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MUFG to test real-time blockchain settlement for Japanese government bond trades

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MUFG to test real-time blockchain settlement for Japanese government bond trades

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) plans to use blockchain technology to offer faster settlement of Japanese government bond (JGB) transactions, in a move reminiscent of similar initiatives by banks in other countries.

MUFG is preparing a proof-of-concept for onchain JGB transactions using the Canton network to expedite the settlement, which typically takes 1-3 days by traditional means.

The Tokyo-based bank expects to improve the operational and capital efficiency of repo transactions — the purchase of securities as a form of short-term borrowing and lending — through real-time 24/7 onchain settlement.

MUFG noted that financial institutions in Europe and the U.S. have expanded proof-of-concept projects to achieve this exact goal. Blockchain-based intraday U.S. Treasury-bond repos have existed for several years through JPMorgan’s Kinexys network, which went live in 2020.

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“Given their high credit worthiness and liquidity, JGBs are widely used as collateral for repo transactions by market participants in Japan and overseas, and momentum for bringing them onchain is growing,” MUFG said on Wednesday.

The project forms part of a broader array of MUFG initiatives exploring the use of blockchain technology in traditional financial functions. Most recently, the bank teamed up with two of the largest Japanese banks, Sumitomo ⁠Mitsui Financial Group (SMBC) and Mizuho Financial Group, to explore listing a jointly issued stablecoin by March 2027.

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Bitcoin (BTC) holding firms Strategy and Metaplanet face stock-index exclusion under MSCI’s new proposal

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Bitcoin (BTC) holding firms Strategy and Metaplanet face stock-index exclusion under MSCI’s new proposal

If it fails that, it moves to an exclusion screen that uses five ratios – operating asset intensity, expense intensity, cash flow, fair value intensity, and capital dependence – to make the final call.

A company becomes ineligible for index inclusion if it fails four out of the five test ratios.

MSCI’s description of the so-called non-operating companies not fit for index inclusion reads like a checklist of bitcoin treasury firms without naming one.

Companies that “create value by accumulating and holding non-operating assets,” generate little cash from actual operations, and depend on outside capital rather than their own business to grow, MSCI explained. Companies not currently in the index face the stricter thresholds based on their latest single filing.

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An earlier consultation, opened in October 2025, targeted “digital asset treasury” firms, specifically those holding 50% or more of assets in bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. That proposal named 39 companies, triggering crypto market volatility and industry backlash. The proposal was ultimately deferred.

Nothing is decided yet

MSCI has invited feedback from market participants through Sept. 30, and the results will be announced roughly two weeks later, on Oct. 16.

It has said that any resulting changes would be folded into the November 2026 index review, if the proposal is adopted at all.

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Gemini Shares Drop 7% Even as Net Loss Narrows to $107 Million

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Gemini Space Station (GEMI) Stock Performance

Gemini Space Station (GEMI) stock slid 7% to $4.00 in after-hours trading Thursday after the crypto exchange reported a second-quarter net loss of $107.7 million.

The loss came in 19% smaller than a year earlier, and revenue climbed 37% to $45.5 million. Even so, a fraud charge and thinner trading volumes overshadowed the company’s progress.

Services Revenue Doubles as Crypto Trading Dries Up

The stock closed the regular session 3.12% higher at $4.30 before the company released earnings after the bell, which reversed the gains.

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Gemini Space Station (GEMI) Stock Performance
Gemini Space Station (GEMI) Stock Performance. Source: Google Finance

According to the press release, net loss per share came in at $0.89, against $27.08 a year earlier. Services revenue and interest income climbed 117% to $26.0 million. Credit card revenue supplied most of that gain, rising 231% to $16.2 million, while staking added $4 million.

OTC revenue jumped to $4.7 million from $0.6 million on heavier institutional trading. In addition, prediction markets added $0.5 million.

Exchange revenue moved the other way. It fell 38% to $12.5 million as crypto trading volume shrank to $3.8 billion from $11.3 billion a year earlier.

“While we still have work to do as a company, this quarter’s results reflect our ongoing efforts to reduce operating expenses while diversifying revenue,” Gemini CEO, Tyler Winklevoss, said.

Fraud Charge Undercuts the Cost Cuts

Meanwhile, transaction losses tell a harsher story. They surged to $20.1 million from $3.6 million. This was driven mainly by a $16.1 million provision for credit losses on the credit card portfolio.

“The higher provision was impacted by an identity fraud event identified earlier in 2026,” the firm noted.

Operating expenses dropped 15% sequentially to $122.4 million from $144.5 million. February’s 30% staff cut and withdrawals from international markets drove the decline. Operating loss came to $76.9 million.

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Investors treated the prior quarter differently. Shares rallied after Q1 2026 earnings showed $50.3 million in revenue and a $109 million loss.

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The post Gemini Shares Drop 7% Even as Net Loss Narrows to $107 Million appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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SpaceX Ownership: How Much of the $2 Trillion Company Does Musk Own?

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SpaceX Ownership

A new SEC filing puts Elon Musk’s SpaceX holding at 48.4%, or roughly 6.42 billion shares worth more than $900 billion.

The same stake carries over 82% of the company’s votes. That gap between ownership and control now decides everything SpaceX does, including what happens to its Bitcoin.

How Much of SpaceX Does Elon Musk Own?

Musk reported sole voting and dispositive power over all 6,418,547,515 shares. The count reflects his position as of June 30.

Four buckets make up the total. Trusts where Musk serves as trustee hold 849.5 million Class A shares and 3.92 billion Class B shares. He directly holds 1.30 billion restricted Class B shares. Options on 350 million more Class B shares complete the figure.

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However, Musk says the 48.4% headline flatters his real position.

Musk. Source: X

Vesting conditions include multitrillion-dollar valuations, orbital data centers, and a Mars settlement of one million people. Therefore his fully vested slice sits below the reported number.

Why The Voting Structure Matters for Its Bitcoin

The company runs two share classes. Class A carries one vote, while Class B carries 10. Musk commands the boardroom with less than half the equity, and no sunset clause unwinds that arrangement.

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Class B stock converts to Class A the moment an insider sells to an outsider. That switch strips 90% of the voting weight.

Governance investors objected before the listing. The Council of Institutional Investors, which represents pension funds and asset managers, asked Musk in June for a single share class. SpaceX went public anyway.

SpaceX Ownership
SpaceX Ownership. Source: BeInCrypto

That control also covers 18,712 BTC. SpaceX has held the Bitcoin since 2021 and has never sold any of it. Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $63,666, valuing the stash around $1.19 billion.

Public shareholders cannot vote the position away. They can only watch it swing, as it did in the company’s first quarterly results, where digital assets landed at $1.098 billion.

The share price tells a similar story. SpaceX raised $85.7 billion in its June IPO and cleared a $2 trillion market cap on day one. It then dropped nearly 33% through July.

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August reversed that. The stock has climbed 30% this month on a 90% revenue jump and the first lockup expiry, reclaiming its IPO price along the way.

Institutions kept buying through the slump. Norway’s sovereign wealth fund disclosed a $1.2 billion position this week, and traders rewarded the Grok AI unit despite its $1.26 billion quarterly loss.

Meanwhile, Peter Schiff reads the same rally as a crash warning for stocks and crypto.

More lockup tranches expire in the coming months. Each one frees up Class A supply, yet none of it loosens Musk’s grip on the vote. Investors get a Bitcoin treasury they cannot touch.

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Bitmine’s $257M Staking Income ‘Fills’ Operational Gaps, Share Buybacks: Analysts

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Bitmine’s $257M Staking Income ‘Fills’ Operational Gaps, Share Buybacks: Analysts

Bitmine Immersion Technologies, the largest corporate Ether holder, surpassed 5 million Ether in staked tokens, which will generate an estimated $257 million in annualized revenue, according to a company announcement on Monday. 

Ether (ETH) staking is emerging as an important revenue stream that generated about 98% of Bitmine’s revenue for the fiscal quarter ending May 31, or $45.7 million of the company’s $46.5 million, analysts from Bitfinex exchange told Cointelegraph, adding:

“It funds operations and its share buyback program: 19.1 million shares repurchased since July against a $4 billion authorisation, without Bitmine having to sell any Ether.”

