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Flare’s billion-dollar XRP DeFi dream has just 80 new users a day

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Flare’s billion-dollar XRP DeFi dream has just 80 new users a day

Flare Network cofounder Hugo Philion predicted $1 billion in XRP locked on his blockchain last year, and thinks it will somehow surpass $5 billion by this summer. Meanwhile, his network’s native token just hit an all-time low.

Six months after launch, his Flare XRP DeFi ecosystem averages fewer than 80 new users per day.

Flare Bridged XRP, a 1:1 representation of the XRP coin on Flare, launched in September 2025. It was pitched by former derivatives trader Philion as XRP’s DeFi breakthrough with a billion-dollar, “500% growth” target just around the corner.

On-chain data, however, tells a different story. Its DeFi ecosystem averages 76 new users per day since launch with the median day attracting a mere 33 people.

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A new user, precisely defined, is a wallet that first interacted with the FXRP ecosystem via a mint, swap, burn, borrow, or repay. By that count, over half of all days since launch saw fewer than 50.

The data reveals brief spikes followed by rapid decay. On February 27, 2026, new users peaked above 2,000, coinciding with Flare’s one-click Xaman wallet integration.

Within two weeks, that number had fallen below 30. 

The same pattern arose in September 2025 with a 467 new user spike on the day FAssets launched. Entrants then dropped more than 90% a week later.

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Exclude the sparse days with anomalous spikes above 500, and the entire six-month average drops to under 50. The last seven days have averaged 60 new users. 

An XRP enthusiast on X claimed that Flare XRP DeFi had more than $149 million in value secured and that user growth was accelerating fast.

That’s certainly less than one, let alone multiple billions, and no, growth in Flare XRP DeFi has actually flatlined.

Read more: Ripple founders lobbied for XRP reserve, got sell-only stockpile instead

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Protos previously covered the launch of XRP’s EVM mainnet that took “years of building and testing” to earn $26 in daily volume within two months.

Anemic growth of XRP DeFi

The Flare token (FLR), the network’s native coin, has fared even worse.

FLR closed for trading on January 10, 2023 above $0.04 after a two-year-delayed airdrop to XRP holders. Recipients dumped immediately.

By October, it was trading for less than a penny and today trades at $0.0079, down 80% from its first-day close.

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It set a new all-time low today, after making worsening lows for weeks. 

Flare originally airdropped 4.28 billion FLR to XRP holders. Three years of FlareDrops later, circulating supply sits at 85 billion, a 20-fold dilution. The FlareDrop program concluded on January 30, 2026.

Despite this catastrophe, Philion has escalated his predictions, claiming Flare could hold 5 billion XRP by mid-2026. At today’s XRP price of $1.37, that target represents $6.9 billion or more than 10 times FLR’s market cap.

FXRP has roughly 138 million tokens in circulation, and $190 million in bridged assets with fewer than 80 daily users is certainly not a success story of the XRP DeFi ecosystem.

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The on-chain reality is a protocol where most days bring fewer new participants than many restaurants serve at dinner.

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UK becomes first country to sanction crypto marketplace Xinbi over $19.9B fraud empire

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UK becomes first country to sanction crypto marketplace Xinbi over $19.9B fraud empire

The UK has sanctioned crypto marketplace Xinbi and Cambodia’s #8 Park scam compound over a $19.9b fraud and trafficking network, freezing London assets ahead of June’s Illicit Finance Summit.

Summary

  • The UK sanctioned Xinbi — the first country to do so — after Chainalysis data showed it processed over $19.9 billion in illicit transactions between 2021 and 2025.
  • Sanctions also target the operator of Cambodia’s “#8 Park” scam compound, believed to house up to 20,000 trafficked workers, along with multiple frozen London properties.
  • The action precedes the UK’s Illicit Finance Summit in June, where officials plan to push for greater international coordination against crypto-enabled scam networks.

The UK government on March 26 sanctioned Xinbi, a Chinese-language cryptocurrency marketplace, making it the first country in the world to take such action against the platform. The measures, jointly announced by the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office and the Home Office, target what officials described as a key financial pillar of large-scale scam and human trafficking operations across Southeast Asia.

According to Chainalysis, Xinbi processed more than $19.9 billion in transactions between 2021 and 2025. The platform facilitated money laundering, unlicensed over-the-counter crypto trading, and the sale of stolen personal data, while also supplying communications infrastructure — including satellite internet equipment — used to target fraud victims. Crypto.news previously reported on Xinbi’s connection to the broader Telegram-based criminal marketplace ecosystem, where it operated alongside Haowang Guarantee, the largest darknet market ever recorded.

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The sanctions extend beyond Xinbi itself to Legend Innovation Co., the operator of Cambodia’s “#8 Park” compound — a scam center believed to hold up to 20,000 trafficked workers — and its director Eang Soklim. The designated individuals are also linked to the Prince Group’s financial network, which the UK and U.S. sanctioned last year in an action that triggered asset freezes and seizures exceeding £1 billion ($1.3 billion).

