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Is This Crypto Winter Different? Experts Reevaluate Bitcoin

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin’s latest price action underscores a paradox at the heart of institutional crypto interest: capital is increasingly present, yet money managers remain wary of labeling BTC as a risk-off hedge. After topping near $120,000 in October, the asset has retraced more than 25% in the past month, prompting observers to parse whether the pullback signals a maturation of the market or a cooling in risk appetite among investors. The debate touches on four-year cycle dynamics, regulatory clarity, and how Wall Street–level players are recalibrating their exposure as policy conversations unfold.

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin has shed more than 25% in the month, testing critical levels as institutional risk appetite shifts and cycle dynamics influence pricing.
  • The CLARITY Act, a centerpiece of US crypto regulation, remains stalled in the Senate, with banks and exchanges contending over stablecoin provisions that could reshape exchange economics.
  • Grayscale argues that near-term BTC moves resemble growth equities with high enterprise value rather than traditional gold, signaling a non-traditional risk profile for the asset.
  • High-level talks on crypto market structure legislation continue, including a White House engagement between crypto executives and bankers, signaling bipartisan momentum toward clarity.
  • Kaiko Research flags a potential $60,000 level as a halfway point in the bear market, stressing that on-chain metrics will determine whether the four-year cycle framework holds.
  • Regulatory clarity and the GENIUS Act are viewed as structural catalysts that could unlock new use cases for stablecoins and tokenized assets, potentially guiding long-term value for networks.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $COIN

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Negative. Bitcoin fell more than 25% this month as institutions reevaluated risk positions and macro conditions remained uncertain.

Market context: The price pullback comes as the broader crypto environment weighs liquidity, risk appetite, and a regulatory landscape in flux, with policymakers debating how to modernize oversight of digital assets and market infrastructure.

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Market context

The recent price action sits at the intersection between growing institutional involvement and ongoing regulatory ambiguity. While well-capitalized firms have shown continued interest in crypto products, their willingness to treat BTC as a risk-on asset remains contested. The conversation around regulatory clarity—particularly for market structure and stablecoins—has increasingly become the central driver of flows and product strategy, influencing whether institutions deepen exposure or recalibrate to avoid regulatory risk.

Why it matters

From a market efficiency perspective, the episode tests whether institutions can comfortably price BTC within a regulated framework that reduces tail risk while preserving participation. Grayscale has argued that BTC’s short-term moves align more with growth-oriented software equities than with precious metals, which could broaden the interpretation of what drives crypto prices beyond the traditional store-of-value narrative. The insistence on regulatory clarity suggests a path toward broader use cases—such as tokenized assets and stablecoins—that could, over time, add depth to liquidity and utility in the sector.

On the policy front, the CLARITY Act represents a sweeping redesign of crypto oversight, including DeFi, exchanges, and capital markets rules. The bill’s stalled status in the Senate has frustrated industry participants who argue that delay erodes confidence and slows strategic planning. Coinbase (EXCHANGE: COIN) and other major players have been key voices in the debate, reflecting how regulatory outcomes will shape product structuring, risk management, and partnerships going forward. The GENIUS Act, which passed in July 2025, is cited as part of a broader push toward a clearer regulatory framework, suggesting that lawmakers recognize the structural benefits of clearer rules for innovation and investor protection.

Analysts continue to weigh whether Bitcoin’s bear market can extend toward new price anchors or whether a structural shift in sentiment—driven by policy progress and institutional onboarding—will eventually rekindle momentum. Some observers point to a potential bottom in the high tens of thousands before a longer-term recovery, while others emphasize that the outcome will hinge on regulatory breakthroughs and the resilience of on-chain networks amid macro headwinds.

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“I think there was a lot of sell-off just because firms that got into it from mainstream finance had to adjust their risk positions.”

“Retail people don’t get into crypto because they want to make 11% annualized … They get in because they want to make 30 to one, eight to one, 10 to one.”

Beyond the price action, the market is watching how geopolitical and regulatory signals converge. White House discussions between crypto executives and bankers—part of ongoing talks to resolve roadblocks to market structure reform—could influence the speed and direction of institutional flows. In the meantime, industry researchers note that on-chain metrics and cross-asset correlations will continue to shape the narrative around whether the four-year cycle remains intact or yields a different pattern for BTC and related assets.

In short, the bear market debate is less about a single catalyst and more about a convergence of cycles, policy, and evolving institutional incentives. As participants await clearer rules, the market will likely experience continued volatility, punctuated by moments when policy events or macro shifts trigger sharp repricings. The coming months could be decisive for whether BTC cement its role as a core allocation for institutions or whether it remains a higher-risk, higher-reward bet that requires more robust regulatory scaffolding before a broader class of investors can comfortably participate.

What to watch next

  • Regulatory progress on the CLARITY Act and GENIUS Act, including any scheduled committee votes or floor actions.
  • Outcomes of the White House meetings with crypto and banking representatives, and any policy signals that emerge from those discussions.
  • Key price levels for BTC, with attention to whether the $60,000 region acts as a support or acts as a magnet for further downside.
  • New on-chain metrics and cross-asset analyses that could confirm or challenge the four-year cycle framework.
  • Regulatory clarity that could unlock additional use cases for stablecoins and tokenized assets, influencing the structure and liquidity of crypto markets.

