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Crypto World

Gemini Sent $10M in Bitcoin to Trump PAC after Joint Motion with CFTC

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Gemini Sent $10M in Bitcoin to Trump PAC after Joint Motion with CFTC

With a court set to consider a reversal of a $5 million settlement from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC’s) case with cryptocurrency exchange Gemini, the company has sent $10 million in Bitcoin (BTC) to a super political action committee (PAC) supporting President Donald Trump.

According to the MAGA Inc. Super PAC’s July report to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) filed on Monday, the Gemini Trust Company run by co-founders Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss sent two separate contributions of more than $5 million in Bitcoin on June 19. 

The donation, which the PAC may use for independent expenditures to support Trump, was recorded about three weeks after the CFTC filed a joint motion with Gemini in federal court in an attempt to reverse a January 2025 settlement over the company allegedly making false or misleading statements. CFTC Chair Michael Selig claimed at the time that the agency under former US President Joe Biden “politically targeted” the Winklevosses through enforcement actions.

In addition to the recent MAGA Inc. contributions, the Winklevoss brothers each donated $1 million to Trump’s 2024 election campaign and supported the then-candidate through social media posts.  Following Trump taking office in January 2025, the twins attended the signing ceremony for a stablecoin payments bill, the GENIUS Act, backed his sons’ crypto mining venture American Bitcoin and contributed $21 million in Bitcoin to the Digital Freedom Fund PAC in an effort to “support President Trump and his administration’s efforts” related to crypto policy.

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Related: Crypto companies have spent $189M so far on 2026 US election cycle: Report

Since attorneys filed the joint CFTC-Gemini motion with the US District Court for the Southern District of New York in May, there has been no decision posted to the public docket. Cointelegraph reached out to the CFTC and Gemini’s counsel, Avi Perry, for comment on the $10 million contribution but did not receive an immediate response. A CFTC spokesperson told Cointelegraph in June that both sides “agreed that the $5 million penalty will not be returned to Gemini” if granted by the court.

In a June letter to Selig, Senator Elizabeth Warren called the joint motion for reversal and other factors as “concerning signs of a CFTC beholden to political pressures and interests of the wealthy insiders, unbound by the rule of law and failing to protect investors and market integrity.”

As of June 30, MAGA Inc. reported receiving more than $397 million.

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Selig remains sole CFTC commissioner with no nominations announced

The CFTC chair, a Republican who was confirmed by the US Senate in December 2025, remains the only member in what is usually a bipartisan group of five commissioners heading the agency.

Many lawmakers have been pressing Trump to announce additional nominations for the financial regulator as Congress considers comprehensive crypto market structure legislation, the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act. The bill is expected to give the CFTC significant authority in regulating and overseeing digital assets.

As of Thursday, the White House had not announced any nominations for CFTC commissioners, leaving Selig to largely direct the agency’s agenda.

Magazine: Here’s why the CLARITY Act’s ethics deal may be so hard to reach

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Hyperliquid and Robinhood Could Boost Bitcoin’s Next Bull Run

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin may be nearing a more stable trading base, but at least one prominent asset manager says investors shouldn’t pin the next major upside cycle on the same drivers that defined earlier booms. In a new write-up, Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan argues that the next bull market will be powered by deeper TradFi-to-crypto integration—specifically by platforms that can bring crypto’s 24/7 trading features into mainstream financial workflows.

Hougan points to Hyperliquid’s widening footprint and Robinhood’s push into crypto infrastructure as two concrete examples. In parallel, Bitwise data cited by Hougan and a separate X post from Bitwise research head Andre Dragosch suggest that “apparent demand” for BTC may be starting to improve after a prolonged period of weakness.

Key takeaways

  • Matt Hougan (Bitwise) says the next crypto bull market is more likely to be driven by TradFi integrations than by purely crypto-native catalysts.
  • He highlights Hyperliquid’s growing use cases across conventional assets and product expansion as a sign of broader convergence.
  • Hougan sees Robinhood-related infrastructure as another bridge that could help “lift” a wide range of crypto assets.
  • Bitwise’s framework for “apparent demand” indicates BTC demand may be “re-accelerating,” even as spot demand remains a recurring concern.

Why Bitwise thinks the next cycle starts in TradFi

Hougan framed his positioning thesis around the idea that the market’s next sustained expansion will come from crypto benefits becoming easier to access for traditional investors. In a blog post published Wednesday, he asked how to begin positioning for what he expects to be a new bull market and answered with a pair of entities he believes represent convergence from opposite directions.

“By looking at two entities that are leading this convergence from opposite sides: Hyperliquid and Robinhood.”

The underlying premise is that crypto’s structure—particularly constant markets and instant settlement—creates advantages that traditional finance has historically lacked. For Hougan, the key question is not whether Bitcoin will bottom, but whether new demand channels will be able to scale once mainstream firms and familiar interfaces adopt crypto trading patterns.

