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Is Breakout Imminent as ETH Compresses in Key Technical Pattern?

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Is Breakout Imminent as ETH Compresses in Key Technical Pattern?

Ethereum’s most recent price action reflects a temporary slowdown in momentum. After the aggressive decline toward the lower demand region, the market has entered a fluctuation phase, with minor bullish retracements attempting to stabilize the structure. The price is currently compressing within key technical boundaries, suggesting that a decisive move is approaching.

Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, ETH is moving in a consolidation phase following its sharp drop into the $1,800–$1,850 demand zone. The recent candles show minor bullish retracements, but these moves lack strong impulsive characteristics and appear corrective in nature.

Technically, the asset is confined between the $1.8K static support and the descending channel’s middle boundary, which is acting as dynamic resistance around the $2,500–$2,600 region. As long as Ethereum remains trapped between these two levels, the market structure reflects a fluctuation state rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

A valid breakout above the channel’s midline resistance would be required to shift short-term momentum in favor of buyers. Conversely, a breakdown below the $1,800 support would expose lower demand zones and likely reintroduce strong selling pressure.

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ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart

Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the price action reveals the formation of a tightening triangle pattern after the rebound from the $1,800 low. The structure shows converging trendlines, reflecting decreasing volatility and a balance between buyers and sellers.

Ethereum is now trading near the apex of this narrow range, indicating that a breakout is imminent. A bullish breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle could trigger a push toward the $2,300–$2,400 region as the next short-term resistance. On the other hand, a bearish breakdown below the ascending support of the triangle would likely lead to a renewed test of the $1,800 demand zone.

Overall, the market is in compression mode on the lower timeframe, and the next impulsive move will likely determine the short-term direction.

Sentiment Analysis

From an on-chain perspective, the Coinbase Premium Index has remained predominantly negative, indicating relatively weak demand from US-based investors and a lack of aggressive spot buying on Coinbase compared to other exchanges. This persistent negative reading aligns with the broader corrective structure observed on the charts.

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However, the index has recently experienced a noticeable upward surge. Although it is still below the neutral threshold, the intensity of the rebound suggests that selling pressure from US participants may be easing. If this upward momentum continues and the index crosses into positive territory, turning green, it would signal renewed spot demand from US investors.

Such a shift could act as a catalyst for a bullish rebound, particularly if it coincides with a technical breakout from the current triangle formation. In that scenario, both technical structure and on-chain demand would align in favor of a stronger recovery phase.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Trump Turns Down Iran Ceasefire as Crude Hits $100 Amid Hormuz Blockade

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • President Trump dismisses Iran’s ceasefire proposal, stating current conditions are inadequate
  • Kharg Island oil terminal targeted by U.S. forces; Trump claims facility was destroyed
  • Crude prices hover around $100/barrel with Strait of Hormuz blockade continuing
  • International coalition requested including China, France, Japan, South Korea, and UK for strait reopening
  • Saudi Arabia intercepts drones near capital while Qatar suspends LNG operations

President Trump announced Saturday that he remains unwilling to halt military operations against Iran, despite indications from Tehran suggesting interest in a ceasefire agreement. In remarks to NBC News, the president stated “the terms aren’t good enough yet” while refusing to detail specific requirements. He acknowledged that Iran’s complete dismantlement of its nuclear program would be a prerequisite for any agreement.

The military confrontation has entered its third week following coordinated U.S.-Israeli operations against Iranian targets earlier this month. Regional casualties have reached approximately 3,750 people. American military losses include thirteen service members, with six additional fatalities from a refueling aircraft that went down in Iraq on Friday.

According to Trump, American forces targeted Kharg Island on Saturday, which serves as Iran’s primary oil export facility. The president claimed the installation was “totally demolished,” though he noted deliberate efforts to preserve certain oil infrastructure to prevent extended reconstruction challenges. He suggested additional strikes on the location remain possible.

The Strait of Hormuz continues its effective closure. Iranian forces have utilized naval mines and unmanned aerial vehicles against commercial vessels, impacting at least 16 ships. Major petroleum-producing nations including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait have reduced production levels accordingly. International oil prices are positioned close to $100 per barrel.

