Starting August 3, 2026, the normal market closing time for equity derivatives will be extended by 10 minutes to 3:40 pm from the current 3:30 pm. While the extension is noteworthy, the bigger change lies in how closing prices for eligible securities will be determined.

The move aims to ensure a smoother transition between the cash and derivatives markets at the end of the trading day while maintaining consistency in the pricing framework across segments.

What is the closing auction session?

The CAS is a structured trading window held at the end of the trading day. During this period, market participants place buy and sell orders to determine a single closing price for a security through an auction-based mechanism.

Live Events

Unlike the current system where prices evolve through normal trading until market close, the auction process discovers a fair closing price based on orders entered during the designated session.
According to the exchange, CAS will initially apply only to securities in the cash segment that have derivative contracts available. The framework will roll out in phases, and any future expansion will be subject to SEBI guidance and separate operational instructions from the exchange.

Why are derivatives trading hours being extended?

Although CAS applies only to the equity segment, NSE decided to extend trading hours in the derivatives segment to ensure both markets remain aligned during the closing process.

The exchange also clarified that the price bands and pre-trade risk control measures introduced as part of CAS in the cash market will be mirrored in the derivatives segment. This is intended to maintain consistency between the two segments during the closing phase of trading.

How will the closing auction session work?

The CAS will run for 20 minutes, from 3:15 pm to 3:35 pm. The process will begin with a transition phase between 3:15 pm and 3:20 pm, during which the reference price will be calculated using the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) of trades executed between 3:00 pm and 3:15 pm.

Between 3:20 pm and 3:25 pm, participants will be able to enter both market and limit orders. From 3:25 pm to 3:30 pm, only limit orders will be permitted. During this period, market orders cannot be modified or cancelled.

The order entry session will close randomly at any point between 3:28 pm and 3:30 pm, after which the auction process will determine the final closing price.

How will closing prices be calculated?

One key point highlighted by NSE is that there will be no change in the methodology used to calculate closing prices of derivative contracts. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) used for derivatives closing price calculation will continue to be based on trades executed during the final 30 minutes of trading. However, because market hours are being extended, that 30-minute window will now shift to 3:10 pm-3:40 pm instead of the current 3:00 pm-3:30 pm.

For securities eligible for CAS, the closing price in the cash segment will be determined through the auction process.

Ashish Nanda, President and Digital Business Head at Kotak Securities summed up the shift by noting that the market is moving from a “continuous trading close” to an “auction discovered close”.

Under the current framework, closing prices are derived from the VWAP of trades executed between 3:00 pm and 3:30 pm. Under the new framework, closing prices for F&O-eligible stocks will effectively be linked to a 20-minute auction process running from 3:15 pm to 3:35 pm.

What happens if a stock is removed from F&O?

NSE clarified that eligibility for CAS is linked to the presence of derivatives on the stock. If a security is excluded from the equity derivatives segment on both exchanges, it will no longer be eligible for the CAS.

In such cases, the closing price will revert to the existing methodology and be determined using the VWAP of trades executed during the last 30 minutes of trading. However, if the security continues to be part of the derivatives segment on at least one exchange, it will remain eligible for CAS.

What happens to pending orders?

The exchange outlined operational changes relating to order management. All unexecuted special orders, including stop-loss orders and disclosed quantity orders, will be cancelled. Pending orders that fall outside the revised price band will also be cancelled automatically, and members will receive appropriate cancellation notifications.

Why does this matter for traders?

For many market participants, the biggest implication is that the final closing price may no longer mirror the last traded price visible on trading screens at 3:30 pm.

According to Ashish Nanda, this could require adjustments to trading strategies, particularly for option writers and arbitrageurs who rely heavily on closing prices for valuation, settlement and hedging decisions.

While the derivatives market will remain open until 3:40 pm, the broader shift is not simply about extending trading by 10 minutes. It marks a change in how closing prices for eligible securities are discovered, with the exchange moving toward an auction-based mechanism designed to determine a single closing price at the end of the trading day.

What happens to existing market timings?

