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France faces $9.4B crypto tax reporting test: Chainalysis

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Chainalysis estimated on Aug. 26 that France generated about $9.4 billion in potentially taxable crypto activity during 2025, placing the country among the world’s 15 largest markets covered by its latest crypto tax study.

Summary

  • Chainalysis estimated global potentially taxable crypto activity reached $457 billion across six blockchains during 2025.
  • France accounted for estimated $9.4 billion in income, gains, and crypto payment activity during 2025.
  • French taxpayers reported €368 million in crypto gains for 2024 through approximately 24,000 tax filings submitted.
  • DAC8 requires providers to collect 2026 transaction data, with first exchanges due September 30, 2027.
  • Chainalysis cautioned its estimates exclude exchange-internal activity and may understate total taxable economic income worldwide.

The estimate included $1.7 billion in crypto income, $2.5 billion in realized gains and $5.2 billion in crypto payments. It arrives as France prepares to receive detailed customer and transaction data under the European Union’s DAC8 tax reporting system and the OECD’s Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework, or CARF.

Chainalysis described the figures as “potentially taxable activity,” rather than unpaid taxes or government revenue. Tax treatment varies by transaction type, taxpayer status and national law. Crypto payments, for example, cannot be treated as equivalent to undeclared capital gains.

The company also did not estimate that more than 90% of French crypto taxes went unpaid. Its reference to non-compliance above 90% came from a Swedish tax authority study concerning taxpayers in Sweden. Applying that rate directly to France would not be supported by the available evidence.

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Chainalysis estimates France generated $9.4B in activity

The Chainalysis study estimated that potentially taxable on-chain crypto activity reached at least $457 billion worldwide in 2025. The United States led individual countries with $112.6 billion, while the European Union collectively accounted for $125.1 billion.

France ranked 13th among the countries listed in the study. Its estimated $9.4 billion total consisted of three separate categories: income, gains and payments. Chainalysis included mining, staking, lending and gambling proceeds within income. Its gains category covered activity attributed to centralized and decentralized exchanges.

Payments included transfers linked to merchant services and peer-to-peer economic activity. Such activity may create different income tax, capital gains tax or indirect tax questions depending on the circumstances. The full $9.4 billion therefore does not represent a taxable profit figure or an estimate of tax owed.

Chainalysis produced the estimates using activity across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Tron, BNB Smart Chain and Base. It assigned activity geographically through direct location indicators and proportional allocations based on service-level activity.

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The company acknowledged that trading, staking and lending conducted within centralized exchange systems cannot always be observed on a public blockchain. It said this limitation means its estimates may understate total economic income.

Chainalysis called the figures “potentially taxable activity.” They should not be read as confirmed unpaid taxes or recoverable government revenue.

The report compared its broader estimates with public evidence of weak crypto tax reporting. It cited Sweden’s tax authority, which previously found that more than 90% of people reviewed had not correctly reported their crypto activity. That finding concerns Sweden and does not establish France’s non-compliance rate.

French data nevertheless show a wide difference between declared gains and estimated activity. Approximately 24,000 taxpayers reported €368 million in crypto capital gains for tax year 2024, according to figures attributed to the French tax administration. However, that declared amount covers a different year and a narrower category than Chainalysis’ $9.4 billion estimate.

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A direct comparison would also mix euros with dollars. More importantly, it would compare declared net capital gains with gross activity spanning income, gains and payments. The figures indicate an enforcement question, but they do not measure the French crypto tax gap on a like-for-like basis.

France’s crypto tax reporting changes under DAC8

DAC8 took effect across the EU on Jan. 1, 2026. Reporting crypto-asset service providers must now collect information covering reportable transactions conducted by EU-resident users.

Required customer information can include names, addresses, tax identification numbers, dates of birth and tax residences. Providers must also report aggregated values and transaction counts for exchanges, transfers and certain payments.

The European Commission says providers began collecting reportable 2026 transaction data on Jan. 1. Reports covering that first year must be exchanged between EU tax authorities by Sept. 30, 2027.

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As previously reported in coverage of the new EU rules, DAC8 covers crypto-to-fiat trades, crypto-to-crypto exchanges and transfers involving external addresses. A withdrawal to self-custody can therefore appear in a provider’s report even though self-custody itself is not prohibited.

The underlying directive also requires providers to collect tax-residency self-certifications. Existing individual users generally must provide valid self-certification information by Jan. 1, 2027.

If a customer fails to provide required information after two reminders, member states must require providers to prevent reportable transactions after a 60-day period. National implementation, enforcement procedures and penalties can still differ.

CARF extends a similar exchange model beyond the EU. The OECD expects the first exchanges between participating jurisdictions to begin in 2027. France is among the jurisdictions committed to that timetable.

