But are you brave enough to act before it feels safe?
We’ve survived the doom, the gloom, and the macro chaos.
Now Bitcoin is back in the $80Ks, and after a healthy 30% pullback — a normal correction in any bull market — the stage might be setting for something big.
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How big?
Well, there are multiple indicators flashing at once. Some rarely align. Some haven’t shown up since Bitcoin’s last major run.
Let’s break them down. One by one.
One of the strongest short-to-mid-term signals is the MACD crossover on the 3-day chart.
The last time this happened?
September 2023 — just before Bitcoin launched from below $60K to over $100,000.
This isn’t a one-off. Historically, these crossovers have preceded major rallies — with 5 of the last 6 leading to strong price moves.
We just got another one.
Bitcoin is currently wrestling with the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).
We’ve been bouncing around this level for days.
If BTC cleanly breaks above and holds, that’s a classic confirmation of a bull trend resuming.
If it gets rejected hard, well… we’re headed back to goblin town for a while.
We’re right at the edge. Eyes wide open.
Zoom into the daily chart and you’ll see something important:
Bitcoin is trying to break out of a multi-month resistance trend line that dates back to January.
A successful breakout above this line?
It would flip sentiment hard.
We haven’t cleared it yet — but we’re close.
Either we push through and rally — or we bounce and bleed. This is the decision zone.
The weekly RSI is showing signs of life again.
Why does this matter?
In both October 2023 and September 2024, RSI breakouts from downtrends were followed by immediate, explosive rallies — each one taking BTC to new highs.
If the breakout confirms here, we could be staring at a similar setup.
The Hash Ribbon indicator is unique to crypto. It tracks miner capitulation periods — a reliable marker for local bottoms.
When the 30-day hash rate crosses above the 90-day?
That’s your buy signal.
We just got that crossover.
While the bottom may technically be behind us, the meat of the move often still lies ahead after this signal flashes.
Here’s the biggest one.
The global M2 money supply just hit new all-time highs.
This isn’t just important.
It’s critical — because crypto is ultra-sensitive to liquidity.
When money is flowing freely, risk assets explode. Bitcoin thrives in loose financial conditions.
Right now? The printers are back on — especially in China.
This chart alone could be a massive tailwind in the months ahead.
Zooming out, we’ve still got the long-term 2.618 Fibonacci extension sitting at $156,000.
Back when BTC broke $100K, it kissed the 1.618 and cooled off. If this current rally continues, the next major psychological (and technical) target is right there at $156K.
Nobody catches the exact bottom.
But there’s plenty of upside left before that target’s hit.
Let’s be real.
The charts still show some downtrends.
Macro fears (tariffs, recession talk, bond volatility) are loud.
Momentum keeps fizzling.
And sentiment is fragile — we’re one tweet away from puking again.
But…
“Buying when it feels safe is rarely profitable.”
These signals don’t guarantee upside. Nothing does.
But together? They form a compelling narrative that we might be nearing another leg up.
We’re still in the most bullish part of the four-year cycle, historically speaking.
The macro environment is shifting.
Liquidity is rising.
Technical and on-chain indicators are blinking green.
So, will Bitcoin moon straight to $156K?
Nobody knows.
But if you believe in the cycle…
If you trust the signals…
Then this could be the calm before the next parabolic storm.