Sources & verification

  • Grayscale, Market Commentary: Bitcoin trading more like growth than gold.
  • Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller’s remarks at a monetary policy conference on crypto hype and risk positions.
  • Mike Novogratz’s CNBC interview on institutional risk tolerance in crypto markets.
  • Kaiko Research notes on critical support levels and cycle analysis.
  • White House discussions involving crypto executives and bankers on market structure reform.

Bitcoin’s price slump tests institutional adoption and regulatory clarity

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has moved under a cloud of regulatory uncertainty and shifting institutional appetite. After rallying to above $120,000 in October, the flagship crypto has retraced more than 25% in the past month, prompting observers to parse whether the pullback signals a maturation of the market or a cooling in risk appetite among investors. The pullback sits at the center of a broader debate about whether BTC is a risk-on asset or if a regulatory environment that supports product innovation and investor protection can coexist with a robust institutional footprint.

Price dynamics through this period suggest a mix of cyclical drivers and risk management by large players who entered crypto markets during a period of high enthusiasm. Some market participants attribute the sell-off to the four-year cycle framework commonly cited in crypto analysis, while others see a more general tightening of risk appetite among institutions that had pursued crypto exposure as part of a broader portfolio diversification strategy. The trajectory has been punctuated by sharp moves, with BTC slipping from its October highs and trading in lower ranges that have drawn comparisons to growth equities rather than to the classic safe-haven narrative associated with gold.

Within policy circles, the debate over appropriate regulation remains intense. The CLARITY Act would overhaul US crypto regulation, touching on areas from DeFi oversight to market infrastructure. The bill has stalled in the Senate as Coinbase (EXCHANGE: COIN) and the banking lobby clash over stablecoin provisions that could affect exchange economics and systemic risk. The absence of timely clarity has been cited by policymakers and industry participants as a key factor delaying broader institutional participation and product development. In parallel, the GENIUS Act, which had cleared its path in 2025, is viewed as part of a broader push toward a framework that could enable more predictable and scalable crypto markets.

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Prominent voices in the industry have offered mixed perspectives. Fed governor Waller framed the current crypto environment as reflecting a fading wave of euphoria rather than a lasting structural shift toward digital gold. His comments at a recent monetary policy conference underscored the idea that institutions are still recalibrating risk positions as the macro backdrop evolves. In a separate interview, Galaxy Digital’s Mike Novogratz highlighted how institutions approach crypto with a different risk tolerance than retail investors, a distinction that can influence price action and liquidity dynamics. “Retail people don’t get into crypto because they want to make 11% annualized … They get in because they want to make 30 to one, eight to one, 10 to one,” he observed, pointing to the motivational differences that help explain long-term price trajectories beyond traditional hedges.

Meanwhile, market structure researchers at Grayscale have emphasized a broader context for BTC’s recent moves. They noted that short-term price action has shown correlations with software equities and tech-driven growth narratives rather than with gold or other conventional safe-haven assets. This view aligns with a broader market trend where digital assets are increasingly treated as high-growth tech exposures with unique risk characteristics rather than as proxies for traditional stores of value.

Looking ahead, the market will hinge on regulatory clarity and the pace at which policymakers can deliver predictable rules. The current discussions—including high-level talks that culminated in a White House meeting involving crypto and banking leaders—signal bipartisan momentum for market-structure reforms. If lawmakers can translate sentiment into concrete legislation, the door could open for a broader institutional onboarding, greater product innovation, and more defined risk management practices that could, over time, shape BTC’s role in diversified portfolios.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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BlackRock Brings $2.1B Tokenized Treasury Fund to Uniswap for DeFi

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Crypto Breaking News

BlackRock has taken a significant step into the world of decentralized finance (DeFi) by bringing its $2.1 billion tokenized Treasury fund to Uniswap. This move marks the asset management giant’s first formal engagement with DeFi and offers institutions new avenues for on-chain investment. The announcement solidifies BlackRock’s growing interest in digital assets and blockchain technology.

The launch of BlackRock’s USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) will enable institutional clients to trade tokenized securities on the Uniswap decentralized exchange. The fund’s listing represents a broader push to expand institutional access to the growing DeFi space. This venture also includes BlackRock acquiring an undisclosed amount of Uniswap’s governance token, UNI.

The listing will initially be available to a select group of institutional investors and market makers. As a part of the collaboration, Securitize, a tokenization company, facilitated the launch of BUIDL. The cooperation between Securitize and BlackRock strengthens the legitimacy of tokenized assets as viable investment products.

Tokenization Boosts DeFi and Institutional Access

Tokenized assets have seen increasing popularity as they allow real-world assets to be traded on blockchain networks. BlackRock’s foray into DeFi with BUIDL aims to provide institutions with access to tokenized money markets. These assets, backed by US Treasury securities, are designed to offer liquidity, security, and yield to investors.

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Securitize CEO Carlos Domingo noted the importance of providing institutions with self-custody tools to trade tokenized real-world assets. He emphasized that this new product gives investors the flexibility to interact with decentralized finance while maintaining traditional investment characteristics. BUIDL is now the largest tokenized money market fund, with over $2.1 billion in total assets across multiple blockchains.

BUIDL is not the only fund seeking to expand access to tokenized money markets. Other major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and BNY Mellon have entered the tokenization space, signaling wider industry acceptance. BlackRock’s partnership with Uniswap and Securitize further highlights the momentum behind blockchain technology in traditional finance.

Implications of Wall Street’s Adoption of Tokenized Assets

The rise of tokenized assets has been partly driven by the growing adoption of stablecoins and blockchain infrastructure. Financial institutions see tokenization as a way to adapt to shifting market dynamics, especially as stablecoin usage continues to rise. JPMorgan analysts have pointed out that tokenized money market funds could offer a counterbalance to the increasing use of stablecoins in the broader economy.

Tokenization could play a crucial role in mitigating potential liquidity shifts caused by the rapid expansion of stablecoins. According to JPMorgan strategist Teresa Ho, tokenized funds offer investors a way to post money market fund shares as collateral without losing yield. This feature could provide a valuable hedge against the growing dominance of stablecoins.

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The regulatory landscape also plays a critical role in shaping the future of tokenized real-world assets. With the GENIUS Act expected to influence the stablecoin market, clearer regulations could encourage further adoption of blockchain technology. Solomon Tesfaye of Aptos Labs believes that stablecoin regulations may accelerate broader adoption of on-chain assets like tokenized money market funds.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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21Shares Taps BitGo for Regulated Staking and Custody in US & Europe

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Crypto Breaking News

BitGo Holdings and 21Shares have broadened their alliance to extend custody and staking services for 21Shares’ U.S. exchange-traded funds and global exchange-traded products. The expanded deal will see BitGo provide qualified custody, trading and execution capabilities, and a unified staking infrastructure for 21Shares’ US-listed ETFs and international ETPs. The press release notes that this arrangement gives 21Shares enhanced access to liquidity across electronic and over-the-counter markets as part of a broader strategy to scale regulated crypto yield solutions for institutional investors. The partnership is anchored in BitGo’s regulated framework in the United States and Europe, leveraging its OCC-regulated federally chartered trust bank and MiCA-licensed European operations. Announcement.

21Shares is a major crypto ETF issuer, with an established footprint across 13 exchanges and 59 listed products, supported by more than $5.4 billion in assets under management as of Feb. 11, according to its public materials. The collaboration follows BitGo’s own foray into the public markets earlier in the year, when the Palo Alto-based infrastructure provider began trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker BTGO.

In recent months, custodial and staking services have become increasingly entwined as institutions seek yield-generating crypto infrastructure within regulated wrappers. The new BitGo–21Shares framework exemplifies this shift, allowing traditional and alternative asset managers to offer staking yields while maintaining compliant custody—an arrangement that can streamline onboarding for large-scale investors who require robust risk controls and auditability. The broader ecosystem has seen a spate of partnerships and integrations aimed at embedding staking deeper into regulated product lines, a trend that has accelerated as more institutions seek regulated exposure to proof-of-stake ecosystems.

Among the notable examples cited in the ecosystem: a Coinbase–Figment collaboration that broadened institutional staking for assets including Avalanche (AVAX), Aptos (APT), Sui (SUI) and Solana (SOL) through Coinbase Custody. Separately, Anchorage Digital partnered with Figment to extend staking for Hyperliquid (HYPE), integrating these services via its banking and custody infrastructure. Ripple has also expanded its institutional custody stack with integrations that add hardware security module support to enable banks and custodians to offer custody and staking without building their own validator or key-management systems.

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Beyond staking, the sector is witnessing growing interest in liquid staking—an approach that lets investors earn staking rewards while retaining a tradable token that preserves liquidity. Regulators in certain jurisdictions have signaled tolerance for specific liquid-staking activities, reinforcing the push toward regulated, yield-bearing structures. In another development, Hex Trust announced a collaboration with the Jito Foundation to integrate JitoSOL, a liquid staking token on the Solana blockchain, enabling clients to earn staking and MEV rewards while keeping SOL liquid for use as collateral in borrowing and lending through its Markets platform. These moves collectively illustrate how custody providers are layering staking liquidity into regulated product lines to satisfy investor demand for yield without compromising risk controls.

In this evolving landscape, the BitGo–21Shares partnership stands out for its scope and regulatory alignment. By combining BitGo’s OCC-regulated custody framework with MiCA-licensed European operations, the alliance aims to unlock scalable staking and liquidity across major markets for a broad set of products, including US-listed ETFs and international ETPs. The collaboration signals a maturation in the ecosystem, where product issuers can offer regulated staking while maintaining robust custody and market access—an arrangement that may help attract institutions that previously shied away from crypto exposure due to compliance and operational concerns. For readers seeking a deeper dive into the breadth of the collaboration, a related press release details the global ETF-partnership expansion across staking and custody, highlighting the operational pathways BitGo will provide for 21Shares’ product lineup.

Video and media discussions surrounding the partnership can be explored through a related presentation linked to the announcement.

Market participants should watch how the integration affects liquidity profiles and trading costs for 21Shares’ ETF roster, as well as how it influences the pace at which other ETF issuers consider similar custody-and-staking models. The collaboration may also influence how global regulators view regulated staking within ETF wrappers, particularly as MiCA implementations take fuller effect across Europe and as U.S. authorities continue to refine guidelines for crypto custody and staking activities.

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Key takeaways

  • BitGo will deliver qualified custody, trading and execution services, plus integrated staking infrastructure for 21Shares’ US ETFs and global ETPs.
  • The services will be provided through BitGo’s regulated entities in the US and Europe, leveraging an OCC-regulated trust bank and MiCA-licensed operations.
  • 21Shares’ product slate includes 59 ETPs listed across 13 exchanges, with more than $5.4 billion in assets under management as of Feb. 11.
  • The move aligns with a broader institutional push to embed staking within regulated custody offerings, following similar partnerships and integrations across the sector.
  • The deal underscores BitGo’s ongoing expansion into ETF and regulated markets after its BTGO listing on the NYSE earlier this year.

Tickers mentioned: $BTGO, $AVAX, $APT, $SUI, $SOL

Market context: The collaboration arrives amid growing institutional interest in regulated staking and custody-enabled yield strategies, supported by clearer regulatory frameworks in the U.S. and Europe and expanding ETF liquidity across crypto assets.

Why it matters

The partnership between BitGo and 21Shares represents a meaningful step in bringing regulated staking and custody to a broader class of institutional investors. By coupling BitGo’s OCC-chartered custody capabilities with 21Shares’ diversified ETF lineup, the arrangement reduces operational friction for asset managers seeking compliant exposure to proof-of-stake ecosystems. This is particularly relevant as the crypto industry pushes toward scalable yield opportunities within regulated wrappers, a dynamic that could accelerate the adoption of staking across traditional finance channels.

For 21Shares, the deal broadens access to liquidity and trading venues for its US-listed ETFs and global ETPs. As the ETF issuer continues to grow—reporting 59 products and substantial AUM—partnerships like this can help sustain product velocity, improve execution quality, and offer investors more reliable ways to participate in staking rewards without directly managing keys or validator infrastructure.

From a regulatory perspective, the alignment with an OCC-regulated entity in the United States and MiCA-licensed operations in Europe signals a mature model for regulated crypto infrastructure. If these structures gain broader acceptance, more issuers may pursue similar multi-jurisdictional approaches, further integrating staking into mainstream investment products. In a market that remains sensitive to liquidity, risk controls, and operational risk, such collaborations could contribute to steadier capital inflows and more robust market-making activity around crypto ETPs.

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What to watch next

  • Rollouts of custody and staking services for 21Shares’ entire U.S. ETF lineup and broader international ETPs, with clear launch timelines.
  • Regulatory updates from the OCC and updates to MiCA implementations that may affect how staking is offered within ETF wrappers.
  • Potential expansion of BitGo–21Shares technology and service integrations to additional product lines or new markets.
  • Continued ETF issuance activity by 21Shares and related liquidity improvements across electronic and OTC venues.

Sources & verification

  • BitGo and 21Shares Accelerate Global ETF Partnership Across Staking and Custody — Business Wire press release (Feb 12, 2026).
  • 21Shares product catalog and assets under management (as of Feb 11) published by 21Shares.
  • BitGo IPO coverage and BTGO listing details (Cointelegraph gateway to BitGo stock information).
  • FalconX acquisition of 21Shares (context for 21Shares’ corporate structure).
  • Ripple expands institutional custody stack with staking and security integrations (industry context for custody-staking trends).

BitGo expands custody and staking for 21Shares across US and Europe

BitGo and 21Shares have formalized an expanded collaboration that integrates custody, trading, and staking services for 21Shares’ US ETFs and global ETPs. The arrangement will see BitGo operate through its regulated US and European entities, including a federally chartered trust bank approved by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and MiCA-licensed European operations, providing a bridge between traditional custody controls and crypto-native staking yields. The underlying objective is to reduce friction for institutions seeking yield opportunities tied to major proof-of-stake ecosystems while maintaining stringent risk and compliance standards.

Within the scope of the agreement, 21Shares gains access to BitGo’s custody and execution frameworks, coupled with integrated staking infrastructure designed to support its ETF lineup. The collaboration underscores a broader trend in the market: custodians and wallet providers are increasingly embedding staking capabilities into regulated products to satisfy investors’ demand for yield, liquidity, and governance participation without sacrificing institutional-grade controls.

As a backdrop, the ecosystem has seen a series of institutional staking moves—ranging from Coinbase’s partnerships enabling direct staking for select assets, to Anchorage Digital’s collaborations that extend staking through regulated banking channels, and even Ripple’s expansion of its custody platform with security integrations. These developments collectively point to a maturation of the crypto infrastructure market, where regulated custody and staking go hand in hand to deliver scalable, compliant exposure to proof-of-stake networks. In this context, BitGo’s expanded alliance with 21Shares positions both firms to capture a larger slice of the ETF and ETP issuance market and to support a broader wave of institutional adoption.

Market participants will be watching how quickly the rollout unfolds and how liquidity improves across the involved products, particularly in the United States and Europe. The partnership could catalyze further collaborations between custodians and ETF issuers, as regulators continue to refine the boundaries of crypto custody and staking within regulated investment products.

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SBET executives urge to look beyond recent price action

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SBET executives urge to look beyond recent price action

As institutional adoption of digital assets matures, a new corporate playbook is emerging: treat ether not just as an investment, but as productive financial infrastructure.

The shift comes amid sharp downward market volatility. SharpLink Gaming (SBET) — which saw its stock soar last May after adopting an ether treasury strategy — has since plunged (along with every other of 2025’s hastily-formed digital asset treasury companies). It’s a reminder of the turbulence that continues to define the asset class.