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Reporting rules still leave most on-chain activity outside direct reach

Chainalysis estimated that transactions falling within CARF’s practical reporting reach represented only 14% of the potentially taxable on-chain activity it identified. The remaining 86% involved areas such as decentralized exchanges, peer-to-peer transfers, on-chain income and payments.

CARF and DAC8 primarily obtain information from reporting service providers. Centralized exchanges and brokers can link transactions to verified customer identities because they maintain account records and normally conduct know-your-customer checks.

Decentralized protocols may not have an operator holding the same identifying information. A taxpayer can also use several private wallets, interact directly with smart contracts or move assets between services in different jurisdictions.

Public blockchains record transfers, but they do not automatically identify the taxpayer, establish the purpose of a transaction or calculate the correct cost basis. A wallet transfer could represent a sale, a payment, collateral movement or a transfer between addresses controlled by the same person.

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Cost-basis records become harder to reconstruct when a user buys an asset through one provider, moves it through private wallets and later sells through another provider. The receiving exchange may know the sale proceeds without knowing the original purchase price.

In related coverage of the Chainalysis findings, crypto.news reported that platform reporting may need to be combined with blockchain records to reconstruct activity involving DeFi and private wallets.

The report’s 86% estimate does not mean that activity will remain invisible or untaxed. It means it may not be directly described in reports supplied by intermediaries. Tax agencies can still use exchange records, blockchain analysis, audits and information obtained from other jurisdictions.

What happens next for French taxpayers and providers

Crypto service providers must continue collecting reportable customer and transaction data throughout 2026. They must also verify tax-residency declarations and prepare the first annual reports for submission during 2027.

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France’s tax authority will then be able to compare provider reports with domestic tax returns and data received from other EU states. CARF exchanges could add information from participating jurisdictions outside the bloc.

The new system will not retroactively produce complete histories for activity conducted before the reporting period. Authorities may still need account statements, wallet records and blockchain analysis when reviewing historical gains or reconstructing acquisition costs.

Taxpayers remain responsible for maintaining records showing purchases, disposals, income and transfers. A transaction appearing in a DAC8 report does not by itself determine the amount of French tax due. The tax calculation still depends on French law and the taxpayer’s circumstances.

FAQs

Did Chainalysis say 90% of French crypto taxes are unpaid?

No. Chainalysis cited a Swedish authority’s finding that more than 90% of reviewed crypto users in Sweden failed to report correctly. It did not publish an equivalent rate for France.

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Does France’s $9.4 billion represent unpaid tax?

No. The figure estimates potentially taxable activity, including income, realized gains and payments. It is neither a tax bill nor an estimate of recoverable revenue.

When will France receive the first DAC8 reports?

Providers began collecting data on Jan. 1, 2026. EU authorities must exchange the first reporting-year information by Sept. 30, 2027.

Does DAC8 cover self-custody wallets?

DAC8 can capture transfers between reporting providers and external wallet addresses. It does not create continuous provider reporting for every transaction conducted entirely within self-custody.

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Liquid Network gets back 3,400 bitcoin from white-hat hackers; talks underway for the rest

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Liquid Network gets back 3,400 bitcoin from white-hat hackers; talks underway for the rest


Supposed white-hat hackers behind Sunday’s Liquid Network breach have returned 3,400 of the 4,000 BTC they took, but nearly $47 million in bitcoin is still outstanding.

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Gold and Bitcoin Are Hedges, But Why Is a Stablecoin Company Buying Farmland?

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Gold and Bitcoin Are Hedges, But Why Is a Stablecoin Company Buying Farmland?

Tether, the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin, has spent $600 million buying majority control of a South American farming conglomerate, adding land to a reserve strategy that already includes billions in gold and Bitcoin (BTC).

The move follows a clean audit from KPMG, one of the Big Four accounting firms. However, Tether’s own reserve buffer has since fallen 40%, raising questions about its scarce-asset hedges.

Farmland Joins Gold and Bitcoin in the Reserve Mix

Tether acquired roughly 70% of Adecoagro, a Nasdaq-listed agribusiness farming more than 200,000 hectares across Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay. The deal grew to about $600 million in September 2025, and followed an initial $100 million stake bought in 2024.

Analysts have described the acquisitions as diversification, following the same logic behind Tether’s gold and Bitcoin holdings. Tether itself has called those assets a hedge against dollar debasement and inflation. It also plans to use the farmland’s renewable energy to power Bitcoin mining.

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Ardoino describes Tether as “probably the largest owner, land owner in South America,” noting the agribusiness runs hundreds of thousands of sheep and cattle and produces milk and rice. He framed the holding as part of the same logic driving Tether’s gold and Bitcoin positions — a hedge against systemic instability rather than a conventional investment.

“This is when we think about the stability of the world that has to come through real tangible assets,” he said, adding that Tether has to remain “a company that survived to the worst case scenario.”

Tether’s Business Also Include US Treasuries.

