to between 1 million and 1.2 million. That decline, while notable, does not point to a collapse in network participation.
Returning users continue to make up the bulk of on-chain activity, which shows the existing community remains engaged.
New user growth, on the other hand, has softened considerably over the same period. This pattern often appears when a network exhausts its initial wave of adoption and enters a slower, more organic phase. It does not signal failure, but it does mean fresh momentum has cooled for now.
As noted by crypto analyst Kingjaz on X, Sei is “showing a mix of resilience and weakness,” with user activity holding but capital inflows clearly slowing.
That balance defines where the network stands today. The core community is present, but expansion is not happening at the pace seen earlier this year.
Trading activity across the network tells a similar story. DEX volume reached $6.55 million in 24 hours, while perpetuals volume hit $12.25 million over the same window.
App fees and revenue remain thin at $11,155 and $2,872 respectively, showing usage without meaningful protocol-level earnings.
TVL Decline and Capital Rotation Raise Questions for Sei
The sharper concern within current data is the drop in total value locked. TVL on Sei sits at roughly $41.6 million, down from a peak near $626 million recorded in July 2025. That gap represents a substantial outflow of capital from the ecosystem over a relatively short time.
Bridged liquidity remains higher at approximately $251 million, and stablecoin market cap stands near $179 million.
These figures suggest capital has not entirely exited the ecosystem. Rather, it may be waiting on clearer market conditions or rotating into other opportunities.
Sei’s current price ranges between $0.055 and $0.057, with a market cap of around $369 million. The fully diluted valuation sits at approximately $549 million, meaning a portion of the total token supply has yet to enter circulation. That gap could add selling pressure down the line.
The network, therefore, sits at a crossroads between holding its ground and rebuilding momentum. Consistent trading and a loyal user base offer a stable floor, while weak inflows and limited revenue remain the metrics to watch going forward.
Crypto World
TAO Price at $261: Shakeout Before the Rally or the Start of a Deeper Decline?
TLDR:
- TAO is trading at $261, below the critical 200-day moving average resistance level near $281.
- A lower high at $390 after November’s $475 peak signals a potential bearish distribution phase.
- The $143 Fibonacci support held earlier in 2025, producing a near tripling of TAO’s price value.
- Real subnet usage and institutional interest in Bittensor keep the bullish fundamental case alive.
Bittensor’s TAO token is navigating a pivotal technical crossroads at $261, drawing sharp attention from traders and analysts.
The asset sits below its 200-day moving average while red volume spikes signal rising selling pressure. A lower high at $390 following November’s $475 peak adds to growing concern.
Yet strong subnet fundamentals continue to challenge the purely bearish reading of the chart.
TAO Bears Point to Distribution Pattern After Lower High
The March lower high has become the central talking point among TAO watchers. Price ran from the $143 Fibonacci floor to $390, a move that nearly tripled in value.
However, that rally failed to reclaim the 200-day moving average sitting near $281. That failure now stands as a textbook warning signal for trend traders.
Analyst @2xnmore laid out the concern plainly, stating that “a lower high after a failed 200 MA reclaim is one of the cleanest bearish signals in technical analysis.”
That pattern, combined with today’s volume spike to the downside, raises valid questions about who is actually selling. Distribution phases often look exactly like this before price rolls over completely.
Below the current $261 level, the next visible support sits between $200 and $220. A breakdown through that zone opens the door to a retest of the $143 lows.
That would represent a near 45% drop from current prices, a scenario that would reset the entire 2025 narrative around TAO.
Smart money often exits into retail momentum. The dTAO narrative and subnet expansion attracted fresh buyers in Q1.
If institutions used that interest to offload positions, the lower high becomes more than just a technical signal. It becomes evidence of a completed distribution cycle.
Fundamentals Offer a Counter Case for TAO Bulls
On the other side of the argument, TAO’s underlying ecosystem has not deteriorated. Real usage on Chutes, growing subnet activity, and institutional interest in Bittensor infrastructure remain active. These are not paper narratives. They reflect building utility across the network.