At a panel discussion at Consensus Hong Kong 2026 featuring Sharplink Chairman Joe Lubin and CEO Joseph Chalom, the two executives outlined how DATs are evolving into a distinct institutional strategy.

“I’ve never seen more of a moment of differentiation where the actual macro tailwinds for Ethereum have never been better in its 10-and-a-half-year history,” said Chalom, pointing to the growth of stablecoins and tokenization. “Listen to Larry Fink at Davos, when he’s telling you $14 trillion of BlackRock assets will be tokenized, and over 65% of that to date is happening on Ethereum.”

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While recent ether price action and ETF flows have raised concerns, Chalom framed them as part of broader macro de-risking. “Bitcoin and ether were very easy to de-risk,” he said, adding that rotations out of liquid assets are typical during volatility. “The largest players in institutional finance are telling us out loud — they’re coming to ether.”

SharpLink’s strategy differs, he argued, because it deploys permanent capital. “An ETF is a great passive exposure vehicle, but it needs to provide daily liquidity…We own permanent capital,” he said. “The third stage — which is actually most important — is making your ETH productive.”

Lubin emphasized ether’s distinguishing feature: yield.

“Ether would be a much better asset… because it is a productive asset. It yields. It has a risk-free rate,” he said, referring to staking returns of roughly 3%. SharpLink has staked nearly all its holdings and plans to continue accumulating. “We’ll keep buying ether. We’ll keep staking ether and adding new yield to ether.”

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Beyond staking, Chalom described what he called “good institutional DeFi,” using long-term locked capital to earn risk-adjusted returns rather than chasing venture-style upside. “We’re not looking for convex VC 10x outcomes — we’re looking for the best risk-adjusted yield for our investors. And we’re actually confident that by doing it, we’ll improve the DeFi ecosystem by raising its standards.”

For Lubin, the shift resembles the early internet era. “A long time ago…there were internet companies. Now every company is an internet company. Soon, every company is going to be a blockchain company,” he said, predicting firms will increasingly hold tokens on balance sheets and require sophisticated onchain treasury tools.

Read more: Ethereum treasury firm SharpLink stakes $170M ETH on Linea network

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Zcash faces potential 66% decline, holders reduce stakes

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Zcash faces potential 66% decline as large holders reduce stakes by 38% - 2

Zcash recorded a 7% price decline over the past 24 hours, while broader cryptocurrency markets also slipped. However, large holders reduced their positions by approximately 38% over the past seven days, raising concerns about the cryptocurrency’s near-term prospects.

Summary

  • Large holders reduced their stakes by 38% over the past week, and technical analysis suggests a bearish flag pattern.
  • Zcash has seen a 40% drop month-over-month.
  • The concentration of 70% of the supply in the top 100 addresses suggests Zcash’s current price foundation may be unstable.

The privacy-focused cryptocurrency has increased 5.8% over the past week, but decreased over 40% month-over-month, according to CoinGecko.

Zcash faces potential 66% decline as large holders reduce stakes by 38% - 2

Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced larger declines during the same period as the broader cryptocurrency market continued its selloff.

Exchange flow data showed net outflows on Feb. 12, indicating some purchasing activity. However, on-chain data revealed that large holders decreased their Zcash holdings by roughly 38% over seven days, with additional selling occurring in the past 24 hours. Exchange inflows increased simultaneously, suggesting coins moved from private wallets to exchanges.

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Technical analysts identified a bearish flag and pole pattern forming on Zcash price charts. This formation typically appears after a sharp decline, followed by a consolidation period. When prices break down from this pattern, the resulting decline often matches the distance of the initial drop, according to technical analysis methodology. For Zcash, this measured move indicates a potential 66% decline from current levels if the pattern completes.

A four-month bearish divergence signal has also formed between October and February. During this period, Zcash prices reached a higher high while the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, recorded a lower high. This divergence typically indicates weakening buying pressure despite rising prices.

The RSI continues to trend downward while prices remain near recent highs, creating a widening gap between price action and momentum indicators.

On-chain data shows the top 100 addresses control approximately 70% of the total supply. Smart money indicators remained flat with no significant accumulation detected, according to blockchain analytics.

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The cryptocurrency rebounded from lows reached in early February. Technical analysts stated that a breakout above resistance levels would be required to invalidate the bearish setup, while a breakdown below key support would likely accelerate declines.

Market observers noted that the relative outperformance compared to other cryptocurrencies occurred while large holders distributed their positions, creating what analysts described as a potentially unstable foundation for current price levels.

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Crypto PAC Fairshake seeks to force resistant Texas Democrat Al Green from U.S. House

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Crypto PAC Fairshake seeks to force resistant Texas Democrat Al Green from U.S. House

The crypto industry’s campaign-finance arm, Fairshake, has begun rolling out its campaign strategies in its well-funded effort to pack Congress with lawmakers ready to pass friendly digital assets policy, and Democratic Representative Al Green is the first lawmaker on its hit list.

An affiliate of the Fairshake political action committee, which has begun deploying its $193 million war chest on this year’s congressional midterm elections, said it will spend $1.5 million on advertisements opposing Green’s primary campaign.