Ether treasury companies are facing growing unrealized losses as their margins are pressured by the decline in Ether’s spot price, which fell roughly 23% during the second quarter of 2026. 

SharpLink, the second-largest Ether treasury company, reported a net loss of $394 million for the second quarter of 2026, largely driven by $391 million in unrealized crypto losses.

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Bitmine ranks as the largest corporate Ether holder with 5.54 million ETH, currently worth $9.4 billion. SharpLink ranks second, with 863,000 Ether, currently valued at $1.46 billion, according to data from the StrategicEthReserve.

Ether emerges as new treasury asset despite staking revenue risk

Bitmine’s staking milestone demonstrates how Ether can generate native yield as a treasury asset while Bitcoin (BTC) is mainly viewed as a balance sheet appreciation asset, according to Alvin Kan, chief operating officer at Bitget Wallet.

While Bitmine’s staking revenue may encourage more crypto-native companies to adopt Ether as a treasury asset, this is not risk-free income, Kan told Cointelegraph, adding:

“The revenue is annualized, depends on ETH price and staking yield, and comes with operational, liquidity, validator and regulatory considerations.” 

This makes Ether staking more akin to a yield-bearing enhancement to treasury strategy, rather than a “replacement” for disciplined capital management, explained Kan. 

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Related: EToro to buy TradeZero as Q2 crypto revenue falls 30%

Still, the recurring staking income acts as a “buffer” to Ether’s price fluctuations and ensures “topline predictability that can be valued without regard to spot ETH price,” wrote Yiannis Zourmpanos, a contributor to Seeking Alpha, in a July 28 report.

Staked Ether supply, all-time chart. Source: Validatorqueue.com 

Ether staking currently pays a 2.61% annual percentage rate (APR). Over 34% of the total Ether supply is currently staked across 897,064 validators, according to data on the Validatorqueue dashboard.

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Magazine: Ethereum’s EEZ could pull other blockchains into its orbit

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BitMine lands $81.9M stake from Norway wealth fund

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Ethereum Foundation begins staking 70,000 ETH from treasury

Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global disclosed a $81.87 million position in BitMine Immersion Technologies, giving the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund indirect exposure to Ethereum through a U.S.-listed corporate treasury company rather than through a direct ETH purchase.

Summary

  • Norges Bank held 6,151,062 BitMine shares worth $81.87 million at June 30, SEC filings show.
  • The position gives Norway indirect Ethereum exposure through equity, not direct ownership of ETH itself.
  • BitMine reported 5,805,238 ETH holdings on August 9, with 5,067,309 ETH already staked through validators.
  • BitMine was absent from Norges Bank’s December 2025 filing, while acquisition timing remains publicly undisclosed.
  • Norway’s fund reached 22.683 trillion kroner at midyear, with 72.1% invested in global equities overall.

An Aug. 12 SEC filing from Norges Bank showed that the fund held 6,151,062 BitMine shares as of June 30. The position was valued at $81,870,635 at quarter end. Norges Bank reported sole investment discretion over the shares.

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Norway wealth fund’s BitMine stake appeared by June

The BitMine position was not present in Norges Bank’s Dec. 31, 2025 13F holdings table, confirming that it was added after year end. However, the exact timing remains unclear. Norges Bank’s March 31 filing was submitted under a confidential treatment request, meaning its full first-quarter holdings were not publicly visible. The available filings therefore cannot establish whether the BitMine shares were acquired during the first or second quarter.

The June filing also provides no purchase price or transaction dates. Its reported $81.87 million figure represents the quarter-end market value, not necessarily the amount Norges Bank paid. The position accounted for roughly 0.0082% of the approximately $1.003 trillion in securities disclosed in the fund’s June U.S. 13F report, making it a small allocation within the broader portfolio.

The holding is consistent with the fund’s broad equity mandate rather than evidence that Norway has directly adopted Ethereum as a reserve asset. As previously reported, the fund has already built indirect Bitcoin exposure through companies including Strategy, Coinbase and miners. Its investment strategy spans thousands of listed companies globally.

