Crypto World
Google Gemini AI Predicts Most Likely Bitcoin Price by End of 2026
Six separate forces must align for Bitcoin to double from here. Google Gemini AI predicts they will, and its price prediction calls for $120,000 to $150,000 before 2026 closes.
Accelerating global M2 money supply growth tops that list. Central bank interest rate cut cycles follow close behind.
Then comes the delayed supply squeeze from the post-halving issuance deficit. New coins arrive more slowly while demand keeps building.
Expanding institutional spot ETF allocations add steady bid pressure. Emerging momentum in sovereign strategic reserves brings a buyer class that did not exist a few years ago.

Impending legislative clarity on the market is the final piece. Gemini treats the combination as a confluence rather than any single trigger.
The bear scenario is framed as minor. Inflation sticky enough to delay rate cuts would remove the monetary tailwind entirely.
Unexpected regulatory enforcement friction could do similar damage. Temporary spot ETF net outflows round out the risks.
Any of those stalling momentum would test a deeper support zone around $48,000 to $55,000. Gemini AI still argues that leverage has largely been flushed out already.
Long-term institutional holders continue absorbing sell pressure. That skews structural risk and reward toward aggressive expansion into new high-water marks.
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Six Tailwinds And The Question Of Whether Bitcoin Waits For Them
The daily chart tells a rougher story than the forecast. Bitcoin peaked near $126,000 in October and lost ground for months. February brought the violent part of the decline. Price broke from roughly $90,000 down to $60,000 in a matter of weeks.
Spring produced a genuine recovery attempt toward $82,000 by May. June erased it, dragging Bitcoin back near $58,000.
Since then, the market has carved out a base. July and August have formed a series of higher lows with little conviction on the upside.
The latest close is $64,858, up 1.25% and $801 on the day. The session ranged from $63,820 to $64,862. Support sits at $60,000 first and $58,000 at the June floor. Resistance shows up at $68,000, then $72,000 and $76,000.
RSI reads 54.39 with its signal line at 49.58. The 5-point gap places momentum slightly on the bullish side of neutral. Both readings sit near the middle of the range. Nothing here suggests exhaustion in either direction.
Gemini needs roughly a double from this base. The chart is not there yet, though a monthly close above $68,000 would be the first real evidence.
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Crypto World
What are crypto ETF options? Calls, puts, strategies
Crypto ETF options let traders buy calls and puts on Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds. This guide explains how they work, why they matter, and what strategies traders actually use.
Summary
- Crypto ETF options are standardized contracts that give the holder the right to buy or sell shares of a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund at a set price before a set date
- The US Securities and Exchange Commission approved options on spot Bitcoin ETFs in late 2024, and options on spot Ethereum ETFs followed in 2025
- Call options profit when the underlying ETF rises; put options profit when it falls, and both can be used for hedging, income generation, or directional bets
- The options market for Bitcoin ETFs has grown to rival the spot market in notional volume, with daily trading regularly exceeding $2 billion in notional value
- Options pricing depends on the strike price, time to expiration, implied volatility, and interest rates, all of which behave differently for crypto ETFs than for traditional equity ETFs
Options on cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds arrived in the United States in late 2024 and immediately changed how institutional and retail traders interact with the crypto market. Before these products existed, traders who wanted leveraged or hedged exposure to Bitcoin or Ethereum had two choices: trade perpetual futures on offshore exchanges or use the limited options contracts available on platforms like Deribit. Both paths carried counterparty risk, regulatory ambiguity, and operational complexity that kept most traditional finance participants on the sidelines.
The approval of options on spot Bitcoin ETFs changed that equation. For the first time, a trader with a standard brokerage account at Fidelity, Schwab, or Interactive Brokers could buy a call option on Bitcoin exposure using the same interface, the same clearing infrastructure, and the same regulatory protections that apply to options on the S&P 500.
This guide explains what crypto ETF options are, how they are priced, what strategies traders use, and where the risks hide.
How options work at the most basic level
An option is a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specific price on or before a specific date. The buyer pays a premium for this right. The seller (also called the writer) collects the premium and takes on the obligation.
There are two types of options. A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. A put option gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Every option contract specifies four things: the underlying asset (in this case, shares of a crypto ETF), the strike price, the expiration date, and whether it is a call or a put.
When a trader buys a call option on IBIT (BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF) with a strike price of $50 and an expiration date 30 days away, they are paying a premium today for the right to buy 100 shares of IBIT at $50 per share at any point in the next 30 days. If IBIT rises to $60, the option is worth at least $10 per share, or $1,000 per contract. If IBIT stays below $50, the option expires worthless and the trader loses only the premium paid.
Put options work in the opposite direction. A trader who buys a put option on IBIT with a $50 strike profits when IBIT falls below $50. The put gives them the right to sell at $50 even if the market price drops to $40, $30, or lower.
Which crypto ETF options are available
As of mid 2026, options are available on several spot cryptocurrency ETFs listed in the United States. The most actively traded include options on IBIT (BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust), FBTC (Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund), and ETHA (BlackRock iShares Ethereum Trust). The Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) clears all of these contracts, providing the same counterparty guarantee that backs every listed option in the US market.
The approval process was not instant. The SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 but did not approve options on those ETFs until October 2024. The delay reflected concerns about market manipulation, position limits, and the interaction between spot crypto markets (which trade 24/7) and options markets (which trade during US exchange hours). The SEC ultimately set position limits of 25,000 contracts for Bitcoin ETF options, later expanded as liquidity grew.
Ethereum ETF options followed a similar path. Spot Ethereum ETFs launched in July 2024, and options approval came in 2025 after the SEC reviewed trading data from the initial months of spot ETF trading.
