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Memecoin figure loses $60M trading mostly SPX6900, not selling

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Crypto Breaking News

Murad Mahmudov, the crypto trader widely known online as the “Memecoin Messiah,” has endured a brutal nine-month stretch, wiping almost $60 million from his bets. Yet he remains bullish on SPX6900, a memecoin that aspires to outpace the S&P 500 and redefine memecoin economics.

Key takeaways:

  • Mahmudov argues SPX6900 could grow the market cap of the token to $1 trillion—from roughly $250 million today—an extraordinary, 400,000% rise.
  • On the technical front, SPX6900’s three-day chart points to a potential further decline of about 20% in the coming weeks.
  • Public portfolio data shows a heavy concentration in SPX6900, with the Muststopmurad wallet holding about 29.964 million SPX (roughly $7.8 million), about 96% of the publicly tracked portfolio value.
  • Despite steep losses, there have been no meaningful sales of SPX6900 or other major positions, according to DropsTab, suggesting the trader has not yet realized losses beyond the unrealized figure.
  • The broader memecoin sector remains battered, with a large share of projects inactive and exit liquidity in some names showing limited real trading activity.

SPX6900 on a bold trajectory, or a fragile setup?

In a post circulated on X, Mahmudov asserted that SPX6900, a memecoin’s bid to overtake the S&P 500 in market presence, could surge to a $1 trillion market capitalization from its current roughly $250 million valuation—a jump of about 400,000%. The claim frames SPX6900 as a long-term bet on a narrative shift within the memecoin space, one that hinges on mass adoption and liquidity enhancements to propel a token past a traditional stock index in perceived value.

By contrast, the marketplace for memecoins has faced a brutal environment. SPX and other memecoins have tracked a broader retreat in the sector, with prices and on-chain liquidity deteriorating as traders reassess risk capital. Bitcoin remains the sole cryptocurrency to have reached a $1 trillion market cap in historical precedent, underscoring how extraordinary such a SPX6900 thesis would be in ordinary market conditions.

Concentration risk and unrealized losses

Public wallet analytics place Mahmudov’s SPX6900 exposure at the core of his tracked holdings. Arkham Intelligence flags the trader’s wallets under the entity “Muststopmurad,” and current data show approximately 29.964 million SPX held—valued at about $7.79 million. This single line item accounts for roughly 96% of the total tracked portfolio, estimated near $8.1 million.

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The magnitude of the drawdown is stark. At a peak in July of the previous year, the same holdings carried an implied value of around $67 million. The ensuing correction has produced an unrealized loss near $60 million as the memecoin sector retraced more than 80% from its highs. The heavy tilt toward SPX6900 illustrates a classic high-conviction, high-risk position where outsized gains are possible but gains can evaporate rapidly in a sentiment-driven market.

Despite the paper losses, Mahmudov’s on-chain footprint shows no clear exit from these bets. DropsTab, a portfolio-tracking service that aggregates public wallets, indicates no material sales of SPX6900 or his other major positions. The platform records realized profits and losses on the tracked holdings as zero, suggesting the decline has come largely from price moves rather than realized dispositions. The portfolio, by this accounting, still shows more than $6.22 million in unrealized gains across its positions, indicating a complex mix of upside exposure that the trader has not yet cashed in—or chosen not to crystallize.

Exit liquidity and the broader memecoin backdrop

The memory-heavy, supply-sensitive dynamics of memecoins are also reflected in on-chain liquidity metrics. Market data show that several memecoin names—such as RETARDMAXX, HONK, and CHAD—struggle to attract meaningful liquidity. On Solana-based pairs, RETARDMAXX displayed around $44,000 in liquidity with only six transactions and modest daily volume, while CHAD showed roughly $842 in liquidity with no trades or new makers recorded in the same window. HONK’s pair registered just $1 in liquidity and no activity, underscoring the fragility of exit liquidity for some of these tokens in stressed markets.