BitMine turns the equity position into indirect ETH exposure

BitMine’s balance sheet makes the stake crypto-sensitive. In an Aug. 10 SEC release, the company reported holding 5,805,238 ETH as of Aug. 9, representing about 4.8% of the 120.7 million ETH supply figure used by BitMine. It also held 209 BTC, $104 million in cash and marketable securities, and other investments.

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Of BitMine’s ETH, 5,067,309 tokens were staked, or about 87% of its Ethereum holdings. The company valued the staked position at $9.8 billion using an ETH reference price of $1,928. As crypto.news reported, BitMine added another 7,391 ETH while expanding its staked position above five million tokens.

This does not mean Norges Bank owns a proportionate pool of BitMine’s ETH. The fund owns BMNR equity, whose value also depends on the company’s liabilities, financing, share issuance, staking operations and other investments. BitMine itself warns that its financial results and stock price face risks from ETH volatility and concentration in digital assets.

BitMine has also said it is pursuing its Alchemy of 5%” target of eventually holding 5% of Ethereum’s supply. That remains a company goal rather than a guaranteed outcome. Its Aug. 10 disclosure put the company at what it described as 96% of the way toward that target.

The wider Norway portfolio puts $81.9M in perspective

Norges Bank Investment Management published its complete half-year holdings alongside the filing on Aug. 12. The Government Pension Fund Global ended June with assets of 22.683 trillion Norwegian kroner after generating a 9.4% return during the first six months of 2026. Equities represented 72.1% of the portfolio.

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In related coverage, the same disclosure showed Norway’s fund holding a $1.22 billion position in SpaceX. The fund holds stakes in roughly 7,100 companies and owns about 1.5% of listed companies globally on average, making individual corporate positions part of a much larger diversified portfolio.

The next firm update on the BitMine stake should come with a later holdings disclosure. Until then, the June report cannot show whether Norges Bank has retained, increased or reduced its 6.15 million shares since quarter end. BitMine, meanwhile, continues to publish weekly updates on its ETH holdings and staking activity.

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Bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet (3350) unveils BitBonds with $1.3 million private debt sale

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JPYC raises $38 million Series B led by major Japanese logistics firm AZ-COM Maruwa (9090)

Japanese bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet (3350) unveiled a continuous bond issuance program, dubbed “BitBonds,” completing its first sale with four privately placed series worth about 200 million yen ($1.3 million).

The Tokyo-listed company said the unsecured senior bonds mature in roughly three years and carry annual interest rates of 4% to 4.3%. Solicitation began in late July and has now closed, according to an Aug. 13 disclosure.

Metaplanet said BitBonds will sit alongside common stock, equity-linked securities and preferred shares as a core funding channel. Future issuance will depend on funding needs, market conditions and investor demand, with the company eventually considering registered public offerings.

Unlike Metaplanet shares, which tend to reflect changes in the value of its bitcoin holdings, the bonds offer fixed interest and principal repayment based on the company’s creditworthiness. However, they are unsecured, unrated and not principal-protected, while the issuer’s financial position remains heavily exposed to bitcoin price swings.

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The bonds also carry transfer restrictions, and liquidity before maturity is not guaranteed.

The inaugural securities were distributed through wholly owned Metaplanet Securities to individuals and companies under Japan’s small-number private placement rules, marking the firm’s broader push into Japan’s yen-denominated credit market.

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JPMorgan debanked Polymarket in late 2025

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Family offices shun crypto despite hype, with 89% holding no digital assets: JPMorgan Private Bank

JPMorgan Chase stopped providing its banking services to the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket late last year, according to the Financial Times.

In October 2025 the bank told Polymarket it would have to secure a different banking partner amid regulatory worries. Polymarket has already moved to another lender, though that firm’s name remains undisclosed, the FT report said.

Polymarket was barred from serving U.S. users in 2022 after the CFTC hit the platform with a $1.4 million settlement for running an unregistered derivatives trading venue. The company nonetheless returned to the U.S. market in late 2025 once the Trump administration loosened federal rules.

Even after cutting the formal banking link, JPMorgan has reportedly kept some connection. For instance, it invited Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan to address a private client conference in February 2026 and is still angling for a role underwriting any future IPO.

