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Korea’s KOSPI Surges 11% in Historic Rebound, Outpacing Crypto

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Korea's KOSPI Surges 11% in Historic Rebound, Outpacing Crypto

One day after recording its worst single-session loss in history, South Korea’s KOSPI surged more than 11% on Thursday, staging one of the most dramatic reversals the index has ever seen.

No major economy is more acutely wired to Middle East instability than Seoul — and this week proved it.

The Bounce of KOSPI and KOSDAQ

South Korea’s two main stock indices — the large-cap KOSPI and tech-heavy KOSDAQ — are among Asia’s most actively traded markets and a key barometer of Korean retail investor sentiment.

By mid-morning, the KOSPI had climbed to 5,682 — up from Wednesday’s close of 5,093 — after touching an intraday high of 5,715. The KOSDAQ recovered above the 1,000 level, gaining over 11%. A buy-side sidecar was triggered in early trade — a striking contrast to Wednesday’s sell-side sidecar and full circuit breaker halt. The won strengthened sharply, pulling back from an overnight high of 1,505 to trade near 1,461.

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The catalyst: oil prices stabilized, with Brent crude holding at $81.40 and WTI at $74.66, and reports of back-channel contacts between Washington and Tehran lifted sentiment across Asian markets. Wall Street had closed higher on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq up 1.29%, led by Tesla (+3.44%), Amazon (+3.95%), and Nvidia (+1.66%).

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix — which had shed 21% and 22.75% respectively from their late-February peaks — rebounded 13–15% in early trade. Foreign investors, who had used both stocks as first-resort liquidity during the panic, returned as net buyers of over 710 billion won by mid-morning. Retail investors added another 600 billion won alongside them.

Why Korea Fell Harder Than Anyone Else

The scale of the crash and recovery reflects a structural reality. Over the two sessions on March 3–4, the KOSPI and KOSDAQ fell 18.43% and 17.97%, respectively — the worst and second-worst performances globally. Japan fell 6.57%, Taiwan 6.46%, and China’s Shenzhen Composite just 3.76%. US indices barely registered, declining less than 0.35% combined.

Korea imports over 70% of its energy from the Middle East and operates an export-dependent economy with high sensitivity to commodity shocks. When US-Israel strikes on Iran triggered Strait of Hormuz closure fears, global risk was concentrated in Seoul with exceptional force. Wednesday’s KOSPI decline of 12.06% surpassed even the 12.02% drop recorded the day after 9/11 — a threshold that had stood for 25 years.

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What Comes Next

Analysts are cautiously optimistic but warn that the path forward depends on geopolitical developments. One analyst argued that a prolonged Hormuz blockade is self-defeating for Iran. It would cut Tehran’s foreign exchange revenues while inviting further military response. Another pointed to a potential mediator as the key turning point. At current index levels, he said, “the case for buying is strong.”

Mirae Asset set a near-term KOSPI recovery target of 5,800. Kiwoom Securities suggested the two-day selloff had effectively front-loaded the war risk premium in full.

What It Means for Crypto

For crypto markets, as BeInCrypto reported Wednesday, Korea’s retail investor base showed some resilience during the crash — with newly listed tokens on Upbit and Bithumb posting double-digit gains even as equities collapsed. But Thursday’s equity rebound may quickly reverse that dynamic.

With foreign and retail investors pouring over 1.3 trillion won back into equities in a single morning session, the stock market’s gravitational pull reasserts itself. Korea’s crypto volumes had already dropped by more than 80% during the KOSPI’s 85% bull run since President Lee’s election, and a sharp V-shaped equity recovery threatens to drain whatever crypto inflows emerged during the two-day panic.

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The won pulled back from 1,505 to near 1,461. That partial recovery reduces the currency-hedge appeal that briefly boosted digital assets. The effect is already visible in the data: Bitcoin rose 6.4% in dollar terms over the past 24 hours, but gained only around 5% on Upbit in won terms — the won’s sharp rebound absorbed more than a percentage point of that gain.