@2xnmore acknowledged this tension directly, noting that “the fundamentals on this subnet ecosystem are unlike anything else in crypto right now.”
That kind of divergence between price and utility has historically preceded strong recoveries in emerging crypto sectors. The 0.618 Fibonacci level at $143 held earlier in the year and produced a near tripling of price.
A clean reclaim of the $281 moving average, supported by above-average volume, would structurally shift the chart back to bullish.
That level now acts as both resistance and a defining line for trend direction. Bulls need that reclaim to invalidate the lower high pattern.
Until that happens, TAO trades in a zone where both outcomes remain technically valid. The chart and the fundamentals are currently pointing in opposite directions.
Crypto World
WLFI Token Controversy: $5B Collateral Move, Withdrawal Crisis, and Justin Sun Blacklist Claim
TLDR:
- WLFI deposited $5B of its own token on Dolomite, borrowing $75M and sending $40M to Coinbase Prime.
- Dolomite’s utilization hit 100%, blocking ordinary depositors from withdrawing their stablecoins on the platform.
- Justin Sun alleged WLFI used a smart contract backdoor to blacklist his wallet, freezing $107M of his funds.
- Investor losses reached $3.87B across 600,000 wallets while related entities collected $350M in fees total.
World Liberty Financial (WLFI) is back at the center of crypto controversy following a series of financial moves that have raised serious questions about governance, transparency, and conflict of interest.
The token, currently trading at $0.07, has seen social activity surge sharply even as its price falls 18% this week and 67% from September highs.
With 600,000 wallets holding the token, losses now stand at $3.87B while related entities have collected $350M in fees.
Conflict of Interest Raises Questions Over WLFI’s Dolomite Transaction
WLFI deposited $5 billion worth of its own token as collateral on Dolomite, a DeFi lending protocol. Against that collateral, it borrowed $75 million in stablecoins. Shortly after, $40 million of those funds moved directly to Coinbase Prime.
The transaction structure drew immediate scrutiny due to the relationships involved. Dolomite was co-founded by Corey Caplan, who also holds an advisory role at World Liberty Financial. Essentially, the borrower had direct ties to the lender, the collateral, and the protocol itself.
When WLFI deposited the $5B in tokens, Dolomite’s utilization rate hit 100% almost immediately. That spike left ordinary depositors unable to withdraw their stablecoins, even though their balances appeared intact on paper.
This kind of arrangement has led many in the crypto community to question whether the transaction served the broader user base.
LunarCrush reported that social mentions, engagements, and crypto market share for WLFI are all climbing sharply, driven largely by these controversies.
Justin Sun Blacklist Claim Adds Another Layer to WLFI’s Growing Troubles
Beyond the Dolomite situation, WLFI now faces a separate and equally serious allegation. Justin Sun, founder of TRON, publicly claimed that WLFI blacklisted his wallet using a backdoor function embedded in the project’s smart contract.
According to Sun, this action froze approximately $107 million of his holdings without notice or recourse. The claim raised immediate concerns about centralized control within what was marketed as a decentralized finance project.
A backdoor function capable of freezing wallets runs counter to core DeFi principles. It suggests that specific parties may hold override authority over the protocol, which is not a standard feature in genuinely decentralized systems.
Meanwhile, WLFI’s circulating supply has reached 31.7 billion tokens. That growth in supply, combined with a price drop of 67% from its September peak, points to ongoing pressure on token value.
The Trump family and associated business entities have reportedly collected $350M in fees throughout this period, while investor losses have reached $3.87 billion across 600,000 wallets.
Crypto World
Could the XRP Price Prediction Break $2 After Leading ETF Inflows With $120M While Pepeto Might Offer Much More Returns
The xrp price prediction just got a new catalyst. XRP led all crypto assets in weekly ETF inflows with $120 million while whale wallets hit a 10-month accumulation high, adding over 11 million XRP per day, according to Yahoo Finance. But XRP still sits at $1.35 after six straight monthly losses.