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CoinDesk reached out to Polymarket for a comment on the matter.

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Strategy, Metaplanet face MSCI index removal proposal

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Metaplanet to spend $127m on BTC—dilution fear hurts shares

MSCI is considering a new methodology that could remove Strategy and Metaplanet from its Global Investable Market Indexes as early as the November 2026 Index Review. 

Summary

  • MSCI’s May simulation would delete Strategy, Metaplanet and Yellow Cake under proposed non-operating company screens.
  • SharpLink would enter a watchlist because current constituents need two consecutive annual failures before removal.
  • Companies failing the core screen become ineligible after triggering four of five financial ratio tests.
  • Consultation closes September 30, with results due October 16 and possible November implementation by MSCI.
  • MSCI abandoned its earlier crypto-only exclusion proposal in January and promised this broader company review.

A simulation using May data identified the two Bitcoin treasury companies and U.K. uranium investor Yellow Cake as the three existing constituents that would be deleted under the proposed rules.

The proposal remains a consultation, not a final index decision. MSCI’s announcement says feedback remains open through Sept. 30, with results expected by Oct. 16. Any methodology change would then be targeted for the November review. MSCI explicitly warns that the consultation “may or may not” result in the proposed changes.

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MSCI proposal replaces the earlier crypto specific test

The current review is broader than MSCI’s earlier attempt to exclude digital asset treasury companies based largely on their crypto holdings. In January, the index provider abandoned that proposal for the February review after investors raised questions about whether a simple asset threshold could distinguish an operating company from an investment vehicle.

As previously reported, MSCI delayed its earlier crypto treasury exclusions and opted for a wider review. Strategy had opposed the previous 50% digital asset threshold, calling it “arbitrary” and arguing that companies holding large concentrations of other assets were not subjected to the same rule.

The new methodology addresses that criticism by applying financial tests across industries rather than singling out Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. The presence of Yellow Cake alongside Strategy and Metaplanet in MSCI’s simulated deletions illustrates the broader approach.

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Strategy and Metaplanet fail MSCI’s simulated screen

MSCI proposes a two stage test. A company first passes automatically if operating assets exceed 50% of total assets. Companies falling below that level move to a second test based on operating asset intensity, expenses, operating cash flow, non-operating fair value changes and reliance on financing for asset accumulation.

An issuer would be treated as a non-operating company if it triggers at least four of those five flags. For existing constituents, MSCI proposes less restrictive thresholds and requires failure in two consecutive annual reviews before deletion. New candidates would need to fail only the latest review to become ineligible for addition.

Using May 2026 data, MSCI’s simulation would remove Strategy, with a free float adjusted market capitalization of $23.93 billion; Yellow Cake, at $1.81 billion; and Metaplanet, at $654 million. SharpLink, Center Laboratories and Lydia Holding would instead enter a public watchlist because the simulation found only one qualifying period of failure.

SharpLink’s inclusion is notable for the crypto treasury sector. The Nasdaq listed company reported 888,938 ETH and ETH equivalents as of Aug. 3 and said equity financing remains one of its main sources of liquidity. Its filing also says it uses most capital raising proceeds to acquire ETH, although MSCI’s May simulation predates that latest quarterly filing.

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Index removal could create passive selling pressure

Deletion would matter because funds designed to track affected MSCI benchmarks would have to adjust their portfolios when the index composition changes. However, MSCI has not published an estimate of possible selling tied to the new proposal, so current claims of a specific forced outflow figure should be treated cautiously.

During the earlier crypto treasury debate, JPMorgan estimated that Strategy could face about $2.8 billion in passive selling if MSCI removed it, with a larger figure possible if other index providers followed. That estimate concerned the previous proposal and should not be presented as a forecast for the new methodology.

Strategy’s balance sheet remains heavily centered on Bitcoin. Its latest SEC filing showed 840,447 BTC as of Aug. 9 after it sold 1,690 BTC for $108.6 million and used the proceeds to repurchase STRC preferred stock. The company also raised about $653.1 million through MSTR share sales during the week, most of which went into its U.S. dollar reserve.