Apart from the revised closing time, most trading schedules remain unchanged. The pre-open session in the derivatives segment will continue to begin at 9:00 am and the normal trading session will continue to start at 9:15 am. Similarly, the trade modification window will remain unchanged and continue until 4:15 pm.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

In its latest Indian strategy report, Motilal Oswal Financial Services said that aggregate earnings of the companies under its coverage grew 16% year-on-year, beating its estimate of 8% growth in the January-March quarter of FY26. According to the domestic brokerage, the better-than-expected earnings growth was powered by BFSI (profit grew 18% YoY vs. brokerage’s estimate of 11%) and supported by metals (profit surged 50% YoY vs. brokerage’s estimate of 24%) and OMCs (profit jumped 62% YoY vs. brokerage’s estimate of 7% growth). Further, technology (+13% YoY), telecom (+8.4x YoY), and automobiles (+13% YoY vs. brokerage’s estimate of 6% decline) propelled earnings, Motilal added.

On the other hand, aggregate earnings growth was dragged by oil & gas (excluding OMCs), which posted a profit dip of 10% YoY vs. Motilal’s estimate of 1% growth.

The Nifty 50 companies delivered 4% YoY growth in net profit, beating Motilal’s estimate of 2% growth. The domestic brokerage, however, noted that Nifty reported a single-digit earnings growth for the eighth consecutive quarter, the first time since the pandemic (June 2020).

“Barring Reliance Industries, which posted a profit dip of 13% YoY, and Interglobe Aviation, which posted a loss of Rs 24 billion vs. a profit of Rs 30.7 billion YoY, the Nifty Universe posted a 9% YoY earnings growth. Five Nifty companies – Bharti Airtel, JSW Steel, HDFC Bank, Infosys, and TCS – contributed 75% of the incremental YoY accretion in earnings. Conversely, Reliance Industries, Interglobe Aviation, Adani Enterprises, Power Grid, Dr Reddy’s, Cipla, Tata Motors PV, Sun Pharma, and Maruti Suzuki dragged down earnings. Within the Nifty, 15 companies reported lower-than-expected profits, while 18 posted a beat, and 17 registered in-line results,” Motilal added.

Live Events

Also read: IndiGo soars 5% after Q4 results. What Goldman Sachs, Jefferies and others are saying

Largecaps, midcaps beat estimates, smallcaps post in-line earnings

The domestic brokerage noted that among the companies under its coverage, around 90 largecap companies on average posted an earnings growth of 12% YoY. Around 101 midcap companies, meanwhile, showed improvement and delivered earnings growth of 36% YoY (vs. the brokerage’s estimate of 25%).
“Multiple mid-cap sectors, such as BFSI, metals, OMCs, and healthcare, lifted the overall performance. These sectors contributed ~89% of the incremental YoY accretion in earnings. In contrast, smallcaps (168 companies) delivered in-line performance, with earnings rising 19% YoY (our estimate of +18%). Within small-caps, 68% of the coverage universe exceeded/met our estimates. Conversely, within the large-cap/mid-cap universes, 74%/73% of the companies exceeded/met our estimates,” Motilal Oswal said.
It noted that Nifty EPS for FY26 stood at Rs 1,065 per share, marking a second consecutive year of single-digit growth. It cut its Nifty EPS estimate for FY27 by 0.9% to Rs 1,235 per share, led by SBI, Reliance Industries, JSW Steel, ONGC, and Coal India. “Earnings estimates of the MOFSL Universe were cut by 1.3% for FY27, fueled by PSU Bank, Oil & Gas, Healthcare, Telecom, and Technology. The MOFSL large-cap universe reported an earnings cut of 0.9%, while the mid-cap universe recorded a downgrade of 2.2%, and the MOFSL small-cap universe posted a downgrade of 2.8% for FY27,” it added.

Q4 earnings season fared better than expectations

Motilal concluded by saying that the Q4 earnings season fared better than expectations, but forward earnings revisions continue to exhibit weakness. Following India’s sharp underperformance in FY26 and record FII outflows, a favorable base has likely been set for Indian equities, it said, adding that in the near term, however, the market will remain hostage to volatile developments arising from the West Asian crisis.
“Higher commodity prices will be the key monitorables, as a prolonged elevated level could affect India’s macro parameters and engender a tight monetary policy stance. Our model portfolio broadly reflects our preference for growth visibility, structural domestic growth plays, and select global value names. We firmly believe that this is a bottom-up market, despite India witnessing both time and price corrections relative to EM peers. Our key overweight sectors are Autos, PSU Banks, Diversified Financials, Manufacturing & Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, and New-age platforms. In contrast, we are underweight on Oil & Gas, Private Banks, Metals, Consumer Staples, IT, and Commodities/Utilities,” the brokerage said.