The xrp price prediction benefits from whale buying and ETF flows, but the wallets building real wealth this cycle have already moved past large caps. They are in the presale where over $8.9 million raised, a SolidProof audit, and a Binance listing ahead mean the 100x math works before the first trade opens.
XRP led all crypto assets in weekly ETF inflows with $120 million, according to Yahoo Finance. CryptoQuant data from April 6 shows whale accumulation at a 10-month high with large wallets adding 11 million XRP per day on a 30-day average.
The CLARITY Act markup targeting late April could permanently classify XRP as a digital commodity under federal law, and Polymarket gives 72% odds of the bill passing in 2026. The xrp price prediction now sits in a better regulatory setup than any point in XRP’s history, and the presale entries positioned before institutional capital fully arrives will capture the strongest returns.
XRP, Pepeto, and the Exchange Presale Where the Listing Math Delivers
Pepeto
Institutional money is flowing into XRP ETFs at record pace. That is the Wall Street playbook, and it produces returns measured in percentages on assets with $82 billion market caps. Pepeto was designed for the investors who know what comes after that headline: the early-stage exchange where the triple-digit multiples sit before the advisory networks even know it exists.
PepetoSwap settles every order without a fee so your capital stops getting chipped away. The risk tool reviews contracts before your money goes near them. The bridge sends tokens across chains at full value. The creator who turned Pepe into an $11 billion token with no utility is behind Pepeto, and a Binance veteran on the dev team steers the exchange toward its listing date.
SolidProof finished a full code review before the first dollar entered. Over $8,920,333 raised because the wallets entering verified everything first. Staking at 185% APY builds daily for holders inside. The institutional wave is here, and it raises every position, including the early-stage ones that got in before the crowd notices.
The presale sits at $0.000000186 with 420 trillion supply. Pepe hit $11 billion on the same supply and the same creator but had no exchange tools at all, and reaching that level from here is 100x. The Binance listing will blow open the price, and Pepeto holders will be the breakout stories of this cycle. The xrp price prediction targets $2 to $3 over months. Pepeto targets 100x on one listing day, and it is close.
XRP Price Prediction at $1.35 as Whales Stack 11M XRP Per Day and CLARITY Act Nears
XRP trades at $1.35 with commodity status confirmed, according to CoinMarketCap. Whale wallets are adding 11 million XRP daily while ETF inflows hit $120 million in one week. Resistance sits at $1.40 with $1.65 as the next target.
A break above $1.65 opens $2.00, a 48% move from here. Wall Street targets range from $2 to $3, with aggressive calls reaching $8 if banks scale settlement. If $1.28 breaks, $1.10 is the floor. Even the all-time high of $3.84 is only 2.8x from current levels.
The xrp price prediction is bullish, but 2.8x over months does not change a life the way one presale listing does.
Conclusion
The institutional wave that $120 million in weekly XRP ETF inflows represents is arriving in full force, and the early-stage presale entries positioned ahead of it are where the biggest returns sit. The xrp price prediction is bullish with commodity clarity, whale accumulation at a 10-month high, and the CLARITY Act markup weeks away.
But the wallets building real wealth this cycle are inside Pepeto at presale pricing. Visit Pepeto’s official site because the entry is still open, and the ones who act now will hold the positions this entire cycle talks about while everyone who waited watches from the outside wondering what their life would look like if they had moved.
Click To Visit Pepeto Website To Enter The Presale
FAQs
What is the xrp price prediction after leading $120M in weekly ETF inflows?
XRP targets $1.65 near term with $2 to $3 for 2026 as whale accumulation hits a 10-month high and the CLARITY Act markup approaches in late April.
How does the xrp price prediction compare to Pepeto’s listing return?
XRP at $1.35 targets 2.8x to the all-time high over months. Pepeto at presale pricing offers 100x from a single Binance listing that is approaching fast.
Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
Crypto World
Ethereum Faces Resistance Near $2,300 as Momentum Weakens Within Tight Trading Range
TLDR:
- Ethereum posted a -3.19% daily move, rejecting near $2,300 and closing lower within the range
- Price remains range-bound between $2,000 and $2,300 after exiting a prolonged downtrend phase
- Momentum indicators show weakening strength as MACD histogram shrinks and lines converge
- Key support at $2,110 faces pressure, while resistance near $2,300 continues limiting upside attempts
Ethereum began the second quarter with mild gains, yet recent price action shows hesitation near key resistance levels.
A daily chart shared by analyst Daan Crypto Trades points to weakening momentum, as ETH struggles to sustain upward movement within a defined consolidation range.
What Does Current Price Action Reveal About Ethereum’s Market Structure?
A tweet from Daan Crypto Trades outlines Ethereum’s current position on the ETH/USD 1D chart from Bitstamp. The latest candle opened at 2,285.1 and reached a high of 2,289.3.
The price later dropped to a low of 2,176.6 before closing at 2,212.8. This marks a decline of 72.8 points, representing a 3.19% loss on the day.
This daily candle reflects a strong rejection near the upper boundary of the range. The close near the lower half of the candle suggests that sellers regained control during the session. As a result, upward attempts faced resistance, limiting further gains in the short term.
Looking at the broader structure, Ethereum remains in a recovery phase after a prolonged decline. From November to February, the market formed consistent lower highs and lower lows. During that period, price dropped from above 4,000 to around 1,700.
Since March, the structure has shifted into sideways movement. Price has been trading between 2,000 and 2,300, forming a consolidation range.
This range reflects a balance between buyers and sellers after the earlier decline. While higher lows have formed since February, resistance continues to cap upward movement near 2,300 to 2,400.
How Do Indicators and Key Levels Shape Ethereum’s Next Move?
Volatility bands on the chart provide further context for current price action. The upper band sits near 2,295.8, while the middle band stands at 2,112.8.
The lower band is positioned around 1,941.7. Price recently tested the upper band but failed to break above it. This rejection pushed the price back toward the mid-band level.
The mid-band near 2,110 now acts as a short-term pivot zone. Holding above this level may support continued consolidation.
However, a break below could expose the lower range near 2,000. The lower band at 1,940 remains a deeper support level if selling pressure increases.
Momentum indicators also show a shift in strength. The MACD-style oscillator remains positive, with the histogram reading at +0.86%.
The fast line stands near 1.71%, while the signal line is around 0.86%. Although momentum turned positive recently, the histogram is shrinking, and the lines are converging.
This pattern often signals slowing upward momentum. As a result, buying pressure appears to be fading near resistance levels. This aligns with the recent rejection near 2,300, where sellers stepped in again.Source: TradingView
Resistance remains clearly defined between 2,295 and 2,320. A break above this zone would open the path toward 2,400 and beyond.
On the downside, immediate support lies between 2,110 and 2,120. Below that, the 2,000 to 2,050 range continues to act as a strong floor.
Current conditions suggest a market still searching for direction. Short-term movement leans toward the downside following the recent rejection. However, the broader structure remains range-bound, with no confirmed breakout yet.
If price drops below 2,110, a move toward 2,000 becomes more likely. On the other hand, reclaiming 2,300 could shift momentum back toward higher targets between 2,500 and 2,700.
Crypto World
Trump Moves to Choke Iran’s Ports Without Closing the World’s Oil Lifeline, CENTCOM Confirms
U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) will begin enforcing a blockade on all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports on April 13 at 10 a.m. ET, according to an official announcement issued in line with a presidential proclamation.
The directive applies to all vessels, regardless of flag or ownership, operating in Iranian coastal waters, including ports in the Arabian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman.
U.S. to Enforce Blockade on Iranian Ports as CENTCOM Announces Maritime Clampdown
However, CENTCOM emphasized that the measure will not impede freedom of navigation for ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to or from non-Iranian ports, a critical distinction aimed at maintaining global energy flows.