Trump indicated diplomatic efforts with multiple nations to forcibly reopen the strategic waterway if necessary. Via a Truth Social message, he requested naval support from China, France, Japan, South Korea, and the UK. While claiming several nations have already pledged assistance, he declined to identify specific participants.

Gulf Energy Infrastructure Under Pressure

The United Arab Emirates disclosed successfully intercepting 1,600 unmanned aerial vehicles and 300 missiles since hostilities commenced. Dubai residents reported hearing explosions. Iranian officials accused the UAE of permitting American military operations to launch from Emirati territory.

Fujairah port, representing a critical alternative shipping route bypassing the strait, restarted operations Sunday following a drone-triggered fire that caused temporary closure. Qatar has suspended liquefied natural gas operations. Saudi Arabia successfully intercepted unmanned aerial vehicles approaching Riyadh on Sunday.

Iran’s newly appointed supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, released his inaugural statement in written format but avoided video appearances. Trump publicly questioned whether Khamenei remained alive. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth suggested Khamenei sustained injuries and probable disfigurement. Khamenei’s written declaration pledged continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

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Defense Stocks and Energy Markets in Focus

Defense industry companies including Lockheed Martin and RTX have experienced stock price fluctuations since the conflict’s beginning. Crude prices sustained near $100 per barrel continue impacting global energy markets.

During the same conversation, Trump addressed Ukraine, characterizing Zelenskyy as “far more difficult to make a deal with” compared to Putin. Washington has relaxed restrictions on Russian petroleum exports attempting to counterbalance escalating global fuel costs resulting from the Iranian confrontation.

Trump asserted U.S. military forces have eliminated the majority of Iranian missiles and drones, projecting Tehran’s production capabilities for both weapon systems would be “totally decimated” within forty-eight hours. Fujairah port successfully resumed loading activities Sunday after controlling the drone-related blaze.

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Nvidia (NVDA) Stock: Major Banks Turn Bullish Before GTC 2026 Conference

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NVDA Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Wells Fargo expresses optimism for NVDA before GTC 2026, referencing historical data showing 3-month outperformance versus the SOX index ranging from +12% to +45%
  • Bank of America maintains its Buy recommendation with a $300 price target, highlighting NVDA’s valuation at approximately 17x forward PE — a historical low point
  • The chipmaker is anticipated to showcase its next-generation co-packaged optic switch along with developments in its Feynman GPU architecture and Kyber NVL576 systems
  • The rise of agentic AI is creating renewed demand for CPUs — Nvidia’s Vera CPU has entered production and is operating in Meta facilities, with broader deployment scheduled for 2027
  • A developing supply shortage is affecting the CPU sector, with AMD and Intel reporting extended lead times of up to six months and price increases exceeding 10%

Nvidia (NVDA) is approaching its yearly GTC conference scheduled for next week, and market analysts are paying close attention. The gathering, taking place March 16–19 in San Jose, California, has the potential to serve as a significant catalyst for the semiconductor giant’s shares — and possibly the wider chip industry.


NVDA Stock Card
NVIDIA Corporation, NVDA

Analysts at Wells Fargo, under the leadership of Aaron Rakers, stated they are “NVDA buyers ahead of the event.” The investment bank highlighted a trend of robust equity performance during the three-month period following previous GTC gatherings, with NVDA beating the SOX semiconductor index by approximately 30% on average, spanning a range from +12% to +45%.

Vivek Arya, analyst at Bank of America, also confirmed a Buy rating alongside a $300 price target. He observed that the stock is presently valued at roughly 17x forward earnings — approaching a historical floor — after a successful Blackwell product launch that reportedly delivered an estimated $500 billion in aggregate revenue.

CEO Jensen Huang is scheduled to present a keynote speech at 2 p.m. ET on Monday. He will additionally lead an industry discussion panel on Wednesday afternoon. Major technology firms participating in main stage presentations include OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Meta, Microsoft, and Tesla.

Regarding product announcements, Nvidia is anticipated to introduce its second-generation co-packaged optic switch, incorporating Taiwan Semiconductor’s co-packaged optic capabilities. Mass production is not projected to scale until 2027, targeting approximately 80,000 units. The corporation may also share progress on its Feynman GPU architecture and the Kyber NVL576 rack configuration.

