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Is BTC Heading for $60K After Rejection at $70K?

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Is BTC Heading for $60K After Rejection at $70K?

Bitcoin encountered renewed selling pressure at the key $70K resistance level, resulting in a clear rejection. As a result, the price action has transitioned into a consolidation phase above the critical $60K support zone, with further fluctuations likely in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, BTC’s rebound from the $60K demand region stalled at the $70K resistance, where sellers regained control. This level closely aligns with the midline of the descending channel, reinforcing its technical significance. A decisive break above this dynamic boundary would be required to restore bullish momentum.

For now, Bitcoin remains confined within a defined range, bounded by the static $60K support and the channel’s dynamic mid-boundary near $70K. Consolidation appears to be the dominant scenario, with a breakout on either side likely to trigger a more substantial directional move.

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, the rejection at $70K is more pronounced, with the asset retracing toward the $66K area. A notable bullish divergence between price action and the RSI suggests weakening downside momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term range-bound structure between the $60K and $75K levels.

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However, the internal resistance at the channel’s midline continues to cap upside attempts, limiting bullish follow-through and keeping the broader structure neutral-to-bearish until a clear breakout materializes.

Sentiment Analysis

Bitcoin funding rates across all exchanges have recently flipped deeply negative, reaching extreme levels around -0.014 while the price dropped toward the $66.9K region. This sharp shift into negative territory signals aggressive short positioning, as traders are now paying a premium to hold bearish bets.

Historically, such extreme negative funding prints tend to appear during panic-driven sell-offs, when the market becomes crowded on the short side. The current structure suggests that derivatives traders are heavily positioned for further downside following the breakdown below the $70K area.

From a positioning standpoint, this creates conditions for a potential short squeeze if spot demand steps in. When funding remains deeply negative while price stabilizes, it often reflects exhaustion in selling pressure. However, if price continues to trend lower while funding stays negative, it confirms sustained bearish dominance rather than a temporary flush.

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At this stage, the funding data highlights elevated fear and aggressive short exposure, placing the market in a sensitive zone where volatility expansion, either through continuation or a squeeze, becomes increasingly likely.

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Crypto World

What Will Restart The Rally?

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What Will Restart The Rally?

Bitcoin (BTC) struggles to reclaim price highs above $76,000, but analysts say that the uptrend may continue if key conditions are met.

Bitcoin’s 8% climb over the last three days saw it reclaim key levels, including the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $71,000.

“$76K is the level that decides everything,” analyst Crypto Patel said in a Wednesday post on X, adding:

“We need a proper HTF candle close above this zone to trust the move.”

Related: Bitcoin falls to lower support as analysts say markets are ignoring key Iran issue

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The analyst further explained that a high-time frame close above $76,000 would open the path toward the $84,000-$96,000 zone, where investors acquired more than 2 million BTC over the last six months, according to Glassnode’s cost basis distribution heatmap.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: X/Crypto Patel

Echoing this view, trading resource Material Indicators said that “there are multiple levels of technical resistance stacked” between the spot price and a “bonafide $BTC bull market breakout.”

These include the yearly open at $87,500 and the 50-week moving average at $97,000, which must be reclaimed to confirm that the “$BTC bull market has returned,” Material Indicators said in a follow-up post.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Material Indicators

The trading resource further pointed out that the relative strength index must close and hold above the 41 level in the weekly time frame. 

Previous occurrences in 2023, 2020 and 2019 have led to 660%, 1,600% and 316% BTC price rallies, respectively.

“Obviously, we are not there yet,” Materials indicators said in a video posted on X, adding:

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“Those are the macro things that need to happen to say a validated bull market is on.”

For analyst Rekt Capital, the BTC/USD pair needs to achieve a weekly close above $72,800 to “confirm a breakout.”

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: X/Rekt Capital

As Cointelegraph reported, the bulls must decisively break above the $76,000-$80,000 range to confirm a trend change.

Optimism needs to return to the BTC market

The bull score index, a measure of Bitcoin’s overall market health that combines fundamental and technical metrics, indicates a significant improvement in market conditions following BTC’s latest move to $76,000

The metric increased to 40 on April 15, the highest since late October 2025. This reading remains within neutral territory, reflecting a gradual recovery after a period of relatively weak momentum.

While the bull score index improvement to 40 “reflects relative stability in the market,” it must rise to an area of “strong optimism (above 60), which typically indicates strong bullish conditions,”  CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain said in a Quicktake post, adding:

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“If the indicator continues to improve gradually, it may signal a potential return of upward momentum, especially if higher levels are reclaimed in the coming period.”

Bitcoin bull score index. Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs remains intermittent, with these investment products recording alternating inflows and outflows after every few days. 

Although the $451 million in net inflows recorded on Tuesday pointed to a return in demand from US investors, persistent positive flows are required to propel BTC price higher.

Spot Bitcoin ETF flows chart. Source: SoSoValue

As Cointelegraph reported, onchain activity is showing “bull market behavior,” with Bitcoin’s daily transaction count reaching 17-month highs, further reinforcing BTC’s upside potential.