Meanwhile, Tether remains one of the world’s largest holders of US Treasuries. Its exposure last stood at roughly $141 billion, disclosed in its first-quarter 2026 attestation. That leaves the company betting on scarce, hard assets. Yet it still anchors most of its balance sheet to the very currency it hedges against.

KPMG’s first full audit confirmed reserves exceeded liabilities by $6.8 billion at the end of 2025. Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino called the result a clean audit, the strongest opinion an auditor can issue. However, Tether has not published the underlying audited statements.

Tether’s own June attestation, a quarterly reserve snapshot reviewed by BDO, put that same buffer at just $4.1 billion. That is a drop of roughly 40% in six months, driven largely by unrealized losses on gold and bitcoin.

Those are the very assets meant to protect Tether’s balance sheet. Farmland adds a further complication, since land cannot be sold quickly if Tether ever needs cash fast.

Whether Tether’s scarce-asset strategy ultimately strengthens its position or adds new risk remains unclear. KPMG’s full report, still unpublished, could settle that question once it reaches the public.

The post Gold and Bitcoin Are Hedges, But Why Is a Stablecoin Company Buying Farmland? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Liquid Recovers 85% of Bitcoin Withdrawn in Exploit

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Liquid Recovers 85% of Bitcoin Withdrawn in Exploit

Purported white-hat hackers returned 3,400 Bitcoin worth about $270 million to the Liquid Federation wallet after withdrawing roughly $320 million from the Bitcoin sidechain’s reserves. 

On Monday, JAN3 CEO and former Blockstream executive Samson Mow said the return followed confirmation from Blockstream that the affected bridge nodes had been patched. He said about 598 BTC remains outstanding and that Blockstream continues to engage with the actors.

The return follows a Sunday security incident in which hackers withdrew about 4,000 BTC from the wallet’s roughly 4,200 BTC. Onchain records show that exactly 3,400 BTC was transferred back to the federation’s wallet address. 

Blockstream said updated software had been deployed and federation members were preparing for a coordinated restart. Liquid issues L-BTC against Bitcoin held by its federation, so the return of about 85% of the withdrawn Bitcoin restores much of the backing removed in the incident as the paused network prepares to resume operations. 

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Bitcoin return follows onchain negotiations

The original withdrawal was processed through SideSwap’s Peg-out Authorization Key, although Liquid and SideSwap said the key itself was not compromised. SideSwap said the L-BTC involved originated from a bug in Elements, the open-source software underpinning Liquid. 

Blockstream contacted the actors through signed messages embedded in Bitcoin transactions. The actors, who identified themselves as white hats, said they would return most of the funds once the vulnerability was fixed and every node had installed the patch. 

Related: Satoshi-era Bitcoin wakes after 16 years of dormancy as 600 BTC moves

Mow said Liquid remained paused while Blockstream and federation members made further fixes and security improvements, resolved a chain split and prepared for a safe restart. He told users not to send Bitcoin to Liquid peg-in addresses until the network’s restart is confirmed, adding that no user action was otherwise required. 

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Ledger chief technology officer Charles Guillemet questioned the actors’ white-hat description after the partial return. He said that if the roughly 600 BTC still under their control represented a reward negotiated through encrypted onchain communications, the arrangement looked “more like extortion than white-hat hacking.”

Neither Blockstream nor Liquid publicly described the outstanding Bitcoin as a bounty or disclosed any repayment terms. Cointelegraph reached out to both companies for comments but did not receive a response before publication. 

Magazine: ‘White hats’ take 4000 BTC from Liquid, ETFs see best inflows of 2026: Hodler’s Digest

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Capital B Buys 376 BTC for $29M, Lifts Holdings to 3,521 BTC

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Crypto Breaking News

French corporate Bitcoin treasury firm Capital B has added 376 BTC to its balance sheet after completing a new round of fundraising. The company says it purchased the tokens for €25.3 million (about $29.5 million), bringing its total holdings to 3,521 BTC.

According to a Capital B announcement released Monday, the purchase was financed following capital raises totaling roughly €30.1 million (about $35 million), including a private placement backed by investors Adam Back and TOBAM. Swissquote Bank Europe executed the trade, with Taurus providing custody.

Key takeaways

  • Capital B bought 376 BTC for €25.3 million, lifting its corporate treasury to 3,521 BTC.
  • The acquisition was funded by about €30.1 million in capital raises, including a private placement supported by Adam Back and TOBAM.
  • The company paid an average of €67,182 per BTC on this purchase; custody was handled by Taurus.
  • Capital B’s latest buy is its largest since September 2025, when it acquired 551 BTC.
  • While some corporate holders have reduced positions, other treasury firms—including Metaplanet and H100 Group—continue to add BTC.

Capital B’s latest treasury purchase

Capital B’s newly acquired 376 BTC represents a fresh expansion of its Bitcoin treasury, funded through the company’s recent funding activity. In its Monday filing and accompanying announcement, the company stated that the purchase price averaged €67,182 per BTC.

The execution and custody details add operational clarity for investors tracking corporate Bitcoin strategies. Swissquote Bank Europe carried out the acquisition, while Taurus is listed as the custody provider for the company’s Bitcoin holdings.

Where the company stands among corporate Bitcoin holders

Capital B also provided context on how the new purchase fits into its broader acquisition history. The company said it has spent a total of €309.4 million acquiring its Bitcoin portfolio, at an average cost of €87,878 per BTC.

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Using rankings compiled by BitcoinTreasuries.net, the latest buying activity moved Capital B to 25th among publicly traded companies by Bitcoin holdings. The new total of 3,521 BTC places Capital B slightly ahead of Sweden-based H100 Group, which held 3,506 BTC after its earlier increase, though both remain behind Germany’s Bitcoin Group SE, which is reported to have 3,605 BTC.

Big buy since September 2025, but operational BTC is separated

The 376 BTC addition is Capital B’s largest purchase since September 2025, when the firm acquired 551 BTC for €54.7 million. That comparison matters for readers because it indicates a return to scale after a longer period without an equally large ticket size.

Capital B also distinguishes between treasury assets and operational holdings. The company says it holds an additional 61 BTC for operational purposes, which it keeps separate from its treasury reserve and excludes from its Bitcoin performance-related metrics. This separation is important when assessing reported results, since it clarifies that the treasury figures used for performance monitoring are not simply a blanket count of all BTC held.

Corporate accumulation continues even as some firms unwind

The Capital B purchase lands amid a mixed corporate landscape for Bitcoin treasuries. The article notes that some companies have moved to unwind Bitcoin holdings, including references to filings from firms such as K Wave Media and Sequans Communications. Against that backdrop, several other corporate players continue to accumulate.

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Japan-based Metaplanet, for example, acquired 2,823 BTC during the second quarter for approximately $222 million, according to Cointelegraph reporting. Metaplanet’s holdings were stated at 43,000 BTC after that purchase, and BitcoinTreasuries.net rankings place the firm as the third-largest publicly traded corporate holder behind Strategy and Twenty One Capital.

Earlier activity also underscores the regional competition for BTC. In August, Sweden-based H100 Group more than tripled its Bitcoin exposure after an all-share deal involving Norwegian companies that held 2,455 BTC. That transaction increased H100’s treasury to 3,506 BTC, making it Europe’s second-largest publicly traded corporate holder at the time—until Capital B’s latest buy slightly closed the gap.

Meanwhile, Strategy—widely regarded as the largest corporate Bitcoin holder—resumed purchasing in August following a two-month pause. Cointelegraph previously reported that Strategy acquired 4,603 BTC for $370 million, lifting holdings to 845,050 BTC, acquired for a combined $63.3 billion. Together, these examples illustrate that corporate demand remains active even when individual companies choose to reduce exposure.

What to watch next

With Capital B scaling its treasury again after its September 2025 high, investors should watch whether the company sustains this pace of acquisitions and how it continues to structure funding rounds—particularly given the role of private placements and named backers in financing purchases. The next signal will likely come from whether Capital B schedules additional large buys or maintains a steadier, smaller accumulation strategy.

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US Midterm Elections and Trump Pressure Are Stopping Rate Hikes, Says Wharton Professor

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Big Banks Survive $708 Billion Loss Scenario in Fed Stress Test

Wharton finance professor Jeremy Siegel says the Federal Reserve would already be raising rates. He blames pressure from the 2026 midterm elections and President Donald Trump.

Siegel spoke after a stronger-than-expected August jobs report. Trump also posted on Truth Social, threatening to halt trade with surplus countries unless the Fed cuts rates.

August Jobs Data Shifts the Rate Debate

The US economy added 162,000 jobs in August, more than triple the recent monthly average. Unemployment held steady at 4.1%, and wage growth stayed at 3.1% year over year.

Siegel called it a supply-driven labor market, not an overheating one. Labor-force participation rose to 61.6%, and combined revisions added 55,000 jobs to June and July.

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That pushed traders to raise bets on a rate hike over a cut. The shift applies to this month’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.

It marks a reversal from expectations after a weak July payrolls report.

Trump’s Threat Meets a Hawkish Fed

Trump’s Friday post repeated a demand he has made for months.

“We should have the LOWEST INTEREST RATES of any country in the World … CUT INTEREST RATES OR I WILL STOP TRADING WITH COUNTRIES WHERE WE HAVE A DEFICIT.”

Trump wrote the post on Friday, as Reuters first reported. He has repeatedly pressured the Fed to cut rates this year.