Metaplanet, meanwhile, currently reports 43,000 BTC on its corporate tracker. Its exposure to MSCI dates back to February 2025, when, as crypto.news reported, the company joined the MSCI Japan Index.

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What happens next for Strategy and Metaplanet

Nothing has been removed under the new rule yet. MSCI published its regular August Index Review on Aug. 12, with those changes due after the Aug. 31 close, while the separate non-operating company proposal remains scheduled for possible action in November.

The next deadline is Sept. 30, when consultation feedback closes. MSCI expects to announce its decision by Oct. 16. If the methodology is adopted, qualifying deletions could be incorporated into the November 2026 review.

The May simulation also should not be treated as a guaranteed November constituent list. Company filings and financial structures can change, and MSCI’s proposal incorporates annual financial data and persistence tests. The current simulation shows which companies would have failed using the stated May dataset, not an irreversible decision on Strategy, Metaplanet or SharpLink.

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Report Shows $4.3B Loan Marketplace Volume as Profit Nears Triple in Q3

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Crypto Breaking News

Figure Technology Solutions is pointing to a strong second quarter in its consumer lending marketplace business, reporting $4.3 billion in consumer loan marketplace volume—up 132% year over year. The company also said profitability improved sharply, with quarterly net income nearly tripling as results continued to scale alongside its marketplace platform.

In a statement released Thursday, Figure said net income rose 192% year over year to $87 million, up from roughly $30 million. Net revenue more than doubled to $226 million, and net income margin increased by 10.5 percentage points to 38.8%.

Key takeaways

  • Figure posted $4.3 billion in consumer loan marketplace volume for Q2 2026, up 132% from the prior year.
  • Net income grew 192% year over year to $87 million, while net revenue increased to $226 million.
  • The company’s marketplace volume includes loans originated via its system plus third-party loans traded on Figure Connect; Figure Connect represented $2.8 billion (65%) of the quarter’s total.
  • Marketplace volume rose 262% year over year after the platform launched in June 2024, and Figure added 102 loan-origination partners in the quarter.
  • Figure expects third-quarter marketplace volume of between $4.8 billion and $5.2 billion.

Marketplace growth and profitability accelerate

Figure’s quarterly update highlights both top-line expansion and a wider path to profit. The $4.3 billion in consumer loan marketplace volume reflects activity across the company’s lending marketplace, which aggregates loan products and routes them through its origination and trading infrastructure.

According to the company’s figures, the scale of the quarter also translated into improved margins. Net income margin rose to 38.8%, helped by revenue growth that outpaced costs as the marketplace expanded.

The company’s disclosed performance matters for investors because it signals that growth in marketplace volume is not merely adding transactions—it is improving efficiency, at least within the time window covered by the quarter’s financial results.

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What’s included in “marketplace volume”

Figure’s reported marketplace volume is not a single product line; it combines multiple loan categories processed through its loan origination system and loans traded through its marketplace infrastructure.

The company said marketplace volume includes:

  • Home equity lines of credit
  • Debt-service coverage ratio loans
  • Personal loans processed through Figure’s loan origination system
  • Third-party loans traded on Figure Connect

For the quarter, Figure Connect activity totaled $2.8 billion, making up 65% of the overall marketplace volume. That mix is notable because it indicates that the marketplace is increasingly dependent on—and benefited by—third-party lending flows rather than only Figure’s own origination pipeline.

Figure Connect launched as part of the broader marketplace approach, and the company’s disclosures suggest third-party participation is becoming a consistent driver of volume.

Momentum since June 2024 and partner expansion

Figure launched its consumer loan marketplace in June 2024. Since then, the company’s year-over-year comparison has shown steep growth. For Q2, Figure reported marketplace volume up 262% from the same period last year.

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Operationally, Figure also emphasized partner growth. It added 102 loan-origination partners during the quarter, taking its total to 489. Partner expansion is a key lever for marketplace businesses because it can broaden supply and increase match rates between lenders and borrowers, which in turn can support continued volume growth.

In addition, Figure’s management said weekly loan applications surpassed $1 billion in July. While that metric is not directly equivalent to marketplace volume, it offers a signal about pipeline strength leading into the period.