Also read: PSU bank stocks vs private banks in FY27: The valuation trap you need to avoid

It listed Bharti Airtel, State Bank of India (SBI), ICICI Bank, Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), Titan, Bharat Electronics (BEL), Eternal, Tata Steel, Infosys and IndiGo as its top Nifty 50 picks, while non-Nifty 50 picks included TVS Motor Company, ICICI Prudential AMC, Groww, Indian Hotels, AU Small Finance, Dixon Tech, Lenskart, Waaree Energies, Coforge, Radico Khaitan and Delhivery.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

LISBON — Portuguese Football Federation president Pedro Proenca has cast doubt on the possibility of Cristiano Ronaldo playing at the 2030 World Cup, stating that it would require a “huge surprise” physiologically for the 41-year-old superstar to feature at age 45 when Portugal co-hosts the tournament.

Proenca, speaking at the Bola Branca Conference, acknowledged Ronaldo’s extraordinary career and enduring link to the national team but emphasized biological realities as the primary barrier to a sixth World Cup appearance. The five-time Ballon d’Or winner remains Portugal’s all-time leading scorer and a central figure for the Selecao, but questions about his long-term playing future continue to grow.

“I’ll say that, physiologically, a huge surprise would have to happen for him to be in another World Cup,” Proenca said. He added that any participation in the European Championship would depend on the coach at the time, Ronaldo’s form and various technical factors.

The comments reflect a pragmatic approach from Portuguese football’s governing body as it prepares for the 2030 World Cup, which Portugal will co-host alongside Spain and Morocco. While Ronaldo has defied age-related expectations throughout his career, Proenca suggested that expecting him to compete at the highest level in 2030 would be unrealistic without exceptional circumstances.

Ronaldo’s Enduring Legacy

Despite the tempered expectations for on-field participation, Proenca made clear that Ronaldo’s connection to Portuguese football will remain permanent. The forward’s global brand, marketability and contributions to the sport have elevated the profile of the national team significantly.

“Cristiano Ronaldo will be whatever he wants to be in Portuguese football,” Proenca stated. “It’s an absolutely extraordinary case, not only in terms of notoriety, capacity, and brand mobilization. Sporting-wise, I dare say it’s a unique case of talent development in Portuguese football.”

This assurance suggests that once Ronaldo decides to retire from playing, the federation envisions a significant ongoing role for him, potentially in ambassadorial, coaching, or advisory capacities. Ronaldo’s influence extends far beyond the pitch, with his presence helping secure sponsorships, boost youth development programs and maintain international interest in the Portuguese team.

Planning for the Post-Ronaldo Era

Proenca emphasized that the federation is proactively preparing for life after Ronaldo’s playing career without treating it as a crisis. The organization has diversified its revenue streams and partnerships to reduce dependence on any single player or sponsor.

“The Portuguese Football Federation has always been preparing its present and its future, in terms of revenue, so as not to depend on participating in international competitions solely on one or two sponsors and one or two players,” he explained.

This forward-thinking approach aims to ensure stability regardless of who wears the national team jersey. Portugal has produced several talented young players in recent years, and the federation is focused on creating a sustainable pipeline of talent to maintain competitive success.

Ronaldo’s Current Standing

At 41, Ronaldo continues to perform at a high level with Al-Nassr in Saudi Arabia and for Portugal. He was instrumental in Portugal’s Nations League success and remains a key goal threat in qualifying matches. However, the physical demands of elite international football at an advanced age present increasing challenges.

Ronaldo has repeatedly expressed his desire to play at the 2030 World Cup on home soil, viewing it as a potential fairytale ending to his international career. His dedication to fitness and recovery is legendary, but Proenca’s comments highlight the scientific limits that even the greatest athletes eventually face.

Broader Implications for Portugal

The 2030 World Cup represents a monumental opportunity for Portuguese football. As co-hosts, the country will benefit from infrastructure development, increased global visibility and economic gains. Ensuring a competitive national team during the tournament is a priority, but the federation appears committed to building depth rather than relying solely on Ronaldo’s star power.

Younger talents such as Rafael Leao, Bruno Fernandes and Joao Felix are expected to form the core of the team in the coming years. The transition from the Ronaldo era will require careful management to maintain fan enthusiasm and competitive performance.