The volume numbers tell the adoption story. IBIT options regularly rank among the top 10 most actively traded option contracts in the entire US market, alongside options on SPY, QQQ, and AAPL. On peak days, IBIT options volume has exceeded 1.5 million contracts, representing notional exposure to billions of dollars in Bitcoin.
How crypto ETF options are priced
Options pricing follows the Black-Scholes framework, modified for the specific characteristics of crypto ETFs. The five primary inputs are the current price of the underlying ETF, the strike price, the time to expiration, the risk-free interest rate, and the implied volatility of the underlying asset.
Implied volatility is where crypto ETF options diverge most dramatically from traditional equity options. The implied volatility of Bitcoin ETF options typically ranges from 50% to 90% annualized, compared to 15% to 25% for S&P 500 options. This higher volatility means crypto ETF options are significantly more expensive in absolute terms than options on traditional equity ETFs.
The volatility smile, a pattern where out-of-the-money options trade at higher implied volatilities than at-the-money options, is particularly pronounced in crypto ETF options. Put options on Bitcoin ETFs tend to trade at elevated implied volatilities because the market prices in the possibility of sharp drawdowns. Call options far above the current price also carry premium because Bitcoin has historically produced large upside moves that would be considered extreme outliers in equity markets.
Time decay, measured by the Greek letter theta, erodes option value as expiration approaches. This effect is especially important for crypto ETF options because the high implied volatility means the absolute dollar amount of daily time decay is larger than for comparable equity options. A 30-day at-the-money call option on IBIT might lose $0.15 to $0.25 per day in time value, while a similar option on SPY might lose $0.05 to $0.10.
Delta measures how much the option price changes for a $1 move in the underlying ETF. An at-the-money call has a delta near 0.50, meaning it moves roughly $0.50 for every $1 move in the ETF. Deep in-the-money options have deltas approaching 1.0 and behave almost like the underlying shares. Far out-of-the-money options have low deltas and are essentially leveraged bets on large price moves.
Strategies traders actually use
The strategies applied to crypto ETF options range from simple directional bets to complex multi-leg structures. The most common fall into four categories: directional, income, hedging, and volatility.
Long calls and long puts are the simplest directional strategies. A trader who expects Bitcoin to rise buys calls. A trader who expects Bitcoin to fall buys puts. The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid, while the potential profit is theoretically unlimited for calls and substantial for puts (down to zero on the underlying). The appeal of long options is defined risk: a trader knows exactly how much they can lose before entering the trade.
Covered calls are the most popular income strategy. A trader who holds shares of IBIT sells call options against those shares, collecting the premium as income. If IBIT stays below the strike price, the calls expire worthless and the trader keeps both the shares and the premium. If IBIT rises above the strike, the shares are called away at the strike price, capping the upside. Covered call strategies on Bitcoin ETFs can generate annualized yields of 20% to 40% because of the high implied volatility, far above the 5% to 10% typical for equity covered calls.
Protective puts serve as portfolio insurance. A trader who holds IBIT and wants to protect against a drawdown buys put options at a strike price below the current market. If Bitcoin drops sharply, the put gains value and offsets losses on the underlying position. The cost of this insurance is the put premium, which can be significant given crypto’s high implied volatility.
Vertical spreads reduce the cost of directional bets by combining a long option with a short option at a different strike. A bull call spread involves buying a call at a lower strike and selling a call at a higher strike. The sold call reduces the net premium paid but caps the maximum profit. Bear put spreads work the same way in reverse. Spreads are popular among traders who have a directional view but want to reduce their cost basis and define their maximum risk.
Straddles and strangles are volatility strategies that profit from large moves in either direction. A straddle involves buying both a call and a put at the same strike price. A strangle involves buying a call and a put at different strike prices, with the call strike above and the put strike below the current price. These strategies are commonly used around major events such as Federal Reserve meetings, Bitcoin halving events, or regulatory announcements that could move the market sharply in either direction.
Calendar spreads exploit differences in time decay between near-term and longer-term options. A trader sells a short-dated option and buys a longer-dated option at the same strike price. The trade profits when the near-term option decays faster than the longer-term option, which typically occurs when the underlying price stays near the strike. Calendar spreads are particularly attractive on crypto ETFs because the high implied volatility produces larger absolute differences in time decay between expirations, creating wider profit zones than the same structure would offer on a traditional equity ETF.
Why the options market matters for crypto prices
The growth of the crypto ETF options market has introduced a feedback mechanism that did not previously exist in cryptocurrency markets. Market makers who sell options must continuously hedge their exposure by buying or selling the underlying ETF shares. This hedging activity, known as delta hedging, can amplify or dampen price moves depending on the aggregate positioning of the options market.
When market makers are net short gamma (meaning they have sold more options than they have bought), their hedging activity amplifies price moves. They must buy more shares as prices rise and sell more shares as prices fall, creating a positive feedback loop. When market makers are net long gamma, the opposite occurs: their hedging activity dampens price moves by requiring them to sell into rallies and buy during dips.
The concept of a “max pain” price, the price at which the most options expire worthless and option sellers retain the most premium, has become a closely watched metric in crypto markets. As expiration approaches, the hedging flows of market makers tend to push the price of the underlying ETF toward the max pain level, creating a gravitational effect that did not exist when crypto traded without a listed options market.
Open interest data from crypto ETF options provides a transparent view of market positioning that was previously available only through offshore derivatives exchanges. Analysts can see where large concentrations of calls and puts are positioned, which strike prices act as support or resistance, and how the market’s expectations for future volatility compare to realized volatility.
Risks specific to crypto ETF options
Crypto ETF options carry all the standard risks of options trading plus several risks unique to the crypto market.
