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Is $1,500 Next for ETH After the ‘Aggressive Deleveraging’?

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Is $1,500 Next for ETH After the 'Aggressive Deleveraging'?

Ethereum has entered an aggressive deleveraging phase, breaking decisively lower after weeks of distribution near the upper boundary of its medium-term range. A key macro driver behind this move appears to be the recent escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which has pushed broader risk assets into de-risking mode and amplified existing technical fragilities in the ETH market.

The combination of macro uncertainty, elevated leverage, and vulnerable chart structure has produced a sharp unwind rather than a controlled pullback.

Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily chart, ETH has broken down from the prior ascending structure that extended from the late-2025 lows and has failed to break above the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are now both located above the $3,000 mark. This price behavior has confirmed a transition from corrective sideways action into a clear downside trend.

The price has also broken below the first major demand band around the $2,200-$2,000 area, which coincides with a prior consolidation base and the origin of the last strong impulsive advance. Daily RSI has also fallen into deeply oversold territory in the low 20s, indicating stretched short-term conditions.

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However, as long as the market remains capped below the broken moving averages and former support around $2,200, the broader structure continues to point toward a bear-market rally at best rather than a confirmed reversal.

ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart highlights the velocity of the current sell-off, with ETH cascading lower from the previously defended $2,800–$2,900 support and barely pausing on intermediate levels. The market is now trying to stabilize around the $1,850–$1,900 range, and a mild bullish divergence is emerging on the 4-hour RSI, where momentum has begun to print higher lows despite marginally lower price lows.

This configuration often signals that forced selling pressure is easing and that a short-term relief bounce or sideways consolidation may follow.

Immediate resistance now sits in the $2,100–$2,200 area, with a stronger supply zone at $2,800. Any rebound that stalls below these bands would keep the intraday trend firmly bearish, while a clean breakdown below the recent $1,800 low would pave the way toward the deeper demand zone at $1,500.

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Sentiment Analysis

On the derivatives side, open interest across Ethereum futures has collapsed from elevated levels above 30 billion USD to nearly a third that size, tracking the price decline and signaling a large-scale liquidation cascade rather than an orderly reduction in positioning. This sharp contraction in open interest indicates that a significant portion of leveraged longs has been forced out of the market, with margin calls and auto-deleveraging accelerating the downside once key support levels failed.

While such events are painful in the short term, they also tend to cleanse excess leverage from the system, leaving a lighter positioning backdrop where spot flows and fresh capital, rather than crowded derivatives exposure, can play a larger role in setting the next directional move.

 

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Samson Mow Breaks Down Bitcoin Market Crash

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Samson Mow Breaks Down Bitcoin Market Crash

In a video interview, Samson Mow shares his views on Bitcoin’s latest bloodbath, quantum fears and the catalysts that could drive Bitcoin’s next recovery.

In an exclusive Cointelegraph interview, Bitcoin OG Samson Mow shares his perspective on Bitcoin’s latest massive crash, what’s driving the sell-offs and why a rebound could be closer than most expect.

We discuss gold and silver’s rally, forced liquidations, the “quantum threat” to crypto, and examine the long-term Bitcoin thesis: Is Bitcoin truly designed to rise in price due to fiat devaluation, or is that a flawed narrative?

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After months of relentless selling pressure, sharp liquidations and growing bearish sentiment, many investors are asking the same question: Why does Bitcoin keep falling despite strong fundamentals, and when could it finally recover?

According to Mow, Bitcoin’s unique role as the most liquid asset in global markets, combined with its 24/7 tradability, makes it particularly sensitive to downside shocks that more traditional assets often avoid, at least in the short term.

The discussion also explores one of the most important dynamics in today’s market: the relationship between gold, silver and Bitcoin. After a powerful rally in precious metals, Mow lays out the case for why capital rotation from other hard assets may be setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next move.

If you’re trying to understand the nature of Bitcoin’s recent decline and what may come next, watch the full interview on our YouTube channel.

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This interview has been edited and condensed for clarity.

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Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster Ride Continues as BTC Price Recovers $10K in a Day

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BTCUSD Feb 6. Source: TradingView


Bitcoin’s price jumped past $71,000 minutes ago, while XRP and other altcoins have produced massive double-digit daily gains.

What a ride it has been in the cryptocurrency space lately. The quick and sharp moves continue as of press time, as BTC has skyrocketed to over $71,000 just less than a day after it dipped to $60,000.

The altcoins are well in the green now on a daily scale, and the total crypto market cap has increased by roughly $200 billion since its low from earlier this morning.

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BTCUSD Feb 6. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Feb 6. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s price chart from above paints a very clear and volatile picture. It shows that the cryptocurrency plummeted by roughly $30,000 in the span of just over a week – from last Wednesday to Friday morning.

As reported earlier today, popular analysts blamed this latest crash, in which bitcoin dropped from $77,000 to $60,000 in about 24 hours, to emotional selling and structural change rather than broken fundamentals within BTC and the crypto market.

Since then, BTC has gone on a tear. It added over $10,000 since this morning’s multi-year low, and briefly surpassed $71,000 minutes ago before it was stopped and now trades inches below it.

The altcoins have produced even more impressive gains, with XRP leading the pack. Ripple’s cross-border token has soared by 19% daily to over $1.50 as of press time, while ETH has reclaimed the psychological $2,000 level.

The total value of wrecked positions daily is still over $2 billion, but most of it is from longs, which happened before today’s recovery. Nevertheless, over $350 million worth of shorts have been wrecked in the past 12 hours, with BTC responsible for the lion’s share ($261 million).

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Liquidation Data on CoinGlass Feb 6.
Liquidation Data on CoinGlass Feb 6.

 

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Bitcoin gets slashed in half. What’s behind the crypto’s existential crisis

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Bitcoin tumbled toward $60,000 this week as investors reassessed its utility. And while there isn’t one clear catalyst driving the bloodbath, one thing is clear: the crypto market is in crisis. 

“There’s nothing going on in the marketplace that should have necessitated this type of a crash,” Anthony Scaramucci, founder and managing partner of alternative investment firm SkyBridge, told CNBC. “And so I think that’s made people, frankly, more fearful. … You have to ask yourself, ‘is it over for bitcoin?’”

Bitcoin fell as low as $60,062 on Thursday, bringing it to its lowest level since Oct. 11, 2024. That’s more than 52% off from its record high of $126,000 hit in early October 2025.  

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The previous session marked one of bitcoin’s bloodiest ever, with the token shedding more than 15% on the day. Its daily relative strength index fell to 18, putting the asset in extremely oversold territory. As of Thursday, other digital assets like ether and solana were also down 24%  and 26% for the week to date, respectively — a sign investors’ confidence in the entire crypto market is faltering.

Bitcoin bounces, but losses loom large

Bitcoin was rebounding on Friday, with the token last trading at $69,631.97, up more than 9% on the day.

But, its recent drawdown has prompted investors to re-evaluate its utility, including its role as a digital currency or as a store of value. Simultaneously, institutional appetite for the flagship crypto appears to be waning as spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds record outsized outflows, threatening to drive bitcoin deeper into the red. 

“This time is markedly different from other bear markets, however, in that it’s not in response to a structural blowup,” Jasper De Maere, desk strategist at crypto market-making firm Wintermute, said in a statement shared with CNBC. “It’s a fundamentally macro-driven deleveraging tied to positioning, risk appetite and narratives rather than systemic failures within crypto itself.”

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Bitcoin prices over the past year

Over the past few months, investors have grown increasingly skeptical of efforts to recast bitcoin as “digital gold,” or an alternative to traditional safe havens such as gold. Bitcoin is down 28% over the past 12 months, while gold is up 72% during the same period — a testament to the latter’s utility as a hedge against macro risks.

Conversely, bitcoin has often traded down alongside other risk-on assets such as equities amid periods of high macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, raising doubts about its utility as a safe haven. Nearly a week after Trump’s “liberation day” tariff announcement on April 2, 2025, bitcoin had fallen about 10% to below $80,000, while the S&P 500 had declined roughly 4%. 

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Separately, investors are also reassessing the extent to which financial institutions, treasury firms and governments are willing to adopt bitcoin — a major catalyst for the token in recent years. 

Large institutional outflows are mounting as investors brace for bitcoin to go lower, thinning liquidity for the token, according to a recent analyst note from Deutsche Bank.

Those outflows are also noticeable among spot bitcoin ETFs in recent months, according to the investment firm. The funds have seen outflows of more than $3 billion in January, in addition to roughly $2 billion last December and about $7 billion last November.

Additionally, a swath of Strategy copy-cats that emerged over the past year or so have slowed or paused their bitcoin purchases amid the digital asset’s correction.

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Finally, traders have acknowledged that long-time efforts to market bitcoin as an alternative to fiat currencies have largely faded. While Steak ‘n Shake and Compass Coffee have rolled out support for bitcoin payments in recent years, initiatives to make the asset a form of payment have largely died, particularly as interest in dollar-pegged stablecoins grows, according to Bitwise’s Ryan Rasmussen. 

“We’re seeing Wall Street adopt stablecoins because it is a fundamental transformation of the way payments work, and bitcoin is just a different asset. It’s not meant for that today,” Rasmussen said, arguing that the token’s purpose has evolved from that of a currency to a decentralized, non-governable store of value. “I’ve never paid for coffee or a sandwich with Bitcoin, and I never will.”

And beyond those more immediate concerns, investors are also increasingly worried that bitcoin’s underlying network could be hacked, driving the token to zero. 

“It certainly is a risk that is seeing more attention from investors as they’re getting more worried about [it], and I think you’re seeing a little bit of that risk priced into bitcoin,” Rasmussen said.

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He noted that Bitwise has allocated funds toward efforts to mitigate the threat from quantum computing.

Nevertheless, traders’ appetite for bitcoin has largely dwindled, denting its price. That’s true even as long-time believers are still proudly betting on bitcoin, despite of the charts and the naysayers. 

“I believe that the story is intact,” said Scaramucci, adding that he bought bitcoin for his fund on Thursday. “But, I don’t have a crystal ball. … Who the hell knows.”

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PBOC Officially Bans ‘Unapproved’ Yuan-Pegged Stablecoins

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China, Yuan, Peoples Bank of China, Stablecoin, CBDC

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), the country’s central bank, and seven Chinese regulatory agencies published a joint statement on Friday banning the unapproved issuance of Renminbi-pegged stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs).

The ban applies to both domestic and foreign stablecoin and tokenized RWA issuers, according to the statement, which was also signed by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and China’s Securities Regulatory Commission. A translation of the announcement said:

“Stablecoins pegged to fiat currencies perform some of the functions of fiat currencies in disguise during circulation and use. No unit or individual at home or abroad may issue RMB-linked stablecoins without the consent of relevant departments.”

Winston Ma, an adjunct professor at New York University (NYU) Law School and former Managing Director of CIC, China’s sovereign wealth fund, told Cointelegraph that the ban extends to the onshore and offshore versions of China’s Renminbi, also called the yuan.