Ronaldo’s Global Impact

Regardless of his playing status in 2030, Ronaldo’s legacy as one of football’s greatest players is secure. His record-breaking goal tallies, Champions League successes and influence on the sport’s commercialization have reshaped modern football. In Portugal, he remains a national icon whose achievements inspire generations of young players.

The federation’s willingness to offer Ronaldo any role he desires post-retirement recognizes both his sporting contributions and his value as a global ambassador. This approach could help ensure a smooth transition while preserving the emotional connection between Ronaldo and Portuguese supporters.

As the 2030 World Cup draws closer, discussions about Ronaldo’s future will intensify. For now, Proenca’s comments provide a realistic framework for expectations while celebrating Ronaldo’s unparalleled contributions to Portuguese football.

The coming years will reveal whether Ronaldo can continue defying age expectations or if 2030 will mark the beginning of his next chapter in a non-playing capacity. Whatever the outcome, his place in football history and Portuguese sporting culture remains firmly established.

BOISE, Idaho — A retired Idaho couple has filed a federal class-action lawsuit against Bitcoin Depot Inc., alleging the cryptocurrency ATM operator’s network enabled scammers to drain their entire $76,000 retirement savings over five days in August 2025 through a sophisticated social engineering scheme.

Karen and Robert Lacey filed the complaint on May 11, 2026, in U.S. District Court for the District of Idaho (Case No. 1:26-cv-00288-DKG), accusing Bitcoin Depot of processing suspicious high-value cash deposits without adequate intervention despite clear red flags. The suit claims the company profited from fraud while failing to protect vulnerable customers using its machines.

According to the 43-page filing, fraudsters posing as Norton customer service representatives and FBI agents convinced the Laceys that their accounts were linked to child pornography and illegal gambling investigations. The scammers instructed the couple to deposit large sums of cash at Bitcoin Depot ATMs between August 9 and August 13, 2025. To bolster the deception, the perpetrators allegedly caused wireless networks labeled “FBI” to appear on the couple’s phones — signals that reportedly remained visible for months afterward.

The lawsuit alleges Bitcoin Depot processed each transaction “without meaningful intervention,” despite the unusual pattern of first-time users making large cash deposits while actively speaking with unknown parties on the phone. The company charges transaction fees as high as 50 percent, and the plaintiffs describe its on-screen warning stickers as “demonstrably ineffective.”

After their son filed a federal crime complaint, Bitcoin Depot issued two $1,000 refund checks — an amount the lawsuit states did not even cover the fees collected by the company. Karen Lacey, already retired at the time of the fraud, has since returned to work with rotating hospital shifts to help rebuild their finances.

Broader Pattern of Bitcoin ATM Fraud

The Laceys’ experience reflects a growing national problem. Federal Trade Commission data shows Bitcoin ATM fraud losses increased nearly tenfold between 2020 and 2023, with a median victim loss of $10,000. By 2025, the FBI reported Americans lost $333 million to Bitcoin ATM scams, affecting more than 10,000 victims in a single year.

Bitcoin Depot, once one of the largest operators of crypto ATMs in North America with more than 9,000 machines, filed for voluntary Chapter 11 bankruptcy on May 18, 2026. The company had previously disclosed a $3.6 million Bitcoin theft from its own wallets in March 2026 and reported a 49.2 percent revenue decline in the first quarter of 2026. It has since shut down its entire network.

The lawsuit cites Bitcoin Depot’s own SEC filings, which acknowledge that its services “may be exploited to facilitate illegal activity such as fraud” and that its risk management “may not be sufficient.” Plaintiffs are seeking a jury trial, injunctive relief, compensatory and punitive damages, restitution of fees paid, and attorney’s fees.

How the Scam Unfolded

The complaint details a classic “pig butchering” or grandparent-style scam variant tailored to cryptocurrency. Scammers created urgency by claiming immediate action was needed to prevent legal consequences. They directed the Laceys to specific Bitcoin Depot locations and remained on the phone during transactions to guide them through the process.

This real-time coaching is a common tactic that allows fraudsters to bypass ATM warnings and complete large transfers quickly. The Laceys, like many elderly victims, trusted the authoritative personas presented by the callers and acted quickly out of fear.

