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General Motors (GM) Stock Gets Bullish Upgrade as Analyst Sees Value After Recent Decline

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GM Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • GM receives Outperform rating from Wolfe Research, upgraded from Peer Perform, with price objective set at $96
  • Auto sector stocks have declined approximately 8% in the last three-week period amid broader economic uncertainty
  • Analyst identifies 2027 catalysts including full-size truck refresh projected to add ~$1.7B, warranty expense reduction, and tariff relief
  • Earnings projections from Wolfe show GM reaching $12.37 per share in 2026, climbing to $16.03 in 2027
  • Ford faces potential challenges with Wolfe warning of possible $1.5B EBIT pressure in 2027 from inventory concerns

 

On Wednesday, Wolfe Research elevated its rating on General Motors to Outperform, establishing a $96 price objective for the automaker’s shares. This marks an upgrade from the firm’s previous Peer Perform designation.


GM Stock Card
General Motors Company, GM

The rating adjustment arrives during a challenging period for automotive equities, which have experienced widespread selling pressure throughout the past three weeks. Sector stocks have retreated roughly 8% on average as macroeconomic headwinds sparked investor caution.

In his research note, analyst Emmanuel Rosner observed that automotive stocks typically rank “among the main targets when macro concerns escalate.” However, he emphasized that historical patterns demonstrate these downturns “can also present interesting buying opportunities.”

Following revisions to production forecasts and commodity price projections, Wolfe concluded that the “risk/reward profile now appears more attractive for select names.” General Motors emerged as the firm’s top pick in this reassessment.

The investment firm contends that market participants are overlooking the magnitude of GM’s prospective gains approaching 2027. A significant factor involves the forthcoming full-size pickup truck redesign, which Wolfe projects could contribute approximately $1.7 billion in value.

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Additional positive factors include anticipated declines in warranty-related expenses. Beyond that, Wolfe anticipates a lighter net tariff impact and ongoing enhancements in electric vehicle profitability as supplementary growth drivers.

Wolfe’s financial models project GM will deliver earnings of $12.37 per share during 2026, before advancing to $16.03 in 2027. The firm believes the 2027 earnings potential represents where the market is significantly undervaluing the shares.

BorgWarner and Aptiv Receive Positive Commentary

Wolfe simultaneously elevated BorgWarner to Outperform status in the same research publication. The firm highlighted the manufacturer’s “Power Gen opportunity,” estimating it could contribute approximately $2 billion in sales once fully developed.

Rosner noted that the stock’s recent decline suggests this growth potential remains unrecognized in current valuations. From Wolfe’s perspective, this creates an appealing investment opportunity.

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Regarding Aptiv, Rosner maintained his optimistic outlook in advance of the company’s upcoming corporate separation. He characterized the current environment as “a compelling entry point,” emphasizing robust operational fundamentals in both entities that will emerge from the division.

Ford Faces Cautionary Assessment

Not all automotive manufacturers received favorable commentary. Wolfe identified execution challenges at Ford, noting uncertainty surrounding the company’s 2026 production plans.

The research firm cautioned that elevated year-end inventory levels might generate a $1.5 billion EBIT headwind extending into 2027. Rosner opted not to upgrade Ford’s rating.

The Wolfe analysis demonstrates a discriminating sector strategy rather than widespread optimism. General Motors’ updated truck portfolio and expense management improvements formed the foundation of the upgrade thesis.

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Wolfe’s 2027 earnings estimate of $16.03 per share for GM substantially exceeds current analyst consensus, indicating the firm perceives considerable appreciation potential should these favorable developments unfold as anticipated.

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Crypto World

These 4 Bitcoin Onchain Metrics Point to ‘Weaker Demand’ for BTC

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These 4 Bitcoin Onchain Metrics Point to ‘Weaker Demand’ for BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) price struggled to break above $72,000, as several key onchain metrics highlighted weakening demand for BTC, casting doubts on its upside potential.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin investors shift to distribution as whales and smaller cohorts aggressively sell under weak market conditions.