“The blockade will be enforced impartially against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports on the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman,” the CENTCOM articulated.
Officials said the operation will be enforced impartially and that commercial mariners will receive additional guidance through formal “Notice to Mariners” communications ahead of implementation.
Vessels operating in the Gulf of Oman and approaches to the Strait of Hormuz are being advised to monitor maritime broadcasts and maintain contact with U.S. naval forces on bridge-to-bridge VHF channel 16.
The move marks a significant escalation in maritime pressure on Iran amid ongoing regional tensions that have already disrupted shipping routes and heightened global energy market volatility.
Analysts note that while the Strait of Hormuz remains open, restricting access to Iranian ports could intensify economic strain on Tehran.
CENTCOM did not provide details on the duration of the blockade but indicated further operational updates will follow as conditions evolve in the region.
Shipping operators and energy traders are expected to closely monitor developments as enforcement begins, with maritime risk assessments likely to be revised in real time.
Insurance premiums for Gulf-bound cargoes could also fluctuate depending on the scope of enforcement and any Iranian response.
The situation remains fluid, with governments and commercial fleets awaiting further clarification from U.S. naval authorities in the coming hours and days ahead of scheduled rollout begins period.
“Enjoy the current pump figures. With the so-called ‘blockade’, Soon you’ll be nostalgic for $4–$5 gas,” wrote Ghalibaf, Speaker of the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Parliament.
The post Trump Moves to Choke Iran’s Ports Without Closing the World’s Oil Lifeline, CENTCOM Confirms appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Geopolitical risk pushes Bitcoin under $71K amid US-Iran tensions
Bitcoin fell below $71,000 on Sunday as talks between the United States and Iran stalled, underscoring how geopolitical tensions are seeping into crypto markets even as traders weigh liquidity and inflation factors. Data from TradingView showed BTC trading under the key threshold as a weekly close approached, highlighting the asset’s sensitivity to the ebb and flow of risk appetite amid flare-ups in the Strait of Hormuz and diplomatic deadlock.
Key points:
- BTC softens after news that US–Iran negotiations in Islamabad broke down, reviving risk-off pressure.
- US threats to reopen and police the Strait of Hormuz amplified concerns about energy prices and inflation dynamics.
- Bitcoin-long positions faced notable liquidations, signaling renewed volatility in the immediate term.
Diplomatic setback reverberates through crypto markets
In the wake of stalled talks aimed at curbing Iran’s nuclear ambitions, negotiations between the US and Iran were left unfinished as delegations left Islamabad without an agreement. The breakdown coincided with President Donald Trump’s explicit threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz and to interdict vessels that pay for passage, a move that would directly affect global oil flows and prices. Trump later amplified the stance via Truth Social, reiterating calls for fully operational transit through Hormuz.
The geopolitical headline set the stage for a broader market assessment: if the conflict escalates or oil supply becomes more constrained, inflation pressures could intensify and complicate the policy path for central banks. The Kobeissi Letter, a market commentary that authors follow closely on X, framed the immediate macro risk thus: “If the path forward is continued war, escalation, and a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, then the Iran War has just entered a new era.” The note further tied inflation dynamics to energy prices, warning that CPI inflation could spike higher if geopolitical tensions persist.
Meanwhile, financial markets prepared for a stream of inflation data and policy commentary. The March CPI print had shown a notable jump in inflationary pressures, though the month’s headline figure landed slightly below consensus expectations; what mattered more for markets was the oil-price component’s surprise surge—the strongest in six decades—within the CPI release. Analysts argued that a sustained rise in energy costs could sustain higher inflation readings, complicating the Federal Reserve’s balancing act between taming inflation and supporting growth.
Against this backdrop, market participants questioned whether the escalation would push policymakers toward stimulus or liquidity measures if risk assets continued to wobble. On X, veteran trader Michaël van de Poppe argued that a longer flare-up in the Iran situation would likely hamper risk-on assets, prompting discussions about possible Fed intervention. He suggested that a weak economy could force the central bank to reassert its unconventional toolkit, potentially rekindling the liquidity wagon that has historically buoyed risky assets during periods of stress.