Consumer protection advocates say Bitcoin ATMs are particularly dangerous because transactions are irreversible once completed, and many machines lack robust identity verification for high-value transfers. Critics argue operators have profited from these vulnerabilities while shifting responsibility to users through disclaimers.

Growing Regulatory Scrutiny

Bitcoin ATM operators have faced increasing legal and regulatory pressure nationwide. Several states have imposed stricter licensing requirements and transaction limits on crypto kiosks following surges in reported fraud. Consumer advocates have called for mandatory ID verification, transaction monitoring, and clearer consumer warnings at all machines.

The Lacey lawsuit seeks class-action status to represent other victims who allegedly suffered similar losses through Bitcoin Depot machines. If certified, it could expose the company to significant liability even amid its bankruptcy proceedings.

Bankruptcy experts note that claims related to alleged facilitation of fraud may receive different treatment than standard creditor claims. The plaintiffs argue Bitcoin Depot’s business model inherently enabled criminal activity by prioritizing volume and fees over consumer protection.

Impact on Victims and Lessons Learned

For the Laceys, the financial and emotional toll has been severe. Losing their life savings at retirement age has forced lifestyle changes and renewed employment. Their story highlights the particular vulnerability of older adults to sophisticated scams that exploit trust and fear.

Financial crime experts recommend several precautions when dealing with unsolicited calls claiming security issues. Legitimate companies rarely demand immediate cash transfers to cryptocurrency, and the FBI or tech support services will never ask for payments in Bitcoin. Victims should hang up and contact authorities or known trusted contacts independently.

The case also underscores the irreversible nature of cryptocurrency transactions. Once funds are converted and sent, recovery is extremely difficult, even with law enforcement involvement. This reality makes prevention far more effective than recovery efforts.

Industry Response and Future Outlook

Bitcoin Depot’s bankruptcy filing has left thousands of machines offline, temporarily reducing access points for both legitimate users and potential scammers. Other operators may face increased scrutiny as regulators examine industry practices more closely.

Consumer protection groups are pushing for federal legislation that would impose stricter oversight on crypto ATMs, including mandatory transaction monitoring for suspicious patterns and clearer liability standards for operators.

As the lawsuit proceeds, it may set important precedents for accountability in the cryptocurrency kiosk industry. The outcome could influence how similar businesses operate and the level of protection afforded to consumers using these machines.

For now, the Laceys’ case serves as a cautionary tale about the evolving tactics of financial scammers and the challenges of safeguarding retirement savings in an increasingly digital economy. Their federal complaint seeks not only compensation but systemic changes to prevent similar tragedies for other vulnerable individuals.

Authorities continue to urge anyone who believes they may have been victimized through Bitcoin ATMs to report incidents to the FBI’s Internet Crime Complaint Center and their state consumer protection offices. Early reporting can help identify patterns and support broader enforcement actions against fraudulent operations.

When a team member starts to drift, the underlying assumption is almost always the same: the person has a discipline problem, and the fix is more accountability.

Damian Creamer, founder and CEO of StrongMind, thinks the entire diagnosis is wrong.

“I don’t see disengagement as a work ethic problem,” Creamer says. “I see it as an alignment problem. When there’s a real connection to the ‘why,’ effort feels lighter and momentum follows. When there isn’t, even small tasks feel heavy, no matter how capable someone is.”

It is the kind of take Creamer himself flags as contrarian, the kind of belief he is willing to admit “almost nobody agrees with.”

And yet, having spent more than 25 years building organizations and watching people thrive or stall inside them, he has come to see it as one of the most consequential reframes a leader can make. Disengagement, in his view, is rarely about character. It is almost always about architecture.

The Orthodoxy He’s Pushing Against

Most modern management thinking treats motivation as the responsibility of the individual. The professional, in this framing, is someone who can deliver consistent, high-quality work regardless of personal interest, emotional resonance, or connection to the mission.

Damian Creamer does not entirely dispute that this approach can produce results. “You can produce acceptable work that way,” he acknowledges. The trouble, in his view, is that “acceptable” is the ceiling, not the floor.

“Great work is different,” Creamer says. “It requires extreme ownership, curiosity, and an extra level of thought that’s hard to fake. When people care about the outcome, the quality goes up, the thinking gets sharper, and accountability shows up naturally.”

That last phrase is the one that quietly upends the conventional approach. Accountability, in Creamer’s framework, is a byproduct of alignment.

When the alignment is real, accountability emerges on its own. When the alignment is missing, no amount of process can manufacture it convincingly.

Why the Reframe Matters

The practical implications of this shift are significant. If disengagement is fundamentally a discipline issue, the manager’s job is to apply more pressure: clearer expectations, tighter deadlines, more visible consequences.

If disengagement is fundamentally an alignment issue, the manager’s job changes entirely. The first question is no longer “How do I get this person to try harder?” but “Where did the connection between this person and this work break down?”

That second question demands honesty about the role itself, the stated mission, and whether the day-to-day work actually reflects the why a leader claims to be building toward.

It asks whether the person is in the wrong seat, the wrong company, or the wrong moment in their career, none of which can be fixed with a stern conversation.

Creamer’s framing also reorients hiring. If alignment is the variable that determines great work, then a hiring process focused primarily on capability is incomplete.

A highly capable person who cannot connect to the problem will produce work that meets the brief and never exceeds it. A moderately capable person who is genuinely obsessed with the problem will often outperform expectations in ways that are difficult to predict.

Damian Creamer makes this point bluntly: “It’s really hard to do truly great work on something you don’t actually care about.” The statement reads as obvious until you consider how rarely organizations design around it.

The Founder’s Lens

This is not a theoretical position for Creamer. It is observable in how he runs StrongMind, the K-12 learning platform he has spent over two decades building. The company’s approach to product, leadership, and culture consistently reflects a belief that mission-clarity is not a soft variable.

“Ideas don’t come to life because they’re brilliant,” Creamer says. “They come to life because they’re aligned, actionable, and owned.”

Creamer’s own daily structure mirrors this principle in miniature. He aims to make all important decisions by 2 p.m., protects deep focus blocks aggressively, and is open about cutting nonessential meetings. The reasoning is not just personal productivity. It is that misaligned activity, even high-energy activity, dilutes the signal of what actually matters. “Less noise, more signal,” he says. “Fewer meetings, better decisions.”

A leader who internalizes that discipline at a personal level tends to extend it to the team. The question stops being “Are people busy?” and becomes

“Are people working on what matters most, and do they understand why it matters?” Those are very different questions, and they produce very different cultures.

Where Most Managers Get Stuck

Treating disengagement as an alignment problem requires admitting that the problem might originate at the top.

This is why the alignment frame is uncomfortable for organizations built on the assumption that any sufficiently disciplined professional can be deployed against any reasonably defined task. That assumption keeps things simple. It also keeps things average.

Damian Creamer‘s argument, distilled, is this: average is what you get when you treat people as interchangeable units of execution. Greatness is what you get when you treat alignment as a leadership responsibility, not an employee virtue.

The Practical Takeaway

For founders and managers, the implication is straightforward but rarely acted on. The next time someone on a team starts to disengage, resist the reflex to reach for the accountability playbook first. Instead, ask:

• Does this person understand the why behind the work, not just the what?
• Has the why genuinely been communicated, or just assumed?
• Does the work itself reflect the why, or has the day-to-day quietly drifted from it?
• Is this person in the right seat to contribute to that why, or has the role evolved past their genuine interest?

If the answers are uncomfortable, that is the diagnosis. The fix is to repair the problem. Sometimes, that might mean redefining the role. Othertimes, it could mean reframing the mission itself.

“When there’s a real connection to the why, effort feels lighter and momentum follows,” Creamer says.

It is a deceptively simple observation. It is also the difference between a team that performs and a team that does great work.

He noted that by February, most macro concerns had already been absorbed by the market, including progress on trade deals with the US and Europe, and expectations of double-digit nominal GDP growth along with mid-teen earnings growth after a subdued phase. However, the recent Iran–US conflict and the resulting sustained rise in crude prices over the past few months have reintroduced macro pressure, with potential implications for India’s current account deficit, inflation, and marginally even GDP growth. While acknowledging the possibility of some earnings cuts due to higher crude, he emphasized that India remains in a stronger position compared to past stress periods such as 2013, and still retains the potential for double-digit earnings growth in FY27.

He added that Q4 earnings have been relatively broad-based and better than earlier quarters, although Q1 could see some impact in select sectors due to elevated oil prices, making crude the most important variable to watch going ahead.