Volatility risk cuts both ways. High implied volatility makes options expensive to buy. A trader who buys a call option may be correct about the direction of Bitcoin but still lose money if implied volatility drops (a phenomenon called “vol crush”). This commonly occurs after anticipated events when uncertainty resolves and implied volatility collapses.
Weekend and after-hours risk exists because Bitcoin trades 24/7 but ETF options trade only during US market hours. A significant price move over the weekend is fully reflected in the ETF price at Monday’s open, which can cause large gaps in option values. A trader who sold puts on Friday afternoon may face substantial losses on Monday morning if Bitcoin dropped 15% over the weekend.
Liquidity risk varies significantly across strikes and expirations. At-the-money options on IBIT are extremely liquid, with tight bid-ask spreads of $0.01 to $0.03. But far out-of-the-money options or options with distant expirations can have spreads of $0.10 to $0.30, which materially affects the cost of entering and exiting positions.
Correlation risk affects traders who use crypto ETF options to hedge positions in actual cryptocurrency. The ETF price tracks the spot price of Bitcoin closely but not perfectly. Tracking error, fund fees, and the mismatch between 24/7 crypto markets and traditional market hours can cause the ETF to diverge from spot Bitcoin at exactly the moment a hedge is needed most.
Assignment risk applies to sellers of American-style options, which can be exercised at any time before expiration. A trader who has sold in-the-money call options may be assigned at an inconvenient time, forcing them to deliver shares they may not hold.
What this does not cover
This guide does not cover the tax treatment of options trading, which varies by jurisdiction and can be complex when options expire, are exercised, or are closed before expiration. It does not cover the specific margin requirements set by individual brokers, which can differ from the minimum requirements set by the OCC. It does not cover options strategies involving more than two legs, such as iron condors, butterflies, or ratio spreads, which require a deeper understanding of options Greeks and risk management. It does not cover options on crypto futures ETFs, which existed before spot ETFs and have different pricing dynamics due to the futures roll cost embedded in the underlying product.
Practical checks for evaluating a crypto ETF options trade
Check the implied volatility rank. Compare the current implied volatility to its range over the past 30, 60, and 90 days. If implied volatility is in the top quartile of its recent range, options are relatively expensive, which favors selling strategies. If implied volatility is in the bottom quartile, options are relatively cheap, which favors buying strategies.
Check the bid-ask spread. Divide the spread by the midpoint price to get the spread as a percentage of the option value. If this number exceeds 5%, the transaction costs will significantly erode returns, particularly for strategies that require multiple legs.
Check the event calendar. Identify any upcoming events (FOMC meetings, ETF flow reports, Bitcoin network upgrades, regulatory deadlines) that could cause a volatility spike or collapse. Buying options before a volatility event and selling them after is a common mistake that results in losses even when the directional call is correct.
Check the Greeks. Know your delta exposure (directional risk), gamma exposure (how delta will change), theta (daily time decay cost), and vega (sensitivity to implied volatility changes). For multi-leg strategies, calculate the net Greeks of the entire position, not just the individual legs.
Check the position size. Options provide leverage, which means losses can accumulate quickly. A common guideline is to risk no more than 1% to 3% of total portfolio value on any single options trade. For crypto ETF options, where the underlying asset can move 10% or more in a single day, conservative position sizing is especially important.
Can I trade crypto ETF options in a retirement account?
Yes, most US brokers allow options trading in IRA accounts, but the available strategies are typically restricted. Covered calls and cash-secured puts are generally permitted. Naked option selling and complex multi-leg strategies usually require a margin account, which is not available in most retirement accounts.
What happens to my options if a crypto ETF is delisted?
If a crypto ETF is delisted, the OCC establishes a settlement process based on the final trading price or net asset value. Open options are typically settled in cash at the intrinsic value. This has not occurred with any major crypto ETF to date, but the OCC has established procedures that parallel those used for equity delistings.
Are crypto ETF options more expensive than Deribit options?
In absolute dollar terms, listed ETF options and Deribit options on Bitcoin are priced similarly because both markets compete for the same flow. However, listed ETF options have tighter bid-ask spreads, OCC clearing guarantees, and no counterparty risk to the exchange itself. Deribit offers 24/7 trading and exotic expirations that listed options do not.
How do weekly vs. monthly options differ for crypto ETFs?
Weekly options expire every Friday and have lower absolute premiums but higher annualized time decay rates. Monthly options expire on the third Friday of each month and have higher absolute premiums but slower daily decay. Weekly options are popular for short-term directional bets and income strategies, while monthly options are more commonly used for hedging and longer-term positioning.
What is the minimum account size needed to trade crypto ETF options?
There is no regulatory minimum for buying options. A single IBIT call option might cost $100 to $500 depending on the strike and expiration. However, selling options requires margin, and most brokers require a minimum account balance of $2,000 to $25,000 for options selling privileges, depending on the strategy level requested.
Do crypto ETF options trade after hours?
No. Listed options on crypto ETFs trade only during regular US exchange hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern) and do not trade during after-hours or pre-market sessions. This creates overnight and weekend gap risk because the underlying cryptocurrency trades continuously.
How does implied volatility affect my breakeven price?
The breakeven price on a long call is the strike price plus the premium paid. Higher implied volatility means higher premiums, which pushes the breakeven further from the current price. A trader buying a call when implied volatility is 80% needs a significantly larger move in the underlying to break even compared to buying the same call when implied volatility is 50%.
Can I use crypto ETF options to hedge my actual Bitcoin holdings?
Yes, but the hedge is imperfect. One IBIT option contract covers 100 shares of IBIT, which represents approximately 0.005 BTC per share (the ratio varies). A trader would need to calculate the number of contracts required to match their Bitcoin exposure and accept the tracking error between the ETF price and spot Bitcoin, particularly during periods of market stress when the two can diverge.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Information is accurate as of August 6, 2026.