If geopolitical risk continues to ease, the KOSPI could push toward Mirae Asset’s 5,800 target. Korean retail capital — historically the most swing-sensitive in global crypto markets — would likely follow equities. Not digital assets.

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Dogecoin price nears bullish triangle breakout, can it recover to its February highs?

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Dogecoin price is close to confirming a bullish symmetrical triangle breakout on the daily chart.

Dogecoin price is close to confirming a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern amid a surge in demand on the derivatives market.

Summary

  • Dogecoin price hit weekly high after reports of U.S.-Iran negotiations calmed investor fears.
  • Dogecoin is close to confirming a bullish symmetrical triangle breakout.

Dogecoin (DOGE) price shot up 17% to a weekly high of $0.103 on Thursday morning Asian time before settling at $0.096 at press time.

Dogecoin’s rally was supported by investor fears cooling off after reports surfaced that Iran has secretly been negotiating a deal with the U.S. to de-escalate the ongoing conflict between the two nations.

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A look at its futures market shows that more investors are now betting in favor of a Dogecoin rally.

According to CoinGlass data weighted funding rate for Dogecoin has turned positive, signalling that long traders are paying short traders to maintain their positions as they anticipate further gains. Such conditions tend to influence retail sentiment positively.

On the daily chart, Dogecoin price is close to confirming a breakout from the upper side of a symmetrical triangle pattern. When an asset breaks out from the upper side of a symmetrical triangle, it is viewed as a very positive signal and typically marks the beginning of a sustained bullish trend.

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Dogecoin price is close to confirming a bullish symmetrical triangle breakout on the daily chart.
Dogecoin price is close to confirming a bullish symmetrical triangle breakout on the daily chart — March 5 | Source: crypto.news

For Dogecoin, a breakout from the pattern could trigger bulls to aggressively push the price to reclaim its February high of around $0.117.

Momentum indicators like the MACD and RSI seem to support the bullish path. The MACD lines were moving upwards while the RSI was close to breaking out of the neutral threshold, which is often the spark needed for a massive rally during periods of high market volatility.

However, it should be noted that a break below the $0.080 support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Meanwhile, a major headwind for Dogecoin is the weak demand for spot ETFs tied to the meme coin, which could limit any sustained rally.

Notably, the three spot DOGE ETFs have so far managed to draw in only $7.45 million in net inflows since their launch in November. These institutional products had gone through a month of no flows before attracting only $779,000 in inflows on March 2.

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Traders may see the muted involvement from major investors as a sign that institutional players remain unconvinced about the meme coin’s long-term prospects, even as retail demand stays strong.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Solana and XRP price prediction ahead of U.S. employment report for February

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Solana and XRP price prediction ahead of U.S. employment report for February - 1

Solana and XRP are holding key technical levels as traders prepare for the release of the February U.S. employment report, a major macro event that could influence risk sentiment across financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.

Summary

  • Solana and XRP traders are watching the February U.S. employment report, a key indicator that could shape expectations for Federal Reserve policy and risk appetite.
  • SOL is stabilizing near $91 with accumulation indicators improving, suggesting buyers are gradually returning after February’s sell-off.
  • XRP is trading around $1.42, with momentum indicators pointing to weakening bearish pressure and a potential move toward resistance if macro conditions turn favorable.

Investors closely watch the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report because strong labor market data could reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer.

Conversely, weaker data may strengthen the case for rate cuts later this year, potentially boosting demand for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

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Against this backdrop, several altcoins have entered consolidation phases following February’s market turbulence, when geopolitical tensions and broader risk-off sentiment weighed on crypto prices.

Solana price outlook

Solana is trading near $90.9 after recovering from a sharp early-February decline that briefly pushed the token toward the $70 region.