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Wells Fargo anticipates Nvidia will revise its pipeline projections, potentially increasing its cumulative revenue forecast from $500 billion to beyond $600 billion through 2026. Rakers also questioned whether Nvidia will adjust its projection of $3–$4 trillion annually in worldwide AI infrastructure investment by 2030.

CPU Technology Takes Priority

Beyond graphics processing units, a more subtle transformation is occurring. Agentic AI — workflow-oriented artificial intelligence that coordinates tasks across numerous agents — demands a distinct computing architecture compared to conventional AI inference. This trend is elevating demand for central processing units to unprecedented recent levels.

Dion Harris, Nvidia’s head of AI infrastructure, informed CNBC this week that “CPUs are becoming the bottleneck in terms of growing out this AI and agentic workflow.” The firm’s Vera CPU has reached production status and is currently operational at Meta data centers through a multi-year agreement revealed in February. Nvidia intends to broaden that implementation in 2027.

Thousands of independent Nvidia CPUs are currently functioning at the Texas Advanced Computing Center and Los Alamos National Lab. Bank of America forecasts the CPU sector could more than double in size, expanding from $27 billion in 2025 to $60 billion by 2030.

At GTC, Nvidia is anticipated to display a CPU-exclusive rack on the exhibition floor — an indication of the company’s commitment to standalone CPU configurations.

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Supply Constraints Intensify

The wider CPU marketplace is experiencing pressure. AMD and Intel have both alerted customers about supply limitations, with procurement lead times extending as long as six months and pricing climbing more than 10%, based on Reuters reporting.

Forrest Norrod, AMD’s head of data center, told CNBC that demand surges during the past six to nine months have been “unprecedented.” Intel indicated inventory levels are projected to reach their nadir this quarter, though the company anticipates supply conditions will improve throughout Q2 2026.

Presently, Nvidia reports it has not experienced substantial CPU shipment interruptions. Harris explained the company’s supply chain has successfully accommodated demand, partially because the majority of its CPUs are delivered together with GPUs in complete rack-scale configurations.

Mercury Research calculates Nvidia commanded a 6.2% portion of the server CPU market in Q4 2025, trailing Intel at 60% and AMD at 24.3%. Additional stocks that may react to GTC revelations include AMD, Taiwan Semiconductor, Broadcom (AVGO), Intel, and Marvell (MRVL).

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TAO Surges by Double Digit, BTC Price Eyes $72K: Weekend Watch

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BTCUSD Chart March 15. Source: TradingView


Meanwhile, PI continues to lose value daily, dropping below $0.20 despite the Pi Day celebration.

Despite the latest developments in the Middle East war, bitcoin’s price has shown strong resilience and even neared $72,000 earlier today.

Most larger-cap altcoins are in the green today, with ETH climbing above $2,100. TAO has become the top performer from the larger caps, gaining over 12% daily.

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BTC Eyes $72K

The previous business week began with a short-lived correction that drove BTC to $65,600 as the asset reacted to the weekend actions on the US/Israel-Iran war front. However, the cryptocurrency rebounded in the following days and surged past $70,000 on Wednesday after the release of the latest CPI data and Trump’s rather promising words that the war could be coming to a close.

Bitcoin slipped below $70,000 a day later, but the bulls took complete control on Friday, initiating another impressive leg up that pushed it to a 10-day peak of $74,000. However, it was immediately rejected there and dropped toward $70,000 as the US carried out a massive targeted attack against a key Iranian island.

Nevertheless, BTC remained above that level even as Trump urged other countries to send ships to defend the oil export through the Strait of Hormuz, and France responded positively. Moreover, it charted some gains in the past several hours as bitcoin challenged $72,000 but to no avail yet.

Its market cap has climbed to nearly $1.440 trillion, while its dominance over the alts is up to 57%.

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BTCUSD Chart March 15. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Chart March 15. Source: TradingView

TAO Flies

As the graph below will demonstrate, most larger-cap alts are slightly in the green. ETH has climbed above $2,100, BNB is north of $660, while XRP trades at $1.415. Similar gains come from the likes of SOL, TRX, DOGE, ADA, BCH, while LINK is up by over 3.5% to $9.2.

MNT, TAO, and ZEC are the top performers from the larger-cap alts. TAO has even pumped by double digits and now trades close to $270.