Crypto World
Deutsche Telekom and SphereNet Is Helping Build Payment Rails for AI Agents
Giving AI the ability to spend your money – are we already there? An AI agent can now book a flight, renew software, or purchase computing power for a business. The next step is allowing that agent to complete the payment on its own.
That shift is already underway. Coinbase’s x402 protocol has processed 109.6 million transactions and around $15 million in adjusted volume since May 2025.
Most were tiny payments, but on a larger scale, this creates a larger problem. Someone must confirm who controls the agent, how much it can spend, and whether the recipient is legally allowed to receive the payment.
This becomes harder when stablecoins and other blockchain payments settle within seconds and generally cannot be reversed.
Sphere Labs is building SphereNet to handle that part of the process. On August 3, the company announced that Deutsche Telekom would operate a validator from the network’s current testnet through its planned 2027 mainnet launch.
Checking the Rules Before Money Moves
Traditional financial institutions can investigate suspicious transactions after settlement. They may freeze an account, reverse a transfer, or attempt to recover the funds.
Instant blockchain settlement leaves far less time to intervene. SphereNet aims to move identity checks, sanctions screening, and jurisdictional rules directly into transaction execution. The payment reaches final settlement only after those conditions are met.
Consider an AI agent purchasing cloud storage for a company. SphereNet would need to identify the company behind the agent, confirm that the agent has permission to spend, screen the receiving business, and apply the rules governing both jurisdictions. The transfer could then settle without waiting for a manual review.
Google, Visa, and Mastercard are developing systems that help merchants recognize approved agents and confirm what users authorized them to do. SphereNet is working on the regulated settlement layer underneath those systems.
“Everyone debating agentic payments is debating the AI component,” Sphere Labs CEO Arnold Lee said. “The true constraint is trust.”
Deutsche Telekom’s Enterprise Validator Experience
A validator runs the infrastructure that checks transactions and helps the network maintain one agreed financial record. For SphereNet, that means confirming that transactions have followed the network’s rules before they become final.
Deutsche Telekom MMS already operates validator infrastructure for several established blockchain networks. SphereNet gives that experience a more specialized role: supporting a ledger designed for banks, payment companies and other regulated institutions.
The telecom group also brings considerable operating scale. Deutsche Telekom had 273 million mobile customers and a presence in more than 50 countries at the end of 2025. Its networks already connect people, companies and devices across different financial systems.
Sphere Labs has an existing payments business behind the project. The company says SpherePay processes billions of dollars in annualized cross-border volume for more than 200 businesses and institutions.
SphereNet extends that compliance model into a shared network operated with external validators.
The larger test begins when the mainnet launches. SphereNet will need licensed institutions, reliable performance and support across enough jurisdictions to make the network useful.
Deutsche Telekom gives it an experienced infrastructure partner as it moves toward that test—and toward a financial system where the next customer making a payment may be a machine.
The post Deutsche Telekom and SphereNet Is Helping Build Payment Rails for AI Agents appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Rarible launches on Solana with Claynosaurz NFTs
Rarible has launched its NFT marketplace on Solana after months of development, naming Claynosaurz as its first featured collection.
Summary
- Rarible is now live on Solana following several months of building and testing.
- Claynosaurz became the marketplace’s first featured Solana NFT collection.
- Rarible plans to add more Solana collections and marketplace features in the coming weeks.
- The expansion comes as EU lawmakers consider clearer rules for NFTs and other crypto sectors.
Rarible expands its marketplace to Solana
Rarible announced the launch on Thursday, marking its latest expansion beyond the blockchain networks already supported by its NFT marketplace.
Claynosaurz, a Solana-based entertainment and NFT brand built around animated dinosaur characters, will serve as the first featured collection. Rarible said it would onboard additional projects from across the network over the coming days and weeks.
“We’ve actually been working on Solana for months,” the company said. “Today, we’re incredibly excited to finally say it: Rarible is now live on Solana.”
The company did not disclose how many collections would be added during the initial rollout or provide a fixed schedule for future integrations.
Rarible said its team spent several months developing and testing the Solana marketplace. It also consulted NFT communities to understand how individual projects approach their identities, cultures, and collector bases.
According to the company, feedback from those discussions shaped some of its product decisions. Rarible said it wants to create collection-specific experiences instead of merely listing assets on a standard marketplace interface.
Gacha Station previewed Rarible’s Solana plans
Rarible described its earlier Gacha Station release on Solana as an initial look at the broader integration rather than a standalone product.
Gacha Station lets users purchase randomized digital collectibles, borrowing its format from capsule-toy and loot-box systems. Its rollout gave Rarible an early way to test products and user activity on Solana before launching the wider marketplace.
The company characterized the current marketplace as a foundation for a larger expansion. Planned updates include additional collections, new features, improvements to the trading experience, editorial content and community campaigns.
Rarible did not provide transaction-volume targets or details about how it plans to compete with established Solana NFT platforms. Marketplace adoption will depend partly on the collections it secures and whether it can attract collectors already active elsewhere in the ecosystem.
Why Solana matters for Rarible
Solana offers relatively low transaction fees and faster settlement than several older blockchain networks, making it a common venue for frequent NFT trading and lower-priced digital collectibles.
Adding the network allows Rarible to reach Solana-native creators and collectors without requiring them to move assets to another blockchain. It also gives projects another marketplace through which they can present and trade their collections.
The launch comes as NFT marketplaces face pressure to distinguish themselves through creator tools, community features and collection-specific products. Trading fees have also fallen across the sector as competing platforms seek to attract liquidity.
