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Gold Volatility Beats Bitcoin’s Risk Profile

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Bitcoin Volatility Index

Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

Grab a coffee and brace yourself: markets are moving in ways few expected. One asset is swinging wildly, defying norms, while the other struggles to catch up. Traders and investors are watching closely as volatility reshapes familiar narratives, signaling that nothing is quite as it seems.

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Crypto News of the Day: Gold’s Volatility Surges Past Bitcoin Amid Historic Market Swings

Gold has overtaken Bitcoin amid market turbulence. Its recent price swings surpass even Bitcoin’s, highlighting a rare inversion in risk dynamics that few investors expected.

Data shows the 30-day volatility in gold surged to a new peak of 48.68, and stood at 41.04 as of this writing. Notably, this level was not tested since the 2008 financial crisis.

In comparison, Bitcoin’s volatility currently hovers around 39%, despite its reputation as a highly speculative asset.

Bitcoin Volatility Index
Bitcoin Volatility Index. Source: newhedge

The surge in gold volatility follows its sharpest plunge in more than a decade, including a single-session drop of nearly 10% from a peak of $5,600 to roughly $4,400 per ounce in Asian trading.

Since Bitcoin’s creation 17 years ago, gold has been more volatile only twice. The most recent was in May 2019 during a flare-up in trade tensions sparked by tariff threats from US President Donald Trump.

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The wild swings in gold come amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty. As indicated in a recent US Crypto News publication, renewed fears of geopolitical instability, currency debasement, and questions about the Federal Reserve’s independence drove investors to pile into precious metals.

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Gold Rebounds $6 Trillion in Two Days, Leaving Bitcoin Behind

The recovery in gold has been equally dramatic, with XAU prices surging back above $5,000/oz, up 17% in just 48 hours.

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During the same period, gold added $4.74 trillion to its market capitalization, while silver gained $1 trillion. This brings the total growth in the precious metals market cap to nearly $6 trillion in two days.

“That’s over 4× Bitcoin’s market cap,” stated analyst Crypto Rover.

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The rebound reflects strong accumulation by institutional and high-net-worth investors, with consistent buying on every dip speaking volumes about who’s accumulating the precious metal, regardless of the noise.

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“Volatility shouldn’t surprise anyone here—it’s rare for an asset to absorb a hit like last week’s and then move straight back up without a few bumps. Gold remains severely under-owned, and this move has real legs as part of a much larger cycle,” said Otavio in a post.

Even amid volatility, gold has maintained its status as a safe-haven asset, up roughly 66% year-on-year, while Bitcoin remains down more than 20% over the same period.

The contrast mirrors how, in times of macroeconomic stress, traditional precious metals continue to command a premium in investor portfolios, outpacing even high-profile digital assets.

As geopolitical and monetary pressures persist, gold’s newfound volatility is likely to remain in focus, offering both risk and opportunity for traders seeking refuge from broader market swings.

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Chart of the Day

Gold Volatility Index. Source: TradingView

Byte-Sized Alpha

Here’s a summary of more US crypto news to follow today:

Crypto Equities Pre-Market Overview

Company Close As of February 3 Pre-Market Overview
Strategy (MSTR) $133.26 $132.55 (-0.53%)
Coinbase (COIN) $179.66 $178.89 (-0.43%)
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) $21.98 $22.11 (+0.59%)
MARA Holdings (MARA) $9.05 $8.99 (-0.66%)
Riot Platforms (RIOT) $15.34 $15.32 (-0.13%)
Core Scientific (CORZ) $17.74 $17.65 (-0.51%)
Crypto equities market open race: Google Finance

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Crypto World

$2.9B Bitcoin ETF Outflow, Bearish Futures Data Project More BTC Downside

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$2.9B Bitcoin ETF Outflow, Bearish Futures Data Project More BTC Downside

Key takeaways:

  • Heavy outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and massive liquidations show that the market is purging highly leveraged buyers.

  • Bitcoin options metrics reveal that pro traders are hedging for further price drops amid a tech stock sell-off.

Bitcoin (BTC) slid below $73,000 on Wednesday after briefly retesting the $79,500 level on Tuesday. This downturn mirrored a decline in the tech-heavy Nasdaq Index, driven by a weak sales outlook from chipmaker AMD (AMD US) and disappointing United States employment data. 

Traders now fear further Bitcoin price pressure as spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded over $2.9 billion in outflows across twelve trading days.

Bitcoin spot ETFs daily net flows, USD. Source: CoinGlass

The average $243 million daily net outflow from the US-listed Bitcoin ETFs since Jan. 16 nearly coincides with Bitcoin’s rejection at $98,000 on Jan. 14. The subsequent 26% correction over three weeks triggered $3.25 billion in liquidations for leveraged long BTC futures. Unless buyers deposited additional margin, any leverage exceeding 4x has already been wiped out.

Some market participants blamed the recent crash on the lingering aftermath of the $19 billion liquidation on Oct. 10, 2025. That incident was reportedly triggered by a performance glitch in database queries at Binance exchange, resulting in delayed transfers and incorrect data feeds. The exchange admitted fault and disbursed over $283 million in compensation to affected users.

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According to Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner at Dragonfly, huge liquidations at Binance “could not get filled, but liquidation engines keep firing regardless. This caused market makers to get wiped out, and they were unable to pick up the pieces.” Qureshi added that the October 2025 crash did not permanently “break the market,” but noted that market makers “will need time to recover.”

Source: X/hosseeb

The analysis suggests that cryptocurrency exchanges’ liquidation mechanisms “are not designed to be self-stabilizing the way that TradFi mechanisms are (circuit breakers, etc.)” and instead focus solely on minimizing insolvency risks. Qureshi notes that cryptocurrencies are a “long series” of “bad things” happening, but historically, the market eventually recovers.

BTC options skew signals traders doubt $72,100 bottom

To determine if professional traders flipped bearish after the crash, one should assess BTC options markets. During periods of stress, demand for put (sell) instruments surges, pushing the delta skew metric above the 6% neutral threshold. Excess demand for downside protection typically signals a lack of confidence from bulls.

BTC 30-day options 25% delta skew (put-call) at Deribit. Source: laevitas.ch

The BTC options delta skew reached 13% on Wednesday, a clear indication that professional traders are not convinced Bitcoin’s price has found a bottom at $72,100. This skepticism stems partly from fears that the tech sector could suffer from increased competition as Google (GOOG US) and AMD roll out proprietary artificial intelligence chips.

Related: Bitcoin open interest falls by $55B in 30 days–What’s next for BTC price?

Another source of discomfort for Bitcoin holders involves two unrelated and unfounded rumors. First, a $9 billion Bitcoin sale by a Galaxy Digital customer in 2025 was previously attributed to quantum computing risks. However, Alex Thorn, Galaxy’s head of research, denied those rumors in an X post on Tuesday.

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The second speculation involves Binance’s solvency, which gained traction after the exchange faced technical issues that temporarily halted withdrawals on Tuesday. Current onchain metrics suggest that Bitcoin deposits at Binance remain relatively stable.

Given the current uncertainty in macroeconomic trends, many traders have opted to exit cryptocurrency markets. This shift makes it difficult to predict whether Bitcoin spot ETF outflows will continue to apply downward pressure on the price.