On the FY27 earnings outlook, Lakshmanan said consensus estimates are broadly in the mid-to-high teens range, though there could be some moderation at the index or large-cap level due to commodity pressures. He pointed out that while certain sectors may face margin pressure from higher crude and input costs, nominal revenue growth could remain strong due to inflation returning and overall higher nominal economic activity. On demand conditions, he said inflation is unlikely to spike meaningfully as the economy was earlier coming off a low inflation base, keeping overall conditions manageable. However, he flagged monsoon trends as an important near-term risk, noting that if rainfall comes in below the long-term average, food inflation could temporarily rise and add some pressure to consumption.

On sector allocation, he remained positive on financials, particularly private banks and insurance, citing their strong long-term return ratios, attractive valuations relative to history, and the ability to grow consistently above nominal GDP as seen over the past three decades. He also highlighted that rising interest rates could further support profitability in the banking sector. Despite concerns about high domestic investor ownership in financials, he maintained that valuations and fundamentals remain the primary drivers of his investment thesis rather than fund flow dynamics, which he said are inherently unpredictable and should not guide long-term positioning.

Live Events

He continued to hold an overweight stance on IT stocks, calling it a contrarian call given weak Street positioning. According to him, Indian IT companies continue to generate strong ROCEs and cash flows, while returning a large portion of earnings via dividends and buybacks, offering attractive yield support. He also highlighted that even modest rupee depreciation provides additional earnings visibility. While acknowledging concerns about slower constant currency growth and fears of disruption from AI, he argued that IT services companies are still likely to play an important role in AI implementation, and historical transitions such as ERP and cloud shifts have not structurally disrupted long-term growth trajectories.
On healthcare, he said mid and small-cap companies offer better growth opportunities compared to large-cap names, which are relatively mature and offer steadier expansion. In capital goods, he acknowledged strong near-term momentum driven by power sector demand, transmission and distribution opportunities, and potential long-term tailwinds from data centre-related capex. However, he cautioned that valuations in several capital goods stocks have run up sharply, already pricing in high growth expectations, and advised a more selective, bottom-up approach rather than broad sector optimism at current levels.Finally, on capital flows, he stressed that market positioning should not be based on assumptions around FII or domestic inflows, as these are highly unpredictable and can shift quickly. Instead, he reiterated that investment decisions should remain anchored in fundamentals, earnings visibility, and valuation comfort. Overall, his view suggested that while near-term volatility from crude oil and inflation risks cannot be ignored, India’s broader earnings cycle into FY27 still points toward steady growth, with selective sector opportunities continuing to drive market returns.

Rising mortgage rates and energy costs driven by the Iran war are weighing on the property market

House prices dropped once more in May as mortgage rate increases and soaring energy bills triggered by the Iran war continued to weigh on the UK’s vulnerable property market.

The average UK house price declined by 0.6 per cent to £278,024 in May, compared with 0.4 per cent growth in April, according to Nationwide’s house price index.

Weakening house prices are accompanied by declining consumer sentiment in the property market, with the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors recording a sharp fall in new buyer enquiries in March.

Annual house price growth slowed from three per cent in April to 1.7 per cent in May, as last month’s average house price failed to surpass April’s record.

While mortgage rates jumped sharply at the beginning of the Iran war in February, experts at Nationwide say the housing market’s recent downturn comes as consumer confidence “deteriorates”, as reported by City AM.

Britons’ confidence in their own spending power fell to its lowest level in two years in April.

“Given the uncertainty caused by developments in the Middle East and the subsequent rise in energy prices and market interest rates, some loss of momentum was to be expected,” Nationwide chief economist Robert Gardner said.

This comes despite a surprise improvement in the state of the economy at the start of this year, as GDP grew by 0.6 per cent across the first quarter.

“Nevertheless, economic growth is likely to be somewhat weaker and inflation higher than previously expected this year as a result of developments in the Middle East, although the impact will ultimately depend on the duration of the shock and the policy response,” Gardner said.

Jason Tebb, president of property selling platform On The Market, said: “The fallout from the war in the Middle East is making itself felt, with uncertainty and the challenging economic backdrop resulting in a softening in the market and some loss of momentum.

“That said, the housing market continues to demonstrate resilience. Average prices dipped on a monthly basis as focused, price-sensitive buyers negotiate hard, while sellers realise that they will struggle to sell over-ambitiously priced homes.”