For U.S. users, Rarible’s announcement did not identify any new geographic restrictions or changes to marketplace access. NFT regulatory treatment in the United States can depend on how a collection is marketed and structured, rather than the blockchain on which it trades.
EU lawmakers seek a review of NFT rules
Rarible’s Solana expansion also arrives as European policymakers consider whether NFTs should fall more clearly within the bloc’s crypto regulations.
In July, the European Parliament adopted a policy report calling on the European Commission to examine decentralized finance, staking, crypto lending, borrowing and NFTs following the full rollout of the Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation.
The report did not change MiCA or create immediate obligations for NFT marketplaces. However, it established Parliament’s position that areas outside the existing framework may require further review.
MiCA’s transition period ended on July 1, requiring covered crypto-asset service providers to secure EU-wide or national authorization to continue operating across the bloc. Whether future rules extend more explicitly to NFT services could affect marketplaces such as Rarible as they add networks, collections and users.
For now, Rarible plans to continue expanding its Solana marketplace gradually, with its next phase centered on onboarding projects and refining the platform using feedback from the network’s communities.
Crypto World
Canaan taps $130M crypto reserve for stock buybacks
Canaan has authorized management to sell part of its Bitcoin and Ethereum holdings to finance share repurchases under an existing $30 million program.
Summary
- Canaan’s crypto treasury was worth about $130 million as of Aug. 3.
- The miner held 1,915 BTC and 3,952 ETH at the end of June.
- Canaan had spent $2 million on buybacks as of May 19.
- Its Nasdaq-listed shares must regain the $1 minimum bid price by Jan. 11, 2027.
Canaan opens crypto treasury to fund buybacks
Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin miner Canaan has authorized management to monetize part of its digital asset treasury and use the proceeds to repurchase its American depositary shares.
The purchases will fall under an existing program that allows Canaan to buy back up to $30 million of its ADSs or Class A ordinary shares during the 12 months beginning Dec. 12, 2025, according to the company’s Aug. 4 announcement.
Canaan did not disclose how much cryptocurrency it intends to sell or when any sales will occur. The company also did not commit to using the entire remaining authorization.
Canaan did not disclose how much cryptocurrency it intends to sell or when any sales will occur. The company also did not commit to using the entire remaining authorization.
Further transactions will depend on Canaan’s share price, broader market conditions, working capital requirements, and board approval. Repurchases may take place through open-market transactions, block trades, or privately negotiated deals.
As of May 19, Canaan had spent approximately $2 million to repurchase 2.8 million ADSs. This left a nominal $28 million under the authorization at the time, although the company has not disclosed whether it completed additional purchases before the latest announcement.
Crypto holdings reached $130 million
Canaan held 1,915 BTC and 3,952 ETH at the end of June. The company valued the combined portfolio at approximately $130 million using market prices from Aug. 3.
Its Bitcoin balance increased by 49 BTC in June after accounting for operating costs and BTC received as payment for mining-machine sales. Canaan mined 64 BTC during the month.
Chairman and CEO Nangeng Zhang said the company’s mining operations provide a continuing source of Bitcoin that can be used as capital.
“At current trading levels, we believe Canaan’s market value does not fully reflect the value of our digital asset holdings, cash position, and the strength of our underlying business.”
Canaan said it was trading below the combined value of its cryptocurrency holdings and the cash and cash equivalents reported at the end of March. However, the comparison does not account for the company’s liabilities or restrictions affecting parts of its treasury.
At the end of March, Canaan held $43.5 million in cash. It also reported that 905 BTC had been pledged against secured term loans, while another 100 BTC had been transferred to a fixed-term product.
Mining efficiency improves as capacity stays idle
The decision follows improvements in Canaan’s North American mining efficiency despite underused capacity.
Canaan achieved fleet efficiency of 17.9 joules per terahash across its North American non-joint venture operations in May. It marlet, an 11% improvement from the previous year and a roughly 4% gain from the 18.7 J/TH recorded in March and April.
Operating activity nevertheless remained below installed capacity. At the end of May, Canaan had 10.05 exahashes per second of installed non-joint venture capacity, while only 6.47 EH/s was operating after a hosting agreement expired.
By June, non-joint venture operating hashrate had fallen further to 3.36 EH/s. Joint venture operations recovered to 4.09 EH/s following wildfire-related disruption at facilities in West Texas.
Nasdaq compliance remains a risk
Canaan’s ADSs were trading near $0.19 on Aug. 6, well below Nasdaq’s $1 minimum bid-price requirement. Each ADS represents 15 Class A ordinary shares.
Nasdaq granted the company an additional 180 days, until Jan. 11, 2027, to regain compliance. Canaan must maintain a closing bid price of at least $1 for a minimum of ten consecutive business days.
The company has not directly linked the buyback decision to its listing deficiency. Still, repurchases could reduce the number of outstanding shares and offer price support, while selling cryptocurrency would lower the reserves available for mining operations, debt obligations, and working capital.
Crypto World
Tom Lee Sees S&P 500 at 8,000, Names Ethereum the Next Rally Leader
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee said on CNBC he expects the S&P 500 to reach 7,900 to 8,000 this month.
He also named Ethereum as an unexpected leader of the next leg higher, alongside the Magnificent Seven and software stocks.
Lee’s case for an August breakout
Lee said a deleveraging event a few weeks ago pushed cash to the sidelines. It also left investor sentiment too bearish, he said.
He added that strong earnings and cooling inflation fears are now driving a “chase” higher. AI spending also remains a strong theme, Lee said.
The anchor framed the recent pullback as froth clearing, not a fundamental shift. Lee agreed, then pointed to fresh earnings data.