The total crypto market cap has added roughly $40 billion since yesterday and sits well above $2.5 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview March 15. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview March 15. Source: QuantifyCrypto

 

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Crypto Leaders Push Back After Boris Johnson Calls Bitcoin a Ponzi

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🤣

Several prominent figures in the cryptocurrency industry have pushed back against former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson after he described Bitcoin as a Ponzi scheme in a newspaper column.

Key Takeaways:

  • Boris Johnson called Bitcoin a “Ponzi scheme,” warning readers against investing in cryptocurrencies.
  • Crypto leaders including Michael Saylor, Paolo Ardoino and Adam Back quickly rejected the claim.
  • Critics argue Bitcoin lacks the central operator required for a Ponzi scheme.

Johnson, who led the United Kingdom from 2019 to 2022, wrote in a Daily Mail article that he had “long suspected Bitcoin is a giant Ponzi scheme,” warning readers against putting money into digital assets.

The comments quickly drew responses from well-known voices across the crypto sector, including Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino and early Bitcoin developer Adam Back.

Saylor Rejects Boris Johnson’s Bitcoin ‘Ponzi’ Claim

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Saylor rejected Johnson’s characterization in a post on X, arguing that Bitcoin does not meet the definition of a Ponzi scheme.

“A Ponzi requires a central operator promising returns and paying early investors with funds from later ones,” Saylor wrote. “Bitcoin is not a Ponzi scheme.”

Johnson’s remarks were prompted by a personal anecdote in his column. He described meeting an elderly churchgoer who had fallen into financial difficulty after purchasing Bitcoin and later sought help covering his losses.

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While acknowledging that Bitcoin operates without a central authority, Johnson argued that the cryptocurrency ultimately relies on public belief in its value.

“If people lose faith in Bitcoin, it collapses,” he wrote, adding that he fears more individuals, particularly older investors, could suffer losses tied to the asset.

The criticism was met with swift rebuttals from the crypto community. Investor and fund manager Fred Krueger responded on X by contrasting Bitcoin’s decentralized design with traditional financial institutions.

“A Ponzi usually needs a central operator, Boris,” Krueger wrote. “Bitcoin just has math.”

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Tether chief Paolo Ardoino also responded, highlighting community notes on Johnson’s post explaining why Bitcoin does not fit the characteristics of a Ponzi scheme.

Meanwhile, Adam Back, CEO of blockchain technology firm Blockstream, joined the discussion with a brief reply addressing the former prime minister by his nickname “Bozza.”

Bitcoin Ponzi Claims Resurface as Critics Renew Attacks

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Bitcoin has frequently faced accusations of resembling a Ponzi scheme from critics over the years.

Economist Nouriel Roubini has previously described cryptocurrencies as a “real-bubble Ponzi scheme,” while European Central Bank executive Fabio Panetta once compared the digital asset market to a “house of cards.”

Supporters of Bitcoin argue the comparison is flawed because the network lacks a central operator, a defining feature of classic Ponzi schemes.

Instead, they say the cryptocurrency operates as an open monetary system governed by code and market activity rather than promises of guaranteed returns.

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The post Crypto Leaders Push Back After Boris Johnson Calls Bitcoin a Ponzi appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Token2049 delay, Ethereum Foundation mandate

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Token2049 Dubai pushed to 2027 over security concerns

In this week’s edition of the weekly recap, Token2049 organizers postponed the Dubai edition until 2027 citing safety concerns from escalating Iran-Israel-U.S. tensions, Robinhood reported February crypto notional volumes increased 9% to $25 billion and the Ethereum Foundation published a formal mandate establishing its role as steward of a censorship-resistant, privacy-first protocol.

Summary

  • Token2049 Dubai postponed to 2027 due to Iran–Israel tensions.
  • Robinhood crypto trading volume rose to $25B in February.
  • Ethereum Foundation published a formal censorship-resistant mandate.

Token2049 Dubai delayed amid regional conflict

  • Event organizers postponed the Dubai edition until 2027 after citing safety concerns linked to rising geopolitical tensions from the Iran-Israel-U.S. military confrontation.
  • The decision follows cancellation of another major industry gathering, the TON Gateway event, which had also been scheduled for Dubai.

Robinhood shows crypto trading dominance

  • February data revealed crypto notional volumes increased 9% to $25 billion while equity, options, and event contracts experienced contraction.