The critical Texas lawmaker has often noted potential hazards posed by cryptocurrencies to the U.S. financial system and to investors, co-sponsored a bill seeking to ban President Donald Trump from his personal crypto business interests and has voted against crypto policy legislation. That opposition earned him an “F” grade from Stand With Crypto, a group that assesses crypto support from politicians.

Green, who is among the most senior Democrats on the House Financial Services Committee that has a direct hand in crypto legislation, faces rivals in the Democratic primary for the recently redrawn Texas district he represents. Texas’ primaries come quickly next month, and longtime congressman Green would have to beat a younger Democrat, Christian Menefee, who just won a special election and took the redrawn district’s seat days ago.

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“Texas voters can no longer sit by and have representation in Congress that is actively hostile towards a growing Texas crypto community,” Fairshake’s super PAC affiliate, Protect Progress, said in a statement. “We are committed to electing new members who embrace innovation, growth and wealth creation for all Americans.”

Menefee is supportive of blockchain technology, according to his campaign stance, and Stand With Crypto gives him an “A” grade.

In Green’s most recent election in 2024, his campaign spent less than $450,000 to retain his seat, which went unchallenged in the primary, and he needed even less in 2022. But he’s so far brought in more than $700,000 in this more difficult contest. Still, that’s less than half of Fairshake’s spending against him.

Fairshake also this week announced that it’ll spend $5 million to boost a pro-crypto Alabama Republican, U.S. Representative Barry Moore, in that state’s Senate primary. And the group is also backing House Financial Services Committee Chairman French Hill, according to a spokesman. The super PAC generally spends money on advertisements that are general political messages, not related to crypto issues, and because they’re “independent expenditures” under election law, Fairshake isn’t allowed to coordinate with campaigns.

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Bitcoin Institutional Adoption Accelerates as ETFs and Corporate Treasuries Reshape Market

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Bitcoin Institutional Adoption Accelerates as ETFs and Corporate Treasuries Reshape Market

TLDR:

  • Spot bitcoin ETFs and treasuries absorbed 1.2 times new supply in 2025, reshaping demand dynamics 
  • Peak-to-trough bitcoin declines now limited to 50% versus historical 70-80% drawdowns in cycles 
  • Digital asset treasuries hold 1.1 million BTC valued at $89.9 billion as corporate adoption grows 
  • U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve holds 325,437 BTC representing 1.6% of total bitcoin supply today

 

Bitcoin continues its transformation from speculative asset to institutional holding. The digital currency has attracted major financial players through regulated exchange-traded funds and corporate strategies.

Data shows spot bitcoin ETFs and digital asset treasuries absorbed 1.2 times new supply in 2025. This shift reflects broader acceptance among investors.

ETF Growth and Corporate Treasury Adoption Reshape Market Dynamics

Spot bitcoin ETFs reached a milestone during 2025, altering the asset’s supply-demand profile. Morgan Stanley and Vanguard expanded platforms to include bitcoin products in the fourth quarter.

Vanguard’s decision proved noteworthy given its historical exclusion of commodities. These vehicles attracted capital from advisors, institutions, and retail investors.

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Corporate adoption has moved beyond early adopters into mainstream finance. According to ARK Investment Management and 21Shares analysts, “the unifying theme for the current cycle is bitcoin’s transition from an optional new monetary technology to a strategic allocation.”

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, has accumulated holdings representing 3.5% of total supply. Digital asset treasury companies hold more than 1.1 million BTC, valued at $89.9 billion. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 now include bitcoin-exposed companies like Coinbase and Block.

Sovereign interest materialized through the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The Trump Administration launched this reserve using seized bitcoin totaling 325,437 BTC.

This represents 1.6% of total supply valued at $25.6 billion. Texas led state-level adoption by adding bitcoin to reserves.

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Regulatory developments have created clearer pathways for institutional participation. The proposed CLARITY Act would establish dual-oversight between CFTC and SEC.

This legislation provides a compliance roadmap with standardized maturity tests. The clarity reduces uncertainty that drove firms offshore.

Price Performance and Market Maturation Show Evolving Investor Behavior

Bitcoin’s relationship with gold has demonstrated patterns throughout market cycles. Gold prices surged 64.7% during 2025 while bitcoin declined 6.2%.

Historical data from 2016, 2019, and 2020 shows gold movements preceded bitcoin rallies. Spot bitcoin ETFs achieved in under two years what gold ETFs required over 15 years.

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Market volatility metrics reveal a maturing asset with improved risk characteristics. Peak-to-trough declines in the current cycle have not exceeded 50%.

This compares favorably to prior cycles where drawdowns reached 70-80%. The February 2026 correction maintained this trend.

Long-term holding strategies have outperformed market timing. A hypothetical investor purchasing $1,000 at yearly peaks from 2020 through 2025 generated positive returns.

The report notes that “in 2026, bitcoin’s story is less about whether it will survive and more about its role in diversified portfolios.”

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Even accounting for February corrections, this strategy produced a 29% return. Position sizing and holding periods matter more than entry timing.

Correlation analysis shows bitcoin maintains low relationships with traditional assets. Weekly returns from 2020 through 2026 show a 0.14 correlation with gold.

This low correlation enhances portfolio diversification benefits. Combined with reduced volatility, bitcoin presents a different risk-reward proposition.