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Siegel said the midterms give Trump added incentive to keep borrowing costs low. That makes a September hike politically fraught for the White House.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has given no such signal. Siegel pointed to M2 money supply growth of about 10% since the Iran conflict began.

That conflict, a brief war between the US and Iran, ended in June. He called the growth pace excessive.

He noted Warsh had flagged money supply as a key metric during his Jackson Hole address last month.

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Siegel expects a hike would trigger only a brief negative market reaction. Traders would likely welcome the Fed defending its inflation-fighting credibility, so long as tariffs stay contained.

This week’s producer and consumer price index reports, due Thursday and Friday, should help settle the debate.

The post US Midterm Elections and Trump Pressure Are Stopping Rate Hikes, Says Wharton Professor appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Polish Prosecutors Seek Pretrial Detention in Zondacrypto Probe

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Crypto Breaking News

Polish prosecutors investigating the troubled crypto exchange Zondacrypto have filed formal criminal charges against an individual identified as Romana Ż., accusing him of involvement in an organized criminal group and of misappropriating approximately 7.8 million zlotys (about $2.1 million) in user funds. Prosecutors also requested that the Katowice-Wschód District Court order pretrial detention, arguing that the suspect could flee or attempt to disrupt the investigation, according to an official statement from Poland’s National Prosecutor’s Office.

According to the filing, Romana Ż. was detained on Sept. 5 and later questioned by prosecutors. The suspect denied the accusations and submitted a statement, the announcement said. Prosecutors’ motion for detention will be considered by the court.

Key takeaways

  • Prosecutors accuse Romana Ż. of participating in an organized criminal group and misappropriating about 7.8 million zlotys from exchange user funds.
  • The case focuses on alleged unauthorized computer-record changes and interference with how Zondacrypto processed and transmitted exchange data.
  • Prosecutors seek pretrial detention, citing risks of flight and evidence or investigation interference.
  • The new charges build on earlier arrests in the Zondacrypto probe, where multiple suspects were also ordered held in custody.
  • Broader investigations tied to the exchange have expanded over time, including a probe connected to Sylwester Suszek and BitBay’s later transition to Zondacrypto.

What prosecutors say Romana Ż. did

In their official announcement, prosecutors alleged that Romana Ż. worked with others to misappropriate funds entrusted to Zondacrypto. The accusation centers on alleged manipulation of computer records without authorization and interference with the processing and transmission of exchange data.

The prosecution’s request for pretrial detention reflects practical concerns beyond the underlying allegations. Prosecutors argued that keeping the suspect free could increase the risk he would not appear for proceedings, or could otherwise interfere with the investigation, according to the Monday announcement. The court’s decision will be relevant to how quickly the case proceeds and whether investigators can broaden or refine their evidence package.

Earlier arrests and custody requests in the same investigation

These charges follow the prosecution’s earlier action in the broader Zondacrypto investigation. On Sept. 2, three other individuals were detained and subsequently charged with allegations that included money laundering, misappropriation of company assets, and participation in an organized criminal group.

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Polish authorities said a court ordered all three to be held in pretrial detention for up to three months. Together with the Romana Ż. filing, this suggests prosecutors are pursuing the case as a coordinated matter rather than treating it as a set of isolated incidents.

For market participants, such steps typically matter because they can signal to investors that the case is moving from preliminary inquiries into a more evidence-driven phase. They can also affect how quickly affected parties seek restitution, particularly when user funds are involved and the exchange’s operational structure has already collapsed.

How the Zondacrypto probe widened over time

Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted that prosecutors estimated total losses connected to Zondacrypto at no less than 350 million zlotys. The current charges against Romana Ż. do not change that larger figure in the provided material, but they add detail on a specific alleged component of the overall misconduct: manipulation of exchange-related records and disruption of data handling.

Cointelegraph also previously reported that the investigation was merged in July with a separate probe involving the 2022 disappearance of Sylwester Suszek, the founder of BitBay, which was later renamed Zondacrypto. While the newly detailed allegations relate to unauthorized changes to computer records and interference with exchange data processing, the procedural merger indicates investigators have been looking across multiple threads connected to the same corporate and operational history.

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This is one of the reasons the case is being watched closely: when investigations are consolidated, it can reduce the chance that key evidence or patterns remain fragmented across separate legal tracks.

Bankruptcy proceedings continue in parallel

Outside the criminal investigation, Zondacrypto’s corporate operator has also been drawn into a formal insolvency process. The exchange’s Estonian operator, BB Trade Estonia, was declared bankrupt in August, with the first creditors’ meeting scheduled for Sept. 17, according to the information provided.

While the criminal case and insolvency proceedings are distinct, they can interact in important ways. Criminal proceedings may affect how evidence is characterized and what claims can be pursued by creditors and affected users, while insolvency proceedings are typically where restitution and asset recovery efforts move forward—often on a separate timeline.