On Hyperliquid, Hougan emphasized that the platform’s activity is not confined to crypto pairs. According to his description, nearly half of Hyperliquid’s volume is tied to “conventional assets like oil, silver, and the S&P 500,” and the venue is reportedly expanding into spot commodities, prediction markets, and options.

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That mix matters because it signals an appetite for trading experiences that look and feel familiar while still operating with crypto-native mechanics. If those flows continue to grow, Hougan argues that the effect should reach beyond isolated tokens and instead support the broader sector.

The “rising tide” thesis for majors and crypto equities

Hougan also ties his outlook to the competitive pressure from traditional financial players entering the crypto ecosystem through infrastructure and distribution. He referenced Robinhood’s “Chain layer-2 network” as an example of how legacy finance might become more directly connected to crypto market dynamics.

“I suspect the coming bull market will be big enough to lift most of the sector.”

From there, he lays out a portfolio-style approach: he says he remains bullish on major assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, while also expressing optimism about crypto equities. The common thread in his argument is that broadening participation tends to support liquidity across the market, not just the most narrative-driven names.

Hougan’s positioning aligns with his broader tone entering 2026. Earlier this year, he argued that the end of the “crypto winter” could arrive sooner than expected, and he maintained that view while markets continued to work through weakness.

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BTC: “apparent demand” shows a possible reversal

While Hougan’s thesis focuses on what could power the next cycle, the day-to-day question for traders is whether Bitcoin’s demand backdrop is stabilizing. Cointelegraph previously reported that many market participants were looking for bottoming signals, but also suggested the bear phase could still have months left depending on how spot demand evolves.

In that context, the spotlight has remained on the question of whether spot buying is returning—particularly on shorter time frames where demand can appear fragile even when longer-term conditions are improving.

However, Bitwise is pointing to a different metric that may be shifting. According to an X post on Thursday by Andre Dragosch, Bitwise’s European head of research, BTC “apparent demand” is “re-accelerating.” Dragosch’s post frames the change as a meaningful departure from the prior slowdown.

What “apparent demand” means: it measures the difference between newly mined BTC and the supply that has remained inactive for at least one year. In effect, it provides a way to infer whether recently produced coins are being absorbed rather than circulating from dormant holdings.

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That distinction matters for investors because a sustained improvement in apparent demand can indicate that the market is finding new buyers—even if spot volumes are not yet fully convincing across every trading window. Still, the metric is not identical to spot demand, and it won’t resolve instantly the question of where a bottom will form on price alone.

What to watch next as TradFi integration and demand signals collide

Hougan’s argument implies that even if Bitcoin’s near-term chart shows gradual stabilization, the bigger inflection point will likely depend on how quickly mainstream access and crypto trading mechanics begin to reinforce each other. Hyperliquid’s ability to attract volume tied to conventional assets and its expansion into additional derivatives-style products could provide one path, while Robinhood-related ecosystem development is another.

At the same time, BTC investors appear to be watching for whether the “re-accelerating” apparent demand signal persists beyond a short burst. If apparent demand continues to improve while broader spot demand recovers, the market may be closer to a durable transition than “bottom” headlines alone would suggest.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Dem senator calls GOP’s CLARITY ethics proposal a ‘piece of shit’: Politico

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Dem senator calls GOP’s CLARITY ethics proposal a ‘piece of shit’: Politico

Dem senator calls GOP’s CLARITY ethics proposal a ‘piece of shit’: Politico

On Wednesday, Senate Republicans released the proposed text for the CLARITY Act, which has been met with pushback from Democrats regarding ethics provisions.

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Crypto wrench attacks reach 52 as financial exposure hits $124M: CertiK

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Crypto wrench attacks reach 52 as financial exposure hits $124M: CertiK

Crypto-related “wrench attacks” continued through the first half of 2026, with 52 verified incidents worldwide and $124.1 million in recorded financial exposure, according to CertiK. 

Summary

  • CertiK recorded 52 wrench attacks in H1 2026, with financial exposure reaching $124.1 million worldwide.
  • France accounted for 33 verified incidents as Europe became main center of physical crypto attacks.
  • Home invasions rose from one to 20 cases, becoming the most common attack type recorded.

The total includes stolen funds, ransom demands, frozen assets and other values tied to documented cases, rather than only money confirmed as lost.

The number of attacks rose 33.3% from 39 cases in H1 2025. Recorded financial exposure rose much faster from about $10.5 million a year earlier. CertiK calculated a 1,079% increase, while average exposure per incident climbed from roughly $270,000 to $2.39 million.