Bitcoin liquidity metrics echo renewed volatility
Bitcoin’s price reaction unfolded as a mixed bag of risk signals and technical pressure. In the lead-up to the opening of futures markets, BTC’s move below $71,000 represented a retreat from recent highs and highlighted a potential trigger for late-long positions to unwind. Market data from CoinGlass indicated heightened volatility, with long liquidations climbing toward the $350 million mark over the preceding 24 hours. The liquidation heat map pointed to a tremor in speculative bets as traders repositioned in response to a shifting macro and geopolitical backdrop.
For traders, the impulse to seek safer harbors clashed with the crypto market’s own risk profile. Crypto traders often respond quickly to macro headlines because crypto markets are still highly sensitive to liquidity conditions and the stance of global financial policy. The latest data underscored that even a single, loud geopolitical cue can cascade into material downside pressure for long positions, especially when paired with concerns about energy prices and inflation expectations.
“Volatility remains high, and there won’t be a path forward where risk-on assets perform well if this remains the consensus,” wrote a notable market observer in response to the current environment.
Those who watch the broader macro canvas note an emerging tension: a weaker real economy could prompt a renewed dose of monetary accommodation, which historically has supported risk assets in the short term but could complicate inflation trajectories over the longer horizon. The question traders are tracking is whether the Fed and other major central banks will lean into more expansive policy if geopolitical risk sustains its grip on markets, or if tighter financial conditions will reassert themselves as inflation drivers remain in focus.
Inflation risk, policy expectations, and what comes next
Beyond the immediate price action, the narrative around inflation and policy remains central to crypto’s risk-reward calculus. The March CPI data had shown a notable oil-price component spike, underscoring how energy dynamics can tilt inflation readings and, by extension, central-bank guidance. Kobeissi’s analysis linked these dynamics to the Iran scenario, arguing that a protracted conflict could push inflation higher, potentially prompting renewed monetary support or liquidity measures to cushion real-economy weakness.
Looking ahead, investors will be watching the upcoming suite of inflation indicators, including the March Producer Price Index (PPI) release, for signals about the breadth of price pressures. Additionally, speeches from senior Federal Reserve officials will likely frame the near-term policy outlook more clearly. In that context, Bitcoin and other crypto assets could continue to act as a barometer for how traders interpret the risk of policy missteps amid geopolitical stress and energy-price volatility.
What to watch next
The immediate focus remains on how geopolitical tensions evolve and what that means for energy markets, inflation, and central-bank responses. If talks resume or a de-escalation path emerges, crypto traders could reassess risk appetites, potentially stabilizing prices as liquidity conditions normalize. Conversely, further escalation—whether through renewed sanctions, renewed missile rhetoric, or supply-chain disruptions in energy markets—could keep volatility elevated and drive continued attention on liquidity dynamics and macro forecasts.
Investors should also monitor how long the current risk-off mood persists and whether the market receives a clearer signal from policy makers about their tolerance for inflation versus economic growth trade-offs. The next few weeks promise to be data-rich, and the balance of macro signals—oil prices, inflation readings, and central-bank communications—will likely set the tone for Bitcoin and broader crypto markets as they navigate a geopolitically unsettled environment.
This editorial summary reflects observed market reactions and publicly available data points from TradingView, CoinGlass, and market commentary circulating around the geopolitical narrative surrounding US–Iran tensions and Hormuz-related risks. As always, readers should perform their own due diligence and consider multiple scenarios as the macro landscape evolves.
Next up, traders will scrutinize inflation trajectories and policy guidance to assess whether crypto assets gain or lose traction in a macro environment increasingly shaped by energy prices and geopolitical risk.
Crypto World
Iran War Fallout Will Muddy the Rest of 2026 for Asset Markets: Analyst
Now almost a week old, the Bitcoin (BTC) recovery is “fragile” as the crypto market faces geopolitical and macroeconomic headwinds from the ongoing war in the Middle East, according to Nic Puckrin, a crypto market analyst and founder of the CoinBureau media outlet.