London properties frozen, infrastructure dismantled

Several London properties will be frozen under the new measures, adding to previously seized UK assets. Those earlier seizures included a £100 million ($133 million) office building, two multi-million-pound mansions, and a helicopter. Officials say the latest action will immediately restrict access to financial channels used by the network.

“Our sanctions today send a clear message: We will not allow British people to become victims of these dreadful scams or tolerate the awful human rights abuses perpetrated in these scam centres,” said Stephen Doughty MP, the UK’s Minister of State for Europe, North America and Overseas Territories, in the official government announcement.

The UK said its goal is to sever Xinbi from the legitimate crypto ecosystem entirely — cutting off its ability to process transactions and eroding the financial backbone that enables scam networks to recruit, sustain, and conceal their operations.

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Broader crackdown on crypto-enabled trafficking

The action comes amid rising global alarm about crypto’s role in financing human trafficking and forced labor. A February 2026 Chainalysis report found that crypto flows to suspected trafficking services surged 85% in 2025, with stablecoin-heavy, Telegram-linked networks operating across Southeast Asia at increasing scale. Just six days before the Xinbi sanctions, the FBI and Thai police froze $580 million in crypto linked to organized scam gangs targeting Americans.

The UK’s move is part of what officials describe as a broader strategy targeting not just individual perpetrators but the infrastructure that underpins global fraud. Authorities said the Xinbi sanctions will feed into the UK’s Illicit Finance Summit in June, where they plan to accelerate international coordination to counter the laundering and movement of illicit funds across borders.

As reported by The Block, the sanctions took immediate effect on March 26.

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Bitcoin Profitability Near 50% Mirrors Previous Market Bottoms

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF

The total Bitcoin (BTC) supply in profit stands at 60.6% on Thursday, continuing to move within a range historically associated with market cycle resets. The metric previously dropped to 50.8% on Feb. 5, its lowest level since January 2, 2023, leaving a large share of holders at breakeven or at a loss.

Similar conditions in the past cycles have preceded strong upside moves. In January 2023, BTC traded at $16,682 when profitability levels were comparable at 51%, before rallying 655% to $126,000 in 2025.

A similar setup occurred in March 2020, when the total supply in profit fell below 50% as BTC traded at $6,500, ahead of a move to $69,000 in 2021.

Bitcoin profitability returns to prior market cycle base levels

Over the past five years, the 50–60% profitability range has repeatedly marked periods where a large portion of holders sat near the BTC cost basis. That compresses unrealized gains across the network and reduces the incentive to sell into weakness.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
Bitcoin Supply in Profit (%). Source: CryptoQuant

It is important to note that the metric does not pinpoint a price bottom. It outlines a zone where long-term accumulation has led to high returns while the downside sell pressure has eased.

In past cycles, Bitcoin price bottoms were formed when the long-term holder net unrealized profit/loss (LTH-NUPL) turned negative, as seen during the 2015, 2018, and 2022 bear markets. This phase marked a period where the long-term investors were holding at a loss.

However, the current LTH-NUPL reading is near 0.40, which means that the long-term holders are still comfortably in profit, even as the overall supply profitability has dropped near market cycle lows.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
Bitcoin LTH-NUPL data. Source: CryptoQuant

This gap highlights a shift in the market environment. A growing share of Bitcoin supply is now held by corporate entities and spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which collectively control close to 15.8% of the circulating supply, i.e., 3,319,677 BTC.

These participants typically operate with a longer holding period and lower sensitivity to short-term price swings.

As a result, the profitability compression across the BTC market does not translate into the same level of forced selling from long-term holders seen in previous cycles in 2015, 2018, and 2022.

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This change helps explain why the total supply in profit may revisit historical accumulation zones while the long-term holder profitability stays elevated.

Related: Bitcoin in ‘later stages’ of bear market: Watch these BTC price levels

BTC exchange flows align with valuation models

The short-term holder BTC flows to Binance fell to 25,000 BTC on March 25. Crypto analyst Darkfost said it is a new market low, down from roughly 100,000 BTC during the early February sell-off. This decline shows a clear reduction in reactive selling from the newer market participants.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
Bitcoin STH inflows on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, crypto analyst GugaOnChain noted that the valuation models can help identify where the deeper market stress may emerge for BTC. Metrics such as market-value to realized-value (MVRV) below 1, NUPL under -0.2, and a Puell Multiple near 0.35 have historically appeared during periods of heavy retail pressure and undervalued conditions.

While these indicators do not predict the exact market bottoms, they highlight zones where downside risk has historically been limited relative to long-term upside, offering a clearer view of overall market positioning.

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Related: Bitcoin dips 3% as analysis says $70K BTC price ‘not obviously bearish’