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Meanwhile, the first quarter drove most of the increase in attack frequency. CertiK recorded 35 incidents in Q1 2026, compared with 22 during the same period last year. Activity then slowed to 17 verified attacks in the second quarter, matching the Q2 2025 total.

CertiK cautioned that its financial figures are “indicative, not exhaustive.” Some victims do not report attacks, while public records may not show whether ransoms were paid, recovered or frozen. The company therefore treats the $124.1 million figure as recorded exposure rather than confirmed criminal proceeds.

The report also warned against simply doubling the first-half total to predict the full year. A repeat of the H1 pace would put 2026 near 100 verified incidents, but CertiK said the calculation is not a forecast because Q1 and Q2 showed different trends.

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France accounts for most verified wrench attacks

Europe recorded 39 of the 52 verified attacks, or 75% of the global total. France alone accounted for 33 incidents in CertiK’s dataset, equal to 63.5% of all verified cases worldwide and 84.6% of Europe’s total. The U.S. recorded four incidents, while Sweden and the UK recorded two each.

The French total may be higher than CertiK’s verified public dataset. The report cited France’s National Directorate of Judicial Police as recording 41 incidents between January and March. CertiK said some cases can be classified as robbery, kidnapping, assault or extortion without a clear crypto label.

As crypto.news previously reported, France has stepped up its response. Prosecutors charged 88 suspects across 12 investigations by late April, while authorities also prepared prevention measures for crypto holders after a rise in kidnappings and home invasions.

Home invasions become the leading attack method

Home invasions showed the sharpest change. CertiK recorded 20 such incidents in H1 2026, up from one in the same period last year. The category accounted for about 41% of first-half attacks. Kidnappings increased from 12 to 16, while torture remained at four cases and murder at one.

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Wrench attacks rely on physical force, threats or intimidation to make victims transfer crypto, reveal private keys or unlock wallets. This can bypass digital safeguards because an attacker targets the person controlling the assets rather than the wallet software itself.

Recent cases have also involved relatives and people close to crypto holders.The wife of The Sandbox co-founder Sébastien Borget was targeted in an attempted kidnapping in France. Other reports have described attackers using fake delivery workers to gain access to victims.

Security spending rises as threats move offline

The increase in physical attacks has pushed some crypto companies to spend more on executive protection. As previously reported by crypto.news, Coinbase spent about $8.7 million on security and protection costs linked to CEO Brian Armstrong in 2025, while Gemini agreed to pay $400,000 per month for executive protection services.

MARA also disclosed $4.3 million in security spending connected to CEO Fred Thiel, including $430,000 for vehicle armoring. These costs have grown as public executives, investors and founders face risks tied to visible crypto wealth and personal information available online.

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CertiK advised holders to limit public information connecting their identity, location and routines to crypto ownership. It also recommended separating signing devices from recovery materials, using multi-party controls for large holdings and avoiding setups in which one person can instantly move all assets under pressure.

The firm also urged families to prepare emergency plans and advised high-risk users to keep sensitive accounts off devices used while traveling. For companies, it recommended tighter controls around employee and customer data, along with security reviews for executives, travel and public events.

The H1 report shows that attack frequency slowed after the first quarter, but the financial value connected to known cases remained far above last year’s level. France accounted for most verified cases, while home invasions became the most common attack method in CertiK’s dataset.

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BitMEX delists 65 trading pairs, derivatives in July amid exchange shutdown

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BitMEX delists 65 trading pairs, derivatives in July amid exchange shutdown

BitMEX delists 65 trading pairs, derivatives in July amid exchange shutdown

BitMEX will have removed 65 derivative contracts and trading pairs in July, compared with just 19 across the first six months of the year.

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Crypto vaults could fall under SEC rules, Hester Peirce warns

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Crypto Mom Hester Peirce to leave SEC as crypto rule work continues

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Commissioner Hester Peirce has warned that some crypto vaults and onchain lending strategies may fall under federal securities laws, depending on how operators structure and manage them.

Summary

  • Peirce warned crypto vaults may trigger securities laws when managers control investment decisions and strategies.
  • Onchain lending can also fall under SEC rules depending on loan structure, distribution, and management.
  • SEC will assess vaults and lending strategies individually rather than treating all products the same.

In a July 22 statement, Peirce said moving financial activity onchain does not remove legal duties when that activity already sits within the SEC’s regulatory scope. She urged developers and operators to examine how their products work instead of assuming blockchain technology places them outside existing law.

Peirce said the SEC has spent the past year and a half clarifying which crypto assets and activities fall under federal securities laws. She also stressed that a more tailored approach to crypto does not mean every product sits outside the agency’s reach.

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“You will have a painful fall,” she said.

The warning targeted market participants who try to interpret the law in ways that exclude activities already covered by the securities framework. Peirce said companies whose products fall inside that framework should work with the SEC to find a compliant path.