This quarter’s results are running more than $15 ahead of estimates set at the quarter’s start, Lee said. He added that 2027 earnings estimates have risen $8, nearing 410, with room to reach 425 by season’s end.
Lee is no stranger to bold S&P 500 calls. He made a similarly aggressive prediction last November, and other strategists have floated comparable 8,000 targets for this year.
Ethereum’s unusual role in the bull case
Lee’s Ethereum comment came with an important caveat. He was not saying Ethereum would push the S&P 500 higher, but rather play a role on boosting DRAM, and memory stocks, the current catalyst for the entire market.
He remains bullish on semiconductor, DRAM, and memory stocks. Those groups are correcting now, but he expects a recovery similar to 1997 and 1998.
“The recovery here, I think, is going to be led by the Magnificent Seven, software and ethereum,” Lee said.
That puts Ethereum in the same sentence as mega-cap tech and software. It is a separate, forward-looking pick from his semis and memory thesis.
The comment lands as Ethereum has drawn more whale buying. ETF inflows have also picked back up in recent weeks.
A more measured take from Lee’s panelist
Fellow panelist on CNBC, Dan Greenhouse, offered a cooler view. He noted the S&P 500 was already near 7,700, so an 8,000 target is a modest percentage move.
Greenhouse also argued the earnings picture is broad, not just tech-driven. Financials, insurers, and card companies are all signaling strength, he said.
He pointed to two straight weeks of jobless claims under 200,000, a rare stretch historically. That backdrop, he said, is simply positive.
The bullish case echoes a broader debate over AI valuations. Some strategists question how far this rally can stretch.
Whether Ethereum can keep pace with the Magnificent Seven and software through August remains unproven. That answer will likely hinge on ETF flows and on-chain activity in the coming weeks.
The post Tom Lee Sees S&P 500 at 8,000, Names Ethereum the Next Rally Leader appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Coldcard Hackers Transfer 64 BTC, 200 ETH to Crypto Mixers
About 64 Bitcoin, worth $4.17 million, and 200 Ether, worth $380,000, linked to the recent Coldcard exploit were sent to cryptocurrency mixing protocols, according to blockchain security platform CertiK.
The Bitcoin transfer was from address bc1q0 to crypto mixing protocol Wasabi on Tuesday, according to blockchain data shared by CertiK.
“We think it might be a smaller exploiter. There’s likely a few copycats after the initial exploit,” a CertiK spokesperson told Cointelegraph. The 200 Ether (ETH) was transferred to Tornado Cash on Wednesday, according to CertiK’s X post.
Crypto mixing protocols such as Tornado Cash typically pool and then scramble the cryptocurrency from multiple users, breaking the publicly traceable onchain link between senders and recipients. This makes it difficult to trace the stolen funds, decreasing the chances of asset recovery.
In April, the hacker behind a $293 million Kelp DAO hack laundered about 75,700 Ether, then worth $175 million, primarily through THORChain, generating about $910,000 in fee revenue for the protocol. The attacker also used the Umbra privacy protocol.
The Coldcard exploit has now become the third-largest cryptocurrency hack so far in 2026. It drained at least $100 million in Bitcoin across three confirmed attack waves from 7,300 victim wallets, according to Galaxy Digital. The company also identified a suspected fourth wave that could bring total losses to about $130 million in BTC.

Source: CertiK
Most copycats haven’t moved stolen funds
Onchain tracing by TRM Labs showed that the majority of victim funds were still pooled in a small number of attacker-controlled addresses with limited mixing attempts, according to a Thursday report.
The blockchain intelligence company said that the “differences in transaction construction” during each attack wave hint at multiple attackers behind the exploit.
The analysis is in line with Galaxy’s previous findings that showed at least 15 different attackers who exploited the Coldcard vulnerability.
Related: AI has not triggered DeFi ‘hackpocalypse,’ Dragonfly partner says
TRM Labs said that a firmware bug from March 2021 weakened seed randomness on some Coldcard wallets, cutting key strength to 40 bits from 128 bits, making it “brute-forceable without physical access.”
Dragonfly managing partner Haseeb Qureshi wrote that roughly “$2 of AI hardening” could have prevented the Coldcard exploit, citing social media reports that some AI models rediscovered the vulnerability that led to the attack in less than 20 minutes.
Magazine: Does Botanix’s failure prove Bitcoiners don’t care about DeFi?
Crypto World
New Analysis Warns Over ‘Breaking’ Bitcoin Treasury Investment Model
Bitcoin (BTC) institutional investment vehicles have shed 10% of their BTC holdings since May as analysis warns of a “breaking” sector.
Key points:
- Bitcoin institutional funds see a blanket 10% reduction in holdings over three months.
- Analysis says that the Bitcoin treasury model is “breaking” as company valuations fall below net asset value.
- Coinbase premium has been negative for a record 93 days.
Fund exposure drops as Bitcoin treasury companies face squeeze
Data from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that combined institutional BTC exposure, which includes trusts, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and closed-end funds, has fallen from 1.33 million to 1.20 million BTC over three months.

Bitcoin fund holdings. Source: CryptoQuant
The drawdown comes as another major Bitcoin institutional investment vehicle, corporate treasuries, faces upheaval. Business intelligence software company Strategy, which holds the largest Bitcoin treasury of any public corporation, sold 1,638 BTC last week.
“Bitcoin treasury companies once amplified demand through a reflexive financing loop. Their shares traded above the value of their Bitcoin holdings, allowing them to issue equity or debt, buy more Bitcoin and reinforce the premium. That mechanism weakens when market capitalisations fall below net asset value, and financing becomes dilutive,” contributing analyst Novaque Research commented.
CryptoQuant highlights the plight of several Bitcoin treasury companies with stock trading below the net asset value (NAV) of their BTC holdings. In Strategy’s case, the discount disappears according to the valuation methodology used.