Ethereum Foundation establishes written doctrine

  • The organization published an “EF Mandate” formalizing its role as steward of a censorship-resistant, privacy-first, open-source base layer.
  • The document signals zero appetite for surveillance-chain compromises as the protocol scales to accommodate broader adoption.

Buterin explains 2021 donation circumstances

  • Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin clarified the massive 2021 Shiba Inu donation to the Future of Life Institute while distancing himself from the group’s recent artificial intelligence policy approaches.
  • Buterin explained the tokens surged in value during the 2021 meme coin boom with peak “book value” exceeding $1 billion, prompting him to access cold storage funds, sell portions for Ether, and donate to various causes.

Hong Kong prepares banking stablecoin licenses

  • Banking giants HSBC and Standard Chartered are expected to be among the first institutions receiving stablecoin issuer licenses in Hong Kong.
  • The licensing approach positions Hong Kong to compete with other jurisdictions for regulated stablecoin issuance and operations.

DeFi user loses millions in slippage error

  • A user attempting to swap $50 million USDT for AAVE through the protocol’s interface received only 324 AAVE after accepting a quote with extreme price impact.
  • The transaction prompted Aave to review safeguards and refund a portion of transaction fees following the catastrophic slippage outcome.

Prosecutors oppose Bankman-Fried retrial request

  • U.S. prosecutors asked a federal judge to deny a new trial for the disgraced crypto entrepreneur, arguing he has not shown legal basis for overturning his FTX-related conviction.
  • As per the report, prosecutors told the court Bankman-Fried’s motion fails to showcase his original trial was unfair or that new evidence would meaningfully alter the verdict.

Bonk.fun warns users of domain compromise

  • The Solana-based meme coin launch platform team alerted users to avoid its website after hackers reportedly compromised the domain and deployed a malicious wallet drainer.
  • At least one trader claimed losses of $273,000 after connecting their wallet to the compromised interface.

Indian authorities arrest GainBitcoin fraud suspect

  • The Central Bureau of Investigation arrested Ayush Varshney, co-founder and chief technology officer of Darwin Labs Private Limited, in connection with alleged GainBitcoin cryptocurrency fraud.
  • Investigators allege Darwin Labs helped build technical infrastructure for the scheme including the MCAP token and GBMiners platform.
  • Varshney was intercepted at Mumbai airport while allegedly attempting to leave India after a Look Out Circular was issued.

Ripple acquires Australian payments firm

  • The company announced plans to secure an Australian financial services license through acquisition of BC Payments Australia Pty Ltd, a payments company linked to the European Banking Circle Group.
  • The deal remains underway and is expected to close April 1 after standard closing processes finalize.

Anthropic sues government over AI blacklist

  • The artificial intelligence developer filed a lawsuit against multiple U.S. government agencies, accusing federal authorities of unlawfully blacklisting its technology.
  • The legal action alleges the blacklisting occurred after Anthropic refused to allow certain military uses of its AI systems.

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How Much Profit Would You Have Now?

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Analyst Eyes $80K Upside Ahead


Bitcoin was (again) called dead six years ago during the COVID-19 flash crash and it’s now lightyears ahead. Do you see any resemblance with the current landscape?

The more things change, the more they stay the same. You have probably heard that saying at some point in your life. Bitcoin’s price has certainly felt it, as it has experienced countless crashes over the years under (slightly) different circumstances, only to be called dead again.

Yet, after each such instance, it has come back stronger than before, providing substantial (paper or not) gains for those who persevere and stay away from all the noise.

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6-Year Anniversary

Six years ago, it was the COVID-19 crash. The panic of an unprecedented outbreak that essentially halted the world led to a massive crash in the ever-volatile cryptocurrency sector. Bitcoin, for one, experienced arguably its worst single-day performance in terms of percentage losses, going down by almost 50% from $8,200 to under $4,700.

Its overall calamity at the time was even more profound. In the span of less than a week, it tumbled from $9,000 to a bottom of $3,720, losing roughly 60% of its value. Experts were quick to pick up this mind-blowing crash, proclaiming it dead again. Some argued that BTC had lost its safe-haven crash in those trading hours due to its intense volatility.

And, if you are looking only at those market moves, you would probably have to agree, even if you are a Maxi. However, if you zoom out and track what happened since then, it might not be such a straightforward agreement.

Not only has bitcoin never gone down to those levels in the six years that followed, but it had 10x-ed by January 2021, and kept climbing to $69,000 just a year and a half later. Fast-forward to late 2025, and it peaked at over $126,000 – or more than 3,300% higher than its COVID-induced low. Even with the current correction dragging it to $70,000, its gains since those dark times were pretty impressive, as Davinci Jeremie asserted.

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Ring Any Bells?

As mentioned above, BTC currently trades nearly 50% away from its October 2025 ATH. Naturally, people are calling it dead again or predicting that it “is going to die” soon. What else is new? … the more they stay the same, right?

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Yes, bitcoin ended 2025 in the red – the first such occasion in a post-halving year. Yes, it’s on a 5-month red streak. Yes, gold and silver stole the show. Yes, even the stock markets have charted notable gains despite the ongoing uncertainty, wars, threats, tariffs, Epstein files, and everything in between.

But is bitcoin dead (again)? Is it really? How many times would it have to come back from those proclaimed deaths to earn investors’ trust? Or maybe it doesn’t matter. A few former critics have been turned, but many remain skeptical. And maybe that’s how it’s supposed to be, because bitcoin is not for everyone, at least not yet.

So, if you believe in it, your faith shouldn’t be dismantled during yet another correction. If such retracements are evident even when BTC has become a trillion-dollar asset, they would likely continue for years ahead. Don’t judge it by its worst days, but enjoy the good ones, as they usually follow the darkest hours.

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Stablecoin Regulatory Uncertainty Could Put Banks at a Disadvantage: Expert

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Stablecoin Regulatory Uncertainty Could Put Banks at a Disadvantage: Expert

Regulatory uncertainty around stablecoins could place traditional banks at a greater disadvantage than crypto companies, according to Colin Butler, executive vice president of capital markets at Mega Matrix.

Butler said financial institutions have already invested heavily in digital asset infrastructure but remain unable to deploy it fully while lawmakers debate how stablecoins should be classified. “Their general counsels are telling their boards that you cannot justify the capital expenditure until you know whether stablecoins will be treated as deposits, securities, or a distinct payment instrument,” he told Cointelegraph.

Several major banks have already developed parts of the infrastructure needed to support stablecoins. JPMorgan developed its Onyx blockchain payments network, BNY Mellon launched digital asset custody services, and Citigroup has tested tokenized deposits.

“The infrastructure spend is real, but regulatory ambiguity caps how far those investments can scale because risk and compliance functions will not greenlight full deployment without knowing how the product will be classified,” Butler argued.

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Top stablecoins by market cap. Source: CoinMarketCap

On the other hand, crypto firms, which have operated in regulatory gray zones for years, would likely continue doing so. “Banks, by contrast, cannot operate comfortably in that gray area,” he added.

Related: USDC market cap nears record $80B amid ‘capital flight’ in UAE: Analyst

Yield gap could drive deposit migration

Another concern is the growing difference between returns available on stablecoin platforms and those offered by traditional bank accounts. Exchanges often offer between 4% and 5% on stablecoin balances, Butler said, while the average US savings account yields less than 0.5%.

He said history shows depositors move quickly when higher yields become available, pointing to the shift into money market funds in the 1970s. Today, the process could happen even faster, as transferring funds from bank accounts to stablecoins takes only minutes and the yield gap is larger.

Meanwhile, Fabian Dori, chief investment officer at Sygnum, said the competitive gap between banks and crypto platforms is meaningful but not yet critical. He said a large-scale deposit flight is unlikely in the immediate term, as institutions still prioritize trust, regulation and operational resilience.

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“But the asymmetry can accelerate migration at the margin, especially among corporates, fintech users, and globally active clients already comfortable moving liquidity across platforms,” Dori said. “Once stablecoins are treated as productive digital cash rather than crypto trading tools, the competitive pressure on bank deposits becomes much more visible,” he added.

Related: Stablecoins could form backbone of global payments in 10 years: Billionaire

Restrictions on yield could push activity offshore

Butler also warned that attempts to restrict stablecoin yield could unintentionally drive activity into less regulated areas. Under current US law, stablecoin issuers are prohibited from paying yield directly to holders. However, exchanges can still offer returns through lending programs, staking or promotional rewards.