Her comments build on a position she took in 2025 when she said tokenized securities remain subject to securities laws. She now applies the same principle to vaults and lending tools: moving a regulated activity to a blockchain does not change its legal character.

How crypto vaults may enter SEC jurisdiction

Crypto vaults let users deposit assets into smart contracts that direct funds toward yield-generating activities such as staking and lending. Some follow fixed rules written into code, while others give managers or curators discretion over where to place funds.

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Peirce said those differences matter. A vault operator may choose strategies, move assets between opportunities or select people who make those decisions. Those functions can bring securities laws into the analysis, depending on the structure and the role of those managing the product.

A vault may resemble an investment contract when users put money into a common enterprise and expect profits from another party’s managerial work. Vaults that hold securities or invest user assets in securities may also fall under investment company rules.

The SEC will look at each arrangement individually. Some vaults may resemble unit investment trusts with mostly fixed portfolios. Others may operate more like actively managed investment companies or separately managed accounts.

Onchain lending can face securities rules too

Peirce gave a similar warning to operators of onchain lending products. These systems let users deposit assets that borrowers can use in exchange for fees or interest. Operators may set rates, choose supported assets, set loan-to-value limits and decide when liquidations occur.

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Those decisions can bring securities rules into play even when the assets being lent are not securities. Peirce said some onchain loans may have features associated with notes that qualify as securities, depending on the parties’ reasons for the transaction, distribution plans and other factors.

People who manage vaults or lending strategies may also need to consider investment adviser rules. The SEC will assess each product based on its specific facts and circumstances while staying within the authority Congress gave the agency.

The statement also connects with the SEC’s wider work on tokenized markets. As crypto.news previously reported, Peirce pushed back against expectations that the agency’s planned innovation exemption would open the door to every form of tokenized stock trading.

SEC keeps a case-by-case approach as crypto rules evolve

Peirce did not call for a ban on crypto vaults or onchain lending. Instead, she invited developers and operators to contact the SEC when they are unsure whether their products fall under federal securities laws. She also asked the industry to suggest rule changes where current regulations block new technology.

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The statement comes as the SEC continues reviewing tokenization. On July 22, securities transfer groups urged the agency to favor issuer-backed tokenized stocks and draw clearer lines around third-party products that may not provide direct ownership rights.

Meanwhile, as previously reported, Peirce plans to leave the SEC in November to join Regent University School of Law. She has led the Crypto Task Force since January 2025 while the agency has worked on token status, registration and market structure.

Lawmakers are also working on the CLARITY Act, which aims to define the roles of the SEC and Commodity Futures Trading Commission across digital asset markets. The legislation remains part of the wider debate over how U.S. regulators should divide oversight of crypto activities.

Peirce’s statement leaves room for crypto vaults and lending strategies outside SEC jurisdiction. It also makes clear that blockchain technology alone does not remove federal securities duties when a product performs functions already covered by those laws.

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U.S., other nations back open-source AI with ‘strong security’ at China summit

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U.S., other nations back open-source AI with 'strong security' at China summit

Li Lecheng, China’s Minister of Industry and Information Technology, spoke at a press conference on July 23, 2026, in Chengdu, China, as part of the APEC Digital Weeks.

Evelyn Cheng | CNBC

CHENGDU, China — Governments increasingly want to control artificial intelligence, as companies release more powerful open-source models, a new multilateral statement indicates.

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The 21 APEC member economies, which include the U.S. and China, released a “Chengdu statement” on AI that emphasized respect for “security, data protection and intellectual property rights,” while calling for supporting open-source development.

The statement released Thursday also specified support for models and projects “that employ strong security assurance through development and deployment.”

Those details reflect how open source is moving further away from its libertarian roots, and toward one involving more state oversight. China has led recent open-source AI development, amid U.S. claims of stealing from American tech to do so.

Open-source models from Chinese companies such as DeepSeek and GLM 5.2 are free to use and download, in contrast to U.S. companies such as Anthropic that only offer closed, pay-to-use AI models.

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The Chengdu statement’s “explicit alignment around open-source ecosystems and compute infrastructure” confirms that Asia-Pacific is moving away from closed models to open-weight systems that are combined with state-coordinated energy, telecom and digital infrastructure, said Winston Ma,  adjunct professor of law at New York University,

The APEC AI statement is the first one to include open-source cooperation at a minister level, according to Li Lecheng, China’s industry and information technology minister, who chaired the leaders’ meeting on Thursday.

He noted all parties recognized the risks of AI, and encouraged dialogue across the government, private sector and academia to share information about cybersecurity, supply chain resilience and online scams.

The comments come amid growing reports that Washington and Beijing seek tighter controls on homegrown AI capabilities.

