Connect with us

Crypto World

JPMorgan Predicts Clarity Act Will Ignite Crypto Rally by Mid-2026

Published

on

Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR

  • Bitcoin remains range-bound in the mid-$60,000 zone while ether hovers around $2,000, with trading activity subdued on leading platforms.
  • According to JPMorgan, the Clarity Act represents a significant potential driver for cryptocurrency markets heading into late 2026.
  • The proposed legislation would establish a dual regulatory framework with the SEC and CFTC overseeing different asset classes, while permitting projects to raise $75 million without standard SEC registration.
  • Progress on the bill has slowed following Coinbase’s decision to withdraw endorsement, expressing concerns about its impact on innovation and market dynamics.
  • Morgan Stanley is pursuing a federal trust charter from the OCC to provide digital asset custody services as part of its expanding crypto operations.

The cryptocurrency market has experienced prolonged consolidation, with Bitcoin holding steady near the mid-$60,000 level for several weeks. Ether continues to trade in the vicinity of $2,000, while exchange volumes remain notably muted. Market participants are actively seeking developments that could spark fresh momentum.

[[IMG_0]]
Bitcoin (BTC) Price

Analysts at JPMorgan believe they’ve identified a significant catalyst. A research note authored by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou and his team highlighted the Clarity Act — proposed legislation aimed at establishing clear crypto regulations in the United States — as a potential driver for market appreciation in the latter half of this year.

“We continue to believe that a potential approval of the market structure legislation most likely by mid year could serve as a positive catalyst for crypto markets,” the analysts wrote.

The Clarity Act would establish a bifurcated regulatory framework between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission. Digital assets would receive designation as either commodities or securities based on their fundamental characteristics.

According to JPMorgan’s analysis, transferring oversight of prominent tokens to the CFTC would eliminate significant regulatory ambiguity. A provision in the legislation would enable specific tokens — such as XRP, Solana, Litecoin, Hedera, Dogecoin, and Chainlink — to receive commodity classification when connected to spot ETFs listed prior to January 1, 2026.

Additionally, the proposed framework would permit emerging cryptocurrency ventures to secure up to $75 million in annual funding without completing comprehensive SEC registration, provided they meet disclosure standards. JPMorgan’s team suggested this provision could revitalize domestic token launches and venture capital deployment that has migrated to foreign jurisdictions.

Advertisement

Clarity Act Hits a Wall

The legislation’s trajectory has encountered obstacles despite its potential benefits. A planned Senate Banking Committee review was delayed in early 2026 following Coinbase‘s announcement that it would no longer support the measure. The nation’s largest cryptocurrency exchange expressed concerns that the current legislative language might constrain technological advancement, diminish competitive forces, and impose limitations on stablecoin reward mechanisms.

Brian Armstrong, Coinbase’s chief executive, attributed the legislative delays primarily to banking industry lobbying organizations rather than individual financial institutions. The bill remains stalled as congressional members negotiate contentious elements of the proposal.

In parallel developments, traditional financial institutions are advancing their digital asset strategies. Morgan Stanley has submitted documentation to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency requesting authorization for a national trust bank charter. The proposed institution, designated as Morgan Stanley Digital Trust National Association, would establish its headquarters in Purchase, New York.

Morgan Stanley Goes All-In on Crypto Custody

Upon receiving regulatory approval, the subsidiary would provide custody solutions for digital assets, facilitate token transactions related to client portfolios, and deliver staking capabilities. The entity would operate without accepting deposits or extending credit facilities.

Advertisement

With approximately $9 trillion in assets under management, Morgan Stanley initially introduced Bitcoin investment vehicles to its wealth advisory clients in 2021 and subsequently broadened cryptocurrency trading access via its E*Trade platform during 2025.

The firm filed applications for spot Bitcoin, Solana, and Ethereum exchange-traded funds in January 2026 and appointed Amy Oldenburg to lead its digital asset strategy division. A federally regulated trust charter would enable Morgan Stanley to internalize custody and staking operations, diminishing dependence on external service providers such as Zerohash.

The OCC’s public feedback window extends through March 20, 2026. Upon approval, Morgan Stanley would join an established group of institutional custody providers that includes BNY Mellon and State Street.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Bitcoin Can Hit $74,000 Despite Iran Tensions, Trader Predicts

Published

on

Bitcoin Can Hit $74,000 Despite Iran Tensions, Trader Predicts

Bitcoin avoided a fresh breakdown around major geopolitical events in the Middle East, with BTC price targets now including $74,000 next.

Bitcoin (BTC) ignored geopolitical volatility on Sunday as traders waited for markets’ Iran reaction.

Key points:

Advertisement
  • Bitcoin coils around $67,000 as the dust settles on a wild weekend in the Middle East.

  • TradFi market reactions are in focus, with BTC price action avoiding major volatility.

  • Oil price concerns compound as Iran seeks to close the Strait of Hormuz.

Trader sees $74,000 BTC price rally

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action focusing on $67,000 in the aftermath of the latest round of conflict in the Middle East.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The weekend prevented TradFi markets from adjusting to events in real time, with US stock market futures down 0.65% at the time of writing.

Crypto also saw volatility, but soon cooled, and BTC/USD avoided a major breakout from its local trading range.

Commenting, crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe described the initial response as “positive.”

“Now, markets are correcting back down, as there’s uncertainty on how US markets will open tomorrow (and there’s still an outstanding gap of the CME),” he wrote in a post on X

Advertisement

“On the other hand, the 21-Day MA needs to break in order to have a relief rally. I think we’ll see it in March/April, question of how we’re opening the markets tomorrow and whether it finds a higher low.”

BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe

Van de Poppe referred to Bitcoin’s 21-day simple moving average at $67,627. The weekend’s “gap” in CME Group’s Bitcoin futures market lay to the downside at $65,880.

“$BTC looks good in the short-term,” trader BitBull agreed about the three-day chart. 

“Deviation below the support zone and has now flipped resistance into support. I think a rally towards the $73K-$74K level could happen.”

BTC/USDT three-day chart. Source: BitBull/X

Some argued that geopolitical instability had been “priced in” by the market in advance, explaining the comparatively modest price action over the weekend.

“We will probably move side ways the next days…,” trader Crypto Caesar concluded.

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Crypto Caesar/X

Strait of Hormuz tied to next US inflation spike

A separate point of concern focused on potential oil price volatility as Iran claimed to be closing the Strait of Hormuz.

Related: Bitcoin historical price metric sees $122K ‘average return’ over 10 months

Despite being international waters, the Strait became a holding ground for oil shipping on Sunday, leading to swift analysis of the knock-on effect for US inflation.

Advertisement

Trading resource The Kobeissi Letter referenced research by JPMorgan while suggesting that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) could jump to 5%.

“The last time we saw US inflation at 5% was in March 2023, when the Fed was aggressively hiking rates,” it wrote in a dedicated X thread.

US CPI 12-month % change. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

As Cointelegraph reported, recent US inflation prints outpaced expectations, notably Friday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers.