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Gold Price Analysis: Why US-Iran Tension Drops XAU Price

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Gold price just broke its own mythology, and this is somewhat resulting in a bearish analysis. The metal that traders have leaned on through wars, recessions, and currency crises dropped 14% this month, not because the world got safer, but because a de-escalation headline was enough to trigger a mass exit.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is trading just below $70,000, posting a 10% gain in a month while Gold bled. That divergence is the story. Donald Trump announced a five-day delay to military strikes on Iran following what he described as “very good and productive” talks, with discussion of joint Strait of Hormuz management and Iran’s potential agreement to halt nuclear pursuits 2 days ago.

Iran subsequently denied negotiations, triggering a partial recovery in gold, but the damage was done. Oil markets reacted similarly, with risk-on flows rotating out of traditional safe havens at speed. The broader question now: is gold’s safe-haven status structurally impaired, or just temporarily out of fashion?

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Gold Price Analysis: Can XAU Reclaim $5,000, Or Is the Safe-Haven Trade Broken?

Gold’s price mechanics have changed. After surging to an all-time high near $5,600 per ounce in late January, effectively double its level from a year prior, XAU has shed roughly 20% from its peak. The Iran de-escalation headlines accelerated the decline, pulling gold down nearly 15% since early March alone before Iran’s denial softened the drop. Intraday losses mostly recovered after that denial, but the pattern is telling.

The core issue is financialization. Derivatives exposure and ETF flows now dominate gold’s price action more than physical demand or genuine crisis hedging. When risk-on sentiment flips, institutional desks unwind paper gold positions fast, faster than any geopolitical nuance can absorb. That’s not a bug in modern markets; it’s the feature.

Gold is still up almost 300% over the past decade by historical measure. But Santiment data notes Bitcoin is outpacing traditional assets including the S&P 500 and gold amid the current Middle East conflict cycle. The correlation is breaking. That matters for portfolio allocation decisions made this week.

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LiquidChain Targets Early-Mover Upside as Gold Tests Key Levels

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Gold’s 10% drawdown in three weeks is a useful reminder: even “safe” assets carry rotation risk when macro narratives shift overnight. Traders watching XAU underperform Bitcoin by more than five percentage points since March 4 are already asking where early-stage upside lives, before a narrative becomes consensus. Historical macro dislocations have repeatedly front-run crypto allocation shifts, and the current setup is no different.

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This article is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

The post Gold Price Analysis: Why US-Iran Tension Drops XAU Price appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Sky price outlook as project diversifies revenue streams and yield strategies

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AAVE price risks fresh plunge under $100, bears eye 2-year lows
  • Sky is diversifying its revenue streams and yield strategies.
  • Securitize and Maple have joined the Sky Ecosystem agent network.
  • The SKY token could rally to $0.10

The Sky Ecosystem token is under sell-off pressure as negative sentiment keeps altcoins in the red.

But despite top coins wallowing in bearish territory, Sky is up 13% over the past month, and network fundamentals look bullish.

The latest boost comes from ecosystem platforms joining Sky’s agent network, including Securitize and Maple Finance.

SKY price could benefit as the project taps into diversified revenue streams and yield strategies.

Sky-backed Obex brings 8 new allocators to ecosystem

A lot of the buzz around Sky today stems from an announcement that Sky-backed platform Obex is spearheading the latest onboarding of capital allocators.

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Sky Ecosystem has welcomed eight new allocators, marking the largest capital deployment from a decentralized protocol into a coordinated cohort of specialised agents.

These allocators have already borrowed up to $1 billion in USDS from the Sky Protocol, enabling deployment across innovative yield strategies.

The Sky Agent Network operates as the ecosystem’s core revenue engine.

Each agent functions as an independent capital allocator, borrowing USDS and directing it toward high-potential opportunities.

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These platforms compete on risk-adjusted returns, with a portion of generated value accruing back to the Sky Protocol.

According to details, the new cohort that is helping broaden the network’s DeFi scope includes Maple Finance, Securitize, Centrifuge, River and TVL Capital.

The projects cut across on-chain lending, tokenization, AI infrastructure plays and structured credit, among others.

By integrating these diverse sources, Sky Protocol is adding potential avenues for untapped revenue pools.