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“Getting 21 economies, including both China and the United States, to recognize trusted open-source AI as something worth supporting is meaningful,” said Wei Sun, principal analyst, artificial intelligence, Counterpoint Research.

“The phrase ‘strong security assurance’ gives more security-conscious economies room to support open models while still demanding testing, transparency, data protection and deployment controls,” she said. “The debate is moving beyond open vs. closed and towards: who can now build an open ecosystem that is also trusted enough for governments and enterprises to deploy.”

But technology might end up moving much faster.

Janet De Silva, chair of the APEC Business Advisory Council Digital and innovation working group, earlier on Thursday urged the ministers to prepare for the quantum computing era.

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“We need trusted encryption to ensure the security of our entire financial system, ensuring that quantum computing is not only a security measure but also an opportunity to bring competitiveness.”

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Kazakhstan Greenlights Crypto Mining Rules Linked to National Reserves

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Crypto Breaking News

Kazakhstan has approved a new regulatory framework for large-scale “strategic” crypto mining that ties access to electricity quotas at regulated tariffs to participation in a state-backed digital asset reserve. The rules were approved on July 18, according to Zakon.kz, which cited Government Resolution No. 638 published in Kazakhstan’s PRG.kz legal database.

Under the framework, designated miners receive electricity access in exchange for transferring part of the cryptocurrency they mine to Astana Hub, a government-supported technology cluster. The Kremlin of mining policy is likely to be felt first by industrial operators looking to scale, as the new model sets relatively high technical and infrastructure thresholds before a company can qualify.

Key takeaways

  • Kazakhstan’s strategic digital mining rules link regulated electricity tariff access to transfers of mined crypto assets to Astana Hub.
  • Applicants must meet infrastructure requirements, including a mining data center capacity of at least 150 MW and hardware with minimum 150 TH/s per unit.
  • The framework introduces additional operational and compliance conditions, including staffing, repair capabilities, internet service contracts, and being current on tax and other payments.
  • The government resolution is set to enter into force on Aug. 1, 2026.

Why Kazakhstan’s “strategic” model matters

Kazakhstan is widely recognized as one of the world’s largest Bitcoin mining jurisdictions. In the April 2025 Cambridge Digital Mining Industry Report, it ranked fifth globally by Bitcoin mining activity, according to the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance. The approval of this new framework suggests the country wants to keep mining activity moving while steering it into a more formal state-linked structure.

Investors and operators should pay attention to how the policy could change the economics of mining. Instead of purely commercial arrangements for power and site operations, “strategic” miners will gain access to electricity quotas at regulated tariffs, but in return they must participate in a reserve mechanism tied to Astana Hub. That trade-off effectively adds a new policy-driven cost component—sharing mined assets—while potentially improving power affordability for eligible participants.

Eligibility requirements: a high bar for applicants

The rules define strategic digital mining as an arrangement that grants miners electricity quotas at regulated tariffs, contingent on transferring a portion of mined assets to Astana Hub. Zakon.kz reports that applicants must satisfy strict prerequisites before they can be recognized as strategic miners.

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Among the cited requirements, mining companies must:

  • Own a digital mining data center with at least 150 megawatts (MW) of capacity.
  • Use mining hardware where each unit has a minimum computing power of 150 terahashes per second (TH/s).
  • Have qualified technical staff and repair facilities located at their data centers.
  • Maintain multiple internet service contracts.
  • Be current on required tax and other payments.

In addition, the rules place the operational burden on firms to demonstrate readiness beyond just having equipment and power. For large-scale operators, this may reinforce an industry shift toward purpose-built facilities and contracted power and connectivity. For smaller miners, it could mean the “strategic” pathway is out of reach even if electricity costs are attractive.

Electricity access traded for a mined-asset reserve

Once approved, strategic miners must enter into agreements connected to Astana Hub’s autonomous cluster fund and purchase electricity from eligible power-generating companies under the new framework. The policy is designed to function like a barter between subsidized or regulated electricity access and transfers into a reserve mechanism.

However, the precise transfer percentage is not stated in the publicly described summary of the rules. Local media cited a 10% transfer rate, but the article notes that Cointelegraph could not independently verify that figure. For market participants, that uncertainty is significant: even small changes in the transfer share can materially affect cash flow and treasury planning for mining firms.

The reserve mechanism also reflects a broader policy direction: Kazakhstan appears to be building state-linked digital asset infrastructure rather than leaving mining incentives entirely to market forces. This approach could influence how miners structure operations, including whether they treat mined reserves as liquid holdings or as assets bound by policy transfer obligations.

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A wider state-backed crypto push

The strategic mining framework arrives as Kazakhstan expands the role of state-backed structures in the crypto sector. In September 2025, Kazakhstan launched the Alem Crypto Fund, described in earlier coverage as a state-backed vehicle focused on long-term digital asset reserves, with its first investment involving BNB through a partnership with Binance Kazakhstan (as reported by Cointelegraph).