Such liquidity gaps matter for holders who may wish to monetize losses or trim risk, particularly when a narrative previously supported by hype but now confronted with waning enthusiasm. In a market where a majority of new tokens fail to find steady demand, the ability to realize gains—or even limit losses—depends on the existence of durable liquidity pools and active buyers. CoinGecko’s January tracking highlighted the fragility of the broader memecoin set, reporting that 53.2% of all cryptocurrencies tracked since 2021 were inactive, with 11.6 million token failures recorded in 2025 alone that disproportionately affected memecoins. This backdrop helps explain why even sizable unrealized gains on a single position may struggle to translate into liquidity if the market lacks buyers willing to step in at meaningful levels.

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Technical setup: a potential continuation of downside in SPX6900

From a chart perspective, the SPX6900 price action on a three-day horizon appears to be breaking down from a rising wedge pattern. A breakdown beneath support near the $0.26 level has already been triggered, with the price trading below the 20-, 50-, and 100-period exponential moving averages, a configuration that often signals a continuation of the downtrend in the near term. If the pattern plays out as the setup suggests, a measured move could take SPX6900 toward the $0.205 area—roughly 20% below current levels. Such a move would have implications for Mahmudov’s portfolio, potentially shaving another $1.5 million or more from the SPX stake, depending on the token’s price action and any accompanying shifts in liquidity.

Beyond the mechanics of the chart, the risk for concentrated memecoin bets remains structural. The memecoin sector’s volatility has historically outpaced broader crypto markets, with narrative-coupled demand driving extreme swings in both directions. For Mahmudov, the question is whether the SPX6900 thesis can withstand a test of time and liquidity, or if the current trend portends further writedowns before a credible inflection—if one ever arrives—materializes.

As of now, Mahmudov’s public posture suggests a patience-based stance rather than a willingness to harvest losses. The combination of a grandiose market-cap target, a highly concentrated position, and a market environment that has punished many memecoins for thin liquidity presents a case study in risk management rather than conventional investing wisdom. For observers, the ongoing question is whether SPX6900 can deliver on its promised scale or if the token’s path will remain a cautionary tale about the limits of meme-driven valuation in a crowded, unforgiving market.

What to watch next: productizing a memecoin’s ascent into mainstream liquidity remains the central hurdle. If SPX6900 can attract meaningful exchange listings, deeper liquidity, and broader investor interest, the thesis could gain traction. If not, the focus will shift to risk controls around highly concentrated portfolios and the practicalities of exiting positions in a market where exit liquidity is uneven at best.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto World

Crypto Donations a Challenge for Canadian Election Transparency

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Crypto Donations a Challenge for Canadian Election Transparency

A new bill in Canada, if passed, would ban political parties and other third parties in elections from accepting cryptocurrency donations in a bid to prevent election interference.

The Strong and Free Elections Act would also ban contributions made by money orders and prepaid cards, citing these methods as difficult to track.

The bill notes the potential for foreign actors to influence elections through difficult-to-trace digital payment methods, ensuring Canadian elections “remain free, fair and secure at all times,” according to Government House Leader Steven MacKinnon. 

Moreover, as the office of the Commissioner of Canada Elections told Cointelegraph, “The rapid and ongoing change in digital payments creates significant challenges and risks for law enforcement, including for our office.”

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Crypto creates problems for election transparency, gov’t officials say

The rules for political financing in Canada are complex. Two offices, the Commissioner of Canada Elections and Elections Canada, play “distinct but complementary” roles under the Canada Elections Act’s (CEA). The bill banning crypto political donations would make changes to this Act. 

The act first came into effect in 2000. Source: Government of Canada

Elections Canada, led by Chief Electoral Officer Stéphane Perrault, is responsible for conducting federal elections and administering the political financing regime. 

The Commissioner of Canada Elections, currently Caroline J. Simard, “is responsible for ensuring that the rules under the Act are complied with and enforced,” a commissioner spokesperson said.

For both agencies, cryptocurrencies present challenges to maintaining free and transparent elections. For the commissioner’s office these include “potential difficulties associated with tracing the source of funding.”