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Growth could influence SKY price performance, particularly if DeFi yield optimization takes root.

SKY price outlook

The Sky Ecosystem (SKY) token is trading around $0.071, down about 3% over the past 24 hours, after touching intraday highs of $0.077, according to CoinMarketCap data.

As of March 26, the token remains roughly 13% above its late-February lows, reflecting a modest recovery.

The recent uptick has coincided with rising USDS borrowing volumes, while increased interest around agent onboarding has also supported buying activity.

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These trends suggest improving network fundamentals, with the reported $1 billion USDS deployment pointing to notable capital inflows that could enhance SKY’s utility in governance and staking.

Broader tailwinds, including growing adoption of real-world assets (RWAs) and supportive regulatory developments in the US and Europe, may further support sentiment.

However, risks remain. Underperformance in yield strategies or renewed macroeconomic volatility could weigh on prices.

From a technical perspective, SKY appears to be forming a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart.

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A move above $0.075 could open the door toward the next major resistance near $0.15.

On the downside, the $0.060 level is seen as key support, while the token’s all-time low stands at $0.03, reached in February.

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How a Seed Phrase Leak Led to a $176M Bitcoin Theft Case

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How a Seed Phrase Leak Led to a $176M Bitcoin Theft Case

Code is not the weakest point in crypto thefts

In crypto, security is usually regarded as a technical issue. You are asked to safeguard your private keys, rely on a hardware wallet and steer clear of phishing links. Yet a prominent case in the UK reveals that the real vulnerability in this case might have had nothing to do with code.

The UK High Court is currently reviewing a case involving the alleged theft of 2,323 Bitcoin (BTC), worth about $176 million. The theft did not stem from hacking or malware. Instead, it began with a seed phrase being exposed, which became the single point of failure in self-custody.

The dispute centers on Ping Fai Yuen, who claims that his estranged wife, Fun Yung Li, and her sister gained access to his Bitcoin by secretly recording his wallet’s recovery information.

The assets were held in a hardware wallet, designed to keep private keys completely offline and shielded from remote threats. Yet the theft still happened and it required no breach of encryption.

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Court documents suggest the theft only required discovering the seed phrase.

Alleged timeline of the crypto theft

The allegations describe events that suggest surveillance rather than digital intrusion.

  • The individuals in question are accused of using a camera or recording device to capture the seed phrase and related codes.

  • The claimant later learned of the scheme after receiving a warning from his daughter.

  • He then set up audio recording equipment, which he says captured conversations about moving the funds.

  • The Bitcoin was subsequently transferred to 71 separate wallet addresses.

No additional movements have appeared on the blockchain since Dec. 21, 2023, indicating that the assets have remained inactive since the reported transfer.

Authorities are said to have confiscated devices and cold wallets as part of the inquiry, although the proceedings are still ongoing.

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Did you know? In several past cases, hidden cameras, not hackers, have been the weakest link in crypto security. Physical surveillance has quietly become one of the most underestimated threats to self-custodied digital assets.

Why the seed phrase mattered in the UK crypto theft

To understand the case, you need to grasp a core principle of crypto: Whoever has access to the seed phrase has full control of the funds.

A hardware wallet shields private keys from online risks. But the seed phrase, typically 12 to 24 words, serves as a full backup of the entire wallet.

Finding the seed phrase allows anyone to:

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  • Rebuild the wallet on any other device

  • Access all the associated funds

  • Move the assets without ever touching the original hardware

Put simply, once the seed phrase becomes known, the physical device loses all relevance.

The surveillance element: An uncommon form of compromise

What stands out in this matter is the reported method used to carry out the breach.

Rather than relying on phishing or malicious software, the allegations center on visual or audio capture, possibly through a hidden camera or covert recording.

This brings attention to a seldom-mentioned risk: side-channel exposure.

Seed phrases are frequently written down, spoken or typed during setup. If any of those moments are watched or recorded:

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  • The phrase can be pieced together.

  • The wallet can be copied elsewhere.

  • Assets can be relocated without immediate traces.

In environments full of smart devices, cameras and shared spaces, this type of risk continues to rise.

The UK High Court’s early stance

The matter came before the UK High Court, where Justice Cotter examined the evidence presented.

Although this does not constitute a final decision in the case, the judge indicated that the claimant had demonstrated a very high probability of success.