Kazakhstan has also been moving toward regulated crypto-related financial services. In July 2026, Alatau City Bank and Binance Kazakhstan launched Crypto Pay, a service allowing users to make crypto payments via QR codes and point-of-sale terminals integrated into the bank’s acquiring network, according to the bank’s announcement on its website.

These steps—mining policy, a reserve fund, and payment infrastructure—point to a coordinated national approach: rather than treating crypto as a purely private activity, Kazakhstan is assembling mechanisms that funnel participation into government-supported platforms and compliance-oriented channels.

As the strategic mining rules transition from approval to implementation, the most important details to watch are how the reserve transfer works in practice—especially the actual share miners must contribute—and how the eligibility requirements will be enforced during the run-up to the Aug. 1, 2026 effective date. For miners, the next question is whether the promise of regulated electricity quotas will outweigh the added reserve transfer obligation for companies that qualify.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Why Bitcoin’s Latest Bounce Back to $65,000 Might Not Last

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Why Bitcoin’s Latest Bounce Back to $65,000 Might Not Last

Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $65,000 after climbing about 13% from its late-June low near $58,000. However, on-chain analysis suggests the bounce remains a relief rally rather than a confirmed recovery.

Unrealized losses remain larger than during the February crash, and spot demand continues to contract. Meanwhile, the price is below almost every major cost-basis model tracked on-chain.

On-Chain Analysis Shows Deeper Losses Than the February Crash

Glassnode data shows unrealized profit collapsed from roughly $1.4 trillion at the October 2025 peak. By late June, it fell to about $400 billion, the lowest reading of the cycle.

Net Unrealized Profit/Loss also bottomed lower in June than during the February crash, despite similar prices both times. The gap indicates coins changed hands during the drawdown, lifting the market’s aggregate cost basis.

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BTC Unrealized Profit Loss. Source: Glassnode

Unrealized losses held between $200 billion and $300 billion for most of 2026. In contrast, they hovered near zero throughout 2025. Such prolonged pain historically resembles late-stage capitulation, and early bottom signals have already appeared elsewhere.

July brought some relief. Unrealized profit recovered to roughly $500 billion as losses narrowed. For the signal to flip bullish, however, profit must expand beyond its spring high near $580 billion.

Futures Traders Are the Only Buyers Left

The recovery in holder profitability comes with a caveat. CryptoQuant data shows futures demand flipped back to net positive in July, while spot demand continued to shrink.

The 30-day sum of perpetual futures demand grew by roughly 30,000 to 50,000 BTC this month. However, the April expansion neared 250,000 BTC and fueled the rally to $82,000. Today’s futures appetite is about five times smaller.

BTC Spot and Perpetual Futures Demand Growth. Source: X

Spot demand tells a worse story. The metric has remained negative all year and is now contracting by about 200,000 BTC per month. Total demand collapsed to nearly minus 550,000 BTC in early June, the worst reading of 2026.

Bounces built on leverage without spot absorption have historically proven fragile. A cooler US inflation print helped BTC break above its mid-June resistance, but organic buyers have yet to return.

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BTC Price Prediction Hinges on the $69,500 Cost Basis

Bitcoin trades below three of the four major on-chain valuation models. Only the Realized Price at $52,900 remains as support beneath the market.

BTC key on-chain market indicators. Source: X

The price last spent this long between the Realized Price and the True Market Mean during the 2022 bear market. Every attempt to reclaim the Short-Term Holder (STH) cost basis since late 2025 has failed, including the March rebound.

The first real victory for bulls sits at $69,500, about 6% above the current price. Reclaiming it would return most recent buyers to profit, a shift that has historically marked the start of recovery phases.

On-chain model Level Position vs. price
Active Realized Price $83,500 27% above
True Market Mean $76,200 16% above
Short-Term Holder Cost Basis $69,500 6% above
Realized Price $52,900 19% below

Losing the $52,900 Realized Price would signal a deep bear market instead. One projection already points to a potential Q4 bottom near $44,000.

The Federal Reserve’s next rate decision could accelerate the move in either direction. A reclaim of $69,500 could open the path to the $76,200 True Market Mean, while rejection risks another test of $58,000.

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The Death of Slow Payments: How Blockchain Is Rewriting Finance

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The Death of Slow Payments: How Blockchain Is Rewriting Finance

Introduction

For decades, moving money has been one of the slowest parts of the global financial system. While the internet allows emails, videos, and messages to travel across the world in seconds, international bank transfers can still take several business days. Businesses face settlement delays, individuals pay high remittance fees, and financial institutions rely on outdated infrastructure that was designed long before the digital era.

