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Kalshi steps up surveillance amid growing scrutiny of prediction markets

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Kalshi steps up surveillance amid growing scrutiny of prediction markets

Kalshi, the federally regulated prediction market platform, announced a major expansion of its market surveillance and enforcement framework aimed at preventing insider trading and market manipulation across its platform.

Summary

  • Kalshi has expanded its market surveillance framework to prevent insider trading and market manipulation on its regulated prediction markets platform.
  • The company formed an independent Surveillance Advisory Committee and partnered with Solidus Labs to strengthen trade monitoring and enforcement.
  • The move positions Kalshi as a compliance-focused alternative as prediction markets face growing regulatory and public scrutiny.

The updates were shared on February 5, 2026, as part of a broad initiative to boost trading integrity.

Kalshi tightens market surveillance

Founded in 2018, Kalshi established prediction markets as a regulated financial asset class in the United States. Unlike many offshore trading platforms, Kalshi operates under oversight from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), enforcing rules similar to those in traditional financial markets.

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At the center of Kalshi’s announcement is the formation of an independent Surveillance Advisory Committee. The committee includes industry experts such as Lisa Pinheiro, Managing Principal at Analysis Group, and Daniel Taylor, Director of the Wharton Forensic Analytics Lab, known for his work on fraud and insider trading detection.

The group will review flagged trades, monitor investigations, and issue public quarterly reports on enforcement activity.

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Kalshi also unveiled partnerships with Solidus Labs, a provider of advanced trade surveillance technology, and other market integrity advisors. The Solidus platform will augment Kalshi’s internal systems with deeper data analysis, helping detect sophisticated manipulation or suspicious trading patterns across more than 4,000 active markets.

The enhanced surveillance measures come amid growing scrutiny of prediction markets worldwide. Platforms like Polymarket have faced criticism and controversy over alleged insider advantage and market manipulation, leading lawmakers to consider new regulations targeting such practices.

The announcement also follows recent legal friction involving prediction markets more broadly. In Nevada, a state court recently declined to immediately block Coinbase’s prediction markets, which operate in partnership with Kalshi, after state regulators sought an emergency halt under gaming laws.

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Aave price tests key resistance as Monad vote nears approval

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Aave price tests mid-band resistance as vote to launch on Monad nears approval - 1

Aave price is approaching a key technical resistance level as the community prepares to vote on a potential deployment on Monad.

Summary

  • AAVE trades near $118 as price approaches mid-Bollinger Band resistance around $120.
  • The Aave DAO vote to deploy the protocol on Monad has strong community backing.
  • A breakout above the 20-day moving average could open a move toward $130

Aave (AAVE) traded at $118.23 at press time, up 3.1% in the last 24 hours and close to the upper end of its weekly range between $105.64 and $124.89. The token has gained about 12% over the past week, though it is still 7% lower over the past month and 45% down year-over-year.

Derivatives activity has slowed slightly. Data from CoinGlass shows trading volume fell 28% to $373 million, while open interest sits at $194 million, down 0.09%.

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Aave DAO votes to launch on Monad

The price movement comes as a governance vote by the Aave DAO on deploying the protocol to Monad, which approaches approval. With about 21 hours left, more than 873,000 participants have backed the proposal, while no votes have been cast against it.

The proposal, created on Feb. 24, suggests deploying Aave v3 on Monad, a network built for high-throughput DeFi applications. Its architecture processes transactions in parallel and pipelines execution with consensus, allowing faster processing and lower latency while keeping full compatibility with Ethereum tools.

Supporters say this design could help fintech platforms and on-chain neobanks that require fast settlement, predictable costs, and deep liquidity. If deployed, Aave would act as a core lending layer supporting savings products, credit lines, stablecoin liquidity, and treasury management tools for fintech applications.

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If the proposal proceeds, a mid-to-late March launch is being considered. In order to support network liquidity, the plan also calls for the purchase of 10 million GHO units and $15 million in ecosystem incentives from the Monad Foundation.

Market sentiment may be affected by the deployment. Increased user activity and liquidity flows are often the outcome of network expansion. If more users adopt Monad, there may be a greater need for Aave’s lending infrastructure, which could boost the token’s value.

Aave price technical analysis

AAVE is trying to stabilize after weeks of selling pressure. The token is now testing the mid-band, which aligns with the 20-day moving average near $118–$120.

Aave price tests mid-band resistance as vote to launch on Monad nears approval - 1
Aave daily chart. Credit: crypto.news

Earlier in February, the price dropped toward the $100 support zone, touching the lower Bollinger Band. Buyers stepped in and a rebound followed, pushing the token back to the mid-band. This level now acts as dynamic resistance.

A move toward the upper Bollinger Band near $130 could be initiated by a break above $120, which would indicate increasing momentum. The price may decline and trade between $108 and $110, which is near the lower band, if the level remains as resistance.

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Momentum is steadily increasing. When the relative strength index was near 30, the market was about to be oversold, but it has since risen. It is now approaching the neutral 50 level, suggesting that selling pressure has decreased even though significant bullish momentum has not yet emerged.

Volatility is also tightening as the Bollinger Bands narrow. Such compression often comes before a larger price move. If volatility expands upward, the next resistance zone could appear near $130 to $135. A downside expansion may push the token back toward $100 to $105.

For now, price action is at a decision point. A clean break above the 20-day moving average could trigger a stronger recovery. Failure to hold above the level may lead to another pullback toward the $100 support area.

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Construction Begins at 1M Qubit Quantum Facility

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Construction Begins at 1M Qubit Quantum Facility

The quantum computing company PsiQuantum is a step closer to its goal of building the world’s first useful quantum computer, breaking ground on the construction of a 1 million-qubit quantum facility, a size that scientists say is powerful enough to crack Bitcoin’s cryptography.

PsiQuantum co-founder Peter Shadbolt shared a photo of its Chicago site in a post to X on Thursday, saying that 500 tons of steel had been erected in six days, which will house the computer.

PsiQuantum said in September that it raised $1 billion to build the facility in collaboration with chip maker Nvidia, designed to house quantum computers capable of functioning even if they have errors.

Source: Peter Shadbolt

PsiQuantum added that the facility would house 1 million qubits of quantum computing power, the equivalent of tens of billions of typical computers, with the aim of making quantum computing commercially useful to support “next-generation AI supercomputers.”

Some in the Bitcoin community have warned that the advent of quantum computing could potentially compromise Bitcoin’s cryptography.

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Some Bitcoiners have argued that such a compromise could put the network, which currently secures $1.4 trillion, at risk, while others, such as Blockstream CEO Adam Back, have said quantum computers won’t post a real threat to Bitcoin for at least a decade.

Bitcoin developers are currently discussing whether to take immediate action against quantum threats via a hard fork, and if so, what that would entail.