For users trying to understand recovery prospects, the practical takeaway is that the bankruptcy process is already underway, and criminal charges can shape the long-term narrative of alleged conduct—without necessarily determining the pace or outcome of creditor negotiations in the near term.

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What happens next

Readers should watch for the Katowice-Wschód District Court’s decision on prosecutors’ request for pretrial detention, as well as any subsequent charges as the case develops. With bankruptcy proceedings scheduled to move into the next phase and the investigation spanning multiple alleged misconduct theories, the coming weeks are likely to determine both how fast the criminal matter progresses and how creditors interpret the scale of alleged losses.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Samsung, SK Hynix Lead Kospi Higher as Wall Street Faces Tough Opening After Labor Day

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The KOSPI has seen a return to positive numbers the past month.

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix climbed alongside a broader South Korean rally Tuesday, even as futures pointed toward a weaker Wall Street open following the Labor Day Weekend.

Wall Street reopens Tuesday after the holiday to a tougher macro backdrop. Last week, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to its highest level since November 2023, and the 2-year note touched a January 2025 high, as investors weighed the risk that persistent inflation could keep the Federal Reserve cautious.

Kospi Extends AI-Driven Rally

The Kospi rose 1.25% to 7,083.84 by late morning in Seoul, building on Monday’s advance of more than 4%, its sharpest single-day move in months, as investors bet that artificial intelligence-related earnings would keep beating expectations.

The KOSPI has seen a return to positive numbers the past month.
The KOSPI has seen a return to positive numbers the past month. Image Source: Trading View

Samsung Electronics gained 1.48% to 274,000 won, while SK Hynix jumped 3.65% to 1,848,000 won. State-run Korea Electric Power Co. added 3.82%, and refiner SK Innovation rose 1.6%.

SK Hynix and Samsung are both leading the rise.
SK Hynix and Samsung are both leading the rise. Image Source: Trading View

Hyundai Motor and LG Energy Solution slipped, while the won firmed to 1,338.55 per dollar. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.95% and the small-cap Kosdaq Index rose 0.46%. This underscores how unevenly the AI trade is playing out across the region.

The move follows a recent chip stocks offset Iran tensions report and comes as Goldman Sachs strategist Timothy Moe holds a bullish long-term Kospi target tied to a memory chip earnings recovery.

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Wall Street Braces as Oil Climbs

US index futures signaled a rougher start. Dow futures fell 308 points, or 0.6%, and oil prices touched six-week highs. It comes after Iran and the United States exchanged strikes over the weekend, with Brent crude up 1.1% to $97.31 a barrel.

Rising energy costs are stoking inflation concerns ahead of Thursday’s wholesale and Friday’s consumer price reports.Traders are pricing roughly a 60% chance of a quarter-point Federal Reserve rate hike at next week’s meeting.

The divergence leaves Seoul’s chip-led rally as one of the few bright spots. This is as the markets head into a week dominated by inflation data and Middle East risk.

The post Samsung, SK Hynix Lead Kospi Higher as Wall Street Faces Tough Opening After Labor Day appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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The Cure for Cancer is Becoming an Investable Opportunity: Analyst Sees $600 Million for Tempus AI

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The Cure for Cancer is Becoming an Investable Opportunity: Analyst Sees $600 Million for Tempus AI

Personalized cancer vaccines from Moderna and Merck have added more than $50 billion in combined market value for the two drugmakers. That momentum is opening a less obvious investing lane in the diagnostics work behind every dose.

The vaccines depend on genetic sequencing to identify the mutations each patient’s immune system should target. That step may be emerging as its own investable opportunity, separate from the vaccines themselves.

A Recurring Business, Not a One-Time Sale

Every personalized cancer vaccine requires a tumor to be sequenced first. Analysts view that step as a recurring, per-patient revenue stream. It is not a one-time service tied to a single drug launch.

One of the diagnostics companies positioned to benefit is Tempus AI, a genomic-sequencing firm. Tempus has said it will serve as the sequencing partner if the Moderna-Merck vaccine wins regulatory approval.

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Moderna’s own shares have also benefited from investor enthusiasm for its wider drug pipeline, part of a pipeline-driven stock rally that predates the vaccine news.

Moderna’s stock is up dramatically this month after the news of its cancer vaccine. Image Source: Trading View

Piper Sandler estimates the melanoma vaccine could generate at least $50 million in annual sequencing revenue, if regulators approve it. BTIG analyst Mark Massaro projects that figure could exceed $600 million.

That estimate assumes expansion into lung, bladder, and kidney cancers. Therefore, Massaro said, that opportunity is barely reflected in Tempus AI’s stock today.

The Bigger Prize May Come After Treatment

However, the larger opportunity may not be the upfront sequencing fee. After treatment, doctors still need to monitor patients for cancer recurrence. That monitoring often relies on a blood test called minimal residual disease (MRD) testing, which searches for trace tumor DNA.