Blockchain technology is changing this reality.

By enabling direct, secure, and near-instant value transfer without relying on multiple intermediaries, blockchain is transforming how money moves. From cross-border payments and decentralized finance (DeFi) to stablecoins and tokenized assets, a new financial system is emerging—one where payments settle in minutes or even seconds instead of days.


Why Traditional Payments Are Slow

The traditional banking system relies on a network of intermediaries. When someone sends money internationally, the payment often passes through multiple correspondent banks before reaching the recipient.

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This creates several problems:

  • Settlement delays of 2–5 business days
  • High transaction and foreign exchange fees
  • Limited banking hours
  • Manual compliance processes
  • Greater operational risk

Each institution maintains its own ledger, so balances must be reconciled constantly before transactions are finalized.

The result is a financial system that prioritizes security—but often at the cost of speed and efficiency.


Blockchain Changes the Payment Model

Blockchain replaces isolated financial ledgers with a shared, distributed ledger where transactions are verified by network participants.

Instead of relying on multiple banks to update records independently, blockchain establishes a single source of truth.

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Benefits include:

  • Near real-time settlement
  • 24/7 global availability
  • Transparent transaction history
  • Lower processing costs
  • Reduced reliance on intermediaries

This shift allows value to move almost as easily as information travels across the internet.


Stablecoins Are Leading the Revolution

One of blockchain’s biggest breakthroughs is the rise of stablecoins.

Unlike volatile cryptocurrencies, stablecoins are pegged to fiat currencies such as the U.S. dollar.

Businesses increasingly use stablecoins for:

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  • International supplier payments
  • Payroll
  • Treasury management
  • Cross-border settlements
  • Merchant transactions

Because stablecoins operate on blockchain networks, transfers can settle within minutes while maintaining predictable value.

This makes them practical for real-world commerce rather than speculative investing alone.


Cross-Border Payments Become Borderless

International money transfers have traditionally been expensive.

Workers sending remittances often lose a significant percentage of their income to transfer fees.

Businesses encounter:

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  • Banking delays
  • Currency conversion costs
  • Compliance bottlenecks
  • Liquidity management challenges

Blockchain enables peer-to-peer settlement across countries without requiring every transaction to pass through multiple financial institutions.

For developing economies, this could significantly improve financial inclusion by giving people faster and cheaper access to global financial services.


Decentralized Finance Extends the Possibilities

Blockchain payments are only one piece of a much larger transformation.

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) allows users to:

  • Borrow assets
  • Lend capital
  • Earn yield
  • Swap tokens
  • Access liquidity

—all without traditional banks acting as intermediaries.

As payment infrastructure becomes faster, DeFi protocols can settle transactions almost instantly, creating financial products that operate continuously rather than during banking hours.

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Tokenization Is Expanding Digital Finance

Blockchain is also enabling tokenized versions of:

  • Stocks
  • Bonds
  • Treasury bills
  • Commodities
  • Real estate
  • Carbon credits

Instead of waiting days for ownership transfers and settlement, tokenized assets can often move much faster on blockchain networks.

This reduces administrative costs while improving liquidity.

The combination of tokenized assets and instant settlement could reshape capital markets over the next decade.


Businesses Benefit From Faster Settlement

For companies, payment speed directly impacts cash flow.

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When settlements take days:

  • Capital remains locked
  • Suppliers wait longer
  • Inventory purchases slow
  • Working capital becomes less efficient

Instant settlement allows businesses to recycle capital more quickly.

This can improve:

  • Liquidity management
  • Treasury operations
  • International trade
  • Vendor relationships

For small businesses especially, faster access to funds can significantly improve day-to-day operations.


Challenges Still Remain

Blockchain adoption is accelerating, but several challenges remain.

Regulation

Governments continue developing frameworks for digital assets, stablecoins, and decentralized financial services.

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Scalability

Major blockchain networks continue improving throughput to support billions of users.

User Experience

Managing wallets, private keys, and blockchain addresses remains more complex than using traditional banking apps.

Security

Smart contract vulnerabilities and phishing attacks highlight the importance of education, audits, and secure infrastructure.


The Future of Payments

The future of finance is unlikely to replace banks entirely.

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Instead, blockchain will increasingly become part of existing financial infrastructure.

Banks are already exploring:

  • Stablecoin settlement
  • Tokenized deposits
  • Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)
  • Real-time payment networks
  • On-chain asset custody

Rather than competing against traditional finance, blockchain is steadily becoming one of its foundational technologies.


Conclusion

The era of waiting days for payments is gradually coming to an end. Blockchain is introducing a financial infrastructure where transactions can settle in near real time, operate around the clock, and reduce costs by minimizing intermediaries. Stablecoins, decentralized finance, and tokenized assets are no longer experimental concepts—they are actively reshaping how individuals, businesses, and institutions exchange value.