Basic share count puts the discount at 0.7 as of Thursday, but once the company’s $8 billion debt and liquidation preference of its STRC preferred stock is factored in, the mNAV equals 1.03.

Strategy Updated mNAV. Source: Bitcoin Treasuries
“The on-chain evidence supports a loss of institutional demand, although it cannot directly isolate treasury companies,” CryptoQuant notes.
Coinbase Premium sees record negative stint
The drawdown in both fund exposure and Bitcoin treasury holdings comes as the Coinbase Premium index sees a record 93 days of negative readings.
Related: Bitcoin price-metric basket sees longest capitulation since FTX blow-up: Glassnode
As Cointelegraph reported this week, the Index, which measures the difference in price between Coinbase’s and Binance’s BTC/USDT pairs, has been negative since the start of May — a record streak.

Coinbase Premium Index. Source: CryptoQuant
Analysis sees the return of the Premium as a prerequisite for a BTC price recovery. This week, Web3 marketing platform FOUR argued that the genesis of the months-long negative reading did not lie in blanket US selling pressure.
“Until the premium flips positive, institutional buying from U.S. investors appears muted—suggesting this is more of a demand shortage than aggressive selling,” it told X followers.
In a note quoted by Reuters last month, Citi highlighted ETF flows in particular as an “important driver of prices” while cutting its BTC price forecast to $53,000 through 2027.
Crypto World
After Primary Setback, Crypto PACs Back 3 US State Races With $1.5M
Fairshake-linked political action committee (PAC) affiliates reported new campaign spending aimed at federal primaries in several states, according to Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings reviewed as of Thursday. The disclosures include more than $1.5 million spent on media backing House and Senate candidates in Florida, Alaska and Wyoming, after a related primary loss in Michigan on Tuesday.
The latest expenditures were filed by two Fairshake-affiliated groups—Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress—each aligned with the broader push for U.S. crypto market-structure legislation. Many of the candidates supported in the new filings have voting records in favor of the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act and other related proposals.
Key takeaways
- FEC filings show Fairshake PAC affiliates spent a combined more than $1.5 million on political media in Florida, Alaska and Wyoming after a Michigan primary loss.
- Defend American Jobs reported over $500,000 for Alaska’s Aug. 18 at-large GOP primary and comparable spending in Florida’s 16th district.
- Protect Progress reported more than $50,000 on Florida’s 23rd district, supporting incumbent Representative Lois Frankel.
- The spending reflects how Fairshake-aligned groups are using election cycles to reward or reinforce crypto-related legislative voting records.
Fairshake affiliates ramp up media buys for Aug. 18 primaries
FEC filings as of Thursday indicate that Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress spent together more than $1.5 million on media related to federal contests in Florida, Alaska and Wyoming. The figure is tied to primary elections scheduled for Aug. 18 in multiple states.
In Alaska’s at-large congressional district, Defend American Jobs reported spending more than $500,000 on media supporting the re-election of Representative Nick Begich. In Florida, the same group spent about $500,000 backing Republican candidate Sydney Gruters in Florida’s 16th district.
For Wyoming’s political calendar, the reported spending also references a contest connected to the state’s upcoming Senate vacancy. Protect Progress-affiliated activity backed Representative Harriet Hageman, a candidate now running for the soon-to-be-vacant Senate seat currently held by Cynthia Lummis. Like Alaska and Florida, Wyoming’s primary is also listed as occurring on Aug. 18.
Michigan defeat follows heavy pre-election spending
The new disclosures come immediately after Protect Progress-supported activity appeared to backfire in Michigan’s 13th Congressional District. On Tuesday, Democratic incumbent Shri Thanedar lost a primary to State Representative Donavan McKinney, according to earlier coverage from Cointelegraph.
In connection with that Michigan race, Protect Progress previously reported spending more than $2 million on media supporting Thanedar. Thanedar’s current term in Congress ends in January 2027, making the outcome consequential for the district’s future representation.
While the FEC numbers in the Michigan race indicate substantial investment, the primary result underscores that large independent political spending does not guarantee electoral success—particularly in competitive districts where local dynamics and voter preferences can override national legislative alignment.
Who the PAC backs: CLARITY and GENIUS voting records in focus
Beyond the election cycle’s tactical spending, the disclosures highlight a recurring theme in U.S. crypto politics: PACs and advocacy-aligned groups appear to target candidates based on their legislative history. The filing-related reporting notes that Begich, Frankel and Hageman voted in favor of the GENIUS Act and the CLARITY Act during their time in Congress.
On the Democratic side, Protect Progress reported spending more than $50,000 to support the re-election of Lois Frankel in Florida’s 23rd district. Frankel’s voting alignment with GENIUS and CLARITY places her within the group of lawmakers that crypto-aligned backers have previously tried to reinforce with campaign support.
By contrast, the reporting indicates that Gruters did not appear to have made public statements about crypto or blockchain in the same manner as some other candidates, with one exception: she reportedly supported the crypto market structure bill in a questionnaire response conducted by the advocacy organization Stand With Crypto.
Those distinctions matter because they show how crypto-aligned groups may weigh both formal voting records and documented position statements when deciding where money goes—an approach that can help explain variations in spending patterns across candidates and parties.
Why these filings could matter for the 2026 cycle
The most important implication of these disclosures may be less about the immediate primaries and more about how lawmakers understand what their votes mean electorally. While it remained unclear as of Thursday whether the U.S. Senate would hold a vote on the CLARITY Act before a month-long recess, the pattern of independent spending suggests crypto-aligned groups are preparing for a broader political push heading into the 2026 midterms.