Bioaxia CEO Douglas Eby, whose firm holds both Tempus and Personalis shares, sees the sequencing step as a customer-acquisition funnel. He said sequencing brings patients into Tempus’s ecosystem, while MRD testing could bring them back for years of monitoring.

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Tempus also saw a spike at the same time as Moderna, but no where near as large.
Tempus also saw a spike at the same time as Moderna, but no where near as large. Image Source: Trading View

Investors view MRD testing as a multibillion-dollar opportunity. Meanwhile, Natera currently controls most of that market, with a valuation near $45 billion.

The mRNA cancer-vaccine space remains unproven. Just weeks after Moderna’s positive trial results, rival BioNTech suffered a setback in a mid-stage colorectal cancer vaccine trial. That reversal shows how quickly sentiment can shift in this sector.

Pharmaceutical companies could also eventually handle some sequencing in-house. They could also split the work among competing diagnostic labs, leaving diagnostics firms with a smaller share of the business than investors currently expect.

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Goldman Sachs Says Oil Could Hit $120 as Trump Dismisses Diplomacy with Iran

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Brent Crude is fast approaching $100 as tensions mount in the Middle East.

Brent crude is trading near $97 a barrel as Goldman Sachs warns oil could hit $120 after President Trump abandoned diplomacy with Iran for a blockade.

Daan Struyven, Goldman’s co-head of global commodities research, said Monday the $120 level is possible if shipping attacks broaden and intensify. Iran, meanwhile, is weighing new tactics to widen the standoff.

Goldman Sees Oil At $120 As Diplomacy Collapses

Trump has swapped negotiations for military strikes, sanctions, and a blockade halting Iranian imports and exports.

“isn’t worth the paper it’s written on”

Donald Trump, CNN

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The pressure has left Iran’s population strained, while Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has stayed in hiding for six months.

Mohsen Rezaei heads Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, the country’s top security body. He said Sunday Iran needs a new strategy for the blockade, negotiations, and the war itself.

He floated a new exclusion zone across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, expanding Iran’s restrictions beyond the strait.

Brent Crude is fast approaching $100 as tensions mount in the Middle East.
Brent Crude is fast approaching $100 as tensions mount in the Middle East. Image Source: Trading Economics

Iran and Oman are also negotiating a temporary route, reviving the Hormuz corridor talks that briefly cooled oil last month. Whether Washington will accept the arrangement is still an open question.

Monday’s warning is not Goldman’s first. The bank first flagged a possible return to $120 in July, months before the current price spike.

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Brent Nears $100 As Attacks Widen

Brent rose towards $98 a barrel Monday, its highest level since late July. The gain followed weekend US strikes on three Iranian tankers. A Monday attack also hit Saudi Aramco, the Saudi state oil company, in Jizan.

Energy Aspects, an oil market research firm, says oil inventories outside China have fallen sharply. Reserves are down more than 400 million barrels since the war began. Commodity funds are turning bullish as reserves near a tipping point, adding to the pressure whipsawing Wall Street.

Diesel prices have already climbed to record highs, trading more than $100 a barrel above crude in the US. Analysts call it a sign the crunch is already here.

Hamidreza Azizi is an Iran analyst at the International Crisis Group, a global conflict think tank. He said Tehran likely wants calibrated escalation, not full-scale war. That could mean pressure on shipping, US bases, or energy sites.

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He warned that miscalculation, not intent, is now the biggest risk of a wider war.

The post Goldman Sachs Says Oil Could Hit $120 as Trump Dismisses Diplomacy with Iran appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Ethereum developers unlock new use for EIP-8141 frames

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Ethereum developer Derek Chiang said on Sept. 7 that EIP-8141’s authors had found a way to express several transaction features as programmable contract calls instead of adding them separately to Ethereum’s transaction envelope.

Summary

  • Ethereum developers say EIP-8141 can express transaction features through contract calls known as programmable frames.
  • Frames could support expiry, signature aggregation, privacy proofs and post-transaction assertions without new envelope fields.
  • EIP-8141 is scheduled for Hegotá, though its specification remains draft and activation dates remain unset.
  • Developers are coordinating EIP-8141 with EIP-8130 to preserve structure and improve transaction readability for infrastructure.
  • Vitalik Buterin argues separating transaction actions and dependencies could enable parallel validation and lower costs.

Chiang, an EIP-8141 co-author and Ethlabs contributor, described the development as a “design breakthrough” in a post discussing recent work by the proposal’s authors. The approach treats transaction expiry, aggregate signatures, privacy-pool Merkle roots and post-transaction assertions as calls called “frames.”

The official draft specification defines a Frame Transaction as a sequence of contract calls. Different frames can validate a transaction, approve its gas payment or execute user operations. The proposal currently provides three modes: DEFAULT, VERIFY and SENDER.

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A VERIFY frame can check whether a required condition is satisfied. A SENDER frame executes an operation from the account identified as the transaction sender. Frames can also be grouped into atomic batches, meaning every operation in a batch succeeds together or the entire group reverts.

The proposal still defines a base transaction envelope containing fields such as the chain identifier, nonce, sender, fees, signatures and frame list. Chiang’s point is narrower: developers may be able to introduce more functionality through new frame targets and call patterns without creating another envelope format for every feature.

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A stable envelope could reduce coordination work

Changing an Ethereum transaction envelope affects more than execution clients. Wallets, Layer 2 networks, block explorers, signing devices, software libraries and infrastructure providers must all understand the new format.

Chiang said Ethereum upgrades occur roughly every nine months, making repeated envelope changes slow and coordination-heavy. A sufficiently general frame format could serve as a stable interface while contracts or designated protocol components provide new validation methods.

That does not mean future functionality would never require a network upgrade. EIP-8141 itself changes Ethereum’s consensus rules and requires client implementation. New opcodes, precompiles or gas rules could also require hard forks. The proposed benefit is that developers would not necessarily need to redesign the transaction container each time.

The EIP-8141 specification lists native account abstraction among its main goals. It could support key rotation, alternative signature systems, sponsored gas payments and transaction batching. It also aims to reduce Ethereum accounts’ dependence on the secp256k1 signature system used by conventional externally owned accounts.

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As crypto.news reported in its coverage of Vitalik Buterin’s proposed Ethereum transaction redesign, programmable validation could eventually help Ethereum adopt new authentication systems without replacing one fixed signature scheme with another.

EIP-8130 could make frames easier to inspect

Chiang also acknowledged a tradeoff. Highly abstract transactions can become difficult for wallets, sequencers and other infrastructure to analyze before execution. An Layer 2 sequencer might, for example, want to accept only specified signature methods because their computational costs are predictable.

Developers are therefore exploring how frames could work with EIP-8130, another draft account-abstraction proposal. EIP-8130 creates an onchain keystore where accounts register actors and authenticator contracts. Transactions explicitly identify their authentication method.

That structure allows a node to determine which validation process a transaction requires before running arbitrary wallet code. Under EIP-8130’s proposed Layer 2 profile, a chain could restrict its transaction path to a canonical set of fixed-cost authenticators while leaving other authentication methods available through ordinary EVM execution.

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Chiang said EIP-8130 could impose defined structures over EIP-8141 frames. The collaboration could preserve the flexibility of frames while giving wallets and high-throughput chains a more legible transaction format. The combined design has not been finalized, and both specifications remain open to revision.

Earlier crypto.news coverage examined the competition between EIP-8141 and EIP-8130 during the initial Hegotá scoping process. The latest comments suggest developers are now looking for compatible elements rather than treating the proposals only as mutually exclusive alternatives.

Buterin connects frames with parallel validation

Vitalik Buterin expanded on the technical direction in a separate post, distinguishing between transaction “actions” and “dependencies.” An action changes Ethereum’s state, such as transferring ETH. A dependency is a condition that must be satisfied, such as a signature, Merkle proof or zero-knowledge proof.

Buterin argued that independent dependencies could be checked in parallel. Conditions that do not access Ethereum state could potentially be processed once by the mempool instead of being repeated during execution. Multiple checks might eventually be represented by a recursive STARK proof, although that remains a research direction rather than an approved feature.

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The distinction could also help clients separate predictable transactions from operations requiring Ethereum’s full dynamic execution environment. Buterin said more statically analyzable activity could receive lower gas costs and scale further. No such fee schedule has been approved.

The frame model provides a potential interface for that approach because validation and execution appear as identifiable calls. Ethereum would retain flexible contract execution while allowing simpler transactions to declare more information about their requirements.

EIP-8141 is scheduled, but dates remain open

The official Hegotá Meta EIP now lists Frame Transactions and FOCIL as scheduled for inclusion in Ethereum’s Hegotá upgrade. That represents stronger status than earlier consideration, but it does not freeze EIP-8141’s current technical design.

EIP-8141 remains marked as a draft Core proposal. Its authors can revise the frame modes, signature handling, gas accounting and relationship with EIP-8130 as implementation work continues. The Hegotá document also leaves the Sepolia, Hoodi and mainnet activation fields blank.

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The next measurable steps include updated specifications, execution-client implementations, development networks and interoperability testing with wallets and Layer 2 systems. Developers must also examine mempool denial-of-service risks because programmable validation can make rejecting invalid transactions more computationally expensive.

Testing will determine whether the proposed combination of flexible frames and structured authenticators can meet the needs of Ethereum’s base layer and faster EVM chains. Until activation parameters are published, EIP-8141 remains a scheduled but unfinished part of Hegotá.

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