As adoption continues to grow, the future of finance will be defined not only by faster payments, but by a more connected, transparent, and accessible global economy. In that future, moving money could become as seamless as sending a message, marking the end of slow payments and the beginning of a new era in digital finance.

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Crypto World

Zilliqa Ledger app flaw exposes private keys, halts ZIL transfers

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Ledger co-founder says $1m Bitcoin may point to fiat stress

Zilliqa has suspended native ZIL transactions after disclosing a critical flaw in its Ledger application that can allow attackers to recover private keys from public transaction signatures. 

Summary

  • Zilliqa halted native transactions after a Ledger app flaw exposed private keys from public signatures.
  • Accounts signing roughly five native transactions with Ledger devices should be treated as compromised permanently.
  • Upbit flagged ZIL as cautionary while EVM transactions and Zilliqa software development kits remain unaffected.

The bug affected every released version of the app from 2019 through 2026 and applies to native, non-EVM transactions signed with Ledger devices.

The network said it observed onchain activity consistent with active exploitation on July 19 and confirmed the root cause on July 21. Zilliqa has prepared a corrected Ledger app build, but the fix cannot protect keys exposed through earlier signatures. Native transactions remained suspended in the latest official update while the team finalized a coordinated recovery plan.

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Zilliqa Ledger bug weakened transaction signatures

The flaw affected how the Zilliqa Ledger app generated Schnorr signatures for native transactions. Each signature needs a fresh random number, known as a nonce, to protect the private key. Zilliqa said the app generated enough random data but copied the wrong 32 bytes into the signing process. The mistake left the highest 64 bits of every nonce fixed at zero.

The reduced randomness allowed attackers to compare several public signatures from the same account and reconstruct its private key. Zilliqa said accounts that broadcast roughly five or more affected native transactions should be treated as compromised. The project said the recovery process can take seconds on ordinary hardware once enough signatures are available.

Because the signatures remain permanently recorded onchain, updating the Ledger app cannot repair an already exposed key. Zilliqa said affected keys must be retired. It also warned against simply moving funds when transactions restart because an attacker holding the recovered key could try to send a competing transaction.

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Native transactions stop while EVM users remain unaffected

Zilliqa suspended native transactions after identifying the flaw, blocking further native transfers while the team develops a method to protect affected balances. The project asked Ledger users who signed native transactions to wait for official instructions.

“Users who have signed native Zilliqa transactions with a Ledger device should await official guidance before taking any action,” Zilliqa noted.

The issue does not affect EVM transactions, according to Zilliqa. The project also said its software development kits, including zilliqa-js, gozilliqa-sdk and pyzil, generate nonces correctly. Users who only transact through EVM-compatible tools therefore sit outside the affected signing path.

Zilliqa credited KuCoin with helping trace the problem. The exchange recovered affected private keys from public signatures, helped confirm active exploitation and assisted in identifying the faulty nonce-generation process. Zilliqa said the cooperation helped it introduce protective measures while preparing a broader recovery plan.

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Upbit places ZIL under caution after disclosure

South Korean exchange Upbit placed ZIL under cautionary status after the vulnerability became public. The designation covers its KRW and BTC markets, while ZIL deposits and withdrawals remain suspended. Trading support could face further review if the issue is not resolved through the exchange’s monitoring process.

The exchange action comes while Zilliqa works on securing balances controlled by keys that may already be recoverable. A corrected Ledger build has been prepared, but the project has not yet published its full recovery procedure or announced when native transactions will resume.

As crypto.news reported on July 20, Zilliqa had already asked exchanges to pause ZIL deposits and withdrawals after an exchange partner reported a cold-wallet theft. At that stage, the project had not disclosed the stolen amount, affected exchange or attack method. Zilliqa has not publicly stated whether that earlier theft was caused by the Ledger flaw.

Bug follows earlier Zilliqa network disruptions

The Ledger vulnerability differs from earlier Zilliqa outages because it affects private-key security rather than block production or node synchronization. Still, the disclosure follows several technical disruptions that affected the network in previous years.

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Moreover, Zilliqa announced a permanent fix in September 2024 after a bug halted block production. The network later suffered another outage in January 2025 linked to node synchronization problems before restoring full service. Zilliqa has not connected those incidents to the Ledger app flaw.

The current issue also sits outside Ledger hardware itself. Zilliqa described the problem as a defect in its own Ledger application’s native signing code. The corrected build restores full-width nonce generation and should prevent new weak signatures once released.

For affected users, the old transaction history remains the main risk. Public signatures cannot be removed from the blockchain. Zilliqa said users who signed about five or more native transactions with a Ledger device should consider their keys compromised and wait for recovery instructions. The network has not announced a date for restoring native transactions.

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