“Even if the war ends now, its repercussions will likely be the story of 2026, and certainly the dominant narrative for Q2. I don’t expect to see a rate cut until late Q3 or Q4, if at all,” Puckrin told Cointelegraph. He said that he sees:
“For a push toward $90,000, we would need to see a combination of factors: a ceasefire that results in the end of geopolitical tensions, a sustained drop in oil prices toward $80, and ideally also softer-than-expected economic data that calms stagflation fears.”
If Bitcoin closes the week above $71,000, it could signal continued upside for BTC, with resistance forming around the $74,000 level, he said. At last look, it was trading at about $71,276, according to TradingView data.

The ongoing conflict has caused an inflationary spike, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index report, published on Friday, chilling hopes of further interest rate cuts in 2026. Rate cuts or credit easing tend to stimulate asset prices.
Related: Bitcoin, Ether near levels that could signal trend reversal: Analyst
Bitcoin stumbles as Iran negotiations fail and US President threatens major escalation
Bitcoin surged by about 5.8% beginning on April 6, reaching above $73,000, before retracing to about $71,000 on April 11, following news of failed negotiations between the US and Iran, according to the Kobeissi Letter.
“Peace talks appear to have come to a screeching halt,” Kobeissi Letter said, adding, “the outcome of talks was arguably the worst-case scenario.”
Following the failed peace talks, US President Donald Trump said he directed the US military to form a naval blockade around the Strait of Hormuz.
“I have also instructed our Navy to seek and interdict every vessel in international waters that has paid a toll to Iran. No one who pays an illegal toll will have safe passage on the high seas,” Trump said on Saturday.

Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which decides interest rate policy in the US, remain divided on further interest rate cuts in 2026, citing inflation concerns from the war.
The FOMC did not rule out an interest rate hike in 2026 if inflation remains elevated above its 2% target, according to the meeting minutes from the March FOMC meeting.
According to the CME Fedwatch tool, there is more than a 98% probability of the FOMC maintaining the current target rate range of 350-375 basis points at the next two meetings, on April 29 and June 17. Chances drop to about 65% for the July 29 meeting, with a 33.6% probability of a 25-bps cut.
Magazine: Big Questions: Can Bitcoin save you from the dreaded Cantillon Effect?
Crypto World
Dogecoin Price Prediction: Analyst Eye a 2,700% Move to $2
TLDR:
- Dogecoin completed two accumulation cycles, producing gains of 480% and 190% before each correction.
- A third accumulation zone is forming inside a descending channel with multiple failed breakout attempts.
- Analysts set upside targets at $0.50, $1, and $2, with a full cycle projection reaching near 2,700%.
- A higher-timeframe close below $0.048 remains the critical invalidation level for the current bullish fractal.
A third accumulation zone is quietly taking shape on Dogecoin’s weekly chart, tucked inside a descending channel that few are paying attention to right now.
History, however, has a way of rewarding patience in crypto markets. Two prior cycles delivered gains of 480% and 190% respectively — and analysts tracking the current structure believe the next move could dwarf them both.
Dogecoin’s Fractal Cycles Point to a Familiar Setup
The Dogecoin weekly chart spanning 2021 to 2026 outlines a recurring market structure. Two completed cycles show distinct periods of price consolidation followed by sharp upward moves.
The first cycle produced a 480% gain after an extended accumulation phase. The second followed with a 190% move under a similar setup.
Chart analysts describe this behavior as fractal repetition, where market structure rhymes across different time periods. The sequence of accumulation, breakout, correction, and expansion remains consistent across both cycles.
A third accumulation zone now appears to be forming on the weekly timeframe. Price is currently consolidating inside a descending channel, with multiple failed breakout attempts already recorded.
Analysts note that price stability at this level reflects steady demand absorption from long-term holders. The longer the price remains at this range, the stronger the eventual breakout tends to be.