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SEC Head Defends Enforcement Changes Amid Justin Sun Case Questions

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SEC Head Defends Enforcement Changes Amid Justin Sun Case Questions


SEC Chair Paul Atkins has defended the agency’s enforcement shift as lawmakers question why Justin Sun’s case was paused.

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins is facing scrutiny from lawmakers as the agency moves to reshape its cryptocurrency regulatory framework.

Democrats are questioning potential links between industry actors and President Donald Trump amid a broader decline in enforcement actions.

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SEC Scrutinized Over Tron Case

During a House Financial Services Committee hearing, Democratic members zeroed in on the SEC’s decision to pause its case against Tron founder Justin Sun. Representative Maxine Waters pointed to what she described as a sweeping rollback of prior crypto enforcement actions after Trump entered the White House and new SEC leadership took over last year.

Waters referenced the regulator’s 2023 lawsuit against Sun, in which he was accused of organizing the unregistered sale of crypto securities tied to the TRX and BTT tokens and manipulating trading volumes.

Later in February 2025, the SEC asked the federal court overseeing the case to issue a stay, which paused the proceedings. Since that decision, Sun has become a major financial supporter of Trump-linked crypto ventures, purchasing billions of WLFI tokens, making him the largest backer of World Liberty Financial.

Waters also highlighted a more recent claim by his alleged former girlfriend, who publicly suggested she possesses evidence of TRX manipulation.

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Atkins declined to address specifics of the case, telling lawmakers he could not comment on individual enforcement matters. He added that he would be open to further discussion in a confidential setting “to the extent the rules allow me to do that.”

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When asked whether the agency ever acts to protect investors in ways that could negatively affect Trump-affiliated businesses, he responded, “As far as what the Trump family does or not, I can’t speak to that.”

Trump’s Ties to Binance

Lawmakers also raised concerns about other high-profile litigation the SEC dropped last year, including cases against Binance, Ripple, Coinbase, Kraken, and Robinhood.

In May 2025, the financial watchdog ended its lawsuit against Binance, which it had sued in 2023 for offering unlicensed services and misrepresenting trading controls. Trump later also pardoned Zhao, while a stablecoin issued by WLF was used by an Abu Dhabi investment firm for a $2 billion investment in Binance.

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“Explain to me how this happens without any enforcement action,” Representative Stephen Lynch said. “The reputational damage that the SEC is suffering right now is unbelievable. And you’re in the seat, sir. It’s your responsibility. I’m just asking for an explanation.”

The SEC Chair defended the regulator, saying it has a “robust enforcement effort” and continues to bring cases. However, data from Cornerstone Research shows that its overall legal actions fell 30% in 2025, while crypto-related cases dropped 60%.

Atkins, who became the organization’s chair in April 2025 after Gary Gensler’s departure, is known for criticizing the previous aggressive approach and framing his leadership as a move away from litigation-heavy tactics.

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Israeli soldier allegedly used military secrets to gamble on Polymarket

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Israeli soldier allegedly used military secrets to gamble on Polymarket

Israel is attempting to prosecute a reserve soldier who allegedly used military secrets to place bets on security operations via Polymarket. 

Polymarket offers a multitude of markets on various military operations, from bets on the outcome of the Ukraine/Russia war, to more specific targeted missile strikes against various countries. 

Israel’s Shin Bet security agency announced today that the soldier — who is facing court along with an alleged civilian accomplice — used “classified reports” accessed via their military role to help make bets that could threaten Israel’s national security.

The pair is charged with numerous security offences, as well as bribery and obstruction of justice. Several people were arrested, but only two have been charged so far.

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A lawyer representing the soldier told Bloomberg that the indictment is “flawed,” adding that the charge of harm to national security has been dropped.

They added, however, that he’s still believed to have used confidential information without permission.

Pair might be connected to $150K Polymarket winnings on Israel-Iran strikes

It’s unknown which prediction markets the two bet on, or if they made any profits. There are suspicions, however, that they could be linked to the Polymarket account “ricosuave666.”

This account made over $150,000 betting on Israel’s strikes against Iran in 2025, and reportedly got each prediction correct across a war that lasted 12 days.

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Israeli authorities then opened up an investigation into these bets. 

Previous cases involving the leaking of military secrets led to an Israeli soldier reportedly being sentenced to 27 months in jail in 2023.

The individual passed on confidential information to users on social media so that they could gain credibility and popularity online.

Read more: Logan Paul fakes $1M Super Bowl bet on Polymarket

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Every month, there seems to be another debate surrounding Polymarket and the use of insider information to make bets, but it’s unclear how capable the platform is of preventing these sorts of trades. 

There were concerns over one account that made $437,000 betting on the exit of Venezuela’s former president Nicolás Maduro hours before the US captured him.

There were also concerns that someone was able to use insider information to bet on the Nobel Peace Prize before it was announced.

After the home of Polymarket’s CEO, Shayne Coplan, was raided by the FBI, a company spokesperson said, “We charge no fees, take no trading positions, and allow observers from around the world to analyze all market data as a public good.”

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Protos has reached out to Polymarket for comment and will update this piece should we hear anything back. 

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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CertiK awarded the “Best Security and Compliance Solution 2026” at SiGMA AIBC

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CertiK awarded the “Best Security and Compliance Solution 2026” at SiGMA AIBC

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Web3 security firm CertiK honored for its contribution in web3 security and compliance at the 2026 SiGMA AIBC Eurasia Awards.