Guidance and what investors should watch next

Looking ahead, Figure expects consumer loan marketplace volume of between $4.8 billion and $5.2 billion in the third quarter. That guidance implies further growth from the $4.3 billion level reported for Q2.

For market participants, the main question is whether the company can sustain the relationship between volume growth and margin expansion. With Q2 results showing a substantial jump in net income and a widening net income margin, investors will likely watch for whether future quarters maintain similar efficiency as volumes scale—particularly given the marketplace mix that relies heavily on third-party loans via Figure Connect.

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Analyst commentary highlighted by the company’s announcement also points to the marketplace’s data visibility. Bernstein analysts, in coverage dated May, predicted record second-quarter volume for Figure and tied that expectation to what they described as live blockchain data that could allow investors to monitor lending activity more closely in real time.

Figure’s next reporting cycle will therefore be closely watched for confirmation that application strength continues to convert into marketplace volume, and for evidence that partner growth and Figure Connect participation remain steady enough to support the mid-point of its Q3 range.

As Figure moves through the third quarter, traders and long-term investors alike should watch for whether reported volume continues to rise in line with guidance—especially the contribution from Figure Connect—and whether improved profitability persists as the company scales its marketplace network.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin Circles $64K As Fed Official Hints At Need For Rate Hike Despite Cool PPI

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Bitcoin Circles $64K As Fed Official Hints At Need For Rate Hike Despite Cool PPI

Bitcoin (BTC) edged away from weekly lows on Thursday after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) narrowly cooled in July.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin avoids further downside as US PPI data provides a boost to US equities.
  • Cleveland Fed president stays hawkish on the outlook for interest-rate policy. 
  • Bitcoin long liquidations make $61,000 a key level to watch.

July PPI extends cooler US inflation trend

BTC/USD was up around 0.5% on the day near $63,900 with volatility broadly absent, data from TradingView showed.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The July US Producer Price Index (PPI) print was unchanged month-on-month at 0.2%, while year-on-year increased 4.7% versus an anticipated 4.9%, per data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

“In July, a 0.2-percent increase in the index for final demand services and a 2.2-percent advance in prices for final demand construction offset a 0.7-percent decrease in the index for final demand goods,” the BLS release said.

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“Falling gasoline and energy prices provided the biggest relief,” Econoday analysts highlighted.

US PPI one-month % change. Source: BLS

US stocks gained at the Wall Street open as PPI further cooled market bets on interest-rate hikes from Federal Reserve policymakers. The S&P 500 index and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index were up 0.87% and 0.94%, respectively, at the time of writing.

CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed 65.6% odds of those policymaker holding rates at the current 3.50-3.75% level at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September meeting. Wednesday’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers matched expectations, already resulting in a boost to the rate-pause outlook.

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Fed target-rate probability comparison for September FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group

After their biggest split over the interest-rate path since 1970 in July, Fed officials continued to strike a cautious tone over policy. Speaking at an event with the Dayton Area Chamber of Commerce in Kettering, Ohio, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank president Beth Hammack questioned whether even recent cooler data prints would be enough to bring inflation down to the Fed’s 2% target.

“Maybe we’d get there, but if it takes another three to four years to get there, is that OK? Is that enough?” she said, quoted by Bloomberg.

Hammock was one of three officials to vote in favor of a 0.25% rate hike in July.

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Related: Bitcoin speculators keep BTC price ‘pinned’ below $68.7K: Glassnode

Bitcoin faces long position liquidations at $61,000

With BTC price action still acting within a tight range, market participants’ attention focused on the extremes.

Rafael Schultze-Kraft, cofounder of onchain analytics platform Glassnode, suggested that $61,000 could become a flashpoint thanks to the large potential long position liquidations that would occur if price were to reach it.

“Long liquidation risk has built up around $61K in the past weeks. If we get there, I’d expect forced selling to add momentum to the downside,” he wrote in a Tuesday X post.

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Previously, Cointelegraph reported on $63,000 now forming another key BTC price level as repeated retests increased the odds of support failure.

Bitcoin futures liquidation heatmap. Source: Rafael Schultze-Kraft on X.com

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