Solana and XRP price prediction ahead of U.S. employment report for February - 1
Solana price analysis | Crypto.News

The daily chart shows SOL forming a gradual recovery structure as buyers step in near lower levels. The Accumulation/Distribution indicator is trending higher, signaling that investors may be steadily accumulating the token.

Meanwhile, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) indicator has turned positive, suggesting improving bullish momentum after weeks of persistent selling pressure.

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If momentum continues, SOL could test resistance near $95, with a stronger breakout potentially opening the door toward the $100 psychological level.

However, downside risks remain. A break below $85 support could expose the token to renewed selling pressure and potentially send it back toward the $80–$78 region.

XRP price outlook

XRP is currently trading around $1.42, where it has been moving sideways after a prolonged decline from earlier highs near $2.

Solana and XRP price prediction ahead of U.S. employment report for February - 2
XRP price analysis | Source: Crypto.News

Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum may be fading. The Awesome Oscillator is gradually turning positive, while the Chaikin Money Flow indicator is stabilizing, signaling that capital outflows are slowing.

If buying pressure strengthens, XRP could attempt a move toward resistance near $1.50, followed by a potential test of the $1.60 zone.

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On the downside, the key support level sits near $1.35, and a breakdown below that threshold could send XRP toward the $1.25 area.

With both tokens consolidating, the upcoming U.S. employment report may act as the next major catalyst determining whether Solana and XRP extend their recovery or face another round of volatility.

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Anthropic Reopens Pentagon Talks as Trump Weighs Supply Chain Risk Label

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Anthropic Reopens Pentagon Talks as Trump Weighs Supply Chain Risk Label

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has reportedly reopened negotiations with the US Department of Defense in a last-minute effort to secure continued access to Pentagon contracts as the company faces the possibility of being labeled a supply chain risk by the Trump administration.

Amodei has been holding discussions with Emil Michael, the US undersecretary of defense for research and engineering, to finalize terms governing the military’s use of Anthropic’s artificial intelligence models, the Financial Times reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

A new agreement would allow the Pentagon to keep using the company’s technology and could prevent a formal designation that would force contractors in the defense supply chain to cut ties with the AI developer, per the report.

The talks follow a sharp breakdown in negotiations last week. Michael reportedly accused Amodei of being a “liar” with a “God complex,” while discussions collapsed after the two sides failed to agree on language Anthropic said was necessary to prevent misuse of its technology.

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Related: Ex-OpenAI researcher’s hedge fund reveals big Bitcoin miner bets in new SEC filing

Pentagon negotiations stall over bulk data analysis clause

In an internal memo to staff seen by the FT, Amodei reportedly wrote that near the end of negotiations, the Pentagon offered to accept Anthropic’s broader terms if the company removed a clause restricting the “analysis of bulk acquired data.” He said this phrase was meant to guard against potential mass domestic surveillance, a scenario Anthropic treats as a red line, alongside the use of AI in lethal autonomous weapons.

The dispute escalated after Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth warned that Anthropic could be designated a supply chain risk, a move that would effectively freeze the company out of US military procurement networks.

Source: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth

The standoff came despite Anthropic’s existing ties to the defense sector. The company was awarded a contract worth up to $200 million by the US Defense Department in July 2025 and it became the first AI provider whose models were used in classified environments and by national security agencies.

As Cointelegraph reported, the US military even used Anthropic’s Claude AI model to support a major air strike on Iran hours after President Donald Trump ordered federal agencies to stop using the company’s systems.

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Related: Mining companies move deeper into AI, HPC as MARA may sell Bitcoin

Tech groups warn risk label could hurt US AI leadership

Meanwhile, in a Wednesday letter to Trump, tech groups warned that labeling a domestic AI company a supply chain risk could undermine US leadership in AI. The groups argued that treating a US technology company “as a foreign adversary, rather than an asset,” could discourage innovation and weaken America’s ability to compete with China in the global AI race.