Property giant Savills last week downgraded its property price forecast for 2026, saying the Iran war had “fundamentally changed the outlook for the housing market”.

The property experts said that much of the downgrade was due to the surge in mortgage rates which followed the outbreak of the Middle East conflict.

Cardiff-based Goldwise has secured £500,000 in equity to support its expansion plans

Two former Royal Mint executives have raised £500,000 in equity funding to support the roll-out of Goldwise which is pioneering new way for savers and investors to buy, manage and sell fractional physical gold, silver, platinum and palladium.

The investment includes £250,000 from the Wales Angel Co-Fund, managed by Angels Invest Wales, alongside £255,000 from a syndicate of business angels led by seasoned financial services professional SV Rangan, who partnered with six additional business angels in the funding round.

Launched by Gareth Tucker, former head of direct-to-consumer at The Royal Mint, and Jatin Patel, former head of wealth management at the Royal Mint in Llantrisant, Goldwise has built an a precious metals trading platform to allow savers and investors to trade fractional amounts of allocated, vaulted physical precious metals.

The funding is being used to support the UK market launch of the platform and underpin its next phase of growth, focusing on product rollout, customer acquisition and performance over the next 12 to 15 months ahead of a further planned round of funding designed to scale the business into Europe and globally.

At the heart of the platform is the Goldwise engine, a proprietary enterprise-grade infrastructure, covering customer onboarding, institutional pricing and execution, payments, allocation and custody and recordkeeping that connects directly to the global precious metals ecosystem, delivered through a single scalable platform.

The technology enables fractional trading of London Bullion Market Association approved bullion, from as little as £5, with 24/7 access, set conditional orders and real-time portfolio tracking.

It has recently launched a direct-to-consumer mobile app to buy, manage and sell fractional amounts of physical precious metals; and GoldwiseConnect, a precious-metals-as-a-service infrastructure solution that enables wealth platforms and financial institutions to embed physical precious metals trading into their own services without needing to build complex trading and custody infrastructure.

Goldwise enters a global physical precious metals market valued at more than £5 trillion, at a time when investor demand for portfolio diversification and protection assets is increasing. Despite strong long-term performance and liquidity, access to physical metals has historically been dominated by traditional dealer-led models.

Mr Tucker said: “Investing in most asset classes has become simple, digital and accessible – but physical precious metals have been left behind. Customers still face outdated buying experiences, marked-up pricing and limited trading functionality. Goldwise was built to change that, making precious metals investing easy, secure and efficient for all.

“Goldwise has been built from the ground up as trading infrastructure rather than e-commerce. This funding allows us to launch into the UK market with confidence, establish strong customer acquisition foundations and demonstrate the robustness of our model ahead of our next phase of expansion.”

Mr Patel added: “During my time building and launching wealth management businesses and investment products, it became clear that both retail investors and wealth platforms want direct exposure to physical precious metals delivered through modern infrastructure that is easy, secure and efficient.

“Goldwise combines institutional pricing, execution and custody through a single scalable platform. We believe this creates a compelling proposition for individual savers and for wealth firms looking to embed physical metals trading without needing to build complex infrastructure themselves.”

Lead investor SV Rangan, who has extensive experience in financial services and high-growth financial technology businesses, said:“The founders bring a rare combination of domain expertise and proven execution in the precious metals sector. They understand both the retail and institutional sides of the market and have built a platform designed for scale from day one.

“What attracted the syndicate members and me to Goldwise is the focus on core infrastructure, the clarity of the business model and the opportunity to integrate into a much wider wealth management ecosystem over time. If paced correctly, the potential here is significant.”

Tom Preene, fund manager at Angels Invest Wales, said:“Gareth and Jatin have already demonstrated their ability to build and scale precious metals propositions within a regulated, institutional environment. Through the Wales Angel Co-Fund, we are pleased to match private angel investment to support ambitious Welsh fintech founders with global aspirations.

“The participation of an experienced lead investor such as SV Rangan brings additional expertise and credibility to the business as it enters the market. This is a strong example of how the Angels Invest Wales ecosystem can mobilise both capital and capability to support the next generation of financial technology businesses in Wales.”

Most markets continued to rise in May, extending April’s bounceback after March’s broad and deep selloff, based on a set of ETFs. The main exception among the major asset classes: commodities, which fell sharply, posting the first monthly decline this year.