All 435 House seats are up for election in 2026, and 33 Senate seats are also on the ballot. As a result, how members vote on crypto market-structure legislation can potentially influence whether candidates face better or worse chances of receiving aligned support.
In January, Stand With Crypto said its “primary goal” for 2026 was to get crypto market-structure legislation through Congress. Earlier reporting also indicates the organization’s community director, Mason Lynaugh, told Cointelegraph in November that lawmakers’ votes on relevant bills could affect their re-election chances. Stand With Crypto reportedly rates candidates on a scale ranging from “strongly supports crypto” to “strongly against crypto,” using voting records and public statements—inputs that PACs and advocacy groups may use when deciding how to allocate resources.
Taken together, the new FEC filings show Fairshake-affiliated groups continuing to convert legislative alignment into campaign strategy, while also reacting quickly after electoral setbacks in earlier races.
With multiple primaries scheduled for Aug. 18 and the 2026 midterm picture already taking shape, readers should watch whether candidates’ crypto-related legislative histories translate into measurable primary outcomes—and whether subsequent disclosures show a shift in spending priorities after the Michigan result.
Crypto World
July Jobs Report Due Today: Will Bitcoin React Like Last Time?
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics releases July’s nonfarm payrolls report today, with economists forecasting a gain of just 83,000 jobs and unemployment steady at 4.2%. Bitcoin (BTC) traders are wondering whether the reaction will mirror June’s report.
June’s report showed just 57,000 new jobs, a miss that sent Bitcoin jumping 4% before the rally faded within weeks. That pattern is worth noting ahead of today’s print.
What Happened Last Time
June’s payrolls came in far below the roughly 110,000 economists had forecast. Weak hiring data typically revives bets that the Federal Reserve will hold off on rate hikes, since lower rates ease liquidity conditions that support Bitcoin.
That played out almost immediately. Bitcoin jumped 4% to near $62,000 the day the June report landed, then climbed toward $64,000 over the following weekend as traders priced out a near-term hike.
The rally did not hold. Bitcoin slipped roughly 3% by the end of July, trading near $63,080, after three Fed policymakers dissented in favor of a rate hike at their latest meeting. Thirty-year Treasury yields climbed to their highest level since 2007 that same week.
A Pattern That Cuts Both Ways
June was not an isolated case. A stronger-than-expected May jobs report weakened rate cut hopes and pressured Bitcoin, as the economy added 172,000 jobs against lower forecasts.
A January report that nearly doubled expectations produced the same effect, pushing Bitcoin toward $65,000 support as Treasury yields rose. An unusually weak August 2025 report, just 22,000 jobs against forecasts of 75,000, sent Bitcoin near $113,000 on revived rate cut bets.
Why Today Could Break The Pattern
Forecasts for July diverge sharply. Vanguard’s 401(k) data points to a payroll gain of just 18,000, a miss that would likely echo June’s rally. Citigroup holds an out-of-consensus call for three rate cuts between now and January 2027.
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook struck a more cautious tone this week.
“Although the hiring rate is low, the unemployment rate remains steady because layoffs are also low. The low-hire, low-fire equilibrium hits some groups, including new entrants, especially hard and may restrain worker sentiment for good reason.”
Cook added that she would support a rate hike if inflation fails to improve, the same hawkish undertone that cut short June’s rally within weeks.
Bitcoin traded at $64,305 at time of writing, up 0.50% over 24 hours. Whether today’s print triggers a repeat of June’s move, or gets overtaken by the same hawkish signals that followed it, may depend on how the Fed frames the data as much as the headline number itself.
The post July Jobs Report Due Today: Will Bitcoin React Like Last Time? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Crypto Wrench Attacks Steal Over $30M in 2026: Chainalysis
Criminals stole more than $30 million through physical attacks on crypto holders in the first half of this year, putting the year on pace to surpass the record $58 million stolen in 2025.
In a Chainalysis report released Thursday, the blockchain analytics firm said that 46 violent crypto-related incidents had been documented globally through late June, up from 40 during the same period in 2025. The incidents include kidnappings, home invasions and hostage situations, collectively known as “wrench attacks.”
The findings suggest wrench attacks are increasing, expanding the risks facing crypto holders beyond custody and asset management to their physical safety, homes and families.
According to the report, only 12 of the 46 attempts resulted in payment, giving attackers a 26% success rate, down from 49% in 2025. However, the report acknowledged that known cases likely understate the scale of the problem, as many attacks go unreported.
Chainalysis said the “tradecraft tends to be amateur at the point of violence, but professional at both ends,” with victims often selected through data leaks, social media or insider information before low-skilled crews carry out the attacks.

Success rate of crypto wrench attacks by year. Source: Chainalysis
France remains wrench attack hotspot
According to Chainalysis, France recorded 30 publicly known incidents by midyear, compared with 19 throughout 2025. The report noted that French authorities have counted more than 70 incidents, indicating the actual total may be substantially higher.
Related: Spain arrests suspect in 2025 kidnapping of Ledger co-founder
In July, Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez put the first-half count at 77 kidnappings, extortions or attempted extortions, up from 45 in all of 2025. In response, the government has introduced a rapid-alert and protection system and promised greater intelligence-sharing and coordination with the crypto industry.
Chainalysis said in the Thursday report that the alleged misuse of French tax records was the likeliest driver of the surge. A French tax official allegedly accessed and sold information about crypto investors to criminals, while a separate breach at crypto tax-reporting company Waltio reportedly exposed data belonging to about 50,000 users.
Onchain activity also showed varying levels of sophistication. Some attackers sent stolen funds directly to centralized exchanges, while others used bridges, decentralized exchanges and laundering services. Chainalysis said the most advanced cases showed links to broader criminal networks.
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