Perrault shared a similar sentiment at an October appearance at the Procedure and House Affairs Committee.

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“The problem with those instruments is that they do not provide transparency as to the original source of the contributor.”

He said that “a key principle of our system is that we know where the money comes from. There’s no, in my view, valid reason to use a prepaid instrument, a prepaid credit card, to provide money to a candidate or to a political party.”

Perrault acknowledged that they have legitimate uses elsewhere in the economy, “but in terms of financing parties and candidates, I do not believe they are appropriate.”

Crypto’s ‘non-moneyness’ creates an opening for foreign influence

Under current Canadian law, cryptocurrency qualifies as a legal, “non-monetary” contribution for political parties. Elections Canada told Cointelegraph they therefore must abide by certain reporting requirements.

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“For contributions over $200, the political entity must report the contributor’s name and address in its financial return.”

However, contributions up to $200, if the donor is a Canadian citizen or permanent resident not in the crypto business, are deemed “nil.”

According to Perrault, the rules for non-monetary donations up to $200 were initially included in the CEA “to allow small-value gifts of goods and services—those valued under $200 and made by a person not in the business of providing such a good or service.” He gave an example of cooking food for campaign staff or lending the use of a personal vehicle. 

This becomes more problematic when applied to crypto. Perrault said, “Although contributions of cryptocurrencies are non-monetary contributions under the CEA, the reality of cryptocurrency is that it functions increasingly like money.”

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“If a contribution were made in cryptocurrency, it could be seen as a means by which unregulated resources could enter the federal political financing regime.”

He officially recommended that parliament “prohibit making contributions in cryptocurrency and untraceable instruments.”

While the potential for abuse is there, Elections Canada noted that “generally speaking, cryptocurrencies are not widely used to raise funds at the federal level in Canada.”

However, “the reporting framework for contributions does not currently require entities to disclose when a contribution was made via cryptocurrency, so Elections Canada does not have official figures on this.”

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Crypto in Canadian politics: From convoys to Carney

Canada has displayed a relatively open, if cautious stance toward crypto. It became the first country to approve a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund in February 2021. 

Crypto has appeared in the political discourse before as well. In 2022, a series of blockades and protests against COVID-19 vaccine mandates for truck drivers quickly ballooned into nationwide demonstrations. On Jan. 22 that year, the first convoy of over 1,000 vehicles departed for Ottawa. Over the next few weeks, crowds occupied the streets of downtown Ottawa to protest then-Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government.

When the government used the Emergencies Act to freeze convoy organizers’ bank accounts, they took donations in crypto. According to CBC, the convoy raised over $20 million in crypto donations, $8 million of which was still unaccounted for by April 2022. 

Cryptocurrencies were hailed as a means to circumvent government control and take control over critical funding for the anti-vaccine protest movement. 

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Mathew Burgoyne, a digital currency lawyer based in Calgary, told the CBC, “There’s a huge limitation, as we’ve seen, with freeze orders when they relate to cryptocurrency wallets.”

Crypto entered the political arena again during the 2025 federal elections when Conservative candidate Pierre Poilievre made a number of statements and appearances promoting crypto and blockchain tech.

Related: Why Pierre Poilievre may not be Canada’s crypto savior

In one campaign lunch stop, he bought shawarma using the Bitcoin Lightning Network at Canadian chain Tahini’s, and he talked about Bitcoin while smoking hookah with the company’s vice president.

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Under current Prime Minister Mark Carney, the Canadian crypto industry is growing, but with a “regulate first” attitude from policymakers. In November, Parliament introduced the Canada Stablecoin Act as part of the budget, giving the Bank of Canada the power to regulate stablecoins in the country.

As it concerns political donations, some in the industry believe there are higher priorities right now. One industry source at a Canadian crypto firm told Cointelegraph that issues like stablecoin regulation, tokenization and payments modernization take precedence over political donations, which are still quite marginal, in their estimation.

They said that the industry doesn’t support a ban, but there are other policy decisions that present clearer opportunities for the industry to make a difference.

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