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Summary

  • CertiK named “Best Security & Compliance Solution 2026” at SiGMA AIBC Eurasia Awards for advancing crypto safety.
  • CertiK has expanded into the Middle East, offering institutional-grade crypto security from its Abu Dhabi branch.
  • CertiK has partnered with ADGM regulators to provide enterprise security solutions via Skynet.

CertiK, the web3 security services provider, received an award for “Best Security & Compliance Solution 2026” at the SiGMA AIBC Eurasia Awards ceremony on February 10, 2026. 

The award is a recognition of the firm’s efforts in driving the crypto industry towards compliance and institutionalization. The SiGMA AIBC Eurasia Awards, jointly created by SiGMA and AIBC, is an award for the digital technology and innovation industries in the Eurasia region. It focuses on areas such as AI, blockchain, web3, and compliance security, and is well-known across the region. 

Other award winners included web3 companies, including Crypto.com, OKX Wallet, Avalanche, and Cointelegraph.

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The award comes at a time when CertiK has been expanding its presence in the Middle East since the launch of its branch in Abu Dhabi in 2025. According to the firm, it has launched a localized team recruitment drive to address the demand for security services in the Middle Eastern markets. 

The company’s focus in the region has shifted to providing “institutional-level” security services. The goal of this service model is to provide banks, sovereign wealth funds, and large multinational corporations with security measures that meet traditional financial security requirements through advanced engineering capabilities and a tight defense matrix.

Since launching the branch in Abu Dhabi, CertiK has partnered with Abu Dhabi regulators, participated in roundtable discussions on the framework for virtual asset regulatory activities in the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), and offers services to local regulators via its security platform Skynet Enterprise.

According to CertiK, its services assist regulators in assessing the potential impact of abnormal events on corporate entities and the broader financial ecosystem, and promote the development of security compliance and innovation in the digital economy.

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Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

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ETH ETF Flows, Onchain Volume Signal Recovery To $2.4K

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ETH ETF Flows, Onchain Volume Signal Recovery To $2.4K

Key takeaways:

  • Ether exchange-traded funds saw $71 million in inflows, signaling strong institutional appetite.

  • Weekly decentralized exchange volume doubled to $20 billion, narrowing the revenue gap with Solana.

Ether (ETH) price failed to sustain levels above $2,000 on Thursday, leaving traders to weigh the potential catalysts for a market turnaround. While optimism has waned since the crash to $1,745 on Friday, both exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows and ETH derivatives metrics are showing early signs of a reversal. 

Traders now question if there is enough momentum for a bounce back toward $2,400.

US-listed Ether ETFs’ daily net flows, USD. Source: Farside Investors

US-listed Ether ETFs recently broke a three-day streak of outflows, attracting $71 million in fresh capital between Monday and Tuesday. Crucially, assets under management have stabilized at $13 billion, which is sufficient to maintain institutional interest. Ether ETFs currently average over $1.65 billion in daily trading volume, a level of liquidity that enables participation by the world’s largest hedge funds.

To put Ether ETFs in perspective, the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE US)— the largest in the US energy sector — trades an average of $1.5 billion per day. That instrument tracks a combined $2 trillion market capitalization across companies such as Exxon (XOM US), Chevron (CVX US), ConocoPhillips (COP US), The Williams Companies (WMB), and Kinder Morgan (KMI US).

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ETH metrics and ETF inflows signal potential market recovery

While institutional appetite for Ether ETF trading is a positive indicator, it does not guarantee that demand for ETH derivatives is inherently bullish.

ETH 2-month futures basis rate. Source: Laevitas.ch

On Wednesday, the annualized premium (basis rate) of ETH futures remained below the 5% neutral threshold. This lack of demand for bullish leverage has been a constant theme for the past three months. However, the indicator has stabilized at 3%, even as the ETH price hit its lowest level in nine months. These derivatives markets are displaying moderate resilience, which remains an encouraging sign for Ether investors.

Related: Denmark’s Danske Bank allows clients to buy Bitcoin and Ether ETPs

Ethereum Total Value Locked, USD. Source: DefiLlama

Ether’s price weakness has driven Ethereum’s Total Value Locked (TVL) to $54.2 billion, down from $71.2 billion one month prior, according to DefiLlama data. Reduced deposits in the network’s smart contracts represent a major risk, as lower chain fees diminish the native staking yield. Moreover, Ethereum’s supply burn mechanism remains dependent on excessive demand for blockchain processing. 

Despite these worsening conditions, demand for Ethereum decentralized applications (DApps) has been gradually improving throughout 2026.

Ethereum 7-day DEX volumes (left) vs. DApps revenue (right), USD. Source: DefiLlama

Weekly decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes on the Ethereum network surged to $20 billion, up from $9.8 billion one month prior. This increased activity caused DApps revenue to reach $26.6 million in the seven days ending Feb. 8, providing a healthy indicator of ETH demand. While Solana remained the clear leader with $31.1 million in weekly DApps revenue, the gap between the two networks is narrowing.

Those monitoring Ether price performance exclusively fail to see that ETH onchain metrics and derivatives have displayed resilience, especially as inflows into Ether ETFs resumed. While it might take a couple of weeks for investors to fully regain confidence, there are strong indicators that a near-term rally toward $2,400 is possible.

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