  • Bitcoin whale transaction count hits multi-year lows, as smart money waits for policy and geopolitical clarity.

  • Bitcoin’s hash rate fell sharply amid rising energy costs, increasing chances of miner capitulation.

Bitcoin investors “shift to distribution”

Bitcoin investors have are increasingly risk-off, distributing their BTC holdings amid the recent price weakness fueled by the US and Israel-Iran war and other macroeconomic headwinds.

Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score (ATS) is near zero (light yellow), indicating that the whales are distributing their BTC holdings or not accumulating. 

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Related: Bitcoin retakes $71K as US sends Iran 15-point ceasefire plan

The drop in the trend score indicates a transition from accumulation to distribution across almost all cohorts. This shift mirrors a similar pattern observed in early 2025, which aligned with Bitcoin’s drop to $74,500 in April 2025. 

Bitcoin accumulation trend score. Source: Glassnode

Additional data from Glassnode shows a “shift toward distribution or inactivity” among small to mid-sized entities holding less than 1,000 BTC.

This is in contrast to “Q4 2024, where broad cohort accumulation preceded a sustained rally,” the onchain data provider said in a Tuesday post on X, adding:

“Heavy participation across wallet sizes remains a precondition for any durable recovery.”

Bitcoin accumulation trend score by cohort. Source: X/Glassnode

Bitcoin whale activity “historically quiet”

Reflecting this distribution or inactive accumulation trend is Bitcoin’s whale activity, which has become “historically quiet,” according to Santiment.

Last week, daily BTC transactions above $100,000 fell to just 6,417, the lowest since September 2023. Meanwhile, transfers exceeding $1 million dropped to 1,485, levels last seen in October 2024. 

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The declining whale activity is largely due to market participants waiting for “clarity from the CLARITY Act,” as well as a long-term solution to the war, according to the data analytics company.

This indicates that “smart money is reluctant to make moves with so much policy and global uncertainty at play,” Santiment added.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Hashrate
Bitcoin whale activity. Source: X/Santiment

Declining Bitcoin network activity

Bitcoin’s inability to sustain the recovery is further evidenced by low network activity and less onchain demand. 

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin network activity index, which tracks key indicators such as daily active addresses, total transactions count, and UTXO count, has been declining since August 2025.

This points to “weaker demand across the network,” CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn said in a recent post on X.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Hashrate
Bitcoin network activity index. Source: CryptoQuant

This aligns with weak onchain fundamentals such as liquidity and network growth as tracked by Bitcoin Vector’s fundamental index.

This metric “keeps trending lower and remains well below the strengthening zone,” Bitcoin Vector said in a Tuesday X post. 

The onchain data provider described the current market conditions as “stability without support,” rather than a healthy consolidation, adding:

“As long as onchain conditions stay weak, upside looks increasingly dependent on flow, short covering, or external catalysts, not organic strength. If fundamentals don’t recover, this kind of divergence usually doesn’t support a sustained mid-term recovery.”

Bitcoin fundamental index. Source: X/Bitcoin Vector

Bitcoin mining hash rate drops 22%

Bitcoin’s hash rate, a metric that shows the level of mining activity, has dropped sharply over the last couple of weeks, meaning miners are shutting down machines.

The hash rate has fallen to 813 EH/s on Wednesday, from 1.2 ZH/s on March 5, representing a 22% decrease.

Bitcoin hash rate. Source: CryptoQuant

Rising energy costs, exacerbated by the US and Israel-Iran war, compressed the hash price below $34 per PH/s/day, which is below many miners’ breakeven levels. 

“Bitcoin miners are losing $19,000 on every coin they produce, and difficulty just dropped 7.8% as the miner exodus accelerates,” analysts at Token Metrics said in a recent post on X, adding:

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“If difficulty drops another 5%+ within the next 7 days, miner capitulation is accelerating and spot sell pressure will intensify.”