Among the elements considered were:

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The court also stressed the need for swift action, citing security concerns and Bitcoin’s price fluctuations.

Did you know? Some wallets now offer decoy wallets that use different PINs. This feature allows users to display a smaller balance under duress, adding a layer of protection against both physical coercion and surveillance-based attacks.

Why the assets were spread across 71 addresses

The claim states that the Bitcoin was distributed across 71 wallet addresses.

This step carries several implications:

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  • It makes tracking and recovery more difficult.

  • It avoids drawing attention to a single large transfer.

  • It fragments the holdings, which can delay legal and investigative efforts.

Although the blockchain’s transparency allows movements to be traced, spreading the funds adds layers of complexity and time to any recovery process.

The dusting attack concern

The claimant also expressed concern about a possible dusting attack on the addresses involved.

Dusting refers to sending tiny amounts of crypto to wallets in order to:

  • Monitor subsequent activity

  • Link addresses to real identities

  • Identify valuable targets for future attacks

If wallet addresses become public, they can attract additional scrutiny, even if no further activity occurs.

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Why this matter extends beyond a single conflict

On one hand, this case remains a private legal dispute. On the other, it serves as a case study in the broader risks of crypto custody.

It demonstrates that:

  • Hardware wallets limit digital threats, yet leave human factors untouched.

  • Threats from those close to the owner can outweigh those from outside attackers.

  • Exposure of the seed phrase can result in a complete loss of control.

Above all, this shows that crypto security involves far more than just devices; it relies heavily on environment, conduct, trust and relationships.

Security lessons from the case

This example reinforces several straightforward guidelines:

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  • Keep the seed phrase completely hidden from cameras, phones and connected devices.

  • Avoid storing recovery information in places that others can access.

  • Separate personal identity from wallet control whenever possible.

  • Use multiple layers of protection for large holdings.

More sophisticated arrangements may include additional passphrases, split backups or multisignature setups. Each of these methods is designed to reduce reliance on a single vulnerable element.

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White House Review Greenlights Proposal for Crypto in 401(k) Plans

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White House Review Greenlights Proposal for Crypto in 401(k) Plans

The White House’s Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) has completed its review of a Department of Labor (DOL) proposal that could reshape how 401(k) fiduciaries evaluate alternative assets, including digital-asset exposure.

The OIRA’s website shows the review concluded on March 24, with the action marked “consistent with change” and the proposal classified as “economically significant.” The DOL is now expected to publish the proposed rule for a standard 60-day public comment period, which is usually followed by revisions and the issuing of a final rule.

The proposal follows President Donald Trump’s Aug. 7, 2025, executive order directing federal agencies to expand access to alternative assets in 401(k) plans, including exposure to digital assets through certain investment vehicles.

The order directed the DOL to reevaluate restrictions around alternative assets in defined-contribution plans, including digital assets, private equity and real estate. It also called for inter-agency collaboration between the US Treasury Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission on supporting rule changes.

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The completed review clears an interagency hurdle for a proposal that could widen the path for alternative assets in US defined-contribution retirement plans.

Crypto-linked exposure moves closer to 401(k) market

On May 28, 2025, the DOL rescinded a 2022 compliance release that urged fiduciaries to be “extremely cautious” when considering crypto for 401(k) retirement plans, signaling a broader shift in the federal government’s stance toward retirement-plan exposure to digital assets. 

White House’s Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs concluded its review of the Department of Labor’s rule on alternative investments in retirement plans. Source: Reginfo.gov

The US retirement market reached a record $48.1 trillion in financial assets on September 30, 2025, according to a report by the Investment Company Institute (ICI).

US retirement market assets by quarter, in USD trillion. Source: ICI.org 

Indiana advances crypto retirement access

Other US states have launched their own legal initiatives to make digital assets a retirement plan asset.

Related: Major Australian pension fund mulls crypto offerings amid growing demand

On Feb. 25, Indiana lawmakers passed a bill that would require certain state retirement and savings plans to offer a self-directed brokerage option with at least one crypto investment option by July 1, 2027.

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The bill would allow Indiana citizens to hold Bitcoin (BTC) and digital assets as part of their retirement plans for the first time. 

Magazine: Quitting Trump’s top crypto job wasn’t easy: Bo Hines