Resistance Targets, Corrections, and What Traders Are Watching
The chart identifies three major upside targets for the next potential expansion. The first resistance sits near $0.50, aligned with a prior structural supply zone. Beyond that, $1 carries psychological and technical weight.
A full cycle extension places the projected target near $2. A confirmed higher-timeframe close below $0.048 remains the key invalidation level.
Losing this threshold would break the existing market structure and signal that the fractal is no longer valid. The current corrective phase has already drawn down approximately 83% from the prior cycle peak.
Some analysts believe the correction could extend further before a recovery begins. One observer remarked: “Doge is only bought when it has big and medium climbs, but during -80% corrections, no one even writes anything about it anymore.”
Certain traders have outlined entry strategies near Fibonacci retracement zones, with one planning to accumulate 100,000 DOGE at the Fibonacci level 1 area. Speculation around
Elon Musk’s potential involvement with Dogecoin in the next cycle also continues to circulate among market participants.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Nears Key Resistance as Bearish Flag Persists Within Rising Channel Structure
TLDR:
- Bitcoin trades near $72K, approaching strong resistance within a well-defined ascending channel range.
- Analysts warn a move toward $77K may trigger a liquidity grab before a possible bearish reversal.
- Strong support remains at $60K–$62K, where buyers have repeatedly prevented deeper declines.
- Market remains in a compression phase, with a breakout or rejection likely to define the next move.
Bitcoin continues to trade within a defined range after a sharp decline, with price action showing controlled recovery.
Market participants remain cautious as resistance nears, while analysts monitor whether the current structure leads to a breakout or renewed downside pressure.
Bitcoin Trades Within Ascending Channel as Resistance Nears
A recent tweet by Captain Faibik outlines a cautious outlook for Bitcoin despite short-term upward movement. He maintains that a bearish flag remains active on the daily timeframe, even as price attempts minor recoveries.
According to his view, brief rallies have repeatedly shifted sentiment, though broader control still leans toward sellers.
The chart shared alongside the tweet shows Bitcoin recovering from a steep drop near the $95,000 to $100,000 range.
That decline extended toward the $58,000 to $60,000 zone, where strong buying interest emerged. Since then, price has formed a structured recovery, building higher lows and gradually moving within an ascending channel.
Currently, Bitcoin trades near the $71,000 to $72,000 level. This places it in the upper-middle section of the channel, where momentum appears stable but constrained.
The upper boundary between $74,500 and $77,000 has acted as resistance, rejecting multiple attempts to move higher.
At the same time, the lower boundary around $60,000 to $62,000 continues to serve as a demand zone. Buyers have consistently stepped in at this level, preventing deeper declines.
As price approaches resistance again, traders are watching closely for either a breakout or another rejection.
Bearish Bias Remains Despite Altcoin Activity
Captain Faibik noted in his tweet that a move toward the $77,000 to $78,000 region could occur before a potential decline.
He pointed to a possible liquidity grab followed by a drop toward the $54,000 to $56,000 range. However, he emphasized that confirmation is still required before taking positions.
He also explained his contrasting stance on Bitcoin and altcoins. While maintaining a bearish view on Bitcoin, he has remained active in select altcoins over recent months.
His allocation strategy reflects this approach, with roughly half of his funds held in stable assets and the rest split between midterm altcoin positions and swing trades.
Meanwhile, key levels continue to guide market behavior. Immediate support sits near $70,000, while a mid-channel range between $66,000 and $68,000 acts as a balance zone.
Resistance remains firm below $77,000, and a clear break above this area would shift focus toward the $80,000 to $85,000 region.
Price action within the channel suggests a period of compression. This type of structure often precedes a sharp move once resistance or support gives way.
Until then, Bitcoin remains range-bound, with both upward continuation and downside rotation still possible.
The tweet reflects a wait-and-see approach, with no active trades opened yet. Market participants continue to monitor price behavior near resistance, as confirmation will likely determine the next directional move.
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